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Numbers: Crunching and Comparing
Avalon Consulting Group
October 2011
www.avalonconsulting.net




                           Produced for the 2011 AMMMC Conference by Avalon Analytics, a division of Avalon Consulting
                           Group, Inc.
                           For more information, contact Avalon Executive Vice President Allison Porter at
                                             1
                           allisonporter@avalconsulting.net or 202.429.6080 x102.
Benchmarking Tools for
           Your Membership Program



Understanding Statistical Definitions

Evaluating Your Statistics

Compare to Environmental Indicators and Benchmarks




                             2
Understanding Statistical Definitions

Quantity                   Total number of members/prospects mailed
Number of Gifts            Number of contributions received
Response Rate              Number of Gifts / Quantity Mailed
Renewal Rate               Total number of renewal gifts in year (all channels)/ number of current members
                           eligible for renewal in year
Average Gift               Gross Revenue / Number of Gifts
Gross Revenue              Total income received
Gross/M (“gross per        Compare performance across multiple mailings with different quantities – compares
thousand pieces mailed”)   apples to apples
                           (Gross Revenue / Quantity) * 1,000
Cost                       Total cost of a mailing (includes copy, art, print, laser shop, mail shop, postage, list
                           costs, miscellaneous)
Net Revenue                Gross Revenue – Cost
Net/M (“net per thousand   Compare performance across multiple mailings with different mail quantities and
pieces mailed”)            different costs
                           (Net Revenue / Quantity) * 1,000
Net/Donor (“net revenue    Used mostly in acquisition to evaluate the quality of donors across different lists
per donation”)             – collapses response rate, average gift, and costs
                           Net Revenue / Number of Gifts

Cost/$ Raised (“cost per   What is spent to bring in a dollar
dollar raised”)            Cost / Gross Revenue

                                                    3
Evaluating Your Statistics

   Monitor the number of days for returns.
Do not make conclusions too early. Most mailings require at least 90 days
before they should be considered final and conclusive. As a general rule, expect
to receive 50% of your total returns in the first 20 days.
   Look out for large gifts.
A large gift can throw off the average gift and other statistics for determining
testing results. These gifts should be subtracted out before results are
evaluated.
   Confirm accuracy of costs.
Ensure that all costs are included and that costs are accurately broken- out by
package.
   Verify adequate sample sizes.
If evaluating segments against each other, make sure that each segment has at
least 300 returns. This ensures that the results are statistically significant. If
sample sizes are not large enough, consider testing over multiple months before
making a decision.

                                         4
Compare to Environmental Indicators
                      and Benchmarks




 In the fundraising industry, results often follow consumer confidence trends. Consult
the Consumer Confidence Index as an Environmental Indicator if a sudden increase or
           decrease in results is realized but not explained by obvious trends.
                               www.conference-board.org

                          Source: The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index®

                                                    5
Acquisition Benchmarking Across Industries


              Acquisition Response Rates                                                     Acquisition Average Gift
                1.2% 1.1%
                               1.0% 0.9%      1.0% 0.9%                     $42 $49
  0.6% 0.5%                                                                                                $24 $22      $25 $26
                                                                                                 $22 $23



Arts & Culture Environment &   Advocacy         All                       Arts & Culture Environment &     Advocacy       All
                Conservation                                                              Conservation
                                                                                                  2009     2010
                       2009    2010

                                                 Acquisition Net/Donor

                                                 -$10 -$13         -$13
                                                                          -$17      -$14
                                                                                            -$17

                                  -$42 -$44
                                Arts & Culture Environment &       Advocacy                All
                                                Conservation

                                                      2009                   2010


                                                               6
Appeal Benchmarking Across Industries

               Appeal Response Rates                                                        Appeal Average Gift
                               4.3% 4.4%
                3.6%                         3.8% 3.4%                      $66 $73
  3.2% 2.9%            3.1%
                                                                                            $39 $41     $48 $48    $44 $46




Arts & Culture Environment &   Advocacy         All                    Arts & Culture Environment &     Advocacy     All
                Conservation                                                           Conservation

                        2009   2010                                                              2009   2010


                                                 Appeal Net/Donor
                                 $39 $41
                                                $26 $28           $31 $33        $29 $31




