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Barriers and Pitfalls to
Systemic Learning
Analytics
Adam Cooper
Perspective of this Talk #1
Where am I coming from?
UK

Higher Ed

Institution

Cetis is based in the Institute for
Educational Cybernetics at the
University of Bolton.
“Our mission is to develop a
better understanding of how
information and communications
technologies affect the
organisation of education from
individual learning to the global
system.”
Perspectives of this Talk #2

Image: public domain, by Oliver Beatson; mental state according to Csikszentmihalyi's flow model
• Practical Issues
• Data Literacy and “Soft Capability”
• The Management/Practice Accommodation
• Potential Misadventure & Bad Role Models

Image: cbna Timothy
Valentine

Structure of the Talk

Image: cba Jaskirat Singh Bawa
PRACTICAL ISSUES
Obstacles to Analytics #1
From: “Analytics in Higher Education: Benefits, Barriers,
Progress, and Recommendations” (ECAR Report)

Obstacles to Analytics #2
These are mostly things you can:

• Directly invest in
• E.g. OU, statisticians and data wranglers (Friday session)
• ECAR Survey Report 2012: “invest in people over tools... hiring
and/or training... analysis”

• Operate as a “shared service”
• Predictive Analytics Reporting (PAR) Framework
• Higher Education Statistics Agency (HESA)
• Universities and Colleges Admissions Service (UCAS)
DATA LITERACY &
“SOFT CAPABILITY”
Data Is Useless Without the Skills to
Analyze It
„...employees need to become:
Ready and willing to experiment: Managers and
business analysts must be able to apply the principles of
scientific experimentation to their business. They must
know how to construct intelligent hypotheses. They also
need to understand the principles of experimental testing
and design, including population selection and sampling,
in order to evaluate the validity of data analyses.
...
Adept at mathematical reasoning: How many of your
managers today are really “numerate” — competent in
the interpretation and use of numeric data?‟
Jeanne Harris, HBR Blog, Sept 2012
Visualisations are the Opium
of the People

(c)2008, Ryan Block/Engadget
Sparklines: Tufte vs ...
Significance
“Flagged for action because 74% of students felt they were
well supported by their supervisor compared to 80% in
similar institutions (difference >5%)”
“We need to talk to Mr. Benn; the drop-out rate doubled in
his class this year.”
“Soft Capability”

• Appreciation
• Expertise to comprehend, query and converse vs
originate

• A role for amateurs
• LA Innovation as social process
• Small data done right
(don’t wait for perfection)
Discussion Time
THE MANAGEMENT/
PRACTICE ACCOMMODATION
Ashby’s Law of Requisite Variety
“variety absorbs variety, defines
the minimum number of states
necessary for a controller to
control a system of a given
number of states”
The “Accommodation”
“The introduction of these techniques [Learning Analytics] cannot
be understood in isolation from the methods of educational
management as they have grown up over the past two
centuries. These methods are conditioned by the fact that
educational managers are limited in their capability to monitor
and act upon the range of states which are taken up by
teachers and learners in their learning activities. ... Over the
years, an accommodation has developed between regulatory
authorities, management and teaching professionals:
educational managers indicate the goals which teachers and
learners should work towards, provide a framework for them to
act within, and ensure that the results of their activity meet
some minimum standards. The rest is left up to the
professional skills of teachers and the ethical integrity of both
teachers and learners.”
Prof. Dai Griffiths, “Implications of Analytics for Teaching Practice in Higher Education”
So, you want to optimise student
success?

• What does success look like?
• Really?
• Says who?
• Is a “good education” indicated by student success?

