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‹#›
Summary of
information to
make a better
business decision
COVID-19 edition, 1 April 2020
‹#›
*** Notes ***
The objective of this report is to gather
publicly available information for the purpose
of helping marketers make better business
decisions in time of a recession.
This is not an opinion piece and therefore does
not contain an explicit analysis of the views
presented. This presentation is merely
consolidated information from Kantar
Worldpanel, Nielsen, WARC, attentive, Deloitte,
Global Web Index, and articles from publishers
‹#›
#1
Consumer behavior in
response to COVID-19
#3
Sales and advertising
impact
#2
Shopping behavior
#4
Moving forward
Key topics
‹#›
#1
Consumer behavior
in response to
COVID-19
‹#›
1.1 New consumer segmentation arises during COVID-19.
Nielsen has identified SIX key consumer threshold levels across multiple markets that could have an impact on
spending patterns especially for pantry items and supplies for wellbeing.
#1
Proactive Health Minded
Buying
#2
Reactive Health
Maintenance
#3
Pantry Preparation
#4
Quarantine living
preparation
#5
Restricted Living
#6
Living a New Normal
CONSUMER BEHAVIOR SHIFT
Rise in product interest
that supports overall
maintenance of health
and wellness.
Prioritize products
essential to virus
containment, health, and
public safety.
Stockpiling foods and
assortment of health-
safety products. More
store visits. Growing
basket sizes.
Increased online
shopping. Declined store
visits. Out of stock.
Strains on supply chain.
Severely restricted
shopping trips. Limited
online fulfillment. Rising
price.
Return to daily routines
with renewed
cautiousness about
health. Permanent shift on
supply chain (e-
commerce) and hygiene
practice.
COMMON COVID-19 EVENTS MAKER
Minimal Localized cases
of COVID-19. Generally
linked to arrival of infected
country.
Government campaigned
for health and safety.
Local transmission and
reported death.
Small quarantines begin.
Borders close more
broadly. Accelerating
infected case, not
necessary death.
Localized COVID-19
emergency actions.
Against large gatherings.
Public places closed
down. Rise of % of people
diagnosed.
Mass cases of COVID-19.
Communities lockdown.
Restaurants closures.
Restriction on small
gatherings.
COVID-19 quarantines lift
beyond region/country’s
most affected hotspots.
Source: Tracking the impact on FMCG, Retail, and Media, Nielsen, 16 March 2020
‹#›
1.2 Top fear of COVID-19 is not a virus, but an impact on individual financial health.
Source: Financial health bets well-being as top fear in Asia, Kantar Worldpanel
*** The study used survey data from 3,000 respondents in Indonesia, Japan, Korea,
Philippines, Singapore and Thailand
Source: Coronavirus, the impact on consumers, Global Webindex (Webinar)
*** The study used survey data from 12,845 respondents, 16-64 year-old
internet users in Australia, Brazil, China, France, Germany, Italy, Japan,
Philippines, Singapore, South Africa, Spain, UK, and the U,S.
Findings from GWI and Kantar Worldpanel are aligned in a sense that consumers are worried about economic
recession outlook that could shaken their personal financial stabilities.
‹#›
Lower income individual
has the least change in
behavior in response to
the outbreak in certain
activities like social
gatherings, F&B and
household supplies
purchase.
Gen Z avoids social
gatherings most.
Source: GWI Coronavirus Research, March 2020. *
*** All stats in this report are from a
GlobalWebIndex March 2020 custom recontact
survey among 1,004 (Australia), 1,001 (Brazil),
1,003 (China), 1,016 (France), 1,010 (Germany),
1,010 (Italy), 1,079 (Japan), 1,008 (Philippines),
1,008 (Singapore), 573 (South Africa), 1,005
(Spain), 1,040 (UK) and 1,088 (USA) internet
users aged 16-64
1.3 Lower income and baby boomers individuals have the least behavioral changes.
‹#›
Digital activities like
music streaming, and
messaging apps are
less prevalently found
in Gen X and Baby
Boomers.
