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Evaluating Energy Efficiency
Opportunities
Module 5
Disclaimer

    This material has been developed as part of the UTS
    Business School and Ernst & Young ‘Leadership & Change
    for Energy Efficiency in Accounting & Management’ project.
    The project is supported by the NSW Office of Environment &
    Heritage as part of the Energy Efficiency Training Program. For
    more information on the project, please go to:
    http://www.business.uts.edu.au/energyefficiency/.

    This presentation is for educational purposes only, and does not
    contain specific or general advice. Please seek appropriate
    advice before making any financial decisions.




2
Agenda


►   Introduction
►   Feasibility Analysis
    ►   Simple Payback
    ►   Net Present Value
    ►   Internal Rate of Return
    ►   Accounting Rate of Return

►   Other Considerations
►   Marginal Abatement Cost Curve (MACC)
►   Case Study


3
Outline

                  5.0 Contr ol                            1.0 Define
                  and monitor                               ener gy
                    ener gy                                baseline




                                 Ener gy Efficiency
                                                                       2.0 Measur e
      4.0 Implement                                   2                ener gy data
      Oppor tunities



                                 3



                                      3.0 Analyse
                                       efficiency
                                     oppor tunities




4
Learning Objectives

At the end of this module, you will:
►    Be able to complete a financial analysis of an opportunity and
     calculate various metrics that can be used to evaluate a project
     ►   Payback
     ►   Net present value
     ►   Internal rate of return
     ►   Accounting rate of return
►    Be able to identify and quantify where possible the wider
     business costs and benefits resulting from an implemented
     opportunity
►    Have a system for prioritising all the evaluated opportunities to
     maximise the value of energy savings



 5
Introduction

►   This module provides a framework for the financial
    evaluation of energy and emissions reduction initiatives.
    When evaluating any such project, the decision to
    proceed should occur within the broader decision making
    process of your business.

►   To ensure the successful implementation of any new
    energy saving measure you should, as a minimum:

    ►   Produce a detailed cash flow of each alternative
        ►   Ensure that all costs and benefits are included
        ►   Consider any investment allowances, grants and taxation issues
    ►   Undertake the financial appraisal of each
    ►   Implement and monitor the performance of the project



6
Simple Payback Period

The payback period is the time required for the cash inflows
to equal the original cash investment, i.e. how long it takes
to get your money back

         Payback Period (PP) = The Costs of the Project/ Investment
                                  Annual Cash Inflows/ Savings


     E.g. A lighting retrofit project costs $200,000 and the
     expected returns are $40,000 annually.

     PP = $200,000 / 40,000 = 5 years.



 7
Net Present Value

NPV is what the project is worth today.
Projects with identical simple payback periods can have very different net
present values depending on the timing and duration of cash flows.
E.g. Two $100,000 projects, each has a simple payback period of two years.

                               Investment
            Payback   NPV                   Yr 1   Yr 2   Yr 3   Yr 4   Yr 5     Yr 6      Yr 7     Yr 8   Yr 9     Yr 10
                                  today

Project A     2       ($12k)    ($100k)     $50k   $50k

Project B     2       $188k     ($100k)     $50k   $50k   $50k   $50k   $50k    $50k       $50k     $50k   $50k     $50k

The projects are equal when using payback period, but project B is clearly
superior, so projects with identical simple payback period can be ranked by
calculating the present value of future cash flows.
                                                                                             NPV       Yr 1       Yr 2

                                                                               Project A     $87k      $50k       $50k

                                                                               Project B     $83k             $100k



8
Internal Rate of Return (IRR)

►     Discount rate at which the benefits equal the costs (i.e. NPV = 0)
      ►     The higher the cash flows after the initial investment, the higher the
            discount rate needed to achieve NPV of zero, so a higher return
►     Indicates whether funds to be spent on energy saving investments
      could be better deployed in other projects, or in an interest bearing
      deposit
►     Investments are compared against a required rate of return that a
      business sets for proposals
      ►     If a project’s internal rate of return is greater than required rate of return
            then it can be accepted
      ►     If it falls below the required rate of return then it should be rejected
►     Can be calculated easily in Excel using IRR and XIRR functions
                   Investment
             IRR                Yr 1   Yr 2   Yr 3   Yr 4   Yr 5   Yr 6   Yr 7   Yr 8   Yr 9   Yr 10
                      today

