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1
Session 3
Linking analyses
and change processes
LFA tools
for the analysis of problems and
objectives
2
3
The LFA is an iterative process
Complementarity with other actions
Context analysis
(PPA, SA, elements of PEA)
Possible area for support
Capacity assessment
Assessment of Risks and
Assumptions
mitigation measures
Lessons learned from other actions
("evidence", good practices etc.)
Cross cutting issues
Progressively
building the
Intervention logic
4
The problem-objective tree method
Simple and useful
cause cause
cause cause
effect effect
problem
output output
output output
outcome outcome
impact
2° From "-" to "+"
----------------
3° Selecting the
strategy
-----------------------
1° cause-effect
relationship
----------------
This planning method can easily produce a results chain and
ultimately a logical framework matrix but :
1° It is not the only planning method
2° It is crucial to take into account the assumptions and the evidence that
will lead from the outputs to outcome(s) and finally to impact, in other
words, the intervention logic
5
Problem tree: steps
What is a problem tree?
The problem tree is an LFA tool that establishes cause and
effect relationships to ensure that root problems are
identified and then addressed.
Main steps:
1. Identify one or two (initial) major problem(s) affecting
the target group/beneficiaries
2. Identify related problems/constraints
3. Analyse and identify cause and effect relationships and
create a draft problem tree
4. Check the logic of causality
6
Problem tree: simplified example
EFFECTS
CAUSES
The problem
tree
helps to
understand the
cause/ effect
relationship
between
problems Depletion of the
natural fish stock
Low selling prices
obtained in the
villages
Income of traditional
fishermen in decline
Destruction of
natural habitats
and mangroves
Illegal fishing
practices
Poor quality of
processed fish
Limited access
to markets
Top tips for problem trees
 1 problem per box
 A problem is not the absence of a solution. The solution is
the project, but it is not determined at this stage
 Statements should be clear and specific
 The way the tree is presented should be easy to read and it
should be possible to grasp the structure instantly
 The product of the exercise (the problem tree) should
provide a robust but simplified version of reality. Not too
complicated, not too simple
7
8
Objective tree: simplified example
ENDS
MEANS
The objective tree
converts problems into
positive achievements
by establishing
means/ends
relationships
Depletion of the
natural fish stock
reduced
Selling price
obtained in
villages increased
Income of traditional
fishermen increased
Natural habitats and
mangroves better
protected
Illegal fishing
practices
significantly reduced
Processing of the
catch improved
Improved
access to
markets
9
Top tips for objective trees
 Beware of unrealistic objectives
 Beware of natural factors that cannot be changed
 Check the logic of causality… The objectives at a level
below should be necessary and sufficient to achieve the
objective on the next level up
 A project is a process of change towards a more
satisfying situation… the wording should reflect this
gradual nature
10
Key Messages
 The working process in the identification and formulation phases is highly
iterative/repetitive. Going back to a previous stage of questioning or
analysis is often necessary. In fact, as the context evolves, the programme
or project will most likely have to adapt during implementation.
 It is nonetheless a gradual process: in particular, the definition of the
priority areas for support allows us to focus more and more on the change
process and therefore to address with more accuracy some topics (risks,
lessons learned, etc.) that are already part of - and will nourish - the
intervention logic.
 The problem-objective tree method is useful in order to determine the
results chain from the analyses and therefore to build the logical
framework matrix but it must be subjected to critical thinking: in
particular the passage from one level to another (output to outcome(s)
and outcome(s) to impact) has to be thoroughly assessed and
coherent with the intervention logic (mini steps, pathways of
change, assumptions, evidence)

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Linking analyses and change processes with LFA tools

  • 2. LFA tools for the analysis of problems and objectives 2
  • 3. 3 The LFA is an iterative process Complementarity with other actions Context analysis (PPA, SA, elements of PEA) Possible area for support Capacity assessment Assessment of Risks and Assumptions mitigation measures Lessons learned from other actions ("evidence", good practices etc.) Cross cutting issues Progressively building the Intervention logic
  • 4. 4 The problem-objective tree method Simple and useful cause cause cause cause effect effect problem output output output output outcome outcome impact 2° From "-" to "+" ---------------- 3° Selecting the strategy ----------------------- 1° cause-effect relationship ---------------- This planning method can easily produce a results chain and ultimately a logical framework matrix but : 1° It is not the only planning method 2° It is crucial to take into account the assumptions and the evidence that will lead from the outputs to outcome(s) and finally to impact, in other words, the intervention logic
  • 5. 5 Problem tree: steps What is a problem tree? The problem tree is an LFA tool that establishes cause and effect relationships to ensure that root problems are identified and then addressed. Main steps: 1. Identify one or two (initial) major problem(s) affecting the target group/beneficiaries 2. Identify related problems/constraints 3. Analyse and identify cause and effect relationships and create a draft problem tree 4. Check the logic of causality
  • 6. 6 Problem tree: simplified example EFFECTS CAUSES The problem tree helps to understand the cause/ effect relationship between problems Depletion of the natural fish stock Low selling prices obtained in the villages Income of traditional fishermen in decline Destruction of natural habitats and mangroves Illegal fishing practices Poor quality of processed fish Limited access to markets
  • 7. Top tips for problem trees  1 problem per box  A problem is not the absence of a solution. The solution is the project, but it is not determined at this stage  Statements should be clear and specific  The way the tree is presented should be easy to read and it should be possible to grasp the structure instantly  The product of the exercise (the problem tree) should provide a robust but simplified version of reality. Not too complicated, not too simple 7
  • 8. 8 Objective tree: simplified example ENDS MEANS The objective tree converts problems into positive achievements by establishing means/ends relationships Depletion of the natural fish stock reduced Selling price obtained in villages increased Income of traditional fishermen increased Natural habitats and mangroves better protected Illegal fishing practices significantly reduced Processing of the catch improved Improved access to markets
  • 9. 9 Top tips for objective trees  Beware of unrealistic objectives  Beware of natural factors that cannot be changed  Check the logic of causality… The objectives at a level below should be necessary and sufficient to achieve the objective on the next level up  A project is a process of change towards a more satisfying situation… the wording should reflect this gradual nature
  • 10. 10 Key Messages  The working process in the identification and formulation phases is highly iterative/repetitive. Going back to a previous stage of questioning or analysis is often necessary. In fact, as the context evolves, the programme or project will most likely have to adapt during implementation.  It is nonetheless a gradual process: in particular, the definition of the priority areas for support allows us to focus more and more on the change process and therefore to address with more accuracy some topics (risks, lessons learned, etc.) that are already part of - and will nourish - the intervention logic.  The problem-objective tree method is useful in order to determine the results chain from the analyses and therefore to build the logical framework matrix but it must be subjected to critical thinking: in particular the passage from one level to another (output to outcome(s) and outcome(s) to impact) has to be thoroughly assessed and coherent with the intervention logic (mini steps, pathways of change, assumptions, evidence)