SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 9
Operating AssumptionsMatch Valuation Model - Operating
AssumptionsModel Timing AssumptionsProjected Fiscal Years
Ending Dec
312016201720182019202020212022202320242025Projected
Fiscal Years Ending Dec
312016201720182019202020212022202320242025Segmented
RevenuesDirect RevenueNorth
America6747419021,0341,1921,3771,5781,8172,0912,403
Growth rate-
10.0%21.7%14.6%15.3%15.6%14.6%15.1%15.1%14.9% % of
Total
Revenue60.3%55.7%52.2%50.4%47.5%44.8%42.5%40.4%38.3
%36.4%International3935407759741,2721,6542,0942,6403,3144
,145 Growth rate-
37.2%43.5%25.7%30.6%30.0%26.6%26.1%25.6%25.1% % of
Total
Revenue35.2%40.6%44.8%47.5%50.7%53.8%56.3%58.6%60.8
%62.8%Total Direct
Revenue1,0671,2811,6772,0082,4643,0323,6724,4575,4056,549
Growth rate-
20.0%30.9%19.7%22.7%23.0%21.1%21.4%21.3%21.2%Averag
e SubscribersNorth
America3,2683,5694,1614,7915,4386,1727,0057,9519,02510,24
3 Growth rate Base-
9.2%16.6%15.1%13.5%13.5%13.5%13.5%13.5%13.5%
Base13.5%13.5%13.5%13.5%13.5%13.5%
Bear12.5%12.5%12.5%12.5%12.5%12.5%International2,1402,8
393,7125,0186,4238,22110,52313,15416,44220,553 Growth
rate Base-
32.7%30.8%35.2%28.0%28.0%28.0%25.0%25.0%25.0%
Base28.0%28.0%28.0%25.0%25.0%25.0%
Bear26.5%26.5%26.5%23.5%23.5%23.5%North America to
International152.7%125.7%112.1%95.5%84.7%75.1%66.6%60.
4%54.9%49.8%Total5,4086,4087,8739,80911,86114,39317,528
21,10525,46730,796 Growth rate-
18.5%22.9%24.6%20.9%21.4%21.8%20.4%20.7%20.9%ARPUN
orth America0.210.210.220.220.220.220.230.230.230.23
Growth rate-
0.7%4.4%(0.5%)1.5%1.8%1.0%1.4%1.4%1.3%International0.18
0.190.210.190.200.200.200.200.200.20 Growth rate-
3.4%9.7%(7.0%)2.1%1.6%-
1.1%0.8%0.4%0.1%Total0.200.200.210.200.210.210.210.210.21
0.21 Growth rate-
1.3%6.5%(3.9%)1.5%1.4%(0.5%)0.8%0.5%0.2%Indirect
RevenueIndirect Revenue51495343434344464748 Growth rate-
-2.6%6.6%-17.5%0.0%0.0%2.0%3.0%3.0%3.0% % of Total
Revenue4.5%3.7%3.0%2.1%1.7%1.4%1.2%1.0%0.9%0.7%Total
Indirect Revenue51495343434344464748 Growth rate-
(2.6%)6.6%(17.5%)-%-%2.0%3.0%3.0%3.0%Total GAAP
revenuesTotal revenues
1,1181,3311,7302,0512,5073,0753,7164,5025,4526,597Growth
rate-
19.0%30.0%18.6%22.2%22.6%20.9%21.1%21.1%21.0%COGS,
SG&A, Other ExpensesRevenues
1,1181,3311,7302,0512,5073,0753,7164,5025,4526,597Expense
s as % of revenue Cost of revenues
Base(17.5%)(21.0%)(23.7%)(25.7%)(23.5%)(24.3%)(24.5%)(24.
1%)(24.3%)(24.3%)Base(23.5%)(24.3%)(24.5%)(24.1%)(24.3%)
(24.3%)Bear(25.0%)(25.8%)(26.0%)(25.6%)(25.8%)(25.8%)
Selling General & Admin Exp.
Base(44.1%)(41.3%)(34.7%)(33.3%)(36.4%)(34.8%)(34.8%)(35.
4%)(35.0%)(35.1%)Base(36.4%)(34.8%)(34.8%)(35.4%)(35.0%)
(35.1%)Bear(38.4%)(36.8%)(36.8%)(37.4%)(37.0%)(37.1%)
Stock-Based Compensation(0.2%)(1.0%)(0.0%)-%-%-%-%-%-
%-% R & D
Exp.(7.0%)(7.6%)(7.6%)(7.4%)(7.5%)(7.5%)(7.5%)(7.5%)(7.5%
)(7.5%) Other operating expenses-%-%-%-%-%-%-%-%-%-
%EBITDA
Margin31.2%29.1%33.9%33.6%(90.7%)(88.3%)(88.9%)(89.3%)
(88.8%)(89.0%)Working CapitalAccounts receivable (% of
revenues)5.7%8.8%5.7%5.7%7.4%6.9%7.3%7.9%8.1%8.6%Une
arned Revenue (% of
revenues)14.4%14.9%12.1%10.7%12.6%11.8%11.7%12.0%11.8
%11.8%Accounts payable (% of cost of
revenues)(3.8%)(3.6%)(2.3%)(3.8%)(3.3%)(3.1%)(3.4%)(3.3%)(
3.3%)(3.3%)Accrued expenses (% of cost of
revenues)(26.3%)(21.2%)(19.3%)(33.9%)(24.8%)(26.0%)(28.2
%)(26.3%)(26.9%)(27.1%)working capital -77.5-146.7-198.6-
207.0-200.4-274.0-355.4-410.7-506.8-609.4PP&E, Depreciation
and Capex AssumptionsNet PP&E as % of
Revenues5.6%4.6%3.4%5.3%5.4%5.4%5.5%5.5%5.5%5.5%Dep
reciation as % of Net
PP&E(44.0%)(53.0%)(56.5%)(29.7%)(45.0%)(45.0%)(45.0%)(4
5.0%)(45.0%)(45.0%)Capex as % of
revenues(4.1%)(2.2%)(1.8%)(1.9%)(3.0%)(3.0%)(3.0%)(3.0%)(
3.0%)(3.0%)PP&E beginning balance
(net)109135167203247299Depreciation28333332496175911111
35Capex(46)(29)(31)(39)(75)(92)(111)(135)(164)(198)PP&E
ending balance (net)636258109135167203247299363DebtTotal
Debt ending
balance1,1761,2531,5161,6031,9322,3942,7453,2954,0154,819I
nterest
expense(82)(78)(73)(92)(111)(137)(157)(188)(230)(276)Interest
expense as % of total
debt(7.0%)(6.2%)(4.8%)(5.7%)(5.7%)(5.7%)(5.7%)(5.7%)(5.7%
)(5.7%)New
issuance4005252603906377137661,0031,2351,465New issuance
as % of Operating
expenses69.7%79.0%35.5%46.7%57.8%54.8%48.7%52.0%53.3
%52.2%Debt repayment1445- 0300308251415453515662Debt
repayment as % of total debt37.8%-
%19.8%19.2%13.0%17.3%16.5%15.6%16.5%Total debt
beginning
balance1,1761,2531,5161,6031,9322,3942,7453,2954,015Other
AssumptionsAmortization as of % Goodwill and
Intangibles(1.2%)(0.1%)(0.1%)(0.6%)-0.3%-0.3%-0.4%-0.3%-
0.3%-0.4%TaxesTax
Rate26.1%(41.2%)3.0%3.7%20.0%20.0%20.0%20.0%20.0%20.0
%
FinancialsMatch Valuation Model - FinancialsHistorical and
Projected Income StatementProjected Fiscal Years Ending Dec
31($ in millions of U.S. dollars except per share
amounts)2016201720182019202020212022202320242025Total
Direct
Revenue1,0671,2811,6772,0082,4643,0323,6724,4575,4056,549
Total Indirect Revenue51495343434344464748Total GAAP
accounting
revenues1,1181,3311,7302,0512,5073,0753,7164,5025,4526,597
Cost of
revenues(196)(279)(410)(527)(588)(747)(910)(1,084)(1,324)(1,
602)Gross
profit9221,0511,3201,5241,9192,3282,8063,4184,1284,995Marg
in82.5%79.0%76.3%74.3%76.5%75.7%75.5%75.9%75.7%75.7%
Selling General & Admin
Exp.(493)(550)(600)(682)(913)(1,070)(1,294)(1,592)(1,908)(2,3
13)Stock-Based Compensation(2)(13)(1)-------R & D
Exp.(78)(101)(132)(152)(189)(231)(278)(339)(410)(495)Other
operating expenses----------
EBITDA3493875876908161,0271,2331,4881,8112,187Margin31
.2%29.1%33.9%33.6%32.6%33.4%33.2%33.0%33.2%33.1%Dep
reciation(28)(33)(33)(32)(49)(61)(75)(91)(111)(135)Amort. of
Goodwill and
Intangibles(17)(1)(1)(9)(4)(5)(6)(5)(5)(5)EBIT30435355364976
39611,1531,3921,6952,047Margin27.2%26.5%32.0%31.6%30.4
%31.3%31.0%30.9%31.1%31.0%16%57%17%18%26%20%21%
22%21%Interest
expense(82)(78)(73)(92)(111)(137)(157)(188)(230)(276)Interest
income--5-------Currency Exchange Gains (Loss)20(10)5-------
Other Non-Operating Inc. (Exp.)(1)(13)(2)(2)------Earnings
before taxes2412524885556538249961,2031,4651,771Tax
expense(63)104(15)(20)(131)(165)(199)(241)(293)(354)Net
income (loss)1783564735345226597979631,1721,417Earnings
of Discontinued Ops.(6)(6)(0)-------Minority interest(1)(0)50---
---Net income attributable to
company1713504785355226597979631,1721,417Basic shares
outstanding252264277280280280280280280280Diluted shares
outstanding270296297295295295295295295295Diluted
earnings (loss) per
share0.641.181.611.811.772.232.703.263.974.80xHistorical and
Projected Cash Flow StatementProjected Fiscal Years Ending
Dec 312016201720182019202020212022202320242025Funds
From Operating ActivitiesNet income
(loss)1713504785355226597979631,1721,417Depreciation And
Amortization4534344153658196116140Stock-Based
Compensation52696690------Net Cash From Discontinued
Ops.4(6)--------Other Operating
Activities(17)(85)(24)1(33)4863297079Change in Acc.