• Are the following well-specified?
• “optimise student success”
• “maximise the probability of success”
Does everyone understand?
Attainment: an academic standard, typically shown by test
and examination results
Progress: how far a learner has moved between
assessment events
Achievement: takes into account the standards of
attainment reached by learners and the progress they
have made to reach those standards
Enrichment: the extent to which a learner gains
professional attitudes, meta-cognition, technical or artistic
creativity, delight, intellectual flexibility, ...
The Map is not the Territory

Image: Original René Magritte; digital image cbd Nad Renrel
From: “Analytics in Higher Education: Benefits, Barriers,
Progress, and Recommendations” (ECAR Report)

Worried?
POTENTIAL MISADVENTURE
& BAD ROLE MODELS
1. For What is this a Good Metaphor?
2. Automation and Practice

• Automation can reduce variety
(and it might be demonstrably effective)
BUT...

• In Systemic LA, “system” includes teaching practice.
3.The Folly of Technological Solutionism
„Recasting all complex social situations either as neatly defined
problems with definite, computable solutions or as transparent and
self-evident processes that can be easily optimized—if only the right
algorithms are in place!—this quest is likely to have unexpected
consequences that could eventually cause more damage than the
problems they seek to address.
I call the ideology that legitimizes and sanctions such aspirations
“solutionism.” I borrow this unabashedly pejorative term from the
world of architecture and urban planning, where it has come to refer
to an unhealthy preoccupation with sexy, monumental, and narrowminded solutions—the kind of stuff that wows audiences at TED
Conferences—to problems that are extremely complex, fluid, and
contentious … solutionism presumes rather than investigates the
problems that it is trying to solve, reaching “for the answer before the
questions have been fully asked.” How problems are composed
matters every bit as much as how problems are resolved.‟
Evgeny Morozov, “To Save Everything Click Here: The Folly of Technological Solutionism”, 2013
The Question Concerning Technology
„Everywhere we remain unfree and chained to technology,
whether we passionately affirm or deny it. But we are
delivered over to it in the worst possible way when we
regard it as something neutral; for this conception of it, to
which today we particularly like to do homage, makes us
utterly blind to the essence of technology.‟
Martin Heidegger, “The Question Concerning Technology and Other
Essays”,
original 1954, quotation translated by William Lovitt 1977
4. The “What Works” Trap

• RCTs show what works in social policy ...
• Intelligent Tutoring Systems work ...
... don’t they?

• Evidence-based policy is fashionable but, too often:
• The scope & context of applicability is significant
• Models of cause and effect are unexplored or ignored
• Evidence relates to groups, not individuals

Is intuition worse than mis-made decisions on questionable
evidence?
Rays of Sunshine

Phil Winne, SFU
That’s NOT what I meant!
The appropriation of current common practice in business
intelligence and management reporting as the method of
learning analytics.

• KPIs, “learning metrics”
• Reports
• Dashboards
• An industrial perspective on “systemic”
• Epistemic blindness
A Counter-measure
Articulate the role of method, not only the outcome.

• Organic development & prototyping
• The principle of parsimony
• Realistic about scale/quality of data
• Design and develop with the educator IN the system
• Optimise the environment, not the outcome
• Reflect on the effect LA innovation has on practice
Discussion Time
Reading and References
Jacqueline Bichsel, “Analytics in Higher Education: Benefits, Barriers, Progress, and
Recommendations”
Available from http://www.educause.edu/ecar

Adam Cooper et al, “Survey of the State of Analytics in UK HE and FE institutions”
http://publications.cetis.ac.uk/2013/884

Jeanne Harris, “Data is Useless Without the Skills to Analyze it”
http://blogs.hbr.org/2012/09/data-is-useless-without-the-skills/

PAR Framework
http://wcet.wiche.edu/advance/par-framework

Dai Griffiths, “CETIS Analytics Series: The impact of analytics in Higher Education on academic
practice”
http://publications.cetis.ac.uk/2012/532

Evgeny Morozov, “To Save Everything Click Here: The Folly of Technological Solutionism”
ISBN-10: 9781610391382

Phil Winne, “Improving Education” (lecture)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dBxMZoMTIU4

Ray Pawson and Nick Tilley, “Realistic Evaluation”
ISBN-10: 0761950087 (and several openly available papers on the web)
Licence

