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ITEM 1.2.1: INTRODUCTION
TO CGT MEASUREMENT
WP6 workshop on supply and demand
Paris, 09 November 2015
Contact: Structural Policy Division
Mr. Laurent DANIEL, LaurentC.DANIEL@oecd.org
Ms. Karin STRODEL, Karin.STRODEL@oecd.org
Purpose of the compensated gross tonnes (cgt) system:
“cgt is a unit of measurement intended to provide a common
yardstick to reflect the relative output of merchant
shipbuilding activity in large aggregates such as ‘World’, ‘Regions’
or ‘Groups of many yards’”. (OECD, 2007)
• Reflecting workload.
• Accounting for complexity (output, design, working methods, …).
11-12 June 2015 WP6 Meeting:
• Some participants indicate that there is room for improvement
of the current cgt system, in particular for mega-yachts and
offshore vessels.
12/4/2015 2
Background
Late 1960s/Early 1970s: Initial development of cgt:
– First devised by shipbuilder associations (i.e. CESA and SAJ).
– Subsequently adopted and promulgated by the WP6 for its
widespread use within the industry.
Revisions and updates in 1984 and 1994
– 1984: introduction of conversion coefficients (i.e. table of cgt
coefficients) depending on ship type and dwt.
– 1994: series of partial and intermediate revisions accounting for
technologies and new ship types.
Major overhaul in 2007
– Joint development of new cgt system by CESA, SAJ and KSA, coming
into force on 1 January 2007.
• cgt calculations based on a formula.
• gt rather than dwt as basis.
12/4/2015 3
History of the cgt system
12/4/2015 4
Cgt system since January 2007
Source: OECD (2007).
 Macroeconomic scope.
 Expressed in man-hours.
 Relation of man-hours to CGT using a factor derived by OLS regressions.
𝑐𝑔𝑡 = 𝑨 ∗ 𝑔𝑡 𝑩
A controls for the ship type.
B denotes the influence of ship size.
gt is the vessel’s gross tonnage.
• Selected shipbuilding associations and yards:
– Current practices to calculate cgt for offshore vessels
and mega-yachts do not reflect the real workload
and value of building these ships.
• Offshore vessels are more and more sophisticated and
each project is totally different to the others.
– Some yards do not even use the cgt coefficients
for big offshore projects because they consider that
it is absolutely not fitting the reality.
12/4/2015 5
Difficulties & Limitations (1/3)
• Differences in production depths* by ship yards, e.g.
purchasing raw materials or even entire steel blocks.
• Different degree of rationalisation and range of
shipbuilding equipment (e.g. cranes, machine tools)
and productivity.
• Despite ships of same size and type, still various
differences within ship types on hull-form,
maximum speed and means of propulsion, equipment
and quality level.
12/4/2015 6
Difficulties & Limitations (2/3)
* i.e. Amount of parts and blocks produced in a shipyard, relative to the amount which is subcontracted to outside suppliers.
12/4/2015 7
Difficulties & Limitations (3/3)
• Controlling for series effects (i.e. learning curves) when evaluating
ship yard capacity.
 Cgt reflects workload for first ship produced without adjustment for
efficiency improvements for subsequent vessels built.
Source: OECD (2007).
Number of man-hours (y) on number of ships built (x)
• Should we revise the current cgt system?
– Identification of ship types for which a revision is
needed?
– Revision only for some ship types (i.e. separate
category for mega-yachts, offshore vessels)?
• What to do ?
– Improving the formula?
• Role of the WP6 ?
– Cooperation with experts (e.g. shipbuilding
associations, shipyards, data providers, others)
– Providing suggestions for improvements of the cgt
system?
– Work load?
12/4/2015 8
Issues for discussion and possible
future work on the cgt system
Thank you.
12/4/2015 9
12/4/2015 10
References
1. OECD (2007). Compensated gross ton (cgt) system, Danny
Scorpecci.
