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International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (IJTSRD)
Volume: 3 | Issue: 3 | Mar-Apr 2019 Available Online: www.ijtsrd.com e-ISSN: 2456 - 6470
@ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD23231 | Volume – 3 | Issue – 3 | Mar-Apr 2019 Page: 991
Estimation of Fetal Size and Weight using Various Formulas
Dr. Pushpamala Ramaiah1, Dr. Lamiaa Ahmed Elsayed2, Dr. Grace Lindsey1, Dr. Ayman Johargy3
1Professor at Faculty of Nursing, Umm-Al-Qura University, KSA
2Professor of pediatric Nursing, Ain Shams University and
2Professor Faculty of Nursing Umm-Al Qura University, Makkah
3Associate professor of Medical Microbiology, Faculty of Medicine, Umm Al-Qura University
How to cite this paper: Dr. Pushpamala
Ramaiah | Dr. Lamiaa Ahmed Elsayed |
Dr. Grace Lindsey | Dr. Ayman Johargy
"Estimation of Fetal Size and Weight
using Various Formulas" Published in
International Journal of Trend in
Scientific Research and Development
(ijtsrd), ISSN: 2456-
6470, Volume-3 |
Issue-3 , April 2019,
pp.991-994, URL:
https://www.ijtsrd.c
om/papers/ijtsrd23
231.pdf
Copyright © 2019 by author(s) and
International Journal of Trend in
Scientific Research and Development
Journal. This is an Open Access article
distributed under the terms of the
Creative Commons
Attribution License
(CC BY 4.0)
(http://creativecommons.org/licenses/
by/4.0)
ABSTRACT
Birth weight is an important factor in delivery management. Antenatal
ultrasound has turned out to be one of the clinicians' most vital devices for
surveying fetal age, growth and prosperity. Contrasted Physical examination of
the pregnant uterus is the most precise strategy for evaluating fetal size and
growth along with the utilization of ultrasound imaging and estimating of the
different fetal parameters. Objective: To evaluates the antenatal assessments of
fetal weight in pregnancies by using Johnson’s formula, Hadlock’s formula and
Ultrasonography. Comparison of these different methods with the actual birth
weight of these babies after delivered. Material and methods: Two hundred
singleton term pregnancies within 48 hours were randomly selected to
participate in this prospective cohort study. Variables included such as
abdominal circumference, Biparietaldiameter, andFemur length. (Parametersto
obtain estimated fetal weight) Results: The mean birth weight of Hadlock
formula is closest to the mean of actual birth weight. In the study population,
more primigravida delivered babies with very low birth weight and more
multigravida delivered babies of birth weight > 3500 gms. Johnson’s and
ultrasound-Hadlock’s formula had a marked tendency to overestimate the fetal
weight. Error was within 350 Gms in 84.7%, 70.8% and 84% of cases by Dare’s,
Johnson’s and ultrasound-Hadlock’s formula.
KEYWORDS: Parameters, Ultrasonography, John’s formula, Had lock’s formula
Introduction:
Making posterity is one of women most regarded
accomplishments and delights. Over a large portion of a
million women around the globe pass on amid pregnancy
and childbirth (WHO, 2004). "Information of fetal size has
two fundamental applications in obstetric practice. The first
is to look at the size of an embryo of obscure gestational age
with ordinary figures and so acquire a gauge of the
development of the hatchling. The second application is to
look at the size of an embryo of known gestational age with
referred to ordinary either as a solitary perusing to tell
whether the hatchling being referred to is bigger or littler
than typical or, better, as a progression of readings.
Ultrasonography imaging has emerged as the primary
imaging modality for assessing the obstetric patient. Over
the years, various radiologic imaging modalities have been
used in pregnant women, but none can match the benefitsof
Ultrasonography; a relatively low-cost, real time imaging
modality that doesn’t involve ionizing radiation. (Carol .B.
Benson& Peter .M. Doubilet, 2014).
There are two reliable EFW formulas, both giving low
deviations from actual birth weight and withlowerrorof 7.7
and 7.9% across the weight ranges. (Had lock groupformula
B with parameters and the Had lock formula C with
parameters) For all formula the highest random error
occurred in the macrosomic group. The lowestrandom error
in all weight groups was the Had lock B formula
incorporating the HC/AC/FL (7.7%). (Susan Campbell
Westerway, 2012).A study by Esinler et al 2015, enrolled
participants 495, calculated the fetal weight using 18
different formulas. The mean percentage error, the mean
absolute percentage error and reliability analysis wereused
to compare the performance of the formula. This study
concluded that Had lock I, Had lock’s III and Ott may be used
to predict the estimated fetal weight accurately in all fetuses
in their study. Formula Ott, Hadlock’sIV and Coombsmaybe
preferred to predict the fetal weight in fetuses <2,500 g, and
>4,000 g. Better formulas should be developed topredictthe
fetal weight in fetuses >4,000 g. To describe the assessment
of fetal weight usingdifferentformulawith parameters(with
the sample error), this study was undertaken.
