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EXHIBITION & CONFERENCE
SEPTEMBER 5–7, 2023
MEXICO CITY
Enero 2023
Solar Energy challenges in
MX
▪ Mexico has great opportunities with the Solar PV technology.
▪ In this presentation, we will show the possibilities of businesses in MX.
▪ All the information was taken from official Entities such as:
▪ Federal Electricity Commission (CFE, Utility Company)
▪ Federal Ministry of Treasure (SHCP)
▪ Federal Ministry of Energy (SENER)
Mapeo de Tarifa
PRECIOS DEL GAS NATURAL
PRECIOS ENERGÍA 2018 – 2022 PDBT (MXP/kWh)
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
Ene
Feb
Mar
Abr
May
Jun
Jul
Ago
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dic
Ene
Feb
Mar
Abr
May
Jun
Jul
Ago
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dic
Ene
Feb
Mar
Abr
May
Jun
Jul
Ago
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dic
Ene
Feb
Mar
Abr
May
Jun
Jul
Ago
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dic
Ene
Feb
Mar
Abr
May
Jun
Jul
Ago
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dic
Energía
PRECIOS ENERGÍA 2018 – 2022 GDBT (MXP/kWh)
0.000
0.200
0.400
0.600
0.800
1.000
1.200
1.400
1.600
1.800
Ene
Feb
Mar
Abr
May
Jun
Jul
Ago
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dic
Ene
Feb
Mar
Abr
May
Jun
Jul
Ago
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dic
Ene
Feb
Mar
Abr
May
Jun
Jul
Ago
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dic
Ene
Feb
Mar
Abr
May
Jun
Jul
Ago
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dic
Ene
Feb
Mar
Abr
May
Jun
Jul
Ago
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dic
Energía
PRECIOS CAPACIDAD Y DEMANDA GDBT 2018 – 2022 (MXP/kW)
0.00
100.00
200.00
300.00
400.00
500.00
600.00
Ene
Feb
Mar
Abr
May
Jun
Jul
Ago
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dic
Ene
Feb
Mar
Abr
May
Jun
Jul
Ago
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dic
Ene
Feb
Mar
Abr
May
Jun
Jul
Ago
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dic
Ene
Feb
Mar
Abr
May
Jun
Jul
Ago
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dic
Ene
Feb
Mar
Abr
May
Jun
Jul
Ago
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dic
Distribución Capacidad
PRECIOS ENERGÍA 2018 – 2022 GDMTO (MXP/kWh)
0.000
0.200
0.400
0.600
0.800
1.000
1.200
1.400
1.600
Ene
Feb
Mar
Abr
May
Jun
Jul
Ago
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dic
Ene
Feb
Mar
Abr
May
Jun
Jul
Ago
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dic
Ene
Feb
Mar
Abr
May
Jun
Jul
Ago
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dic
Ene
Feb
Mar
Abr
May
Jun
Jul
Ago
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dic
Ene
Feb
Mar
Abr
May
Jun
Jul
Ago
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dic
Energía
PRECIOS CAPACIDAD Y DEMANDA GDMTO 2018 – 2022 (MXP/kW)
0.00
50.00
100.00
150.00
200.00
250.00
300.00
350.00
EneFebMarAbrMayJun Jul AgoSepOctNovDicEneFebMarAbrMayJun Jul AgoSepOctNovDicEneFebMarAbrMayJun Jul AgoSepOctNovDicEneFebMarAbrMayJun Jul AgoSepOctNovDic
Distribución Capacidad
▪ Using the data available of PRODESEN 2021, we
know that :
▪ There is 4.13 million Users Medium
Companies.
▪ If each company install a PV Distributed
Generation system of 500 kW
▪ The total capacity for Install is 2,065 GW
▪ If only 30% of the total industries comply with the
technical requirements for PV DG, then the market
has a size of 619.65 GW
▪ If we have an investments cost of 1.2 USD/Wp
▪ The market value is de 743 BUSD
▪ Using the data of PRODESEN 2021, we know:
▪ There is 4.28 million Users as
Commercials.
