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Seven Global Shifts:
                       Trends and Opportunities
                       in ICT and BPO
                        SEIPI-ASITEP Convention
                        SMX Convention Center
                        June 6, 2012



Alejandro P. Melchor III
Deputy Executive Director for ICT Industry Development
Department of Science & Technology
Information and Communications Technology Office
The 1st Global Shift:
The Flat WorldGlobal Integration Integration
               & the New Era of Global

 The fall of communism and the rise
of Information & Communications
Technology (ICT) have created the flat
world and the New Era of Global
Integration.


 The playing field has been leveled,
and nations can compete for work in
the global knowledge industry like
never before.


 2
1972                               2006
    the world is round                 the world is flat




      “The Blue Marble”
      Photo taken from Apollo 17
      Last human mission to the moon
3
In a globally integrated flat world, both ICT and
     Business Process Outsourcing become massive
The Good News: the Philippines is globally competitive at both!




Source: IBM Almaden R&D Lab Briefing for DOST and CICT, 2010
The 2nd Global Shift:
The Emergence of a Global Platform for Work
  The deepening of global trade, capital and information flows, enabled by a “flat world” is
  changing where and how business value is created.
  This is driven by the core principle of global integration: When everything is connected, work
  flows. Where it flows and how it gets integrated is shaped by three forces.

                                             “Like water flows to find its level...
                                             Work will flow to places where it can
                                             best be done.”
             Economics
             Expertise
  Open Business Environment




  5
Three Drivers of Global Workflow:


2. Economics:
    Cost and profit potential
3. Expertise:
    Importance of having better skills,
      ideas and solutions
    Ever increasing premium on
      innovation
4. Openness:
    “Open for business” environment,
     competitive policy



  6
India & Philippines Closest to Ideal in Labor Quality vs Cost




                                                                7
India & Philippines have best talent
   competitiveness index for BPO




Source: BPAP, Everest Global, Outsource2Philippines, 2010
Philippines and India have best Labor Demographics
      Profile: they will have a 10-20 year median age
advantage over other countries by countries by the year 2025
                 advantage over other 2025 by the year 2025

                         Years
                                                                                                           Median Age
                                                                                                           2025
                50
                                                                                     Median Age
                                                                                     2000
                40                                                                                                               10-20 year
                                                                                                                                 difference in
                                  Median Age
Median Age




                                                                                                                                 median age
                                  1975

                30



                20



                10
                      JapanWest US ChinaIndia                      JapanWest US ChinaIndia Phil   JapanWest US ChinaIndia Phil
                          Europe                                       Europe                         Europe
               Source: U.N. Department of Economic & Social Affairs, Population Division
             Source: U.N. Department of Economic & Social Affairs, Population Division

                                                                                                                                  9
Philippines #2 in worldwide IT-BPO after India




 Source: Aon Hewitt analysis
However, India a victim of its own success




• Tier I cities saturated
• Wage inflation
• Rampant poaching
• Attrition
• Fiscal scandals
• Terrorist attacks
• New taxes
The 3rd Global Shift: From Multinational
Corporation to Globally Integrated Enterprise




                            • Most valuable assets are the
                            knowledge it creates and the ideas of
                            its employees—intellectual capital.

                            • Since it operates without borders, a
                            Globally Integrated Enterprise places
                            work where it is done best.
Philippines now preferred destination for
the premier Globally Integrated Enterprises
The 4th Global Shift: Global Knowledge Workers
In High Demand in Global Knowledge Economy


                     Between 2010 and 2020, the US,
                     Europe, Japan, China, and India will
                     face a shortfall of 32 Million
                     technically specialized professionals.

                     In the US alone, there is a shortage of
                     1.5 Million knowledge workers today.

                     In the Philippines, ICTO projects a
                     shortage of 700,000 knowledge
                     workers for IT-BPO alone by 2016.
Talent Development Programs will address anticipated shortfall of
       700,000 knowledge workers for IT-BPO alone by 2016
We are solving for a talent supply shortfall of
700,000 to meet the 1.43M IT-BPO jobs by 2016

                                                      Target
   TESDA Training for Work Scholarships     250,000
   potential additional supply over 5 yrs

   BPAP-led higher education                200,000
   interventions over 5 yrs
   Career Marketing Campaign                100,000
   additional supply over 5 yrs
   DOST & ICTO Scholarships                 50,000
   High school IT-BPO associate program     50,000
   Other interventions (ICTO’s HEI          50,00
   programs, corporate training & CSRs)
The 5th Global Shift: Rise of Smart Cities as a
     driving force for national progress
Next Wave Cities Program will spread jobs and investments
               throughout the archipelago
Next Wave Cities Program Components