Watching TV is
prevalent in Baby
Boomers.
Source: GWI Coronavirus Research, March 2020. *
*** All stats in this report are from a
GlobalWebIndex March 2020 custom recontact
survey among 1,004 (Australia), 1,001 (Brazil),
1,003 (China), 1,016 (France), 1,010 (Germany),
1,010 (Italy), 1,079 (Japan), 1,008 (Philippines),
1,008 (Singapore), 573 (South Africa), 1,005
(Spain), 1,040 (UK) and 1,088 (USA) internet
users aged 16-64
1.4 Time spent on digital is less prevalent among Gen X and Baby Boomers.
‹#›
Consumers are
struggling to find Face
masks and sanitizer
products.
Information about long-
term plan to tackle the
outbreak is challenging
among younger
generation.
Source: GWI Coronavirus Research, March 2020. *
*** All stats in this report are from a
GlobalWebIndex March 2020 custom
recontact survey among 1,004 (Australia),
1,001 (Brazil), 1,003 (China), 1,016 (France),
1,010 (Germany), 1,010 (Italy), 1,079 (Japan),
1,008 (Philippines), 1,008 (Singapore), 573
(South Africa), 1,005 (Spain), 1,040 (UK) and
1,088 (USA) internet users aged 16-64
1.5 Sanitizing products are in high demand.
‹#›
Consumers expect social
media to provide useful
news that is fact-based.
They also expect live-
streams of events.
Consumers are
somewhat neutral about
advertising during the
outbreak period.
Consumer sentiments are
common in all
generations.
Source: GWI Coronavirus Research, March 2020. *
*** All stats in this report are from a
GlobalWebIndex March 2020 custom
recontact survey among 1,004 (Australia),
1,001 (Brazil), 1,003 (China), 1,016
(France), 1,010 (Germany), 1,010 (Italy),
1,079 (Japan), 1,008 (Philippines), 1,008
(Singapore), 573 (South Africa), 1,005
(Spain), 1,040 (UK) and 1,088 (USA)
internet users aged 16-64
1.6 Brands are expected to provide factual and useful information and contents.
‹#›
Consumers expect
brands to provide free
services and flexible
payment plan during
COVID-19 outbreak.
Source: GWI Coronavirus Research, March 2020. *
*** All stats in this report are from a
GlobalWebIndex March 2020 custom
recontact survey among 1,004 (Australia),
1,001 (Brazil), 1,003 (China), 1,016 (France),
1,010 (Germany), 1,010 (Italy), 1,079
(Japan), 1,008 (Philippines), 1,008
(Singapore), 573 (South Africa), 1,005
(Spain), 1,040 (UK) and 1,088 (USA) internet
users aged 16-64
1.7 Consumers need brand to alleviate their wallets.
‹#›
#2
Shopping behavior
‹#›
Consumer in urban area are more
concerned about health risk. They
go out less and avoid crowded areas
as evidenced by less shopping trips.
Increase in online shopping across
these markets over the past two
months was due to consumers
getting items that are out of stock in
physical stores.
2.1 -4% decline in shopping trips vs +43% increase in online grocery shopping transaction.
Total FMCG % change Jan’20 vs Dec’19 - average # of shopping trips
Source: How the epidemic is impacting Thailand’s FMCG, Kantar Worldpanel
‹#›
2.2 It is not panic-buying. It is preventive buying to create safe environment.
Thai consumers have focused on
“self-sterilisation” products such
as mouthwash, soap (particularly
those with strong hygiene and
anti-bacterial efficacy) and
household cleaners.
.
Total FMCG % change Jan’20 vs Dec’19 - average # of shopping trips
Source: How the epidemic is impacting Thailand’s FMCG, Kantar Worldpanel
‹#›
2.3 F&B enjoys high growth during COVID-19 outbreak.
Beverage brands that have
clear added value are growing
exceptionally strongly like
Bird’s Nest, Essence of
Chicken, functional drinks and
sterilised milk.
