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Recent Studies and Activities on
Weather Modification in China
Dr. Zhanyu YAO
Key Lab. for Cloud Physics & Weather Modification
Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences
yaozy@cams.cma.gov.cn
1. Backgroung
2. Recent Status of Weather
Modification Activities in China
3. Recent Studies on Weather
Modification in China
4. Successful cases on precipitation
enhancement in Cuba in July 2006
5. Prize on WM we won in 2006
Outline
1. Background
• China is located in the east of the Asian
continent, has a land area of about 9.69.6
millionmillion km2, and is the third-largest country
in the world.
• China is the most populous country in
the world, with 1.3 billion1.3 billion people at the end
of 2001, one fifth of the world’s total.
CHINA
A country with frequent natural disasters
Drought High Temp. Torrential
rain
Strong wind
Dust StormThunder storm FloodEl Nino
Over 70% are meteorological disasters
Major Weather/Climate Events in 2003
The mean precipitation in 2003 was 626.7 mm,
which was 22.6 mm more than normal;The
mean annual temperature was 9.9℃, which
was 0.7℃higher than normal, a fifth warmest
year since 1961.
Sand/Dust
Storms
Late & weak
Monsoon
Droughts
Storm surge,
heavy rainfall
Flood
Emergency
Low temp,
rainy
Wide-spread
Floods
Heat Wave &
Forest fireGeological
disasters
Strong wind &
dusty weather
avalanche
Forest
Fires
Excessive
Rainfall
Warm but
higher
rainfall
Severe persistent
droughts
Hit by 6 typhoons
Source: CMA
Forest
Fire
Thunder &
Lightening
disasters
Meteorological Disasters in China
Caused Losses (in 100M RMB/13M US$)
614
1216
854
994
1876 1863
2822
1964
2978
1962 2031
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000
Percentage of Meteorological Disasters
Caused Losses (in GDP)
3.3%
5.6%
3.2%
2.9%
4.0%
3.2%
4.2%
2.6%
3.8%
2.4% 2.3%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000
From 1990 to 2000
♦ 59 million hectares of farmlands were, on
average, affected by drought.
♦ 26 million hectares of farmlands were
suffered from bad drought.
♦ Grain loss due to drought amounted to
62% of total grain loss.
The most serious meteorological
disaster in China is extensive drought
Drought & water resource
Global flesh water demand in 21th century
6 billion people consume 54% global fresh water presently.
It will reach 70% in 2025 just due to population increase.
The World Vision Report
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
Alert line for lack of water
7342
2200
1760
China Ave. in 2030China Ave. Now
1700
m3/person
Would Ave.
Average fresh water occupancy per personAverage fresh water occupancy per person
in China is less thanin China is less than ¼¼ that of the worldthat of the world
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
年平均降
水量
世界
亚洲
中国
中国
西部
•• WorldWorld 800mm800mm
•• AsiaAsia 740mm740mm
•• ChinaChina 648.4mm648.4mm
19%19% less than thatless than that
of the worldof the world
12%12% less than thatless than that
of Asiaof Asia
•• Northwest ChinaNorthwest China
242mm242mm
7.3%7.3% that of Chinathat of China
Yearly average precipitation
Distribution of yearly average precipitation (1956-2000)
>1800mm
<25mm
Uneven distribution of precipitation by space
results in uneven distribution of water resource by space
Water availability &Water availability &
distributiondistribution --ChinaChina
Source:
IIASA
Uneven distribution of precipitation by time
results in uneven distribution of water resource by time
Another serious meteorological
disaster in China is hailstorm
From 1990 to 2000,
♦ 1.7 million hectares of farmlands were,
on average, affected by hailstorms.
♦ Hailstorms cause serious economic
losses.
Hailstone disaster caused
huge losses in Guangdong
and Guizhou during March
and April 2005
8787 cars were damaged by hailstone in Beijing on 31 May 2005
Fog disasterFog disaster
北京大雾天数
呈增长趋势
Industrialisation and
entironment worsen
— unconsciousness
weather modification
2. Recent Status of
Weather Modification
Activities in China
2.1 General situation
The State Council
adopted the
“Regulations
on Administration
of Weather
Modification” on
March 13, 2002
♦ 50 years Since 1958
Weather modification history
in China
• to organize, coordinate and guide the
weather modification activities including
operation, demonstration and research
programs throughout the country
Responsibilities of China
Meteorological Administration (CMA)
in weather modification activities
♦ organized by local governments
♦ operated by local meteorological
services
Weather modification activities
in China
• 1,952 counties of 31 provinces carrying out
precipitation enhancement and hail suppression
by using artilleries and rocket launchers on
ground
Weather modification activities
in China In 2005
• 21 provinces carrying out precipitation
enhancement by using 37 airplanes equipped
with AgI, dry ice or liquid nitrogen generators
and PMS probes.
Weather modification facilities
in China In 2005
34 specialized
airplanes
7,071 “37”
artilleries
4,687
rocket
launchers
Weather modification people
in China In 2005
Over 37,210
full-time and
part-time
people
Weather modification consumes
in China In 2005
996,720 artillery shells 84,416 rockets
9,760 litres
liquid nitrogen
676 Kg AgI
(silver iodide)
11,820 Kg
liquid CO2
(carbon dioxide)
Weather modification benefit
in China In 2005
Total Investment 494.53M RMB
(US$ 63.4M)
Total Benefit 13.34B RMB
(US$ 1.71B)
Ratio (I/B) 1:27
No effect on environment
National Standard of safety Ag+
concentration in water:
Observation of Ag+ concentration in rain
after cloud seeding with AgI in China:
< 0.0002mg/L
0.05 mg/L
2.2 New-Generation Doppler
Weather Radar Project
New-generation Doppler weather radar
(CINRAD) observation network
– Objective: 158 new radars
– 110 radars has been in use so far
Realizing operation condition and
potential and commanding WM
operation rely much on radar
observation
New-Generation Weather Radar Network
(158)
New Generation Doppler Radar Network
110
Purposes of precipitation enhancement:
♦ for water-store-up of the main
reservoirs and the river basins
♦ for fighting drought
♦ for forest and grass fire control
♦ for environmental improvement
♦ ……
2.3 Precipitation enhancement
Facilities for precipitation enhancement:
♦ Specialized airplanes
♦ “37” artilleries
♦ Rocket launchers
♦ Ground-based AgI generators
……
Cheyenne IIIA
An-26 Airplane
Yun-12 Airplane
Yun-8 Airplane
Yun-7 Airplane
MA-60 Airplane
Twin Otter Airplane
IL-14 Airplane
Pyrotechnics for cloud seeding
Pyrotechnics for cloud seeding
AgI flare launcher and flame
AgI flare launcher and flame
AgI flare launcher
Ground operation
“37” artillery
“37” artillery
♦ The artillery shoots a shell to reach a
maximum height of 6,000 meters.
