1. Session five (a): Pandemics and Biology
The misuse of biology
Prof Les Baillie
School of Pharmacy and Pharmaceutical
Sciences, Cardiff University
Global Trends and Implications for British Security
3. Possible misuses
•Targeting humans
– Act of Terrorism
• State sponsored
• Radical group
• Doomsday
– Accidental
• Break down in biosecurity
• Unforeseen consequences -Creating new life forms !
•Targeting animals- FMD
•Targeting crops – Rice, pollinators
5. Consequences of a large scale anthrax attack
• It is predicted that an attack against
a city of 11.5 million inhabitants with
2.2 pounds of anthrax would results
in 1.5 million infections.
• If drugs were only administered once
the first case had been diagnosed
123,000 of those infected would die.
If antibiotics are given pre attack the
number of deaths would be reduced
to 50,000
Consequence of an attack against D.C.
100 000 dead, 125 000 infected
Economic cost = $ 26 billion dollars
(Kaufmann et al.,1997)
14. An idiots guide to making pathogens
There is no manual for how to live your life, and even if
there were, with your luck it would probably be in french
!
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