2. Soo……You have a bunch of
Data.
Attendence Big 4 Derby League Position per capita income adjusted population
39,968 1 0 11 35000 1582564
21,852 1 0 10 36725 137471
24,409 1 0 7 36725 371847
26,770 1 0 19 43600 852013
41,917 1 1 2 43600 1351187
37,162 1 0 6 36725 623160
24,510 1 1 16 43600 724121
43,958 1 1 3 36725 738873
40,699 1 0 14 36725 630043
75,595 1 1 1 36725 1194415
What can we do with this?
Use Least Squares Approximation (LSE) to estimate the
relationship of the dependent variable and the independent
variable(s).
3. What is Least Squares?
• Approximates solutions for inconsistent over
determined systems
– What does inconsistent mean?
– Over determined, what’s that?
• In other words LSE allows you to describe a
model as being represented by the line of best
fit.
• Where the “best fit” line, curve or polynomial is created from
the approximations.
4. Least Squares it’s Actually Pretty Useful
Least Squares Approximations are
highly relevant in various fields
Really, how so?
Still don’t believe us?
Fine we’ll give examples…but not now.
5. So How Does it Estimate a Solution?
Least Squares Approximation estimates
a best fit solution for a system by
Minimizing the magnitude error vector, e.
Estimating the coefficients of the best fit
equation
6. How Do We Ensure Positive Error?
Least Squares
– Eliminates negative terms
– More susceptible to outlying data
Least Absolute Difference
– Difficult to work with in linear algebra
8. The Least Squares Theorem
For an over determined inconsistent
system Ax=b:
This is easily solved using inverse and
transpose multiplication
the resulting vector x can be determined in
the form x=(AT A) -1 AT b
where x will correspond to the coefficients in
your linear or polynomial expression.
9. How to Approximate the Error Term?
• e = b-Ax , where e is
the error term
• Where e1= the
distance from our
data point to the
best fit
approximation
given by the
orthogonal
projection
10. Application to Economics
Econometrics utilizes Ordinary Least
Squares Approximations (OLS)
Similar to LSE except it follows 7 classical
assumptions
Estimated Regression Equation
13. Bibliography
• Poole, David Linear Algebra: A Modern
Introduction. Canada: Thomson
Brooks/Cole, 2006.
• Studenmund, A.H. Using Econometrics: A
Practical Guide. New York: Pearson
Education, 2006.