How will data-driven platforms, infrastructure, and policy converge to shape urban transportation in the decades to come? The emergence of autonomous vehicles and integrated, smart transit systems have only begun to influence urban planning and design. Sensors, optics, maps, data, and the sharing economy are just the beginning. Think “mobility-as-a-service.”
1. Mobility in the
Connected City
How will smarter urban transportation emerge in the 21st century?
digital innovation lab
2. 2
“The best way to
predict the future is
to invent it.”
– Alan Kay
3. Cities
“By 2050, there will be 2.5 billion more people living
in cities than there are today.” (Forbes)
“The urban population in 2014 accounted for 54% of
the total global population, up from 34% in 1960, and
continues to grow.” (WHO Global Health Observatory
data)
will be the engines of economic
growth in the 21st century.
4. 4
The world’s 600 largest urban centers
together generate 60% of global GDP.
The world’s top 100 cities will account
for 35% of global GDP growth between
now and 2025.
McKinsey Global Institute, Mapping the Power of Cities: http://www.mckinsey.com/global-themes/urbanization/urban-world-mapping-the-economic-power-of-cities
5. 5
The UN predicts that by 2050 the world’s
urban population will be as big as the
world’s total population in 2002.
6. 6
Converging megatrends:
• Resource-sharing services (bicycles, cars, housing, workspaces)
• Emergence of autonomous vehicles
• Integrated transit systems
• Sensors, optics, embedded processors, 5G data networks
• Improved traffic management
• Improved mapping data
• Evolving policies, urban planning, design
• Open data initiatives
• EV adoption, vehicle-to-grid programs
World Economic Forum, Top Ten Urban Innovations: http://www3.weforum.org/docs/Top_10_Emerging_Urban_Innovations_report_2010_20.10.pdf
Royal Geographical Society, 21st Century Challenges: https://21stcenturychallenges.org/urbanisation-2/
Amsterdam Smart City: https://amsterdamsmartcity.com/themes/mobility
8. 8
Autonomous vehicles (AV) key themes:
• Connected AI services
• V2V (vehicle-to-vehicle) data sharing
• V2I (vehicle-to-infrastructure) data sharing
• Smart roads, sensors, data collection initiatives
Image: Chesky_W via Getty Images
9. 9
Existing AV initiatives:
• Nevada Center for Advanced Mobility
• Ohio State University Center for Automotive
Research smart roads initiative
• Ford City Solutions
Engadget, It takes a smart city to make cars truly autonomous: https://www.engadget.com/2017/06/14/it-takes-a-smart-city-to-make-cars-truly-autonomous/
ZDnet, Ford sees autonomous vehicles as key cog of smart city: http://www.zdnet.com/article/ford-sees-autonomous-vehicles-as-key-cog-of-smart-city/
Nevada Center for Advanced Mobility: http://www.nevadacam.org
Ohio Department of Transportation: http://www.dot.state.oh.us/news/Pages/SmartMobilityCorridor.aspx
Smart Cities Council: http://smartcitiescouncil.com/tags/self-driving-cars
11. Smart transit trends:
• Shift in thinking from “riders” to transit “consumers”
• Data science and machine learning are becoming
integrated with transit platforms
• Installation of contactless payment systems
• Shift to public data-sharing, open access
• Key case studies: Singapore, Chicago, New Delhi,
London
TechCrunch, In the smart city race, we’re betting on transit”: https://techcrunch.com/2017/04/18/in-the-smart-city-race-were-betting-on-transit/
Juniper Research, Worldwide Smart Cities: https://www.juniperresearch.com/researchstore/key-vertical-markets/smart-cities/energy-transport-lighting
US Dept. of Transportation, The Smart/Connected City and Its Implications for Connected Transportation: https://www.its.dot.gov/itspac/Dec2014/
Smart_Connected_City_FINAL_111314.pdf
NLC Center for City Solutions and Applied Research, Trends in Smart City Development: http://www.nlc.org/sites/default/files/2017-01/
Trends%20in%20Smart%20City%20Development.pdf
12. The smart cities industry will be worth an
estimated $400 billion globally by 2020.
13. Key policy recommendations:
• Foster open data initiatives & third-party developers
• Utilize outcome-based initiatives & KPIs
• Develop partnerships with universities, non-profits,
and the private sector
• Participate in creating frameworks and best practices
for smart city development
NLC Center for City Solutions and Applied Research, Trends in Smart City Development: http://www.nlc.org/sites/default/files/2017-01/
Trends%20in%20Smart%20City%20Development.pdf