                               Arts & Culture Environment &       Advocacy            All
                                               Conservation
                                                 2009                   2010


                                                              7
Renewal Benchmarking Across Industries

                    Renewal Rates                                                         Renewal Average Gift
                                                                        $76 $75
 63.9% 62.7%
                47.4% 48.4%                  44.8% 45.0%                                              $52 $54    $51 $53
                                                                                          $42 $44
                               28.6% 29.0%



Arts & Culture Environment &   Advocacy          All                 Arts & Culture Environment &     Advocacy     All
                Conservation                                                         Conservation

                       2009    2010                                                            2009   2010

                                                 Renewal Net/Donor
                                 $68 $67

                                                                  $40 $42         $44 $45
                                                 $36 $37




                               Arts & Culture Environment &       Advocacy          All
                                               Conservation
                                                 2009                   2010



                                                              8
Analyze and Benchmark Results

                                  Visitation, Performing Arts,          All Sectors
                                  & Libraries sectors
Total Email file size:                                       38,736                        39,100
Usable email file size:                                      24,625                        25,572
Online revenue:                                           $221, 964                     $349,967
Online revenue growth:                                          19%                           20%
Online avg. gift:                                           $106.19                        $91.94
Fundraising open%:                                              21%                           18%
Fundraising click%:                                           1.96%                         1.76%
Fundraising response%:                                          .10%                          .16%
eNewsletter open%                                               27%                           19%
eNewsletter click%                                            3.44%                         3.06%
*All stats from Visitation, Performing Arts & Libraries sector of 2011 Convio Online Marketing
Nonprofit Benchmark™ Index Study published in March 2011. This sector includes zoos, museums,
and aquariums that rely on members and guest visiting their facilities, and comprised 30 of the 589
groups in this study.



                                                   9
Dara Rosenberg Igersheim               Kristen Shank Finn
Senior Program Manager                 Senior Program Manager
Avalon Consulting, Inc.                Avalon Consulting, Inc.
1150 17th Street, NW, Suite 200        1150 17th Street, NW, Suite 200
Washington, DC 20036                   Washington, DC 20036
202.429.6080 ext. 118                  202.429.6080 ext. 117
darar@avalonconsulting.net             kristens@avalonconsulting.net




