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How to think about strategy for
new emerging markets


Beyond BRIC


December, 2010
Dalberg provides strategic advice to funders, NGOs, social entrepreneurs,
corporations, governments and international institutions
Global presence                                                      Expertise in topics critical to global development
                                                                      •   Global health
                                                                      •   Access to finance
                                                                      •   Climate change, conservation and energy
                                         Copenhagen
                                                                      •   Programs in conflict areas, and post-conflict recovery
                                         Geneva
       San                    New York                                •   Agricultural development
       Francisco         Washington DC
                                                                      •   Education
                               Dakar
                                               Mumbai
                                                                      •   Human rights
                                            Nairobi
                                                                      •   Emerging and bottom-of-pyramid markets
                   Santiago                                           •   Corporate supply chains
                                          Johannesburg




Strategic advisory services                                          Broad range of clients and partners
•   Strategic roadmaps and portfolio design
•   Impact assessment
•   Multi-stakeholder facilitation
•   Recommendations on strategic partnerships
•   Due diligence on grantees/investees
•   Technical assistance to grantees/investees
•   Program/portfolio management
                                                                             World Bank
•   Operational improvements (for large programs)
•   Policy advice (for governments and international institutions)


                                                                                                                                   1
Most Danish companies are still producing in Denmark for a Danish or EU
audience




                     Emerging
                                     Falling star            Rising Star


                     markets
                                                                                75% of global
                                Danish                                          economic growth
                                engineering                   Best Seller       is taking place
                                firms                         Bo Concept        here
             Sales




                                     Majority of
                                     Danish SMEs
                                                                   Most
                     Denmark/




                                                                   Danish C20
                                                                  companies
                     EU




                                   Problem child              Cash Cow

                            Denmark /EU                      Emerging Markets

                                                Production

                                                                                                  2
Strategy formulation and execution is a different exercise when the context
may change in a matter of months instead of years
                                                  Megatrends have a faster
                                                  acceleration and deeper impact..
                                                  • Urbanisation from rural to urban
                                   Demand and     • The effects of climate change
                                   Development
                                   opportunity    • Explotion in the need of health,
                                        and
                                      trends        agriculture, and energy services due
                                    opportunity     to demographics
                                      trends

 Still a reality, but in                                      The new emergng reality...
 decline....                                                  • Explotion in South-South trade
 • State own                                                  • Local financial are becoming
   enterprises that are    Development
                              sector          Economic          mature
   very active players                         trends
                            conditions                        • Emergence of middle class with
 • Legislation not                                              new demands
   implemented
                                                              • Wish for technology leap
 • Hiring or firing of                                          frogging
   staff can be a year
                                                              • Governments that increasingly
   long exercise
                                                                are becoming assertive and can
 • Red tape is given                                            stimulate own economy
                                                              • Desire for Public-Private
                                                                                           3
                                                                Partnership models
Strategic thinking in frontier markets is a game of additionality
                                                                        Barrier of
                                       Value                            entrance
                                                                    Value
                                    proposition                 proposition




             Total
         Economics                                             Value chain
                                 Acess Strategy for
             and
                                  frontier markets
          financing


    Access/par-
     tnerships




                                     Partnering

                                                                                     4
How well does your product and business model
align to the needs of the local market?
               The key challenges
               • How to avoid changing price      • A Swedish house fabrication company
                 policy, product features, and     located in Malmø
    Value        learning a new market in one
 proposition     exercise                         • Offering: prefabricated houses and local
               • Avoid having too many             production partnership
                 business models running in
               35%
                 parallel due to the often very   • Product: Structural insulated panels
                 diverse market needs and          (SIPs) that are made by sandwiching a
                 spending potential of various     core of expanded polystyrene (EPS)
                 segments                          between two structural boards

               What can be done?
               26%
               • Understand the public and
                 private market segments and
                 be willing to change e.g. from
                 B to C models to B to B
                 models
               • Avoid focusing only on
                 countries, but give sufficient
                 attention to the company’s
                 role in a global or regional
                 value chain                                                                   5
How well does the value chain to your target market work?

