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Write one (1) page in essay format documenting and describing
your work throughout the semester. Use headings and
subheadings whenever feasible. Consider the following
questions when forming your reflection:
· What theories/knowledge from previous hospitality courses
were you able to apply to your work?
· What have you learned from the work?
· What steps were taken in the training process for your work?
· What are some things that you would target for improvement
if you were the manager (excluding those already mentioned in
your project proposal)?
· How do you feel your education has helped or prepared you
for the working world?
· What were some strengths and weaknesses of the industry you
have observed?
1
Imprimante S.A.
Cross-Border Valuation and Parity Conditions
On June 23, 2008, a Monday morning, Martin Arnaud arrived at
his office in Imprimante S.A. corporate
headquarters in Paris, France. The previous week, Arnaud had
requested additional financial
information about an investment proposal from Imprimante-
Mexico, a wholly owned subsidiary that
operated a manufacturing facility and a regional sales office in
Monterrey, Mexico. The information had
arrived late Friday—too late for Arnaud to analyze—and was
waiting for him Monday morning. As a
financial analyst for a global manufacturer for printing an
imaging equipment, Arnaud examined many
cross-border projects, particularly since Imprimante had
accelerated it move into emerging markets
several years earlier.
The Mexican investment proposal called for the purchase and
installation of new automated machinery
to recycle and remanufacture toner and printer cartridges.
Cartridge recycling had become an
important part of Imprimante’s business in many markets and
promised continued growth. Many office
product retailers operated formal toner cartridge recycling
programs, for both the environmental
benefits of keeping materials out of landfills and demonstrated
cost savings for their customers. Writing
in a leading trade journal, one analyst predicted, “We are going
to see more and more refined
approached to recycling and remanufacturing (cartridges) in the
coming months and years…Both
corporate and individual consumers are becoming habituated to
it. They have simply come to expect
recycling as an option, even for smaller cartridges at lower
price points.”
Imprimante’s Monterrey plant began its cartridge recycling
program in 2005. The plant’s recycling
process consisted of a sequence of operations carried out almost
entirely by hand, with the help of hand
tools and a simple machine. The investment proposal called for
replacing this process with new
automated machinery from Germany that cost an estimated
MXP3.5 million (approximately
EUR220,000) fully installed. As described in the project
summary, Imprimante-Mexico expected to
realize substantial savings in labor and materials almost
immediately. Though the proposed expenditure
was relatively small, Imprimante required a discounted cash
flow analysis for all such investments in it
newer foreign markets and a review by corporate headquarters
in Paris. Arnaud was assigned to
perform an analysis of the investment proposal and make an “up
or down” recommendation to his
superior by Wednesday morning.
Imprimante S.A.
Imprimante was a global manufacturer of printers, copiers, fax
machines, and other document
production equipment. The company also provided consulting
and document outsourcing services, with
after-sales service contracts constituting about 18% of overall
revenue. Company sales for 2008 were
projected to be EUR3.35billion, down from 2007 due to global
recession. Operating profit was expected
to be EUR61.2million in 2008, and the company projected a
small net loss for the year. Exhibit 1
presents selected consolidated financial data for Imprimante.
2
Imprimante’s low profitability was typical of the industry in
2008; all of its competitors were similarly
affected by the recession. One bright spot in the company’s
outlook, however, was its growth in several
emerging markets, including the so-called BRIC economies of
Brazil, Russia, India, and China.
Imprimante had been a global firm for years, but did not move
aggressively into emerging markets until
2003-04. This was later than some of its competitors. On one
hand, this meant Imprimante’s market
hare lagged in some markets. On the other hand, Imprimante
avoided some of its competitors’ earlier
mistakes.
The company’s international operations were conducted
primarily through a large network of
subsidiaries, which operated mostly medium-sized regional
factories in which printers, copiers, and
other products were manufactured to suit local tasted.
Imprimante conducted business in 28 countries
around the world, with operations consisting of manufacturing
facilities, small research labs, as well as
sales and marketing subsidiaries. In 2008, subsidiaries outside
the European Union recorded about half
of Imprimante’s sales and generated slightly less than 40% of
pretax income.
Imprimante competed in a relatively mature market, and its
chief competitors were both established
multinational companies—some of which had developed their
consulting and other after-sales services
businesses to a higher level than had Imprimante—as well as
smaller players serving niche markets.