Source: COVID-19 the story so far Thailand, Kantar Worldpanel, 18 March 2020
‹#›
2.4 Consumers have expectation for brands as safety and hygiene has heightened.
Some markets take extreme measure
to safeguard populations from the
outbreak through quarantines, #WFH,
to halting manufacturing activities.
Some markets don’t go to the extreme
measures.
Nevertheless, in both measures
consumer demand has been disrupted
for they are being precautious. There’s
likely to have an impact on brand
choices as consumers are looking for
safety, transparency, and
trustworthiness from the brand they
choose.
Source: Financial health bets well-being as top fear in Asia, Kantar Worldpanel
*** The study used survey data from 3,000 respondents in Indonesia, Japan, Korea,
Philippines, Singapore and Thailand
‹#›
2.5 Asian markets are re-prioritizing eating habits post COVID-19 outbreak.
Cluster #2
Low change to medium
change in eating at
home habits.
PH JP ID
39% 30% 20%
ID JP VN PH
18% 18% 17% 16%
S.KR TH CH HK
18% 18% 17% 16%
Cluster #3
Low change in take
away food ordering
Cluster #4
high change in
food delivery
Source: Asian consumers are rethinking how they eat post COVID-19, Nielsen, 27 March 2020
Cluster #1
High change to eating at
home habits.
CH HK MY VN S.KR
86% 77% 62% 62% 625
‹#›
2.6 Tourism will face immediate impact from sharp declining international tourists.
Source:Respond, Recover, Thrive. The impact of COVID-19 on the economy. A view from Thailand., Deloitte, March 2020
‹#›
2.7 Thailand faces immediate impact from COVID-19 due to reliance on tourism.
Travel restrictions, COVID-19 fear, flight
cancellation, reduced in travel demand will
cost a drastic economic downturn and take
time to recover.
Source:Respond, Recover, Thrive. The impact of COVID-19 on the economy. A view from Thailand., Deloitte, March 2020
‹#›
#3
Sales and
advertising impact
‹#›
3.1 Overall trend of online sales is still growing led by product of necessity.
*** Important notes
attentive is a personalized mobile
messaging platform that works
with over 1,000 leading brands,
including many of the top online
retailers in the world, generating
billions of dollars in online sales.
The following charts are provided
from anonymized attentive data.
Data is provided as of end of the
day on Wednesday, March 25, 2020.
Source: COVID-19: e-commerce trend and tactics, attentive, 25 March 2020
‹#›
3.2 Apparel - Baby and children clothes remain somewhat positive.
Apparel
Men and women apparel sales
are declining. However,
children & baby apparel are at
its peak during mid March.
Trending items
Bathrobes, comfort onesies,
pajamas.
Source: COVID-19: e-commerce trend and tactics, attentive, 25 March 2020
‹#›
3.3 Sales peaks at specific period.
Source: COVID-19: e-commerce trend and tactics, attentive, 25 March 2020
‹#›
3.4 Sales peaks during #WFH.
Source: COVID-19: e-commerce trend and tactics, attentive, 25 March 2020
‹#›
Source: COVID-19: e-commerce trend and tactics, attentive, 25 March 2020
3.5 Sales peaks during stricter quarantines.
‹#›
3.6 Advertising spend recession is certain, but not the same as crisis in 2009.
Given business activities disrupted
by COVID-19 outbreak, FMCG ad
spend is shifting to online.
Some FMCG sub-categories are
slower to move to online because
they don’t sell products directly
through digital channels.
In time of crisis, it is opportunity for
brands to build lasting relationships
by being positive and proactive.
Source: Global Ad trend FMCG & COVID-19, WARC, March 2020
‹#›
3.7 Media ad spending in Thailand is expected to fall by 4.4%.
A decrease in media ad spending
would mainly come from tourism,
retail, and automobile sectors. The
biggest drop would be for
newspapers (-35%), followed by
magazines (-20%).
Digital is expected to be the only
channel that may see growth this
year with precautions that the
spending was rising from insurance
firms by 18 million baht as they offer
COVID-19 insurance packages.
