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Topic Models, LDA and all that 肖智博 2011-03-23
LDA Linear Discriminant Analysis Fisher Linear Discriminant Analysis 有监督学习 寻找使类间与类内比最大的投影方向 从矩阵的角度 Latent DirichletAllocation 无监督学习 从图模型的角度 Just make sure we are on the same page
所需数学知识 Latent Dirichlet Allocation 后验概率逼近方法 主题模型的演化 —— 从主题的关系探讨 有监督LDA --- MedLDA 主题模型的应用 主要内容 Roadmap
后验概率 posteriori 逼近 approximation 采样 sampling 变分法variational 优化 optimization 关键词 Keywords
Approximation methods is useful! GibbsSampling Variational Methods (Convex) Optimization is Useful! Math is almighty! 我的感受 My afterthoughts
概率知识回顾 Beta和Gamma方程 Dirichlet分布 多项分布 共轭分布 贝叶斯网络简介 本节内容 Overview
概率知识复习 Chain rule (conditional independence) Bayes rule Marginal distribution Probability Recap
Gamma和Beta方程 Gamma方程 ,[object Object],Gamma and Beta function
Dirichlet分布 ,[object Object],Dirichlet Distribution
多项分布 ,[object Object]
期望
方差Multinomial Distribution
共轭分布 Very Important! 如果似然函数              和先验分布         属于同一分布族,则称两者是共轭分布 共轭先验分布可以为计算后验分布提供方便 Conjugrate distribution
共轭分布 相似 Conjugrate distribution
David Barber: Bayesian Reasoning and Machine Learning
贝叶斯网络 Bayesian Network
贝叶斯网络(续) Bayesian Network
贝叶斯网络:要解决的问题 如何表示满足特定独立性的分布? 表示问题 representation 如何利用特定独立性来有效的计算? 推断问题 inference 如何辨识数据中的特定独立性? 学习问题 learning Bayesian Network : problems to solve
David Barber Bayesian Reasoning and Machine Learning Daphne Koller,NirFriedman Probabilistic Graphical Model Bishop Pattern Recognition and Machine Learning Ch8 Eric Xing Probabilistic Graphical Models 获得更多 Bayesian Network : where to learn more
本节内容:主题模型 主题模型 LDA 推断方法 Inference 主题间关系 MedLDA LDA的应用 Topic Model Overview
主题模型 ,[object Object]
Hyperspace Analogue to Language (HAL) (Lund and Burgess, 1996)
Bound Encoding of the Aggregate Language Environment(BEAGLE) (Jones and Mewhort, 2007)Topic Model Overview
主要研究者 Mark Steyvers Michael I. Jordan  Andrew Ng D Blei Andrew McCallum John Lafferty Eric Xing Fei-Fei Li Researchers in Topic Model
主要研究者 Hanna Wallach Yee WhyeTeh Jun Zhu David Mimno Researchers in Topic Model
Why Latent?
