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Tim J. Smith
Pricing Strategy: Setting Price Levels,
Managing Price Discounts, &
Establishing Price Structures
PowerPoint by
Tim J. Smith, PhD
Managing Principal, Wiglaf Pricing
Adjunct Professor of Marketing & Economics, DePaul University
© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Chapter 7
Price Promotions
How Holiday Sales, Coupons, Rebates
and Other Forms of Price Promotion
Impact Profitability
© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Agenda
• How does a price promotion improve profitability?
• Do price promotions mostly grow the market or grow the share
within the existing market?
• Are price promotions a good means of price segmentation?
• What customer behavior and psychological influences are affected
by price promotions, and are these good for the firm?
• How should a price promotion be designed?
• What are common examples of price promotion?
• How should an executive evaluate the economic efficiency of a
price promotion?
• Stretch Question: How many price promotions are just one too
many ?
© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
• Targeted discounts enable a
company to charge different prices
to different customers
– Allows the price sensitive to
purchase at a lower price
– Keeps the utility sensitive
purchasing at the higher “list”
price
• Incremental sales at a discounted
price above marginal unit cost
enhances profitability Quantity
Price
Revenue w/o Discounting
Additional Revenue
Gained from Discounting
Demand
Marginal Unit Cost
© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Discounting is Price Differentiation
Promotional Discounts Grab Share
• Promotional Discounts tend to increase sales volume
• The increase in volume will come
– Primarily from capturing share from you competitor
– Secondarily from growing the overall market
• Note: Short term reactions to downward price movements tend to
be larger than long-term reactions
© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
• Prospect Theory
– People place more weight on
“pain” than on an equal “gain”
• To help people appreciate the
gain
– Unbundle the sources of gain
and highlight them
– Bundle the sources of pain
Discounts are a form of
Extra Unbundled Gain
Surcharges are a form of
Extra Pain
Losses
B
Value -
Value +
Gains
A
Value Function
© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Promotional Discounting benefits
from Prospect Theory
Negative Effects of Promotional
Discounting
• Imperfect segmentation hedge
– Price promotions can provide unnecessary price
concessions to customers that otherwise would have
paid the full price
– Dilution / cannibalization of otherwise higher margin
sales
• Customer Churn
– Price promotions improve profitability by encouraging
brand switching among customers. If customers who
switch are not captured, the result is simply a high-
customer-acquisition cost with the loss of customer
retention profits
© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
• Consumer price expectations can be
modeled as an exponential
smoothing of current and last
observed prices
RPt = aPt-1 + (1-a)Pt
RPt = Reference Price
Pt-1 = Price previously observed
Pt = Price currently observed
• Promotional discounts reset price
expectations to a lower level,
dampening demand in future periods
when the product is offered at full
price
• Full price periods will increase price
expectations, increasing demand
during promotional periods
Time
Price
Reference
Price
Observed
Price
a = 0.925, peanut butter
a = 0.83 orange juice
© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Resets Price Expectations
Increases Price Sensitivity
• Price promotions enhance buyer sensitivity to price
– Promotions highlighting brand and price alone increase
price sensitivity
– Marketing communications highlighting features and
benefits increase utility sensitivity and decrease price
sensitivity
• Customers that tend to be sensitive to advertising also
tend to be more price sensitive
• Market growth from promotional discounting is likely
to contribute to the size of the price sensitive segment
© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
• Excessive promotional discounts
can make list prices irrelevant
– MRO and Office Supplies
• Promotional discounts in a
Good/Better/Best lineup affect
consumer tradeoffs
– Cross Product Cannibalization
• Discounting high-end products
targeting utility sensitive
customers may provide
unnecessary price concessions to
this segment
– Loss of Value / Price Position
List
Price
Invoice
Price
Net
Price
Divergent
Price to Value
Convergent
Price to Value
Constant
Price to Value
PriceWaterfalls
© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Impacts Pricing Integrity
Promotional Design
• Targeted
• Temporary
• Special
• Irregular
© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Examples
• Couponing
– Manufacturers coupons to induce trial
– Store coupons to induce patronage
– Key metric – portion of customers from couponing
resulting from incremental sales rather than displacing
normal sales
• Trial Offers
– Effective with products that will be purchased frequently,
have a low incremental production cost, and have benefits
that are self-evident after one use