Source: MAT predicts ad spending to record first ever decline, Bangkok Post, 10 March 2020
‹#›
3.7 Consumers are neither positive, nor negative about advertising during this time.
Source: Coronavirus, the impact on consumers, Global Webindex (Webinar)
*** The study used survey data from 12,845 respondents, 16-64 year-old internet users in Australia, Brazil, China,
France, Germany, Italy, Japan, Philippines, Singapore, South Africa, Spain, UK, and the U,S.
‹#›
#4
Moving forward
‹#›
4.1 Should I stop advertising? Temporarily if needed, yes.
According to Kantar Millward Brown study, being
temporarily off-air (maximum six months) does
little impact on brand and business metrics.
The graph shows that while Total Brand
Communications Awareness (TBCA) drops
significantly, the brand image and trial has
minimal impact in the short run.
Source: What happened if I stop advertising, WARC.
In the other hand, being off-air too long (more than
six months) will cost weaken bond/ relationship with
consumers in terms of popularity, affinity,
leadership, difference, and price.
‹#›
4.2 Supporting a brand with less expensive media could minimize negative impact.
Unlike TV, less expensive medium like radio,
promotion, or in-store activities could help
trigger memories of advertising from the
same brand.
It is better to maintain TBCA at its best to
sustain brand health in the long run.
Source: What happened if I stop advertising, WARC.
‹#›
4.3 Investing in ad spend in time of recession brings long run advantage.
Maintaining ad spend could mean maintaining
brand growth. Analysis of Millward Brown
aggregated tracking data shows that reducing
ad spend correlated with declining sales and
eventually weakened brand performance in
the long run.
Source: What happened if I stop advertising, WARC.
‹#›
4.4 During the outbreak, maintaining brand credibility with public interest is a must.
In this trying time, “adapt” is the act all brands must be comfortable with and be fast enough.
1
Agility in media planning
Minimize OOH
Increase digital
Maintain OTT
Improving distribution
Inject e-commerce
channels
Communicate with purpose
Be a good corporate citizen
Public interests over sales
2 3
Source: COVID-19 the story so far Thailand, Kantar Worldpanel, 18 March 2020
‹#›
4.5 Pre-empt mix of messaging, media channels, and creative materials.
4
Targeting
Right message
Right audience
Right channels
Channel effectiveness
Channel messaging
Channel mix
Media phasing
Future focus
Improved media synergy
Right measurement metrix
5 6
Source: COVID-19 the story so far Thailand, Kantar Worldpanel, 18 March 2020
Assess role and objective of marketing communication mix. Optimize it. Not overdone or underdone it.
35Prepared by Bonsey Jaden
Introduction
‹#›
We are Digital
Brand Architects.
We build brands to thrive and win in the digital
world. Ground-up, top-down, sideways, inside-
out, outside-in, online, offline, through the
line, we build them with a vigil that's both
round-and off-the-clock, by digital and creative
natives.
‹#›
. DA NANG .
We are in 8
markets globally.
With over 160 Bonsey Jadenites across 10
offices, we are able to keep our eyes and ears
on the pulse of the region, and deliver end-to-
end experiences without skipping a beat.
. PHILIPPINES .
. INDONESIA .
. SINGAPORE .
. SYDNEY .
. MELBOURNE .
. MALAYSIA .
. THAILAND . . HO CHI MINH CITY .
. LOS ANGELES .
‹#›
We take a modular
approach to building
brands.
So that your brand continues to reinvent itself
to stay authentic, compelling and relevant to
your consumers from the start.
BrandX
brand experience
Singapore | Malaysia | Indonesia | Thailand | Vietnam
Philippines | Sydney | Melbourne
Singapore (HQ)
38 Chalanttip Building, 7th Floor, Unit 7B,
Convent Road, Silom, Bangrak, Bangkok 10500
Venus@bonseyjaden.com
http://bonseyjaden.com/
Confidential Version 1.0Agency Introduction / 2018
Let’s find out how we can work together.
siriwan@bonseyjaden.com

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How can you make a better business decision during COVID-19 outbreak?

