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Due Date: 11:59 p.m. EST, Sunday, of Unit 7
Points: 100
Overview:
Over the course of the last few units, you have been working on
crafting the argument
for your Argument Essay. You will now write an argument
essay that answers one of
these questions.
The essay should answer ONE of these questions:
1. Should climate change be considered a real issue or a hoax?
2. Should the United States have universal health care?
3. Should employers have access to employee’s social media
content?
Each of the above questions relate to one of the issues you have
already written about
in the Unit 4 Assignment: Pro and Con of an Issue. Now, choose
one side of the issue
to develop into an argument essay.
You should answer ONE of the above questions in a well-
thought out and developed
argument essay with:
• A clear introduction that sets up the issue, explains your
topics, and ends with your
thesis statement.
• Body paragraphs focusing on one topic in support of your
argument in each paragraph.
o You need three reliable and academic sources for this
assignment in support of
your argument. You should include evidence that is directly
quoted, paraphrased,
or summarized to support each topic. The evidence should have
appropriate in-
text citations.
o You will typically want to include one piece of evidence in
the body of each
paragraph, as you did in the paragraph and pro/con assignment.
You are not
required to include a source about the counterargument (other
side of your
argument), but you may if you would like.
• Then, end with a conclusion that wraps up your essay’s
argument and leaves the reader
with something to consider about your issue.
ENG110 – College Writing
Argument Essay
• Include a references page for the three sources you used in
your essay.
You can use the ideas from your Pro/Con paragraphs in your
argument essay, but
they should be revised and reworded so that you are not just
resubmitting your
Unit 4 assignment.
Argument Essay and Third Person, Objective Writing
We have probably all had to argue for a position we held. What
makes someone
receptive to your argument? Normally, the audience is more
willing to listen to your
position if you argue for it objectively and avoid unreasonable,
argumentative tactics.
Your argument needs to be logical and fair, giving people the
ability to disagree with
you.
Your argument also should be written in the third person to
show that you can be
objective, meaning you use “He,” “she,” “they,” “people,”
“one” and do not use “I,” “me,”
“we,” “us,” “our,” “you,” and “your.”
Instructions:
• Create an argument essay that answers ONE of the above
questions.
• You should have a well-articulated argument essay with an
introduction, body
paragraphs (with evidence), conclusion, and a references page.
Requirements:
• Please submit a Microsoft Word document or PDF.
• The essay should be three to four pages in length with an
additional APA-style
title and reference pages. The document should follow proper
APA style
formatting (Times New Roman, 12 font suggested) with 1-inch
margins and
double spaced.
• Include three (3) sources in your essay that are reliable and
academic.
o Make sure you have at least three (3) in-text citations where
you have
directly quoted, paraphrased, or summarized material from the
sources.
You will need corresponding references for each of these
sources that
match the in-text citations.
• You need an introduction and conclusion for this essay.
Remember the
introduction sets up the essay and ends with the thesis
statement. The
conclusion sums up the essay and restates the thesis in a
different way. The
introduction and conclusion should not be exact replicas of each
other.
• Your body paragraphs should each focus on one topic that
supports your
argument.
• Your writing should be free of punctuation, spelling, and
grammar errors and
contain appropriate word choice for an academic setting with
clear sentence
structure.
Be sure to read the criteria by which your work will be
evaluated before you write
and again after you write.
Evaluation Rubric for the Argument Essay Assignment
CRITERIA Novice
Needs
Improvement
Proficient Exemplary
(0–11 points) (12–15 points) (16–17 points) (18–20 points)
Introduction and
Conclusion
Introduction and/or
the conclusion are
not present.
Introduction/
conclusion are
very hard to
understand and
significantly
missing details.
Introduction and
conclusion are
attempted. The
introduction and
conclusion may be
lacking details to
properly set up and
then wrap up the
essay. The
introduction/
conclusion are not
related.
Introduction and
conclusion nicely
set up and wrap up
the essay. The
introduction/
conclusion could
relate better.
Introduction and
conclusion effectively
set up and wrap up
the essay. The
introduction/
conclusion relate well
to each other.
Organization and
Structure
Many details are
not in a logical or
expected order.
The paper does
not use
paragraphs and
does not focus on
the assigned
argument issue.