Materials and Methods: This study was a prospective
cohort study approved by ethics committee of the Maternity
Hospital Southern region of Tamilnadu. Two hundred
pregnant women admitted at full term for planned delivery
either by elective caesarean section or by induction of labor.
Mothers with live singleton fetus who had their gestational
age confirmed by dates and ultrasound done before 22
weeks. All measurements will be taken within one week of
IJTSRD23231
International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (IJTSRD) @ www.ijtsrd.com eISSN: 2456-6470
@ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID - IJTSRD23231 | Volume – 3 | Issue – 3 | Mar-Apr 2019 Page: 992
delivery. If undelivered beyond this time interval the
measurements will be repeated within 48 hours. Therefore
Multiple gestations, Patient with polyhydraminos or
oligohydramnios., Abnormal lie, Preterm labor, Fetal
malformations, Antepartum hemorrhage, Eclampsia, Obese
patients (>90kg), Uterine / ovarian mass complicating
pregnancy were excluded.
Data Collection: Real time ultrasound scan, equipment
Philip HD 7 was used to measure abdominal circumference
(AC), Biparietal diameter (BPD), Head Circumference (HC),
and femur length (FL). Consent: Prior to allocation,
participants were counseled regarding the study, and
explained that ultrasound which is a routine for obstetrics
cases is a non-invasive and safe procedure. Consent was
obtained in a designated form.
Research questions: was with regard to a. What would be
the accuracy of antenatal assessment of fetal weight in
pregnancies by using Johnson’s formula, Had lock formula
and Ultrasonography? B. Comparison of these different
methods with the actual birth weight of these babies after
delivery.
Statistical Analysis: After completion of the study,
continuous data were analyzed and presented as mean ±
standard deviation, andcategorical variableswerepresented
as count and percentage. The clinical and Sonographic EFW
were compared with the actual weight and accuracy of birth
weight was determined by calculating: Mean of simpleerror
(EFW-BW), Mean of absolute error (absolute value of [EFW-
BW]), Mean of absolute percentage error (%) (Absolute
value of [EFW-BW] x 100/BW), Radio (%) of estimates
within 10% of actual birth weight (true when absolute
percentage error was not more than 10%). Inferential
Statistical analysis was performed using Chi Square test and
Wilcoxon signed-rank test, P value <0.05 was considered as
significant.
Results: Two hundred mothers were included in this study,
Mean (SD) for maternal age was 24.48 (SD±2.8) years, and
for gestational age of participantswas38.9 (SD±1.25) weeks.
Descriptive statistics regarding variable birth weight is as
below.
Actual birth weight Primigravida Multigravida
<2000gms 62.9% 37.1%
X2 = 11.205 df=4 p=0.024
2001 – 2500 gms 46.7% 53.3%
2501 – 3000 gms 44.8% 55.2%
3001 – 3500 gms 39.3% 60.7%
>3500 gms 40.0% 60.0%
EFW (kg) Had lock formula (N) % Johnson’s formula (N) % Birth weight (N) %
1.5-2 - - - 3 1.5
2-2.5 7 3.5 4 2 23 11.5
2.5-3 55 27.5 63 31.5 88 44
3-3.5 91 45.5 81 40.5 64 32
3.5-4 46 23 42 21 17 8.5
>4 1 0.5 10 5 5 2.5
The above table shows that majority of the birth weight were distributed between 2.5-3.5kg. P value for both Hadlock formula
and Johnson’s formula were 0.5 i.e. >0.05 which is not significantly correlated.
Comparison of Mean weight of two formulae:
Formula Mean birth weight in gms S.D in gms
Had lock 3213.85 371.472
Johnson’s 3227.548 401.17
Birth weight 3025.4 445.172
The mean birth weight of Had lock formula is closest to the mean of actual birth weight. The data is detailed in the table given
below.
Actual birth weight in (gms) Had lock formula Johnson’s formula
1500-2000gms 231.6 268.5
2001-2500 294.9 293.7
2501-3000 316.0 314.1
3001-3500 330.6 331.7
3501-4000 357.0 363.8
>4000 339.0 396.8
Percentage of Cases with Error in Grams which shows that there is no significant difference by finding out the frequency of
closeness by specific method with respect actual birth weight.
International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (IJTSRD) @ www.ijtsrd.com eISSN: 2456-6470
@ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID - IJTSRD23231 | Volume – 3 | Issue – 3 | Mar-Apr 2019 Page: 993
Error(gms)
Percentage of cases.
Dare’s Johnson’s USG –Had lock’s
Up to 150 gms 45.2 % 33.3 % 27.7 %
Up to 250 gms 68.2 % 57.1 % 59.4 %
Up to 350 gms 84.7 % 70.8 % 84 %
Up to 450 gms 96.1 % 87.5 % 96.6 %
Up to 550 gms 98.5 % 94.9 % 99.4 %
As there is no significant difference between the mean weights of two formulae, percentile error was calculated as shown
below: Calculated using the formula Percentile error=mean error/actual birth weight×100.