  • 1. ‹#› Summary of information to make a better business decision COVID-19 edition, 1 April 2020
  • 2. ‹#› *** Notes *** The objective of this report is to gather publicly available information for the purpose of helping marketers make better business decisions in time of a recession. This is not an opinion piece and therefore does not contain an explicit analysis of the views presented. This presentation is merely consolidated information from Kantar Worldpanel, Nielsen, WARC, attentive, Deloitte, Global Web Index, and articles from publishers
  • 3. ‹#› #1 Consumer behavior in response to COVID-19 #3 Sales and advertising impact #2 Shopping behavior #4 Moving forward Key topics
  • 5. ‹#› 1.1 New consumer segmentation arises during COVID-19. Nielsen has identified SIX key consumer threshold levels across multiple markets that could have an impact on spending patterns especially for pantry items and supplies for wellbeing. #1 Proactive Health Minded Buying #2 Reactive Health Maintenance #3 Pantry Preparation #4 Quarantine living preparation #5 Restricted Living #6 Living a New Normal CONSUMER BEHAVIOR SHIFT Rise in product interest that supports overall maintenance of health and wellness. Prioritize products essential to virus containment, health, and public safety. Stockpiling foods and assortment of health- safety products. More store visits. Growing basket sizes. Increased online shopping. Declined store visits. Out of stock. Strains on supply chain. Severely restricted shopping trips. Limited online fulfillment. Rising price. Return to daily routines with renewed cautiousness about health. Permanent shift on supply chain (e- commerce) and hygiene practice. COMMON COVID-19 EVENTS MAKER Minimal Localized cases of COVID-19. Generally linked to arrival of infected country. Government campaigned for health and safety. Local transmission and reported death. Small quarantines begin. Borders close more broadly. Accelerating infected case, not necessary death. Localized COVID-19 emergency actions. Against large gatherings. Public places closed down. Rise of % of people diagnosed. Mass cases of COVID-19. Communities lockdown. Restaurants closures. Restriction on small gatherings. COVID-19 quarantines lift beyond region/country’s most affected hotspots. Source: Tracking the impact on FMCG, Retail, and Media, Nielsen, 16 March 2020
  • 6. ‹#› 1.2 Top fear of COVID-19 is not a virus, but an impact on individual financial health. Source: Financial health bets well-being as top fear in Asia, Kantar Worldpanel *** The study used survey data from 3,000 respondents in Indonesia, Japan, Korea, Philippines, Singapore and Thailand Source: Coronavirus, the impact on consumers, Global Webindex (Webinar) *** The study used survey data from 12,845 respondents, 16-64 year-old internet users in Australia, Brazil, China, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, Philippines, Singapore, South Africa, Spain, UK, and the U,S. Findings from GWI and Kantar Worldpanel are aligned in a sense that consumers are worried about economic recession outlook that could shaken their personal financial stabilities.
  • 7. ‹#› Lower income individual has the least change in behavior in response to the outbreak in certain activities like social gatherings, F&B and household supplies purchase. Gen Z avoids social gatherings most. Source: GWI Coronavirus Research, March 2020. * *** All stats in this report are from a GlobalWebIndex March 2020 custom recontact survey among 1,004 (Australia), 1,001 (Brazil), 1,003 (China), 1,016 (France), 1,010 (Germany), 1,010 (Italy), 1,079 (Japan), 1,008 (Philippines), 1,008 (Singapore), 573 (South Africa), 1,005 (Spain), 1,040 (UK) and 1,088 (USA) internet users aged 16-64 1.3 Lower income and baby boomers individuals have the least behavioral changes.
