This document discusses the convergence of exponential technologies and their implications for the future of K-12 education. It outlines several emerging technologies like artificial intelligence, blockchain, and virtual/augmented reality that are beginning to impact education. It argues that these technologies will significantly disrupt traditional education models by 2030 and that schools need to develop new value propositions to remain competitive against technology-enabled upstarts. The document advocates that schools focus on benefits like social-emotional learning and community engagement that technologies cannot easily replace.

1. Convergence of
Exponential
Technologies
&
Future Models
of K12
Touching on a vision for
the future of schools

2. NAME OR LOGO 2
Alex Makosz
Group Director – Curriculum， Assessment & Learning
“Designing the future of learning for the Walton K12 school line.”
Chiway Education Group
Founded in 1996, Chiway Education Group is
headquartered in Shanghai with its business across over
20 Chinese provinces and cities as well as overseas
markets including the US and Singapore. In K12, the
group directly operates over 10 schools and education
institutions, which in total accommodate more than 10,000
students and staff members.
Alex Makosz / EduInno 2018
CAEL MBA M.Ed

3. NAME OR LOGO 3Alex Makosz / EduInno 2018
Singularity University is the foremost global
catalyst for leveraging exponential technologies,
including artificial intelligence, robotics, digital
biology, and nanotechnology, to create a more
abundant world.
FEA catalyzes interactions between educational
organizations and external communities of
innovation, provides leadership training for school
innovation processes and develops future ready
curricula to accelerate school development.

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Exponential Thinking vs.
Linear Thinking
“Companies have too many experts who block
innovation. True innovation comes from perpendicular
thinking.” Peter Diamandis
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500 years ago to 1900

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At any given time, our
expectations of change in the
future are typically based on
projecting our current pace of
change forward in a linear
way.
Alex Makosz / EduInno 2018

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Exponential Growth vs. Linear Growth
8
Expectations
Reality
Alex Makosz / EduInno 2018

9. NAME OR LOGO 9Alex Makosz / EduInno 2018
The pace of
change is driven
by convergence of
complimentary
technologies all
advancing
together.

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1900
2000
2014
2022
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The 6 Ds of Disruption
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12. NAME OR LOGOAlex Makosz / EduInno 2018 12

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Average Lifespan of a Company on the SP 500
13
“No industry is immune… industries with regulatory barriers or large infrastructure costs
will feel greater effects of shifts created by the next generation of IT breakthroughs.”
-Harvard Business Review, 2017
1958 1980
60 years
1958
2011 2027
25 years
1980
18 years
2011
75% of today’s
SP500 to be
replaced by 2027
2011
Alex Makosz / EduInno 2018

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Technologies Entering MainstreamGraduation Year
Year Technology Going Mainstream Influence on Labor Market
2030 4D printers , self-driving cars,
general purpose machine
intelligence, human augmentation,
brain-computer interface,
neuromorphic hardware
40％-80％ of today’s jobs
threatened
80％ of core workforce skills
threatened
2029
2028
2027
blockchain, personal analytics,
IoT platforms, cognitive expert
advisors, affective computing,
virtual personal assistants, 5G IoT
At least 40% of core
workforce threatened
Global internet access,
4.2Billion new people online
2026
2025
2024
2023
2022
Artificial Intelligence（AI)2021
2020
2017-
2018
High
School Bachelor Master Ph.D
K 2030 2034 2036 2039
1 2029 2033 2035 2038
2 2028 2032 2034 2037
3 2027 2031 2033 2036
4 2026 2030 2032 2035
5 2025 2029 2031 2034
6 2024 2028 2030 2033
7 2023 2027 2029 2032
8 2022 2026 2028 2031
9 2021 2025 2027 2030
10 2020 2024 2026 2029
11 2019 2023 2025 2028
12 2018 2022 2024 2027
Based on research from: McKinsey, PWC, World Economic Forum, Gartner, Deloitte
Alex Makosz 2018
Alex Makosz / EduInno 2018 14

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From Deceptive to
Disruptive
Examples of technologies currently converging
in education.
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16. NAME OR LOGO 16Alex Makosz / EduInno 2018

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“Our objective is to replace
teachers.”
Alex Makosz / EduInno 2018AI

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“Our objective is to replace
teachers.”
Alex Makosz / EduInno 2018
4 years
1,000 local centers
100,000 daily active users
USD$200,000,000 projected annual revenue
AI for Adaptive Learning / Data Analytics

19. NAME OR LOGO 19Alex Makosz / EduInno 2018Facial Recognition / Data Analytics

20. NAME OR LOGO 20Alex Makosz / EduInno 2018Wearable Sensors / IoT / Data Analytics

21. NAME OR LOGO 21Alex Makosz / EduInno 2018

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23. NAME OR LOGOAlex Makosz / EduInno 2018 23

24. NAME OR LOGO 24Alex Makosz / EduInno 2018Blockchain

25. NAME OR LOGO 25Alex Makosz / EduInno 2018Blockchain

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Kai-Fu Lee
Online Merging with Offline (OMO), driven
by AI-powered student profile,
continuously compiling and analyzing data
for deeper insights and personally tailored
curriculum.
“That profile contains a detailed
accounting of everything that affects a
student’s learning process”
Alex Makosz / EduInno 2018

27. NAME OR LOGO 27Alex Makosz / EduInno 2018Data Analytics

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Can Legacy Systems
Become Future-Ready?
Identifying the defensible value of schools
28Alex Makosz / EduInno 2018