• Rebates
– Can be used with a high degree of targeting
© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Evaluating Promotions
• Consider
– Cost (distribution, process, etc)
– Redemption Rates
– Discount Depth
– Sales volume induced
– Type of customer redeeming the promotion
• Conduct a Break Even Incremental Sales per
Redemption analysis
© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Coupon Face Value $ 0.50
Processing Fee $ 0.07
Price $ 3.00
Margin 40%
Newspaper In-Store
Coupons Distributed 1,000,000 62,500
Cost / 1000 Distributed $ 10 $ 100
Distribution Costs (Coupons Distributed X Cost / 1000 Distributed) $ 10,000 $ 6,250
Redemption Rate 5% 80%
Coupons Redeemed (Coupons Distributed X Redemption Rate) 50,000 50,000
Redemption Costs (Coupons Redeemed X (Face Value + Processing Fee)) $ 28,500 $ 28,500
Total Campaign Costs ( Distribution Costs + Redemption Costs ) $ 38,500 $ 34,750
Cost per Buyer (Total Costs / Coupons Redeemed ) $ 0.77 $ 0.70
Total Campaign Profit ( Coupons Redeemed X Price X Margin ) $ 60,000 $ 60,000
ROI ( (Incremental Profit – Total Costs)/Total Costs ) 36% 42%
Break-even Incremental Unit Sales per Redemption (Total Costs)/Total Profits) 64% 58%
© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Summary
• Price promotions are a form of price segmentation in which prices are reduced for
those with a lower willingness to pay and regular prices are offered to those with a
higher willingness to pay.
• Price promotions generate increased sales primarily through encouraging brand
switching and secondarily through increasing the size of the market.
• From prospect theory, we understand that part of the power of price promotions
to drive sales derives from consumers perceiving price reductions as a form of
added gain on top of receiving the product, in exchange for the pain of payment.
• Price promotions can have asymmetric effects on profitability between competing
firms where those products that are able to engender stronger brand loyalty are at
a strategic advantage.
• Because price promotions focus the customer’s attention on price, they can also
increase price sensitivity.
• In general, price promotions should strive to be targeted towards marginal
customers. Other design criteria for price promotions include a desire for them to
be temporary, special, and irregular.
• Price promotions include specially marked packages, coupons, trial offers, trade
deals, promotional sales, discounts, promotional bundles, and rebates.
© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

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Chpt 07 price promotions

  • 1. Tim J. Smith Pricing Strategy: Setting Price Levels, Managing Price Discounts, & Establishing Price Structures PowerPoint by Tim J. Smith, PhD Managing Principal, Wiglaf Pricing Adjunct Professor of Marketing & Economics, DePaul University © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
  • 2. Chapter 7 Price Promotions How Holiday Sales, Coupons, Rebates and Other Forms of Price Promotion Impact Profitability © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
  • 3. Agenda • How does a price promotion improve profitability? • Do price promotions mostly grow the market or grow the share within the existing market? • Are price promotions a good means of price segmentation? • What customer behavior and psychological influences are affected by price promotions, and are these good for the firm? • How should a price promotion be designed? • What are common examples of price promotion? • How should an executive evaluate the economic efficiency of a price promotion? • Stretch Question: How many price promotions are just one too many ? © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
  • 4. • Targeted discounts enable a company to charge different prices to different customers – Allows the price sensitive to purchase at a lower price – Keeps the utility sensitive purchasing at the higher “list” price • Incremental sales at a discounted price above marginal unit cost enhances profitability Quantity Price Revenue w/o Discounting Additional Revenue Gained from Discounting Demand Marginal Unit Cost © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Discounting is Price Differentiation
  • 5. Promotional Discounts Grab Share • Promotional Discounts tend to increase sales volume • The increase in volume will come – Primarily from capturing share from you competitor – Secondarily from growing the overall market • Note: Short term reactions to downward price movements tend to be larger than long-term reactions © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
  • 6. • Prospect Theory – People place more weight on “pain” than on an equal “gain” • To help people appreciate the gain – Unbundle the sources of gain and highlight them – Bundle the sources of pain Discounts are a form of Extra Unbundled Gain Surcharges are a form of Extra Pain Losses B Value - Value + Gains A Value Function © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Promotional Discounting benefits from Prospect Theory