Receivable(11)(52)17(18)(69)(26)(60)(85)(86)(123)Change in
Acc. Payable(24)(17)2129(1)484810Change in Unearned
Rev.1933139964871107104136Change in Inc. Taxes30(1)13(4)-
-----Change in Other Net Operating Assets(5)(11)(15)(24)------
Cash flow from operating
activities2643156036585697999591,1141,3841,659Funds From
Investing ActivitiesCapital
Expenditure(46)(29)(31)(39)(75)(92)(111)(135)(164)(198)Cash
Acquisitions(1)(0)1(4)------Divestitures-96--------Invest. in
Marketable & Equity Securt.1151(4)-------Net (Inc.) Dec. in
Loans Originated/Sold----------Other Investing
Activities4(0)(4)1------Cash flow from investing
activities(31)118(38)(42)(75)(92)(111)(135)(164)(198)Funds
From Financing ActivitiesShort Term Debt Issued----------Long-
Term Debt
Issued4005252603906377137661,0031,2351,465Total Debt
Issued4005252603906377137661,0031,2351,465Short Term
Debt Repaid----------Long-Term Debt Repaid(450)(445)-
(300)(308)(251)(415)(453)(515)(662)Total Debt
Repaid(450)(445)-
(300)(308)(251)(415)(453)(515)(662)Issuance of Common
Stock39590-------Repurchase of Common
Stock(30)(254)(341)(420)------Common Dividends Paid----------
Special Dividend Paid--(556)-------Other Financing
Activities(21)(309)(12)(7)------Cash flow from financing
activities(61)(424)(650)(337)329461351550721803Effect of
exchange rate on cash(6)10(2)(1)------Beginning cash
balance882542731874661,2882,4563,6545,1837,124Change in
cash &
equivalents16619(86)2798221,1681,1981,5291,9412,265Ending
cash
balance2542731874661,2882,4563,6545,1837,1249,389CheckO
KOKOKOKOKOKOKOKOKOKSupplemental ItemsCash
Interest Paid827271NACash Taxes Paid441522NALevered Free
Cash Flow61328422448Unlevered Free Cash
Flow112377468506Change in Net Working
Capital131(69)(52)(8)Net Debt Issued(50)8026090Net Cash
From Discontinued Ops. - Investing(4)(1)--xHistorical and
Projected Balance Sheet StatementProjected Fiscal Years
Ending Dec
312016201720182019202020212022202320242025CheckOKOK
OKOKOKOKOKOKOKOKAssetsCurrent AssetsCash &
equivalents2542731874661,2882,4563,6545,1837,1249,389Acco
unts Receivable, Net6411799116186212272357443565Deferred
Income Tax Asset (Short-Term)131619-------Other Current
Assets160393894949494949494Short-Term Investments---------
-Total Current
Assets4904453446761,5682,7624,0205,6347,66110,048Net
PP&E636258109135167203247299363Goodwill and other
intangibles1,4241,4781,4821,4681,4641,4591,4541,4491,4441,4
39Other Noncurrent Assets11112524242424242424Long-term
Investment551195555555Deferred Income Tax Asset (Long-
Term)5123134141141141141141141141Total
Assets2,0492,1302,0532,4243,3374,5585,8477,5009,57412,020
Liabilities & Shareholders EquityCurrent LiabilitiesAccounts
Payable7101020192331354353Accrued
Exp.515979179146194257286356435Curr. Port. of LT Debt-----
-----Unearned Revenue,
Current161198210219315363434541645781Other Current
Liabilities945157-------Total Current
Liabilities3143193554184805807228621,0441,269Long-Term
Debt1,1761,2531,5161,6031,9322,3942,7453,2954,0154,819Def.
Tax Liability, Non-Curr.25282018181818181818Other Non-
Current Liabilities30233664646464646464Total
Liabilities1,5461,6231,9272,1032,4943,0563,5484,2385,1416,16
9Common Stock0000000000Additional Paid-in Capital49181----
----Retained Earnings (Accumulated
Deficit)1825324549891,5112,1702,9673,9295,1016,519Treasury
Stock--(134)(350)(350)(350)(350)(350)(350)(350)Accumulated
Other Comprehensive
Income(176)(112)(195)(319)(319)(319)(319)(319)(319)(319)Tot
al Common
Equity4975011263208421,5022,2983,2614,4335,850Minority
Interest66-1111111Total Shareholders'
Equity5035071263218431,5022,2993,2624,4345,851Total
Liabilities & Shareholders'
Equity2,0492,1302,0532,4243,3374,5585,8477,5009,57512,020
CheckOK`OKOKOKOKOKOKOKOKOK
ValuationMatch Valuation ModelAssumptionsFinancials
SummaryHistoricalProjected Fiscal Years Ending March 3110-
Year US Treasury0.64%
Yunzhi FENG: Yunzhi FENG:
Last updated on May 6, 2020. Data source: FRED
Forecast
Summary20192020202120222023202420251.0Expected Market
Return6.67%Revenues2,0512,5073,0753,7164,5025,4526,5971.0
Market Risk Premium6.03%
Yunzhi FENG: Yunzhi FENG:
Last updated on May 1, 2020. Data source: Aswath Damodaran
WebsiteRevenue Growth
Rate18.6%22.2%22.6%20.9%21.1%21.1%21.0%1.0Beta1.02EBI
TDA6908161,0271,2331,4881,8112,1871.0CAPM Cost of
Equity6.8%EBITDA Growth
Rate17.5%18.4%25.8%20.1%20.6%21.7%20.8%1.0Cost of
Debt5.9%EBITDA
Margin33.6%32.6%33.4%33.2%33.0%33.2%33.1%1.0Tax
Rate25.0%Net income5345226597979631,1721,4171.0After-tax
Cost of Debt4.5%NI Growth
Rate13.0%(2.3%)26.3%20.8%20.8%21.8%20.9%1.0Target
Gearing10.0% NI
Margin26.1%20.8%21.4%21.4%21.4%21.5%21.5%1.0WACC6.6
%1.01.0Valuation date5-May-201.0Next year end date31-Dec-
201.01.01.0Match Valuation Model - Discounted Cash Flow
Valuation1.0FCFF Valuation 1.0($ in millions of U.S. dollars
except per share amounts)Projected Fiscal Years Ending March
311.0Free Cash Flows2020202120222023202420251.0EBIT *
(1-tax rate)6117699221,1131,3561,6381.0Depreciation And
Amortization536581961161401.0Non-cash Interest Adjustment-
-----1.0Capex(75)(92)(111)(135)(164)(198)1.0Net Change in
Working Capital(7)748155961031.0Free Cash Flows to Firm
(FCFF)3831,3522,5854,1326,5409,5161.0Years to
Discount0.661.662.663.664.665.661.0Cost of
Capital6.6%6.6%6.6%6.6%6.6%6.6%1.0Discount
Factor0.960.900.840.790.740.701.0PV Free Cash Flows to Firm
(FCFF)3671,2172,1843,2754,8666,6441.01.0FCFF Fair Value
Multiple Method1.0EBITDA Multiple16.9x
Yunzhi FENG: Yunzhi FENG:
Source: Siblis Research, Multiples of EV/EBITDA of Internet
companies1.0Terminal Year EBITDA2,1871.0Terminal
Value36,9131.0Present Value of Terminal
Value27,4611.0Terminal Value as % of Total
Value69.8%1.0Present Value of Forecast FCF11,9091.0Forecast
Period as % of Total Value30.2%1.0Enterprise Value39,3701.0-
Debt(2,098)1.0+ Cash7911.0Equity Value38,0631.0Shares
outstanding2831.0Fair Value Share Price134.591.0Current
Share Price80Upside68.0%Match Valuation Model - Residual
Income Valuation1.0Abnormal Earnings Valuation 1.0($ in
millions of U.S. dollars except per share
amounts)HistoricalProjected Fiscal Years Ending March
311.0Abnormal
Earnings20192020202120222023202420251.0Net
Income5345226597979631,1721,4171.0Equity
Value3208421,5022,2983,2614,4335,8501.0Equity
Charge22571021562213011.0Cost of
Equity6.8%6.8%6.8%6.8%6.8%6.8%1.0Residual
Income5016026958079511,1161.0Years to
Discount0.661.662.663.664.665.661.0Cost of
Equity6.8%6.8%6.8%6.8%6.8%6.8%1.0Discount
Factor0.960.900.840.790.740.691.0PV Residual Income to
Equity4795405836347007701.01.0Residual Inome Valuation
Method1.0Current Equity Book Value320Growth
Rate3%1.0Present Value of Perpetuity with
Growth20,9131.0Terminal Value as % of Total
Value83.9%1.0Present Value of Forecast Residual
Income3,7071.0Forecast Period as % of Total
Value14.9%1.0Equity Value24,9401.0Shares
outstanding2831.0Fair Value Share Price88.191.0Current Share
Price80.100Upside10.1%

