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Population Growth Implications for Healthcare and Social Services
- 1. The People are Coming! The People are Coming! Implications of Population Growth for Capacity, Configuration, Character, and Culture of Care and Condition Dr. Timothy M. Bray
- 2. Predicted Growth by 2050 Already Here in 2019
- 3. Projected Growth by 2050, by RHP 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 RHP 9 RHP 10 RHP 18 2.71 1.34 1.57 Millions PROJECTED GROWTH BY RHP Source: IUPRAnalysis ofTexas Demographer 2018 Population Projections
- 5. Growth by Race and Ethnicity -50.00% 0.00% 50.00% 100.00% 150.00% 200.00% 250.00% 300.00% 350.00% 400.00% 450.00% RHP 9 RHP 10 RHP 18 347.63% 188.55% 426.75% 172.32% 128.29% 247.11% RELATIVE GROWTH BY RACE AND ETHNICITY Non-Hispanic White Non-Hispanic Black Non-Hispanic Asian Non-Hispanic Other Hispanic of Any Race Total Growth Source: IUPRAnalysis ofTexas Demographer 2018 Population Projections
- 6. Growth by Race and Ethnicity -100 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 RHP 9 RHP 10 RHP 18 900.537 236.642 644.905 143.54 94.704 97.251 851.245 671.457 305.087 Thousands ABSOLUTE GROWTH BY RACE AND ETHNICITY Non-Hispanic White Non-Hispanic Black Non-Hispanic Asian Non-Hispanic Other Hispanic of Any Race Source: IUPRAnalysis ofTexas Demographer 2018 Population Projections
- 7. Growth by Age Group 0.00% 100.00% 200.00% 300.00% 400.00% 500.00% 600.00% 700.00% 800.00% RHP 9 RHP 10 RHP 18 RHP 9, 158.88% RHP 10, 95.07% RHP 18, 217.14% RHP 9, 371.03% RHP 10, 310.51% RHP 18, 708.63% RELATIVE GROWTH BY AGE GROUP Under 18 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-64 65-84 85 and Up Source: IUPRAnalysis ofTexas Demographer 2018 Population Projections
- 8. Growth by Age Group 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 RHP 9 RHP 10 RHP 18 Thousands ABSOLUTE GROWTH BY AGE GROUP Under 18 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-64 65-84 85 and Up Source: IUPRAnalysis ofTexas Demographer 2018 Population Projections
- 9. Change in Median Age by Race and Ethnicity, 2010-2050 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 NON-HISPANIC WHITE NON-HISPANIC BLACK NON-HISPANIC ASIAN NON-HISPANIC OTHER HISPANIC Source: IUPRAnalysis ofTexas Demographer 2018 Population Projections
- 10. Racial and Ethnic Composition of Population Differential by Age Group, 2019-2050 0 200000 400000 600000 800000 1000000 1200000 Under 18 85 and Up ChartTitle Non-Hispanic White Non-Hispanic Black Non-Hispanic Asian Non-Hispanic Other Hispanic Source: IUPRAnalysis ofTexas Demographer 2018 Population Projections
- 12. Implications for Consideration Culture Governance Urban Form and Structure Education Workforce Development Income and Poverty Healthcare Housing Transportation
- 13. An Example: Adverse Childhood Experiences and Toxic Stress
- 14. Why Should We Care? Source: US Department of Health and Human Services Healthy Marriage and Responsible Fatherhood
- 15. Measuring Toxic Stress Housing Distress Overcrowding Poverty Un- employment Transportation Health Insurance Single Parent Households
- 16. Risk of Toxic Stress by Race and Ethnicity, RHP 9, 10, and 18 2017 2.06% 41.32% 11.29% 62.79% 3.67% 42.22% 6.89% 49.90% 9.14% 65.63% 3 OR MORE RISK FACTORS AT LEAST ONE RISK FACTOR Non-Hispanic White Non-Hispanic Black Non-Hispanic Asian Non-Hispanic Other Hispanic
- 17. For More Information Dr. Timothy M. Bray Institute for Urban Policy Research The University of Texas at Dallas 800 West Campbell Road, WT20 Richardson, Texas 75080 V: 972-883-5430 F: 972-883-5431 timothy.bray@utdallas.edu http://iupr.utdallas.edu www.slideshare.net/TimothyBray @timothy_bray