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There’s no pretty way of saying this…
and things could get confusing…
For 2010-11 (most recent published data)

55,227 people across Scotland made a
 homeless application

40,807 were assessed and found to be
 homeless
Of those 40,807




14,595 were between 16 and 25

or 36% of total number of homeless people.
By comparison…

Number of 16-25s in Scotland= 600,000*
Which is 12% of the total population
or
2.4 % of total under 16-25s in Scotland
 were assessed as homeless during 2010-11
(Worst clip art ever!)
(* from 2001 Census figures)
In addition, most recent stats show :

4,504 young people “ceased to be looked
 after” last year.

Of these 185 were directly assessed as
 homeless.
In total
2,332 young people aged 16-25 who have
  previously been looked after* were assessed
  as homeless last year

That’s 16% of the total 16-25s who were
 assessed as homeless

Or 6% *of the total of those assessed as
 homeless
At homelessness assessment interviews people
are asked if they were ever looked after: this is
sub divided into in the past 5 years or longer
than 5 years ago.

The 6% figure is only for those under 25. There
are many more people who have previously been
looked after who either have refused to answer
or who have chosen not tell the truth about a
past in care. E.g. There are 1824 people in the
current stats who refused to answer.

If even half of them had previously been looked
after, then the percentage of those assessed as
homeless could rise to around 22% of all 16-25s
assessed as homeless or 8% of total
Why this matters:

Personal: disruptive, damaging, dispiriting,
 divisive, dangerous

Financial: expensive….
SCSH recent study shows costs of tenancy
 failure to be rising.

Based on a couple of different scenarios for
 under 25s:
6 months in temp = £12k not including
 support
12 months in temp = £20k not including
 support

Costs of support can add around 3k to each
 total. (See “briefings” on SCSH website for full report)
Outlook?

Although current trend is downward

•Existing & projected high youth
unemployment
•Impact of welfare reforms
•Continuing gloomy economic forecasts

-All suggest likely increase in youth
homelessness over the next few years.

Women likely to be particularly hard hit.
Solutions?

Prevention:
Earlier precautionary prevention
(but without impacting crisis intervention)
Co-ordination:
Closer working & increased joint working
(but without undermining tendering
processes)
Lobbying:
Political pressure, evidence based
research, making sure homeless voices
are heard

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Youth Homelessness Stats 31 10 11

  • 1.
  • 2. There’s no pretty way of saying this… and things could get confusing…
  • 3. For 2010-11 (most recent published data) 55,227 people across Scotland made a homeless application 40,807 were assessed and found to be homeless
  • 4. Of those 40,807 14,595 were between 16 and 25 or 36% of total number of homeless people.
  • 5. By comparison… Number of 16-25s in Scotland= 600,000* Which is 12% of the total population or 2.4 % of total under 16-25s in Scotland were assessed as homeless during 2010-11 (Worst clip art ever!) (* from 2001 Census figures)
  • 6. In addition, most recent stats show : 4,504 young people “ceased to be looked after” last year. Of these 185 were directly assessed as homeless.
  • 7. In total 2,332 young people aged 16-25 who have previously been looked after* were assessed as homeless last year That’s 16% of the total 16-25s who were assessed as homeless Or 6% *of the total of those assessed as homeless
  • 8. At homelessness assessment interviews people are asked if they were ever looked after: this is sub divided into in the past 5 years or longer than 5 years ago. The 6% figure is only for those under 25. There are many more people who have previously been looked after who either have refused to answer or who have chosen not tell the truth about a past in care. E.g. There are 1824 people in the current stats who refused to answer. If even half of them had previously been looked after, then the percentage of those assessed as homeless could rise to around 22% of all 16-25s assessed as homeless or 8% of total
  • 9. Why this matters: Personal: disruptive, damaging, dispiriting, divisive, dangerous Financial: expensive….
  • 10. SCSH recent study shows costs of tenancy failure to be rising. Based on a couple of different scenarios for under 25s: 6 months in temp = £12k not including support 12 months in temp = £20k not including support Costs of support can add around 3k to each total. (See “briefings” on SCSH website for full report)
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13. Outlook? Although current trend is downward •Existing & projected high youth unemployment •Impact of welfare reforms •Continuing gloomy economic forecasts -All suggest likely increase in youth homelessness over the next few years. Women likely to be particularly hard hit.
  • 14. Solutions? Prevention: Earlier precautionary prevention (but without impacting crisis intervention) Co-ordination: Closer working & increased joint working (but without undermining tendering processes) Lobbying: Political pressure, evidence based research, making sure homeless voices are heard

Editor's Notes

  1. 55000 is about 5k more than the capacity at Ibrox. 76% of those who applied as homeless were found to be homeless. 40,000 is Celtic’s average attendance.
  2. 14595 – equivalent to average attendance at Hearts or number of people who attended the Tartan heart Festival each day…
  3. 600k from 2001 census stats
  4. 2009/10 figures: follow the academic year, as opposed to homeless figures that follow financial year) 185= 4% of young people who ceased to be looked after. 54 of these were from Fife alone - Glasgow - 2
  5. At homelessness assessment interviews people are asked if they were ever looked after: this is sub divided into in the past 5 years or longer than 5 years ago. The 6% figure is only for those under 25. There are many more people who have previously been looked after who either have refused to answer or who have chosen not tell the truth about a past in care. Eg. There are 1824 people in the current stats who refused to answer. Of even half of them had previously been looked after, then the percentage of those assessed as homeless could rise to around 22% of all 16-25s assessed as homeless or 8% of total
  6. Costs of support can only add around 3k to each total. Paper on Costs of Tenancy Failure to be published on SCSH website some time in November.