2. Pruyn, JFJ; Hekkenberg, R.G. , 2010, CGT Dis-ambiguated, The
Yacht-Report (includes an interview of Mr. Chris van Hooren)
3. Pruyn JFJ; Hekkenberg R.G. ; van Hooren C. M. ;
Determination of the Compensated Gross Tonnage
factors for superyachts, International Shipbuilding Progress
01/2010; 57(2010):127-146
• Reference 3 includes a possible approach to revise the cgt system for
mega-yachts with:
– The fundamental assumptions to use,
– Details on data collection, and
– Validation process.

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Introduction to CGT Measurement

  • 1. ITEM 1.2.1: INTRODUCTION TO CGT MEASUREMENT WP6 workshop on supply and demand Paris, 09 November 2015 Contact: Structural Policy Division Mr. Laurent DANIEL, LaurentC.DANIEL@oecd.org Ms. Karin STRODEL, Karin.STRODEL@oecd.org
  • 2. Purpose of the compensated gross tonnes (cgt) system: “cgt is a unit of measurement intended to provide a common yardstick to reflect the relative output of merchant shipbuilding activity in large aggregates such as ‘World’, ‘Regions’ or ‘Groups of many yards’”. (OECD, 2007) • Reflecting workload. • Accounting for complexity (output, design, working methods, …). 11-12 June 2015 WP6 Meeting: • Some participants indicate that there is room for improvement of the current cgt system, in particular for mega-yachts and offshore vessels. 12/4/2015 2 Background
  • 3. Late 1960s/Early 1970s: Initial development of cgt: – First devised by shipbuilder associations (i.e. CESA and SAJ). – Subsequently adopted and promulgated by the WP6 for its widespread use within the industry. Revisions and updates in 1984 and 1994 – 1984: introduction of conversion coefficients (i.e. table of cgt coefficients) depending on ship type and dwt. – 1994: series of partial and intermediate revisions accounting for technologies and new ship types. Major overhaul in 2007 – Joint development of new cgt system by CESA, SAJ and KSA, coming into force on 1 January 2007. • cgt calculations based on a formula. • gt rather than dwt as basis. 12/4/2015 3 History of the cgt system
  • 4. 12/4/2015 4 Cgt system since January 2007 Source: OECD (2007).  Macroeconomic scope.  Expressed in man-hours.  Relation of man-hours to CGT using a factor derived by OLS regressions. 𝑐𝑔𝑡 = 𝑨 ∗ 𝑔𝑡 𝑩 A controls for the ship type. B denotes the influence of ship size. gt is the vessel’s gross tonnage.
  • 5. • Selected shipbuilding associations and yards: – Current practices to calculate cgt for offshore vessels and mega-yachts do not reflect the real workload and value of building these ships. • Offshore vessels are more and more sophisticated and each project is totally different to the others. – Some yards do not even use the cgt coefficients for big offshore projects because they consider that it is absolutely not fitting the reality. 12/4/2015 5 Difficulties & Limitations (1/3)
  • 6. • Differences in production depths* by ship yards, e.g. purchasing raw materials or even entire steel blocks. • Different degree of rationalisation and range of shipbuilding equipment (e.g. cranes, machine tools) and productivity. • Despite ships of same size and type, still various differences within ship types on hull-form, maximum speed and means of propulsion, equipment and quality level. 12/4/2015 6 Difficulties & Limitations (2/3) * i.e. Amount of parts and blocks produced in a shipyard, relative to the amount which is subcontracted to outside suppliers.
  • 7. 12/4/2015 7 Difficulties & Limitations (3/3) • Controlling for series effects (i.e. learning curves) when evaluating ship yard capacity.  Cgt reflects workload for first ship produced without adjustment for efficiency improvements for subsequent vessels built. Source: OECD (2007). Number of man-hours (y) on number of ships built (x)
  • 8. • Should we revise the current cgt system? – Identification of ship types for which a revision is needed? – Revision only for some ship types (i.e. separate category for mega-yachts, offshore vessels)? • What to do ? – Improving the formula? • Role of the WP6 ? – Cooperation with experts (e.g. shipbuilding associations, shipyards, data providers, others) – Providing suggestions for improvements of the cgt system? – Work load? 12/4/2015 8 Issues for discussion and possible future work on the cgt system
  • 10. 12/4/2015 10 References 1. OECD (2007). Compensated gross ton (cgt) system, Danny Scorpecci. 2. Pruyn, JFJ; Hekkenberg, R.G. , 2010, CGT Dis-ambiguated, The Yacht-Report (includes an interview of Mr. Chris van Hooren) 3. Pruyn JFJ; Hekkenberg R.G. ; van Hooren C. M. ; Determination of the Compensated Gross Tonnage factors for superyachts, International Shipbuilding Progress 01/2010; 57(2010):127-146 • Reference 3 includes a possible approach to revise the cgt system for mega-yachts with: – The fundamental assumptions to use, – Details on data collection, and – Validation process.