More Related Content

Similar to Operating AssumptionsMatch Valuation Model - Operating Assumptions.docx

Financial InformationMicrosoftMicrosoftIncome StatementBalance She
Financial InformationMicrosoftMicrosoftIncome StatementBalance SheFinancial InformationMicrosoftMicrosoftIncome StatementBalance She
Financial InformationMicrosoftMicrosoftIncome StatementBalance SheChereCheek752
 
Current Years Estimation PowerPoint Presentation Slides
Current Years Estimation PowerPoint Presentation SlidesCurrent Years Estimation PowerPoint Presentation Slides
Current Years Estimation PowerPoint Presentation SlidesSlideTeam
 
Neslte India Ltd_Financial Model Working.pdf
Neslte India Ltd_Financial Model Working.pdfNeslte India Ltd_Financial Model Working.pdf
Neslte India Ltd_Financial Model Working.pdfDeepakKumar234566
 
Valuation of Indian hospitality industry
Valuation of Indian hospitality industryValuation of Indian hospitality industry
Valuation of Indian hospitality industryShivani Chaluvadi
 
Webcast 2Q17
Webcast 2Q17Webcast 2Q17
Webcast 2Q17Localiza
 
Cteep presentation 1_q14.
Cteep presentation 1_q14.Cteep presentation 1_q14.
Cteep presentation 1_q14.Cteep
 
agilent Operating_Results_Q106_to_Q108
agilent Operating_Results_Q106_to_Q108agilent Operating_Results_Q106_to_Q108
agilent Operating_Results_Q106_to_Q108finance38
 
agilent Operating_Results_Q105_Q107
agilent Operating_Results_Q105_Q107agilent Operating_Results_Q105_Q107
agilent Operating_Results_Q105_Q107finance38
 
Investment Audit PowerPoint Presentation Slides
Investment Audit PowerPoint Presentation SlidesInvestment Audit PowerPoint Presentation Slides
Investment Audit PowerPoint Presentation SlidesSlideTeam
 
Zydus Wellness reports a subdued quarter, hold - Nirmal Bang
Zydus Wellness reports a subdued quarter, hold - Nirmal BangZydus Wellness reports a subdued quarter, hold - Nirmal Bang
Zydus Wellness reports a subdued quarter, hold - Nirmal BangIndiaNotes.com
 
AXA Poland non life insurance companies
AXA Poland non life insurance companiesAXA Poland non life insurance companies
AXA Poland non life insurance companiesZbigniew Borys
 
AXA Poland non life insurance companies
AXA Poland non life insurance companiesAXA Poland non life insurance companies
AXA Poland non life insurance companiesZbigniew Borys
 
Axa poland non life insurance
Axa poland non life insuranceAxa poland non life insurance
Axa poland non life insuranceZbigniew Borys
 
2Q13 Disclosure and Results
2Q13 Disclosure and Results2Q13 Disclosure and Results
2Q13 Disclosure and ResultsDirecionalRI
 
Erin Parker Atvidcf V1
Erin Parker Atvidcf V1Erin Parker Atvidcf V1
Erin Parker Atvidcf V1Caneskid05
 
Persistent 1QFY18
Persistent 1QFY18Persistent 1QFY18
Persistent 1QFY18Mohit Jn
 
Conference Call 3Q15
Conference Call 3Q15Conference Call 3Q15
Conference Call 3Q15ItauRI
 

Similar to Operating AssumptionsMatch Valuation Model - Operating Assumptions.docx (20)

AZN/ALXN
AZN/ALXNAZN/ALXN
AZN/ALXN
 
Financial InformationMicrosoftMicrosoftIncome StatementBalance She
Financial InformationMicrosoftMicrosoftIncome StatementBalance SheFinancial InformationMicrosoftMicrosoftIncome StatementBalance She
Financial InformationMicrosoftMicrosoftIncome StatementBalance She
 
Current Years Estimation PowerPoint Presentation Slides
Current Years Estimation PowerPoint Presentation SlidesCurrent Years Estimation PowerPoint Presentation Slides
Current Years Estimation PowerPoint Presentation Slides
 
Wmt Model Template
Wmt Model TemplateWmt Model Template
Wmt Model Template
 
Neslte India Ltd_Financial Model Working.pdf
Neslte India Ltd_Financial Model Working.pdfNeslte India Ltd_Financial Model Working.pdf
Neslte India Ltd_Financial Model Working.pdf
 
Valuation of Indian hospitality industry
Valuation of Indian hospitality industryValuation of Indian hospitality industry
Valuation of Indian hospitality industry
 
Webcast 2Q17
Webcast 2Q17Webcast 2Q17
Webcast 2Q17
 
Cteep presentation 1_q14.
Cteep presentation 1_q14.Cteep presentation 1_q14.
Cteep presentation 1_q14.
 
agilent Operating_Results_Q106_to_Q108
agilent Operating_Results_Q106_to_Q108agilent Operating_Results_Q106_to_Q108
agilent Operating_Results_Q106_to_Q108
 
A9 r735e
A9 r735eA9 r735e
A9 r735e
 
agilent Operating_Results_Q105_Q107
agilent Operating_Results_Q105_Q107agilent Operating_Results_Q105_Q107
agilent Operating_Results_Q105_Q107
 
Investment Audit PowerPoint Presentation Slides
Investment Audit PowerPoint Presentation SlidesInvestment Audit PowerPoint Presentation Slides
Investment Audit PowerPoint Presentation Slides
 
Zydus Wellness reports a subdued quarter, hold - Nirmal Bang
Zydus Wellness reports a subdued quarter, hold - Nirmal BangZydus Wellness reports a subdued quarter, hold - Nirmal Bang
Zydus Wellness reports a subdued quarter, hold - Nirmal Bang
 