▪ If each company install a PV DG system
of 3 kW
▪ The total capacity is 12 GW
▪ Lets do a premisse:
▪ If only 25% comply with the technical
requirements for a PV DG system, the
market has a size of 3.0 GW
▪ Lets consider an investment cost of 1.3 USD/Wp
▪ The market size is 3,900 MUSD
References
▪ Federal Electricity Commission (CFE, Utility Company)
▪ Tariffs: https://www.cfe.mx/Negocio/Pages/default.aspx
▪ Federal Ministry of Treasure (SHCP)
▪ Income Tax Law 2023 : https://www.diputados.gob.mx/LeyesBiblio/pdf/LISR.pdf
▪ Fiscal Code 2023 : https://www.diputados.gob.mx/LeyesBiblio/pdf/CFF.pdf
▪ Federal Ministry of Energy (SENER)
▪ PRODESEN : https://www.gob.mx/sener/articulos/programa-para-el-desarrollo-del-sistema-electrico-nacional
Solar Promotion GmbH
Kiehnlestraße 16
75172 Pforzheim
Germany
Tel.: + 49 7231 58598-0
info@solarpromotion.de
www.solarpromotion.de
FMMI – Freiburg Management & Marketing
International GmbH
Neuer Messplatz 3
79108 Freiburg i. Br.
Germany
Tel.: +49 761 3881-3700
Organizers
Tarsus México
Av. Insurgentes Sur 664, floor 4
Col. del Valle 03100 Mexico City
Mexico
Tel.: +52-55-1087-1650
Gracias
Danke
José Celis
@JoseCelisMX
Solar Promotion GmbH
Kiehnlestraße 16
75172 Pforzheim
Germany
Tel.: + 49 7231 58598-0
info@solarpromotion.de
www.solarpromotion.de
FMMI – Freiburg Management & Marketing
International GmbH
Neuer Messplatz 3
79108 Freiburg i. Br.
Germany
Tel.: +49 761 3881-3700
Organizers
Tarsus México
Av. Insurgentes Sur 664, floor 4
Col. del Valle 03100 Mexico City
Mexico
Tel.: +52-55-1087-1650

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ISMX23_J_Celis_Ene_2023.pdf

  • 1. EXHIBITION & CONFERENCE SEPTEMBER 5–7, 2023 MEXICO CITY Enero 2023 Solar Energy challenges in MX
  • 2. ▪ Mexico has great opportunities with the Solar PV technology. ▪ In this presentation, we will show the possibilities of businesses in MX. ▪ All the information was taken from official Entities such as: ▪ Federal Electricity Commission (CFE, Utility Company) ▪ Federal Ministry of Treasure (SHCP) ▪ Federal Ministry of Energy (SENER)
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10. PRECIOS DEL GAS NATURAL
  • 11. PRECIOS ENERGÍA 2018 – 2022 PDBT (MXP/kWh) 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 Ene Feb Mar Abr May Jun Jul Ago Sep Oct Nov Dic Ene Feb Mar Abr May Jun Jul Ago Sep Oct Nov Dic Ene Feb Mar Abr May Jun Jul Ago Sep Oct Nov Dic Ene Feb Mar Abr May Jun Jul Ago Sep Oct Nov Dic Ene Feb Mar Abr May Jun Jul Ago Sep Oct Nov Dic Energía
  • 12. PRECIOS ENERGÍA 2018 – 2022 GDBT (MXP/kWh) 0.000 0.200 0.400 0.600 0.800 1.000 1.200 1.400 1.600 1.800 Ene Feb Mar Abr May Jun Jul Ago Sep Oct Nov Dic Ene Feb Mar Abr May Jun Jul Ago Sep Oct Nov Dic Ene Feb Mar Abr May Jun Jul Ago Sep Oct Nov Dic Ene Feb Mar Abr May Jun Jul Ago Sep Oct Nov Dic Ene Feb Mar Abr May Jun Jul Ago Sep Oct Nov Dic Energía