Editor's Notes

  1. (about 5-10 minutes)
  2. mega yachts (still included in passenger ships) and offshore vessels. As shipbuilding designs and working methods of shipyards changed over the last years it would be more accurate to start discussing amendments and improvements of the current CGT system, and thereby including in the discussion also specialty vessels. Therefore, the current system may lead to misleading results.
  3. For some market participants, the current cgt system does not reflect shipbuilding designs and working methods used to build some specialized vessels, including offshore vessels and mega yachts, and could lead to misleading results. CESA: Community of European Shipyards Associations SAJ: Shipbuilders’ Association of Japan KSA: Korean Shipbuilders’ Association
  4. Industry experts (Clarkson, IHS) simply apply the coefficients to the shiptype and tonnages.  Reflect importance of cgt-system vessels in the economy. The advantage of these cgt coefficients lies in the fact that they include already the number of man-hours, the use of materials and the amount of yard-hardware used in their production. These resources used to build one gross ton differ widely with the size and ship type and on a macro-level it is not possible to derive such precise figures. As the cgt coefficients are derived on a statistical basis (i.e. OLS regressions) on a micro-level (production technics of several yards) it is possible to use the resulting cgt coefficients by multiplying them with gt figures which are also available on a global level. Problem: mega yachts in passenger ships, offshore in NCCV?Need to properly show workload and value creation of regions and vessels. Check: to link our man-hour equivalents to CGT by a single factor through OLS-regression (man-hours = c × CGT).
  5. Offshore support/crew vessels are under the category ONCCV (Other non-cargo carrying vessels) and other bigger offshore ships such as drill ships are sometimes calculated under the coefficient of big tankers.. None of these approaches are valid and they don’t reflect the real workload and value of building these ships. Offshore vessels are more and more sophisticated and each project is totally different to the others and depending on the equipment on board etc can vary a lot (more for large FPSOs, FSOs, jack ups.. ) so it is very difficult to find a way of calculating which is valid for all vessels and projects. However, the current system doesn’t reflect the reality and we consider it would be worthy to make an attempt to study other possible calculations/coefficient. Probably we should have different coefficients for different offshore vessels: Construction and subsea / Production and exploration / support and crew vessels or something similar- Of course this exercise would take long time
  6. Traditional style of construction is where yards build ships by buying in only raw materials, and handcrafting even the nails for wooden constructions within the yard, whereas modern yards may base their production to a large extent on assembling large sections of steel blocks produced by external suppliers. In some cases even whole hulls may be outsourced. As a consequence, the man-hours used within each yard will differ widely in these cases. Similarly the degree of rationalisation and the range of shipbuilding equipment, such as cranes and machine tools, will vary considerably and these will also influence the man-hours necessary for the building of a specific ship. For ships of the same size and type, differences in hull-form, maximum speed and the means of propulsion, the equipment and quality level, will all result in differences of workload for the building of a single gross ton. Keeping in mind that the purpose of the cgt factors is to allow the drawing of certain conclusions at the macro-economic level, the associations decided to restrict the number of ship types and conversion factors to a manageable number, and to accept that although this will produce results which are sufficiently accurate for the purpose for which they are intended, they will not be perfect.
  7. Problem: yachts are commonly classed as either passenger ships or non cargo- carrying vessels, the latter being the lowest end of the scale and also used for offshore vessels, tugs, workboats, dredgers and so on. Classing a yacht as a passenger vessel or non-cargo carrying vessel does not reflect the complexity and amount of work that goes in building such a ship. It is important to prove the economic importance