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3 1 O c t o b e r 2 0 1 8
EE Lighting the Way
Presented at the 2017 ACEEE National Conference
on Energy Efficiency as a Resource
Patty Cook, Sr. Vice President
Haider Khan, Fellow/Director
ICF proprietary and confidential. Do not copy, distribute, or disclose.
ICF’s Energy Practice
 Leading Edge Analytics
 Premier DSM Consultants in
North America
 Award-winning Customer Engagement
 Comprehensive Experience for
Complex “Future Utility” Issues
2
EE Lighting the Way
EE is an Effective Alternative to Traditional Grid Investments
Power
Markets
Strategy &
Regulatory
Support
Fuels
Markets
Distributed
Energy
Resources
Grid
Modernization
Customer
Engagement &
Recruitment
Demand Side
Management
Implementation
Experience Driven Insights | Analytics
ICF proprietary and confidential. Do not copy, distribute, or disclose.
Energy Efficiency is an Effective
Alternative to Traditional Grid Investments
Then Now
ICF proprietary and confidential. Do not copy, distribute, or disclose.
Energy Efficiency Lighting
the Way to an Integrated Grid
4
EE Lighting the Way
EE is an Effective Alternative to Traditional Grid Investments
Energy efficiency is competitive against zero
marginal cost resources
Energy efficiency measures can be tailored to
meet grid needs (both local and system)
Energy efficiency can improve the economics
and grid performance of other DER
ICF proprietary and confidential. Do not copy, distribute, or disclose.
Energy efficiency is competitive against
zero marginal cost resources
 EE is the cheapest DER (avg 2.4 cents/kwh):
 Unlike storage or DR there is no incremental cost to operate
 Proven track record of success in commercial and residential markets
 Mature technology and measures are relatively persistent
 No customer opt-out unlike DR
 Very low equipment failures unlike storage
5
EE Lighting the Way
EE is an Effective Alternative to Traditional Grid Investments
ICF proprietary and confidential. Do not copy, distribute, or disclose.
Value of DER – Avoided Costs and Benefits
6
-
 DER Output Characteristics play an
important role in determining the Value
of DERs
 Energy Efficiency
 High energy and capacity value per kW
 Lower availability/potential
 Solar PV
 Low utilization (capacity factor)
 Lower capacity and energy value
 High hosting capacity/availability
 Demand Response and Energy Storage
 Capacity products
 Very low energy value (only arbitrage for energy storage)
EE Lighting the Way
EE is an Effective Alternative to Traditional Grid Investments
ICF proprietary and confidential. Do not copy, distribute, or disclose.
Energy efficiency measures can be
tailored to meet grid needs
 Naturally location specific and lends
itself to targeted programs
 Measures can be selected to address
specific temporal grid needs during
the day
 However, need to address the M&V
and deemed reductions as traditional
approaches are insufficient for grid
purposes
 Meter-based savings approaches/P4P
7
System
Capacity
Need
Assessment
DER
Portfolio
Optimization
Program
Implementation
EE Lighting the Way
EE is an Effective Alternative to Traditional Grid Investments
ICF proprietary and confidential. Do not copy, distribute, or disclose.
Schwartz Creek: DER Demand Reduction
8
-200
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Residential Refrigerator Residential Air Conditioning Residential Load Switch Residential TOU Commercial Air Conditioning Commercial Window Film
Commercial VFD HVAC Fans Commercial Effcient Lighting Commercial Refrigeration Commercial DayLighting Sensor Commercial Dishwasher Commercial PV
Commercial Battery Storage Commercial EMS Traffic Signals Load Relief Desired
EE Lighting the Way
EE is an Effective Alternative to Traditional Grid Investments
ICF proprietary and confidential. Do not copy, distribute, or disclose. 9
Top Peak Reduction Measures:
Residential & Commercial
ResidentialTOU
ResidentialLoadSwitch
CommercialEMS
ResidentialRefrigerator
CommercialEffcientLighting
CommercialDayLightingSensor
CommercialBatteryStorage
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
0 300 700 1,000 1,400 1,700
CostofSavings($/kW)
Savings Potential (kW)
EE Lighting the Way
EE is an Effective Alternative to Traditional Grid Investments
ICF proprietary and confidential. Do not copy, distribute, or disclose.