                The key challenges
                                                      Dalberg client NN, a multinational
                • How to recreate a profitable        agriculture company seeking to enter
                  business in a value chain, where
                                                      African market
                  many of the typical rutine and
  Value chain
                  commoditized elements are weak      • Across the value chain was obstacles in
                  or non-existing                      origination, process & refining,
                • How to penetrate a market where      packaging, marketing/distribution, and
                  specific companies/public            warehousing
                  agencies are controlling vital
                  parts of the value chain?           • Also physical infrastructure, skills gab,
                                                       and red tape and high tarrifs had to be
                                                       addressed
                What can be done?
                26%
                • Create partnerships with
                  organisations that can provide
                  capabilities to close the gaps in
                  the value chain
                • Engage in policy dialogue and
                  best practices with governments
                  and potential develop joint
                  programs
                • Establish alliances or acquire
                  with gatekeeper businesses                                                        6
Who do you critically depend on in your value chain and what is the structure
of the relationship?

              The key challenges
              • How to find the correct partners
                that can make up for the short
 Partnering     comings in the value chains and
                eco systems?
              • How to constructive the true win-
              35% situations, so non-traditional
                win
                partners also have a long-terms
                interest in sustaining the
                partnership?

              What can be done?
              26%
              • Use analoges from other
                industries or other countries to
                find out what features the most
                desired partners should have
              • Consider all partner options from
                alliances, M/A, joint programs,
                etc.
              • Conduct very serious due
                dilligence on potential non-
                traditional partners                                            7
By reaching out to 20,000 companies and score 800 institutions we found a new
class of very professional non-commercial partners

                                                The top of the list was a surprice to
                                                        many in the sector
Hundreds of programs are being now developed every year

 Agency – Program                  Key Figures              Key Trends, Focus Areas and Partners
        DANIDA – Dept for          $3M budget               Partnerships focus on Danish-based organizations and local partners:
        Business                   96 B2B                   •B2B Partnerships – Long-term business linkages with Danish & local companies
        Cooperation & TA           partnerships
                                                            •Innovative Partnerships for Development (IPD) – Partnerships in CSR and SRI
                                   2008/2009 DFID           Works across all sectors of donors and investors. Focus on MNC partnerships:
                                   aid: £3.3B (57%)         • Push Boundaries – business practices to support MDG
 DFID – Business for               bilateral, £2.3B
                                                            • Promote growth –create the right conditions to encourage business
 Development                       (39%) multilateral
                                   £337B channeled          • Responsibility –promote successful corporate responsibility
                                   thru UK NGOs             DFID’s recent PPPs focused on transparency, health, & innovative finance facilities:
                                                            •Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative (EITI)
                                                            •Major funder of the GAVI Alliance
                                                            • Helped create International Finance Facility for Immunization (IFFIm)
                                   437 alliances            •PPPs: partner through competitions, strategic alliances, financing facility
                                   $238.4M funds            •Global Compact: coordinates the German Global Compact Network
 GTZ – Public-Private              (thru 2007)
                                                            •CSR: advisor to help companies address and implement CSR practices
 Partnership
                                                            •Projects –56% in Asia & Africa; 41% in economic reform
                                                            •Partnership Fund Ratio – 37% GTZ, 49% private, 15% other.

                                   $4-$5M est. budget       Partner with private sector, multilaterals, civil NGOs and universities:
                                   for 2010                 •Private sector partnering focused on financing, cooperation forums, dialogue, business
 SIDA – Dept of Dev                                          information and competence development.
 Partnerships                                               •Swedish Business for Development (B4D) – linking all businesses SMEs  MNCs
                                   $9B in alliances         Leader in cross-sector partnering, focus on multiple partners and target USAID investment at
                                   680 alliances            ~25% and leveraging field staff to drive partnerships.
 USDA - GDA                        1,700 partners           •16 person team divided by region sector, technical training
                                   ~$15M program
                                                            •Field-driven partnerships
                                   budget in 2005
                                                            •2.7:1 avg partners: USAID ratio
                                                            •Moving toward Global Framework model
Source: Organization websites (links above), Partnering for Global Development (BCLC), Public-Private
Partnerships Transform Aid (SSIR), AD internal research and analysis
Partnership building has over the past 10 years gone from symbolic to
very operational and value-adding

             High
                         Traditional Development:                                     Emerging Partnership Models
                             • Supply-side bias
                                                                                              Complex
                                                          Public                               Coalition
                                                          Sector                              Structures



   Social
development


                                                                                                   Private
                                                                                                   Sector


                                                                                      Market Based Approach
             Low                                                                       • Demand-side bias
                       Low                                    Financial development                             High

                                                                                                                       10
  Source: ”Development Collaboration: None of Our Business?”, Accenture Development Partnerships
How much of the value of your products are you effectively able to capture?

