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SQUARESPACE
L O C A L
M O D E L S
O F
C U S T O M E R S
June 2017
What does data science
look like when it’s thriving?
A G E N D A
01 A Data Science Challenge
02 Foundations
03 Data
04 Results
05 What Can We Conclude?
Where - in what U.S cities - should
a company conduct targeted, localized
marketing?
The Challenge
1. Identify cities where our company is doing well.
2. Gather location-specific data.
3. Determine drivers of performance.
4. Use these drivers to inform business strategy.
And Approach...
SQUARESPACE
F O U N D A T I O N S
Confidential and Proprietary Information
DATA DRIVEN ORGANIZATION
Data Collection
Data Science Practice
Qualitative Research
Data Engineering
Market / Media Testing
Data
Architecture
SQUARESPACE
D A T A
Where are customers located?
Local Marketing Metrics
Where are customers located?
Outcome Variables:
1. density: customers per relevant local population
2. growth: rate of local increase in customers
Local Marketing Metrics
What are the local sources of customers?
Local Marketing Metrics
What is the local performance of
marketing?
Local Marketing Metrics
City-level estimates
of advertising
efficiency...
What are additional local drivers?
Local Marketing Metrics
● Young or old population?
● Internet use?
● Educational attainment?
● Employment by industry? Tech? Restaurants? Arts?
● Local business characteristics?
● Macro-econ factors: GDP growth? Wealth? Income?
Local Marketing Metrics
SQUARESPACE
R E S U L T S
What did we find?
● % of people 30 to 44 not younger
● % of people with graduate degrees
● number of food carts!
New York
Atlanta + Houston + Dallas
Philadelphia + Baltimore
West Palm Beach + Miami
City Clusters
1) Focus on locations that our analysis predicts should do even
better than they have so far:
We’re calling this “slack”.
“slack” x “population” = “opportunity”
2) Focus on locations that are outperforming our expectations
AND still growing at a rapid rate.
3) (Ideally) pick cities from different clusters when we compare
them across the dimensions identified in the model.
How did we use these results?
SQUARESPACE
C O N C L U S I O N S
● Customer location models
● Advertising attribution models
● Media mix models (spend input, sales output)
● Advertising efficiency models
● Customer engagement/loyalty models
● Customer lifetime value models
1. Data science models build on each other
● Customer location models
● Advertising attribution models
● Media mix models (spend input, sales output)
● Advertising efficiency models
● Customer engagement/loyalty models
● Customer lifetime value models
2. Model diversity forces skill set diversity
● Customer location models
● Advertising attribution models
● Media mix models (spend input, sales output)
● Advertising efficiency models
● Customer engagement/loyalty models
● Customer lifetime value models
3. …And interacts with organizational process
2. Model diversity forces skill set diversity
Data Collection
Data Science Practice
Qualitative Research
Data Engineering
Market / Media Testing
Data Collection
Data Science Practice
Qualitative Research
Data Engineering
Market / Media Testing
Implied...
SQUARESPACE
Q U E S T I O N S
Alex Leeds
aleeds@squarespace.com

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Building Up Local Models of Customers

  • 1. SQUARESPACE L O C A L M O D E L S O F C U S T O M E R S June 2017
  • 2. What does data science look like when it’s thriving?
  • 3. A G E N D A 01 A Data Science Challenge 02 Foundations 03 Data 04 Results 05 What Can We Conclude?
  • 4. Where - in what U.S cities - should a company conduct targeted, localized marketing? The Challenge
  • 5. 1. Identify cities where our company is doing well. 2. Gather location-specific data. 3. Determine drivers of performance. 4. Use these drivers to inform business strategy. And Approach...
  • 6. SQUARESPACE F O U N D A T I O N S
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9. Confidential and Proprietary Information DATA DRIVEN ORGANIZATION
  • 10. Data Collection Data Science Practice Qualitative Research Data Engineering Market / Media Testing
  • 13. Where are customers located? Local Marketing Metrics
  • 14.
  • 15. Where are customers located? Outcome Variables: 1. density: customers per relevant local population 2. growth: rate of local increase in customers Local Marketing Metrics
  • 16. What are the local sources of customers? Local Marketing Metrics
  • 17.
  • 18. What is the local performance of marketing? Local Marketing Metrics
  • 20. What are additional local drivers? Local Marketing Metrics
  • 21. ● Young or old population? ● Internet use? ● Educational attainment? ● Employment by industry? Tech? Restaurants? Arts? ● Local business characteristics? ● Macro-econ factors: GDP growth? Wealth? Income? Local Marketing Metrics
  • 22. SQUARESPACE R E S U L T S
  • 23. What did we find? ● % of people 30 to 44 not younger ● % of people with graduate degrees ● number of food carts!
  • 24. New York Atlanta + Houston + Dallas Philadelphia + Baltimore West Palm Beach + Miami City Clusters
  • 25. 1) Focus on locations that our analysis predicts should do even better than they have so far: We’re calling this “slack”. “slack” x “population” = “opportunity” 2) Focus on locations that are outperforming our expectations AND still growing at a rapid rate. 3) (Ideally) pick cities from different clusters when we compare them across the dimensions identified in the model. How did we use these results?
  • 26. SQUARESPACE C O N C L U S I O N S
  • 27. ● Customer location models ● Advertising attribution models ● Media mix models (spend input, sales output) ● Advertising efficiency models ● Customer engagement/loyalty models ● Customer lifetime value models 1. Data science models build on each other
  • 28. ● Customer location models ● Advertising attribution models ● Media mix models (spend input, sales output) ● Advertising efficiency models ● Customer engagement/loyalty models ● Customer lifetime value models 2. Model diversity forces skill set diversity
  • 29. ● Customer location models ● Advertising attribution models ● Media mix models (spend input, sales output) ● Advertising efficiency models ● Customer engagement/loyalty models ● Customer lifetime value models 3. …And interacts with organizational process 2. Model diversity forces skill set diversity
  • 30. Data Collection Data Science Practice Qualitative Research Data Engineering Market / Media Testing
  • 31. Data Collection Data Science Practice Qualitative Research Data Engineering Market / Media Testing Implied...
  • 32. SQUARESPACE Q U E S T I O N S Alex Leeds aleeds@squarespace.com