AXA Poland non life insurance companies
AXA Poland non life insurance companiesAXA Poland non life insurance companies
AXA Poland non life insurance companies
 
AXA Poland non life insurance companies
AXA Poland non life insurance companiesAXA Poland non life insurance companies
AXA Poland non life insurance companies
 
Axa poland non life insurance
Axa poland non life insuranceAxa poland non life insurance
Axa poland non life insurance
 
2Q13 Disclosure and Results
2Q13 Disclosure and Results2Q13 Disclosure and Results
2Q13 Disclosure and Results
 
Erin Parker Atvidcf V1
Erin Parker Atvidcf V1Erin Parker Atvidcf V1
Erin Parker Atvidcf V1
 
Persistent 1QFY18
Persistent 1QFY18Persistent 1QFY18
Persistent 1QFY18
 
Conference Call 3Q15
Conference Call 3Q15Conference Call 3Q15
Conference Call 3Q15
 

More from hopeaustin33688

This modules animation What Is Communication provides background .docx
This modules animation What Is Communication provides background .docxThis modules animation What Is Communication provides background .docx
This modules animation What Is Communication provides background .docxhopeaustin33688
 
▪Nursing Theory PowerPoint Presentation.This is a group project .docx
▪Nursing Theory PowerPoint Presentation.This is a group project .docx▪Nursing Theory PowerPoint Presentation.This is a group project .docx
▪Nursing Theory PowerPoint Presentation.This is a group project .docxhopeaustin33688
 
••You are required to write a story; explaining and analyzing .docx
••You are required to write a story; explaining and analyzing .docx••You are required to write a story; explaining and analyzing .docx
••You are required to write a story; explaining and analyzing .docxhopeaustin33688
 
•Required to read American Mashup A Popular Culture Reader. Ed. A.docx
•Required to read American Mashup A Popular Culture Reader. Ed. A.docx•Required to read American Mashup A Popular Culture Reader. Ed. A.docx
•Required to read American Mashup A Popular Culture Reader. Ed. A.docxhopeaustin33688
 
• ntercultural Activity Presentation Final SubmissionResourc.docx
• ntercultural Activity Presentation Final SubmissionResourc.docx• ntercultural Activity Presentation Final SubmissionResourc.docx
• ntercultural Activity Presentation Final SubmissionResourc.docxhopeaustin33688
 
•Read Chapter 15 from your textbookEthical Controversy Ident.docx
•Read Chapter 15 from your textbookEthical Controversy Ident.docx•Read Chapter 15 from your textbookEthical Controversy Ident.docx
•Read Chapter 15 from your textbookEthical Controversy Ident.docxhopeaustin33688
 
·    ResearchWorks Cited Page (minimum of 5 reputable resources.docx
·    ResearchWorks Cited Page (minimum of 5 reputable resources.docx·    ResearchWorks Cited Page (minimum of 5 reputable resources.docx
·    ResearchWorks Cited Page (minimum of 5 reputable resources.docxhopeaustin33688
 
‘The Other Side of Immigration’ Questions1. What does one spea.docx
‘The Other Side of Immigration’ Questions1. What does one spea.docx‘The Other Side of Immigration’ Questions1. What does one spea.docx
‘The Other Side of Immigration’ Questions1. What does one spea.docxhopeaustin33688
 
•Topic What is an ethical leader and how do ethical leaders differ .docx
•Topic What is an ethical leader and how do ethical leaders differ .docx•Topic What is an ethical leader and how do ethical leaders differ .docx
•Topic What is an ethical leader and how do ethical leaders differ .docxhopeaustin33688
 
·Term Paper International TerrorismDue Week 10 and worth .docx
·Term Paper International TerrorismDue Week 10 and worth .docx·Term Paper International TerrorismDue Week 10 and worth .docx
·Term Paper International TerrorismDue Week 10 and worth .docxhopeaustin33688
 
•Prepare a 4-5 page draft Code of Ethics paper sharing the following.docx
•Prepare a 4-5 page draft Code of Ethics paper sharing the following.docx•Prepare a 4-5 page draft Code of Ethics paper sharing the following.docx
•Prepare a 4-5 page draft Code of Ethics paper sharing the following.docxhopeaustin33688
 
·Sketch the context for, define, and tell the significanceafter.docx
·Sketch the context for, define, and tell the significanceafter.docx·Sketch the context for, define, and tell the significanceafter.docx
·Sketch the context for, define, and tell the significanceafter.docxhopeaustin33688
 
• Each thread is 650 words• Each thread and reply references at le.docx
• Each thread is 650 words• Each thread and reply references at le.docx• Each thread is 650 words• Each thread and reply references at le.docx
• Each thread is 650 words• Each thread and reply references at le.docxhopeaustin33688
 
ØFind a Food borne epidemicIllness that occurred in the U.S. in.docx
ØFind a Food borne epidemicIllness that occurred in the U.S. in.docxØFind a Food borne epidemicIllness that occurred in the U.S. in.docx
ØFind a Food borne epidemicIllness that occurred in the U.S. in.docxhopeaustin33688
 
Organizational BehaviorDisney Animation - John LasseterThe case focu.docx
Organizational BehaviorDisney Animation - John LasseterThe case focu.docxOrganizational BehaviorDisney Animation - John LasseterThe case focu.docx
Organizational BehaviorDisney Animation - John LasseterThe case focu.docxhopeaustin33688
 
Organizational Behavior15th EdPersonality and ValuesCopy.docx
Organizational Behavior15th EdPersonality and ValuesCopy.docxOrganizational Behavior15th EdPersonality and ValuesCopy.docx
Organizational Behavior15th EdPersonality and ValuesCopy.docxhopeaustin33688
 
Organizational Behavior Case Study on LeadershipName Tan Yee .docx
Organizational Behavior Case Study on LeadershipName Tan Yee .docxOrganizational Behavior Case Study on LeadershipName Tan Yee .docx
Organizational Behavior Case Study on LeadershipName Tan Yee .docxhopeaustin33688
 
ORGANIZATIONAL ASSESSMENT WORKSHEETOrganizational ProfileT.docx
ORGANIZATIONAL ASSESSMENT WORKSHEETOrganizational ProfileT.docxORGANIZATIONAL ASSESSMENT WORKSHEETOrganizational ProfileT.docx
ORGANIZATIONAL ASSESSMENT WORKSHEETOrganizational ProfileT.docxhopeaustin33688
 
Organisations and LeadershipOrganisational BehaviourDeve.docx
Organisations and LeadershipOrganisational BehaviourDeve.docxOrganisations and LeadershipOrganisational BehaviourDeve.docx
Organisations and LeadershipOrganisational BehaviourDeve.docxhopeaustin33688
 
Organizational Behavior15th EdEmotions and MoodsCopyrigh.docx
Organizational Behavior15th EdEmotions and MoodsCopyrigh.docxOrganizational Behavior15th EdEmotions and MoodsCopyrigh.docx
Organizational Behavior15th EdEmotions and MoodsCopyrigh.docxhopeaustin33688
 

More from hopeaustin33688 (20)

This modules animation What Is Communication provides background .docx
This modules animation What Is Communication provides background .docxThis modules animation What Is Communication provides background .docx
This modules animation What Is Communication provides background .docx
 
▪Nursing Theory PowerPoint Presentation.This is a group project .docx
▪Nursing Theory PowerPoint Presentation.This is a group project .docx▪Nursing Theory PowerPoint Presentation.This is a group project .docx
▪Nursing Theory PowerPoint Presentation.This is a group project .docx
 
••You are required to write a story; explaining and analyzing .docx
••You are required to write a story; explaining and analyzing .docx••You are required to write a story; explaining and analyzing .docx
••You are required to write a story; explaining and analyzing .docx
 
•Required to read American Mashup A Popular Culture Reader. Ed. A.docx
•Required to read American Mashup A Popular Culture Reader. Ed. A.docx•Required to read American Mashup A Popular Culture Reader. Ed. A.docx
•Required to read American Mashup A Popular Culture Reader. Ed. A.docx
 
• ntercultural Activity Presentation Final SubmissionResourc.docx
• ntercultural Activity Presentation Final SubmissionResourc.docx• ntercultural Activity Presentation Final SubmissionResourc.docx
• ntercultural Activity Presentation Final SubmissionResourc.docx
 