“Barriers and Pitfalls to Systemic Learning Analytics” by Adam Cooper, Cetis,
is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Unported Licence
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/

http://www.cetis.ac.uk
http://blogs.cetis.ac.uk/adam

a.r.cooper@bolton.ac.uk

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Systemic Learning Analytics Symposium, October 10th 2013

  • 1. Barriers and Pitfalls to Systemic Learning Analytics Adam Cooper
  • 2. Perspective of this Talk #1 Where am I coming from? UK Higher Ed Institution Cetis is based in the Institute for Educational Cybernetics at the University of Bolton. “Our mission is to develop a better understanding of how information and communications technologies affect the organisation of education from individual learning to the global system.”
  • 3. Perspectives of this Talk #2 Image: public domain, by Oliver Beatson; mental state according to Csikszentmihalyi's flow model
  • 4. • Practical Issues • Data Literacy and “Soft Capability” • The Management/Practice Accommodation • Potential Misadventure & Bad Role Models Image: cbna Timothy Valentine Structure of the Talk Image: cba Jaskirat Singh Bawa
  • 7. From: “Analytics in Higher Education: Benefits, Barriers, Progress, and Recommendations” (ECAR Report) Obstacles to Analytics #2
  • 8. These are mostly things you can: • Directly invest in • E.g. OU, statisticians and data wranglers (Friday session) • ECAR Survey Report 2012: “invest in people over tools... hiring and/or training... analysis” • Operate as a “shared service” • Predictive Analytics Reporting (PAR) Framework • Higher Education Statistics Agency (HESA) • Universities and Colleges Admissions Service (UCAS)
  • 9. DATA LITERACY & “SOFT CAPABILITY”
  • 10. Data Is Useless Without the Skills to Analyze It „...employees need to become: Ready and willing to experiment: Managers and business analysts must be able to apply the principles of scientific experimentation to their business. They must know how to construct intelligent hypotheses. They also need to understand the principles of experimental testing and design, including population selection and sampling, in order to evaluate the validity of data analyses. ... Adept at mathematical reasoning: How many of your managers today are really “numerate” — competent in the interpretation and use of numeric data?‟ Jeanne Harris, HBR Blog, Sept 2012
  • 11. Visualisations are the Opium of the People (c)2008, Ryan Block/Engadget
  • 13. Significance “Flagged for action because 74% of students felt they were well supported by their supervisor compared to 80% in similar institutions (difference >5%)” “We need to talk to Mr. Benn; the drop-out rate doubled in his class this year.”
  • 14.
  • 15. “Soft Capability” • Appreciation • Expertise to comprehend, query and converse vs originate • A role for amateurs • LA Innovation as social process • Small data done right (don’t wait for perfection)
  • 18. Ashby’s Law of Requisite Variety “variety absorbs variety, defines the minimum number of states necessary for a controller to control a system of a given number of states”
  • 19. The “Accommodation” “The introduction of these techniques [Learning Analytics] cannot be understood in isolation from the methods of educational management as they have grown up over the past two centuries. These methods are conditioned by the fact that educational managers are limited in their capability to monitor and act upon the range of states which are taken up by teachers and learners in their learning activities. ... Over the years, an accommodation has developed between regulatory authorities, management and teaching professionals: educational managers indicate the goals which teachers and learners should work towards, provide a framework for them to act within, and ensure that the results of their activity meet some minimum standards. The rest is left up to the professional skills of teachers and the ethical integrity of both teachers and learners.” Prof. Dai Griffiths, “Implications of Analytics for Teaching Practice in Higher Education”
  • 20. So, you want to optimise student success? • What does success look like? • Really? • Says who? • Is a “good education” indicated by student success? • Are the following well-specified? • “optimise student success” • “maximise the probability of success”
  • 21. Does everyone understand? Attainment: an academic standard, typically shown by test and examination results Progress: how far a learner has moved between assessment events Achievement: takes into account the standards of attainment reached by learners and the progress they have made to reach those standards Enrichment: the extent to which a learner gains professional attitudes, meta-cognition, technical or artistic creativity, delight, intellectual flexibility, ...