                         Research & Road Mapping


                           Talent Development


                                Marketing


                            Capability Building


                          Business Environment

                              Infrastructure
                               & Real Estate
     Next
     Wave                 Resource Mobilization
     Cities TM                & Incentives
The 6th Global Shift: ICT as an engine of growth
Philippine Digital Strategy plus ICTO’s Industry
 Development Programs will produce $50B in
        ICT Industry revenues by 2016
Domestic ICT Industry Development Program
   Goal: Accelerate development of entire ICT Industry , increasing investments,
   export revenues and job creation.
                        2012 Target: ICT Industry Mapping Project
Telecoms                         Broadcast & Media                Others (IT Services)




Software & Apps Development
                              ICT INDUSTRY MAPPING


                                  ICT- Enabled Creatives
Computer Hardware                                          Semiconductors & Electronics
The 7th Global Shift: ASEAN, China and India
      as the world’s premier growth engine




By 2030:
• ASEAN, China, India Region (ACI) combined GDP could
quadruple and exceed that of the US and Europe combined
• ACI share of world investment projected to be 40% of
global total
• ACI Region will comprise almost half the middle class of
the world
• ASEAN’s middle class population expected to rise from
24% in 2010 to 65% in 2030
• Wages in ASEAN, China and India will rise 3-fold
 Source: ADB: ASEAN, the PRC and India: The Great Transformation?
ASEAN ICT Master Plan 2015
                        ASEAN as the premier global ICT Hub


                               Pillars
1. Economic             2. People                3. Innovation
  Transformation        Empowerment
                        and Engagement           To nurture a             Key Outcomes
To promote trade &                               creative ,          • ICT as an engine of
 entrepreneurship       To enhance quality       innovative and      growth in the ASEAN
 in the ICT sector.     of life through          green ICT sector    countries.
 And Build an ICT       affordable and
 engine of sectoral     equitable ICT                                • Recognition for ASEAN as
 change.                                                             a global ICT hub

                                                                     • Enhanced quality of life
                            Foundation
                                                                     for people of ASEAN
4. Infrastructure Development
- To provide the next generation infrastructure enabling policies.   • Contribution towards
                                                                     ASEAN integration
5. Human Capital Development
- To develop a skillful ICT workforce and knowledgeable community.

