The document discusses potential models for global demand after the financial crisis. It identifies three main models: 1) Wounded Beast - where developed countries continue powering growth but face increased volatility; 2) Crossing the Chasm - a sustained shortfall in developed country demand requires emerging countries like China to rely more on domestic demand; and 3) Menagerie - the rise of sophisticated consumer markets in mega-city regions in Asia. Five strategies are proposed to prepare for a shift away from the pre-crisis model of China and the US (Chimerica) driving growth: ensuring resource security, tapping emerging Asian consumption, generating foreign consumption, building niche capabilities, and developing regional hinterlands.
The document discusses the global economic landscape after the financial crisis and the uncertainties involved. It analyzes the relationship between developed economies (G3) and emerging markets known as "Chimerica" which drove growth. There are four key uncertainties from the crisis: 1) rising indebtedness in G3 economies, 2) increased government intervention, 3) creeping protectionism, and 4) potential changes to consumption in G3 nations. It outlines three potential post-crisis scenarios: a wounded beast scenario of unstable Chimerica persisting, a chasm scenario of Chimerica collapsing, or a multipolar world scenario with new demand centers emerging.
The credit crunch has prompted a return to fundamental project finance principles in infrastructure markets. Banks are now conducting thorough credit assessments and aligning pricing structures accordingly, rather than the loose lending seen pre-crisis. While the credit crunch has negative impacts, it has corrected the overinflated pricing of loans. The outlook for 2009 and beyond shows signs of growth in infrastructure markets, though confidence will take time to recover fully and social sector projects are seen as less attractive than energy and transport. Private investment in public infrastructure can help maintain GDP in the current economic environment.
The Protifolon series is brought to you by Bangladesh Online Research Network (BORN) www.bdresearch.org an information and knowledge intermediation initiative of D.Net in colloboration with Institute of Development Studies (IDS), University of Sussex, UK. (visit http://blog.masumbillah.net for more)
Global events can impact investments. Commodity supply and demand, international politics, sovereign debt issues, and natural disasters around the world are interconnected and can influence markets. The document discusses how increased cotton prices due to demand from China's growing middle class impacted clothing company stock prices, how unrest in the Middle East drove up oil prices, and how Japan's 2011 earthquake and tsunami disrupted global supply chains and renewed concerns about nuclear energy. The advisor recommends consulting with a financial partner to discuss implications of the current environment for investment portfolios.
The document provides an introduction to two Mercer consultants, Michelle Lewis-Blossman and Jim Sowers, and outlines their presentation on keys to success in public sector HR restructuring. It then discusses examining the sources and uses of funds in an HR department and restructuring to reduce costs, increase value, and better align the department with the organization's strategy. Specific approaches covered include conducting a function-by-function budget review, understanding time and cost allocations, benchmarking against peer organizations, and defining core vs non-core services. The goal is to help organizations effectively evaluate and restructure their HR department during challenging economic times.
Weekly Market Snapshot, October 23, 2009Jeff Green
The economic data remained mixed, but were consistent with a moderate economic recovery. The Fed’s Beige Book, the anecdotal summary of conditions from the 12 Federal Reserve districts, noted “stabilization or modest improvement in many sectors” since the previous report. Reports of gains continued to outnumber declines, “but virtually every reference to improvement was qualified as either small or scattered.”
There has been a lot of discussion in the media and in the
financial sector, about the state of struggling European
markets, and particularly about the Greek economy. More
broadly, people are concerned about what overall impact
the distressed Euro Zone could have on financial institutions
here in the United States if confidence in the Euro’s stability
continues to deteriorate.
As always, when talking about the future of the international
market, and more particularly about banks and Credit Unions
here in the United States, it’s difficult to say anything with
certainty. In this case, that difficulty is only increased by the
likelihood that banks and Credit Unions would be affected
differently. For more info: www.nafcu.org/bfb
2008 Q3: The Impact of the Global Financial and Economic Crisis on Botswanaeconsultbw
The global economic and financial crisis is adversely affecting Botswana in several ways:
1) Financial markets have been impacted by a reduction in credit availability, sharp falls in asset values, and a rise in risk aversion.
2) The real economy will likely experience slowing growth, rising unemployment, and declining incomes as global economic growth slows.
3) Botswana's financial markets have been somewhat insulated so far, with the stock exchange recovering even as global markets dropped sharply. However, the crisis may still negatively impact Botswana's real economy going forward.
The document discusses the global economic landscape after the financial crisis and the uncertainties involved. It analyzes the relationship between developed economies (G3) and emerging markets known as "Chimerica" which drove growth. There are four key uncertainties from the crisis: 1) rising indebtedness in G3 economies, 2) increased government intervention, 3) creeping protectionism, and 4) potential changes to consumption in G3 nations. It outlines three potential post-crisis scenarios: a wounded beast scenario of unstable Chimerica persisting, a chasm scenario of Chimerica collapsing, or a multipolar world scenario with new demand centers emerging.