Percentile
Error %
Had lock’s Formula % Johnson’s Formula %
5 65 32.5 60 30
10 46 23 50 25
15 18 9 29 14.5
20 25 12.5 20 10
25 20 10 10 5
30 11 5.5 11 5.5
>35 15 7.5 20 10
Methods
Mean simple
error ± SD
Mean absolute
error ± SD
Mean absolute percentage
error Mean ± SE
Dare’s formula 84.8 ± 218 18 ± 14 9.0 ± 0.18
Johnson’s formula 157.4 ± 258 24 ± 17 10.2 ± 0.27
USG – Had lock’s 148.5 ± 216 23 ± 12 7.4 ± 0.20
Absolute simple error = estimate - actual birth weight.
Standardized absolute error = (value of absolute simple error/actual birth weight) x 100.
SD = standard deviation. The above mentioned table denotes the accuracy of birth weight of the babies by three methods of
antenatal fetal weight estimations, calculated by comparing their Mean simple error, mean absolute error and mean absolute
percentage error. Paired t test were used to assess their accuracy in terms of correlation coefficient with the actual birth
weight.
Methods Mean simple error Correlation coefficient
Dare’s formula 84.8 ± 218 0.878
Johnson’s formula 157.4 ± 258 0.829
USG – Had lock’s 148.5 ± 216 0.893
Discussion:
The mean simple error is least in Dare method than USG but
when correlation coefficient was calculated in different
methods, it was evident that USG seems to be correlating
well with actual birth weight than Dare’s and Johnson’s
methods which seems to be least correlated and this
correlation was statistically significant. After applying
wilcoxon rank sum test to the mean absolute percentage
error of Dare’s formula and ultrasound methods, the
difference among the mean absolute percentage errors of
these two methods were statistically significant. Hence
antenatal assessment of the birth weight of the babies is
more accurate with USG method followed by clinical
estimation of the birth weight by Dare’s formula. When
compared with normal birth weight babies estimatedwithin
the 10% of actual birth weight by different methods with
large for gestational age babies from the above table it is
evident that it is statistically not significant.
Fetal weight estimation using a measuring tape applied to
two different clinical formulas was asaccurateas ultrasound
estimates for predicting the infant’s actual birth weight
within 10%.Although the results of our study revealed that
the accuracy within 10% of actual birth weight in Dare’s
clinical estimated fetal weight was slightly higher than
sonographic estimated fetal weight followed by Johnson’s
formula of estimating fetal weight (67.3%, 62.7%and 59.9%
respectively) but the difference of the accuracy was
insignificant and this is similar with the previous studies by,
Maria RT et al who correctly estimated the actual birth
weight within 10% in 61%, 57% and 65% of the cases using
two clinical formulas(Johnson’s formula and Dare’sformula)
and ultrasound estimate, respectively. In our study, mean
absolute percentage error is 9.0± 0.18, 10.2 ±0.27 and
7.4±0.20 for Dare’s formula, Johnson’s formula and
ultrasound – Had lock’s formula respectively which clearly
shows ultrasound estimation is more accurate in the fetal
weight estimation.
The correlation coefficient for the various methods in
present study when compared with actualbirth weight were
0.878, 0.829 and 0.893 for Dare’sformula,Johnson’sformula
and ultrasound-Had lock’s formula respectively. A study by
Moigan Kalantari et al 2013 correlated with our study in
exploring a new formula for estimating fetal weight, which
also showed that adding STT to other variables(BPD and FL)
in predictive models of fetal weight would provide the best
estimation (r2=0.77) and the predictive strength of each
International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (IJTSRD) @ www.ijtsrd.com eISSN: 2456-6470
@ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID - IJTSRD23231 | Volume – 3 | Issue – 3 | Mar-Apr 2019 Page: 994
formula using STT or AC along withBPDandFL wouldbethe
same (r2=0.7)
The result shows that the mean birth weight of Had lock is
closest to the mean of actualbirthweightincomparisonwith
the Johnson’s formula. But there is no significant difference
between mean of Had lock and Johnson formulae. The mean
of Had lock is 3213.85 ±371.472grams and the mean weight
of Johnson is 3227.548 ±401.1 gms. The result shows the p
value obtained for the mean birth weightof Had lockformula
and Johnson’s formula which is <0.01.This indicates that
both formulae are highly significant in obtaining the mean
birth weight but not when taken individually. The mean
error of the Had lock formula is least because Had lock
formula uses four parameters and Johnson’s formula uses
only one parameter (SFH) for estimating fetal weight. The
mean error of Johnson formula is 202.148gms and the mean
error of the Had lock formula is 188gms Percentile error of
<20% is 77% in Had lock formula compared to 79% in
Johnson’s formula. Percentile error of Johnson’s formula.