6. Bridging the Digital Divide
- To evaluate countries and people through ICT Capabilities
THANK YOU!

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7 Global Shifts

  • 1. Seven Global Shifts: Trends and Opportunities in ICT and BPO SEIPI-ASITEP Convention SMX Convention Center June 6, 2012 Alejandro P. Melchor III Deputy Executive Director for ICT Industry Development Department of Science & Technology Information and Communications Technology Office
  • 2. The 1st Global Shift: The Flat WorldGlobal Integration Integration & the New Era of Global  The fall of communism and the rise of Information & Communications Technology (ICT) have created the flat world and the New Era of Global Integration.  The playing field has been leveled, and nations can compete for work in the global knowledge industry like never before. 2
  • 3. 1972 2006 the world is round the world is flat “The Blue Marble” Photo taken from Apollo 17 Last human mission to the moon 3
  • 4. In a globally integrated flat world, both ICT and Business Process Outsourcing become massive The Good News: the Philippines is globally competitive at both! Source: IBM Almaden R&D Lab Briefing for DOST and CICT, 2010
  • 5. The 2nd Global Shift: The Emergence of a Global Platform for Work The deepening of global trade, capital and information flows, enabled by a “flat world” is changing where and how business value is created. This is driven by the core principle of global integration: When everything is connected, work flows. Where it flows and how it gets integrated is shaped by three forces. “Like water flows to find its level... Work will flow to places where it can best be done.” Economics Expertise Open Business Environment 5
  • 6. Three Drivers of Global Workflow: 2. Economics:  Cost and profit potential 3. Expertise:  Importance of having better skills, ideas and solutions  Ever increasing premium on innovation 4. Openness:  “Open for business” environment, competitive policy 6
  • 7. India & Philippines Closest to Ideal in Labor Quality vs Cost 7
  • 8. India & Philippines have best talent competitiveness index for BPO Source: BPAP, Everest Global, Outsource2Philippines, 2010
  • 9. Philippines and India have best Labor Demographics Profile: they will have a 10-20 year median age advantage over other countries by countries by the year 2025 advantage over other 2025 by the year 2025 Years Median Age 2025 50 Median Age 2000 40 10-20 year difference in Median Age Median Age median age 1975 30 20 10 JapanWest US ChinaIndia JapanWest US ChinaIndia Phil JapanWest US ChinaIndia Phil Europe Europe Europe Source: U.N. Department of Economic & Social Affairs, Population Division Source: U.N. Department of Economic & Social Affairs, Population Division 9
  • 10. Philippines #2 in worldwide IT-BPO after India Source: Aon Hewitt analysis
  • 11. However, India a victim of its own success • Tier I cities saturated • Wage inflation • Rampant poaching • Attrition • Fiscal scandals • Terrorist attacks • New taxes
  • 12. The 3rd Global Shift: From Multinational Corporation to Globally Integrated Enterprise • Most valuable assets are the knowledge it creates and the ideas of its employees—intellectual capital. • Since it operates without borders, a Globally Integrated Enterprise places work where it is done best.
  • 13. Philippines now preferred destination for the premier Globally Integrated Enterprises
  • 14. The 4th Global Shift: Global Knowledge Workers In High Demand in Global Knowledge Economy Between 2010 and 2020, the US, Europe, Japan, China, and India will face a shortfall of 32 Million technically specialized professionals. In the US alone, there is a shortage of 1.5 Million knowledge workers today. In the Philippines, ICTO projects a shortage of 700,000 knowledge workers for IT-BPO alone by 2016.
  • 15. Talent Development Programs will address anticipated shortfall of 700,000 knowledge workers for IT-BPO alone by 2016
  • 16. We are solving for a talent supply shortfall of 700,000 to meet the 1.43M IT-BPO jobs by 2016 Target TESDA Training for Work Scholarships 250,000 potential additional supply over 5 yrs BPAP-led higher education 200,000 interventions over 5 yrs Career Marketing Campaign 100,000 additional supply over 5 yrs DOST & ICTO Scholarships 50,000 High school IT-BPO associate program 50,000 Other interventions (ICTO’s HEI 50,00 programs, corporate training & CSRs)
  • 17. The 5th Global Shift: Rise of Smart Cities as a driving force for national progress
  • 18. Next Wave Cities Program will spread jobs and investments throughout the archipelago
  • 19. Next Wave Cities Program Components Research & Road Mapping Talent Development Marketing Capability Building Business Environment Infrastructure & Real Estate Next Wave Resource Mobilization Cities TM & Incentives
  • 20. The 6th Global Shift: ICT as an engine of growth
  • 21. Philippine Digital Strategy plus ICTO’s Industry Development Programs will produce $50B in ICT Industry revenues by 2016
  • 22. Domestic ICT Industry Development Program Goal: Accelerate development of entire ICT Industry , increasing investments, export revenues and job creation. 2012 Target: ICT Industry Mapping Project Telecoms Broadcast & Media Others (IT Services) Software & Apps Development ICT INDUSTRY MAPPING ICT- Enabled Creatives Computer Hardware Semiconductors & Electronics
  • 23. The 7th Global Shift: ASEAN, China and India as the world’s premier growth engine By 2030: • ASEAN, China, India Region (ACI) combined GDP could quadruple and exceed that of the US and Europe combined • ACI share of world investment projected to be 40% of global total • ACI Region will comprise almost half the middle class of the world • ASEAN’s middle class population expected to rise from 24% in 2010 to 65% in 2030 • Wages in ASEAN, China and India will rise 3-fold Source: ADB: ASEAN, the PRC and India: The Great Transformation?
  • 24. ASEAN ICT Master Plan 2015 ASEAN as the premier global ICT Hub Pillars 1. Economic 2. People 3. Innovation Transformation Empowerment and Engagement To nurture a Key Outcomes To promote trade & creative , • ICT as an engine of entrepreneurship To enhance quality innovative and growth in the ASEAN in the ICT sector. of life through green ICT sector countries. And Build an ICT affordable and engine of sectoral equitable ICT • Recognition for ASEAN as change. a global ICT hub • Enhanced quality of life Foundation for people of ASEAN 4. Infrastructure Development - To provide the next generation infrastructure enabling policies. • Contribution towards ASEAN integration 5. Human Capital Development - To develop a skillful ICT workforce and knowledgeable community. 6. Bridging the Digital Divide - To evaluate countries and people through ICT Capabilities

Editor's Notes

  1. Greeting. Brief introduction of yourself. Brief introduction of IBM. It is my privilege to address all of you today, future IT leaders and practitioners. Let me congratulate you for choosing a very dynamic, promising and exciting field. Having been in this industry for close to 2 decades, I have seen, experienced, and helped deliver business and technological innovations that have vastly changed the way the world works today. You should know that you are at a very exciting period of hyper-growth and dramatic paradigm shifts in the field of information technology. This is what I’ll be sharing with you today. What are these changes? How will these changes affect business? What are the opportunities and challenges for our country? More importantly, what opportunities and challenges lie ahead for YOU? What should we as a country, an industry, an academic body, and as individuals do to make this shift work for our advantage?
  2. According to Thomas Friedman, in his global best-seller, The World is Flat, the playing field is levelling among players in the global economy, primarily due to technological innovations that have changed the World the way does business.
  3. In the globally integrated enterprise, work will flow to places where it can best be done. There are 3 major factors to consider: Economics. Businesses are looking at Costs and Profit potential. Openness. Systems that are open nurture collaboration. Expertise. In a world where the means of production and distribution are increasingly available to anyone, the only way to differentiate yourself is to have better skills, brighter ideas, more innovative solutions, more knowledge than the next person in the same industry, and to apply it more effectively.
  4. The Philippines, as you can see, has an advantage over other markets in terms of median age of workers. By 2025, the 10-20 year difference in median age for the Philippines (vs. other countries) will potentially render us highly competitive in attracting high-value skill-based jobs.