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Presented by:
JIM BARNES
SR. MANAGING PARTNER
Inventory Flow:
The Key to
Network Strategy
Design Success!
Sponsored by:
© 2015 MHI®
Copyright claimed for audiovisual works and
sound recordings of seminar sessions. All rights reserved.
Key Takeaways:
• Is Network Strategy Design something your company should
consider – who benefits and when
• The critical components and steps necessary for a successful
Network Strategy Design project
• How to determine Inventory Flow – what are the key
considerations and best practices
• Best practices and lessons learned from companies that have
successfully redesigned their supply chain network
• Typical ROI, time to value and benefits attained
DC Locations
and Site Count
DC Space and
Cube Capacity
Transportation
Delivery
Method
Transportation
Delivery
Frequency
DC Processing
Throughput
Inventory
Positioning
Demand Driven
Planograms
Store Analysis
Inventory Analysis
Demand
Variability
Store
Operations
Transportation
Analysis
1
2
3
0
1
2
3
4
1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 1000000 10000000
SKUVelocityCV
Velocity
Bakeware
Bakeware
1a 1b 1c
2a 2b 2c
3a 3b 3c
Traditional Supply Chain Data Model and Request
Inventory Position Moves the Needle
Source enVista, LLC ©
Baseline
Alternative Strategy
CV is a measure of “predictability”
• Average Daily Demand/STD DEV of the Demand in
terms of units sold
• A lower CV value is easier to forecast and therefore can
be pushed/continuous flow of inventory. Due to higher
predictability and in theory less inventory is required in
the supply chain. Inventory can be positioned farther
down-stream (stores)
• A higher CV values is harder to forecast and therefore
should be pulled. Due lower predictability inventory
should be positioned further up-stream (TDC or Spoke).
In theory you pull the inventory, however inventory
positioning (TDC or Spoke) is based upon customer
tolerance time as well
What is driving the demand (dependent or
independent variables)?
– Price/Value
– Promotions
– Tire Size (Fit)
– MFG Lead Time
– MFG Fill Rate
– Co-Branded
– Brand Loyalty
– Brand Strategy
– Original Equipment Replacement
– Commission Structure
– MFG Subsidies
Variability by Store
BRID-095-62015: Low Volume – High Variability
126 / 834 (15%) of stores demand this product
65 / 126 (52%) of stores only have 1 Sale all Year
Push or Pull Inventory based upon
Demand Variability
Result Summary Table: The test shows positive impact in sales and margin
Net Sales Lift vs. Control stores: The overall test results are within the normal
range of variation
Test Store Start Quarter:
Outperform
control stores
Result by Markets: Chicago and New York both show positive lifts
Test period
• One time inventory reduction of
$22.9M
• $35.9M year over year reduction
of inventory (5 years)
• Carrying Cost Reduction =
$2.75M
• Improved Tire Inventory Turns =
5.92 from 3.58
• Improved Inventory Turn Over =
6.45 from 3.91 (improved cash
flow)
• Proposed Increased Sales Uplift =
$43.8m over a two year period
(based upon current H&S test
model)
January 2013 – January 2017
Scenario NPV IRR
enVista H&S (no-lift) $4.6M 112%
enVista H&S (5%/2% AB Stores) $5.38M 134%
enVista H&S (12%/5% AB Stores) $7.2M 177.%
Client H&S (no-lift) $1.0M 44.3%
S&OP
Historical
Data
Market
Data
Merchant
Strategy
Meeting
One on One
Ad Meeting
& Ad
Candidates
Ad Space
Finalized
(DVP
Marketing)
Complete
Marketing Plan
(TV, Radio,
Circulars)
1
2
Consensus
Forecast
Meeting
Weekly
Promotional
Readiness
Weekly OTB
Financial
Forecast
Monthly
Postmortem
Executive
Meeting
DRP
Forecast
Finalized
Vendor
Conference
Calls
Inventory
Level Input
EDI PO’s
to
Vendors
STEP 1
DATA
GATHERING
STEP 2
DEMAND
PLANNING
STEP 3
SUPPLY
PLANNING
STEP 4
PRE-MEETING
STEP 5
EXEC
MEETING
Business Units
Prepare Actual
vs. Plan and
Build Action
Plans
• Tires
• Service
• OTC
4
5
3
7
Sales/Merchants
Inventory
6
FinanceDepartmentInvolvement
PromotionalDepartmentInvolvement
Decisions &
Updated Game
Plan
Supplier Fill Rate % Lead
Time
STD
Michelin 65% 10 Days
Cooper 95% 2 Days
Goodyear 83% 4 Days
For More Information:
Jim Barnes
jbarnes@envistacorp.com
www.envistacorp.com

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2015 promat supply chain network project

  • 1. Presented by: JIM BARNES SR. MANAGING PARTNER Inventory Flow: The Key to Network Strategy Design Success! Sponsored by: © 2015 MHI® Copyright claimed for audiovisual works and sound recordings of seminar sessions. All rights reserved.