•Read Chapter 15 from your textbookEthical Controversy Ident.docx
•Read Chapter 15 from your textbookEthical Controversy Ident.docx•Read Chapter 15 from your textbookEthical Controversy Ident.docx
•Read Chapter 15 from your textbookEthical Controversy Ident.docx
 
·    ResearchWorks Cited Page (minimum of 5 reputable resources.docx
·    ResearchWorks Cited Page (minimum of 5 reputable resources.docx·    ResearchWorks Cited Page (minimum of 5 reputable resources.docx
·    ResearchWorks Cited Page (minimum of 5 reputable resources.docx
 
‘The Other Side of Immigration’ Questions1. What does one spea.docx
‘The Other Side of Immigration’ Questions1. What does one spea.docx‘The Other Side of Immigration’ Questions1. What does one spea.docx
‘The Other Side of Immigration’ Questions1. What does one spea.docx
 
•Topic What is an ethical leader and how do ethical leaders differ .docx
•Topic What is an ethical leader and how do ethical leaders differ .docx•Topic What is an ethical leader and how do ethical leaders differ .docx
•Topic What is an ethical leader and how do ethical leaders differ .docx
 
·Term Paper International TerrorismDue Week 10 and worth .docx
·Term Paper International TerrorismDue Week 10 and worth .docx·Term Paper International TerrorismDue Week 10 and worth .docx
·Term Paper International TerrorismDue Week 10 and worth .docx
 
•Prepare a 4-5 page draft Code of Ethics paper sharing the following.docx
•Prepare a 4-5 page draft Code of Ethics paper sharing the following.docx•Prepare a 4-5 page draft Code of Ethics paper sharing the following.docx
•Prepare a 4-5 page draft Code of Ethics paper sharing the following.docx
 
·Sketch the context for, define, and tell the significanceafter.docx
·Sketch the context for, define, and tell the significanceafter.docx·Sketch the context for, define, and tell the significanceafter.docx
·Sketch the context for, define, and tell the significanceafter.docx
 
• Each thread is 650 words• Each thread and reply references at le.docx
• Each thread is 650 words• Each thread and reply references at le.docx• Each thread is 650 words• Each thread and reply references at le.docx
• Each thread is 650 words• Each thread and reply references at le.docx
 
ØFind a Food borne epidemicIllness that occurred in the U.S. in.docx
ØFind a Food borne epidemicIllness that occurred in the U.S. in.docxØFind a Food borne epidemicIllness that occurred in the U.S. in.docx
ØFind a Food borne epidemicIllness that occurred in the U.S. in.docx
 
Organizational BehaviorDisney Animation - John LasseterThe case focu.docx
Organizational BehaviorDisney Animation - John LasseterThe case focu.docxOrganizational BehaviorDisney Animation - John LasseterThe case focu.docx
Organizational BehaviorDisney Animation - John LasseterThe case focu.docx
 
Organizational Behavior15th EdPersonality and ValuesCopy.docx
Organizational Behavior15th EdPersonality and ValuesCopy.docxOrganizational Behavior15th EdPersonality and ValuesCopy.docx
Organizational Behavior15th EdPersonality and ValuesCopy.docx
 
Organizational Behavior Case Study on LeadershipName Tan Yee .docx
Organizational Behavior Case Study on LeadershipName Tan Yee .docxOrganizational Behavior Case Study on LeadershipName Tan Yee .docx
Organizational Behavior Case Study on LeadershipName Tan Yee .docx
 
ORGANIZATIONAL ASSESSMENT WORKSHEETOrganizational ProfileT.docx
ORGANIZATIONAL ASSESSMENT WORKSHEETOrganizational ProfileT.docxORGANIZATIONAL ASSESSMENT WORKSHEETOrganizational ProfileT.docx
ORGANIZATIONAL ASSESSMENT WORKSHEETOrganizational ProfileT.docx
 
Organisations and LeadershipOrganisational BehaviourDeve.docx
Organisations and LeadershipOrganisational BehaviourDeve.docxOrganisations and LeadershipOrganisational BehaviourDeve.docx
Organisations and LeadershipOrganisational BehaviourDeve.docx
 
Organizational Behavior15th EdEmotions and MoodsCopyrigh.docx
Organizational Behavior15th EdEmotions and MoodsCopyrigh.docxOrganizational Behavior15th EdEmotions and MoodsCopyrigh.docx
Organizational Behavior15th EdEmotions and MoodsCopyrigh.docx
 

Recently uploaded

Spellings Wk 3 English CAPS CARES Please Practise
Spellings Wk 3 English CAPS CARES Please PractiseSpellings Wk 3 English CAPS CARES Please Practise
Spellings Wk 3 English CAPS CARES Please PractiseAnaAcapella
 
Single or Multiple melodic lines structure
Single or Multiple melodic lines structureSingle or Multiple melodic lines structure
Single or Multiple melodic lines structuredhanjurrannsibayan2
 
Dyslexia AI Workshop for Slideshare.pptx
Dyslexia AI Workshop for Slideshare.pptxDyslexia AI Workshop for Slideshare.pptx
Dyslexia AI Workshop for Slideshare.pptxcallscotland1987
 
ICT role in 21st century education and it's challenges.
ICT role in 21st century education and it's challenges.ICT role in 21st century education and it's challenges.
ICT role in 21st century education and it's challenges.MaryamAhmad92
 
How to Give a Domain for a Field in Odoo 17
How to Give a Domain for a Field in Odoo 17How to Give a Domain for a Field in Odoo 17
How to Give a Domain for a Field in Odoo 17Celine George
 
Graduate Outcomes Presentation Slides - English
Graduate Outcomes Presentation Slides - EnglishGraduate Outcomes Presentation Slides - English
Graduate Outcomes Presentation Slides - Englishneillewis46
 
SKILL OF INTRODUCING THE LESSON MICRO SKILLS.pptx
SKILL OF INTRODUCING THE LESSON MICRO SKILLS.pptxSKILL OF INTRODUCING THE LESSON MICRO SKILLS.pptx
SKILL OF INTRODUCING THE LESSON MICRO SKILLS.pptxAmanpreet Kaur
 
Jual Obat Aborsi Hongkong ( Asli No.1 ) 085657271886 Obat Penggugur Kandungan...
Jual Obat Aborsi Hongkong ( Asli No.1 ) 085657271886 Obat Penggugur Kandungan...Jual Obat Aborsi Hongkong ( Asli No.1 ) 085657271886 Obat Penggugur Kandungan...
Jual Obat Aborsi Hongkong ( Asli No.1 ) 085657271886 Obat Penggugur Kandungan...ZurliaSoop
 
Unit-IV- Pharma. Marketing Channels.pptx
Unit-IV- Pharma. Marketing Channels.pptxUnit-IV- Pharma. Marketing Channels.pptx
Unit-IV- Pharma. Marketing Channels.pptxVishalSingh1417
 
Making communications land - Are they received and understood as intended? we...
Making communications land - Are they received and understood as intended? we...Making communications land - Are they received and understood as intended? we...
Making communications land - Are they received and understood as intended? we...Association for Project Management
 
HMCS Max Bernays Pre-Deployment Brief (May 2024).pptx
HMCS Max Bernays Pre-Deployment Brief (May 2024).pptxHMCS Max Bernays Pre-Deployment Brief (May 2024).pptx
HMCS Max Bernays Pre-Deployment Brief (May 2024).pptxEsquimalt MFRC
 
Activity 01 - Artificial Culture (1).pdf
Activity 01 - Artificial Culture (1).pdfActivity 01 - Artificial Culture (1).pdf
Activity 01 - Artificial Culture (1).pdfciinovamais
 
Application orientated numerical on hev.ppt
Application orientated numerical on hev.pptApplication orientated numerical on hev.ppt
Application orientated numerical on hev.pptRamjanShidvankar
 
SOC 101 Demonstration of Learning Presentation
SOC 101 Demonstration of Learning PresentationSOC 101 Demonstration of Learning Presentation
SOC 101 Demonstration of Learning Presentationcamerronhm
 
ICT Role in 21st Century Education & its Challenges.pptx
ICT Role in 21st Century Education & its Challenges.pptxICT Role in 21st Century Education & its Challenges.pptx
ICT Role in 21st Century Education & its Challenges.pptxAreebaZafar22
 