Project A   21%     ($100k)     $25k   $25k   $25k   $25k   $25k   $25k   $25k   $25k   $25k   $25k

Project B   49%     ($100k)     $50k   $50k   $50k   $50k   $50k   $50k   $50k   $50k   $50k   $50k



  9
Accounting Rate of Return (ARR)


►    Investments are compared against a required rate of
     return that a business sets for proposals
     ►   If a project’s accounting rate of return is equal to or greater than
         required rate of return then it can be accepted
     ►   If it falls below the required rate of return then it should be rejected
►    The higher the ARR the more attractive the investment




          Accounting Rate of Return (ARR) = Average Cost Saving
                                               Initial Investment


10
Feasibility analysis

Method             Benefits                         Disadvantages
Payback            ►   Easy to compute              ► Ignores the benefits that
                   ►   Easy to understand             occur after the payback
                                                      period
                                                    ► Ignores the time value of
                                                      money
Net present        ►   Accounts for changing        ► Needto select an
value                  value over time, i.e. time    appropriate discount rate
                       value of money
Internal Rate of   ►   Provides a benchmark for     ► Need   to select an
Return                 what should and should         appropriate benchmark IRR
                       not be invested in           ► Doesn’t give an indication
                                                      of the absolute value of a
                                                      project
Accounting         ►   Easy to compute              ► Ignores   the time value of
Rate of Return                                       money

11
Consider the full benefits

Energy efficiency actions often have benefits other than the obvious
reductions in direct costs, e.g. converting from standard fluorescent
tubes to triphospher tubes will not only save on electricity costs, but will
also:
►    Increase lamp life, thereby reducing the cost of ordering, purchasing, storing
     and installing replacement lamps
►    Improve lamp light output, quality and reliability, potentially allowing the use
     of fewer fittings and/ or improving productivity through better lighting levels


Benefits could include (but are not limited to):
► Reduced energy savings (gas, electricity, fuels)
► Reduced maintenance savings
► Savings from not having to purchase carbon offsets
► Value of Energy Savings Certificate or equivalent produced


12
Consider the full costs

►    Costs go beyond the initial purchase price when you make a capital
     investment.
►    When comparing more than one opportunity, merely looking at the
     purchase and installation price can ignore operational costs such as
     maintenance costs and can result in the company paying more over
     future years.

►    Consider both capex and opex budgets in the financial analysis

Costs could include (but are not limited to):
► Cost of the capital asset
► Cost of alterations to existing capital assets
► Repair costs
► Consultancy fees


13
Consider other funding opportunities


►    When a grant or tax incentive is provided, this should be
     deducted from the initial implementation cost of the
     project.

►    This may include:
     ►   Clean Technology Innovation grants
     ►   Clean Technology Investment grants
     ►   Clean Technologies Food and Foundries grants
     ►   R&D tax incentives




14
Prioritising the implementation of opportunities


►    All opportunities need to be scanned and prioritised to
     ensure your company’s limited resources are directed to
     those projects most likely to deliver the desired benefits.

►    Marginal abatement cost curve (MACC):
     ►   Marginal abatement cost curves are a decision making tool used
         to analyse investments in presence of a carbon price
     ►   MACCs can be used at an enterprise level, or can be used by
         governments to assess impacts at a state, regional, and national
         level
     ►   When a MACC is determined for an entity, the curve represents
         the marginal cost of the last unit of emission abated by that entity



15
Source: http://www.climateworksaustralia.org/Low Carbon Growth Plan.pdf



 16
How to Create a MACC
1. Short-list a selection of carbon abatement options
2. Collect the relevant inputs for each abatement option;
   including: operational inputs, technical and regulatory
   information, financial and economic inputs
3. Build a customised analytical model

Key outputs include:
   ►   Identification of the cost effectiveness of various abatement
       options
   ►   Visual representation of the scale and effectiveness of these
       options
   ►   Identification of opportunities to profitably engage in carbon trading
   ►   Identification of the measures required to meet a set carbon cap
   ►   Assessment of the point where it is most efficient to simply
       purchase more carbon credits on the market, identification of
       efficiency improvements available at the current $/t price
 17
Summary
►   Selecting which projects to undertake can be done by
    comparing the different investment appraisal metrics for each
    project providing they have all been prepared on a consistent
    basis
►   Ideally all the investment appraisal metrics should be
    considered
    ►   Using one metric in isolation could lead to misleading results and
        potentially incorrect decisions being made

    ►   Once the cash flows have been prepared, all metrics should be
        easy to calculate

►   NPV, IRR. Payback and ARR are all financial metrics.
    Additionally, you can prioritise using tools such as a marginal
    abatement cost curve.

