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Impact of the Single Fee An  Analysis
The Issues ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Economic Environment ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Real Estate Sales Bubble Recovery is not  Projected to begin until 2010 HHI Units Sold
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Actual  Forecast
Golf-Revenue and Cost Challenge ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],*All Falling
Moss Creek’s Market ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 
 
9 10 6
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Moss Creek’s Market
Costs of the Single Fee ,[object Object],[object Object]
Note:  The  average annual increase in fees  in single fee communities is  7%,   not including annual special assessments .
Transfer Fee: Compounding Our Problem ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Transfer Fee: Compounding Our Problem Moss Creek has the most expensive real estate transfer fee in our market 1.0% $15,000 Long Cove 1.2% $20,000 Wexford 0.6% $  7,000 Berkeley Hall 1.9% $16,400 Belfair 1.4% $15,000 Colleton River 4.6% $23,000 Moss Creek % of Av. Sale Price (2007) Transfer Fee Community
The Real Cost of Living in Moss Creek With the $23K transfer fee, your real  annual  cost if you kept your home for 15 years…. $3800 $1500 $5300 $4900 $1500 $6400 Current Fee Proposed Fee
 
 
Total =  $3,800  Total = $4,900 = 30% = 11%
Costs of the Single Fee ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],*An additional 54 people purchased 10-40 round packages or renter package plans.  Data from 2007.
Distribution of Age at Moss Creek Tri-Annual Moss Creek Membership Survey Year Under  40 40-49 50-59 60-69 70-79 >80 2000 N/A 4.7% 25.3% 38.1% 27.7% 2.5% 2003 N/A 3.3% 20.2% 41.2% 28.4% 5.5% 2006 3.4% 3.8% 18.1% 38.9% 28.6% 6.9%
Tri-Annual Moss Creek Membership Survey Top Reasons residents left  Moss Creek 2003 2006 Move to Assisted Living 3.0% 8.0% Move Closer to grandchildren 13.9% 20.0% Higher Fees 7.6% 8.9% Economic Reasons 15.2% 22.0% Other 48.2% 34.0% No Answer 11.4% 8.0%
The Single Fee and Our Homes ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
A Community Strategy for Moss Creek ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
A Community Strategy for Moss Creek ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
A Community Strategy for Moss Creek ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
A Community Strategy for Moss Creek ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
2000-2006 A Community Strategy for Moss Creek
Best Worst Age  Groups 501 450 464 439 335
A Community Strategy for Moss Creek ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
A Community Strategy for Moss Creek ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
        Kent Harrington President Harrington Group, LLC   843.837.9022 803.753.9850 (fax) 703.407.4508 (mobile) [email_address]   $306,262 (est.) $318,408 $526,702 Annual Cart Revenue (’06) 0 0 $  4.79 Annual Golf Subsidy  (’06) $4.80 $0.09 ($20.56) Profit/Loss @ Member Round $47.50 $53.28 $52.22 O&M Cost per Round $1,900,000 (est.) $1,758,263 $2,507,000 O&M Annual Cost (’06) $52.30 $50.72/$56.03 $26.87 Av. Price/Round (FT/PT w/cart) 68 57/19 95 Av. Rounds/Annual Member (FT/PT) $1,106,000 $1,152,076 $635,120 Annual Plan Revenue (‘06) 1050 455 Annual Plan Players (‘06) 395 350/350 306 Annual Plan Members  (FT/PT) 27,000  30,030 43,597 Annual Plan Rounds 13,000  (est.) 2970 4403 Non-Annual Plan Rounds 40,000 33,000 24,000 Annual Rounds per Course     48,000 Annual Rounds Played 1 1 2 Number of Courses CC Hilton Head Sea Pines CC Moss Creek   
A Community Strategy for Moss Creek ,[object Object],[object Object],*Includes annual subsidy of $820 from the  Moss Creek 2006 assessment of $3366.  Gain/(Loss) Cost Per Round Price Per Round With Cart $4.80 $47.50 $52.30 CC Hilton Head $0.09 $53.28 $53.37 Sea Pines CC ($20.56) $52.22 $31.66 Moss Creek*
A Community Strategy for Moss Creek A Single Fee:  How Will Current Annual Family Plan Golfers Benefit? * Based on average number of rounds played by annual family plan unlimited golf members at Moss Creek, Sea Pines, and CC of Hilton Head in 2006 $1091.00 $1022.00 Annual Plan Subsidy $33.67 $3199.00 $6398.00 $2754.00 $2622.00 Moss Creek Today CC of Hilton Head Sea Pines CC Moss Creek Single Fee $52.30 $53.37 $25.91 Price Per Round With Cart* $3126.00 $3278.00 $2462.00 Per Person Annual Price $6252.00 $6556.00 $4924.00 Total $2592.00 $3464.00 $3277.00 Cart Fees $3660.00 $3092.00 $556.00 Greens Fees
A Community Strategy for Moss Creek ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
A Community Strategy for Moss Creek ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
A Community Strategy for Moss Creek ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
A Community Strategy for Moss Creek A  Marketing Strategy X Golf Marketing Strategic Plan X Golf Marketing Director X Golf Marketing Budget X Outside Market Analysis X Outside Revenue Goals Target Markets in:  X Incentive Program X Media and Web Outreach X Private Club Web Sites X Corporate Visitors X Community Organizations X Local Business No Yes Does Moss  Creek Have….?
Do We Have Choices? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
A Community Strategy for Moss Creek ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
A Community Strategy for Moss Creek ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
A Community Strategy for Moss Creek Outside Golf:  The Facts About Security Security Deposit Phone Number Credit Card Number Driver’s License Number Vehicle License Number Name Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Outside Golfer No No No No Yes Yes Annual Vendor Pass No No No No No Yes Daily Vendor Pass
A Community Strategy for Moss Creek ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
A Community Strategy for Moss Creek ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
A Community Strategy for Moss Creek
A Community Strategy for Moss Creek
A Community Strategy for Moss Creek ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Impact of Single Fee An Analysis at Moss Creek