Food safety_Challenges food safety laboratories_.pdf
Food safety_Challenges food safety laboratories_.pdfFood safety_Challenges food safety laboratories_.pdf
Food safety_Challenges food safety laboratories_.pdfSherif Taha
 
UGC NET Paper 1 Mathematical Reasoning & Aptitude.pdf
UGC NET Paper 1 Mathematical Reasoning & Aptitude.pdfUGC NET Paper 1 Mathematical Reasoning & Aptitude.pdf
UGC NET Paper 1 Mathematical Reasoning & Aptitude.pdfNirmal Dwivedi
 
On National Teacher Day, meet the 2024-25 Kenan Fellows
On National Teacher Day, meet the 2024-25 Kenan FellowsOn National Teacher Day, meet the 2024-25 Kenan Fellows
On National Teacher Day, meet the 2024-25 Kenan FellowsMebane Rash
 
How to Manage Global Discount in Odoo 17 POS
How to Manage Global Discount in Odoo 17 POSHow to Manage Global Discount in Odoo 17 POS
How to Manage Global Discount in Odoo 17 POSCeline George
 

Recently uploaded (20)

Spellings Wk 3 English CAPS CARES Please Practise
Spellings Wk 3 English CAPS CARES Please PractiseSpellings Wk 3 English CAPS CARES Please Practise
Spellings Wk 3 English CAPS CARES Please Practise
 
Single or Multiple melodic lines structure
Single or Multiple melodic lines structureSingle or Multiple melodic lines structure
Single or Multiple melodic lines structure
 
Dyslexia AI Workshop for Slideshare.pptx
Dyslexia AI Workshop for Slideshare.pptxDyslexia AI Workshop for Slideshare.pptx
Dyslexia AI Workshop for Slideshare.pptx
 
ICT role in 21st century education and it's challenges.
ICT role in 21st century education and it's challenges.ICT role in 21st century education and it's challenges.
ICT role in 21st century education and it's challenges.
 
How to Give a Domain for a Field in Odoo 17
How to Give a Domain for a Field in Odoo 17How to Give a Domain for a Field in Odoo 17
How to Give a Domain for a Field in Odoo 17
 
Graduate Outcomes Presentation Slides - English
Graduate Outcomes Presentation Slides - EnglishGraduate Outcomes Presentation Slides - English
Graduate Outcomes Presentation Slides - English
 
SKILL OF INTRODUCING THE LESSON MICRO SKILLS.pptx
SKILL OF INTRODUCING THE LESSON MICRO SKILLS.pptxSKILL OF INTRODUCING THE LESSON MICRO SKILLS.pptx
SKILL OF INTRODUCING THE LESSON MICRO SKILLS.pptx
 
Jual Obat Aborsi Hongkong ( Asli No.1 ) 085657271886 Obat Penggugur Kandungan...
Jual Obat Aborsi Hongkong ( Asli No.1 ) 085657271886 Obat Penggugur Kandungan...Jual Obat Aborsi Hongkong ( Asli No.1 ) 085657271886 Obat Penggugur Kandungan...
Jual Obat Aborsi Hongkong ( Asli No.1 ) 085657271886 Obat Penggugur Kandungan...
 
Unit-IV- Pharma. Marketing Channels.pptx
Unit-IV- Pharma. Marketing Channels.pptxUnit-IV- Pharma. Marketing Channels.pptx
Unit-IV- Pharma. Marketing Channels.pptx
 
Making communications land - Are they received and understood as intended? we...
Making communications land - Are they received and understood as intended? we...Making communications land - Are they received and understood as intended? we...
Making communications land - Are they received and understood as intended? we...
 
HMCS Max Bernays Pre-Deployment Brief (May 2024).pptx
HMCS Max Bernays Pre-Deployment Brief (May 2024).pptxHMCS Max Bernays Pre-Deployment Brief (May 2024).pptx
HMCS Max Bernays Pre-Deployment Brief (May 2024).pptx
 
Activity 01 - Artificial Culture (1).pdf
Activity 01 - Artificial Culture (1).pdfActivity 01 - Artificial Culture (1).pdf
Activity 01 - Artificial Culture (1).pdf
 
Application orientated numerical on hev.ppt
Application orientated numerical on hev.pptApplication orientated numerical on hev.ppt
Application orientated numerical on hev.ppt
 
SOC 101 Demonstration of Learning Presentation
SOC 101 Demonstration of Learning PresentationSOC 101 Demonstration of Learning Presentation
SOC 101 Demonstration of Learning Presentation
 
ICT Role in 21st Century Education & its Challenges.pptx
ICT Role in 21st Century Education & its Challenges.pptxICT Role in 21st Century Education & its Challenges.pptx
ICT Role in 21st Century Education & its Challenges.pptx
 
Mehran University Newsletter Vol-X, Issue-I, 2024
Mehran University Newsletter Vol-X, Issue-I, 2024Mehran University Newsletter Vol-X, Issue-I, 2024
Mehran University Newsletter Vol-X, Issue-I, 2024
 
Food safety_Challenges food safety laboratories_.pdf
Food safety_Challenges food safety laboratories_.pdfFood safety_Challenges food safety laboratories_.pdf
Food safety_Challenges food safety laboratories_.pdf
 
UGC NET Paper 1 Mathematical Reasoning & Aptitude.pdf
UGC NET Paper 1 Mathematical Reasoning & Aptitude.pdfUGC NET Paper 1 Mathematical Reasoning & Aptitude.pdf
UGC NET Paper 1 Mathematical Reasoning & Aptitude.pdf
 
On National Teacher Day, meet the 2024-25 Kenan Fellows
On National Teacher Day, meet the 2024-25 Kenan FellowsOn National Teacher Day, meet the 2024-25 Kenan Fellows
On National Teacher Day, meet the 2024-25 Kenan Fellows
 
How to Manage Global Discount in Odoo 17 POS
How to Manage Global Discount in Odoo 17 POSHow to Manage Global Discount in Odoo 17 POS
How to Manage Global Discount in Odoo 17 POS
 