The fetal weights are overestimated between1.5-2.5kgbirth
weights. Overestimation is more in Johnson’s formula
because that is influenced by thematernalobesity andliquor
volume. Between 2.5 – 3.5 Kg estimation is en par with
actual birth weight.
Conclusion:
This study was undertaken at the Institute of obstetrics and
gynecology, hospital in southern region of Tamilnadu to
compare the various methods of fetal weight estimation at
term pregnancy among200 patients with singleton
pregnancy. The cases were randomly selected and detailed
obstetrical history was taken. The gestational age of all the
patients was known and all the cases delivered within one
week of measurement. Fetal weight was estimated by using
different formula and was compared to the actual weight of
the baby taken immediately after birth and a comparative
analysis was done. Of the 200 cases, 45.4% were
primigravida and 54.6% were multigravida. Most of the
women were in the average reproductiveagegroupof 20-30
years. Most of the patients had normal vaginal delivery
(53.9%) and 39.7% delivered by lower segment caesarean
section. The sex distribution of the babies in the study
population showed that more male babies were born.
Majority of the babies at birth weighed between 2501-3000
gms. In the study population, more primigravida delivered
babies with very low birth weight and more multigravida
delivered babies of birth weight > 3500 gms.
Johnson’s and ultrasound-Had lock’s formula had a marked
tendency to overestimate the fetal weight. Error was within
350 gms in 84.7%, 70.8% and 84% of cases by Dare’s,
Johnson’s and ultrasound-Had lock’s formula. The mean
simple error and the mean absolute error wasleastbyDare’s
formula followed by ultrasound-Had lock’s and Johnson’s
formula. The mean absolute percentage error was least by
ultrasound – Had lock’s formula followed by Dare’s formula
and Johnson’s formula. The coefficientcorrelation calculated
for different methods showed that ultrasound seems to be
correlating well with actual birth weight than Dare’s and
Johnson’s formula. The estimates within 10% of actual birth
weight were 67.3%, 62.7% and59.9%with Dare’s, Johnson’s
and ultrasound-Had lock’s formula which was not
statistically significant. Antenatalassessmentof birth weight
by ultrasound seems to be better for estimating low-birth
weight babies and for large for gestational age babies.
The clinician’s estimate using the palpation method is by far
the most accurate in any age of gestation, followed by
Johnson’s Method, and the Modified Johnson’s Method with
the least accurate estimate. At 34-37 weeks age of gestation,
the palpation method had the closest estimate. At 37 weeks
age of gestation and above, the Dare’s Method is more
superior. Experience affects clinical estimate when using
abdominal palpation,the valuesobtained byseniorresidents
were noted to be closer to actual compared to second and
third year residents. The Johnson’s Method, Dare’s Method
and the Modified Johnson’s Methodhoweverarenotaffected
by experience. Although it can be observed that estimates
are closer in patients with lower BMI, this was not
statistically significant.
Clinical estimation of birth weight may be as accurate as
routine ultrasonography estimation, except in low-birth-
weight babies. From our study, it can be concluded that
antenatal fetal weight can be estimated with considerable
accuracy by abdominal girth, symphysio-fundal height and
ultrasound Had lock’s formula. Abdominalgirth, symphysio-
fundal height is simple, inexpensive and of immense value in
developing country like ours, hence it can be used anywhere
even by domiciliary midwives to predict fetal weight.
Accuracy of Johnson’s formula waslessthanabdominalgirth
x symphysio-fundal height and ultrasound – Had lock’s
formula.
References:
[1] Esinler D. Bircon O., Sahin E.G., Kandemir O., Yalvac S.,
2015, finding the best formula to predict the fetal
weight: Comparison of 18 formulas, Vol 18, No 2.
[2] Susan Campbell Westerway, 2012, Estimating fetal
weight for best clinical outcome, Australian Journal of
Ultrasound in Medicine. 15(1), 13 to 17.
[3] Carol .B. Benson& Peter .M. Doubilet, 2014, the history
of imaging in obstetrics, Radiology, RSNA Journals, Vol
273.
[4] O’Conner C, Farah N, O’Higgins A, Segurado R,
Fitzpatrick C, Turner MJ, et, al. 2013, Longitudinal
measurement of fetal thigh soft tissue parameters and
its role in the prediction of birth weight. Prenatal
Diagnosis. 28:1-7.
[5] Lee W, Deter R, Sangi-Haghpeykar H, Yeo L, Romero R.
2013, Prospective validation of fetal weight estimation
using fractional limb volume. Ultrasound
obstetGynecol.;41:198-203
[6] IssabelleMonnier, Annie Ego, Alexandra Benachi,
Pierre-Yves Ancel, JenniferZeitlin, 2018,comparison of
the Had lock and INTERGROWTH formulas for
calculating estimated fetal weight in a preterm
population in France, American journal of Obstetrics
and Gynecology, Volume 219, Issue 5.