Writing may have
some discernible
organization, but
some details are not
in a logical or
expected order. The
paper uses
paragraphs
ineffectively and
lacks focus on the
assigned argument
issue.
Writing is
organized, and
details are placed
in a logical order.
Paragraphs are
mostly used
effectively and
generally focus well
on the assignment
argument issue.
Writing is effective,
purposeful, and well-
organized.
Paragraphs are used
effectively and focus
well on the assigned
argument issue.
Argument Fails to develop
argument(s). No
clear thesis to
highlight the
argument.
Some argument(s)
are developed but
may be missing one
or need further
elaboration. Thesis
attempts to highlight
the argument,
though clarification
is needed.
Develops most
argument(s).
Thesis highlights
the argument with
only minor need for
clarification.
Fully develops
argument(s) fairly.
Thesis highlights the
argument well.
Resources and
Citations
No reliable and
academic
resources used.
Resources do not
relate to the
argument and/or
are not properly
1 reliable and
academic resource
used. Resources
generally relate to
the argument but
may not be properly
formatted in the
assignment.
2 reliable and
academic
resources
used. Resources
relate to the
argument, and for
the most part, are
3 reliable and
academic resources
used. Resources
effectively relate to
the argument and are
properly formatted in
the assignment.
CRITERIA Novice
Needs
Improvement
Proficient Exemplary
formatted in the
assignment.
properly formatted
in the assignment.
(0–5 points) (6–7 points) (8 points) (9–10 points)
Paper Length Significantly less
than 1 page or
significantly more
than 4 pages.
Only 1–2 pages in
length.
Only 2–3 pages in
length.
3–4 pages in length.
Clear and
Professional
Writing and APA
Format
Writing is hard to
understand
because of errors
in grammar,
spelling, and
punctuation. Word
choice is
inappropriate for
an academic
setting. Sentence
structure is often
unclear. Paper
rarely or does not
use the third-
person
perspective and
an objective tone.
APA format is not
followed.
Writing is sometimes
difficult to
understand because
of several errors in
grammar,
punctuation, and
spelling. Word
choice is sometimes
inappropriate for an
academic setting.
Sentence structure
is sometimes
unclear. Paper
inconsistently uses a
third-person
perspective and
objective tone. APA
format is sometimes
followed.
Writing is easy to
understand despite
minor errors in
punctuation,
spelling, and
grammar.
Appropriate word
choice is used for
an academic
setting. Sentence
structure is mostly
clear. Paper mostly
uses a third-person
perspective and
objective tone. APA
format is mostly
followed.
Writing is free of
almost all
punctuation, spelling,
and grammar errors.
Appropriate word
choice is used for an
academic setting.
Sentence structure is
clear. Paper is written
in the third-person
perspective with an
objective tone. APA
format is followed.
Corporate Valuation and Stock Valuation
CHAPTER 7
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copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for
use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for
classroom use.
Topics in Chapter
Features of common stock
Valuing common stock
Dividend growth model
Free cash flow valuation model
Market multiples
Preferred stock
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copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for
use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for
classroom use.
Corporate Valuation and Stock Valuation
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copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for
use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for
classroom use.
Common Stock: Owners, Directors, and Managers
Represents ownership.
Ownership implies control.
Stockholders elect directors.
Directors hire management.
Since managers are “agents” of shareholders, their goal should
be: Maximize stock price.
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copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for
use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for
classroom use.
Classified Stock
Classified stock has special provisions for each class, usually
involving voting rights and dividend rights.
Usually named Class A, Class B, etc.
New shares in IPO sometimes have voting restrictions but full
dividend rights.
Founders’ shares usually have voting rights but dividend
restrictions.
Standard & Poor’s no longer allows new additions to its indices
to have classified stock.
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copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for
use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for
classroom use.
Tracking Stock
The dividends of tracking stock are tied to a particular division,
rather than the company as a whole.
Investors can separately value the divisions.
Its easier to compensate division managers with the tracking
stock.
But tracking stock usually has no voting rights, and the
financial disclosure for the division is not as regulated as for
the company.
Very few companies have tracking stock.
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copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for
use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for
classroom use.
Different Approaches for Valuing Common Stock
Free cash flow model
Constant growth
Nonconstant growth
Dividend growth model
Constant growth
Nonconstant growth
Using the multiples of comparable firms
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copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for
use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for
classroom use.