  • 8. ‹#› Digital activities like music streaming, and messaging apps are less prevalently found in Gen X and Baby Boomers. Watching TV is prevalent in Baby Boomers. Source: GWI Coronavirus Research, March 2020. * *** All stats in this report are from a GlobalWebIndex March 2020 custom recontact survey among 1,004 (Australia), 1,001 (Brazil), 1,003 (China), 1,016 (France), 1,010 (Germany), 1,010 (Italy), 1,079 (Japan), 1,008 (Philippines), 1,008 (Singapore), 573 (South Africa), 1,005 (Spain), 1,040 (UK) and 1,088 (USA) internet users aged 16-64 1.4 Time spent on digital is less prevalent among Gen X and Baby Boomers.
  • 9. ‹#› Consumers are struggling to find Face masks and sanitizer products. Information about long- term plan to tackle the outbreak is challenging among younger generation. Source: GWI Coronavirus Research, March 2020. * *** All stats in this report are from a GlobalWebIndex March 2020 custom recontact survey among 1,004 (Australia), 1,001 (Brazil), 1,003 (China), 1,016 (France), 1,010 (Germany), 1,010 (Italy), 1,079 (Japan), 1,008 (Philippines), 1,008 (Singapore), 573 (South Africa), 1,005 (Spain), 1,040 (UK) and 1,088 (USA) internet users aged 16-64 1.5 Sanitizing products are in high demand.
  • 10. ‹#› Consumers expect social media to provide useful news that is fact-based. They also expect live- streams of events. Consumers are somewhat neutral about advertising during the outbreak period. Consumer sentiments are common in all generations. Source: GWI Coronavirus Research, March 2020. * *** All stats in this report are from a GlobalWebIndex March 2020 custom recontact survey among 1,004 (Australia), 1,001 (Brazil), 1,003 (China), 1,016 (France), 1,010 (Germany), 1,010 (Italy), 1,079 (Japan), 1,008 (Philippines), 1,008 (Singapore), 573 (South Africa), 1,005 (Spain), 1,040 (UK) and 1,088 (USA) internet users aged 16-64 1.6 Brands are expected to provide factual and useful information and contents.
  • 11. ‹#› Consumers expect brands to provide free services and flexible payment plan during COVID-19 outbreak. Source: GWI Coronavirus Research, March 2020. * *** All stats in this report are from a GlobalWebIndex March 2020 custom recontact survey among 1,004 (Australia), 1,001 (Brazil), 1,003 (China), 1,016 (France), 1,010 (Germany), 1,010 (Italy), 1,079 (Japan), 1,008 (Philippines), 1,008 (Singapore), 573 (South Africa), 1,005 (Spain), 1,040 (UK) and 1,088 (USA) internet users aged 16-64 1.7 Consumers need brand to alleviate their wallets.
  • 13. ‹#› Consumer in urban area are more concerned about health risk. They go out less and avoid crowded areas as evidenced by less shopping trips. Increase in online shopping across these markets over the past two months was due to consumers getting items that are out of stock in physical stores. 2.1 -4% decline in shopping trips vs +43% increase in online grocery shopping transaction. Total FMCG % change Jan’20 vs Dec’19 - average # of shopping trips Source: How the epidemic is impacting Thailand’s FMCG, Kantar Worldpanel
  • 14. ‹#› 2.2 It is not panic-buying. It is preventive buying to create safe environment. Thai consumers have focused on “self-sterilisation” products such as mouthwash, soap (particularly those with strong hygiene and anti-bacterial efficacy) and household cleaners. . Total FMCG % change Jan’20 vs Dec’19 - average # of shopping trips Source: How the epidemic is impacting Thailand’s FMCG, Kantar Worldpanel
  • 15. ‹#› 2.3 F&B enjoys high growth during COVID-19 outbreak. Beverage brands that have clear added value are growing exceptionally strongly like Bird’s Nest, Essence of Chicken, functional drinks and sterilised milk. Source: COVID-19 the story so far Thailand, Kantar Worldpanel, 18 March 2020
