5. Climate change strategies - MoFEP
Attracting the attention of politicians on CC
Awareness creation of both executive & legislature
Identify champions on CC & encourage high involvement
Use preliminary costs and opportunities on climate
change (in terms of GDP & numbers affected)
Make a case for attention of policy makers – frame in
terms of sector interests & priorities
6. Climate change strategies - MoFEP
Long-term national development plan & medium term
sectoral plans - opportunity to include CC issues
Need to use country PFM systems & processes -
strengthening of PFM for more effective & efficient delivery
Use of Budget Support (General or Sector) as a preferred
mechanism to project support
Currently personal emoluments (PE) a significant % of
MDA expenditure - climate funding has potential to
change mix for better service delivery
7. Climate change strategies - MoFEP
ENR Council, once operational, a good start for
mainstreaming
Need clearly defined roles for participating institutions in
coordination & implementation to ensure effective
delivery
Country ownership should be emphasized, with donors
partnering in facilitation role, esp. on capacity building
Need adequate capacity at levels of individual,
organizational, & the enabling environment
8. Need numbers, tools & approaches
Economics (what value, costs?)
What tools?
Towards wider “programmatic approach”?
Financing mechanism (how much?)
What instruments to fund?
National planning & responses?
Interest in carbon markets
– need informed ability to engage
Allocations & trade-offs across sectors
Source: GTZ IIPAC study on crop insurance
9. Response to climate change must be
rooted in development
Development
Mitigation Adaptation
‘Climate-
compatible
development’
‘Climate-
proofed
abatement’
‘Climate-
resilient
development’
… aligned with
adaptation
… & mitigation
objectives
10. 0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2020 2040 2060 2080 2100
%ofGDP
Baseline
With adaptation
0.8%
1.7%
3.4%
6.1%
9.6%
25.6%
15.6%
4.1%
1.9%
8.2%
0.5%
1.1%
2.2%
4.1%
6.6%
18.2%
2.7%
5.2%
11.2%
Source: Chris Hope for the DFID study.
Africa scenario A2 'Stern' assumptions, with & without adaptation. The graph shows mean, upper line 95% value.
Adaptation costs - Africa
Losses could be 1.5 – 3% GDP equiv. by 2030, & 10% by 2100
Adaptation can reduce these costs but not remove them
11. Adaptation & development continuum
Vulnerability Impacts
Focus
Addressing the
Drivers of
Vulnerability
e.g. health, education,
women’s rights,
accountability.
Building
Response
Capacity
e.g. communications &
planning processes,
weather monitoring, &
NRM
Climate Risk
Management
e.g. disaster
management, drought-
resistant crops, “climate-
proofing” infrastructure.
Confronting
Climate Change
typically risks outside
historic climate variability,
e.g. tackling sea level rise
ODA UNFCCC
International funding
Uncertainty, lack of awareness Risk
Knowledge of climate change
Approach
Discrete AdaptationClimate resilient development
Tanner & Mitchell, 2008; from McGray et al 2007
12. South Africa’s vision on climate change
Source: Dept of Environment & Tourism, South Africa
1. Transition to climate resilient & low-carbon economy
2. Our climate response policy, built on six pillars, will be
informed by what is required by science – to limit global
temperature increase to 2°C above pre-industrial levels
3. Continue to pro-actively build the knowledge base & our
capacity to adapt to inevitable impacts of climate change
4. GHG emissions must peak, plateau & decline - stop
growing at the latest by 2020-2025, stabilise for up to ten
years, then decline in absolute terms
5. Long term: redefine our competitive advantage &
structurally transform the economy by shifting from an
energy-intensive to a climate-friendly path as part of a
pro-growth, pro-development & pro-jobs strategy
13. Climate Compatible Growth Plans
identify & support mitigation & adaptation
Differentiation:
Both developing +
developed
Process: Support,
best practices,
review, MRV
Content: Priorities,
policies/measures &
international support
Focus:
Development,
mitigation +
adaptation
CCGP
(=climate
compatible
growth plans)
Time horizon: Long
& short term
14. Content of an effective CCGP
•Assists a country to achieve its growth & development
objectives in a low-carbon way through appropriate
mitigation & adaptation actions
•Both long-term vision & short-term strategy/action plans
•Coordinates action across sectors, link national policies
•Ambitious on emission reduction opportunities & capability
•Spells out requirements for domestic & international
resources in terms of funding, technology transfer &
capacity building wherever required, & clearly specifies the
nature of international assistance needed
Source: Interviews; Project Catalyst analysis
15. Process of an effective CCGP
Source: Interviews; Project Catalyst analysis
Content
•Developed through involvement of multiple stakeholders,
public, private & social sector, & through public debate
•Based on country sector skews, needs & capabilities
•Integrated into other policy documents & overall economic &
development objectives
•Allows for iterations, learning & refinement over time
•Ensures consistency between overall national plan &
individual actions
•Mandate & ownership directly from country leadership
17. (i) Oversight (CoP); (ii) Registry of plans; (iii) Review of plans (transparency/ technical assessment); (iv)
Oversight of crediting; (v) Standard setting; (vi) Promotion of technology transfer; (vii) Facilitation of
capacity-building; (viii) Dispute resolution
All three models would have a set of
common features
Offset market
NAMA /NAPA/
CCGP
Programme /
Sectoral basis
Funds
Allocation/aggregation
mechanisms
Market
(AAU & ETS)
Public finance
Coordination/oversight
Intermediaries
Sources of funding Delivery
All models will need to be
financed through a combination
of developed country markets &
public finance
• All models will require recipient countries to develop plans
for abatement (NAMA/NAPA/CCGP)
• All models would shift funding towards programmatic /
sectoral basis given limitations of project based approaches
(transaction costs / inability to scale up)
Project-based
CDM limited to
LDCs under all
models
These coordination/ oversight functions
will be common across all models
18. UK proposal: ‘compact’ approach
Delivery of climate finance at scale,
in support of country-owned,
low-carbon,
climate-resilient development plans,
direct to national budgets
where fiduciary risk allows.
19. The UK PM’s climate financing package
$100bn each year for climate finance by 2020
Expand & enhance reformed carbon market to deliver
significant % of this
An “automatic” mechanism –Norwegian proposal or
comparable domestic legislation
Climate finance additional to existing ODA commitments
Cap use of ODA for climate-development activities
– up to 10% by UK
New institutional arrangements for delivery
20. UK proposal for a compact approach
International level: Country allocations e.g. adaptation,
mitigation, based on need. MRV (action & support).
Review of national plans as appropriate
National level: Governments (with stakeholders) develop
national climate-resilient, low-carbon plans, including
MRV frameworks.
Delivery of finance: Directly into national budgets where
fiduciary risk allows.
21. The compact approach
Ghana has experience – NREG sector budget support
Umbrella frameworks for coordination
Adaptation
Low carbon development
Institutions & capacity
Knowledge & research
Voice
Financing mechanisms
22. NDPC
Public
Big picture 2?
Health
Private Civil society
Finance &
Economic
Planning
Environment,
Science &
Technology
Nat CC
committee
ENR Council
Technical officials,
civil society
Ministers, VP
Energy
Forestry
EPA