18
Case Study 1 – Company A

►    Company A's head office is considering an upgrade of its lighting in
     one of its manufacturing plants.

►    The project will involve changing the existing lamps to new LED
     lights, which are 20% more energy efficient and will reduce the
     number of lamps needed by 30 per cent. The project will also involve
     the installation of time-delay switches, occupancy sensors and
     devices that detect daylight control lighting levels. These measures
     localise the control of lights so they are not running unnecessarily.

►    The LED lamps last 5 times longer than the existing lamps.
     Furthermore, testing has found that the improved lighting quality will
     reduce the product defect rate by 3%.

►    For an investment of $27k to buy and install the new lighting system,
     the consultant has advised Company A that it will save 200,000 kWh
     per annum

19
Case Study 1 – Company A


What are the costs and benefits for Company A?

Savings
► Electricity savings
► Reduced maintenance costs
► Reduced replacement costs


Costs
► New lighting and fixtures




20
Case Study 2 – Company B
►    Company B’s brick manufacturing business has identified that it could
     potentially use the landfill gas from the landfill it owns to replace the
     natural gas that is it purchasing from its gas retailer to fuel its kiln.
     ►   The project would involve constructing a landfill gas capture facility – cost
         $1.5m
     ►   The company has secured a grant of $25,000 of the cost of plant and
         equipment to implement this project.
     ►   Upgrades to the equipment also mean that less energy is required to run
         the kiln
     ►   The company commissioned a consultant who found that the annual
         savings in natural gas used in the kiln from the project would be 130,000
         GJ
     ►   The landfill capture equipment has the potential to capture 400,000GJ.
         Neighbouring manufacturers to Company B have also expressed interest
         in purchasing landfill gas.



21
Case Study 2 – Company B


What are the costs and benefits for Company B?

Savings
► Natural gas savings
► Carbon abatement savings from landfill
► Carbon abatement savings from natural gas
► Grant received


Costs
► New capital equipment - $1.2m



22
Case Study 3 – Company ABC


►    How would Company ABC go about prioritising the
     energy efficiency opportunities it has identified?




23
Thank you
Module 5

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Module 5 - Evaluating energy efficiency opportunities