Energy efficiency can improve the economics
and grid performance of other DER
 Energy efficiency combined with
energy storage can improve the
overall cost performance of
storage alone
 Energy efficiency combined with
PV results in greater annual
energy and peak demand savings
10
Dispatch Block
Hosting Capacity
1 10:00 am to 1:00 pm
2 1:00 pm to 4:00 pm
3 10:00 am to 4:00 pm
Dispatch
Block Load Relief
1 6:00 pm to 9:00 pm
2 9:00 pm to 12:00 am
3 6:00 pm to 12:00 am
Case Study:
EE Lighting the Way
EE is an Effective Alternative to Traditional Grid Investments
ICF proprietary and confidential. Do not copy, distribute, or disclose.
EE plus Storage: Evening Load Relief
11
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Residential Refrigerator Commercial Battery Storage Load Relief Desired
 Product designed to avoid
hosting capacity impacts
from excess solar and
provide evening load relief
between 6:00 pm and 12:00
am
 Battery charged “for free”
from efficiency savings and
discharged at evening peak
EE Lighting the Way
EE is an Effective Alternative to Traditional Grid Investments
ICF proprietary and confidential. Do not copy, distribute, or disclose.
 Energy efficiency measures
 Solar PV and behind the meter residential energy storage options
 Program location
 Cost structure (Fixed or TOU)
 Simulate and calculate the savings for different measure packages
 Constrain the measure package and evaluate the criteria
 Re-stimulate if criteria are not met
 Locational optimal measure package (potential combination of EE
+ PV + ES)
 Potential customer savings using the optimal measure package
 Utility cost-effectiveness metric
DER Optimization: Example
12
OUTPUTS
PROCESS
INPUTS
Optimization Framework Optimized DER (EE + PV)
Program Design Savings
Customer Savings
(NPV – 25Years – 3% discount)
$7,535 (TX) $4,995 (MD)
Cost to Benefit Ratio (PAC)
1:5 (TX) 1:5 (MD)
Annual Energy Savings (kWh)
6,671 (TX) 4,332 (MD)
Peak Demand Savings (kW)
1.14 (TX) 0.77 (MD)
EE Lighting the Way
EE is an Effective Alternative to Traditional Grid Investments
ICF proprietary and confidential. Do not copy, distribute, or disclose. 13
EE Lighting the Way
EE is an Effective Alternative to Traditional Grid Investments
ICF proprietary and confidential. Do not copy, distribute, or disclose. 14
 A portfolio of diverse resources – including EE – is the
most economical way to achieve reliability
 For benefits and grid services to be realized, DER
deployment must be structured – both temporally and
locationally
 AMI data, connected devices and the IoT will allow
greater actionable information about
consumption/management to realize benefits
 DSM programs of the future can be designed to address
both energy efficiency and peak load goals – interactive
load management will be key (manage the ducklings!)
 Aligning pricing, programs, and procurement to hosting
capacity and locational value is essential
Energy
Efficiency is a
Key Firm
Resource in a
More
Distributed
Future
EE Lighting the Way
EE is an Effective Alternative to Traditional Grid Investments
ICF proprietary and confidential. Do not copy, distribute, or disclose.
References
 Electricity 2030 – Trends and Tasks for the Coming Years, October 2017, CAISO;
http://www.caiso.com/Documents/Electricity2030-
TrendsandTasksfortheComingYears.pdf
 The Value in Distributed Energy: It’s All About Location, Location, Location;
https://www.icf.com/resources/white-papers/2015/value-in-distributed-energy
 Quantifying the Locational Value of DERs;
https://www.icf.com/resources/webinars/2017/quantifying-the-locational-value-of-ders
 DER Optimization: Cost-effectiveness Utility Solutions with Energy Efficiency, PV and
Storage; https://www.icf.com/resources/white-papers/2016/der-optimization-cost-
effective-utility-solutions
16
EE Lighting the Way
EE is an Effective Alternative to Traditional Grid Investments
ICF proprietary and confidential. Do not copy, distribute, or disclose.
