The document discusses predictions for communication technology advances by 2024, including:
- Handwritten notes and letters will continue declining as technology allows electronic messaging and note-taking. Education will increasingly utilize online tools.
- Face-to-face social interaction may highly decline as communicating through technology like texting and social media becomes more prevalent.
- Television will transition from traditional TVs to personalized content viewed on portable screens using gesture/voice controls.
- Smartphones will evolve into wearable devices providing augmented reality and holograms. Navigation/safety features in vehicles will become more advanced using GPS and vehicle-to-vehicle communication.
2. What’s to Come?
Present day technology allows
us to use electronic messaging,
video messaging on both
telephones and computers,
access books on mini computers,
express and exchange our
personal opinions on websites.
Future technology
developments will effect all
aspects of our lives: education,
jobs, companies, businesses,
and how we choose to
communicate in our personal
lives
3. Decline of Hand-Written
Communication
With more communication technology
becoming available, there seems to be less
hand-written communications.
Notes and letters are a thing of the past.
There is no need for organizational tools
like address books, printed calendars, or
reminder notebooks since many
technology devices give this feature all in
one. Take any iPhone or a Microsoft Surface
RT tablet for example.
From grades K-12 and many college
courses, lessons are taught through online
presentations and digital projectors. Many
schools also provide each student with a
laptop or iPad for notes and research.
4. Decline of Face-To-Face
Communication
Social Interactions will highly
decline by 2024.
Many people believe it is
easier to share information
through a text message,
phone call, or a form of social
media.
Instead of talking about our
problems with friends, we
tweet about it instead. This
trend will continue over the
next decade.
5. Life through a Screen
Technology has become very convenient in
our society today, almost too convenient.
There are many downfalls that are taking
away from other types of communications.
As technology advances, more people are
beginning to solely live life through a screen.
Within the next ten years, voice activated
technology will become more popular.
6. Television in 2024
Due to the convergence of computers and
television through Smart TVs, traditional TVs
will cease to exist in 20 years
According to Hachman, TV networks will be
dead in 20 years, replaced with a system of
computerized content that will be molded to
our individual preferences (2011).
7. Television in 2024
1. Instead of using remotes, consumers will
use gesture-and voice-based controls.
2. Large, thin, portable screens will replace the
traditional TV. They will be displayed on
walls, mirrors, and elsewhere.
3. Personalized ads: Users will be able to point
and click on an item used by a TV character:
a drink or a shirt, and future ads will target
the user’s interests.
(Hachman, 2011)
8. Uses and Gratifications
People actively seeking to use different media
to fulfill different needs
“Uses and Gratifications of television studies
have found that people watch television for
information, relaxation, to pass time, by
habit, excitement, and for social utility.”
(Grant & Meadows, 2012, p. 31)
9. Uses and Gratifications
and 2024 Television
The dissolution of traditional TVs will cause
consumers to develop different needs for how they
will continue to watch their scheduled programs
Consumers will seek out new television technology
because based on these needs such as: wanting to
watch TV anywhere, having personalized ads, and
wanting an interactive experience.
Consumers won’t need a remote anymore because
the new TV technology will have voice activated
controls
10. Smart Phones in 2024
There will be no use for landline household telephones in 2024
due to the increased usage of smart cell phones
Tim Lampe and Stewart Scott-Curan
predict that in 15 years smartphones
will evolve into wearable devices with
augmented reality. These
smartglasses provide a constant
stream of content and advertisement
directly into the user's field of vision.
They also predict that in 50 years, the
wristphone will develop and will
include hologram features and voice
activation. This type of phone
technology has already started
development with The Circret Smart
Bracelet. This wearable bracelet can
project a touch controlled screen onto
your arm.
11. Social Information Processing
“People make adoption decisions and other
evaluations of technologies based upon
objective characteristics of the technology.
Use is also determined by subjective factors
such as the attitudes of coworkers, vicarious
learning, or watching others’ experiences.”
(Grant & Meadows, 2012, p. 29)
This theory will cause more interests in new
smart phone developments
12. Social Information Processing
and 2024 Cell Phones
Future consumers will adopt this new technology by
gathering all possible information about the
product. Through researching the product, learning
about their peers’ experience with the new product,
and by testing the product out themselves.
The interest in new cell phone features will be
adopted through advertisements, personal
experience and word-of-mouth.
Consumers like to know that what they invest in will
have long term benefits so by using the social
information processing theory they will get that
reassurance about new technologies.
14. Navigation & Safety with
Vehicles in 2024
In the next few years, navigation options and safety features will continue
to become more advanced in vehicles. Say goodbye to any sort of paper
map.
All transportation systems will be equipped with the latest in GPS services
and step by step navigation such as On-Star.
Your vehicle will be able to:
Alert you when there is an accident so you can avoid certain roads and
highways.
Use emergency services such as unlocking your door if you left a key
inside, calling a tow service, alerting road side assistance, and even
alerting the authorities right away if your car gets into an accident.
Besides an increase in safety features and navigation, cars and trucks will
be able to communicate with other vehicles by giving reports on traffic,
weather, cars switching lanes, and parking help. For example, with parallel
parking the vehicle will say, “Turn your steering wheel to the right and
reverse 2 inches more. Now stop. You are an inch away from the curb. Good
job!”
15. Roger’s Diffusion of Innovation
Rogers’ Diffusion of Innovation (1995) features diffusion from a changed
communication framework to study the effects of all the components
involved in the communication process on the rate of adoption. Rogers
identified the differences both in people and in the innovation. The theory
includes guidelines for the change agents about what features they can
build into the innovation to create its acceptance by the intended
adopter. Rogers also identified the sequence of change agent roles
(Standford.edu):
To develop a need for change.
To establish an information-exchange relationship.
To diagnose problems.
To create an intent in the client to change.
To translate an intent to action.
To stabilize adoption and prevent discontinuance.
To achieve a terminal relationship
16. Roger’s Theory Continued..
Rogers Diffusion of Innovation Theory
includes:
Knowledge, Persuasion, Accept/Reject,
Confirmation, and Implementation.
17. Rogers Theory and
Navigation/Safety in Vehicles
One of the main ideas behind Rogers’
theory is that it is used to diagnose a
problem. The newer communication
technology features we will see in
vehicles of 2024 will find a problem,
diagnose them, and help get to a
solution.
Another way it fits in with this
technology is that it has developed an
information exchange system,
contacting people who can help you find
your destination and get you out of
emergency situations.
18. Coming to a Conclusion
The year 2024 will bring more advanced forms
of communication technology that will cause
a decrease in natural human intellect and
face-to-face interactions.
19. References
Grant, A. E. & Meadows, J. H. (2012).
Communication Technology Update and
Fundamentals. Waltham: Taylor & Francis
Group.
Hachman, M. (2011). The Future of TV: No
Networks, Remotes…or TVs?
Lampe, T. & Scott-Curran, S. (2012).
Smartphone of the future will be in your brain.
Rogers, Everett. (1995). Diffusion of Innovations.