While Imprimante marketed and sold its products across the full
spectrum of industries, it had enjoyed
particular success in financial services, health care, and
government sectors.
Operations in Monterrey: Imprimante-Mexico
According to Imprimante’s CEO Alain Belmont, “We were
attracted to Mexico for the same reason we
built operations in Brazil and other emerging markets. We
wanted to diversify our operations and
believed we needed to establish a strong presence in places
besides Europe and the United States.” He
added: “Certainly there is risk (in these countries), but their
economies are dynamic and Imprimante
must be present. You can see our competitors feel the same
way.”
A key characteristic of Imprimante’s printing and imaging
products was their durability, which
Imprimante’s executives felt conveyed a competitive advantage
in emerging economies where
Imprimante positioned equipment as offering a lower total cost
of ownership. In particular, the
company’s marketing material claimed a working life of 10
months longer than its closest competitor,
with 30% lower service costs. CEO Belmont observed: “We
demonstrate to our customers that we have
a local presence and we are the lowest total-cost provider. This
creates loyalty and solid market
positions in Mexico and other of our newer markets.”
The manufacturing facility in Monterrey was located near a
small research and design facility, also
owned by Imprimante. While many product specifications for
Imprimante’s equipment were
formulated at the corporate offices in Paris, France, it was
customary for regional subsidiaries to
conduct fine-tuning research and design activity to tailor the
product more closely to local consumers’
preferences. Thus, it was common for a popular printer or fax
machine whose basic design was
conceived in Paris to be ”localized” for size, color, weight,
and/or range of features by local design staff.
Most of the products produced in the Monterrey plant were sold
in Mexico and were distributed
3
through large office-product retailers, department stores, as well
as small specialty shops.
Manufacturing inputs were source locally, and virtually all of
the plant’s employees were Mexican
citizens.
In the summer of 2008 gross output at Imprimante-Mexico was
running at only about 80% of planned
capacity. Nevertheless, plant records indicated that there was a
sizable increase in demand for recycled
printer and toner cartridges.. Imprimante-Mexico’s Programa de
Reciclaje de Cartuchos (Cartridge
Recycling Program) was started in 2005 to provide low-cost
recycling services to all its distributors and
customers. Under the terms of users’ service contracts, when
cartridges reached the end of their useful
lives, the could be returned to the Imprimante facility in
exchange for a significant discount on the
purchase of a like number of new cartridges. Imprimante
pledged to recycle and remanufacture all
returned toner and printer cartridges. Imprimante-Mexico also
had voiced its support for political
efforts to pass legislation that would mandate recycling of
printing cartridges used by most Mexican
businesses and government offices. In 2009, the company
planned to launch a pilot program to recycle
selected competitors’ cartridges.
As the number of cartridges returned for recycling increased,
Imprimante-Mexico management needed
to hire and train more employees to carry out the hole-piercing,
drilling, vacuuming, and toner/ink
evacuation required to recycle cartridges. “It’s taking more and
more of my payroll to handle recycling,”
said Beatrice Ernesto, the Monterrey plant manager. “We’re
happy to see the cartridges coming back
in, but the extra volume will become a problem when other
operation return to full capacity.”
Cost Savings from the Proposed New Equipment
The new equipment could process the Monterrey plant’s
projected volume using four employees rather
than ten, resulting in savings of both direct labor and training
costs. Under very favorable
circumstances, only three workers would be required. It would
also eliminate some human error, which
currently resulted in cracked or damaged cartridges which had
to be destroyed rather than reused. The
new equipment would occupy significantly less space in
Monterrey’s over-crowded plant; this space
would be freed up for other productive uses. It would also
require only minimal maintenance
expenditures compared to the equipment it replaced, and no
significant change in working capital.
Exhibit 2 compares projected operating data for the existing
recycling process and the proposed
automated process, assuming future Mexican inflation of 7% per
year.
The new equipment would have a useful life of 10 years and
would be depreciated under the straight-
line method for both tax and financial reporting purposes.
Salvage value was likely to equal disposal
costs at the end of the useful life. The manual equipment being
replaced was very simple and, properly
maintained, would last many more years. In June 2008 it had a
book value and tax basis of MXP250,000
and three years of straight-line depreciation remaining.