♦ Each shell contains 1 or 4 grams of
AgI which would produce 1010⎯4×1010
ice nuclei at -4oC.
Rocket launcher (new)
Rocket launcher (new)
Rocket launcher (new)
Rocket launcher (new)
Rockets
♦ The maximum flying height of a
rocket is about 8,000m.
♦ A rocket contains 8 grams of AgI
with a production of approximately
1011 ice nuclei.
♦ Only “37” artilleries and rocket launchers are
used in hail suppression operations in China,
which is mainly based on the introduction of
competing embryos.
♦ Some experiments showed that the height
and temperature of 45db radar-echo contour
were the good indicators for the occurrence of
a hailstorm.
2.4 Hail Suppression
♦ Experiments and operations that dissipate
supercooled fog by seeding with ice-forming
agents have been conducted at some airports
and highways in the northern China.
♦ The experiments that dissipate warm fog by
heating and evaporating cloud droplets were
carried out at the Chendu Airport, located in
southwest of China.
2.5 Fog dispersal
♦ The experiments of lightening suppression
were carried out at Pingliang, Gansu Province
in the western China by launching small
Robert which pulled grounding slender lead to
trigger lightening in thunderstorms.
♦ The positive results of the experiments
were confirmed by the numerical simulations.
2.6 Lightening suppression
3. Recent Studies on Weather
Modification in China
research fund: 10.5M RMB (USD$1.35M)
3.1 The “tenth five-year” project
The Demonstration of Precipitation
Enhancement Techniques
2001-2005
A national key research project sponsored and funded
by the Chinese Ministry of Science and Technology
Main Goal
Comprehensive
detecting
techniques
Investigate
regional cloud-
water resource
Investigate
evaluation
techniques
Develop
catalyzing
techniques
Establish a comprehensive techniques for
precipitation enhancement
Demonstrating experiment
Main Work & Results
Develop and integrate comprehensive
detecting techniques for precipitation
augment
Investigate regional cloud-water resource
and its potential of precipitation
enhancement
Develop numerical models for precipitation
enhancement simulation
Develop catalyzing techniques for
precipitation enhancement
Investigate statistical and physical
evaluation techniques for effectiveness of
cloud seeding
Carry out field experiments for precipitation
enhancement in the demonstration regions
Integrate comprehensive techniques to set
up a demonstration system for precipitation
enhancement
(1) Refitting a specialized aircraft for observation
and cloud-seeding, integrating aircraft-based
detecting system, and realizing real-time aircraft-
ground data transmission.
OAP-2DP
FSSP-100
OAP-2DC
AgI generator
Microwave radiometer
YunYun--1212 AircraftAircraft
Vertical distribution of cloud droplet concentration, diameter, LWC in a
stratiform cloud from FSSP-ER
Snow crystal image observed by 2D-P
98 cases data
about cloud and
precipitation
structure were
obtained through
15 field experiment
Generator
Operation
system
Transmitter
& Receiver
The vehicle-loading 5-cm Doppler weather radar
115 115.5 116 116.5 117 117.5 118
39
39.5
40
40.5
115 115.5 116 116.5 117 117.5 118
39
39.5
40
40.5
(2) Developing satellite retrieval technique for
cloud physics parameter and unmanned aircraft
observation and cloud seeding
Cloud droplet effective radius retrieval
unmanned aircraft Cloud droplet imager
Time variation of contribution to the ground hourly rain by that
from ice layer, mix layer and liquid water layer in Zhengzhou and
Nanyang on 19-20 Oct. 2002
4:00 6:00 8:00 10:00 12:00 14:00 16:00 18:00 20:00 22:00 0:00 2:00
Time
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
(%)
nytrigx1-1h
nytrigx2-1h
nytrigx3-1h
( b) 冰相层
混合层
液水层
9:00 11:00 13:00 15:00 17:00 19:00 21:00 23:00 1:00
Time
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
(%)
zztrigx1-1h
zztrigx2-1h
zztrigx3-1h
( a) 冰相层
混合层
液水层
(3) Developing an assessment technique to evaluate
regional cloud-water resources and its potential for
precipitation enhancement under different cloud
conditions in the demonstrated areas
CloudCloud
precipitationprecipitation
potential inpotential in
Beijing onBeijing on
2525--26 June26 June
图 2.7. 2005 年 6 月 25 日 12UTC 评估的垂直
积分的云水量分布(.单位:kg/m2
)
图 2.8. 2005 年 6 月 25 日 12UTC 增
雨潜力指数的水平分布
图 2.9. 2005 年 6 月 25 日 12UTC 凝结水
降水效率的水平分布(模式)
图 2.10. 2005 年 6 月 25 日 12UTC 6 小时
凝结水降水量的水平分布(观测+模式)
Concept model of precipitation enhancement
under cold whorl cloud system in Beijing
(4) Setting up concept model of precipitation
enhancement under main cloud system in
demonstration
Concept model of precipitation enhancement
under cold front cloud system in Henan
(5) Developing several numerical models including a
non-hydrostatic cloud model with the considerations
of explicit cloud and precipitation processes and cloud
seeding, an improved cloud model with bin
microphysics, and improved convective and stratus
cloud models.
Using these numerical models to assess regional
cloud-water resource and its potential for precipitation
enhancement, and cloud-seeding effectiveness.
Cloud water T>0℃
Supercooled water T< 0℃
Rain water T>0℃
Ice or Graupel T< 0℃
Vapor Qv
Condensation /
Evaporation
Auto
conversation
Collision
Multiplication/Freezing
Nucleation
Condensation /
Evaporation
Sublimation /
Evaporation
Simplified Ice Scheme in CAMS Model
Melting &
Falling
Falling
Complex Mixed Cloud Scheme
Qv
Qc Qr,Nr
Qi,Ni Qs,Ns Qg,Ng
Collision/Conversion
Sublimation /
Evaporation
Condensation /
Evaporation
Condensation /
Evaporation
Sublimation /
Evaporation
Sublimation /
Evaporation
Nucleation
Collision/FreezingCollision/Freezing
Conversion/
Collision
Conversion/
Collision
Multiplication
Initial Field in Convective Cloud Model
Output of MM5Output of MM5
Observation of weather
radar & raingauges
Observation of weather
radar & raingauges
Motion,continuity
equations, & radar observ.
Motion,continuity
equations, & radar observ.