Thank you
patty.cook@icf.com
haider.khan@icf.com
17
EE Lighting the Way
EE is an Effective Alternative to Traditional Grid Investments

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The Future of DSM Programs: EE + DER

  • 1. icf.com we are 3 1 O c t o b e r 2 0 1 8 EE Lighting the Way Presented at the 2017 ACEEE National Conference on Energy Efficiency as a Resource Patty Cook, Sr. Vice President Haider Khan, Fellow/Director
  • 2. ICF proprietary and confidential. Do not copy, distribute, or disclose. ICF’s Energy Practice  Leading Edge Analytics  Premier DSM Consultants in North America  Award-winning Customer Engagement  Comprehensive Experience for Complex “Future Utility” Issues 2 EE Lighting the Way EE is an Effective Alternative to Traditional Grid Investments Power Markets Strategy & Regulatory Support Fuels Markets Distributed Energy Resources Grid Modernization Customer Engagement & Recruitment Demand Side Management Implementation Experience Driven Insights | Analytics
  • 3. ICF proprietary and confidential. Do not copy, distribute, or disclose. Energy Efficiency is an Effective Alternative to Traditional Grid Investments Then Now
  • 4. ICF proprietary and confidential. Do not copy, distribute, or disclose. Energy Efficiency Lighting the Way to an Integrated Grid 4 EE Lighting the Way EE is an Effective Alternative to Traditional Grid Investments Energy efficiency is competitive against zero marginal cost resources Energy efficiency measures can be tailored to meet grid needs (both local and system) Energy efficiency can improve the economics and grid performance of other DER
  • 5. ICF proprietary and confidential. Do not copy, distribute, or disclose. Energy efficiency is competitive against zero marginal cost resources  EE is the cheapest DER (avg 2.4 cents/kwh):  Unlike storage or DR there is no incremental cost to operate  Proven track record of success in commercial and residential markets  Mature technology and measures are relatively persistent  No customer opt-out unlike DR  Very low equipment failures unlike storage 5 EE Lighting the Way EE is an Effective Alternative to Traditional Grid Investments
  • 6. ICF proprietary and confidential. Do not copy, distribute, or disclose. Value of DER – Avoided Costs and Benefits 6 -  DER Output Characteristics play an important role in determining the Value of DERs  Energy Efficiency  High energy and capacity value per kW  Lower availability/potential  Solar PV  Low utilization (capacity factor)  Lower capacity and energy value  High hosting capacity/availability  Demand Response and Energy Storage  Capacity products  Very low energy value (only arbitrage for energy storage) EE Lighting the Way EE is an Effective Alternative to Traditional Grid Investments
  • 7. ICF proprietary and confidential. Do not copy, distribute, or disclose. Energy efficiency measures can be tailored to meet grid needs  Naturally location specific and lends itself to targeted programs  Measures can be selected to address specific temporal grid needs during the day  However, need to address the M&V and deemed reductions as traditional approaches are insufficient for grid purposes  Meter-based savings approaches/P4P 7 System Capacity Need Assessment DER Portfolio Optimization Program Implementation EE Lighting the Way EE is an Effective Alternative to Traditional Grid Investments
  • 8. ICF proprietary and confidential. Do not copy, distribute, or disclose. Schwartz Creek: DER Demand Reduction 8 -200 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 Residential Refrigerator Residential Air Conditioning Residential Load Switch Residential TOU Commercial Air Conditioning Commercial Window Film Commercial VFD HVAC Fans Commercial Effcient Lighting Commercial Refrigeration Commercial DayLighting Sensor Commercial Dishwasher Commercial PV Commercial Battery Storage Commercial EMS Traffic Signals Load Relief Desired EE Lighting the Way EE is an Effective Alternative to Traditional Grid Investments
  • 9. ICF proprietary and confidential. Do not copy, distribute, or disclose. 9 Top Peak Reduction Measures: Residential & Commercial ResidentialTOU ResidentialLoadSwitch CommercialEMS ResidentialRefrigerator CommercialEffcientLighting CommercialDayLightingSensor CommercialBatteryStorage 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 0 300 700 1,000 1,400 1,700 CostofSavings($/kW) Savings Potential (kW) EE Lighting the Way EE is an Effective Alternative to Traditional Grid Investments