The credit crunch has prompted a return to fundamental project finance principles in infrastructure markets. Banks are now conducting thorough credit assessments and aligning pricing structures accordingly, rather than the loose lending seen pre-crisis. While the credit crunch has negative impacts, it has corrected the overinflated pricing of loans. The outlook for 2009 and beyond shows signs of growth in infrastructure markets, though confidence will take time to recover fully and social sector projects are seen as less attractive than energy and transport. Private investment in public infrastructure can help maintain GDP in the current economic environment.
The Protifolon series is brought to you by Bangladesh Online Research Network (BORN) www.bdresearch.org an information and knowledge intermediation initiative of D.Net in colloboration with Institute of Development Studies (IDS), University of Sussex, UK. (visit http://blog.masumbillah.net for more)
Global events can impact investments. Commodity supply and demand, international politics, sovereign debt issues, and natural disasters around the world are interconnected and can influence markets. The document discusses how increased cotton prices due to demand from China's growing middle class impacted clothing company stock prices, how unrest in the Middle East drove up oil prices, and how Japan's 2011 earthquake and tsunami disrupted global supply chains and renewed concerns about nuclear energy. The advisor recommends consulting with a financial partner to discuss implications of the current environment for investment portfolios.
The document provides an introduction to two Mercer consultants, Michelle Lewis-Blossman and Jim Sowers, and outlines their presentation on keys to success in public sector HR restructuring. It then discusses examining the sources and uses of funds in an HR department and restructuring to reduce costs, increase value, and better align the department with the organization's strategy. Specific approaches covered include conducting a function-by-function budget review, understanding time and cost allocations, benchmarking against peer organizations, and defining core vs non-core services. The goal is to help organizations effectively evaluate and restructure their HR department during challenging economic times.
Weekly Market Snapshot, October 23, 2009Jeff Green
The economic data remained mixed, but were consistent with a moderate economic recovery. The Fed’s Beige Book, the anecdotal summary of conditions from the 12 Federal Reserve districts, noted “stabilization or modest improvement in many sectors” since the previous report. Reports of gains continued to outnumber declines, “but virtually every reference to improvement was qualified as either small or scattered.”
There has been a lot of discussion in the media and in the
financial sector, about the state of struggling European
markets, and particularly about the Greek economy. More
broadly, people are concerned about what overall impact
the distressed Euro Zone could have on financial institutions
here in the United States if confidence in the Euro’s stability
continues to deteriorate.
As always, when talking about the future of the international
market, and more particularly about banks and Credit Unions
here in the United States, it’s difficult to say anything with
certainty. In this case, that difficulty is only increased by the
likelihood that banks and Credit Unions would be affected
differently. For more info: www.nafcu.org/bfb
2008 Q3: The Impact of the Global Financial and Economic Crisis on Botswanaeconsultbw
The global economic and financial crisis is adversely affecting Botswana in several ways:
1) Financial markets have been impacted by a reduction in credit availability, sharp falls in asset values, and a rise in risk aversion.
2) The real economy will likely experience slowing growth, rising unemployment, and declining incomes as global economic growth slows.
3) Botswana's financial markets have been somewhat insulated so far, with the stock exchange recovering even as global markets dropped sharply. However, the crisis may still negatively impact Botswana's real economy going forward.
The document discusses the services of a user interface consulting group, including user experience design, user research, interaction design, and usability testing. The group helps clients design intuitive interfaces for software, websites, and mobile applications. A variety of methods are listed for evaluating and improving user interfaces.
The global financial crisis began with the bursting of the US housing bubble and high default rates on subprime mortgages, which major banks had invested heavily in. When the housing market collapsed, these banks reported over $435 billion in losses. India was impacted through reductions in foreign institutional investment as these funds were called back overseas. This removed excess liquidity from the Indian economy and led to a slowdown. Small and medium enterprises have faced declining demand and difficulties obtaining financing. Infrastructure projects remain important for growth, but overall the economy has slowed significantly due to reduced foreign investment.
The document discusses the services of a user interface consulting group, including user experience design, user research, interaction design, and usability testing. The group helps clients design intuitive interfaces for software, websites, and mobile applications. A variety of methods are listed for evaluating and improving user interfaces.
The global financial crisis began with the bursting of the US housing bubble and high default rates on subprime mortgages, which major banks had invested heavily in. When the housing market collapsed, these banks reported over $435 billion in losses. India was impacted through reductions in foreign institutional investment as these funds were called back overseas. This removed excess liquidity from the Indian economy and led to a slowdown. Small and medium enterprises have faced declining demand and difficulties obtaining financing. Infrastructure projects remain important for growth, but overall the economy has slowed significantly due to reduced foreign investment.
Capitalizing On The Crisis: Strategic Decision-Making in an Uncertain Economyskaf777
Strategic leaders must make difficult decisions under conditions of extreme uncertainty due to the current economic crisis. They should reassess risk and returns of their portfolio, develop contingency plans to maximize upside and limit downside, and maintain strategic flexibility. Opportunities exist for companies that understand value and risk to acquire distressed assets, engage in mergers and acquisitions, and take industry leadership. Building cash reserves and access to credit provides flexibility to capitalize on attractive deals as conditions evolve unpredictably.