29. NAME OR LOGO
Nobody Makes Robot Horses
29
Disruptions don’t offer tech versions of
what we have now, they create
alternative methods to obtain the
benefits we value.
What benefits does a school offer in a
future with inexpensive, empathetic, AI-
driven expert instructors that provide
always-on, personalised curricula,
verifiable and sharable proof of skills
and know us better than we know
ourselves?
Alex Makosz / EduInno 2018

30. NAME OR LOGO
Technologies Entering MainstreamGraduation Year
Year Technology Going Mainstream Influence on Labor Market
2030 4D printers , self-driving cars,
general purpose machine
intelligence, human augmentation,
brain-computer interface,
neuromorphic hardware
40％-80％ of today’s jobs
threatened
80％ of core workforce skills
threatened
2029
2028
2027
blockchain, personal analytics,
IoT platforms, cognitive expert
advisors, affective computing,
virtual personal assistants, 5G IoT
At least 40% of core
workforce threatened
Global internet access,
4.2Billion new people online
2026
2025
2024
2023
2022
Artificial Intelligence（AI)2021
2020
2017-
2018
High
School Bachelor Master Ph.D
K 2030 2034 2036 2039
1 2029 2033 2035 2038
2 2028 2032 2034 2037
3 2027 2031 2033 2036
4 2026 2030 2032 2035
5 2025 2029 2031 2034
6 2024 2028 2030 2033
7 2023 2027 2029 2032
8 2022 2026 2028 2031
9 2021 2025 2027 2030
10 2020 2024 2026 2029
11 2019 2023 2025 2028
12 2018 2022 2024 2027
Based on research from: McKinsey, PWC, World Economic Forum, Gartner, Deloitte
Alex Makosz 2018
Alex Makosz / EduInno 2018 30

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What are the potential
implications for educators?
Alex Makosz / EduInno 2018

32. NAME OR LOGO 32Alex Makosz / EduInno 2018
Kai-Fu Lee, 2018
Compassion, Creativity & Strategy

33. NAME OR LOGO 33Alex Makosz / EduInno 2018
Kai-Fu Lee, 2018

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Displacement of Function
34
Traditional schooling demands emphasis on knowledge and skills development. These functions of the
teacher will be increasingly offloaded to AI, leaving more time for teachers to engage in child raising, human
development, caring, motivating and family or community engagement.
Alex Makosz / EduInno 2018
90%
10% 10%
90%
Re-evaluate what you need to offer. To be competitive, you must also be outstanding.

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What are the potential
implications for K12 schools?
Alex Makosz / EduInno 2018

36. NAME OR LOGOAlex Makosz / EduInno 2018 36
What benefits does a school
offer in a future with
inexpensive, empathetic, AI-
driven expert instructors that
provide always-on,
personalised curricula,
verifiable and sharable proof
of skills and know us better
than we know ourselves?

37. NAME OR LOGO
What are the important measures of a school?
?
?
Expensive Affordable
37
Traditional schools
won’t be able to
compete on costs
Tech-enabled
entrants will offer
many of the
traditional benefits,
and several new
ones, at a fraction of
the cost.
Alex Makosz / EduInno 2018

38. NAME OR LOGOAlex Makosz / EduInno 2018 38
Benefits of Attending K12 School Valuable Rare Not
Imitable
Optimized
Access to Information
Well-designed learning programs
Personal feedback and guidance
Verification of skills/knowledge/abilities
Socialization and behavioral norms development
Care, emotional engagement & personal relationships ?
Access to facilities & material resources ?
Safety and health of children during the day ?
Membership in communities of social/economic status ?
Signaling value ?
Connection to local community ?
Analysis of Sustainable Benefits in Coming Decade

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Content innovation is
insufficient to create
sustainable value. Innovation
of the whole
delivery/stakeholder
experience model is required.
Alex Makosz / EduInno 2018

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Form Uncommon Relationships
40
K12
Start-ups &
Entrepreneurs
Tech
Community
Local
Community
Stakeholders
Industry &
Business
Higher
Education
Build more direct and open
relationships with
communities of innovation,
employment pathways,
industry & community.
Become a point at which the
world meets for students.
Alex Makosz / EduInno 2018
Future School Case:

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Market Orientation, Design Thinking Approach, Multi-
Tiered Stakeholder Engagement
41
Exploring & Engaging External
Partners for Innovation, e.g.
piloting China’s first class with
Level Up Village.
Applying Design Thinking
Methodology to Primary School
Curriculum Innovation
Developing Teacher Metrics,
Leadership Metrics & Hiring
Profiles Based on Needs of
Future Models
Alex Makosz / EduInno 2018
Professional Development to
Foster Teacher Innovation &
Entrepreneurial Thinking

42. NAME OR LOGO
○ Linear and legacy thinking needs to be
challenged to match an exponential
reality – change is coming faster
than your think
○ Leadership needs to develop a radical
organizational vision, communicate it
effectively and engage stakeholders
○ Analyse carefully which value
propositions you offer that will still be
sustainable in the coming 5-10 years.
○ Explore innovative partnerships and new
models of organising school activities.
○ Develop hiring and professional
development strategies for future needs.
Going Forward
Key Takeaways for Re-envisioning Schooling
42

43. NAME OR LOGO
Book Release
Early 2019
• An articulated vision of future
schooling
• Clarity on emerging technology
and the implications for
educators
• Tools and methods for
educational leaders to develop
the vision in their context, form
a plan and enact change
Connect with me for free preview
chapters

44. Thank
You
Alex Makosz
18601789621
agmakosz@gmail.com
www.linkedin.com/in/alexmakosz/