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Impact of the current economic situation
   on supply chain strategy in Russia

                        Christian Leysen
                  Executive Chairman Ahlers nv



  7th European 3PL Summit
  Brussels, 24 & 25 November 2009
100 years of Ahlers History

             1909 shipping agent in the port of
             Antwerp

             60s expansion into liner services and ship
             management

             70s - 80s expansion into international
             forwarding and warehousing

             90s expansion and internationalisation of
             all 4 activities

             2009 a global logistic and maritime
             service provider
Ahlers : 1 Company, 4 Activities




   Crewing           Liner agencies        Break bulk      Warehousing
   Training          Port agencies         Containers     Added services
   Projects

    20 staff                       580 staff                 220 staff
  300 seamen

Belgium, France,   15 countries in Asia, CIS and Europe   Belgium, Russia,
Congo, Angola,                                                Ukraine
     Gabon
Our Network




Warehouses
   • Ghent
   • St-Petersburg
   • Kharkiv
   • Dnepropetrovsk
   • Shanghai
   • Semarang
Facts & Figures

           HQ in Antwerp, Belgium

           Own entities in 20 countries : Africa,
           Asia, CIS and Europe

           1,120 people - € 270 million turnover

           Partner network around the world

           100 years – privately owned by
           founders family
1960’s

Ahlers operated liner trade on
Baltic Sea to nordic countries and
former Soviet Union in 1960’s
(Ventspils -at that time USSR,
now Latvia).
Antwerp Hansa Cruise 1992




                            Vladimir Putin
History of Ahlers in Russia
                1993 Liner & forwarding agent

                1996 Started as warehouse
                      (rented) operator

                1997 Licensed customs broker

                2000 Purchase land plot

                2003 Start construction ALC
Ahlers in Russia Today

              Shipping agency

              International Forwarding:
              multimodal solutions

              Specialist in project and break bulk
              cargo


      200     Licensed customs broker
     people
              Ahlers Logistic Centre (ALC)
Customs Brokerage

         Licensed since 1997

         Listed in Register of Customs
         Brokers with non limited region
         of activities

         Operate with Baltic, St.
         Petersburg, Pulkovo and Excise
         Customs houses

         Own offices in port area
Ahlers Logistic Centre (ALC)
- in the region of sea port
Location         - on the ring road of St. Pete
                 - close to the main transport routes




     SEA PORT


                            80 km
                                            RING ROAD



           ALC
ALC
ALC
Economic situation in Russia

                       G ( % real change pa)
                        DP                                                        Consumer price inflation
                                                                                   ( % real change pa; av)
        8
        6                                                            20
        4
                                                                     15
        2
        0
                                                                     10
        -2    2008      2009        2010       2011        2012
        -4                                                            5
        -6
                                                                      0
        -8
                                                                            2008     2009    2010        2011    2012
                     RUSSIA    MAIN CIS    EAST E P
                                               ERN URO E                        RUSSIA    MAIN CIS       EAST EURO
                                                                                                             ERN   PE


Source: Russia business outlook, The Economist, November 2009


Main CIS: Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Moldova, Russia, Ukraine, Uzbekistan
Eastern Europe: Bulgaria, Croatia, Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Lithuania, Latvia, Macedonia, Poland, Romania, Slovakia,
Slovenia
Living Standards
Retail sales
Market size indicators
                                      2009     2013
Population (million)                  141.4    139.6
Nominal GDP (US$bn)                   1,285    1,916


GDP per head (US$ at PPP)            14,900   18,390
Private consumption per head (US$)    4,580    6,750
Total imports (US$bn)                  205      294


Private consumption (% of GDP)         50.5     49.1
Government consumption (% of GDP)      19.4     18.2
Gross fixed investment (% of GDP)      20.3     19.5
Why is SCM hot ?
Where are the opportunities?

 Human Resources
  –   Employer loyalty
  –   Management model
  –   Nationalism + regional competition
  –   Know how

 Physical product flows
  –   Bottlenecks
  –   Administration & regulation related issues
  –   Short term vision embedded in culture
  –   Uncertainty -> forecasting ?
Where are the opportunities ?

 Customs
  – Changes in import duties for some products to
    stimulate added value industry
  – Closure of main customs points in Moscow
  – 1 customs zone for RU, BY, KZ

 Survival of the fittest
  – Supply chain management gets more C-level
    attention
  – M&A opportunities
  – Capacity moves to capability
A practicle example




            Consumer Goods
              Real life case
Situation as it was
2009

    Asia


                                                              Central Asia
                                                                 CIS




                                                                 KZ
                                       NDC Russia (ALC)




                                                                 X- dock
   Europe




                                                          Wholesaler - regions




  Local prod




                                                          Retail DC MOW LSP 2



                           CIS HQ CG




                                                           Buffer Stock MOW LSP 3


           Physical flow
Near Future ?
Challenges of tomorrow


        Topograhy




Source: Cap Gemini
Join us on www.ahlers.com
More information ?