The document discusses four potential policy options to address the ongoing economic challenges: monetary policy, fiscal policy, regulatory policy changes, and waiting for the deleveraging process to run its course. Monetary policy could increase inflation to reduce debt burdens, but also carries risks of runaway inflation. Fiscal stimulus through spending and tax cuts could boost incomes, but impact may be delayed and increase deficits. Targeted debt relief programs could directly reduce household debt levels with less deficit impact compared to broad stimulus. Regulatory reforms may have limited short-term effect. Simply waiting risks prolonged high unemployment and possible deflation.
More with Less: Scaling Sustainable Consumption and Resource EfficiencySustainable Brands
This document discusses the need for businesses and governments to work together at scale to promote more sustainable consumption and resource efficiency. Key points:
1. There is an opportunity to protect over $2 trillion in future economic output by 2030 through greater resource efficiency and sustainability efforts across major economies.
2. Businesses can play a leading role by transforming interactions with consumers, rethinking supply chains and business models, and helping shape policies to accelerate change.
3. While some progress has been made, a much larger scale and faster pace of action is needed from both businesses and governments to adequately address sustainability challenges around resources, carbon emissions, and consumer behavior.
4. CEOs recognize the need for collaborative action across
Rising home prices and declining housing supply signal an end to the economic downturn. If home price increases continue as expected, it will boost construction jobs and consumer spending. Growing home equity from price increases will add over $1 trillion to the economy in the next year. However, lawmakers must address the fiscal cliff issues around tax cuts and spending before the new year to avoid derailing the economic momentum.
Swedbank was founded in 1820, as Sweden’s first savings bank was established. Today, our heritage is visible in that we truly are a bank for each and every one and in that we still strive to contribute to a sustainable development of society and our environment. We are strongly committed to society as a whole and keen to help bring about a sustainable form of societal development. Our Swedish operations hold an ISO 14001 environmental certification, and environmental work is an integral part of our business activities.
The document provides an overview of the causes of the global economic crisis that began in 2007. It discusses how reckless and irresponsible lending practices, including low documentation loans and increasing home prices due to speculation, led to many homeowners defaulting on subprime mortgages in 2006. These defaults were bundled into mortgage-backed securities that were often given high credit ratings and sold off, obscuring the risks. A perfect storm of factors like off-balance sheet vehicles and the "wealth effect" that encouraged risky behavior ultimately caused the system to unravel.
1) China's economic growth is slowing considerably, with the risk of a "hard landing" increased. GDP growth is projected to be just below 8% this year with moderate stimulus to counter the slowdown.
2) A hard landing in China's economy could have significant negative effects on the global economy as China accounts for around 50% of global growth. It would also impact financial, commodity, and trade markets.
3) Slower growth in China would negatively affect exporting countries and commodity prices, with countries like Germany, Japan, Sweden, the US, Australia, Indonesia, and Brazil feeling the effects. It could also cause turbulence in global financial markets.
The document discusses the economic environments facing international businesses. It covers topics like the importance of analyzing a country's economic conditions, key elements of economic environments like GNI per capita, definitions of different economic systems (market, command, mixed), the economic freedom index, and transitioning economies. It also provides an overview of the BRIC countries (Brazil, Russia, India, China), including their current and future economic potential, challenges they face, and implications for international businesses. The document ends with discussion questions about interpreting the BRIC economic situations and potentials.
The document discusses the economic environments facing international businesses. It covers topics like the elements of economic environments, definitions of economic systems, the economic freedom index, and conditions for market economies to grow consistently. It also provides an overview of the BRIC countries (Brazil, Russia, India, China) and discusses their potential economic trajectories and challenges as emerging markets.
1) The document discusses concerns around increasing public debt levels in advanced economies and how this may hamper future growth. It outlines the economic impacts of the 2008 financial crisis and rising debt levels globally.
2) It analyzes different policy options for addressing high debt such as debt restructuring, inflation, fiscal consolidation, and promoting economic growth. Each option is assessed in terms of strengths, weaknesses and feasibility.
3) The recommendation is that no single approach will work and a combination of transparency, accountability, fiscal repression, and selective fiscal consolidation can help curb debt growth while promoting economic recovery.
1) The document discusses the ongoing process of deleveraging (reducing debt levels) in developed countries since the 2008 financial crisis. It focuses on the experiences of the US, UK, and Spain.
2) US households have reduced their debt levels the most so far (4% decrease), possibly being halfway through the deleveraging process. UK and Spanish households have deleveraged much less (under 1% decrease).
3) Historical examples suggest countries can take 5-7 years to complete deleveraging. Private sector debt reduction typically precedes public sector deleveraging, which usually only occurs after GDP growth rebounds.
After the storm- Global Financial Crisis 27 aug 2010Gaurav Sharma
Global Financial Order - Reasons for Crisis, Current Status, The BIG Shifts- Public Debt, Global De-leverage, Wealth Concetration & Creation.
Talk Delivered at Fore School Of Management, new Delhi
Deloitte. Shift Index 2010 - Importance of PassionLyndsay Potts
This document provides an overview and update of the Deloitte Center for the Edge's Shift Index, which measures long-term trends in business performance and the forces driving change. Key findings include:
1) Worker passion remains low and competitive intensity has more than doubled over the past 40 years, while returns on assets have declined significantly for most firms.
2) The economic downturn has influenced some trends in the short-term, slowing capital movement and decreasing competitive intensity, but long-term trends point to continued pressure on business performance.