Calculating press. &
temp. disturbance
Calculating press. &
temp. disturbance
Initial field
of
convective
cloud
model
Initial field
of
convective
cloud
model
Adjusting initial field of
vapor & hydrometeor
Simulation ofSimulation of AgIAgI seeding on the ground and its diffusionseeding on the ground and its diffusion
and transportation in the cloud (Beijing, 25 June 2005)and transportation in the cloud (Beijing, 25 June 2005)
Airborne AgI flame
(6) Developing airborne AgI flame, unmanned
aircraft, airborne generator of liquid CO2 etc.
Unmanned aircraft and AgI flame
0#与1#的比较
1.E+06
1.E+07
1.E+08
1.E+09
1.E+10
1.E+11
1.E+12
1.E+13
1.E+14
5 10 15 20
温度(℃)
成核率(个/克AgI)
0#与4#的比较
1.E+06
1.E+07
1.E+08
1.E+09
1.E+10
1.E+11
1.E+12
1.E+13
1.E+14
5 10 15 20
温度(℃)
成核率(个/克AgI)
0#与2#的比较
1.E+06
1.E+07
1.E+08
1.E+09
1.E+10
1.E+11
1.E+12
1.E+13
1.E+14
5 10 15 20
温度(℃)
成核率(个/克AgI)
0#与3#的比较
1.E+06
1.E+07
1.E+08
1.E+09
1.E+10
1.E+11
1.E+12
1.E+13
1.E+14
5 10 15 20
温度(℃)
成核率(个/克AgI)
Several times
improved
nucleus-making
rate for 3#
prescription
(7) Developing new prescription of AgI-explosive mixture
of artillery shells and rockets to get high seeding rate
Explosion experiment for 3# prescription shell
Developing a cloud chamber for measuring
ice nuclei in the field
外挂式AgI焰
弹发射架 仓贮式液氮
喷撒出口
外挂式AgI丙酮
燃烧发生器
(8) Forming optimized cloud seeding scheme by
field test for various cloud seeding facilities
(9) Improving statistical test technique to
be fitted to the demonstrating areas, and
developing a comprehensive technique
combining statistical, physical and
numerical simulation methods.
PMS20050321-2 FSSP0-数浓度-4200m高度平飞
(作业前)
0.00E+00
5.00E+07
1.00E+08
1.50E+08
16:15:51
16:16:07
16:16:26
16:16:42
16:17:01
16:17:17
16:17:36
16:17:52
16:18:11
16:18:27
16:18:46
time
1/m3
PMS20050321-2 FSSP0-数 度浓 -4500m高度平飞
(作 前业 )
0. 00E+00
1. 00E+07
2. 00E+07
3. 00E+07
4. 00E+07
16:20:17
16:21:21
16:22:22
16:23:26
16:24:27
16:25:31
16:26:32
16:27:36
16:28:37
16:29:41
16:30:42
16:31:46
16:32:47
16:33:51
t i me
1/m3
PMS20050321-2 FSSP0-数 度浓 -5000m高度平飞
(作 前业 )
0. 00E+00
1. 00E+07
2. 00E+07
3. 00E+07
4. 00E+07
16:36:41
16:36:57
16:37:16
16:37:32
16:37:51
16:38:07
16:38:26
16:38:42
16:39:01
16:39:17
16:39:36
16:39:52
t i me
1/m3
PMS20050321-2 FSSP0-数 度浓 -4200m高度
再次平飞(作 后业 )
0. 00E+00
5. 00E+06
1. 00E+07
1. 50E+07
17:11:32
17:12:17
17:13:02
17:13:47
17:14:32
17:15:17
17:16:02
17:16:47
17:17:32
17:18:17
17:19:02
17:19:47
17:20:32
17:21:17
t i me
1/m3
FSSP numeral concentrations of particles
before cloud seeding
after cloud seeding
PMS20050321-2 FSSP0-液水量-4200m高度平飞
(作 前业 )
0
0. 05
0. 1
0. 15 16:15:51
16:16:06
16:16:21
16:16:36
16:16:51
16:17:06
16:17:21
16:17:36
16:17:51
16:18:06
16:18:21
16:18:36
16:18:51
t i me
g/m3 PMS20050321-2 FSSP0-液水量-4500m高度平飞
(作 前业 )
0
0. 05
0. 1
0. 15
0. 2
16:20:17
16:21:16
16:22:12
16:23:11
16:24:07
16:25:06
16:26:02
16:27:01
16:27:57
16:28:56
16:29:52
16:30:51
16:31:47
16:32:46
16:33:42
t i me
g/m3
PMS20050321-2 FSSP0-含水量-5000m高度平飞
(作 前业 )
0
0. 05
0. 1
0. 15
0. 2
16:36:41
16:36:52
16:37:06
16:37:17
16:37:31
16:37:42
16:37:56
16:38:07
16:38:21
16:38:32
16:38:46
16:38:57
16:39:11
t i me
g/m3
PMS20050321-2 FSSP0-含水量-4200m高度
再次平飞(作 后业 )
0
0. 02
0. 04
0. 06
0. 08
0. 1
17:11:32
17:12:12
17:12:52
17:13:32
17:14:12
17:14:52
17:15:32
17:16:12
17:16:52
17:17:32
17:18:12
17:18:52
17:19:32
17:20:12
17:20:52
t i me
g/m3
before cloud seeding
after cloud seeding
Liquid water contents calculated by FSSP
PMS20050321-2 FSSP0-平均直径-4200m高度平飞
(作 前业 )
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
16:15:51
16:16:07
16:16:26
16:16:42
16:17:01
16:17:17
16:17:36
16:17:52
16:18:11
16:18:27
16:18:46
t i me
um
系列1
系列2
系列3
PMS20050321-2 FSSP0-平均直径-4500m高度平飞
(作 前业 )
0
10
20
30
40
16:20:17
16:21:26
16:22:32
16:23:41
16:24:47
16:25:56
16:27:02
16:28:11
16:29:17
16:30:26
16:31:32
16:32:41
16:33:47
t i me
um
系列1
系列2
系列3
PMS20050321-2 FSSP0-平均直径-5000m高度平飞
(作 前业 )
0
10
20
30
40
16:36:41
16:36:56
16:37:11
16:37:26
16:37:41
16:37:56
16:38:11
16:38:26
16:38:41
16:38:56
16:39:11
t i me
um
系列1
系列2
系列3
PMS20050321-2 FSSP0-平均直径-4200m高度
再次平飞(作 后业 )
0
10
20
30
40
17:11:32
17:12:21
17:13:07
17:13:56
17:14:42
17:15:31
17:16:17
17:17:06
17:17:52
17:18:41
17:19:27
17:20:16
17:21:02
ti me
um
系列1
系列2
系列3
Average diameter of particles measured by FSSP
before cloud seeding
after cloud seeding
HN20050321-2 FSSP0
Calculated LWC(4200m)
0.0000
0.0030
0.0060
0.0090
0.0120
0.0150
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
channels
CalculatedLWC(g/m3)
unseeded
seeded
HN20050321-2 FSSP0
Calculated LWC (5000m)
0.0000
0.0020
0.0040
0.0060
0.0080
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15
channels
Calculated
LWC(g/m3)
unseeded
seeded-3min later
seeded-10min later
HN20050321-2 FSSP0
Concentration(4200m)
0.E+00
2.E+06
4.E+06
6.E+06
8.E+06
1.E+07
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112131415
channels
N(1/m3) unseeded
seeded
HN20050321-2 FSSP0
Concentration(5000m)
0.E+00
1.E+06
2.E+06
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
channels
N(1/m3)
unseeded
seeded-3min later
seeded-10min later
FSSP-0 numeral concentration and calculated CLW
0
200000
400000
600000
800000
1000000
1200000
1400000
1600000
1800000
2000000
0 10 20 30 40 50
直径(um)
FSSP0度浓(cm-3)
自然云5060m
催化云5060m
0
0. 001
0. 002
0. 003
0. 004
0. 005
0. 006
0. 007
0. 008
0 10 20 30 40 50
直径( um)
FSSP0含水量(gm-3)
自然云5060m
催化云5060m
16:36-16:49 unseeded
16:49-17:09 seeded
FSSP
numeral concentration
and calculated CLW
HN20050321-2 FSSP0
Average diameter (4200m)
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
MND RMD VMD
diameter(um)
unseeded
seeded
