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Calculated risk - a scaleable management technique or just risky business?

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Warwick Business School
Warwick Business School

Part 3 of 3 a panel presentation at Warwick Business School 11/02/2008 Chris Enstone

Business
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Calculated Risk – Scaleable Management tool or Risky Business Chris Enstone 11 th February 2008
Contents ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Risk management toolbox ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The case studies ,[object Object],[object Object]
Case 1 Sailing ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Potential risks ,[object Object],Fire Hole in hull A storm Risk F H L Get severely burnt, have to abandon boat N H L Boat sinks N H H Get washed overboard, boat sinks Prox Imp Likeli hood Outcome
Mitigation – The storm
Mitigation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Plan A – the storm arrives ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Case 2 - Programme delivery to immutable timescales ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Background ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Potential risks Key staff become unavailable at important times Organisation cannot cope with rate of change Don’t delivery to time Risk F H M Leading to severe disruption to delivery schedules N H L Leading to disruption to service post go live N H M Loss of credibility in the market leading to lower market share Prox Imp Likeli hood Outcome
Mitigation – late delivery
Mitigation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Plan B – looks like a late delivery ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Common themes ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Calculated risk - a scaleable management technique or just risky business?

  • 1. Calculated Risk – Scaleable Management tool or Risky Business Chris Enstone 11 th February 2008
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  • 12. Potential risks Key staff become unavailable at important times Organisation cannot cope with rate of change Don’t delivery to time Risk F H M Leading to severe disruption to delivery schedules N H L Leading to disruption to service post go live N H M Loss of credibility in the market leading to lower market share Prox Imp Likeli hood Outcome
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