3) The Shift Index tracks changes in the "foundations", "flows", and "impacts" of business - foundations capture changes enabling new opportunities, flows look at knowledge
The Sustainable Shipping Initiative brings together major shipping companies and stakeholders to plan for a sustainable future for the shipping industry. It aims to transform the industry by establishing new sustainable approaches as the norm. The initiative will look beyond immediate regulations to key challenges like navigating economic changes, increasing scrutiny, and energy/climate issues over the next 30 years. It will take an integrated and global approach to addressing these sustainability challenges.
- After positive returns in the first three quarters of 2011, global markets saw negative returns in the second quarter due to normal volatility, though prospects for economic recession remain remote.
- While economic growth has slowed globally, it is still positive and temporary factors like disruptions from Japan's disasters and commodity price rises have contributed; leading indicators remain positive.
- European sovereign debt issues continue regarding some countries' debt levels and management, but efforts to address problems have been taken and debt is still seen as manageable.
- Outlook remains positive for continued growth in the second half of 2011 and beyond, though expect continued short-term market volatility; long-term discipline and diversification are recommended.
The document discusses how the recession has impacted consumer spending habits and how consumers will pay for goods going forward. It notes that consumers are deleveraging and taking on less debt due to job losses and stagnant wages. While credit card usage fueled spending for decades, consumers will now likely shift to debit cards and alternative payment methods. This change creates opportunities for new payment companies and technologies to fill the gap left by reduced credit availability and help consumers continue to purchase goods and services.
1. The global economy is recovering from the 2008 recession and entering a new phase where growth will be more balanced across countries.
2. Countries that relied heavily on consumer debt and spending, like the US and UK, will experience slower growth as households pay down debt and save more. Growth will come more from exports, business investment, and government spending.
3. Countries that relied on exports, like China, will need to shift toward growth driven by domestic consumer spending to maintain rapid growth. This will require policies to stimulate consumer finance and consumption.
4. Overall the global economy is rebalancing as debtor countries save more and export more, while creditor countries boost domestic demand, in a shift away from the imbalanced
The document summarizes the key global risks in the coming decade according to the World Economic Forum's Global Risks 2011 report. It identifies 5 cross-cutting risks that exacerbate other risks and inhibit an effective response, including economic disparity and failures of global governance. It also notes 3 clusters of strongly interconnected risks: 1) macroeconomic imbalances, 2) illegal economy imbalances, and 3) risks relating to food, energy, and water security. The document additionally outlines 4 "outlier" risks that could rapidly move toward the center of attention, as well as 5 emerging trends that require continued monitoring.
China high speed rail (general distribution)Dinah Saw
China has rapidly expanded its high-speed rail (HSR) network over the past decade and aims to complete a national HSR network by 2020. This will connect major cities and consolidate China's economic centers. While HSR can carry some goods, its main economic impact will be on passenger travel and the flow of people and services. It may accelerate the formation of megacity clusters in China and boost connectivity between economic regions along HSR corridors. Regionally, a proposed China-ASEAN HSR line could consolidate China's role in Asian trade and Singapore's position as a major services hub, while some medium-sized cities may lose out to larger hubs connected by HSR.
The document outlines a plan to reform and develop the Pearl River Delta region by 2020. It aims to 1) knit together the region's cities and infrastructure, 2) move manufacturing up the value chain into more advanced industries, and 3) develop competitive service hubs to match Hong Kong and Macau. Successful reforms would create a highly interconnected cluster of advanced cities driving growth in South China and beyond in an environmentally sustainable way.
This report examines Singapore's competitiveness in light of three key challenges:
1) Assessing the impact of the global economic crisis on Singapore's economic performance and fundamentals.
2) Evaluating Singapore's transition from an investment-driven to an innovation-driven economy.
3) Exploring reasons for Singapore's lack of productivity growth relative to other advanced economies.
The report uses Porter's competitiveness framework to analyze Singapore's economic indicators, competitiveness drivers, and policy implications.
This document discusses young Singaporeans and their attitudes, values, and views on success. Some key points:
1. Young Singaporeans are optimistic but realistic, believing that hard work is needed to achieve goals.
2. They feel connected to the global world through technology and are outward-looking, curious about other places.
3. Views on success have changed, valuing balance, family, experiences over money and status. Entrepreneurship is on the rise.
The document discusses the concept of "no frills" products and businesses. It provides examples of no frills approaches across various industries like transportation, consumer electronics, healthcare, and more. A key driver of no frills is the growing affluent middle class in places like India and China. The document also discusses how companies implement no frills strategies by stripping away unnecessary features and costs to lower prices and create new demand. It analyzes several successful case studies and poses questions about applying no frills approaches.