[7] Kumari A, Goswami S, MukherjeeP. 2013,Comparative
study of various methods of fetal weight estimation in
term pregnancy, Journal of south Asian federal
obstetrics and gynecology. 5(1), 22-25.
[8] Moigan Kalantari, Arizou Negahdari, Shima
Roknsharifi, Mostafa Oorbani, 2013, A new formulafor
estimating fetal weight, Iranian Journal of
Reproductive medicine, 11(11), 933-938.

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Estimation of Fetal Size and Weight using Various Formulas

  • 1. International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (IJTSRD) Volume: 3 | Issue: 3 | Mar-Apr 2019 Available Online: www.ijtsrd.com e-ISSN: 2456 - 6470 @ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD23231 | Volume – 3 | Issue – 3 | Mar-Apr 2019 Page: 991 Estimation of Fetal Size and Weight using Various Formulas Dr. Pushpamala Ramaiah1, Dr. Lamiaa Ahmed Elsayed2, Dr. Grace Lindsey1, Dr. Ayman Johargy3 1Professor at Faculty of Nursing, Umm-Al-Qura University, KSA 2Professor of pediatric Nursing, Ain Shams University and 2Professor Faculty of Nursing Umm-Al Qura University, Makkah 3Associate professor of Medical Microbiology, Faculty of Medicine, Umm Al-Qura University How to cite this paper: Dr. Pushpamala Ramaiah | Dr. Lamiaa Ahmed Elsayed | Dr. Grace Lindsey | Dr. Ayman Johargy "Estimation of Fetal Size and Weight using Various Formulas" Published in International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (ijtsrd), ISSN: 2456- 6470, Volume-3 | Issue-3 , April 2019, pp.991-994, URL: https://www.ijtsrd.c om/papers/ijtsrd23 231.pdf Copyright © 2019 by author(s) and International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development Journal. This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY 4.0) (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/ by/4.0) ABSTRACT Birth weight is an important factor in delivery management. Antenatal ultrasound has turned out to be one of the clinicians' most vital devices for surveying fetal age, growth and prosperity. Contrasted Physical examination of the pregnant uterus is the most precise strategy for evaluating fetal size and growth along with the utilization of ultrasound imaging and estimating of the different fetal parameters. Objective: To evaluates the antenatal assessments of fetal weight in pregnancies by using Johnson’s formula, Hadlock’s formula and Ultrasonography. Comparison of these different methods with the actual birth weight of these babies after delivered. Material and methods: Two hundred singleton term pregnancies within 48 hours were randomly selected to participate in this prospective cohort study. Variables included such as abdominal circumference, Biparietaldiameter, andFemur length. (Parametersto obtain estimated fetal weight) Results: The mean birth weight of Hadlock formula is closest to the mean of actual birth weight. In the study population, more primigravida delivered babies with very low birth weight and more multigravida delivered babies of birth weight > 3500 gms. Johnson’s and ultrasound-Hadlock’s formula had a marked tendency to overestimate the fetal weight. Error was within 350 Gms in 84.7%, 70.8% and 84% of cases by Dare’s, Johnson’s and ultrasound-Hadlock’s formula. KEYWORDS: Parameters, Ultrasonography, John’s formula, Had lock’s formula Introduction: Making posterity is one of women most regarded accomplishments and delights. Over a large portion of a million women around the globe pass on amid pregnancy and childbirth (WHO, 2004). "Information of fetal size has two fundamental applications in obstetric practice. The first is to look at the size of an embryo of obscure gestational age with ordinary figures and so acquire a gauge of the development of the hatchling. The second application is to look at the size of an embryo of known gestational age with referred to ordinary either as a solitary perusing to tell whether the hatchling being referred to is bigger or littler than typical or, better, as a progression of readings. Ultrasonography imaging has emerged as the primary imaging modality for assessing the obstetric patient. Over the years, various radiologic imaging modalities have been used in pregnant women, but none can match the benefitsof Ultrasonography; a relatively low-cost, real time imaging modality that doesn’t involve ionizing radiation. (Carol .B. Benson& Peter .M. Doubilet, 2014). There are two reliable EFW formulas, both giving low deviations from actual birth weight and withlowerrorof 7.7 and 7.9% across the weight ranges. (Had lock groupformula B with parameters and the Had lock formula C with parameters) For all formula the highest random error occurred in the macrosomic group. The lowestrandom error in all weight groups was the Had lock B formula incorporating the HC/AC/FL (7.7%). (Susan