Stefan Van Doorslaer
General Manager Ahlers Russia
stefan.van.doorslaer@ahlers.com
+ 7.921.903.87.28


Ellen Theeuwes
Business Development Manager Ahlers Logistics
ellen.theeuwes@ahlers.com
+ 32.3.543.77.25


Christian Leysen
Executive Chairman Ahlers nv
cleysen@ahlers.com
+ 32.3.543.73.11

www.ahlers.com
www.ahlers.com

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Christian Leysen, Ahlers on Economy: Get Ready for the Rebound'

  • 1. Impact of the current economic situation on supply chain strategy in Russia Christian Leysen Executive Chairman Ahlers nv 7th European 3PL Summit Brussels, 24 & 25 November 2009
  • 2. 100 years of Ahlers History 1909 shipping agent in the port of Antwerp 60s expansion into liner services and ship management 70s - 80s expansion into international forwarding and warehousing 90s expansion and internationalisation of all 4 activities 2009 a global logistic and maritime service provider
  • 3. Ahlers : 1 Company, 4 Activities Crewing Liner agencies Break bulk Warehousing Training Port agencies Containers Added services Projects 20 staff 580 staff 220 staff 300 seamen Belgium, France, 15 countries in Asia, CIS and Europe Belgium, Russia, Congo, Angola, Ukraine Gabon
  • 4. Our Network Warehouses • Ghent • St-Petersburg • Kharkiv • Dnepropetrovsk • Shanghai • Semarang
  • 5. Facts & Figures HQ in Antwerp, Belgium Own entities in 20 countries : Africa, Asia, CIS and Europe 1,120 people - € 270 million turnover Partner network around the world 100 years – privately owned by founders family
  • 6. 1960’s Ahlers operated liner trade on Baltic Sea to nordic countries and former Soviet Union in 1960’s (Ventspils -at that time USSR, now Latvia).
  • 7. Antwerp Hansa Cruise 1992 Vladimir Putin
  • 8. History of Ahlers in Russia 1993 Liner & forwarding agent 1996 Started as warehouse (rented) operator 1997 Licensed customs broker 2000 Purchase land plot 2003 Start construction ALC
  • 9. Ahlers in Russia Today Shipping agency International Forwarding: multimodal solutions Specialist in project and break bulk cargo 200 Licensed customs broker people Ahlers Logistic Centre (ALC)
  • 10. Customs Brokerage Licensed since 1997 Listed in Register of Customs Brokers with non limited region of activities Operate with Baltic, St. Petersburg, Pulkovo and Excise Customs houses Own offices in port area
  • 12. - in the region of sea port Location - on the ring road of St. Pete - close to the main transport routes SEA PORT 80 km RING ROAD ALC
  • 13. ALC
  • 14. ALC
  • 15. Economic situation in Russia G ( % real change pa) DP Consumer price inflation ( % real change pa; av) 8 6 20 4 15 2 0 10 -2 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 -4 5 -6 0 -8 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 RUSSIA MAIN CIS EAST E P ERN URO E RUSSIA MAIN CIS EAST EURO ERN PE Source: Russia business outlook, The Economist, November 2009 Main CIS: Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Moldova, Russia, Ukraine, Uzbekistan Eastern Europe: Bulgaria, Croatia, Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Lithuania, Latvia, Macedonia, Poland, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia
  • 18. Market size indicators 2009 2013 Population (million) 141.4 139.6 Nominal GDP (US$bn) 1,285 1,916 GDP per head (US$ at PPP) 14,900 18,390 Private consumption per head (US$) 4,580 6,750 Total imports (US$bn) 205 294 Private consumption (% of GDP) 50.5 49.1 Government consumption (% of GDP) 19.4 18.2 Gross fixed investment (% of GDP) 20.3 19.5
  • 19. Why is SCM hot ?
  • 20. Where are the opportunities? Human Resources – Employer loyalty – Management model – Nationalism + regional competition – Know how Physical product flows – Bottlenecks – Administration & regulation related issues – Short term vision embedded in culture – Uncertainty -> forecasting ?
  • 21. Where are the opportunities ? Customs – Changes in import duties for some products to stimulate added value industry – Closure of main customs points in Moscow – 1 customs zone for RU, BY, KZ Survival of the fittest – Supply chain management gets more C-level attention – M&A opportunities – Capacity moves to capability
  • 22. A practicle example Consumer Goods Real life case
  • 24. 2009 Asia Central Asia CIS KZ NDC Russia (ALC) X- dock Europe Wholesaler - regions Local prod Retail DC MOW LSP 2 CIS HQ CG Buffer Stock MOW LSP 3 Physical flow
  • 26. Challenges of tomorrow Topograhy Source: Cap Gemini
  • 27. Join us on www.ahlers.com
  • 28. More information ? Stefan Van Doorslaer General Manager Ahlers Russia stefan.van.doorslaer@ahlers.com + 7.921.903.87.28 Ellen Theeuwes Business Development Manager Ahlers Logistics ellen.theeuwes@ahlers.com + 32.3.543.77.25 Christian Leysen Executive Chairman Ahlers nv cleysen@ahlers.com + 32.3.543.73.11 www.ahlers.com