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www.auvsi.org
AUVSI REPORT:
The Economic Impact of Unmanned Aircraft
Systems Integration in the United States
A Brief with Report Author
Darryl Jenkins
on behalf of AUVSI
www.auvsi.org
Darryl Jenkins,
AUVSI commissioned Darryl Jenkins, to author
this study
Past professor at George Washington University
and Embry Riddle Aeronautical University
Director of the Aviation Institute at GWU
30 years experience in aviation industry
Author: “Handbook of Airline Economics”
www.auvsi.org
Methodology
Forecast the total domestic sales.
Forecasts do not include international sales,
maintenance, or training.
Intensive interviews with more than 60 industry
experts, as well as potential buyers.
Most conservative scenario.
www.auvsi.org
Methodology
Primary impact – Manufacturers
+
Secondary impact – Suppliers
+
Tertiary impact – Local Economies
=
Total economic impact
www.auvsi.org
Background
Currently the FAA strictly regulates use of UAS
• Certificates of Authorization – “COA”
• COAs outline how, where and when UAS may fly.
• Must fly within line of sight of the operator and below 400 feet.
Wide appeal to use UAS for “dangerous and difficult”
jobs
• Responding to disasters – Katrina, Fukushima, Red River flood
• Advancing research – Hurricanes, Supercell storms, Pathogens
• Public Safety Agencies – Search/Rescue, Wildfires, Crime scenes
• USGS
www.auvsi.org
Conclusions
The economic impact of the integration of UAS
into the National Airspace System (NAS):
>$13.6 billion (table 19) in the first three years
>$82.1 billion between 2015 and 2025 (table 1)
www.auvsi.org
Conclusions
Following the first three years following
integration into the NAS: more than 70,000
new jobs (table 19)
By 2025, total job creation is estimated at
103,776 (table 1)
Tax revenue to the states will total more than
$635 billion in first 11 years following
integration (2015-2025)
www.auvsi.org
Conclusions
Every year that integration is delayed, the
United States loses more than $10 billion in
potential economic impact
This loss translates into a loss of $27.6 million
per day that UAS are not integrated into the
NAS
www.auvsi.org
Changing landscape
Projections through 2025 are based on today’s
conditions
Current aerospace industry
State infrastructure
Where jobs flow can be impacted by variables:
FAA test sites
Regulatory environment
www.auvsi.org
State by State Predictions
Based on current landscape, the most UAS jobs in the
first three years following integration will be created in:
1. California
2. Washington
3. Texas
4. Florida
5. Arizona
6. Connecticut
7. Kansas
8. Virginia
9. New York
10. Pennsylvania
11. Massachusetts
12. Georgia
13. Ohio
14. Maryland
15. Alabama
16. New Jersey
17. Missouri
18. Colorado
19. Louisiana
20. Indiana
www.auvsi.org
Questions?
Darryl Jenkins
airjenkins@aol.com
+1 540 364 6913

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AI, Robotics and Drones – The Real Story on The Future of Jobs

  • 1. www.auvsi.org AUVSI REPORT: The Economic Impact of Unmanned Aircraft Systems Integration in the United States A Brief with Report Author Darryl Jenkins on behalf of AUVSI
  • 2. www.auvsi.org Darryl Jenkins, AUVSI commissioned Darryl Jenkins, to author this study Past professor at George Washington University and Embry Riddle Aeronautical University Director of the Aviation Institute at GWU 30 years experience in aviation industry Author: “Handbook of Airline Economics”
  • 3. www.auvsi.org Methodology Forecast the total domestic sales. Forecasts do not include international sales, maintenance, or training. Intensive interviews with more than 60 industry experts, as well as potential buyers. Most conservative scenario.
  • 4. www.auvsi.org Methodology Primary impact – Manufacturers + Secondary impact – Suppliers + Tertiary impact – Local Economies = Total economic impact
  • 5. www.auvsi.org Background Currently the FAA strictly regulates use of UAS • Certificates of Authorization – “COA” • COAs outline how, where and when UAS may fly. • Must fly within line of sight of the operator and below 400 feet. Wide appeal to use UAS for “dangerous and difficult” jobs • Responding to disasters – Katrina, Fukushima, Red River flood • Advancing research – Hurricanes, Supercell storms, Pathogens • Public Safety Agencies – Search/Rescue, Wildfires, Crime scenes • USGS
  • 6. www.auvsi.org Conclusions The economic impact of the integration of UAS into the National Airspace System (NAS): >$13.6 billion (table 19) in the first three years >$82.1 billion between 2015 and 2025 (table 1)
  • 7. www.auvsi.org Conclusions Following the first three years following integration into the NAS: more than 70,000 new jobs (table 19) By 2025, total job creation is estimated at 103,776 (table 1) Tax revenue to the states will total more than $635 billion in first 11 years following integration (2015-2025)
  • 8. www.auvsi.org Conclusions Every year that integration is delayed, the United States loses more than $10 billion in potential economic impact This loss translates into a loss of $27.6 million per day that UAS are not integrated into the NAS
  • 9. www.auvsi.org Changing landscape Projections through 2025 are based on today’s conditions Current aerospace industry State infrastructure Where jobs flow can be impacted by variables: FAA test sites Regulatory environment
  • 10. www.auvsi.org State by State Predictions Based on current landscape, the most UAS jobs in the first three years following integration will be created in: 1. California 2. Washington 3. Texas 4. Florida 5. Arizona 6. Connecticut 7. Kansas 8. Virginia 9. New York 10. Pennsylvania 11. Massachusetts 12. Georgia 13. Ohio 14. Maryland 15. Alabama 16. New Jersey 17. Missouri 18. Colorado 19. Louisiana 20. Indiana