Campbell Westerway, 2012).A study by Esinler et al 2015, enrolled participants 495, calculated the fetal weight using 18 different formulas. The mean percentage error, the mean absolute percentage error and reliability analysis wereused to compare the performance of the formula. This study concluded that Had lock I, Had lock’s III and Ott may be used to predict the estimated fetal weight accurately in all fetuses in their study. Formula Ott, Hadlock’sIV and Coombsmaybe preferred to predict the fetal weight in fetuses <2,500 g, and >4,000 g. Better formulas should be developed topredictthe fetal weight in fetuses >4,000 g. To describe the assessment of fetal weight usingdifferentformulawith parameters(with the sample error), this study was undertaken. Materials and Methods: This study was a prospective cohort study approved by ethics committee of the Maternity Hospital Southern region of Tamilnadu. Two hundred pregnant women admitted at full term for planned delivery either by elective caesarean section or by induction of labor. Mothers with live singleton fetus who had their gestational age confirmed by dates and ultrasound done before 22 weeks. All measurements will be taken within one week of IJTSRD23231
  • 2. International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (IJTSRD) @ www.ijtsrd.com eISSN: 2456-6470 @ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID - IJTSRD23231 | Volume – 3 | Issue – 3 | Mar-Apr 2019 Page: 992 delivery. If undelivered beyond this time interval the measurements will be repeated within 48 hours. Therefore Multiple gestations, Patient with polyhydraminos or oligohydramnios., Abnormal lie, Preterm labor, Fetal malformations, Antepartum hemorrhage, Eclampsia, Obese patients (>90kg), Uterine / ovarian mass complicating pregnancy were excluded. Data Collection: Real time ultrasound scan, equipment Philip HD 7 was used to measure abdominal circumference (AC), Biparietal diameter (BPD), Head Circumference (HC), and femur length (FL). Consent: Prior to allocation, participants were counseled regarding the study, and explained that ultrasound which is a routine for obstetrics cases is a non-invasive and safe procedure. Consent was obtained in a designated form. Research questions: was with regard to a. What would be the accuracy of antenatal assessment of fetal weight in pregnancies by using Johnson’s formula, Had lock formula and Ultrasonography? B. Comparison of these different methods with the actual birth weight of these babies after delivery. Statistical Analysis: After completion of the study, continuous data were analyzed and presented as mean ± standard deviation, andcategorical variableswerepresented as count and percentage. The clinical and Sonographic EFW were compared with the actual weight and accuracy of birth weight was determined by calculating: Mean of simpleerror (EFW-BW), Mean of absolute error (absolute value of [EFW- BW]), Mean of absolute percentage error (%) (Absolute value of [EFW-BW] x 100/BW), Radio (%) of estimates within 10% of actual birth weight (true when absolute percentage error was not more than 10%). Inferential Statistical analysis was performed using Chi Square test and Wilcoxon signed-rank test, P value <0.05 was considered as significant. Results: Two hundred mothers were included in this study, Mean (SD) for maternal age was 24.48 (SD±2.8) years, and for gestational age of participantswas38.9 (SD±1.25) weeks. Descriptive statistics regarding variable birth weight is as below. Actual birth weight Primigravida Multigravida <2000gms 62.9% 37.1% X2 = 11.205 df=4 p=0.024 2001 – 2500 gms 46.7% 53.3% 2501 – 3000 gms 44.8% 55.2% 3001 – 3500 gms 39.3% 60.7% >3500 gms 40.0% 60.0% EFW (kg) Had lock formula (N) % Johnson’s formula (N) % Birth weight (N) % 1.5-2 - - - 3 1.5 2-2.5 7 3.5 4 2 23 11.5 2.5-3 55 27.5 63 31.5 88 44 3-3.5 91 45.5 81 40.5 64 32 3.5-4 46 23 42 21 17 8.5 >4 1 0.5 10 5 5 2.5 The above table shows that majority of the birth weight were distributed between 2.5-3.5kg. P value for both Hadlock formula and Johnson’s formula were 0.5 i.e. >0.05 which is not significantly correlated. Comparison of Mean weight of two formulae: Formula Mean birth weight in gms S.D in gms Had lock 3213.85 371.472 Johnson’s 3227.548 401.17 Birth weight 3025.4 445.172 The mean birth weight of Had lock formula is closest to the mean of actual birth weight. The data is detailed in the table given below. Actual birth weight in (gms) Had lock formula Johnson’s formula 1500-2000gms 231.6 268.5 2001-2500 294.9 293.7 2501-3000 316.0 314.1 3001-3500 330.6 331.7 3501-4000 357.0 363.8 >4000 339.0 396.8 Percentage of Cases with Error in Grams which shows that there is no significant difference by finding out the frequency of closeness by specific method with respect actual birth weight.