重新思考贝叶斯模型 ,[object Object]
一个恰当的先验分布应该避免给可能发生的情况赋予小概率,但是也不应该将几乎不可能事件与其他事件一概而论。为了避免这种情况发生,需要考虑模型参数间的联系。一种策略是在模型中引入隐含变量(latent variables ),另一种是引入超参数(hyperparameters)。这两种方法都是可计算的(tractable)。 From Radford Neal’s CSC2541 “Bayesian Methods for Machine Learning”
Goal The goal is to find short descriptions of the members of a collection that enable efficient processing of large collections while preserving the essential statistical relationships that are useful for basic tasks such as classification, novelty detection, summarization, and similarity and relevance judgments. Goal and Motivation of Topic Model
主题模型:前人工作 tf-idf 统计词频 无法捕捉到文档内部和文档间的统计特征 tf-idf 1983 Previous Work : tf-idf
主题模型:前人工作 LSI: Latent Semantic Indexing 在词与文档(term-by-document)矩阵上使用SVD tf-idf的线性组合,能捕捉到一些语法特征 tf-idf 1983 LSI 1990 Previous work: LSI
主题模型:前人工作 pLSI (aka Aspect Model 内容模型) 参数随着语料库的容量增长,容易过拟合 在文档层面没有一个统计模型,无法对文档指定概率 tf-idf 1983 pLSI 1999 LSI 1990 Previous work: pLSI
主题模型:前人工作 LDA bag-of-word假设 同时考虑词和文档交换性的混合模型 tf-idf 1983 pLSI 1999 LSI 1990 LDA 2003 LDA
LDA LDA in graphical model
LDA举例:在线音乐社区 An analog : Modeling Shared Tastes in Online Communities - Laura Dietz NIPS 09 workshop
LDA 对于语料库     中的每个文档     ,LDA是如下的变参数层次贝叶斯网络: 选择单词的个数 选择文档中话题比率 对于每个单词    选择话题 从分布                          中选择单词 LDA procedure
LDA 在已知超参数    和     的情况下,主题和词的联合概率为 对   和   求积分,可以得到文档的边际概率 进而,对所有的边际概率求积,可得语料库的概率 LDA : to see a document
LDA 在已知超参数    和     的情况下,主题和词的联合概率为 为何求积分? 对   和   求积分,可以得到文档的边际概率 进而,对所有的边际概率求积,可得语料库的概率 LDA : to see a document
Frequentist ,[object Object]
数据是随机的,所以,期望也是随机的;
参数是确定的,未知常量与概率式无关;Bayesian ,[object Object]
求参数𝜃的期望是通过求其概率分布得到;
对未知参数的估计是通过求其边际概率得到。  From Jerry Zhu’s CS 731 Advanced Artificial Intelligence
寒假里发生的一件趣事 训练 测试 阅读… ,[object Object]
段落的中心思想
展开LDA by Human and Computer
LDA : Topic Five topics from a 50-topic LDA model fit to Science from 1980– 2002 LDA : Five topics from a 50-topic LDA model fit to Science from 1980– 2002
LDA : Personas Demo http://personas.media.mit.edu/personasWeb.html LDA : Personas
LDA :获得更多 David M Blei, Andrew Y Ng, and Michael I Jordan. Latent Dirichlet Allocation. Journal of Machine Learning Research, 3:993–1022, 2003  David M Blei and John D Lafferty. Topic models. Taylor and Francis, 2009. Ali Daud, Juanzi Li, Lizhu Zhou, and Faqir Muhammad. Knowledge discovery through directed probabilistic topic models: a survey. Frontiers of Computer Science in China, 4(2):280–301,January 2010. Mark Steyvers and Tom Griffith. Probabilistic topic models. Latent Semantic Analysis: A Road to Meaning. Laurence Erlbaum, July 2006. LDA : where to learn more --- Surveys
如何得到LDA中的参数 --- 推断 每个词的主题指定概率 文档中主题的概率 LDA模型中最重要的计算任务是计算隐含变量的后验概率 变分法 抽样法 Variational Inference Gibbs Sampling Inference --- get important parameters in LDA
推断方法 Inference Methods Overview
推断方法 随机方法 (抽样) MCMC, Metropolis-Hasting, Gibbs, etc 计算量大,但相对精确 判定方法 (优化) Mean Field, Belief Propagation Variational Bayes, Expectation Propagation 计算量小,不精确,可以给出边界 Inference Methods : Comparison of two major methods
变分推断 Variational Inference Variational≈ Optimization Variational≈ ConvexOptimization The basic idea of convexity-based variational inference is to make use of Jensen’s inequality to obtain an adjustable lower bound on the log likelihood. Essentially, one considers a family of lower bounds, indexed by a set of variational parameters. The variationalparameters are chosen by an optimizationprocedure that attempts to find the tightest possible lower bound. Variational Inference