HN20050321-2 FSSP0
Average diameter (5000m)
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
MND RMD VMD
diameter(um)
unseeded
seeded-3min later
seeded-10min later
FSSP-0
Average diameter
2DC images and spectrums of concentration and calculated CLW
16:16 16:26
16:57 17:02
Comparison between seeding area (A) and comparing
areas (C1, C2) of radar echo and echo area
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
11:00 11:16 11:30 11:45 12:00 12:16 12:34 12:46
time
Area(km2)
C1_35dbz
A_35dbz
C2_35dbz
35dBZ
作业起始时间
作业区
对比区
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
11:00 11:16 11:30 11:45 12:00 12:16 12:34 12:46
time
Area(km2)
C1_35dbz
A_35dbz
C2_35dbz
35dBZ
作业起始时间
作业区
对比区
C1
C2
A
C1
C2
A
(10) Integrating comprehensive
techniques and demonstration system
for precipitation enhancement and
notably improved ability of precipitation
enhancement in demonstration areas
Technical Integration
Detection
Numerical
simulation
Seeding
technique
Evaluation
Demonstration Platform
Application
Database Forecast
Cloud water
resource
飞机集中探测区
天气雷达(3部)
探空站(2个)
雨量点(22个)
闪电监测点(3站)
风廓线仪(1部)
雨滴谱观测点(1个)
GPS水汽监测站(8个)
无人飞机(1架)
青海
甘肃
Demonstration and applicationDemonstration and application
research fund: 25M RMB (USD$3.21M)
3.2 The “eleventh five-year” project
Key Technology and Equipment Research
and Development on Weather Modification
2006-2010
A national key research project sponsored and funded
by the Chinese Ministry of Science and Technology
Seven Subprograms
1. Study on cloud and precipitation structure
and process
2. Study on precipitation enhancement
techniques for cumulus-stratiform mixed
cloud
3. Study on precipitation enhancement
techniques for warm cloud
4. Study on fog dispersion techniques around
Beijing area
5. Study on cloud seeding techniques by
unmanned aircraft
6. Study and develop equipment for
precipitation enhancement and fog
dispersion
7. Integration and demonstration on
comprehensive precipitation enhancement
techniques
4. Successful cases on precipitation
enhancement in Cuba in July 2006
Crocodile Island — CUBA
Easten five provinces of Cuba
Holguin province of Cuba
Topography of easten five provinces and
Holguin Province of Cuba
Grupo
Maniabón
Sierra Cristal
Sagua
Baracoa
GuantánamoSantiago
de Cuba
Granma
Las Tunas
Holguin
9300.5 km2
Coastal area
Tm: 24.4 – 28.4
Rm: 600 – 800
mm
Mountain area
Tm: 19.1 –
23.4
Rm: > 3000
mm
Climate of Holguin Province of Cuba
Tropical
Húmedo
Interior area
Tm: 22.8 – 27.1
Rm: 1200 – 1600
mm
50 Km
100 Km
150 Km
Radar Location
Ionization Station
Ground Generator
Principal Target Zone
An-26 aircraft
Launcher
and flares
from China
Launcher and flares from China
Date Cloud Flare Time of
Flight
Seeding
Flight
Observation
1-Jul 1:05 Flight over Target area
3-Jul 8 62 2:30 1
4-Jul 15 106 1:55 1
5-Jul Cancel by Meteorological situation (wave)
6-Jul 1:15 Checking for Temperature Sensor
7-Jul Cancel by Meteorological situation (hight pressure)
8-Jul 11 75 1:55 1
9-Jul 11 105 2:00 1
10-Jul 13 96 2:15 1
11-Jul 11 99 1:50 1
12-Jul 6 89 1:50 1
13-Jul Cancel for maintenance of airplane
14-Jul Cancel for maintenance of airplane
15-Jul Cancel for maintenance of airplane
16-Jul 11 95 1:45 1
17-Jul Cancel for maintenance of left launcher
18-Jul 10 99 1:35 1
19-Jul 1:10 Cancel in flight for Aerogaviota company
20-Jul 0:20 Cancel in flight for problem with an engine
21-Jul 12 96 1:45 1
22-Jul 15 121 2:00 1
23-Jul 12 94 1:45 1
24-Jul Holliday
25-Jul Holliday
26-Jul Holliday
27-Jul Cancel for airplane missing
28-Jul 10 96 4:35 1
29-Jul Cancel by Meteorological situation (hight pressure)
30-Jul Cancel for maintenance
31-Jul 9 64 1:35 1
Total-> 154 1297 33:05:00 14
Satelite_Vapor_Jul_04_10am
July 04
Cloud Seeding (black circle)
Dams (blue square)
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130
Rain compare in July
Municipality Sum July this
year
History
Average in
whole July
From 1
January to 31
July this year
History 1
January to
31 July
Holguín City 208
+121
87 787
+208
579
Gibara 143
+64
79 621
+89
532
AVERAGE
PROVINCE
133
+56
77 649
+14
635
Compare of water in reservoirs in July 2006
(Hm3 = million of cubic meters )
reservoir Volume total
(Hm3)
Volume Actual
(Hm3)
Cacoyuguin 5.620 5.620
Güirabo 15.200 15.200
Gibara 65.600 20.626
Tacajó 12.000 8.043
Naranjo 11.650 3.956
TOTAL
PROVINCE
568.238 436.077
5. Prize on weather modification
we won in 2006
Awarded by United Arab Emirates
Awarded by China Meteorological
Administration
Awarded by Cuba
Chinese experiments in weather modification

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Chinese experiments in weather modification

  • 1. Recent Studies and Activities on Weather Modification in China Dr. Zhanyu YAO Key Lab. for Cloud Physics & Weather Modification Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences yaozy@cams.cma.gov.cn
  • 2. 1. Backgroung 2. Recent Status of Weather Modification Activities in China 3. Recent Studies on Weather Modification in China 4. Successful cases on precipitation enhancement in Cuba in July 2006 5. Prize on WM we won in 2006 Outline
  • 4. • China is located in the east of the Asian continent, has a land area of about 9.69.6 millionmillion km2, and is the third-largest country in the world. • China is the most populous country in the world, with 1.3 billion1.3 billion people at the end of 2001, one fifth of the world’s total. CHINA
  • 5. A country with frequent natural disasters Drought High Temp. Torrential rain Strong wind Dust StormThunder storm FloodEl Nino Over 70% are meteorological disasters