  • 3. International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (IJTSRD) @ www.ijtsrd.com eISSN: 2456-6470 @ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID - IJTSRD23231 | Volume – 3 | Issue – 3 | Mar-Apr 2019 Page: 993 Error(gms) Percentage of cases. Dare’s Johnson’s USG –Had lock’s Up to 150 gms 45.2 % 33.3 % 27.7 % Up to 250 gms 68.2 % 57.1 % 59.4 % Up to 350 gms 84.7 % 70.8 % 84 % Up to 450 gms 96.1 % 87.5 % 96.6 % Up to 550 gms 98.5 % 94.9 % 99.4 % As there is no significant difference between the mean weights of two formulae, percentile error was calculated as shown below: Calculated using the formula Percentile error=mean error/actual birth weight×100. Percentile Error % Had lock’s Formula % Johnson’s Formula % 5 65 32.5 60 30 10 46 23 50 25 15 18 9 29 14.5 20 25 12.5 20 10 25 20 10 10 5 30 11 5.5 11 5.5 >35 15 7.5 20 10 Methods Mean simple error ± SD Mean absolute error ± SD Mean absolute percentage error Mean ± SE Dare’s formula 84.8 ± 218 18 ± 14 9.0 ± 0.18 Johnson’s formula 157.4 ± 258 24 ± 17 10.2 ± 0.27 USG – Had lock’s 148.5 ± 216 23 ± 12 7.4 ± 0.20 Absolute simple error = estimate - actual birth weight. Standardized absolute error = (value of absolute simple error/actual birth weight) x 100. SD = standard deviation. The above mentioned table denotes the accuracy of birth weight of the babies by three methods of antenatal fetal weight estimations, calculated by comparing their Mean simple error, mean absolute error and mean absolute percentage error. Paired t test were used to assess their accuracy in terms of correlation coefficient with the actual birth weight. Methods Mean simple error Correlation coefficient Dare’s formula 84.8 ± 218 0.878 Johnson’s formula 157.4 ± 258 0.829 USG – Had lock’s 148.5 ± 216 0.893 Discussion: The mean simple error is least in Dare method than USG but when correlation coefficient was calculated in different methods, it was evident that USG seems to be correlating well with actual birth weight than Dare’s and Johnson’s methods which seems to be least correlated and this correlation was statistically significant. After applying wilcoxon rank sum test to the mean absolute percentage error of Dare’s formula and ultrasound methods, the difference among the mean absolute percentage errors of these two methods were statistically significant. Hence antenatal assessment of the birth weight of the babies is more accurate with USG method followed by clinical estimation of the birth weight by Dare’s formula. When compared with normal birth weight babies estimatedwithin the 10% of actual birth weight by different methods with large for gestational age babies from the above table it is evident that it is statistically not significant. Fetal weight estimation using a measuring tape applied to two different clinical formulas was asaccurateas ultrasound estimates for predicting the infant’s actual birth weight within 10%.Although the results of our study revealed that the accuracy within 10% of actual birth weight in Dare’s clinical estimated fetal weight was slightly higher than sonographic estimated fetal weight followed by Johnson’s formula of estimating fetal weight (67.3%, 62.7%and 59.9% respectively) but the difference of the accuracy was insignificant and this is similar with the previous studies by, Maria RT et al who correctly estimated the actual birth weight within 10% in 61%, 57% and 65% of the cases using two clinical formulas(Johnson’s formula and Dare’sformula) and ultrasound estimate, respectively. In our study, mean absolute percentage error is 9.0± 0.18, 10.2 ±0.27 and 7.4±0.20 for Dare’s formula, Johnson’s formula and ultrasound – Had lock’s formula respectively which clearly shows ultrasound estimation is more accurate in the fetal weight estimation. The correlation coefficient for the various methods in present study when compared with actualbirth weight were 0.878, 0.829 and 0.893 for Dare’sformula,Johnson’sformula and ultrasound-Had lock’s formula respectively. A study by Moigan Kalantari et al 2013 correlated with our study in exploring a new formula for estimating fetal weight, which also showed that adding STT to other variables(BPD and FL) in predictive models of fetal weight would provide the best estimation (r2=0.77) and the predictive strength of each
  • 4. International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (IJTSRD) @ www.ijtsrd.com eISSN: 2456-6470 @ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID - IJTSRD23231 | Volume – 3 | Issue – 3 | Mar-Apr 2019 Page: 994 formula using STT or AC along withBPDandFL wouldbethe same (r2=0.7) The result shows that the mean birth weight of Had lock is closest to the mean of actualbirthweightincomparisonwith the Johnson’s formula. But there is no significant difference between mean of Had lock and Johnson formulae. The mean of Had lock is 3213.85 ±371.472grams and the mean weight of Johnson is 3227.548 ±401.1 gms. The result shows the p value obtained for the mean birth weightof Had lockformula and Johnson’s formula which is <0.01.This indicates that both formulae are highly significant in obtaining the mean birth weight but not when taken individually. The mean error of the Had lock formula is least because Had lock formula uses four parameters and Johnson’s formula uses only one parameter (SFH) for estimating fetal weight. The mean error of Johnson formula is 202.148gms and the mean error of the Had lock formula is 188gms Percentile