The Free Cash Flow Valuation Model: FCF and WACC
Free cash flow (FCF) is:
The cash flow available for distribution to all of a company’s
investors.
Generated by a company’s operations.
The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is:
The overall rate of return required by all of the company’s
investors.
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copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for
use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for
classroom use.
Value of Operations (Vop)
The PV of expected future FCF, discounted at the WACC, is the
value of a company’s operations (Vop):
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copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for
use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for
classroom use.
Sources of Value
Value of operations
Nonoperating assets
Short-term investments and other marketable securities
Ownership of non-controlling interest in another company
Value of nonoperating assets usually is very close to figure that
is reported on balance sheets.
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copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for
use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for
classroom use.
Claims on Corporate Value
Debtholders have first claim.
Preferred stockholders have the next claim.
Any remaining value belongs to stockholders.
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copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for
use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for
classroom use.
Total Corporate Value: Sources and Claims
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use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for
classroom use.
Value of operations= PV of FCF discounted
at WACC
Conceptually correct, but how do you find the present value of
an infinite stream?
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copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for
use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for
classroom use.
Suppose FCFs are expected to grow at a constant rate, gL,
starting at t=1, and continue forever. What happens to FCF?
What is the value of operations if FCFs grow at a constant rate?
See next slide.
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copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for
use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for
classroom use.
Value of operations in terms of FCF1 and gL:
We can multiply and divide by (1+gL), for a reason that will
soon be clear, as shown on the next slide.
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copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for
use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for
classroom use.
Rewritten value of operations:
We can group , as shown on the next slide.
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use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
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classroom use.
Value of operations with grouped terms:
We can group the terms, as shown on the next slide.
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use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
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classroom use.
Value of operations if FCF grows
at a constant rate:
What happens toif t gets large? It depends on the size of gL
relative to WACC. See next slide.
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copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for
use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
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classroom use.
What happens to as t gets large?
If gL < WACC: Then < 1.
If gL ≥ WACC: Then ≥ 1.
What happens to the value of operations if gL ≥ WACC? See
next slide.
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use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
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What happens to the value of operations
if gL ≥ WACC?
Vop = (Big) + (Bigger) + (Even Bigger) + …+ (Really big!)
= Infinity! So g can’t be greater than or equal to WACC!
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copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for
use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
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classroom use.
What happens to the value of operations
if gL ≤ WACC?
Vop = (Small) + (Smaller) + (Even smaller) + …+ FCF0
(Really small!) = ?
All the terms get smaller and smaller, but what happens to the
sum? See next slide
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use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
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classroom use.
What is the sum of an infinite number of factors that get smaller
at a geometric rate?
Consider this example. The first row is t. The second row is a
number that is less than 1 that is compounded to the power of t.
The third row is the cumulative sum.t1234 . . .
∞(1/2)t1/21/41/81/161/∞ ≈ 0Σ(1/2)t1/23/47/815/16≈ 1
This sum converges to 1. Similarly, converges (although not to
1). See next slide.
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Constant Growth Formula for Value of Operations: gL begins at
Time 1
If FCF are expected to grow at a constant rate of gL from Time
1 and afterwards, and gL<WACC:
This is the PV of all FCF from Time 1 through infinity, when
discounted at WACC.
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copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for
use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for
classroom use.
Constant Growth Formula for Value of Operations: gL begins at
Time 0
If FCF are expected to grow at a constant rate of gL from Time
0 and afterwards, and gL<WACC:
This is still the PV of all FCF from Time 1 through infinity,
when discounted at WACC.
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use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
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classroom use.
Data for FCF Valuation
FCF0 = $24 million
WACC = 11%
FCF is expected to grow at a constant rate of gL = 5%
Short-term investments = $100 million
Debt = $200 million
Preferred stock = $50 million
Number of shares =n = 10 million
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Find Value of Operations
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Total Value of Company (VTotal)
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Estimated Intrinsic Value of Equity
(VEquity)Voperations$420.00+ ST
Inv.100.00VTotal$520.00−Debt200.00− Preferred
Stk.50.00VEquity$270.00
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Estimated Intrinsic Stock Price per Share,
(1 of 2)Voperations`$420.00+ ST
Inv.100.00VTotal$520.00−Debt200.00− Preferred
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use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
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Expansion Plan: Nonconstant Growth
Finance expansion financed by owners.