Mean field 基本思想 用一个简单可分解的分布       逼近 求KL散度最小的逼近 为何得名? 概率可完全分解      Mean field variational inference
LDA中的变分推断 目标:求出 Variational inference in LDA Overview
LDA中的变分推断 Jensen不等式 Variational Inference : Beautiful math
LDA中的变分推断 记 则 因为         都是可分解的,所以有 Variational Inference : Beautiful math
LDA中的变分推断 Variational Inference : Beautiful math
LDA中的变分推断 应用拉格朗日法,得到 Variational Inference : Beautiful math
总结:LDA中的变分推断 目标:求出 Variational Inference : Review
变分推断: 获得更多 Martin Wainwright. Graphical models and variational methods: Message-passing, convex relaxations, and all that. ICML2008 Tutorial M. J. Wainwright and M. I. Jordan. Graphical models, exponential families, and variational inference. Foundations and Trends in Machine Learning, Vol. 1, Numbers 1--2, pp. 1--305, December 2008 Variational Inference : Where to learn more
MCMC in LDA MCMC Overview Sampling in general Why sampling is necessary and why it is hard Importance sampling, rejection sampling Markov Chain Monte Carlo Metropolis-Hasting, Gibbs sampling Collapsed Gibbs in LDA
Pioneers to push sampling Nicholas C. Metropolis Andrey Markov Josiah W. Gibbs MCMC Overview
抽样例子 中华人民共和国国家统计局 2006年3月16日 经国务院批准,我国于2005年底开展了全国1%人口抽样调查工作。这次调查的样本量为1705万人,占全国总人口的1.31%。 全国人口中,具有大学程度(指大专及以上)的人口为6764万人,高中程度(含中专)的人口为15083万人,初中程度的人口为46735万人,小学程度的人口为40706万人。 Sampling Example : Population statistics
抽样要解决的问题 1 从给定概率分布        中产生样本 2 在给定概率分布       下,估计函数的期望 Sampling
例子:测量湖水内某种物质的含量 Sampling : Why it is so damn hard?
Rejection sampling Reject Accept Sampling : Rejection sampling
Importance sampling In Rejection sampling, throwing away an x seems a waste, and the rejection is the only thing we know about the original distribution.   Sampling : Importance sampling
Metropolis-Hasting Method 考虑Markov特性:某个状态仅与其前一个状态有关 在t状态,            可以是任意可以抽样的分布,比如高斯分布 对于一个新的状态,考虑 Sampling : Metropolis-Hasting Method
Gibbs Sampling 1 对所有的变量初始化 2 选定维度 i 从分布                     中对     采样 Sampling : Gibbs Sampling
Gibbs Sampling in LDA : Joint distribution Gibbs Sampling in LDA
Gibbs Sampling in LDA : Joint distribution 将上式带入 Collapsed: Gibbs Sampling in LDA
Gibbs Sampling in LDA : Joint distribution 此处省略若干公式 …… Gibbs Sampling in LDA
Gibbs Sampling in LDA : Marginal dist. 此处省略若干公式 …… Gibbs Sampling in LDA
Gibbs Sampling in LDA in Python Code Really simple!   for m in xrange(n_docs):             for i, w in enumerate(word_indices(matrix[m, :])):                 z = np.random.randint(self.n_topics) self.nmz[m,z] += 1 self.nm[m] += 1 self.nzw[z,w] += 1                 self.nz[z] += 1 self.topics[(m,i)] = z Sampling : Gibbs Sampling code in Python
Gibbs Sampling获得更多 D.J.C. MacKay. Information theory, inference, and learning algorithms. Cambridge UnivPr,2003. GregorHeinrich. Parameter estimation for text analysis. Technical Report, 2009. Michael I. Jordan and Yair Weiss. Graphical models: Probabilistic inference. Christophe Andrieu, N De Freitas, A Doucet, and Michael I. Jordan. An introduction to MCMC for machine learning. Machine learning, pages 5–43, 2003. Yi Wang. Distributed Gibbs Sampling of Latent Dirichlet Allocation : The Gritty Details. Technical Report, 2007. Gibbs Sampling where to learn more