However, its market value was thought to be
lower, at about MXP 175,000. After considering Imprimante’s
consolidated tax position, Arnaud
determined that his analysis would use Mexico’s federal
corporate tax rate of 35%.
Real GDP growth in Mexico was 4.2% in 2004—the year in
which Imprimante built is Monterrey plant.
By 2006, Mexico’s real GDP growth had risen to 5.1%, but
subsequently dropped substantially as global
4
recession arrived. Other macroeconomic data in Mexico,
including bond yields, bank lending rates, and
the consumer price index exhibited similar patterns in recent
years. Exhibit 3 shows selected
macroeconomic and financial market data for Mexico.
Arnaud had yet to decide whether to perform the discounted
cash flow analysis in euros or pesos, or
indeed, whether NPV would be affected by the choice of
currency. Imprimante’s euro hurdle rate for
such a project, if undertaken in France, would be 8%. However,
borrowing costs in France and Mexico
were clearly different: French banks’ prime rate for euro loans
was 4.99%, while the rate in Mexico on
short-term peso loans was about 8.10%. Longer-term peso-
denominated corporate bonds were yielding
9.21%, compared with long-term euro-denominated corporate
issues at 4.75%. The spot exchange rate
on June 23 was MXP15.99/EUR. Many analysts were on record
predicting a real depreciation of the peso
against both the USD and the EUR over the next five years. For
example, one international business
publication noted “(Mexico’s) rising external financing
requirement and the fading impact of the US
stimulus package can only increase pressure on Mexico’s
currency.” The article went on to forecast a
rise in the MXP/EUR rate to 20.00 by 2011 and upwards of
25.00 in 2013-18. Selected macroeconomic
and financial market data for France are presented in Exhibit 4.
5
Exhibit 1 - Imprimante SA - Selected Consolidated Financial
Data (millions of
EUR, except as noted)
2008 2007 2006 2005 2004
Sales
3,345.3
3,561.8
3,576.9
3,078.9
3,050.3
Operating income
61.2
189.2
172.9
163.5
149.9
Net income
(0.7)
85.7
61.2
88.2
85.7
Total assets
2,809.3
2,764.9
2,899.6
3,129.0
2,445.5
Total debt
660.6
616.0
613.0
578.4
504.2
Equity
782.6
819.5
829.7
941.0
865.1
Capital expenditures
87.6
100.0
95.1
240.9
234.1
Depreciation
195.0
209.4
214.0
152.9
155.0
R&D expenditures
17.5
20.0
19.0
48.2
46.8
Earnings/share (euros)
(0.0)
1.0
0.7
1.1
1.0
Dividend/share (euros)
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.7
Return on sales (%) 0.0% 2.4% 1.7% 2.9% 2.8%
Return on equity (%) -0.1% 10.5% 7.4% 9.4% 9.9%
6
Exhibit 2 - Comparison of Projected Operating Data for
Different Recycling Processes (thousands of MXP, except as
noted)
Assumes 7% Inflation in Mexico Tax Rate: 0.35
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Projected Operating Costs, Manual Process
Unit volume
(000s) 496 546 600 660 660 660 660 660 660 660
Materials
564,816
664,788
782,456
920,951
985,417
1,054,396
1,128,204
1,207,178
1,291,681
1,382,099
Direct Labor
1,115,184
1,312,572
1,544,897
1,818,343
1,945,627
2,081,821
2,227,549
2,383,477
2,550,321
2,728,843
Overhead
1,680,000
1,797,600
1,923,432
2,058,072
2,202,137
2,356,287
2,521,227
2,697,713
2,886,553
3,088,611
Total
3,360,000
3,774,960
4,250,785
4,797,366
5,133,181
5,492,504
5,876,980
6,288,368
6,728,555
7,199,553
Materials/unit
1.1387
1.2176
1.3041
1.3954
1.4931
1.5976
1.7094
1.8291
1.9571
2.0941
Direct
labor/unit
2.2484
2.4040
2.5748
2.7551
2.9479
3.1543
3.3751
3.6113
3.8641
4.1346
Projected Operating Costs, New Automatic
Process
Unit volume
(000s) 496 546 600 660 660 660 660 660 660 660
Materials
542,223
638,197
751,158
884,113
946,001
1,012,221
1,083,076
1,158,891
1,240,014
1,326,815
Direct Labor
524,136
616,909
726,101
854,621
914,445
978,456
1,046,948
1,120,234
1,198,651
1,282,556
Overhead
1,566,211
1,675,846
1,793,155
1,918,676
2,052,983
2,196,691
2,350,460
2,514,993
2,691,042
2,879,415
Total
2,632,570
2,930,952
3,270,414
3,657,410
3,913,429
4,187,368
4,480,484
4,794,118
5,129,707
5,488,786
Materials/unit
1.0932
1.1689
1.2519
1.3396
1.4333
1.5337
1.6410
1.7559
1.8788
2.0103
Direct
labor/unit
1.0567
1.1299
1.2102
1.2949