Projected free cash flows (FCF):
Year 1 FCF = −$10 million.
Year 2 FCF = $20 million.
Year 3 FCF = $35 million
FCF grows at constant rate of 5% after year 3.
No change in WACC, marketable securities, debt, preferred
stock, or number of shares of stock.
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Estimating the Value of Operations
Free cash flows are forecast for three years in this example, so
the forecast horizon is three years.
Growth in free cash flows is not constant during the forecast, so
we can’t use the constant growth formula to find the value of
operations at time 0.
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Time Line of FCFYear012345…
tFCF−$10$20$35FCF3(1+gL)FCF4(1+gL)FCFt(1+gL)
Free cash flows are forecast for three years in this example, so
the forecast horizon is three years.
Growth in free cash flows is not constant during the forecast, so
we can’t use the constant growth formula to find the value of
operations at time 0.
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Horizon ValueYear012345…
tFCFFCF3(1+gL)FCF4(1+gL)FCFt(1+gL)HV3← ↵ ← ↵ ← ↵
Horizon value is also called terminal value, or continuing value.
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Horizon Value Application
(FCF3 = $35, WACC = 11%, gL = 5%)
This is the value of FCF from Year 4 and beyond discounted
back to Year 3.
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Value of Operations at t=0: PV of FCF1 through FCF3 plus PV
of HV3Year012345… tFCFFCF1FCF2FCF3PV of FCF in
explicit forecast← ↵ ← ↵ ←
↵ FCF3(1+gL)FCF4(1+gL)FCFt(1+gL)+HV3← ↵ ← ↵ ← ↵ PV
of HV← ↵ ← ↵ ← ↵ = Value of operations Time 0
PV of HV is the PV of FCF beyond the explicit forecast. So PV
of HV plus PV of FCF in explicit forecast is the PV of all future
FCFs.
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Application: Current Value of Operations (Nonconstant g in
FCF until after Year 3; gL = 5%; WACC = 11%)
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Estimated Intrinsic Stock Price per Share,
(2 of 2) Voperations$480.67 + ST Inv. 100.00
VTotal$580.67 −Debt200.00− Preferred Stk.
50.00VEquity$330.67 ÷ n 10 $33.07
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classroom use.
How much of the value of operations is based on cash flows
from Year 4 and beyond?
The horizon value is the value of all FCF from Year 4 and
beyond, discounted back to Year 3.
The present value of HV3 is the present value of all FCF from
Year 4 and beyond.
The PV of HV3 is the percent of total value due to long-term
cash flows.
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classroom use.
Value of Operations and Present Value of Horizon Value
Value of operations: Vop = $480.67
Horizon value: HV3 = $612.5
PV of HV3 = $612.5/(1 + 0.11)3
= $447.855
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Percent of Value Due to Long-Term Cash Flows
In this example, 93% of value is due to cash flows 4 or more
years into the future.
For the average company, this percentage is around 80%.
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Long-term versus Short-term Focus
Why focus on quarterly earnings if most value is from longer-
term cash flows?
Changes in quarterly earnings can signal changes future in cash
flows. This would affect the current stock price.
Managers often have bonuses tied to quarterly earnings, so they
have incentive to manage earnings.
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Forecasting Free Cash Flows: A Simple Approach
Forecast sales to grow at chosen growth rates.
Forecast net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) and total net
operating capital (OpCap) as a percent of sales.
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Current Situation (in millions)
Most recent data:
Sales of $2,000
Total net operating capital, OpCap = $1,120
Operating profitability ratio
OP = NOPAT/Sales = 4.5%
Capital requirement ratio
CR = OpCap/Sales = 56%.
The target weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is 9%.
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Initial Operating Assumptions for the No Change Scenario
Operating ratios remain unchanged from values in most recent
year.
Sales will grow by 10%, 8%, 5%, and 5% for the next four
years.
The long-term growth rate in sales is 5%.
The target weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is 9%.
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AssumptionsActualForecastInputs01234WACC9.0%Sales$2,000
OpCap$1,120Sales growth
rate10%8%5%5%NOPAT/Sales4.5%4.5%4.5%4.5%4.5%OpCAP
/Sales56.0%56.0%56.0%56.0%56.0%
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classroom use.
