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Working Group III contribution to the
IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
CLIMATE CHANGE 2014
Mitigation of Climate Change
©dreamstime
Priyadarshi R. Shukla and Jim Skea
IPCC WGIII Co-Chairs
Understanding Climate Change & Enabling Climate Actions with a Special Focus on
Mountain Systems of the Hindu Kush Himalayas
Outreach event on IPCC Role and Findings, 11 Apr 2017 to 13 Apr 2017, Kathmandu (Nepal)
Key Messages from IPCC WGIII AR5
Working Group III contribution to the
IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
GHG emissions growth has accelerated
despite reduction efforts.
Working Group III contribution to the
IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
But emissions growth has accelerated in the last decade –
driven by CO2 from fossil fuel combustion
3
Working Group III contribution to the
IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
There is far more carbon in the ground than emitted in any
baseline scenario.
4
Based on SRREN Figure 1.7
Working Group III contribution to the
IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
Climate change mitigation is possible –
and early action will make it easier
Working Group III contribution to the
IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
Stabilising the atmosphere means moving away from business-
as-usual – regardless of how ambitious we are.
6
40-70% reduction
Working Group III contribution to the
IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
Delaying mitigation until 2030 increases the difficulty and
narrows the options for limiting warming to 2°C.
7
Working Group III contribution to the
IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
Ambitious mitigation involves
transformation of the energy system.
Working Group III contribution to the
IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
9
Emission patterns would need to change
throughout the economy.
Working Group III contribution to the
IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
10
Emission patterns would need to change
throughout the economy.
Working Group III contribution to the
IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
Reducing energy demand is key -
efficiency and behavioural change.
11
Working Group III contribution to the
IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
12
Reducing energy demand is key
Working Group III contribution to the
IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
Decarbonization of energy supply would be needed
13
Working Group III contribution to the
IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
14
Decarbonization of energy supply would be needed.
Working Group III contribution to the
IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
15
Decarbonization of energy supply would be needed.
Working Group III contribution to the
IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
Mitigation comes at a cost,
but strong economic growth can continue.
Working Group III contribution to the
IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
Global costs rise with the ambition of the mitigation goal.
17
Working Group III contribution to the
IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
Substantial reductions in emissions would require large
changes in investment patterns.
18
Working Group III contribution to the
IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
Climate change mitigation can bring co-benefits – health, energy
security and other societal goals.
19
Based on Figures SPM.6 and 12.23
Working Group III contribution to the
IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
Plans and strategies have expanded since 2007.
20
Working Group III contribution to the
IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
©Ocean/Corbis
Thank you

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Key Message - Mitigation of Climate Change

  • 1. Working Group III contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report CLIMATE CHANGE 2014 Mitigation of Climate Change ©dreamstime Priyadarshi R. Shukla and Jim Skea IPCC WGIII Co-Chairs Understanding Climate Change & Enabling Climate Actions with a Special Focus on Mountain Systems of the Hindu Kush Himalayas Outreach event on IPCC Role and Findings, 11 Apr 2017 to 13 Apr 2017, Kathmandu (Nepal) Key Messages from IPCC WGIII AR5
  • 2. Working Group III contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report GHG emissions growth has accelerated despite reduction efforts.
  • 3. Working Group III contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report But emissions growth has accelerated in the last decade – driven by CO2 from fossil fuel combustion 3
  • 4. Working Group III contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report There is far more carbon in the ground than emitted in any baseline scenario. 4 Based on SRREN Figure 1.7
  • 5. Working Group III contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report Climate change mitigation is possible – and early action will make it easier
  • 6. Working Group III contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report Stabilising the atmosphere means moving away from business- as-usual – regardless of how ambitious we are. 6 40-70% reduction
  • 7. Working Group III contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report Delaying mitigation until 2030 increases the difficulty and narrows the options for limiting warming to 2°C. 7
  • 8. Working Group III contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report Ambitious mitigation involves transformation of the energy system.
  • 9. Working Group III contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report 9 Emission patterns would need to change throughout the economy.
  • 10. Working Group III contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report 10 Emission patterns would need to change throughout the economy.
  • 11. Working Group III contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report Reducing energy demand is key - efficiency and behavioural change. 11
  • 12. Working Group III contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report 12 Reducing energy demand is key
  • 13. Working Group III contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report Decarbonization of energy supply would be needed 13
  • 14. Working Group III contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report 14 Decarbonization of energy supply would be needed.
  • 15. Working Group III contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report 15 Decarbonization of energy supply would be needed.
  • 16. Working Group III contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report Mitigation comes at a cost, but strong economic growth can continue.
  • 17. Working Group III contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report Global costs rise with the ambition of the mitigation goal. 17
  • 18. Working Group III contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report Substantial reductions in emissions would require large changes in investment patterns. 18
  • 19. Working Group III contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report Climate change mitigation can bring co-benefits – health, energy security and other societal goals. 19 Based on Figures SPM.6 and 12.23
  • 20. Working Group III contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report Plans and strategies have expanded since 2007. 20
  • 21. Working Group III contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report ©Ocean/Corbis Thank you

Editor's Notes

  1. Welcome IPCC WG3 philosophy: scientists as mapmakers, politicians as navigators.
  2. More more details, please visit mitigation2014.org