  • 6. Major Weather/Climate Events in 2003 The mean precipitation in 2003 was 626.7 mm, which was 22.6 mm more than normal;The mean annual temperature was 9.9℃, which was 0.7℃higher than normal, a fifth warmest year since 1961. Sand/Dust Storms Late & weak Monsoon Droughts Storm surge, heavy rainfall Flood Emergency Low temp, rainy Wide-spread Floods Heat Wave & Forest fireGeological disasters Strong wind & dusty weather avalanche Forest Fires Excessive Rainfall Warm but higher rainfall Severe persistent droughts Hit by 6 typhoons Source: CMA Forest Fire Thunder & Lightening disasters
  • 7. Meteorological Disasters in China Caused Losses (in 100M RMB/13M US$) 614 1216 854 994 1876 1863 2822 1964 2978 1962 2031 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000
  • 8. Percentage of Meteorological Disasters Caused Losses (in GDP) 3.3% 5.6% 3.2% 2.9% 4.0% 3.2% 4.2% 2.6% 3.8% 2.4% 2.3% 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000
  • 9. From 1990 to 2000 ♦ 59 million hectares of farmlands were, on average, affected by drought. ♦ 26 million hectares of farmlands were suffered from bad drought. ♦ Grain loss due to drought amounted to 62% of total grain loss. The most serious meteorological disaster in China is extensive drought
  • 10. Drought & water resource
  • 11. Global flesh water demand in 21th century 6 billion people consume 54% global fresh water presently. It will reach 70% in 2025 just due to population increase. The World Vision Report
  • 12. 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 Alert line for lack of water 7342 2200 1760 China Ave. in 2030China Ave. Now 1700 m3/person Would Ave. Average fresh water occupancy per personAverage fresh water occupancy per person in China is less thanin China is less than ¼¼ that of the worldthat of the world
  • 13. 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 年平均降 水量 世界 亚洲 中国 中国 西部 •• WorldWorld 800mm800mm •• AsiaAsia 740mm740mm •• ChinaChina 648.4mm648.4mm 19%19% less than thatless than that of the worldof the world 12%12% less than thatless than that of Asiaof Asia •• Northwest ChinaNorthwest China 242mm242mm 7.3%7.3% that of Chinathat of China Yearly average precipitation
  • 14. Distribution of yearly average precipitation (1956-2000) >1800mm <25mm Uneven distribution of precipitation by space results in uneven distribution of water resource by space
  • 15. Water availability &Water availability & distributiondistribution --ChinaChina Source: IIASA Uneven distribution of precipitation by time results in uneven distribution of water resource by time
  • 16.
  • 17. Another serious meteorological disaster in China is hailstorm From 1990 to 2000, ♦ 1.7 million hectares of farmlands were, on average, affected by hailstorms. ♦ Hailstorms cause serious economic losses.
  • 18. Hailstone disaster caused huge losses in Guangdong and Guizhou during March and April 2005
  • 19. 8787 cars were damaged by hailstone in Beijing on 31 May 2005
  • 21. Industrialisation and entironment worsen — unconsciousness weather modification
  • 22. 2. Recent Status of Weather Modification Activities in China
  • 23. 2.1 General situation The State Council adopted the “Regulations on Administration of Weather Modification” on March 13, 2002
  • 24. ♦ 50 years Since 1958 Weather modification history in China
  • 25. • to organize, coordinate and guide the weather modification activities including operation, demonstration and research programs throughout the country Responsibilities of China Meteorological Administration (CMA) in weather modification activities
  • 26. ♦ organized by local governments ♦ operated by local meteorological services Weather modification activities in China
  • 27.
  • 28. • 1,952 counties of 31 provinces carrying out precipitation enhancement and hail suppression by using artilleries and rocket launchers on ground Weather modification activities in China In 2005 • 21 provinces carrying out precipitation enhancement by using 37 airplanes equipped with AgI, dry ice or liquid nitrogen generators and PMS probes.
  • 29. Weather modification facilities in China In 2005 34 specialized airplanes 7,071 “37” artilleries 4,687 rocket launchers
  • 30. Weather modification people in China In 2005 Over 37,210 full-time and part-time people
  • 31. Weather modification consumes in China In 2005 996,720 artillery shells 84,416 rockets 9,760 litres liquid nitrogen 676 Kg AgI (silver iodide) 11,820 Kg liquid CO2 (carbon dioxide)
  • 32. Weather modification benefit in China In 2005 Total Investment 494.53M RMB (US$ 63.4M) Total Benefit 13.34B RMB (US$ 1.71B) Ratio (I/B) 1:27
  • 33. No effect on environment National Standard of safety Ag+ concentration in water: Observation of Ag+ concentration in rain after cloud seeding with AgI in China: < 0.0002mg/L 0.05 mg/L
  • 34. 2.2 New-Generation Doppler Weather Radar Project New-generation Doppler weather radar (CINRAD) observation network – Objective: 158 new radars – 110 radars has been in use so far Realizing operation condition and potential and commanding WM operation rely much on radar observation
  • 36. New Generation Doppler Radar Network 110
  • 37. Purposes of precipitation enhancement: ♦ for water-store-up of the main reservoirs and the river basins ♦ for fighting drought ♦ for forest and grass fire control ♦ for environmental improvement ♦ …… 2.3 Precipitation enhancement
  • 38. Facilities for precipitation enhancement: ♦ Specialized airplanes ♦ “37” artilleries ♦ Rocket launchers ♦ Ground-based AgI generators ……
  • 49. AgI flare launcher and flame
  • 50. AgI flare launcher and flame
  • 52.