Examples of Forecasting Items
Sales1 = $2,000(1+0.10) = $2,200
NOPAT1 = $2,200(0.045) = $99
OpCap1 = $2,200(0.56) = $1,232
FCFt = NOPATt − (OpCapt − OpCapt-1)
ROICt = NOPATt/OpCapt
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classroom use.
Forecasted FCF: No changes in operating ratiosScenario:
No
ChangeActualForecast01234Sales$2,000$2,200$2,376$2,495$2,
620NOPAT$99$107$112$117.879OpCap$1,120$1,232$1,331$1,
397.088$1,466.942FCF −$13$8.36$45.738$48.025Growth in
FCF-164%447.1%5.0%ROIC8.0%8.0%8.0%8.0%8.0%
FCF is negative in Year 1.
ROIC of 8% is less than WACC of 9%--not good!
Note: There is no rounding in intermediate calculations.
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copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for
use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for
classroom use.
Estimated Intrinsic Value (1 of 2)
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copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for
use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for
classroom use.
Estimated Intrinsic Value (2 of 2)Scenario: No ChangeHorizon
Value:HV4 =$1,260.65Value of Operations:Present value of
HV$893.08+ Present value of FCF$64.45Value of operations
≈$958
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copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for
use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for
classroom use.
The Value of Operations versus the Total Net Operating Capital
The ROIC (8%) is too low compared to the WACC (9%).
The capital is not earning enough to meet investors’ required
return, so:
Horizon value ($958) is less than the total net operating capital
at the horizon ($1,467).
Current value of operations ($958) is less than the current total
net operating capital ($1,120).
ROIC must be greater than WACC/(1+gL) for horizon value to
be greater than the total net operating capital at the horizon.
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copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for
use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for
classroom use.
Value Drivers
The ROIC (8%) is too low compared to the WACC (9%).
The capital is not earning enough to meet investors’ required
return, so:
Horizon value ($958) is less than the total net operating capital
at the horizon ($1,467).
Current value of operations ($958) is less than the current total
net operating capital ($1,120).
ROIC must be greater than WACC/(1+gL) for horizon value to
be greater than the total net operating capital at the horizon.
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copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for
use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for
classroom use.
Impact of Higher Growth RatesNo ChangeImprove
Growthg0,110%11%g1,28%9%g2,35%6%g3,45%6%gL5%6%OP
4.5%4.5%CR56.0%56.0%ROIC8.0%8.0%Vop,0$958$933WACC
9.00%9.00%
Higher growth causes Vop,0 to fall.
ROIC must be greater than WACC/(1+WACC) for growth to add
value.
WACC/(1+WACC) = 8.26%
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copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for
use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for
classroom use.
Impact of Higher Operating ProfitabilityNo ChangeImprove
OPg0,110%10%g1,28%8%g2,35%5%g3,45%5%gL5%5%OP4.5
%5.5%CR56.0%56.0%ROIC8.0%9.8%Vop,0$958$1,523WACC9
.00%9.00%
Higher operating profitability increases the ROIC.
ROIC of 9.8% > 8.26%
The higher ROIC causes a big increase in Vop,0.
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copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for
use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for
classroom use.
Impact of Lower Capital RequirementsNo ChangeImprove
CRg0,110%10%g1,28%8%g2,35%5%g3,45%5%gL5%5%OP4.5
%4.5%CR56.0%51.0%ROIC8.0%8.8%Vop,0$958$1,191WACC9
.00%9.00%
Lower capital requirements increases the ROIC.
ROIC of 8.8% > 8.26%
The higher ROIC causes an increase in Vop,0.
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copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for
use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for
classroom use.
Impact of Simultaneous Improvements in OP and CRNo
ChangeImprove OP and
CRg0,110%10%g1,28%8%g2,35%5%g3,45%5%gL5%5%OP4.5
%5.5%CR56.0%51.0%ROIC8.0%10.8%Vop,0$958$1,756WACC
9.00%9.00%
The ROIC is much higher due to the improvements in
operations.
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copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for
use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for
classroom use.
Impact of Simultaneous Improvements in Growth, OP, and
CRNo ChangeImprove
Allg0,110%11%g1,28%9%g2,35%6%g3,45%6%gL5%6%OP4.5
%5.5%CR56.0%51.0%ROIC8.0%10.8%Vop,0$958$2,008WACC
9.00%9.00%
The ROIC is much higher due to the improvements in
operations.