  • 22. The Map is not the Territory Image: Original René Magritte; digital image cbd Nad Renrel
  • 23. From: “Analytics in Higher Education: Benefits, Barriers, Progress, and Recommendations” (ECAR Report) Worried?
  • 25. 1. For What is this a Good Metaphor?
  • 26. 2. Automation and Practice • Automation can reduce variety (and it might be demonstrably effective) BUT... • In Systemic LA, “system” includes teaching practice.
  • 27. 3.The Folly of Technological Solutionism „Recasting all complex social situations either as neatly defined problems with definite, computable solutions or as transparent and self-evident processes that can be easily optimized—if only the right algorithms are in place!—this quest is likely to have unexpected consequences that could eventually cause more damage than the problems they seek to address. I call the ideology that legitimizes and sanctions such aspirations “solutionism.” I borrow this unabashedly pejorative term from the world of architecture and urban planning, where it has come to refer to an unhealthy preoccupation with sexy, monumental, and narrowminded solutions—the kind of stuff that wows audiences at TED Conferences—to problems that are extremely complex, fluid, and contentious … solutionism presumes rather than investigates the problems that it is trying to solve, reaching “for the answer before the questions have been fully asked.” How problems are composed matters every bit as much as how problems are resolved.‟ Evgeny Morozov, “To Save Everything Click Here: The Folly of Technological Solutionism”, 2013
  • 28. The Question Concerning Technology „Everywhere we remain unfree and chained to technology, whether we passionately affirm or deny it. But we are delivered over to it in the worst possible way when we regard it as something neutral; for this conception of it, to which today we particularly like to do homage, makes us utterly blind to the essence of technology.‟ Martin Heidegger, “The Question Concerning Technology and Other Essays”, original 1954, quotation translated by William Lovitt 1977
  • 29. 4. The “What Works” Trap • RCTs show what works in social policy ... • Intelligent Tutoring Systems work ... ... don’t they? • Evidence-based policy is fashionable but, too often: • The scope & context of applicability is significant • Models of cause and effect are unexplored or ignored • Evidence relates to groups, not individuals Is intuition worse than mis-made decisions on questionable evidence?
  • 30. Rays of Sunshine Phil Winne, SFU
  • 31. That’s NOT what I meant! The appropriation of current common practice in business intelligence and management reporting as the method of learning analytics. • KPIs, “learning metrics” • Reports • Dashboards • An industrial perspective on “systemic” • Epistemic blindness
  • 32. A Counter-measure Articulate the role of method, not only the outcome. • Organic development & prototyping • The principle of parsimony • Realistic about scale/quality of data • Design and develop with the educator IN the system • Optimise the environment, not the outcome • Reflect on the effect LA innovation has on practice
  • 34. Reading and References Jacqueline Bichsel, “Analytics in Higher Education: Benefits, Barriers, Progress, and Recommendations” Available from http://www.educause.edu/ecar Adam Cooper et al, “Survey of the State of Analytics in UK HE and FE institutions” http://publications.cetis.ac.uk/2013/884 Jeanne Harris, “Data is Useless Without the Skills to Analyze it” http://blogs.hbr.org/2012/09/data-is-useless-without-the-skills/ PAR Framework http://wcet.wiche.edu/advance/par-framework Dai Griffiths, “CETIS Analytics Series: The impact of analytics in Higher Education on academic practice” http://publications.cetis.ac.uk/2012/532 Evgeny Morozov, “To Save Everything Click Here: The Folly of Technological Solutionism” ISBN-10: 9781610391382 Phil Winne, “Improving Education” (lecture) http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dBxMZoMTIU4 Ray Pawson and Nick Tilley, “Realistic Evaluation” ISBN-10: 0761950087 (and several openly available papers on the web)
  • 35. Licence “Barriers and Pitfalls to Systemic Learning Analytics” by Adam Cooper, Cetis, is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Unported Licence http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/ http://www.cetis.ac.uk http://blogs.cetis.ac.uk/adam a.r.cooper@bolton.ac.uk

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