1.3855
1.4825
1.5863
1.6973
1.8161
1.9433
7
Exhibit 3 - Selected Macroeconomic and Financial Market Data
for Mexico
Year
Consumer Price
Inflation (%)
Real GDP
Growth (%)
Year-end Spot
Exchange Rate
(MXP/EUR)
2000 9.5% 6.6% 9.4
2001 6.4% -0.3% 9.5
2002 5.0% 0.9% 10.4
2003 4.3% 1.4% 12.9
2004 4.7% 4.2% 15.3
2005 3.3% 3.2% 13.3
2006 4.1% 5.1% 14.4
2007 3.8% 3.3% 16.2
Source: Mexico Country Reports, EIU
Date
Short-term
Bank Lending
Rate
JPMorgan
Mexico 7-10
Year Corporate
Bonds
10-year
Government Bonds
31-Mar-06 7.78% 8.20% 8.47%
30-Jun-06 7.68% 9.35% 9.06%
30-Sep-06 7.50% 8.22% 8.24%
31-Dec-06 7.60% 7.42% 7.42%
31-Mar-07 7.68% 7.50% 7.58%
30-Jun-07 7.82% 7.68% 7.19%
30-Sep-07 7.77% 7.86% 7.82%
31-Dec-07 8.00% 8.17% 8.08%
31-Mar-08 7.94% 7.42% 7.49%
30-Jun-08 8.10% 9.21% 9.12%
Sources: Bank of Mexico, Thomson Datastream, Global
Financial Data
8
Exhibit 4 - Selected Macroeconomic and Financial Market Data
for France
Year
Consumer Price
Inflation (%)
Real GDP
Growth (%)
Year-end Spot
Exchange Rate
(MXP/EUR)
2000 1.7% 4.2% 9.4
2001 1.6% 2.1% 9.5
2002 1.9% 1.1% 10.4
2003 2.1% 0.5% 12.9
2004 2.3% 2.3% 15.3
2005 1.7% 1.9% 13.3
2006 1.7% 2.4% 14.4
2007 1.5% 2.3% 16.2
Source: France Country Reports, EIU
Date
Short-term
Bank Lending
Rate
JPMorgan
France 7-10
Year Corporate
Bonds
10-year
Government Bonds
31-Mar-06 3.08% 3.73% 3.79%
30-Jun-06 3.27% 4.03% 4.08%
30-Sep-06 3.63% 3.69% 3.72%
31-Dec-06 4.07% 3.96% 3.98%
31-Mar-07 4.42% 4.08% 4.11%
30-Jun-07 4.69% 4.60% 4.62%
30-Sep-07 4.91% 4.36% 4.41%
31-Dec-07 5.13% 4.34% 4.42%
31-Mar-08 4.81% 4.00% 4.11%
30-Jun-08 4.99% 4.75% 4.81%
Sources: Thomson Datastream, CEIC, Global Financial Data

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  • 1. Write one (1) page in essay format documenting and describing your work throughout the semester. Use headings and subheadings whenever feasible. Consider the following questions when forming your reflection: · What theories/knowledge from previous hospitality courses were you able to apply to your work? · What have you learned from the work? · What steps were taken in the training process for your work? · What are some things that you would target for improvement if you were the manager (excluding those already mentioned in your project proposal)? · How do you feel your education has helped or prepared you for the working world? · What were some strengths and weaknesses of the industry you have observed? 1 Imprimante S.A. Cross-Border Valuation and Parity Conditions On June 23, 2008, a Monday morning, Martin Arnaud arrived at his office in Imprimante S.A. corporate headquarters in Paris, France. The previous week, Arnaud had
  • 2. requested additional financial information about an investment proposal from Imprimante- Mexico, a wholly owned subsidiary that operated a manufacturing facility and a regional sales office in Monterrey, Mexico. The information had arrived late Friday—too late for Arnaud to analyze—and was waiting for him Monday morning. As a financial analyst for a global manufacturer for printing an imaging equipment, Arnaud examined many cross-border projects, particularly since Imprimante had accelerated it move into emerging markets several years earlier. The Mexican investment proposal called for the purchase and installation of new automated machinery to recycle and remanufacture toner and printer cartridges. Cartridge recycling had become an important part of Imprimante’s business in many markets and promised continued growth. Many office product retailers operated formal toner cartridge recycling programs, for both the environmental benefits of keeping materials out of landfills and demonstrated cost savings for their customers. Writing in a leading trade journal, one analyst predicted, “We are going to see more and more refined