  • 2. Disclaimer This material has been developed as part of the UTS Business School and Ernst & Young ‘Leadership & Change for Energy Efficiency in Accounting & Management’ project. The project is supported by the NSW Office of Environment & Heritage as part of the Energy Efficiency Training Program. For more information on the project, please go to: http://www.business.uts.edu.au/energyefficiency/. This presentation is for educational purposes only, and does not contain specific or general advice. Please seek appropriate advice before making any financial decisions. 2
  • 3. Agenda ► Introduction ► Feasibility Analysis ► Simple Payback ► Net Present Value ► Internal Rate of Return ► Accounting Rate of Return ► Other Considerations ► Marginal Abatement Cost Curve (MACC) ► Case Study 3
  • 4. Outline 5.0 Contr ol 1.0 Define and monitor ener gy ener gy baseline Ener gy Efficiency 2.0 Measur e 4.0 Implement 2 ener gy data Oppor tunities 3 3.0 Analyse efficiency oppor tunities 4
  • 5. Learning Objectives At the end of this module, you will: ► Be able to complete a financial analysis of an opportunity and calculate various metrics that can be used to evaluate a project ► Payback ► Net present value ► Internal rate of return ► Accounting rate of return ► Be able to identify and quantify where possible the wider business costs and benefits resulting from an implemented opportunity ► Have a system for prioritising all the evaluated opportunities to maximise the value of energy savings 5
  • 6. Introduction ► This module provides a framework for the financial evaluation of energy and emissions reduction initiatives. When evaluating any such project, the decision to proceed should occur within the broader decision making process of your business. ► To ensure the successful implementation of any new energy saving measure you should, as a minimum: ► Produce a detailed cash flow of each alternative ► Ensure that all costs and benefits are included ► Consider any investment allowances, grants and taxation issues ► Undertake the financial appraisal of each ► Implement and monitor the performance of the project 6
  • 7. Simple Payback Period The payback period is the time required for the cash inflows to equal the original cash investment, i.e. how long it takes to get your money back Payback Period (PP) = The Costs of the Project/ Investment Annual Cash Inflows/ Savings E.g. A lighting retrofit project costs $200,000 and the expected returns are $40,000 annually. PP = $200,000 / 40,000 = 5 years. 7
  • 8. Net Present Value NPV is what the project is worth today. Projects with identical simple payback periods can have very different net present values depending on the timing and duration of cash flows. E.g. Two $100,000 projects, each has a simple payback period of two years. Investment Payback NPV Yr 1 Yr 2 Yr 3 Yr 4 Yr 5 Yr 6 Yr 7 Yr 8 Yr 9 Yr 10 today Project A 2 ($12k) ($100k) $50k $50k Project B 2 $188k ($100k) $50k $50k $50k $50k $50k $50k $50k $50k $50k $50k The projects are equal when using payback period, but project B is clearly superior, so projects with identical simple payback period can be ranked by calculating the present value of future cash flows. NPV Yr 1 Yr 2 Project A $87k $50k $50k Project B $83k $100k 8
  • 9. Internal Rate of Return (IRR) ► Discount rate at which the benefits equal the costs (i.e. NPV = 0) ► The higher the cash flows after the initial investment, the higher the discount rate needed to achieve NPV of zero, so a higher return ► Indicates whether funds to be spent on energy saving investments could be better deployed in other projects, or in an interest bearing deposit ► Investments are compared against a required rate of return that a business sets for proposals ► If a project’s internal rate of return is greater than required rate of return then it can be accepted ► If it falls below the required rate of return then it should be rejected ► Can be calculated easily in Excel using IRR and XIRR functions Investment IRR Yr 1 Yr 2 Yr 3 Yr 4 Yr 5 Yr 6 Yr 7 Yr 8 Yr 9 Yr 10 today Project A 21% ($100k) $25k $25k $25k $25k $25k $25k $25k $25k $25k $25k Project B 49% ($100k) $50k $50k $50k $50k $50k $50k $50k $50k $50k $50k 9
  • 10. Accounting Rate of Return (ARR) ► Investments are compared against a required rate of return that a business sets for proposals ► If a project’s accounting rate of return is equal to or greater than required rate of return then it can be accepted ► If it falls below the required rate of return then it should be rejected ► The higher the ARR the more attractive the investment Accounting Rate of Return (ARR) = Average Cost Saving Initial Investment 10
  • 11. Feasibility analysis Method Benefits Disadvantages Payback ► Easy to compute ► Ignores the benefits that ► Easy to understand occur after the payback period ► Ignores the time value of money Net present ► Accounts for changing ► Needto select an value value over time, i.e. time appropriate discount rate value of money Internal Rate of ► Provides a benchmark for ► Need to select an Return what should and should appropriate benchmark IRR not be invested in ► Doesn’t give an indication of the absolute value of a project Accounting ► Easy to compute ► Ignores the time value of Rate of Return money 11
  • 12. Consider the full benefits Energy efficiency actions often have benefits other than the obvious reductions in direct costs, e.g. converting from standard fluorescent tubes to triphospher tubes will not only save on electricity costs, but will also: ► Increase lamp life, thereby reducing the cost of ordering, purchasing, storing and installing replacement lamps ► Improve lamp light output, quality and reliability, potentially allowing the use of fewer fittings and/ or improving productivity through better lighting levels Benefits could include (but are not limited to): ► Reduced energy savings (gas, electricity, fuels) ► Reduced maintenance savings ► Savings from not having to purchase carbon offsets ► Value of Energy Savings Certificate or equivalent produced 12