Operating AssumptionsMatch Valuation Model - Operating Assumptions.docx

  • 1. Operating AssumptionsMatch Valuation Model - Operating AssumptionsModel Timing AssumptionsProjected Fiscal Years Ending Dec 312016201720182019202020212022202320242025Projected Fiscal Years Ending Dec 312016201720182019202020212022202320242025Segmented RevenuesDirect RevenueNorth America6747419021,0341,1921,3771,5781,8172,0912,403 Growth rate- 10.0%21.7%14.6%15.3%15.6%14.6%15.1%15.1%14.9% % of Total Revenue60.3%55.7%52.2%50.4%47.5%44.8%42.5%40.4%38.3 %36.4%International3935407759741,2721,6542,0942,6403,3144 ,145 Growth rate- 37.2%43.5%25.7%30.6%30.0%26.6%26.1%25.6%25.1% % of Total Revenue35.2%40.6%44.8%47.5%50.7%53.8%56.3%58.6%60.8 %62.8%Total Direct Revenue1,0671,2811,6772,0082,4643,0323,6724,4575,4056,549 Growth rate- 20.0%30.9%19.7%22.7%23.0%21.1%21.4%21.3%21.2%Averag e SubscribersNorth America3,2683,5694,1614,7915,4386,1727,0057,9519,02510,24 3 Growth rate Base- 9.2%16.6%15.1%13.5%13.5%13.5%13.5%13.5%13.5% Base13.5%13.5%13.5%13.5%13.5%13.5% Bear12.5%12.5%12.5%12.5%12.5%12.5%International2,1402,8 393,7125,0186,4238,22110,52313,15416,44220,553 Growth rate Base- 32.7%30.8%35.2%28.0%28.0%28.0%25.0%25.0%25.0% Base28.0%28.0%28.0%25.0%25.0%25.0% Bear26.5%26.5%26.5%23.5%23.5%23.5%North America to International152.7%125.7%112.1%95.5%84.7%75.1%66.6%60. 4%54.9%49.8%Total5,4086,4087,8739,80911,86114,39317,528
  • 2. 21,10525,46730,796 Growth rate- 18.5%22.9%24.6%20.9%21.4%21.8%20.4%20.7%20.9%ARPUN orth America0.210.210.220.220.220.220.230.230.230.23 Growth rate- 0.7%4.4%(0.5%)1.5%1.8%1.0%1.4%1.4%1.3%International0.18 0.190.210.190.200.200.200.200.200.20 Growth rate- 3.4%9.7%(7.0%)2.1%1.6%- 1.1%0.8%0.4%0.1%Total0.200.200.210.200.210.210.210.210.21 0.21 Growth rate- 1.3%6.5%(3.9%)1.5%1.4%(0.5%)0.8%0.5%0.2%Indirect RevenueIndirect Revenue51495343434344464748 Growth rate- -2.6%6.6%-17.5%0.0%0.0%2.0%3.0%3.0%3.0% % of Total Revenue4.5%3.7%3.0%2.1%1.7%1.4%1.2%1.0%0.9%0.7%Total Indirect Revenue51495343434344464748 Growth rate- (2.6%)6.6%(17.5%)-%-%2.0%3.0%3.0%3.0%Total GAAP revenuesTotal revenues 1,1181,3311,7302,0512,5073,0753,7164,5025,4526,597Growth rate- 19.0%30.0%18.6%22.2%22.6%20.9%21.1%21.1%21.0%COGS, SG&A, Other ExpensesRevenues 1,1181,3311,7302,0512,5073,0753,7164,5025,4526,597Expense s as % of revenue Cost of revenues Base(17.5%)(21.0%)(23.7%)(25.7%)(23.5%)(24.3%)(24.5%)(24. 1%)(24.3%)(24.3%)Base(23.5%)(24.3%)(24.5%)(24.1%)(24.3%) (24.3%)Bear(25.0%)(25.8%)(26.0%)(25.6%)(25.8%)(25.8%) Selling General & Admin Exp. Base(44.1%)(41.3%)(34.7%)(33.3%)(36.4%)(34.8%)(34.8%)(35. 4%)(35.0%)(35.1%)Base(36.4%)(34.8%)(34.8%)(35.4%)(35.0%) (35.1%)Bear(38.4%)(36.8%)(36.8%)(37.4%)(37.0%)(37.1%) Stock-Based Compensation(0.2%)(1.0%)(0.0%)-%-%-%-%-%- %-% R & D Exp.(7.0%)(7.6%)(7.6%)(7.4%)(7.5%)(7.5%)(7.5%)(7.5%)(7.5% )(7.5%) Other operating expenses-%-%-%-%-%-%-%-%-%- %EBITDA Margin31.2%29.1%33.9%33.6%(90.7%)(88.3%)(88.9%)(89.3%) (88.8%)(89.0%)Working CapitalAccounts receivable (% of
  • 3. revenues)5.7%8.8%5.7%5.7%7.4%6.9%7.3%7.9%8.1%8.6%Une arned Revenue (% of revenues)14.4%14.9%12.1%10.7%12.6%11.8%11.7%12.0%11.8 %11.8%Accounts payable (% of cost of revenues)(3.8%)(3.6%)(2.3%)(3.8%)(3.3%)(3.1%)(3.4%)(3.3%)( 3.3%)(3.3%)Accrued expenses (% of cost of revenues)(26.3%)(21.2%)(19.3%)(33.9%)(24.8%)(26.0%)(28.2 %)(26.3%)(26.9%)(27.1%)working capital -77.5-146.7-198.6- 207.0-200.4-274.0-355.4-410.7-506.8-609.4PP&E, Depreciation and Capex AssumptionsNet PP&E as % of Revenues5.6%4.6%3.4%5.3%5.4%5.4%5.5%5.5%5.5%5.5%Dep reciation as % of Net PP&E(44.0%)(53.0%)(56.5%)(29.7%)(45.0%)(45.0%)(45.0%)(4 5.0%)(45.0%)(45.0%)Capex as % of revenues(4.1%)(2.2%)(1.8%)(1.9%)(3.0%)(3.0%)(3.0%)(3.0%)( 3.0%)(3.0%)PP&E beginning balance (net)109135167203247299Depreciation28333332496175911111 35Capex(46)(29)(31)(39)(75)(92)(111)(135)(164)(198)PP&E ending balance (net)636258109135167203247299363DebtTotal Debt ending balance1,1761,2531,5161,6031,9322,3942,7453,2954,0154,819I nterest expense(82)(78)(73)(92)(111)(137)(157)(188)(230)(276)Interest expense as % of total debt(7.0%)(6.2%)(4.8%)(5.7%)(5.7%)(5.7%)(5.7%)(5.7%)(5.7% )(5.7%)New issuance4005252603906377137661,0031,2351,465New issuance as % of Operating expenses69.7%79.0%35.5%46.7%57.8%54.8%48.7%52.0%53.3 %52.2%Debt repayment1445- 0300308251415453515662Debt repayment as % of total debt37.8%- %19.8%19.2%13.0%17.3%16.5%15.6%16.5%Total debt beginning balance1,1761,2531,5161,6031,9322,3942,7453,2954,015Other AssumptionsAmortization as of % Goodwill and Intangibles(1.2%)(0.1%)(0.1%)(0.6%)-0.3%-0.3%-0.4%-0.3%-
  • 4. 0.3%-0.4%TaxesTax Rate26.1%(41.2%)3.0%3.7%20.0%20.0%20.0%20.0%20.0%20.0 % FinancialsMatch Valuation Model - FinancialsHistorical and Projected Income StatementProjected Fiscal Years Ending Dec 31($ in millions of U.S. dollars except per share amounts)2016201720182019202020212022202320242025Total Direct Revenue1,0671,2811,6772,0082,4643,0323,6724,4575,4056,549 Total Indirect Revenue51495343434344464748Total GAAP accounting revenues1,1181,3311,7302,0512,5073,0753,7164,5025,4526,597 Cost of revenues(196)(279)(410)(527)(588)(747)(910)(1,084)(1,324)(1, 602)Gross profit9221,0511,3201,5241,9192,3282,8063,4184,1284,995Marg in82.5%79.0%76.3%74.3%76.5%75.7%75.5%75.9%75.7%75.7% Selling General & Admin Exp.(493)(550)(600)(682)(913)(1,070)(1,294)(1,592)(1,908)(2,3 13)Stock-Based Compensation(2)(13)(1)-------R & D Exp.(78)(101)(132)(152)(189)(231)(278)(339)(410)(495)Other operating expenses---------- EBITDA3493875876908161,0271,2331,4881,8112,187Margin31 .2%29.1%33.9%33.6%32.6%33.4%33.2%33.0%33.2%33.1%Dep reciation(28)(33)(33)(32)(49)(61)(75)(91)(111)(135)Amort. of Goodwill and Intangibles(17)(1)(1)(9)(4)(5)(6)(5)(5)(5)EBIT30435355364976 39611,1531,3921,6952,047Margin27.2%26.5%32.0%31.6%30.4 %31.3%31.0%30.9%31.1%31.0%16%57%17%18%26%20%21% 22%21%Interest expense(82)(78)(73)(92)(111)(137)(157)(188)(230)(276)Interest income--5-------Currency Exchange Gains (Loss)20(10)5------- Other Non-Operating Inc. (Exp.)(1)(13)(2)(2)------Earnings before taxes2412524885556538249961,2031,4651,771Tax expense(63)104(15)(20)(131)(165)(199)(241)(293)(354)Net income (loss)1783564735345226597979631,1721,417Earnings