  • 10. ICF proprietary and confidential. Do not copy, distribute, or disclose. Energy efficiency can improve the economics and grid performance of other DER  Energy efficiency combined with energy storage can improve the overall cost performance of storage alone  Energy efficiency combined with PV results in greater annual energy and peak demand savings 10 Dispatch Block Hosting Capacity 1 10:00 am to 1:00 pm 2 1:00 pm to 4:00 pm 3 10:00 am to 4:00 pm Dispatch Block Load Relief 1 6:00 pm to 9:00 pm 2 9:00 pm to 12:00 am 3 6:00 pm to 12:00 am Case Study: EE Lighting the Way EE is an Effective Alternative to Traditional Grid Investments
  • 11. ICF proprietary and confidential. Do not copy, distribute, or disclose. EE plus Storage: Evening Load Relief 11 -300 -200 -100 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 Residential Refrigerator Commercial Battery Storage Load Relief Desired  Product designed to avoid hosting capacity impacts from excess solar and provide evening load relief between 6:00 pm and 12:00 am  Battery charged “for free” from efficiency savings and discharged at evening peak EE Lighting the Way EE is an Effective Alternative to Traditional Grid Investments
  • 12. ICF proprietary and confidential. Do not copy, distribute, or disclose.  Energy efficiency measures  Solar PV and behind the meter residential energy storage options  Program location  Cost structure (Fixed or TOU)  Simulate and calculate the savings for different measure packages  Constrain the measure package and evaluate the criteria  Re-stimulate if criteria are not met  Locational optimal measure package (potential combination of EE + PV + ES)  Potential customer savings using the optimal measure package  Utility cost-effectiveness metric DER Optimization: Example 12 OUTPUTS PROCESS INPUTS Optimization Framework Optimized DER (EE + PV) Program Design Savings Customer Savings (NPV – 25Years – 3% discount) $7,535 (TX) $4,995 (MD) Cost to Benefit Ratio (PAC) 1:5 (TX) 1:5 (MD) Annual Energy Savings (kWh) 6,671 (TX) 4,332 (MD) Peak Demand Savings (kW) 1.14 (TX) 0.77 (MD) EE Lighting the Way EE is an Effective Alternative to Traditional Grid Investments
  • 13. ICF proprietary and confidential. Do not copy, distribute, or disclose. 13 EE Lighting the Way EE is an Effective Alternative to Traditional Grid Investments
  • 14. ICF proprietary and confidential. Do not copy, distribute, or disclose. 14
  • 15.  A portfolio of diverse resources – including EE – is the most economical way to achieve reliability  For benefits and grid services to be realized, DER deployment must be structured – both temporally and locationally  AMI data, connected devices and the IoT will allow greater actionable information about consumption/management to realize benefits  DSM programs of the future can be designed to address both energy efficiency and peak load goals – interactive load management will be key (manage the ducklings!)  Aligning pricing, programs, and procurement to hosting capacity and locational value is essential Energy Efficiency is a Key Firm Resource in a More Distributed Future EE Lighting the Way EE is an Effective Alternative to Traditional Grid Investments
  • 16. ICF proprietary and confidential. Do not copy, distribute, or disclose. References  Electricity 2030 – Trends and Tasks for the Coming Years, October 2017, CAISO; http://www.caiso.com/Documents/Electricity2030- TrendsandTasksfortheComingYears.pdf  The Value in Distributed Energy: It’s All About Location, Location, Location; https://www.icf.com/resources/white-papers/2015/value-in-distributed-energy  Quantifying the Locational Value of DERs; https://www.icf.com/resources/webinars/2017/quantifying-the-locational-value-of-ders  DER Optimization: Cost-effectiveness Utility Solutions with Energy Efficiency, PV and Storage; https://www.icf.com/resources/white-papers/2016/der-optimization-cost- effective-utility-solutions 16 EE Lighting the Way EE is an Effective Alternative to Traditional Grid Investments
  • 17. ICF proprietary and confidential. Do not copy, distribute, or disclose. Thank you patty.cook@icf.com haider.khan@icf.com 17 EE Lighting the Way EE is an Effective Alternative to Traditional Grid Investments