  • 56. ♦ The artillery shoots a shell to reach a maximum height of 6,000 meters. ♦ Each shell contains 1 or 4 grams of AgI which would produce 1010⎯4×1010 ice nuclei at -4oC.
  • 61. ♦ The maximum flying height of a rocket is about 8,000m. ♦ A rocket contains 8 grams of AgI with a production of approximately 1011 ice nuclei.
  • 62. ♦ Only “37” artilleries and rocket launchers are used in hail suppression operations in China, which is mainly based on the introduction of competing embryos. ♦ Some experiments showed that the height and temperature of 45db radar-echo contour were the good indicators for the occurrence of a hailstorm. 2.4 Hail Suppression
  • 63. ♦ Experiments and operations that dissipate supercooled fog by seeding with ice-forming agents have been conducted at some airports and highways in the northern China. ♦ The experiments that dissipate warm fog by heating and evaporating cloud droplets were carried out at the Chendu Airport, located in southwest of China. 2.5 Fog dispersal
  • 64. ♦ The experiments of lightening suppression were carried out at Pingliang, Gansu Province in the western China by launching small Robert which pulled grounding slender lead to trigger lightening in thunderstorms. ♦ The positive results of the experiments were confirmed by the numerical simulations. 2.6 Lightening suppression
  • 65. 3. Recent Studies on Weather Modification in China
  • 66. research fund: 10.5M RMB (USD$1.35M) 3.1 The “tenth five-year” project The Demonstration of Precipitation Enhancement Techniques 2001-2005 A national key research project sponsored and funded by the Chinese Ministry of Science and Technology
  • 67. Main Goal Comprehensive detecting techniques Investigate regional cloud- water resource Investigate evaluation techniques Develop catalyzing techniques Establish a comprehensive techniques for precipitation enhancement Demonstrating experiment
  • 68. Main Work & Results Develop and integrate comprehensive detecting techniques for precipitation augment Investigate regional cloud-water resource and its potential of precipitation enhancement Develop numerical models for precipitation enhancement simulation
  • 69. Develop catalyzing techniques for precipitation enhancement Investigate statistical and physical evaluation techniques for effectiveness of cloud seeding Carry out field experiments for precipitation enhancement in the demonstration regions Integrate comprehensive techniques to set up a demonstration system for precipitation enhancement
  • 70. (1) Refitting a specialized aircraft for observation and cloud-seeding, integrating aircraft-based detecting system, and realizing real-time aircraft- ground data transmission.
  • 72. Vertical distribution of cloud droplet concentration, diameter, LWC in a stratiform cloud from FSSP-ER Snow crystal image observed by 2D-P 98 cases data about cloud and precipitation structure were obtained through 15 field experiment
  • 74. 115 115.5 116 116.5 117 117.5 118 39 39.5 40 40.5 115 115.5 116 116.5 117 117.5 118 39 39.5 40 40.5 (2) Developing satellite retrieval technique for cloud physics parameter and unmanned aircraft observation and cloud seeding Cloud droplet effective radius retrieval unmanned aircraft Cloud droplet imager
  • 75. Time variation of contribution to the ground hourly rain by that from ice layer, mix layer and liquid water layer in Zhengzhou and Nanyang on 19-20 Oct. 2002 4:00 6:00 8:00 10:00 12:00 14:00 16:00 18:00 20:00 22:00 0:00 2:00 Time 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 (%) nytrigx1-1h nytrigx2-1h nytrigx3-1h ( b) 冰相层 混合层 液水层 9:00 11:00 13:00 15:00 17:00 19:00 21:00 23:00 1:00 Time 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 (%) zztrigx1-1h zztrigx2-1h zztrigx3-1h ( a) 冰相层 混合层 液水层 (3) Developing an assessment technique to evaluate regional cloud-water resources and its potential for precipitation enhancement under different cloud conditions in the demonstrated areas
  • 76. CloudCloud precipitationprecipitation potential inpotential in Beijing onBeijing on 2525--26 June26 June 图 2.7. 2005 年 6 月 25 日 12UTC 评估的垂直 积分的云水量分布(.单位:kg/m2 ) 图 2.8. 2005 年 6 月 25 日 12UTC 增 雨潜力指数的水平分布 图 2.9. 2005 年 6 月 25 日 12UTC 凝结水 降水效率的水平分布(模式) 图 2.10. 2005 年 6 月 25 日 12UTC 6 小时 凝结水降水量的水平分布(观测+模式)
  • 77. Concept model of precipitation enhancement under cold whorl cloud system in Beijing (4) Setting up concept model of precipitation enhancement under main cloud system in demonstration
  • 78. Concept model of precipitation enhancement under cold front cloud system in Henan
  • 79. (5) Developing several numerical models including a non-hydrostatic cloud model with the considerations of explicit cloud and precipitation processes and cloud seeding, an improved cloud model with bin microphysics, and improved convective and stratus cloud models. Using these numerical models to assess regional cloud-water resource and its potential for precipitation enhancement, and cloud-seeding effectiveness.
  • 80. Cloud water T>0℃ Supercooled water T< 0℃ Rain water T>0℃ Ice or Graupel T< 0℃ Vapor Qv Condensation / Evaporation Auto conversation Collision Multiplication/Freezing Nucleation Condensation / Evaporation Sublimation / Evaporation Simplified Ice Scheme in CAMS Model Melting & Falling Falling
  • 81. Complex Mixed Cloud Scheme Qv Qc Qr,Nr Qi,Ni Qs,Ns Qg,Ng Collision/Conversion Sublimation / Evaporation Condensation / Evaporation Condensation / Evaporation Sublimation / Evaporation Sublimation / Evaporation Nucleation Collision/FreezingCollision/Freezing Conversion/ Collision Conversion/ Collision Multiplication
  • 82. Initial Field in Convective Cloud Model Output of MM5Output of MM5 Observation of weather radar & raingauges Observation of weather radar & raingauges Motion,continuity equations, & radar observ. Motion,continuity equations, & radar observ. Calculating press. & temp. disturbance Calculating press. & temp. disturbance Initial field of convective cloud model Initial field of convective cloud model Adjusting initial field of vapor & hydrometeor
  • 83. Simulation ofSimulation of AgIAgI seeding on the ground and its diffusionseeding on the ground and its diffusion and transportation in the cloud (Beijing, 25 June 2005)and transportation in the cloud (Beijing, 25 June 2005)
  • 84. Airborne AgI flame (6) Developing airborne AgI flame, unmanned aircraft, airborne generator of liquid CO2 etc.