  • 13. PRECIOS CAPACIDAD Y DEMANDA GDBT 2018 – 2022 (MXP/kW) 0.00 100.00 200.00 300.00 400.00 500.00 600.00 Ene Feb Mar Abr May Jun Jul Ago Sep Oct Nov Dic Ene Feb Mar Abr May Jun Jul Ago Sep Oct Nov Dic Ene Feb Mar Abr May Jun Jul Ago Sep Oct Nov Dic Ene Feb Mar Abr May Jun Jul Ago Sep Oct Nov Dic Ene Feb Mar Abr May Jun Jul Ago Sep Oct Nov Dic Distribución Capacidad
  • 14. PRECIOS ENERGÍA 2018 – 2022 GDMTO (MXP/kWh) 0.000 0.200 0.400 0.600 0.800 1.000 1.200 1.400 1.600 Ene Feb Mar Abr May Jun Jul Ago Sep Oct Nov Dic Ene Feb Mar Abr May Jun Jul Ago Sep Oct Nov Dic Ene Feb Mar Abr May Jun Jul Ago Sep Oct Nov Dic Ene Feb Mar Abr May Jun Jul Ago Sep Oct Nov Dic Ene Feb Mar Abr May Jun Jul Ago Sep Oct Nov Dic Energía
  • 15. PRECIOS CAPACIDAD Y DEMANDA GDMTO 2018 – 2022 (MXP/kW) 0.00 50.00 100.00 150.00 200.00 250.00 300.00 350.00 EneFebMarAbrMayJun Jul AgoSepOctNovDicEneFebMarAbrMayJun Jul AgoSepOctNovDicEneFebMarAbrMayJun Jul AgoSepOctNovDicEneFebMarAbrMayJun Jul AgoSepOctNovDic Distribución Capacidad
  • 16. ▪ Using the data available of PRODESEN 2021, we know that : ▪ There is 4.13 million Users Medium Companies. ▪ If each company install a PV Distributed Generation system of 500 kW ▪ The total capacity for Install is 2,065 GW ▪ If only 30% of the total industries comply with the technical requirements for PV DG, then the market has a size of 619.65 GW ▪ If we have an investments cost of 1.2 USD/Wp ▪ The market value is de 743 BUSD
  • 17. ▪ Using the data of PRODESEN 2021, we know: ▪ There is 4.28 million Users as Commercials. ▪ If each company install a PV DG system of 3 kW ▪ The total capacity is 12 GW ▪ Lets do a premisse: ▪ If only 25% comply with the technical requirements for a PV DG system, the market has a size of 3.0 GW ▪ Lets consider an investment cost of 1.3 USD/Wp ▪ The market size is 3,900 MUSD
  • 18. References ▪ Federal Electricity Commission (CFE, Utility Company) ▪ Tariffs: https://www.cfe.mx/Negocio/Pages/default.aspx ▪ Federal Ministry of Treasure (SHCP) ▪ Income Tax Law 2023 : https://www.diputados.gob.mx/LeyesBiblio/pdf/LISR.pdf ▪ Fiscal Code 2023 : https://www.diputados.gob.mx/LeyesBiblio/pdf/CFF.pdf ▪ Federal Ministry of Energy (SENER) ▪ PRODESEN : https://www.gob.mx/sener/articulos/programa-para-el-desarrollo-del-sistema-electrico-nacional
  • 19. Solar Promotion GmbH Kiehnlestraße 16 75172 Pforzheim Germany Tel.: + 49 7231 58598-0 info@solarpromotion.de www.solarpromotion.de FMMI – Freiburg Management & Marketing International GmbH Neuer Messplatz 3 79108 Freiburg i. Br. Germany Tel.: +49 761 3881-3700 Organizers Tarsus México Av. Insurgentes Sur 664, floor 4 Col. del Valle 03100 Mexico City Mexico Tel.: +52-55-1087-1650 Gracias Danke José Celis @JoseCelisMX
  • 20. Solar Promotion GmbH Kiehnlestraße 16 75172 Pforzheim Germany Tel.: + 49 7231 58598-0 info@solarpromotion.de www.solarpromotion.de FMMI – Freiburg Management & Marketing International GmbH Neuer Messplatz 3 79108 Freiburg i. Br. Germany Tel.: +49 761 3881-3700 Organizers Tarsus México Av. Insurgentes Sur 664, floor 4 Col. del Valle 03100 Mexico City Mexico Tel.: +52-55-1087-1650