Presentation delivered on 4/13 at Senator Royce West's Eggs and Issues Forum. The presentation discusses changing demographics from the Texas State Demographer's 2018 projections.

1. Changing Demographics in Dallas County
Dr. Timothy M. Bray

2. Non-Hispanic Whites Are the
Only Population Group in Decline
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
Millions
Population by Race and Ethnicity
Dallas County 2010-2050
Hispanic
NH Asian
NH Black
NH Other
NH White
Data Source:Texas State Demographer Population Projections, 2018

3. By 2050, Non-Hispanic Whites Will Represent
Roughly 20 Pct. Of Dallas County Residents
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Proportion of the Population by Race
Dallas County 2010-2050
NH White
NH Other
NH Black
NH Asian
Hispanic
Data Source:Texas State Demographer Population Projections, 2018

4. A Similar, Though Less Pronounced, Pattern in the MSA
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2024
2026
2028
2030
2032
2034
2036
2038
2040
2042
2044
2046
2048
2050
2011
2013
2015
2017
2019
2021
2023
2025
2027
2029
2031
2033
2035
2037
2039
2041
2043
2045
2047
2049
Dallas Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington
Proportion of the Population by Race
Dallas County & MSA 2010-2050
NH White
NH Other
NH Black
NH Asian
Hispanic
Data Source:Texas State Demographer Population Projections, 2018

5. By 2029, the Largest Population Groups Will Be Children,
the Elderly, and the Elders-to-Be
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
Millions
Population byAge Group
Dallas County 2010-2050
00-17
18-24
35-44
45-64
65-95+
Data Source:Texas State Demographer Population Projections, 2018

6. Relatively Speaking, Dallas County Will Get Older
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Proportion of the Population by Age Group
Dallas County 2010-2050
65-95+
45-64
35-44
18-24
00-17
Data Source:Texas State Demographer Population Projections, 2018

7. A Nearly Identical Pattern for the MSA
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2024
2026
2028
2030
2032
2034
2036
2038
2040
2042
2044
2046
2048
2050
2011
2013
2015
2017
2019
2021
2023
2025
2027
2029
2031
2033
2035
2037
2039
2041
2043
2045
2047
2049
Dallas Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington
Proportion of the Population by Age
Dallas County & MSA 2010-2050
65-95+
45-64
35-44
18-24
00-17
Data Source:Texas State Demographer Population Projections, 2018

8. Implications
Culture Governance
Urban Form
and Structure
Education
Workforce
Development
Income and
Poverty
Healthcare Housing Transportation

9. For More Information
Dr. Timothy M. Bray
Institute for Urban Policy Research
The University of Texas at Dallas
800 West Campbell Road, WT20
Richardson, Texas 75080
V: 972-883-5430
F: 972-883-5431
timothy.bray@utdallas.edu
http://iupr.utdallas.edu
www.slideshare.net/TimothyBray
@timothy_bray