  • 86. 0#与1#的比较 1.E+06 1.E+07 1.E+08 1.E+09 1.E+10 1.E+11 1.E+12 1.E+13 1.E+14 5 10 15 20 温度(℃) 成核率(个/克AgI) 0#与4#的比较 1.E+06 1.E+07 1.E+08 1.E+09 1.E+10 1.E+11 1.E+12 1.E+13 1.E+14 5 10 15 20 温度(℃) 成核率(个/克AgI) 0#与2#的比较 1.E+06 1.E+07 1.E+08 1.E+09 1.E+10 1.E+11 1.E+12 1.E+13 1.E+14 5 10 15 20 温度(℃) 成核率(个/克AgI) 0#与3#的比较 1.E+06 1.E+07 1.E+08 1.E+09 1.E+10 1.E+11 1.E+12 1.E+13 1.E+14 5 10 15 20 温度(℃) 成核率(个/克AgI) Several times improved nucleus-making rate for 3# prescription (7) Developing new prescription of AgI-explosive mixture of artillery shells and rockets to get high seeding rate
  • 87. Explosion experiment for 3# prescription shell
  • 88. Developing a cloud chamber for measuring ice nuclei in the field
  • 89. 外挂式AgI焰 弹发射架 仓贮式液氮 喷撒出口 外挂式AgI丙酮 燃烧发生器 (8) Forming optimized cloud seeding scheme by field test for various cloud seeding facilities
  • 90. (9) Improving statistical test technique to be fitted to the demonstrating areas, and developing a comprehensive technique combining statistical, physical and numerical simulation methods.
  • 91. PMS20050321-2 FSSP0-数浓度-4200m高度平飞 (作业前) 0.00E+00 5.00E+07 1.00E+08 1.50E+08 16:15:51 16:16:07 16:16:26 16:16:42 16:17:01 16:17:17 16:17:36 16:17:52 16:18:11 16:18:27 16:18:46 time 1/m3 PMS20050321-2 FSSP0-数 度浓 -4500m高度平飞 (作 前业 ) 0. 00E+00 1. 00E+07 2. 00E+07 3. 00E+07 4. 00E+07 16:20:17 16:21:21 16:22:22 16:23:26 16:24:27 16:25:31 16:26:32 16:27:36 16:28:37 16:29:41 16:30:42 16:31:46 16:32:47 16:33:51 t i me 1/m3 PMS20050321-2 FSSP0-数 度浓 -5000m高度平飞 (作 前业 ) 0. 00E+00 1. 00E+07 2. 00E+07 3. 00E+07 4. 00E+07 16:36:41 16:36:57 16:37:16 16:37:32 16:37:51 16:38:07 16:38:26 16:38:42 16:39:01 16:39:17 16:39:36 16:39:52 t i me 1/m3 PMS20050321-2 FSSP0-数 度浓 -4200m高度 再次平飞(作 后业 ) 0. 00E+00 5. 00E+06 1. 00E+07 1. 50E+07 17:11:32 17:12:17 17:13:02 17:13:47 17:14:32 17:15:17 17:16:02 17:16:47 17:17:32 17:18:17 17:19:02 17:19:47 17:20:32 17:21:17 t i me 1/m3 FSSP numeral concentrations of particles before cloud seeding after cloud seeding
  • 92. PMS20050321-2 FSSP0-液水量-4200m高度平飞 (作 前业 ) 0 0. 05 0. 1 0. 15 16:15:51 16:16:06 16:16:21 16:16:36 16:16:51 16:17:06 16:17:21 16:17:36 16:17:51 16:18:06 16:18:21 16:18:36 16:18:51 t i me g/m3 PMS20050321-2 FSSP0-液水量-4500m高度平飞 (作 前业 ) 0 0. 05 0. 1 0. 15 0. 2 16:20:17 16:21:16 16:22:12 16:23:11 16:24:07 16:25:06 16:26:02 16:27:01 16:27:57 16:28:56 16:29:52 16:30:51 16:31:47 16:32:46 16:33:42 t i me g/m3 PMS20050321-2 FSSP0-含水量-5000m高度平飞 (作 前业 ) 0 0. 05 0. 1 0. 15 0. 2 16:36:41 16:36:52 16:37:06 16:37:17 16:37:31 16:37:42 16:37:56 16:38:07 16:38:21 16:38:32 16:38:46 16:38:57 16:39:11 t i me g/m3 PMS20050321-2 FSSP0-含水量-4200m高度 再次平飞(作 后业 ) 0 0. 02 0. 04 0. 06 0. 08 0. 1 17:11:32 17:12:12 17:12:52 17:13:32 17:14:12 17:14:52 17:15:32 17:16:12 17:16:52 17:17:32 17:18:12 17:18:52 17:19:32 17:20:12 17:20:52 t i me g/m3 before cloud seeding after cloud seeding Liquid water contents calculated by FSSP
  • 93. PMS20050321-2 FSSP0-平均直径-4200m高度平飞 (作 前业 ) 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 16:15:51 16:16:07 16:16:26 16:16:42 16:17:01 16:17:17 16:17:36 16:17:52 16:18:11 16:18:27 16:18:46 t i me um 系列1 系列2 系列3 PMS20050321-2 FSSP0-平均直径-4500m高度平飞 (作 前业 ) 0 10 20 30 40 16:20:17 16:21:26 16:22:32 16:23:41 16:24:47 16:25:56 16:27:02 16:28:11 16:29:17 16:30:26 16:31:32 16:32:41 16:33:47 t i me um 系列1 系列2 系列3 PMS20050321-2 FSSP0-平均直径-5000m高度平飞 (作 前业 ) 0 10 20 30 40 16:36:41 16:36:56 16:37:11 16:37:26 16:37:41 16:37:56 16:38:11 16:38:26 16:38:41 16:38:56 16:39:11 t i me um 系列1 系列2 系列3 PMS20050321-2 FSSP0-平均直径-4200m高度 再次平飞(作 后业 ) 0 10 20 30 40 17:11:32 17:12:21 17:13:07 17:13:56 17:14:42 17:15:31 17:16:17 17:17:06 17:17:52 17:18:41 17:19:27 17:20:16 17:21:02 ti me um 系列1 系列2 系列3 Average diameter of particles measured by FSSP before cloud seeding after cloud seeding
  • 94. HN20050321-2 FSSP0 Calculated LWC(4200m) 0.0000 0.0030 0.0060 0.0090 0.0120 0.0150 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 channels CalculatedLWC(g/m3) unseeded seeded HN20050321-2 FSSP0 Calculated LWC (5000m) 0.0000 0.0020 0.0040 0.0060 0.0080 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 channels Calculated LWC(g/m3) unseeded seeded-3min later seeded-10min later HN20050321-2 FSSP0 Concentration(4200m) 0.E+00 2.E+06 4.E+06 6.E+06 8.E+06 1.E+07 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112131415 channels N(1/m3) unseeded seeded HN20050321-2 FSSP0 Concentration(5000m) 0.E+00 1.E+06 2.E+06 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 channels N(1/m3) unseeded seeded-3min later seeded-10min later FSSP-0 numeral concentration and calculated CLW