  • 3. approached to recycling and remanufacturing (cartridges) in the coming months and years…Both corporate and individual consumers are becoming habituated to it. They have simply come to expect recycling as an option, even for smaller cartridges at lower price points.” Imprimante’s Monterrey plant began its cartridge recycling program in 2005. The plant’s recycling process consisted of a sequence of operations carried out almost entirely by hand, with the help of hand tools and a simple machine. The investment proposal called for replacing this process with new automated machinery from Germany that cost an estimated MXP3.5 million (approximately EUR220,000) fully installed. As described in the project summary, Imprimante-Mexico expected to realize substantial savings in labor and materials almost immediately. Though the proposed expenditure was relatively small, Imprimante required a discounted cash flow analysis for all such investments in it newer foreign markets and a review by corporate headquarters in Paris. Arnaud was assigned to perform an analysis of the investment proposal and make an “up or down” recommendation to his
  • 4. superior by Wednesday morning. Imprimante S.A. Imprimante was a global manufacturer of printers, copiers, fax machines, and other document production equipment. The company also provided consulting and document outsourcing services, with after-sales service contracts constituting about 18% of overall revenue. Company sales for 2008 were projected to be EUR3.35billion, down from 2007 due to global recession. Operating profit was expected to be EUR61.2million in 2008, and the company projected a small net loss for the year. Exhibit 1 presents selected consolidated financial data for Imprimante. 2 Imprimante’s low profitability was typical of the industry in 2008; all of its competitors were similarly affected by the recession. One bright spot in the company’s outlook, however, was its growth in several emerging markets, including the so-called BRIC economies of Brazil, Russia, India, and China.
  • 5. Imprimante had been a global firm for years, but did not move aggressively into emerging markets until 2003-04. This was later than some of its competitors. On one hand, this meant Imprimante’s market hare lagged in some markets. On the other hand, Imprimante avoided some of its competitors’ earlier mistakes. The company’s international operations were conducted primarily through a large network of subsidiaries, which operated mostly medium-sized regional factories in which printers, copiers, and other products were manufactured to suit local tasted. Imprimante conducted business in 28 countries around the world, with operations consisting of manufacturing facilities, small research labs, as well as sales and marketing subsidiaries. In 2008, subsidiaries outside the European Union recorded about half of Imprimante’s sales and generated slightly less than 40% of pretax income. Imprimante competed in a relatively mature market, and its chief competitors were both established multinational companies—some of which had developed their consulting and other after-sales services businesses to a higher level than had Imprimante—as well as
  • 6. smaller players serving niche markets. While Imprimante marketed and sold its products across the full spectrum of industries, it had enjoyed particular success in financial services, health care, and government sectors. Operations in Monterrey: Imprimante-Mexico According to Imprimante’s CEO Alain Belmont, “We were attracted to Mexico for the same reason we built operations in Brazil and other emerging markets. We wanted to diversify our operations and believed we needed to establish a strong presence in places besides Europe and the United States.” He added: “Certainly there is risk (in these countries), but their economies are dynamic and Imprimante must be present. You can see our competitors feel the same way.” A key characteristic of Imprimante’s printing and imaging products was their durability, which Imprimante’s executives felt conveyed a competitive advantage in emerging economies where Imprimante positioned equipment as offering a lower total cost of ownership. In particular, the company’s marketing material claimed a working life of 10 months longer than its closest competitor,