  • 1. Impact of the Single Fee An Analysis
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4. Real Estate Sales Bubble Recovery is not Projected to begin until 2010 HHI Units Sold
  • 5. 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Actual Forecast
  • 6.
  • 7.
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  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 23. Note: The average annual increase in fees in single fee communities is 7%, not including annual special assessments .
  • 24.
  • 25. Transfer Fee: Compounding Our Problem Moss Creek has the most expensive real estate transfer fee in our market 1.0% $15,000 Long Cove 1.2% $20,000 Wexford 0.6% $ 7,000 Berkeley Hall 1.9% $16,400 Belfair 1.4% $15,000 Colleton River 4.6% $23,000 Moss Creek % of Av. Sale Price (2007) Transfer Fee Community
  • 26. The Real Cost of Living in Moss Creek With the $23K transfer fee, your real annual cost if you kept your home for 15 years…. $3800 $1500 $5300 $4900 $1500 $6400 Current Fee Proposed Fee
  • 27.  
  • 28.  
  • 29. Total = $3,800 Total = $4,900 = 30% = 11%
  • 30.
  • 31. Distribution of Age at Moss Creek Tri-Annual Moss Creek Membership Survey Year Under 40 40-49 50-59 60-69 70-79 >80 2000 N/A 4.7% 25.3% 38.1% 27.7% 2.5% 2003 N/A 3.3% 20.2% 41.2% 28.4% 5.5% 2006 3.4% 3.8% 18.1% 38.9% 28.6% 6.9%
  • 32. Tri-Annual Moss Creek Membership Survey Top Reasons residents left Moss Creek 2003 2006 Move to Assisted Living 3.0% 8.0% Move Closer to grandchildren 13.9% 20.0% Higher Fees 7.6% 8.9% Economic Reasons 15.2% 22.0% Other 48.2% 34.0% No Answer 11.4% 8.0%
  • 33.
  • 34.
  • 35.
  • 36.
  • 37.
  • 38. 2000-2006 A Community Strategy for Moss Creek
  • 39. Best Worst Age Groups 501 450 464 439 335
  • 40.
  • 41.
  • 42.         Kent Harrington President Harrington Group, LLC   843.837.9022 803.753.9850 (fax) 703.407.4508 (mobile) [email_address]   $306,262 (est.) $318,408 $526,702 Annual Cart Revenue (’06) 0 0 $ 4.79 Annual Golf Subsidy (’06) $4.80 $0.09 ($20.56) Profit/Loss @ Member Round $47.50 $53.28 $52.22 O&M Cost per Round $1,900,000 (est.) $1,758,263 $2,507,000 O&M Annual Cost (’06) $52.30 $50.72/$56.03 $26.87 Av. Price/Round (FT/PT w/cart) 68 57/19 95 Av. Rounds/Annual Member (FT/PT) $1,106,000 $1,152,076 $635,120 Annual Plan Revenue (‘06) 1050 455 Annual Plan Players (‘06) 395 350/350 306 Annual Plan Members  (FT/PT) 27,000 30,030 43,597 Annual Plan Rounds 13,000 (est.) 2970 4403 Non-Annual Plan Rounds 40,000 33,000 24,000 Annual Rounds per Course     48,000 Annual Rounds Played 1 1 2 Number of Courses CC Hilton Head Sea Pines CC Moss Creek  
  • 43.
  • 44. A Community Strategy for Moss Creek A Single Fee: How Will Current Annual Family Plan Golfers Benefit? * Based on average number of rounds played by annual family plan unlimited golf members at Moss Creek, Sea Pines, and CC of Hilton Head in 2006 $1091.00 $1022.00 Annual Plan Subsidy $33.67 $3199.00 $6398.00 $2754.00 $2622.00 Moss Creek Today CC of Hilton Head Sea Pines CC Moss Creek Single Fee $52.30 $53.37 $25.91 Price Per Round With Cart* $3126.00 $3278.00 $2462.00 Per Person Annual Price $6252.00 $6556.00 $4924.00 Total $2592.00 $3464.00 $3277.00 Cart Fees $3660.00 $3092.00 $556.00 Greens Fees
  • 45.
  • 46.
  • 47.
  • 48. A Community Strategy for Moss Creek A Marketing Strategy X Golf Marketing Strategic Plan X Golf Marketing Director X Golf Marketing Budget X Outside Market Analysis X Outside Revenue Goals Target Markets in: X Incentive Program X Media and Web Outreach X Private Club Web Sites X Corporate Visitors X Community Organizations X Local Business No Yes Does Moss Creek Have….?
  • 49.
  • 50.
  • 51.
  • 52. A Community Strategy for Moss Creek Outside Golf: The Facts About Security Security Deposit Phone Number Credit Card Number Driver’s License Number Vehicle License Number Name Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Outside Golfer No No No No Yes Yes Annual Vendor Pass No No No No No Yes Daily Vendor Pass
  • 53.
  • 54.
  • 55. A Community Strategy for Moss Creek
  • 56. A Community Strategy for Moss Creek
  • 57.