With a higher ROIC, growth adds substantial value.
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copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for
use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for
classroom use.
Summary: Value of operations for previous combinations of
ROIC and
gLROICROICROICROICROIC8.0%8.8%9.8%10.8%gL5%$958$
1,191$1,523$1,756gL6%$933$1,247$1,694$2,008
The ROIC is much higher due to the improvements in
operations.
With a higher ROIC, growth adds substantial value.
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copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for
use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for
classroom use.
Are volatile stock prices consistent with rational pricing?
The previous slide shows that small changes in ROIC and
growth cause large changes in value.
Similarly, small changes in the cost of capital (WACC), perhaps
due to changes in risk or interest rates, cause large changes in
value.
As new information arrives, investors continually update their
estimates of operating profitability, capital requirements,
growth, risk, and interest rates.
If stock prices aren’t volatile, then this means there isn’t a good
flow of information.
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copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for
use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for
classroom use.
Value of dividend-paying stock = PV of dividends discounted at
required return
Conceptually correct, but how do you find the present value of
an infinite stream?
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use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
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classroom use.
Suppose dividends are expected to grow at a constant rate, gL,
forever.
D1 = D0(1 + gL)1
D2 = D0(1 + gL)2
Dt = D0(1 + gL)t
What is the present value of a constant growth Dt when
discounted at the stock’s required return, rs? See next slide.
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classroom use.
Present Value of a Constant Growth Dividend
What happens to as t gets bigger?
If gL<rs: Then < 1.
So the bracket approaches zero as t gets large.
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classroom use.
Constant Dividend Growth Model (gL<rs)
If gL is constant and less than rs, then converges to:
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What happens if gL > rs?
So gL must be less than rs for the constant growth model to be
applicable!!
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use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
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classroom use.
Required rate of return: beta = 1.2, rRF = 7%,
and RPM = 5%.
Use the SML to calculate rs:
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use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
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classroom use.
Estimated Intrinsic Stock Value:
D0 = $2.00, rs = 13%, gL = 6%
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use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for
classroom use.
Expected Stock Price in 1 Year
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Expected Dividend Yield and Capital
Gains Yield (Year 1)
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Total Year 1 Return
Total return = Dividend yield + Capital gains yield.
Total return = 7% + 6% = 13%.
Total return = 13% = rs.
For constant growth stock:
Capital gains yield = 6% = gL.
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classroom use.
Rearrange model to rate of return form:
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classroom use.
Nonconstant Growth Stock
Nonconstant growth of 30% for Year 0 to Year 1, 25% for Year
1 to Year 2, 15% for Year 2 to Year 3, and then long-run
constant gL = 6%.
Can no longer use constant growth model.
However, growth becomes constant after 3 years.
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copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for
use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
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classroom use.
Steps to Estimate Current Stock Value
Forecast dividends for nonconstant period, which ends at
horizon date after which growth is constant at gL.
Find horizon value, which is PV of dividends beyond horizon
date discounted back to horizon date
Horizon value = =
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classroom use.
Steps to Estimate Current Stock Price (Continued)
Find PV of each dividend in the forecast period.
Find PV of horizon value.
Sum PV of dividends and PV of horizon value.
Result is estimated current stock value.
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copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for
use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for
classroom use.
Example of Estimating Current Stock Value (D0 = $2.00, rs =
13%)
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use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for
classroom use.
Expected Dividend Yield and Capital
Gains Yield (t = 0)
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use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
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classroom use.
Expected Dividend Yield and Capital Gains Yield (after t = 3)
During nonconstant growth, dividend yield and capital gains
yield are not constant.
If current growth is greater than g, current capital gains yield is
greater than g.
After t = 3, gL = constant = 6%, so the
capital gains yield = 6%.
Because rs = 13%, after t = 3 dividend
yield = 13% – 6% = 7%.
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copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for
use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for
classroom use.
Using Stock Price Multiples to Estimate
Stock Price
Analysts often use the P/E multiple (the price per share divided
by the earnings per share).
Example:
Estimate the average P/E ratio of comparable firms. This is the
P/E multiple.
Multiply this average P/E ratio by the expected earnings of the
company to estimate its stock price.
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classroom use.
