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Scanning the Future to influence it
“If I had an hour to
solve a problem
and my life
depended on the
answer, I would
spend the first 55
minutes figuring
out the proper
questions to
ask. For if I knew
the proper
questions, I could
solve the
problem in less
than 5 minutes.”
What the past can tell us about Scanning the
future…
Sometimes logic is not applicable….
On projects
Qatar Blockage
Good Timing or Influencing the future?
“Don’t just see, observe”
Sherlock Homes
Put calories into decoding
What to do?
When? Follow up
Triage, is it
relevant,
how
relevant?
Getting
information
Execution
Where to start?
Ideas • World Economic Forum
• Consulting Firm website / studies
• Insurance companies publications
• News
• Social Circles
• Careful Observation
• Google trends
• “Misfits”
• Information diet
• Benchmarking
Plastic crisis
Animal diversity
Mental Health
Regionalization vs Globalization
Water crisis
State collapse
Lack of Empathy
Linking it to projects
• Technological Obsolescence
• Cyber
• Region vs Global
• Government – reliability / governance / law enforcement
• Climate Change
What could be the
illogical move?
What to do next
a) Identify exposure
b) Trigger Points
c) Treatment
Treatment
No Direct Control:
• Changing the likelihood – Slim chances
• Changing the consequences – higher chances
• Resilience – definitely possible
Thanks!
Hope you have more questions than answers

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