  • 7. with 30% lower service costs. CEO Belmont observed: “We demonstrate to our customers that we have a local presence and we are the lowest total-cost provider. This creates loyalty and solid market positions in Mexico and other of our newer markets.” The manufacturing facility in Monterrey was located near a small research and design facility, also owned by Imprimante. While many product specifications for Imprimante’s equipment were formulated at the corporate offices in Paris, France, it was customary for regional subsidiaries to conduct fine-tuning research and design activity to tailor the product more closely to local consumers’ preferences. Thus, it was common for a popular printer or fax machine whose basic design was conceived in Paris to be ”localized” for size, color, weight, and/or range of features by local design staff. Most of the products produced in the Monterrey plant were sold in Mexico and were distributed 3 through large office-product retailers, department stores, as well
  • 8. as small specialty shops. Manufacturing inputs were source locally, and virtually all of the plant’s employees were Mexican citizens. In the summer of 2008 gross output at Imprimante-Mexico was running at only about 80% of planned capacity. Nevertheless, plant records indicated that there was a sizable increase in demand for recycled printer and toner cartridges.. Imprimante-Mexico’s Programa de Reciclaje de Cartuchos (Cartridge Recycling Program) was started in 2005 to provide low-cost recycling services to all its distributors and customers. Under the terms of users’ service contracts, when cartridges reached the end of their useful lives, the could be returned to the Imprimante facility in exchange for a significant discount on the purchase of a like number of new cartridges. Imprimante pledged to recycle and remanufacture all returned toner and printer cartridges. Imprimante-Mexico also had voiced its support for political efforts to pass legislation that would mandate recycling of printing cartridges used by most Mexican businesses and government offices. In 2009, the company planned to launch a pilot program to recycle
  • 9. selected competitors’ cartridges. As the number of cartridges returned for recycling increased, Imprimante-Mexico management needed to hire and train more employees to carry out the hole-piercing, drilling, vacuuming, and toner/ink evacuation required to recycle cartridges. “It’s taking more and more of my payroll to handle recycling,” said Beatrice Ernesto, the Monterrey plant manager. “We’re happy to see the cartridges coming back in, but the extra volume will become a problem when other operation return to full capacity.” Cost Savings from the Proposed New Equipment The new equipment could process the Monterrey plant’s projected volume using four employees rather than ten, resulting in savings of both direct labor and training costs. Under very favorable circumstances, only three workers would be required. It would also eliminate some human error, which currently resulted in cracked or damaged cartridges which had to be destroyed rather than reused. The new equipment would occupy significantly less space in Monterrey’s over-crowded plant; this space would be freed up for other productive uses. It would also
  • 10. require only minimal maintenance expenditures compared to the equipment it replaced, and no significant change in working capital. Exhibit 2 compares projected operating data for the existing recycling process and the proposed automated process, assuming future Mexican inflation of 7% per year. The new equipment would have a useful life of 10 years and would be depreciated under the straight- line method for both tax and financial reporting purposes. Salvage value was likely to equal disposal costs at the end of the useful life. The manual equipment being replaced was very simple and, properly maintained, would last many more years. In June 2008 it had a book value and tax basis of MXP250,000 and three years of straight-line depreciation remaining. However, its market value was thought to be lower, at about MXP 175,000. After considering Imprimante’s consolidated tax position, Arnaud determined that his analysis would use Mexico’s federal corporate tax rate of 35%. Real GDP growth in Mexico was 4.2% in 2004—the year in which Imprimante built is Monterrey plant. By 2006, Mexico’s real GDP growth had risen to 5.1%, but
