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ACTIVIDAD
SIMULACIÓN PRONOSTICA EN INGLES
Jadir Mosquera Mosquera
SERVICIO NACIONAL DE APRENDIZAJE
GESTION LOGISTICA
Medellín
2015
Name of the
company special transport
Main business
área
Industry shuttle
Seven step to make a forecasting system:
Uses our company uses forecasting techniques , for the amount
of services to be dispatched and to comply with the demand
items Calculating service requests every month
Time horizon In our company we use a Short Term forecast is usually
done every three months
Model The forecast used for the simple moving average
Data gathering Historical data from previous months are used to forecast
future sales
Making According to forecasts , the services are prepared for the
future
Validation and
implementation
Historical data are real and verified by the company,that is
why forecasts are very effective.
.
According to the offices of our services the preceding year (2014 ) , making
the outlook for 2015.
2014 2015
January 27 27
February 33 27
March 35 38
April 40 43
May 42 46
June 47 51
July 50 54
August 53 58
September 57 62
October 65 69
November 66 73
December 70 78
Value
weighted
Data previous 25%
Data means 35%
Data recent 55%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14
Quantity travel
2014 2015 Linear (2014) Linear (2015)

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Actividad pronóstico en ingles

  • 1. ACTIVIDAD SIMULACIÓN PRONOSTICA EN INGLES Jadir Mosquera Mosquera SERVICIO NACIONAL DE APRENDIZAJE GESTION LOGISTICA Medellín 2015
  • 2. Name of the company special transport Main business área Industry shuttle Seven step to make a forecasting system: Uses our company uses forecasting techniques , for the amount of services to be dispatched and to comply with the demand items Calculating service requests every month Time horizon In our company we use a Short Term forecast is usually done every three months Model The forecast used for the simple moving average Data gathering Historical data from previous months are used to forecast future sales Making According to forecasts , the services are prepared for the future Validation and implementation Historical data are real and verified by the company,that is why forecasts are very effective. . According to the offices of our services the preceding year (2014 ) , making the outlook for 2015. 2014 2015 January 27 27 February 33 27 March 35 38 April 40 43 May 42 46 June 47 51 July 50 54 August 53 58 September 57 62 October 65 69 November 66 73 December 70 78
  • 3. Value weighted Data previous 25% Data means 35% Data recent 55% 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 Quantity travel 2014 2015 Linear (2014) Linear (2015)