The document summarizes a report on how a melting Arctic could impact global shipping routes and Singapore's position as a shipping hub. As the Arctic sea ice recedes, potentially becoming ice-free in summer as early as 2040, new trans-Arctic shipping routes like the Northwest Passage and Northern Sea Route could open up. This could reroute some trade from using the Suez Canal route through Singapore to shorter Arctic routes. However, the economic viability and the extent of impact on Singapore remains uncertain. The document outlines opportunities for Singapore's maritime sector to take advantage of and position itself in the emerging Arctic landscape, such as developing new trans-shipment hubs, building ice-class vessels, and providing services like ship registration
The document discusses Singapore's Futures Group and its work in futures thinking and foresight. It provides background on Singapore's economy and establishes the Futures Group and wider government futures network. It outlines the Futures Group's process of desk research, ground sensing, and analysis & ideation. It lists some of the outputs including lines of inquiry on emerging trends, videos on topics like "The Rise of the Rest" and "The Great Reset", and contributions to research papers and project teams. The purpose is to strategize and identify big ideas for Singapore's future economic development.
2427 Eva Scenarios Playing Fields Of The FutureDinah Saw
The document presents four global scenarios for the future:
1. Comeback of the West - The US and Western economies recover quickly from crisis. Western institutions are reformed but not fully on Western terms. Global growth is moderate.
2. Chinese capitalism - Asia recovers faster than the West. China becomes more influential globally. Growth is higher in Asia.
3. Battle of the blocs - Crisis is deep and prolonged. Competition between blocs increases as cooperation declines. Global growth is slow.
4. Stimulus and collapse - Crisis leads to sluggish growth worldwide. US dollar collapses, severely impacting the global economy. Growth is negative or slow.
The document discusses bottom of the pyramid (BOP) innovation in India and key takeaways from the Emtech India 2009 conference. BOP could unlock India's potential by providing low-cost education, healthcare, etc. to sustainably improve people's lives. However, there are still major challenges around scaling BOP solutions due to lack of standardization, networks, and government support. The conclusion is that while plenty of BOP innovations exist in India, no real breakthroughs were seen in 2009 and it remains difficult to cross the chasm from pilots to widespread impact without more coordination and assistance.
Outsights The Futureofthe Global Economyto2030Dinah Saw
The four scenarios explore potential futures for the global economy to 2030 based on uncertainties around technology and models for allocating resources. Scenario 1, "Planned Progress," envisions central governments coordinating resource allocation and driving innovation through "Manhattan Projects" for energy. Scenario 2, "Riding the Tiger," sees limited government and free markets delivering technological solutions through innovation as commodity prices rise. Scenario 3, "On Hold," results in a slow government response to challenges. Scenario 4, "Life in the Slow Lane," involves nationalistic responses and rationing to overcome resource constraints.
The document summarizes Juan Enriquez's presentation on the root causes of the 2008 financial crisis and proposes 10 commandments for the first 60 days of the next US president to address the systemic debt issues facing the country. The presentation argues that over-leveraging, risky financial instruments, and excessive debt levels across government, corporations and individuals caused the crisis and that simply spending and borrowing more will not solve the problem. Drastic action is needed to cut entitlements, debt, military spending and healthcare costs in order to get US spending in line with revenues and restore fiscal responsibility.
This document summarizes a conference on youth trends, social media, creativity and innovation in Asia. It discusses several presentations:
1. The conference used a Pecha Kucha style with 21 short speakers to keep things fast-paced and focused.
2. A session on local culture in Singapore discussed how the city-state is starting to develop its own creative identity after absorbing influences from other cultures.
3. A NASA representative discussed how the agency partnered with external communities and used social media to engage youth and develop space-related projects and games.
4. A presentation on middle-class anxiety in China explained how youth face pressures from wealth accumulation and turn to online sharing or hedonism
The document discusses trends in global fertility rates and the rise of the "baby business" market. Key points:
- Fertility rates have fallen worldwide since the 1960s due to factors like increased access to contraception and women's education. By 2040-2050, world fertility is projected to fall below the replacement rate of 2.1 children per woman.
- Declining birth rates pose economic threats as populations age and shrink. Some countries like Japan will see population declines within the next decade.
- Rising infertility rates and demand for children have spawned a lucrative global baby-making industry including IVF treatment, fertility drugs, sperm/egg donation, surrogacy and stem cell banking. The US
Future Of Portable Power For DistributionDinah Saw
The document discusses the future of portable power and battery technologies. It outlines key drivers like the proliferation of portable devices and green car movements. Secondary battery technologies like lithium-ion batteries are seen as promising due to their high energy density, low self-discharge rates, and minimal memory effects. Many automakers are developing electric vehicles and partnering with battery companies. Widespread adoption of electric vehicles could help optimize energy usage and support electricity grids through vehicle-to-grid technologies.
This document discusses what makes cities successful at attracting and retaining talent. It argues that cities have replaced large corporations as the central organizing unit for economic and social activity. The key factors that attract talent to cities are its "hardware" like public spaces, infrastructure and neighborhoods, and its "software" like culture, openness and a sense of hope for the future. Singapore performs well in terms of hardware but is still developing its software. The document suggests Singapore could improve in areas like celebrating failure, being more welcoming to foreigners and different types of people, and developing a stronger sense of hope and ambition for the future.
The document discusses challenges and opportunities in the global food system. It notes that food production must increase 50% by 2030 and double by 2050 to meet rising demand. New solutions are needed to boost yields while addressing constraints like water scarcity and less arable land. Emerging technologies like genetically modified crops, vertical farming, and stem cell meat cultivation may help meet future needs. Maintaining genetic diversity through seed banks is also important for ensuring climate-resilient crops.