  • 13. Consider the full costs ► Costs go beyond the initial purchase price when you make a capital investment. ► When comparing more than one opportunity, merely looking at the purchase and installation price can ignore operational costs such as maintenance costs and can result in the company paying more over future years. ► Consider both capex and opex budgets in the financial analysis Costs could include (but are not limited to): ► Cost of the capital asset ► Cost of alterations to existing capital assets ► Repair costs ► Consultancy fees 13
  • 14. Consider other funding opportunities ► When a grant or tax incentive is provided, this should be deducted from the initial implementation cost of the project. ► This may include: ► Clean Technology Innovation grants ► Clean Technology Investment grants ► Clean Technologies Food and Foundries grants ► R&D tax incentives 14
  • 15. Prioritising the implementation of opportunities ► All opportunities need to be scanned and prioritised to ensure your company’s limited resources are directed to those projects most likely to deliver the desired benefits. ► Marginal abatement cost curve (MACC): ► Marginal abatement cost curves are a decision making tool used to analyse investments in presence of a carbon price ► MACCs can be used at an enterprise level, or can be used by governments to assess impacts at a state, regional, and national level ► When a MACC is determined for an entity, the curve represents the marginal cost of the last unit of emission abated by that entity 15
  • 17. How to Create a MACC 1. Short-list a selection of carbon abatement options 2. Collect the relevant inputs for each abatement option; including: operational inputs, technical and regulatory information, financial and economic inputs 3. Build a customised analytical model Key outputs include: ► Identification of the cost effectiveness of various abatement options ► Visual representation of the scale and effectiveness of these options ► Identification of opportunities to profitably engage in carbon trading ► Identification of the measures required to meet a set carbon cap ► Assessment of the point where it is most efficient to simply purchase more carbon credits on the market, identification of efficiency improvements available at the current $/t price 17
  • 18. Summary ► Selecting which projects to undertake can be done by comparing the different investment appraisal metrics for each project providing they have all been prepared on a consistent basis ► Ideally all the investment appraisal metrics should be considered ► Using one metric in isolation could lead to misleading results and potentially incorrect decisions being made ► Once the cash flows have been prepared, all metrics should be easy to calculate ► NPV, IRR. Payback and ARR are all financial metrics. Additionally, you can prioritise using tools such as a marginal abatement cost curve. 18
  • 19. Case Study 1 – Company A ► Company A's head office is considering an upgrade of its lighting in one of its manufacturing plants. ► The project will involve changing the existing lamps to new LED lights, which are 20% more energy efficient and will reduce the number of lamps needed by 30 per cent. The project will also involve the installation of time-delay switches, occupancy sensors and devices that detect daylight control lighting levels. These measures localise the control of lights so they are not running unnecessarily. ► The LED lamps last 5 times longer than the existing lamps. Furthermore, testing has found that the improved lighting quality will reduce the product defect rate by 3%. ► For an investment of $27k to buy and install the new lighting system, the consultant has advised Company A that it will save 200,000 kWh per annum 19
  • 20. Case Study 1 – Company A What are the costs and benefits for Company A? Savings ► Electricity savings ► Reduced maintenance costs ► Reduced replacement costs Costs ► New lighting and fixtures 20
  • 21. Case Study 2 – Company B ► Company B’s brick manufacturing business has identified that it could potentially use the landfill gas from the landfill it owns to replace the natural gas that is it purchasing from its gas retailer to fuel its kiln. ► The project would involve constructing a landfill gas capture facility – cost $1.5m ► The company has secured a grant of $25,000 of the cost of plant and equipment to implement this project. ► Upgrades to the equipment also mean that less energy is required to run the kiln ► The company commissioned a consultant who found that the annual savings in natural gas used in the kiln from the project would be 130,000 GJ ► The landfill capture equipment has the potential to capture 400,000GJ. Neighbouring manufacturers to Company B have also expressed interest in purchasing landfill gas. 21
  • 22. Case Study 2 – Company B What are the costs and benefits for Company B? Savings ► Natural gas savings ► Carbon abatement savings from landfill ► Carbon abatement savings from natural gas ► Grant received Costs ► New capital equipment - $1.2m 22
  • 23. Case Study 3 – Company ABC ► How would Company ABC go about prioritising the energy efficiency opportunities it has identified? 23

Editor's Notes

  1. Bullet 1 – mention the 4 metricsBullet 2 – there are both direct and indirect benefiits and costs relating to any projectBullet 3 – opportunities must be ranked according to given criteria