  • 16. ‹#› 2.4 Consumers have expectation for brands as safety and hygiene has heightened. Some markets take extreme measure to safeguard populations from the outbreak through quarantines, #WFH, to halting manufacturing activities. Some markets don’t go to the extreme measures. Nevertheless, in both measures consumer demand has been disrupted for they are being precautious. There’s likely to have an impact on brand choices as consumers are looking for safety, transparency, and trustworthiness from the brand they choose. Source: Financial health bets well-being as top fear in Asia, Kantar Worldpanel *** The study used survey data from 3,000 respondents in Indonesia, Japan, Korea, Philippines, Singapore and Thailand
  • 17. ‹#› 2.5 Asian markets are re-prioritizing eating habits post COVID-19 outbreak. Cluster #2 Low change to medium change in eating at home habits. PH JP ID 39% 30% 20% ID JP VN PH 18% 18% 17% 16% S.KR TH CH HK 18% 18% 17% 16% Cluster #3 Low change in take away food ordering Cluster #4 high change in food delivery Source: Asian consumers are rethinking how they eat post COVID-19, Nielsen, 27 March 2020 Cluster #1 High change to eating at home habits. CH HK MY VN S.KR 86% 77% 62% 62% 625
  • 18. ‹#› 2.6 Tourism will face immediate impact from sharp declining international tourists. Source:Respond, Recover, Thrive. The impact of COVID-19 on the economy. A view from Thailand., Deloitte, March 2020
  • 19. ‹#› 2.7 Thailand faces immediate impact from COVID-19 due to reliance on tourism. Travel restrictions, COVID-19 fear, flight cancellation, reduced in travel demand will cost a drastic economic downturn and take time to recover. Source:Respond, Recover, Thrive. The impact of COVID-19 on the economy. A view from Thailand., Deloitte, March 2020
  • 21. ‹#› 3.1 Overall trend of online sales is still growing led by product of necessity. *** Important notes attentive is a personalized mobile messaging platform that works with over 1,000 leading brands, including many of the top online retailers in the world, generating billions of dollars in online sales. The following charts are provided from anonymized attentive data. Data is provided as of end of the day on Wednesday, March 25, 2020. Source: COVID-19: e-commerce trend and tactics, attentive, 25 March 2020
  • 22. ‹#› 3.2 Apparel - Baby and children clothes remain somewhat positive. Apparel Men and women apparel sales are declining. However, children & baby apparel are at its peak during mid March. Trending items Bathrobes, comfort onesies, pajamas. Source: COVID-19: e-commerce trend and tactics, attentive, 25 March 2020
  • 23. ‹#› 3.3 Sales peaks at specific period. Source: COVID-19: e-commerce trend and tactics, attentive, 25 March 2020
  • 24. ‹#› 3.4 Sales peaks during #WFH. Source: COVID-19: e-commerce trend and tactics, attentive, 25 March 2020
  • 25. ‹#› Source: COVID-19: e-commerce trend and tactics, attentive, 25 March 2020 3.5 Sales peaks during stricter quarantines.
  • 26. ‹#› 3.6 Advertising spend recession is certain, but not the same as crisis in 2009. Given business activities disrupted by COVID-19 outbreak, FMCG ad spend is shifting to online. Some FMCG sub-categories are slower to move to online because they don’t sell products directly through digital channels. In time of crisis, it is opportunity for brands to build lasting relationships by being positive and proactive. Source: Global Ad trend FMCG & COVID-19, WARC, March 2020
  • 27. ‹#› 3.7 Media ad spending in Thailand is expected to fall by 4.4%. A decrease in media ad spending would mainly come from tourism, retail, and automobile sectors. The biggest drop would be for newspapers (-35%), followed by magazines (-20%). Digital is expected to be the only channel that may see growth this year with precautions that the spending was rising from insurance firms by 18 million baht as they offer COVID-19 insurance packages. Source: MAT predicts ad spending to record first ever decline, Bangkok Post, 10 March 2020
  • 28. ‹#› 3.7 Consumers are neither positive, nor negative about advertising during this time. Source: Coronavirus, the impact on consumers, Global Webindex (Webinar) *** The study used survey data from 12,845 respondents, 16-64 year-old internet users in Australia, Brazil, China, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, Philippines, Singapore, South Africa, Spain, UK, and the U,S.
