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Scaling up the Integrated Prevention Campaign:
Health Impact and Cost by Setting and Globally

July 25, 2012

ELLIOT MARSEILLE, DRPH, MPP
HEALTH STRATEGIES INTERNATIONAL
UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO
UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON


Integrated Prevention Campaign: Evidence for Impact and Efficiency
Global Potential and Sustainability
XIX International AIDS Conference
Non-Commercial Satellite
Washington DC
IPC COST, TOP 10 COUNTRIES IN PER-CAPITA
       DISEASE BURDEN, PER 1000 PARTICIPANTS
$140,000

$120,000

$100,000

 $80,000                                 Campaign
                                         cost
 $60,000                                 (unadjusted)
 $40,000
                                         Net cost
 $20,000

      $0

($20,000)

($40,000)

($60,000)
COST-EFFECTIVENESS: USD / DALY AVERTED

$250
                          $200
$200

$150         $137


$100
       $65
                    $52
 $50                                        $33   $27
                                 $14
                                       $0               $0   $0
 $0
COST-EFFECTIVENESS: USD / DALY
                   AVERTED
$3,000                          $2,845

$2,500

$2,000
                $1,494                                                           IPC CE
$1,500
                                                                 $1,058
$1,000                   $884            $840 $862                        $796
         $622                                        $666 $687
 $500
                                                                                 ART CE
   $0
IPC COST, PER 1000 IPC PARTICIPANTS
                        CAMPAIGN 2

$140,000
$120,000
                                          Campaign cost
$100,000
                                          (unadjusted)
 $80,000
 $60,000                                  Net cost

 $40,000
 $20,000
      $0
($20,000)
($40,000)
COST-EFFECTIVENESS
                      CAMPAIGN 2
$250

$200

$150
       $97
$100

$50                                   $33
                                            $14
             $0   $0   $0   $0   $0               $0   $0
 $0
MULTI-COUNTRY IPC INITIATIVE:
                       COSTS AND NET COSTS
            $3.0
            $2.5                               Assumes 15%
            $2.0                            population coverage
            $1.5
            $1.0
Billions




            $0.5
            $0.0
           ($0.5)
           ($1.0)
           ($1.5)
           ($2.0)
                           IPC cost           Net cost
           Top 10       $678,131,888       ($329,801,040)
           Top 25       $1,527,675,880    ($1,166,536,007)
           Top 40       $2,562,023,930    ($1,433,433,071)
MULTI-COUNTRY IPC INITIATIVE :
                            DALYS AVERTED
                50,000,000
                45,000,000
                40,000,000
                35,000,000
DALYs Averted




                30,000,000
                25,000,000
                20,000,000
                15,000,000
                10,000,000
                 5,000,000
                        -
                             Top 10   Top 25    Top 40
CONCLUSIONS – IMPLICATIONS

 IPC is highly cost-effective or cost saving in the 10
  countries of highest opportunity.
 Even more favorable if ART used as cost-effectiveness
  threshold.
 Costs decline and cost-effectiveness generally more
  favorable in follow-up campaigns.
 If implemented in top 40 opportunity countries IPC could
  avert 46 million DALYs and save $1.4 billion.


     If taken to scale, IPC can be a highly
efficient strategy for improving global health.

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Evidence IPC Campaign Improves Global Health Efficiency at Scale

  • 1. Scaling up the Integrated Prevention Campaign: Health Impact and Cost by Setting and Globally July 25, 2012 ELLIOT MARSEILLE, DRPH, MPP HEALTH STRATEGIES INTERNATIONAL UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON Integrated Prevention Campaign: Evidence for Impact and Efficiency Global Potential and Sustainability XIX International AIDS Conference Non-Commercial Satellite Washington DC
  • 2. IPC COST, TOP 10 COUNTRIES IN PER-CAPITA DISEASE BURDEN, PER 1000 PARTICIPANTS $140,000 $120,000 $100,000 $80,000 Campaign cost $60,000 (unadjusted) $40,000 Net cost $20,000 $0 ($20,000) ($40,000) ($60,000)
  • 3. COST-EFFECTIVENESS: USD / DALY AVERTED $250 $200 $200 $150 $137 $100 $65 $52 $50 $33 $27 $14 $0 $0 $0 $0
  • 4. COST-EFFECTIVENESS: USD / DALY AVERTED $3,000 $2,845 $2,500 $2,000 $1,494 IPC CE $1,500 $1,058 $1,000 $884 $840 $862 $796 $622 $666 $687 $500 ART CE $0
  • 5. IPC COST, PER 1000 IPC PARTICIPANTS CAMPAIGN 2 $140,000 $120,000 Campaign cost $100,000 (unadjusted) $80,000 $60,000 Net cost $40,000 $20,000 $0 ($20,000) ($40,000)
  • 6. COST-EFFECTIVENESS CAMPAIGN 2 $250 $200 $150 $97 $100 $50 $33 $14 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
  • 7. MULTI-COUNTRY IPC INITIATIVE: COSTS AND NET COSTS $3.0 $2.5 Assumes 15% $2.0 population coverage $1.5 $1.0 Billions $0.5 $0.0 ($0.5) ($1.0) ($1.5) ($2.0) IPC cost Net cost Top 10 $678,131,888 ($329,801,040) Top 25 $1,527,675,880 ($1,166,536,007) Top 40 $2,562,023,930 ($1,433,433,071)
  • 8. MULTI-COUNTRY IPC INITIATIVE : DALYS AVERTED 50,000,000 45,000,000 40,000,000 35,000,000 DALYs Averted 30,000,000 25,000,000 20,000,000 15,000,000 10,000,000 5,000,000 - Top 10 Top 25 Top 40
  • 9. CONCLUSIONS – IMPLICATIONS  IPC is highly cost-effective or cost saving in the 10 countries of highest opportunity.  Even more favorable if ART used as cost-effectiveness threshold.  Costs decline and cost-effectiveness generally more favorable in follow-up campaigns.  If implemented in top 40 opportunity countries IPC could avert 46 million DALYs and save $1.4 billion. If taken to scale, IPC can be a highly efficient strategy for improving global health.