AI, Robotics and Drones – The Real Story on The Future of Jobs
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AUVSI REPORT:
The Economic Impact of Unmanned Aircraft
Systems Integration in the United States
A Brief with Report Author
Darryl Jenkins
on behalf of AUVSI
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Darryl Jenkins,
AUVSI commissioned Darryl Jenkins, to author
this study
Past professor at George Washington University
and Embry Riddle Aeronautical University
Director of the Aviation Institute at GWU
30 years experience in aviation industry
Author: “Handbook of Airline Economics”
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Methodology
Forecast the total domestic sales.
Forecasts do not include international sales,
maintenance, or training.
Intensive interviews with more than 60 industry
experts, as well as potential buyers.
Most conservative scenario.
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Background
Currently the FAA strictly regulates use of UAS
• Certificates of Authorization – “COA”
• COAs outline how, where and when UAS may fly.
• Must fly within line of sight of the operator and below 400 feet.
Wide appeal to use UAS for “dangerous and difficult”
jobs
• Responding to disasters – Katrina, Fukushima, Red River flood
• Advancing research – Hurricanes, Supercell storms, Pathogens
• Public Safety Agencies – Search/Rescue, Wildfires, Crime scenes
• USGS
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Conclusions
The economic impact of the integration of UAS
into the National Airspace System (NAS):
>$13.6 billion (table 19) in the first three years
>$82.1 billion between 2015 and 2025 (table 1)
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Conclusions
Following the first three years following
integration into the NAS: more than 70,000
new jobs (table 19)
By 2025, total job creation is estimated at
103,776 (table 1)
Tax revenue to the states will total more than
$635 billion in first 11 years following
integration (2015-2025)
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Conclusions
Every year that integration is delayed, the
United States loses more than $10 billion in
potential economic impact
This loss translates into a loss of $27.6 million
per day that UAS are not integrated into the
NAS
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Changing landscape
Projections through 2025 are based on today’s
conditions
Current aerospace industry
State infrastructure
Where jobs flow can be impacted by variables:
FAA test sites
Regulatory environment
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State by State Predictions
Based on current landscape, the most UAS jobs in the
first three years following integration will be created in:
1. California
2. Washington
3. Texas
4. Florida
5. Arizona
6. Connecticut
7. Kansas
8. Virginia
9. New York
10. Pennsylvania
11. Massachusetts
12. Georgia
13. Ohio
14. Maryland
15. Alabama
16. New Jersey
17. Missouri
18. Colorado
19. Louisiana
20. Indiana