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www.winrock.org
Reducing Climate Change and Water Quality Impacts
from Grain Production on Maryland's Eastern Shore
Jon Winsten, Tom Fisher, Rebecca Fox,
Anne Gustafson, Jim Lewis, Neville Millar
www.winrock.org
Background
• Crucial issues: Climate change and water quality
• Nitrous oxide (N2O) has 310 times the radiative
forcing of carbon dioxide (CO2)
• N2O is 7% of U.S. GHG emissions
– 73% is from agriculture
• Agriculture is the leading source NPS pollution
to ground and surface waters in the U.S.
www.winrock.org
Background
• Feeding 9 billion people by 2050.
• Regulations decrease productivity and increase
costs.
• Environmental markets provide prices for
“externalities” and can result in efficient
outcomes.
www.winrock.org
Choptank River Watershed
www.winrock.org
Research Site
www.winrock.org
Research Treatments
• Winter cover crops
• Reduced N rate (80% of UMD recommendations)
• Conservation rotation
– 80% N rate on corn
– 80% N rate on winter wheat
– Soybeans
– Barley cover crop
www.winrock.org
Nitrous Oxide Sampling
www.winrock.org
Nitrous Oxide Sampling
www.winrock.org
Water Quality Sampling
www.winrock.org
Water Quality Sampling
www.winrock.org
Nitrous Oxide Sampling Schedule
Treatment: 80% N on Corn
date purpose
20130129 winter fluxes
20130225 winter fluxes
20130408 spring fluxes prior to biosolids
20130513 3 days after biosolids
20130517 7 days after biosolids
20130530 7 days after planting corn, starter
20130614 10 days prior to side-dress
20130627 3 days after side-dress
20130702 8 days after side-dress
20130709 15 days after side-dress
20130828 2 weeks prior to harvest
20131007 3 weeks following harvest
20131106 7 weeks following harvest
www.winrock.org
Nitrous Oxide Sampling
www.winrock.org
Results:
Winter Cover Cropping
22 3.7
lbs N acre-1 (Nov-Mar)
36 32
lbs N acre-1 (Dec-Mar)
www.winrock.org
Results:
Reduced N Rate
45 29
lbs N acre-1 (Nov-Mar)
32 30
lbs N acre-1 (Dec-Mar)
www.winrock.org
Costs and Revenues
• Cover Crops
– Potential Revenues
• Conservation payment: $70/ac
• Carbon credits: 1MT CO2e/ac @ $10/MT = $10/ac
• WQ credits: 10 lbs N/ac @ $5/lb = $50/ac
– Costs
• Seed: $40/ac
• Planting: $8/ac
• Herbicide: $14/ac
– Profit = $130 - $62 = $68
www.winrock.org
Costs and Revenues
• 80% N Rate
– Potential Revenues
• Carbon credits: 0.2MT CO2e/ac @ $10/MT = $2/ac
• WQ credits: 8 lbs N/ac @ $5/lb = $40/ac
– Costs
• Fertilizer: saved 40lbs N/ac @ $0.52/lb N = -$20.80
• Yield loss: 30 bushels/ac @ $3.75/bu = $112.50
– Profit = $42 - $91.70 = $-49.70
www.winrock.org
Initial Conclusions
– Dry Year:
• Cover crops reduced fall N2O fluxes winter/spring
tile drain NO3
• Reduced N rate reduced N2O and NO3 and did not
affect yields
– Wet Year:
• Cover crops did not reduce N2O, but did reduce
NO3
• Reduced N rate lowered yields and had minimal
effect on N2O and NO3
www.winrock.org
Future Work
– Use measurement data to cal/val simulation
models
– Use models to estimate impacts for farmers in
Eastern Shore region
– Facilitate farmers’ transactions in
environmental markets

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Reducing Climate and Water Impacts from Grain Production