error of <20% is 77% in Had lock formula compared to 79% in Johnson’s formula. Percentile error of Johnson’s formula. The fetal weights are overestimated between1.5-2.5kgbirth weights. Overestimation is more in Johnson’s formula because that is influenced by thematernalobesity andliquor volume. Between 2.5 – 3.5 Kg estimation is en par with actual birth weight. Conclusion: This study was undertaken at the Institute of obstetrics and gynecology, hospital in southern region of Tamilnadu to compare the various methods of fetal weight estimation at term pregnancy among200 patients with singleton pregnancy. The cases were randomly selected and detailed obstetrical history was taken. The gestational age of all the patients was known and all the cases delivered within one week of measurement. Fetal weight was estimated by using different formula and was compared to the actual weight of the baby taken immediately after birth and a comparative analysis was done. Of the 200 cases, 45.4% were primigravida and 54.6% were multigravida. Most of the women were in the average reproductiveagegroupof 20-30 years. Most of the patients had normal vaginal delivery (53.9%) and 39.7% delivered by lower segment caesarean section. The sex distribution of the babies in the study population showed that more male babies were born. Majority of the babies at birth weighed between 2501-3000 gms. In the study population, more primigravida delivered babies with very low birth weight and more multigravida delivered babies of birth weight > 3500 gms. Johnson’s and ultrasound-Had lock’s formula had a marked tendency to overestimate the fetal weight. Error was within 350 gms in 84.7%, 70.8% and 84% of cases by Dare’s, Johnson’s and ultrasound-Had lock’s formula. The mean simple error and the mean absolute error wasleastbyDare’s formula followed by ultrasound-Had lock’s and Johnson’s formula. The mean absolute percentage error was least by ultrasound – Had lock’s formula followed by Dare’s formula and Johnson’s formula. The coefficientcorrelation calculated for different methods showed that ultrasound seems to be correlating well with actual birth weight than Dare’s and Johnson’s formula. The estimates within 10% of actual birth weight were 67.3%, 62.7% and59.9%with Dare’s, Johnson’s and ultrasound-Had lock’s formula which was not statistically significant. Antenatalassessmentof birth weight by ultrasound seems to be better for estimating low-birth weight babies and for large for gestational age babies. The clinician’s estimate using the palpation method is by far the most accurate in any age of gestation, followed by Johnson’s Method, and the Modified Johnson’s Method with the least accurate estimate. At 34-37 weeks age of gestation, the palpation method had the closest estimate. At 37 weeks age of gestation and above, the Dare’s Method is more superior. Experience affects clinical estimate when using abdominal palpation,the valuesobtained byseniorresidents were noted to be closer to actual compared to second and third year residents. The Johnson’s Method, Dare’s Method and the Modified Johnson’s Methodhoweverarenotaffected by experience. Although it can be observed that estimates are closer in patients with lower BMI, this was not statistically significant. Clinical estimation of birth weight may be as accurate as routine ultrasonography estimation, except in low-birth- weight babies. From our study, it can be concluded that antenatal fetal weight can be estimated with considerable accuracy by abdominal girth, symphysio-fundal height and ultrasound Had lock’s formula. Abdominalgirth, symphysio- fundal height is simple, inexpensive and of immense value in developing country like ours, hence it can be used anywhere even by domiciliary midwives to predict fetal weight. Accuracy of Johnson’s formula waslessthanabdominalgirth x symphysio-fundal height and ultrasound – Had lock’s formula. References: [1] Esinler D. Bircon O., Sahin E.G., Kandemir O., Yalvac S., 2015, finding the best formula to predict the fetal weight: Comparison of 18 formulas, Vol 18, No 2. [2] Susan Campbell Westerway, 2012, Estimating fetal weight for best clinical outcome, Australian Journal of Ultrasound in Medicine. 15(1), 13 to 17. [3] Carol .B. Benson& Peter .M. Doubilet, 2014, the history of imaging in obstetrics, Radiology, RSNA Journals, Vol 273. [4] O’Conner C, Farah N, O’Higgins A, Segurado R, Fitzpatrick C, Turner MJ, et, al. 2013, Longitudinal measurement of fetal thigh soft tissue parameters and its role in the prediction of birth weight. Prenatal Diagnosis. 28:1-7. [5] Lee W, Deter R, Sangi-Haghpeykar H, Yeo L, Romero R. 2013, Prospective validation of fetal weight estimation using fractional limb volume. Ultrasound obstetGynecol.;41:198-203 [6] IssabelleMonnier, Annie Ego, Alexandra Benachi, Pierre-Yves Ancel, JenniferZeitlin, 2018,comparison of the Had lock and INTERGROWTH formulas for calculating estimated fetal weight in a preterm population in France, American journal of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Volume 219, Issue 5. [7] Kumari A, Goswami S, MukherjeeP. 2013,Comparative study of various methods of fetal weight estimation in term pregnancy, Journal of south Asian federal obstetrics and gynecology. 5(1), 22-25. [8] Moigan Kalantari, Arizou Negahdari, Shima Roknsharifi, Mostafa Oorbani, 2013, A new formulafor estimating fetal weight, Iranian Journal of Reproductive medicine, 11(11), 933-938.