  • 2. Key Takeaways: • Is Network Strategy Design something your company should consider – who benefits and when • The critical components and steps necessary for a successful Network Strategy Design project • How to determine Inventory Flow – what are the key considerations and best practices • Best practices and lessons learned from companies that have successfully redesigned their supply chain network • Typical ROI, time to value and benefits attained
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5. DC Locations and Site Count DC Space and Cube Capacity Transportation Delivery Method Transportation Delivery Frequency DC Processing Throughput Inventory Positioning Demand Driven Planograms Store Analysis Inventory Analysis Demand Variability Store Operations Transportation Analysis 1 2 3 0 1 2 3 4 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 1000000 10000000 SKUVelocityCV Velocity Bakeware Bakeware 1a 1b 1c 2a 2b 2c 3a 3b 3c
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11. Traditional Supply Chain Data Model and Request
  • 12. Inventory Position Moves the Needle Source enVista, LLC ©
  • 15. CV is a measure of “predictability” • Average Daily Demand/STD DEV of the Demand in terms of units sold • A lower CV value is easier to forecast and therefore can be pushed/continuous flow of inventory. Due to higher predictability and in theory less inventory is required in the supply chain. Inventory can be positioned farther down-stream (stores) • A higher CV values is harder to forecast and therefore should be pulled. Due lower predictability inventory should be positioned further up-stream (TDC or Spoke). In theory you pull the inventory, however inventory positioning (TDC or Spoke) is based upon customer tolerance time as well
  • 16. What is driving the demand (dependent or independent variables)? – Price/Value – Promotions – Tire Size (Fit) – MFG Lead Time – MFG Fill Rate – Co-Branded – Brand Loyalty – Brand Strategy – Original Equipment Replacement – Commission Structure – MFG Subsidies
  • 17.
  • 18. Variability by Store BRID-095-62015: Low Volume – High Variability 126 / 834 (15%) of stores demand this product 65 / 126 (52%) of stores only have 1 Sale all Year
  • 19. Push or Pull Inventory based upon Demand Variability
  • 20. Result Summary Table: The test shows positive impact in sales and margin Net Sales Lift vs. Control stores: The overall test results are within the normal range of variation Test Store Start Quarter: Outperform control stores Result by Markets: Chicago and New York both show positive lifts Test period
  • 21.
  • 22. • One time inventory reduction of $22.9M • $35.9M year over year reduction of inventory (5 years) • Carrying Cost Reduction = $2.75M • Improved Tire Inventory Turns = 5.92 from 3.58 • Improved Inventory Turn Over = 6.45 from 3.91 (improved cash flow) • Proposed Increased Sales Uplift = $43.8m over a two year period (based upon current H&S test model) January 2013 – January 2017 Scenario NPV IRR enVista H&S (no-lift) $4.6M 112% enVista H&S (5%/2% AB Stores) $5.38M 134% enVista H&S (12%/5% AB Stores) $7.2M 177.% Client H&S (no-lift) $1.0M 44.3%
  • 23. S&OP Historical Data Market Data Merchant Strategy Meeting One on One Ad Meeting & Ad Candidates Ad Space Finalized (DVP Marketing) Complete Marketing Plan (TV, Radio, Circulars) 1 2 Consensus Forecast Meeting Weekly Promotional Readiness Weekly OTB Financial Forecast Monthly Postmortem Executive Meeting DRP Forecast Finalized Vendor Conference Calls Inventory Level Input EDI PO’s to Vendors STEP 1 DATA GATHERING STEP 2 DEMAND PLANNING STEP 3 SUPPLY PLANNING STEP 4 PRE-MEETING STEP 5 EXEC MEETING Business Units Prepare Actual vs. Plan and Build Action Plans • Tires • Service • OTC 4 5 3 7 Sales/Merchants Inventory 6 FinanceDepartmentInvolvement PromotionalDepartmentInvolvement Decisions & Updated Game Plan Supplier Fill Rate % Lead Time STD Michelin 65% 10 Days Cooper 95% 2 Days Goodyear 83% 4 Days
  • 24. For More Information: Jim Barnes jbarnes@envistacorp.com www.envistacorp.com