Easy Earnings Through Refer and Earn Apps Without KYC.pptxFx Lotus
Learn how to make extra money with refer and earn apps that don’t require KYC. Find out the advantages, top apps, and strategies to boost your earnings quickly and easily.
L'indice de performance des ports à conteneurs de l'année 2023SPATPortToamasina
Une évaluation comparable de la performance basée sur le temps d'escale des navires
L'objectif de l'ICPP est d'identifier les domaines d'amélioration qui peuvent en fin de compte bénéficier à toutes les parties concernées, des compagnies maritimes aux gouvernements nationaux en passant par les consommateurs. Il est conçu pour servir de point de référence aux principaux acteurs de l'économie mondiale, notamment les autorités et les opérateurs portuaires, les gouvernements nationaux, les organisations supranationales, les agences de développement, les divers intérêts maritimes et d'autres acteurs publics et privés du commerce, de la logistique et des services de la chaîne d'approvisionnement.
Le développement de l'ICPP repose sur le temps total passé par les porte-conteneurs dans les ports, de la manière expliquée dans les sections suivantes du rapport, et comme dans les itérations précédentes de l'ICPP. Cette quatrième itération utilise des données pour l'année civile complète 2023. Elle poursuit le changement introduit l'année dernière en n'incluant que les ports qui ont eu un minimum de 24 escales valides au cours de la période de 12 mois de l'étude. Le nombre de ports inclus dans l'ICPP 2023 est de 405.
Comme dans les éditions précédentes de l'ICPP, la production du classement fait appel à deux approches méthodologiques différentes : une approche administrative, ou technique, une méthodologie pragmatique reflétant les connaissances et le jugement des experts ; et une approche statistique, utilisant l'analyse factorielle (AF), ou plus précisément la factorisation matricielle. L'utilisation de ces deux approches vise à garantir que le classement des performances des ports à conteneurs reflète le plus fidèlement possible les performances réelles des ports, tout en étant statistiquement robuste.
SATTA MATKA DPBOSS KALYAN MATKA RESULTS KALYAN CHART KALYAN MATKA MATKA RESULT KALYAN MATKA TIPS SATTA MATKA MATKA COM MATKA PANA JODI TODAY BATTA SATKA MATKA PATTI JODI NUMBER MATKA RESULTS MATKA CHART MATKA JODI SATTA COM INDIA SATTA MATKA MATKA TIPS MATKA WAPKA ALL MATKA RESULT LIVE ONLINE MATKA RESULT KALYAN MATKA RESULT DPBOSS MATKA 143 MAIN MATKA KALYAN MATKA RESULTS KALYAN CHART
Adani Group's Active Interest In Increasing Its Presence in the Cement Manufa...Adani case
Time and again, the business group has taken up new business ventures, each of which has allowed it to expand its horizons further and reach new heights. Even amidst the Adani CBI Investigation, the firm has always focused on improving its cement business.
SATTA MATKA DPBOSS KALYAN MATKA RESULTS KALYAN CHART KALYAN MATKA MATKA RESULT KALYAN MATKA TIPS SATTA MATKA MATKA COM MATKA PANA JODI TODAY BATTA SATKA MATKA PATTI JODI NUMBER MATKA RESULTS MATKA CHART MATKA JODI SATTA COM INDIA SATTA MATKA MATKA TIPS MATKA WAPKA ALL MATKA RESULT LIVE ONLINE MATKA RESULT KALYAN MATKA RESULT DPBOSS MATKA 143 MAIN MATKA KALYAN MATKA RESULTS KALYAN CHART INDIA MATKA KALYAN SATTA MATKA 420 INDIAN MATKA SATTA KING MATKA FIX JODI FIX FIX FIX SATTA NAMBAR MATKA INDIA SATTA BATTA
Enhancing Adoption of AI in Agri-food: IntroductionCor Verdouw
Introduction to the Panel on: Pathways and Challenges: AI-Driven Technology in Agri-Food, AI4Food, University of Guelph
“Enhancing Adoption of AI in Agri-food: a Path Forward”, 18 June 2024
Adani Group Requests For Additional Land For Its Dharavi Redevelopment Projec...Adani case
It will bring about growth and development not only in Maharashtra but also in our country as a whole, which will experience prosperity. The project will also give the Adani Group an opportunity to rise above the controversies that have been ongoing since the Adani CBI Investigation.
SATTA MATKA DPBOSS KALYAN MATKA RESULTS KALYAN CHART KALYAN MATKA MATKA RESULT KALYAN MATKA TIPS SATTA MATKA MATKA COM MATKA PANA JODI TODAY BATTA SATKA MATKA PATTI JODI NUMBER MATKA RESULTS MATKA CHART MATKA JODI SATTA COM INDIA SATTA MATKA MATKA TIPS MATKA WAPKA ALL MATKA RESULT LIVE ONLINE MATKA RESULT KALYAN MATKA RESULT DPBOSS MATKA 143 MAIN MATKA KALYAN MATKA RESULTS KALYAN CHART
Cover Story - China's Investment Leader - Dr. Alyce SUmsthrill
In World Expo 2010 Shanghai – the most visited Expo in the World History
https://www.britannica.com/event/Expo-Shanghai-2010
China’s official organizer of the Expo, CCPIT (China Council for the Promotion of International Trade https://en.ccpit.org/) has chosen Dr. Alyce Su as the Cover Person with Cover Story, in the Expo’s official magazine distributed throughout the Expo, showcasing China’s New Generation of Leaders to the World.