  • 5. of Discontinued Ops.(6)(6)(0)-------Minority interest(1)(0)50--- ---Net income attributable to company1713504785355226597979631,1721,417Basic shares outstanding252264277280280280280280280280Diluted shares outstanding270296297295295295295295295295Diluted earnings (loss) per share0.641.181.611.811.772.232.703.263.974.80xHistorical and Projected Cash Flow StatementProjected Fiscal Years Ending Dec 312016201720182019202020212022202320242025Funds From Operating ActivitiesNet income (loss)1713504785355226597979631,1721,417Depreciation And Amortization4534344153658196116140Stock-Based Compensation52696690------Net Cash From Discontinued Ops.4(6)--------Other Operating Activities(17)(85)(24)1(33)4863297079Change in Acc. Receivable(11)(52)17(18)(69)(26)(60)(85)(86)(123)Change in Acc. Payable(24)(17)2129(1)484810Change in Unearned Rev.1933139964871107104136Change in Inc. Taxes30(1)13(4)- -----Change in Other Net Operating Assets(5)(11)(15)(24)------ Cash flow from operating activities2643156036585697999591,1141,3841,659Funds From Investing ActivitiesCapital Expenditure(46)(29)(31)(39)(75)(92)(111)(135)(164)(198)Cash Acquisitions(1)(0)1(4)------Divestitures-96--------Invest. in Marketable & Equity Securt.1151(4)-------Net (Inc.) Dec. in Loans Originated/Sold----------Other Investing Activities4(0)(4)1------Cash flow from investing activities(31)118(38)(42)(75)(92)(111)(135)(164)(198)Funds From Financing ActivitiesShort Term Debt Issued----------Long- Term Debt Issued4005252603906377137661,0031,2351,465Total Debt Issued4005252603906377137661,0031,2351,465Short Term Debt Repaid----------Long-Term Debt Repaid(450)(445)- (300)(308)(251)(415)(453)(515)(662)Total Debt Repaid(450)(445)- (300)(308)(251)(415)(453)(515)(662)Issuance of Common
  • 6. Stock39590-------Repurchase of Common Stock(30)(254)(341)(420)------Common Dividends Paid---------- Special Dividend Paid--(556)-------Other Financing Activities(21)(309)(12)(7)------Cash flow from financing activities(61)(424)(650)(337)329461351550721803Effect of exchange rate on cash(6)10(2)(1)------Beginning cash balance882542731874661,2882,4563,6545,1837,124Change in cash & equivalents16619(86)2798221,1681,1981,5291,9412,265Ending cash balance2542731874661,2882,4563,6545,1837,1249,389CheckO KOKOKOKOKOKOKOKOKOKSupplemental ItemsCash Interest Paid827271NACash Taxes Paid441522NALevered Free Cash Flow61328422448Unlevered Free Cash Flow112377468506Change in Net Working Capital131(69)(52)(8)Net Debt Issued(50)8026090Net Cash From Discontinued Ops. - Investing(4)(1)--xHistorical and Projected Balance Sheet StatementProjected Fiscal Years Ending Dec 312016201720182019202020212022202320242025CheckOKOK OKOKOKOKOKOKOKOKAssetsCurrent AssetsCash & equivalents2542731874661,2882,4563,6545,1837,1249,389Acco unts Receivable, Net6411799116186212272357443565Deferred Income Tax Asset (Short-Term)131619-------Other Current Assets160393894949494949494Short-Term Investments--------- -Total Current Assets4904453446761,5682,7624,0205,6347,66110,048Net PP&E636258109135167203247299363Goodwill and other intangibles1,4241,4781,4821,4681,4641,4591,4541,4491,4441,4 39Other Noncurrent Assets11112524242424242424Long-term Investment551195555555Deferred Income Tax Asset (Long- Term)5123134141141141141141141141Total Assets2,0492,1302,0532,4243,3374,5585,8477,5009,57412,020 Liabilities & Shareholders EquityCurrent LiabilitiesAccounts Payable7101020192331354353Accrued Exp.515979179146194257286356435Curr. Port. of LT Debt-----
  • 7. -----Unearned Revenue, Current161198210219315363434541645781Other Current Liabilities945157-------Total Current Liabilities3143193554184805807228621,0441,269Long-Term Debt1,1761,2531,5161,6031,9322,3942,7453,2954,0154,819Def. Tax Liability, Non-Curr.25282018181818181818Other Non- Current Liabilities30233664646464646464Total Liabilities1,5461,6231,9272,1032,4943,0563,5484,2385,1416,16 9Common Stock0000000000Additional Paid-in Capital49181---- ----Retained Earnings (Accumulated Deficit)1825324549891,5112,1702,9673,9295,1016,519Treasury Stock--(134)(350)(350)(350)(350)(350)(350)(350)Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income(176)(112)(195)(319)(319)(319)(319)(319)(319)(319)Tot al Common Equity4975011263208421,5022,2983,2614,4335,850Minority Interest66-1111111Total Shareholders' Equity5035071263218431,5022,2993,2624,4345,851Total Liabilities & Shareholders' Equity2,0492,1302,0532,4243,3374,5585,8477,5009,57512,020 CheckOK`OKOKOKOKOKOKOKOKOK ValuationMatch Valuation ModelAssumptionsFinancials SummaryHistoricalProjected Fiscal Years Ending March 3110- Year US Treasury0.64% Yunzhi FENG: Yunzhi FENG: Last updated on May 6, 2020. Data source: FRED Forecast Summary20192020202120222023202420251.0Expected Market Return6.67%Revenues2,0512,5073,0753,7164,5025,4526,5971.0 Market Risk Premium6.03% Yunzhi FENG: Yunzhi FENG: Last updated on May 1, 2020. Data source: Aswath Damodaran WebsiteRevenue Growth Rate18.6%22.2%22.6%20.9%21.1%21.1%21.0%1.0Beta1.02EBI
  • 8. TDA6908161,0271,2331,4881,8112,1871.0CAPM Cost of Equity6.8%EBITDA Growth Rate17.5%18.4%25.8%20.1%20.6%21.7%20.8%1.0Cost of Debt5.9%EBITDA Margin33.6%32.6%33.4%33.2%33.0%33.2%33.1%1.0Tax Rate25.0%Net income5345226597979631,1721,4171.0After-tax Cost of Debt4.5%NI Growth Rate13.0%(2.3%)26.3%20.8%20.8%21.8%20.9%1.0Target Gearing10.0% NI Margin26.1%20.8%21.4%21.4%21.4%21.5%21.5%1.0WACC6.6 %1.01.0Valuation date5-May-201.0Next year end date31-Dec- 201.01.01.0Match Valuation Model - Discounted Cash Flow Valuation1.0FCFF Valuation 1.0($ in millions of U.S. dollars except per share amounts)Projected Fiscal Years Ending March 311.0Free Cash Flows2020202120222023202420251.0EBIT * (1-tax rate)6117699221,1131,3561,6381.0Depreciation And Amortization536581961161401.0Non-cash Interest Adjustment- -----1.0Capex(75)(92)(111)(135)(164)(198)1.0Net Change in Working Capital(7)748155961031.0Free Cash Flows to Firm (FCFF)3831,3522,5854,1326,5409,5161.0Years to Discount0.661.662.663.664.665.661.0Cost of Capital6.6%6.6%6.6%6.6%6.6%6.6%1.0Discount Factor0.960.900.840.790.740.701.0PV Free Cash Flows to Firm (FCFF)3671,2172,1843,2754,8666,6441.01.0FCFF Fair Value Multiple Method1.0EBITDA Multiple16.9x Yunzhi FENG: Yunzhi FENG: Source: Siblis Research, Multiples of EV/EBITDA of Internet companies1.0Terminal Year EBITDA2,1871.0Terminal Value36,9131.0Present Value of Terminal Value27,4611.0Terminal Value as % of Total Value69.8%1.0Present Value of Forecast FCF11,9091.0Forecast Period as % of Total Value30.2%1.0Enterprise Value39,3701.0- Debt(2,098)1.0+ Cash7911.0Equity Value38,0631.0Shares outstanding2831.0Fair Value Share Price134.591.0Current Share Price80Upside68.0%Match Valuation Model - Residual
  • 9. Income Valuation1.0Abnormal Earnings Valuation 1.0($ in millions of U.S. dollars except per share amounts)HistoricalProjected Fiscal Years Ending March 311.0Abnormal Earnings20192020202120222023202420251.0Net Income5345226597979631,1721,4171.0Equity Value3208421,5022,2983,2614,4335,8501.0Equity Charge22571021562213011.0Cost of Equity6.8%6.8%6.8%6.8%6.8%6.8%1.0Residual Income5016026958079511,1161.0Years to Discount0.661.662.663.664.665.661.0Cost of Equity6.8%6.8%6.8%6.8%6.8%6.8%1.0Discount Factor0.960.900.840.790.740.691.0PV Residual Income to Equity4795405836347007701.01.0Residual Inome Valuation Method1.0Current Equity Book Value320Growth Rate3%1.0Present Value of Perpetuity with Growth20,9131.0Terminal Value as % of Total Value83.9%1.0Present Value of Forecast Residual Income3,7071.0Forecast Period as % of Total Value14.9%1.0Equity Value24,9401.0Shares outstanding2831.0Fair Value Share Price88.191.0Current Share Price80.100Upside10.1%