  • 11. subsequently dropped substantially as global 4 recession arrived. Other macroeconomic data in Mexico, including bond yields, bank lending rates, and the consumer price index exhibited similar patterns in recent years. Exhibit 3 shows selected macroeconomic and financial market data for Mexico. Arnaud had yet to decide whether to perform the discounted cash flow analysis in euros or pesos, or indeed, whether NPV would be affected by the choice of currency. Imprimante’s euro hurdle rate for such a project, if undertaken in France, would be 8%. However, borrowing costs in France and Mexico were clearly different: French banks’ prime rate for euro loans was 4.99%, while the rate in Mexico on short-term peso loans was about 8.10%. Longer-term peso- denominated corporate bonds were yielding 9.21%, compared with long-term euro-denominated corporate issues at 4.75%. The spot exchange rate on June 23 was MXP15.99/EUR. Many analysts were on record predicting a real depreciation of the peso
  • 12. against both the USD and the EUR over the next five years. For example, one international business publication noted “(Mexico’s) rising external financing requirement and the fading impact of the US stimulus package can only increase pressure on Mexico’s currency.” The article went on to forecast a rise in the MXP/EUR rate to 20.00 by 2011 and upwards of 25.00 in 2013-18. Selected macroeconomic and financial market data for France are presented in Exhibit 4. 5 Exhibit 1 - Imprimante SA - Selected Consolidated Financial Data (millions of EUR, except as noted) 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 Sales 3,345.3 3,561.8
  • 18. 0.7 Return on sales (%) 0.0% 2.4% 1.7% 2.9% 2.8% Return on equity (%) -0.1% 10.5% 7.4% 9.4% 9.9% 6 Exhibit 2 - Comparison of Projected Operating Data for Different Recycling Processes (thousands of MXP, except as noted) Assumes 7% Inflation in Mexico Tax Rate: 0.35 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Projected Operating Costs, Manual Process Unit volume (000s) 496 546 600 660 660 660 660 660 660 660 Materials 564,816 664,788 782,456
  • 24. 4.1346 Projected Operating Costs, New Automatic Process Unit volume (000s) 496 546 600 660 660 660 660 660 660 660 Materials 542,223 638,197 751,158 884,113 946,001 1,012,221 1,083,076 1,158,891
  • 29. 1.2102 1.2949 1.3855 1.4825 1.5863 1.6973 1.8161 1.9433 7 Exhibit 3 - Selected Macroeconomic and Financial Market Data for Mexico Year Consumer Price
  • 30. Inflation (%) Real GDP Growth (%) Year-end Spot Exchange Rate (MXP/EUR) 2000 9.5% 6.6% 9.4 2001 6.4% -0.3% 9.5 2002 5.0% 0.9% 10.4 2003 4.3% 1.4% 12.9 2004 4.7% 4.2% 15.3 2005 3.3% 3.2% 13.3 2006 4.1% 5.1% 14.4 2007 3.8% 3.3% 16.2 Source: Mexico Country Reports, EIU Date Short-term Bank Lending Rate
  • 31. JPMorgan Mexico 7-10 Year Corporate Bonds 10-year Government Bonds 31-Mar-06 7.78% 8.20% 8.47% 30-Jun-06 7.68% 9.35% 9.06% 30-Sep-06 7.50% 8.22% 8.24% 31-Dec-06 7.60% 7.42% 7.42% 31-Mar-07 7.68% 7.50% 7.58% 30-Jun-07 7.82% 7.68% 7.19% 30-Sep-07 7.77% 7.86% 7.82% 31-Dec-07 8.00% 8.17% 8.08% 31-Mar-08 7.94% 7.42% 7.49% 30-Jun-08 8.10% 9.21% 9.12% Sources: Bank of Mexico, Thomson Datastream, Global Financial Data
  • 32. 8 Exhibit 4 - Selected Macroeconomic and Financial Market Data for France Year Consumer Price Inflation (%) Real GDP Growth (%) Year-end Spot Exchange Rate (MXP/EUR) 2000 1.7% 4.2% 9.4 2001 1.6% 2.1% 9.5 2002 1.9% 1.1% 10.4 2003 2.1% 0.5% 12.9 2004 2.3% 2.3% 15.3 2005 1.7% 1.9% 13.3 2006 1.7% 2.4% 14.4
  • 33. 2007 1.5% 2.3% 16.2 Source: France Country Reports, EIU Date Short-term Bank Lending Rate JPMorgan France 7-10 Year Corporate Bonds 10-year Government Bonds 31-Mar-06 3.08% 3.73% 3.79% 30-Jun-06 3.27% 4.03% 4.08% 30-Sep-06 3.63% 3.69% 3.72% 31-Dec-06 4.07% 3.96% 3.98% 31-Mar-07 4.42% 4.08% 4.11% 30-Jun-07 4.69% 4.60% 4.62% 30-Sep-07 4.91% 4.36% 4.41%
  • 34. 31-Dec-07 5.13% 4.34% 4.42% 31-Mar-08 4.81% 4.00% 4.11% 30-Jun-08 4.99% 4.75% 4.81% Sources: Thomson Datastream, CEIC, Global Financial Data