"𝑩𝑬𝑮𝑼𝑵 𝑾𝑰𝑻𝑯 𝑻𝑱 𝑰𝑺 𝑯𝑨𝑳𝑭 𝑫𝑶𝑵𝑬"
𝐓𝐉 𝐂𝐨𝐦𝐬 (𝐓𝐉 𝐂𝐨𝐦𝐦𝐮𝐧𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬) is a professional event agency that includes experts in the event-organizing market in Vietnam, Korea, and ASEAN countries. We provide unlimited types of events from Music concerts, Fan meetings, and Culture festivals to Corporate events, Internal company events, Golf tournaments, MICE events, and Exhibitions. 𝐓𝐉 𝐂𝐨𝐦𝐬 provides unlimited package services including such as Event organizing, Event planning, Event production, Manpower, PR marketing, Design 2D/3D, VIP protocols, Interpreter agency, etc.
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➢SUPER JUNIOR-L.S.S. THE SHOW : Th3ee Guys in HO CHI MINH
➢WOW K-Music Festival 2023
➢ Winner [CROSS] Tour in HCM
➢ Super Show 9 in HCM with Super Junior
➢ HCMC - Gyeongsangbuk-do Culture and Tourism Festival
➢ Korean Vietnam Partnership - Fair with LG
➢ Korean President visits Samsung Electronics R&D Center
➢ Vietnam Food Expo with Lotte Wellfood
➢ Daewon Pharm Year End Party
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"𝐄𝐯𝐞𝐫𝐲 𝐞𝐯𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐢𝐬 𝐚 𝐬𝐭𝐨𝐫𝐲, 𝐚 𝐬𝐩𝐞𝐜𝐢𝐚𝐥 𝐣𝐨𝐮𝐫𝐧𝐞𝐲. 𝐖𝐞 𝐚𝐥𝐰𝐚𝐲𝐬 𝐛𝐞𝐥𝐢𝐞𝐯𝐞 𝐭𝐡𝐚𝐭 𝐬𝐡𝐨𝐫𝐭𝐥𝐲 𝐲𝐨𝐮 𝐰𝐢𝐥𝐥 𝐛𝐞 𝐚 𝐩𝐚𝐫𝐭 𝐨𝐟 𝐨𝐮𝐫 𝐬𝐭𝐨𝐫𝐢𝐞𝐬."
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2. WHAT IS CHIMERICA?
FOUR UNCERTAINTIES
WHAT MIGHT GLOBAL DEMAND
LOOK LIKE AFTER THE CRISIS?
THREE POST-
FIVE STRATEGIES
CRISIS MODELS
3. Chimerica : no independent ‘rise of the rest’.
Accounts for over 60% of the world’s cumulative growth for the past 5 years.
Emerging periphery relied
on final demand in the G3.
CORE Accumulated earnings were
recycled back to the core.
Financial innovation
channeled the credit supply
to residential investment,
fueling a housing asset
boom which boosted
consumption.
Export-led growth allowed
PERIPHERY for rapid industrialization
and urbanization in
emerging Asia, prompting
large spikes in commodity
prices.
4. WHAT IS CHIMERICA?
FOUR UNCERTAINTIES
WHAT MIGHT GLOBAL DEMAND
LOOK LIKE AFTER THE CRISIS?
THREE POST-
FIVE STRATEGIES
CRISIS MODELS
5. The current crisis: Chimerica has temporarily collapsed.
There are four major uncertainties leading from the crisis. Each uncertainty may have
legacy effects that can move the world permanently away from Chimerica.
Changes in
composition of final
consumption
behavior
6. Legacy effect one: rising public debt
Sustained financing of this debt may break down.
Raises
probability of
country default.
Move from LT to
ST debt.
7. Legacy effect two: increased government intervention
Intervention may stifle innovation and future growth.
The greater
regulatory oversight
and tighter lending
standards may stunt
future growth in
startups and cause
technological
innovation to slow.
In the long run, this
may induce a severe
rollback in private
consumption
demand as long-run
growth slows with
declining innovation.
8. Legacy effect three: persistent protectionism
“Buy America” and beggar thy neighbor exchange rate policies may spark a
trade war.
The enactment of the
Smoot Hawley Act in the
1930s sparked a rapid
downward spiral in global
trade.
Competitive devaluation
and non-tariff barriers may
trigger retaliatory action.
9. Legacy effect four: G3 consumption changes
G3 consumers are saving more in response to a downturn.
US consumers
accounts for 70%
of US GDP.
Failure of the US
stimulus package
could lead to
sustained
negative growth
and bleak long-
term employment
prospects in the
US. This may, in
turn, entrench
savings habits.
Source: US Council of Economic Advisors
10. WHAT IS CHIMERICA?
FOUR UNCERTAINTIES
WHAT MIGHT GLOBAL DEMAND
LOOK LIKE AFTER THE CRISIS?