  • 95. 0 200000 400000 600000 800000 1000000 1200000 1400000 1600000 1800000 2000000 0 10 20 30 40 50 直径(um) FSSP0度浓(cm-3) 自然云5060m 催化云5060m 0 0. 001 0. 002 0. 003 0. 004 0. 005 0. 006 0. 007 0. 008 0 10 20 30 40 50 直径( um) FSSP0含水量(gm-3) 自然云5060m 催化云5060m 16:36-16:49 unseeded 16:49-17:09 seeded FSSP numeral concentration and calculated CLW
  • 96. HN20050321-2 FSSP0 Average diameter (4200m) 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 MND RMD VMD diameter(um) unseeded seeded HN20050321-2 FSSP0 Average diameter (5000m) 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 MND RMD VMD diameter(um) unseeded seeded-3min later seeded-10min later FSSP-0 Average diameter
  • 97. 2DC images and spectrums of concentration and calculated CLW 16:16 16:26 16:57 17:02
  • 98. Comparison between seeding area (A) and comparing areas (C1, C2) of radar echo and echo area 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 11:00 11:16 11:30 11:45 12:00 12:16 12:34 12:46 time Area(km2) C1_35dbz A_35dbz C2_35dbz 35dBZ 作业起始时间 作业区 对比区 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 11:00 11:16 11:30 11:45 12:00 12:16 12:34 12:46 time Area(km2) C1_35dbz A_35dbz C2_35dbz 35dBZ 作业起始时间 作业区 对比区 C1 C2 A C1 C2 A
  • 99. (10) Integrating comprehensive techniques and demonstration system for precipitation enhancement and notably improved ability of precipitation enhancement in demonstration areas
  • 101.
  • 103. research fund: 25M RMB (USD$3.21M) 3.2 The “eleventh five-year” project Key Technology and Equipment Research and Development on Weather Modification 2006-2010 A national key research project sponsored and funded by the Chinese Ministry of Science and Technology
  • 104. Seven Subprograms 1. Study on cloud and precipitation structure and process 2. Study on precipitation enhancement techniques for cumulus-stratiform mixed cloud 3. Study on precipitation enhancement techniques for warm cloud
  • 105. 4. Study on fog dispersion techniques around Beijing area 5. Study on cloud seeding techniques by unmanned aircraft 6. Study and develop equipment for precipitation enhancement and fog dispersion 7. Integration and demonstration on comprehensive precipitation enhancement techniques
  • 106. 4. Successful cases on precipitation enhancement in Cuba in July 2006
  • 108. Easten five provinces of Cuba Holguin province of Cuba
  • 109. Topography of easten five provinces and Holguin Province of Cuba Grupo Maniabón Sierra Cristal Sagua Baracoa GuantánamoSantiago de Cuba Granma Las Tunas Holguin 9300.5 km2
  • 110. Coastal area Tm: 24.4 – 28.4 Rm: 600 – 800 mm Mountain area Tm: 19.1 – 23.4 Rm: > 3000 mm Climate of Holguin Province of Cuba Tropical Húmedo Interior area Tm: 22.8 – 27.1 Rm: 1200 – 1600 mm
  • 111. 50 Km 100 Km 150 Km Radar Location Ionization Station Ground Generator Principal Target Zone
  • 114. Launcher and flares from China
  • 115. Date Cloud Flare Time of Flight Seeding Flight Observation 1-Jul 1:05 Flight over Target area 3-Jul 8 62 2:30 1 4-Jul 15 106 1:55 1 5-Jul Cancel by Meteorological situation (wave) 6-Jul 1:15 Checking for Temperature Sensor 7-Jul Cancel by Meteorological situation (hight pressure) 8-Jul 11 75 1:55 1 9-Jul 11 105 2:00 1 10-Jul 13 96 2:15 1 11-Jul 11 99 1:50 1 12-Jul 6 89 1:50 1 13-Jul Cancel for maintenance of airplane 14-Jul Cancel for maintenance of airplane 15-Jul Cancel for maintenance of airplane 16-Jul 11 95 1:45 1 17-Jul Cancel for maintenance of left launcher 18-Jul 10 99 1:35 1 19-Jul 1:10 Cancel in flight for Aerogaviota company 20-Jul 0:20 Cancel in flight for problem with an engine 21-Jul 12 96 1:45 1 22-Jul 15 121 2:00 1 23-Jul 12 94 1:45 1 24-Jul Holliday 25-Jul Holliday 26-Jul Holliday 27-Jul Cancel for airplane missing 28-Jul 10 96 4:35 1 29-Jul Cancel by Meteorological situation (hight pressure) 30-Jul Cancel for maintenance 31-Jul 9 64 1:35 1 Total-> 154 1297 33:05:00 14
  • 116.
  • 118.
  • 119.
  • 120.
  • 121.
  • 122. July 04 Cloud Seeding (black circle) Dams (blue square) 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130
  • 123. Rain compare in July Municipality Sum July this year History Average in whole July From 1 January to 31 July this year History 1 January to 31 July Holguín City 208 +121 87 787 +208 579 Gibara 143 +64 79 621 +89 532 AVERAGE PROVINCE 133 +56 77 649 +14 635
  • 124. Compare of water in reservoirs in July 2006 (Hm3 = million of cubic meters ) reservoir Volume total (Hm3) Volume Actual (Hm3) Cacoyuguin 5.620 5.620 Güirabo 15.200 15.200 Gibara 65.600 20.626 Tacajó 12.000 8.043 Naranjo 11.650 3.956 TOTAL PROVINCE 568.238 436.077
  • 125. 5. Prize on weather modification we won in 2006
  • 126. Awarded by United Arab Emirates
  • 127. Awarded by China Meteorological Administration