               The key challenges
               • How to finance services from
                commercial and non-traditional
     Total
  economics
                partners in a way that still makes      • Vestergaard Frandsen is a European
                ones own products profitable?            company specializing in complex
                                                         emergency response and disease control
                                                         products (Bed nets, Lifestraw)
               What can be done?
               26%
               • Create public-private partnerships     • The company have several partnering
               • Find social investors that are          models where they don’t bare all the costs
                 willing to pay for the additionality    to sell their products:
               • Connect north and south sales               • Donation model e.g. via partnership
                 and marketing efforts                         with Rotary
               • Find alternative income sources             • Carbon credit markets (could over
                 for partners                                  make their Lifestraw free)
                                                             • Joint programs with UNICEF, where
                                                               their products in a part of a larger
                                                               health package and campaign
                                                             • Social investment, where Acumen is
                                                               co-funding scaling up mechanisms


                                                                                                      11
Questions for discussion


            Questions

            • What do you see as the biggest barrier to getting started on
             emerging markets?

            • What do you anticipate to be the largest strategic challenge to obtain
             a correct posture in an emerging market?

            • Is there anything that the Danish Government or industry
             associations can do to help overcome these additional strategic
             obstacles




                                                                                       12

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Dalberg Workshop - Beyond BRIC

  • 1. How to think about strategy for new emerging markets Beyond BRIC December, 2010
  • 2. Dalberg provides strategic advice to funders, NGOs, social entrepreneurs, corporations, governments and international institutions Global presence Expertise in topics critical to global development • Global health • Access to finance • Climate change, conservation and energy Copenhagen • Programs in conflict areas, and post-conflict recovery Geneva San New York • Agricultural development Francisco Washington DC • Education Dakar Mumbai • Human rights Nairobi • Emerging and bottom-of-pyramid markets Santiago • Corporate supply chains Johannesburg Strategic advisory services Broad range of clients and partners • Strategic roadmaps and portfolio design • Impact assessment • Multi-stakeholder facilitation • Recommendations on strategic partnerships • Due diligence on grantees/investees • Technical assistance to grantees/investees • Program/portfolio management World Bank • Operational improvements (for large programs) • Policy advice (for governments and international institutions) 1
  • 3. Most Danish companies are still producing in Denmark for a Danish or EU audience Emerging Falling star Rising Star markets 75% of global Danish economic growth engineering Best Seller is taking place firms Bo Concept here Sales Majority of Danish SMEs Most Denmark/ Danish C20 companies EU Problem child Cash Cow Denmark /EU Emerging Markets Production 2
  • 4. Strategy formulation and execution is a different exercise when the context may change in a matter of months instead of years Megatrends have a faster acceleration and deeper impact.. • Urbanisation from rural to urban Demand and • The effects of climate change Development opportunity • Explotion in the need of health, and trends agriculture, and energy services due opportunity to demographics trends Still a reality, but in The new emergng reality... decline.... • Explotion in South-South trade • State own • Local financial are becoming enterprises that are Development sector Economic mature very active players trends conditions • Emergence of middle class with • Legislation not new demands implemented • Wish for technology leap • Hiring or firing of frogging staff can be a year • Governments that increasingly long exercise are becoming assertive and can • Red tape is given stimulate own economy • Desire for Public-Private 3 Partnership models
  • 5. Strategic thinking in frontier markets is a game of additionality Barrier of Value entrance Value proposition proposition Total Economics Value chain Acess Strategy for and frontier markets financing Access/par- tnerships Partnering 4
  • 6. How well does your product and business model align to the needs of the local market? The key challenges • How to avoid changing price • A Swedish house fabrication company policy, product features, and located in Malmø Value learning a new market in one proposition exercise • Offering: prefabricated houses and local • Avoid having too many production partnership business models running in 35% parallel due to the often very • Product: Structural insulated panels diverse market needs and (SIPs) that are made by sandwiching a spending potential of various core of expanded polystyrene (EPS) segments between two structural boards What can be done? 26% • Understand the public and private market segments and be willing to change e.g. from B to C models to B to B models • Avoid focusing only on countries, but give sufficient attention to the company’s role in a global or regional value chain 5