主题模型的演化 ,[object Object]
 Dynamic topic models
 Temporal topic modelsEvolution of Topic Models
Correlated + Dynamic TM David M. Blei and John D Lafferty. Correlated Topic Models. In Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems 18, 2006. David M. Blei and John D Lafferty. A correlated topic model of Science. The Annals of Applied Statistics, 1(1):17–35, 2007. David M. Blei and John D Lafferty. Dynamic topic models. Proceedings of the 23rd international conference on Machine learning - ICML ’06, pages 113–120, 2006. Correlated + Dynamic Topic Models
Correlated + Dynamic TM Correlated + Dynamic Topic Models
Correlated TM 无法捕捉主题间的联系  和多元分布不共轭 采用变分法进行推断 Correlated Topic Models
Correlated TM Correlated Topic Models
Correlated TM 控制稀疏度 Correlated Topic Models
Dynamic TM DTM中,假设所有文档是按时间分块 Dynamic Topic Models
Dynamic TM Dynamic Topic Models : Top10 words of Science and example articles of Science
Topics over time Published in: KDD '06 Proceedings of the 12th ACM SIGKDD international conference on Knowledge discovery and data mining Topics over time
Topics over time Topics over time
Topics over time : Topic discovery TOT LDA Topics over time : State-of-the-Union Addresses
Topics over time : Topic evolution Topics over time : Topic evolution on NIPS data
Topics over time : Co-occuring Topics Topics over time : Topic evolution on NIPS data
Topics over time : Review Topics over time : Review 基于LDA 话题演化研究方法综述@中文信息学报 2010 年11 月
Work by Hanna Wallach NIPS ’09 ICML ’09 Work by Hanna Wallach
不对称先验 Rethinking LDA : Why priors matter
不对称先验的优点 ,[object Object],  ,[object Object]
𝜃𝑑是每个文档的参数,适合使用不对称先验对文档进行刻画  Rethinking LDA : Why priors matter
Supervised LDA David Blei and Jon D. McAuliffe. Supervised topic models. In Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, pages 1–22, 2008. Daniel Ramage, David Hall, Ramesh Nallapati, and C.D. Manning. Labeled LDA : A supervised topic model for credit attribution in multi-labeled corpora. In Proceedings of the 2009 Conference on Empirical Methods in Natural Language Processing: Volume 1, pages 248–256. Association for Computational Linguistics, 2009. Jun Zhu, Amr Ahmed, and Eric Xing. MedLDA: Maximum Margin Supervised Topic Models. Journal of Machine Learning Research, 1:1–48, 2010. Supervised LDA
Supervised LDA :目标 Naïve  在无监督模型的基础上,增加对类标的描述 进行分类、回归 朴素的方法:先进行LDA,利用主题进行分类 用分布来对类标进行建模 Supervised LDA
Supervisedtopic models 用泛化线性模型(Generalized Linear Model)来对类标进行建模 Supervised LDA
Supervisedtopic models GLM可以灵活的描述任何可以写成指数分布的类标 ,[object Object]
二项分布
多项分布
柏松分布
Gamma分布
Weibull分布
……Supervised LDA : Why use GLM
Semi-Supervised LDA Unlabeled Labeled Semi-Supervised LDA
MedLDA maximum entropy discrimination latent Dirichlet allocation 通过优化单一目标函数和一组边界约束将大边界理论同主题模型结合在一起 Maximum Entropy Discrimination Latent Dirichlet Allocation
MedTM 优点: 利用大边界理论正确分类 更好的描述数据 Maximum Entropy Discrimination Topic Models
MedLDA : topic discovery MedLDA LDA 2D embedding on 20Newsgroups data
MedLDA : classification 二分类 多分类 Classfication on 20Newsgroups data
主题模型的应用 ,[object Object],不规范用语(缩写,误拼,引用,不规范引用,@,RT……) 层次结构,更细的粒度 ,[object Object]
文本摘要
多媒体(图像、音频、视频)
蛋白质表达式分析NIPS ’09 Workshop on Applications for Topic Models: Text and Beyond
重建庞贝古城 Reconstructing Pompeian Households

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