                                  10

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AMMC 2001 - Benchmarking

  • 1. Numbers: Crunching and Comparing Avalon Consulting Group October 2011 www.avalonconsulting.net Produced for the 2011 AMMMC Conference by Avalon Analytics, a division of Avalon Consulting Group, Inc. For more information, contact Avalon Executive Vice President Allison Porter at 1 allisonporter@avalconsulting.net or 202.429.6080 x102.
  • 2. Benchmarking Tools for Your Membership Program Understanding Statistical Definitions Evaluating Your Statistics Compare to Environmental Indicators and Benchmarks 2
  • 3. Understanding Statistical Definitions Quantity Total number of members/prospects mailed Number of Gifts Number of contributions received Response Rate Number of Gifts / Quantity Mailed Renewal Rate Total number of renewal gifts in year (all channels)/ number of current members eligible for renewal in year Average Gift Gross Revenue / Number of Gifts Gross Revenue Total income received Gross/M (“gross per Compare performance across multiple mailings with different quantities – compares thousand pieces mailed”) apples to apples (Gross Revenue / Quantity) * 1,000 Cost Total cost of a mailing (includes copy, art, print, laser shop, mail shop, postage, list costs, miscellaneous) Net Revenue Gross Revenue – Cost Net/M (“net per thousand Compare performance across multiple mailings with different mail quantities and pieces mailed”) different costs (Net Revenue / Quantity) * 1,000 Net/Donor (“net revenue Used mostly in acquisition to evaluate the quality of donors across different lists per donation”) – collapses response rate, average gift, and costs Net Revenue / Number of Gifts Cost/$ Raised (“cost per What is spent to bring in a dollar dollar raised”) Cost / Gross Revenue 3
  • 4. Evaluating Your Statistics Monitor the number of days for returns. Do not make conclusions too early. Most mailings require at least 90 days before they should be considered final and conclusive. As a general rule, expect to receive 50% of your total returns in the first 20 days. Look out for large gifts. A large gift can throw off the average gift and other statistics for determining testing results. These gifts should be subtracted out before results are evaluated. Confirm accuracy of costs. Ensure that all costs are included and that costs are accurately broken- out by package. Verify adequate sample sizes. If evaluating segments against each other, make sure that each segment has at least 300 returns. This ensures that the results are statistically significant. If sample sizes are not large enough, consider testing over multiple months before making a decision. 4
  • 5. Compare to Environmental Indicators and Benchmarks In the fundraising industry, results often follow consumer confidence trends. Consult the Consumer Confidence Index as an Environmental Indicator if a sudden increase or decrease in results is realized but not explained by obvious trends. www.conference-board.org Source: The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index® 5
  • 6. Acquisition Benchmarking Across Industries Acquisition Response Rates Acquisition Average Gift 1.2% 1.1% 1.0% 0.9% 1.0% 0.9% $42 $49 0.6% 0.5% $24 $22 $25 $26 $22 $23 Arts & Culture Environment & Advocacy All Arts & Culture Environment & Advocacy All Conservation Conservation 2009 2010 2009 2010 Acquisition Net/Donor -$10 -$13 -$13 -$17 -$14 -$17 -$42 -$44 Arts & Culture Environment & Advocacy All Conservation 2009 2010 6
  • 7. Appeal Benchmarking Across Industries Appeal Response Rates Appeal Average Gift 4.3% 4.4% 3.6% 3.8% 3.4% $66 $73 3.2% 2.9% 3.1% $39 $41 $48 $48 $44 $46 Arts & Culture Environment & Advocacy All Arts & Culture Environment & Advocacy All Conservation Conservation 2009 2010 2009 2010 Appeal Net/Donor $39 $41 $26 $28 $31 $33 $29 $31 Arts & Culture Environment & Advocacy All Conservation 2009 2010 7
  • 8. Renewal Benchmarking Across Industries Renewal Rates Renewal Average Gift $76 $75 63.9% 62.7% 47.4% 48.4% 44.8% 45.0% $52 $54 $51 $53 $42 $44 28.6% 29.0% Arts & Culture Environment & Advocacy All Arts & Culture Environment & Advocacy All Conservation Conservation 2009 2010 2009 2010 Renewal Net/Donor $68 $67 $40 $42 $44 $45 $36 $37 Arts & Culture Environment & Advocacy All Conservation 2009 2010 8
  • 9. Analyze and Benchmark Results Visitation, Performing Arts, All Sectors & Libraries sectors Total Email file size: 38,736 39,100 Usable email file size: 24,625 25,572 Online revenue: $221, 964 $349,967 Online revenue growth: 19% 20% Online avg. gift: $106.19 $91.94 Fundraising open%: 21% 18% Fundraising click%: 1.96% 1.76% Fundraising response%: .10% .16% eNewsletter open% 27% 19% eNewsletter click% 3.44% 3.06% *All stats from Visitation, Performing Arts & Libraries sector of 2011 Convio Online Marketing Nonprofit Benchmark™ Index Study published in March 2011. This sector includes zoos, museums, and aquariums that rely on members and guest visiting their facilities, and comprised 30 of the 589 groups in this study. 9
  • 10. Dara Rosenberg Igersheim Kristen Shank Finn Senior Program Manager Senior Program Manager Avalon Consulting, Inc. Avalon Consulting, Inc. 1150 17th Street, NW, Suite 200 1150 17th Street, NW, Suite 200 Washington, DC 20036 Washington, DC 20036 202.429.6080 ext. 118 202.429.6080 ext. 117 darar@avalonconsulting.net kristens@avalonconsulting.net 10

Editor's Notes

  1. Even if you’re small – ask yourself: am I meeting industry standards?Start to benchmark your results against each other. Arts clients have high average gifts, but environmental/advocacy clients have higher response rates.Revenue/email delivered is another metric that collapses avg. gift and response rate (like $/cd in TM or net/donor in DM)What’s the motivation to give?Blackbaud 2010 Online Giving Report (February 2011) shows just 8.7% YOY growth for Arts, Culture and Humanities sector and 4.6% of total giving from online in this sector.NMAI saw 6.2% growth from FY10 to FY11???NMAI (Avalon benchmarks):Open rate:20.73%Click rate: 2.81%Response%: 1.42%Unsub%: 0.18%Avg. gift: $55.72