  • 7. How well does the value chain to your target market work? The key challenges Dalberg client NN, a multinational • How to recreate a profitable agriculture company seeking to enter business in a value chain, where African market many of the typical rutine and Value chain commoditized elements are weak • Across the value chain was obstacles in or non-existing origination, process & refining, • How to penetrate a market where packaging, marketing/distribution, and specific companies/public warehousing agencies are controlling vital parts of the value chain? • Also physical infrastructure, skills gab, and red tape and high tarrifs had to be addressed What can be done? 26% • Create partnerships with organisations that can provide capabilities to close the gaps in the value chain • Engage in policy dialogue and best practices with governments and potential develop joint programs • Establish alliances or acquire with gatekeeper businesses 6
  • 8. Who do you critically depend on in your value chain and what is the structure of the relationship? The key challenges • How to find the correct partners that can make up for the short Partnering comings in the value chains and eco systems? • How to constructive the true win- 35% situations, so non-traditional win partners also have a long-terms interest in sustaining the partnership? What can be done? 26% • Use analoges from other industries or other countries to find out what features the most desired partners should have • Consider all partner options from alliances, M/A, joint programs, etc. • Conduct very serious due dilligence on potential non- traditional partners 7
  • 9. By reaching out to 20,000 companies and score 800 institutions we found a new class of very professional non-commercial partners The top of the list was a surprice to many in the sector
  • 10. Hundreds of programs are being now developed every year Agency – Program Key Figures Key Trends, Focus Areas and Partners DANIDA – Dept for $3M budget Partnerships focus on Danish-based organizations and local partners: Business 96 B2B •B2B Partnerships – Long-term business linkages with Danish & local companies Cooperation & TA partnerships •Innovative Partnerships for Development (IPD) – Partnerships in CSR and SRI 2008/2009 DFID Works across all sectors of donors and investors. Focus on MNC partnerships: aid: £3.3B (57%) • Push Boundaries – business practices to support MDG DFID – Business for bilateral, £2.3B • Promote growth –create the right conditions to encourage business Development (39%) multilateral £337B channeled • Responsibility –promote successful corporate responsibility thru UK NGOs DFID’s recent PPPs focused on transparency, health, & innovative finance facilities: •Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative (EITI) •Major funder of the GAVI Alliance • Helped create International Finance Facility for Immunization (IFFIm) 437 alliances •PPPs: partner through competitions, strategic alliances, financing facility $238.4M funds •Global Compact: coordinates the German Global Compact Network GTZ – Public-Private (thru 2007) •CSR: advisor to help companies address and implement CSR practices Partnership •Projects –56% in Asia & Africa; 41% in economic reform •Partnership Fund Ratio – 37% GTZ, 49% private, 15% other. $4-$5M est. budget Partner with private sector, multilaterals, civil NGOs and universities: for 2010 •Private sector partnering focused on financing, cooperation forums, dialogue, business SIDA – Dept of Dev information and competence development. Partnerships •Swedish Business for Development (B4D) – linking all businesses SMEs  MNCs $9B in alliances Leader in cross-sector partnering, focus on multiple partners and target USAID investment at 680 alliances ~25% and leveraging field staff to drive partnerships. USDA - GDA 1,700 partners •16 person team divided by region sector, technical training ~$15M program •Field-driven partnerships budget in 2005 •2.7:1 avg partners: USAID ratio •Moving toward Global Framework model Source: Organization websites (links above), Partnering for Global Development (BCLC), Public-Private Partnerships Transform Aid (SSIR), AD internal research and analysis
  • 11. Partnership building has over the past 10 years gone from symbolic to very operational and value-adding High Traditional Development: Emerging Partnership Models • Supply-side bias Complex Public Coalition Sector Structures Social development Private Sector Market Based Approach Low • Demand-side bias Low Financial development High 10 Source: ”Development Collaboration: None of Our Business?”, Accenture Development Partnerships
  • 12. How much of the value of your products are you effectively able to capture? The key challenges • How to finance services from commercial and non-traditional Total economics partners in a way that still makes • Vestergaard Frandsen is a European ones own products profitable? company specializing in complex emergency response and disease control products (Bed nets, Lifestraw) What can be done? 26% • Create public-private partnerships • The company have several partnering • Find social investors that are models where they don’t bare all the costs willing to pay for the additionality to sell their products: • Connect north and south sales • Donation model e.g. via partnership and marketing efforts with Rotary • Find alternative income sources • Carbon credit markets (could over for partners make their Lifestraw free) • Joint programs with UNICEF, where their products in a part of a larger health package and campaign • Social investment, where Acumen is co-funding scaling up mechanisms 11
  • 13. Questions for discussion Questions • What do you see as the biggest barrier to getting started on emerging markets? • What do you anticipate to be the largest strategic challenge to obtain a correct posture in an emerging market? • Is there anything that the Danish Government or industry associations can do to help overcome these additional strategic obstacles 12