THREE POST-
FIVE STRATEGIES
CRISIS MODELS
11. Post-crisis: three demand models
Snakes and Ladders transition. The dice is rolling …Where will we end up?
MODEL C
MENAGERIE
PRE-CRISIS
CHIMERICA
MODEL A
WOUNDED
BEAST
MODEL B
CHASM
12. WOUNDED
BEAST
WB No fundamental shift from
Chimerica occurs.
Developed countries
continue to power growth.
15 SEPT. 2008 at THE G3
Emerging Asia continues to
fund G3.
PERSISTENT GOVT DEBT
FRAGILE BALANCE SHEETS However this is not a return
to the status quo. This is a
FUTURE ASSET BUBBLES
transitory model.
RESOURCE VOLATILITY
The world is plagued by
more volatility as
imbalances are
exacerbated.
Wounded
Beast Each subsequent crisis
weakens this model.
High cost, High growth,
High volatility.
Key message: Resilience
13. CROSSING
THE CHASM
The world sees a
sustained shortfall in G3
demand.
Rising Asia looks inward
towards domestic
demand, but this may not
be fast enough to restore
world growth to previous
levels.
The period of adjustment
could be painful and might
take decades.
How can we grow in this
model?
High cost, low growth, low
volatility.
Key message: Survival
14. Chasm: consumption in emerging Asia
How fast can Asian consumers become a source of final demand?
The middle class is
projected to surge –
particularly in developing
countries and Asia.
But it may take decades for
37 Years consumption in emerging
Asia to drive global
2.1%
demand.
Consumption* in 2007
If…
China and India could be
• World GDP grows at 4%,
beset with political and
• China’s GDP grows at 9%,
social unrest.
• China’s consumption share
of its GDP grows at 1% 17.5%
Consumption in 2007
*as a percentage of world GDP
15. $1,400
MENAGERIE
43
bil $4,500
mil
$200bil
$500bil bil
36
$110bil
4mil
mil
This is the emergence of
100
mega-city regions in Asia as
46 mil
mil
sophisticated, self-sufficient
centers of final demand.
Automobiles
electronics
66 mil
Regions could grow by
$130bil $430bil
Highly innovative High tech innovation, mfg,
complementing each other,
companies, finance, design
electronics, 18
or through inward-looking
telecoms, flat mil
120 mil
panel displays
development.
$220bil
45 mil
How can we be
$50bil
irreplaceable in Asia’s
future?
$130bil
72 mil
High cost, High growth, low
20mil
Semiconductor
volatility.
$100bil
production facilities
19 mil
$50bil
*The orange bar is Light Regional Product,
62 mil
using satellite data of the light emitted at
night. Higher concentration of light is
$60bil correlated with stronger economic production.
Data on regional economic production is not
$100bil
comprehensive, so this proxy is useful for
6mil
comparison.
R Florida’s “Who’s your City?”
Disk drive, niche in S&T, top Western Universities,
creative center, high culture and street culture, top
Key message: Relevance
destination for all lifestyles
16. Menagerie: Pearl River Delta snapshot
How fast can they shift gears from servicing exports to their domestic market?
PRD excluding HK, Macau (2007 figures)
¥711 bn
GDP pp RMB 53,820, or 2.8 times national average
10 mil
3.6% China’s population but 8.8% of national retail sales
3.8 mil
¥60 bn
Trade, MICE
Mfg in auto parts ..
¥361 bn 7 mil ¥315 bn
F&B products
6 mil 4 mil
¥111 bn
Mfg in industrial ceramics… Mfg in laser diodes, electronics…
Mfg in electronics …
¥681 bn
8.6 mil
2.5 mil ¥123 bn ¥2,002 bn
Mfg in lighting, motorcycles… Logistics, Financial Center
Mfg in electronics, computers..
¥90 bn
4.5 mil ¥111 bn 7 mil
1.5 mil
Port
¥110 bn
Petrochemicals, Machinery 0.5 mil Financial, MICE, Business Svc, Port, Intl airport Center…
Entertainment, MICE Center
17. WHAT IS CHIMERICA?
FOUR UNCERTAINTIES
WHAT MIGHT GLOBAL DEMAND
LOOK LIKE AFTER THE CRISIS?
THREE POST-
FIVE STRATEGIES
CRISIS MODELS
18. Five strategies: preparing for the shift away from Chimerica
Some suggestions …
Strategy Most important for
WOUNDED BEAST
Coping with increased
volatility and resource
scarcity Food
Energy Metals Water Scalable
&Minerals
Ensure resource security Infrastructure
Tapping on emerging
CROSSING THE CHASM
Asia’s sub-economies
Diversify from G3 final demand
Urban Public sector
Rural
Consumption investment
Consumption
Generating through flow MENAGERIE
of consumers
Tap on foreign consumption
Finishing school
Youth culture
Fertility Treatment Film, TV, anime
Baby Education Manga culture
MENAGERIE
Building niche capabilities
Irreplaceable in Asia’s future
New agriculture New aquaculture
Building our hinterland MENAGERIE
Tap into hinterland final demand
Integrate with immediate region
with transport infrastructure.