  • 7. Negative Effects of Promotional Discounting • Imperfect segmentation hedge – Price promotions can provide unnecessary price concessions to customers that otherwise would have paid the full price – Dilution / cannibalization of otherwise higher margin sales • Customer Churn – Price promotions improve profitability by encouraging brand switching among customers. If customers who switch are not captured, the result is simply a high- customer-acquisition cost with the loss of customer retention profits © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
  • 8. • Consumer price expectations can be modeled as an exponential smoothing of current and last observed prices RPt = aPt-1 + (1-a)Pt RPt = Reference Price Pt-1 = Price previously observed Pt = Price currently observed • Promotional discounts reset price expectations to a lower level, dampening demand in future periods when the product is offered at full price • Full price periods will increase price expectations, increasing demand during promotional periods Time Price Reference Price Observed Price a = 0.925, peanut butter a = 0.83 orange juice © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Resets Price Expectations
  • 9. Increases Price Sensitivity • Price promotions enhance buyer sensitivity to price – Promotions highlighting brand and price alone increase price sensitivity – Marketing communications highlighting features and benefits increase utility sensitivity and decrease price sensitivity • Customers that tend to be sensitive to advertising also tend to be more price sensitive • Market growth from promotional discounting is likely to contribute to the size of the price sensitive segment © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
  • 10. • Excessive promotional discounts can make list prices irrelevant – MRO and Office Supplies • Promotional discounts in a Good/Better/Best lineup affect consumer tradeoffs – Cross Product Cannibalization • Discounting high-end products targeting utility sensitive customers may provide unnecessary price concessions to this segment – Loss of Value / Price Position List Price Invoice Price Net Price Divergent Price to Value Convergent Price to Value Constant Price to Value PriceWaterfalls © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Impacts Pricing Integrity
  • 11. Promotional Design • Targeted • Temporary • Special • Irregular © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
  • 12. Examples • Couponing – Manufacturers coupons to induce trial – Store coupons to induce patronage – Key metric – portion of customers from couponing resulting from incremental sales rather than displacing normal sales • Trial Offers – Effective with products that will be purchased frequently, have a low incremental production cost, and have benefits that are self-evident after one use • Rebates – Can be used with a high degree of targeting © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
  • 13. Evaluating Promotions • Consider – Cost (distribution, process, etc) – Redemption Rates – Discount Depth – Sales volume induced – Type of customer redeeming the promotion • Conduct a Break Even Incremental Sales per Redemption analysis © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
  • 14. Coupon Face Value $ 0.50 Processing Fee $ 0.07 Price $ 3.00 Margin 40% Newspaper In-Store Coupons Distributed 1,000,000 62,500 Cost / 1000 Distributed $ 10 $ 100 Distribution Costs (Coupons Distributed X Cost / 1000 Distributed) $ 10,000 $ 6,250 Redemption Rate 5% 80% Coupons Redeemed (Coupons Distributed X Redemption Rate) 50,000 50,000 Redemption Costs (Coupons Redeemed X (Face Value + Processing Fee)) $ 28,500 $ 28,500 Total Campaign Costs ( Distribution Costs + Redemption Costs ) $ 38,500 $ 34,750 Cost per Buyer (Total Costs / Coupons Redeemed ) $ 0.77 $ 0.70 Total Campaign Profit ( Coupons Redeemed X Price X Margin ) $ 60,000 $ 60,000 ROI ( (Incremental Profit – Total Costs)/Total Costs ) 36% 42% Break-even Incremental Unit Sales per Redemption (Total Costs)/Total Profits) 64% 58% © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
  • 15. Summary • Price promotions are a form of price segmentation in which prices are reduced for those with a lower willingness to pay and regular prices are offered to those with a higher willingness to pay. • Price promotions generate increased sales primarily through encouraging brand switching and secondarily through increasing the size of the market. • From prospect theory, we understand that part of the power of price promotions to drive sales derives from consumers perceiving price reductions as a form of added gain on top of receiving the product, in exchange for the pain of payment. • Price promotions can have asymmetric effects on profitability between competing firms where those products that are able to engender stronger brand loyalty are at a strategic advantage. • Because price promotions focus the customer’s attention on price, they can also increase price sensitivity. • In general, price promotions should strive to be targeted towards marginal customers. Other design criteria for price promotions include a desire for them to be temporary, special, and irregular. • Price promotions include specially marked packages, coupons, trial offers, trade deals, promotional sales, discounts, promotional bundles, and rebates. © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.