  • 30. ‹#› 4.1 Should I stop advertising? Temporarily if needed, yes. According to Kantar Millward Brown study, being temporarily off-air (maximum six months) does little impact on brand and business metrics. The graph shows that while Total Brand Communications Awareness (TBCA) drops significantly, the brand image and trial has minimal impact in the short run. Source: What happened if I stop advertising, WARC. In the other hand, being off-air too long (more than six months) will cost weaken bond/ relationship with consumers in terms of popularity, affinity, leadership, difference, and price.
  • 31. ‹#› 4.2 Supporting a brand with less expensive media could minimize negative impact. Unlike TV, less expensive medium like radio, promotion, or in-store activities could help trigger memories of advertising from the same brand. It is better to maintain TBCA at its best to sustain brand health in the long run. Source: What happened if I stop advertising, WARC.
  • 32. ‹#› 4.3 Investing in ad spend in time of recession brings long run advantage. Maintaining ad spend could mean maintaining brand growth. Analysis of Millward Brown aggregated tracking data shows that reducing ad spend correlated with declining sales and eventually weakened brand performance in the long run. Source: What happened if I stop advertising, WARC.
  • 33. ‹#› 4.4 During the outbreak, maintaining brand credibility with public interest is a must. In this trying time, “adapt” is the act all brands must be comfortable with and be fast enough. 1 Agility in media planning Minimize OOH Increase digital Maintain OTT Improving distribution Inject e-commerce channels Communicate with purpose Be a good corporate citizen Public interests over sales 2 3 Source: COVID-19 the story so far Thailand, Kantar Worldpanel, 18 March 2020
  • 34. ‹#› 4.5 Pre-empt mix of messaging, media channels, and creative materials. 4 Targeting Right message Right audience Right channels Channel effectiveness Channel messaging Channel mix Media phasing Future focus Improved media synergy Right measurement metrix 5 6 Source: COVID-19 the story so far Thailand, Kantar Worldpanel, 18 March 2020 Assess role and objective of marketing communication mix. Optimize it. Not overdone or underdone it.
  • 35. 35Prepared by Bonsey Jaden Introduction
  • 36. ‹#› We are Digital Brand Architects. We build brands to thrive and win in the digital world. Ground-up, top-down, sideways, inside- out, outside-in, online, offline, through the line, we build them with a vigil that's both round-and off-the-clock, by digital and creative natives.
  • 37. ‹#› . DA NANG . We are in 8 markets globally. With over 160 Bonsey Jadenites across 10 offices, we are able to keep our eyes and ears on the pulse of the region, and deliver end-to- end experiences without skipping a beat. . PHILIPPINES . . INDONESIA . . SINGAPORE . . SYDNEY . . MELBOURNE . . MALAYSIA . . THAILAND . . HO CHI MINH CITY . . LOS ANGELES .
  • 38. ‹#› We take a modular approach to building brands. So that your brand continues to reinvent itself to stay authentic, compelling and relevant to your consumers from the start. BrandX brand experience
  • 39. Singapore | Malaysia | Indonesia | Thailand | Vietnam Philippines | Sydney | Melbourne Singapore (HQ) 38 Chalanttip Building, 7th Floor, Unit 7B, Convent Road, Silom, Bangrak, Bangkok 10500 Venus@bonseyjaden.com http://bonseyjaden.com/ Confidential Version 1.0Agency Introduction / 2018 Let’s find out how we can work together. siriwan@bonseyjaden.com

Editor's Notes

  1. https://www.kantarworldpanel.com/global/News/Thai-shoppers-increase-online-grocery-spend-by-43#download
  2. https://www.kantarworldpanel.com/global/News/Thai-shoppers-increase-online-grocery-spend-by-43#download
  3. file:///Users/siriwan/Downloads/th-about-economic-outlook-2020-COVID-19-impact.pdf