Using Entity Multiples
The entity value (V) is:
the market value of equity (# shares of stock multiplied by the
price per share)
plus the value of debt.
Pick a measure, such as EBITDA, Sales, Customers, Eyeballs,
etc.
Calculate the average entity ratio for a sample of comparable
firms. For example,
V/EBITDA
V/Customers
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classroom use.
Using Entity Multiples (Continued)
Find the entity value of the firm in question. For example,
Multiply the firm’s sales by the V/Sales multiple.
Multiply the firm’s # of customers by the V/Customers ratio
The result is the firm’s total value.
Subtract the firm’s debt to get the total value of its equity.
Divide by the number of shares to calculate the price per share.
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copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for
use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for
classroom use.
Problems with Market Multiple Methods
It is often hard to find comparable firms.
The average ratio for the sample of comparable firms often has
a wide range.
For example, the average P/E ratio might be 20, but the range
could be from 10 to 50. How do you know whether your firm
should be compared to the low, average, or high performers?
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copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for
use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for
classroom use.
Comparing the FCF Model and Dividend
Growth Model
Can apply FCF model in more situations:
Privately held companies
Divisions of companies
Companies that pay zero (or very low) dividends
FCF model requires forecasted financial statements to estimate
FCF
Takes more effort than just forecasting dividends, but…
Provides more insights into value drivers.
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copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for
use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for
classroom use.
Preferred Stock
Hybrid security.
Similar to bonds in that preferred stockholders receive a fixed
dividend which must be paid before dividends can be paid on
common stock.
However, unlike bonds, preferred stock dividends can be
omitted without fear of pushing the firm into bankruptcy.
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copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for
use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
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classroom use.
Value of Preferred Stock
(Dividend = $2.10; rps = 7%)
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use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for
classroom use.
(
)
t
op
t
t 1
FCF
V
1WACC
¥
=
=
+
å
(
)
(
)
(
)
(
)
12
op
12
3
3
FCFFCF
V
1WACC1WACC
FCF
FCF
...
1WACC1WACC
¥
¥
=+
++
++
++
(
)
(
)
(
)
1
21L
2
31
tL
L
t1
1
FCFFCF1g
FCFFCF1g
FCFFCF1g
-
=+
=+
=+
(
)
(
)
(
)
(
)
(
)
(
)
(
)
1
2L
1
op
12
2t-1
1L1L
3t
FCF1g
FCF
V
1WACC1WACC
FCF1gFCF1g
......
1WACC1WACC
+
=++
++
++
++
++
(
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(
)
(
)
(
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(
)
(
)
(
)
(
)
(
)
(
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(
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(
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)
1
1L1LL
op
12
LL
2t-1
1LL1LL
3t
LL
FCF1gFCF1g1g
V
1WACC1g1WACC1g
FCF1g1gFCF1g1g
......
1WACC1g1WACC1g
+++
=+
++++
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++++
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(
)
(
)
(
)
(
)
(
)
(
)
(
)
(
)
(
)
(
)
(
)
(
)
12
LL
11
op
12
LL
3t
LL
11
3t
LL
1+g1+g
FCFFCF
V=+
1+g1+g
1+WACC1+WACC
1+g1+g
FCFFCF
++...++...
1+g1+g
1+WACC1+WACC
éùéù
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12
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3
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++
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û
[
]
[
]
[
]
[
]
1
11
op
LL
11
L
2
3
L
Bigger than 1Bigger than 1
Bigger than 1Bigger than
FCFFCF
V=
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+
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[
]
[
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]
11
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L
1
L
11
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2
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Less than 1Less th
FCFFCF
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1g1g
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an 1
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(
)
1
op,0
FCF
V
WACCgL
=
-
(
)
(
)
0L
op,0
FCF1g
V
WACCgL
+
=
-
(
)
(
)
(
)
(
)
0L
op
L
op
FCF1g
V
WACCg
$2410.05
V$420
0.110.05
+
=
-
+
==
-
Total
operations
V
$420.00
STInv.100.00
V$520.00
+
(
)
(
)
t
op at time t
FCF1g
HVV
WACCg
+
==
-
(
)
(
)
(
)
(
)
3
3op,3
3
FCF1g
HVV
WACCg
$3510.05
HV$612.50
0.000.05
+
==
-
+
==
-
(
)
(
)
(
)
(
)
(
)
(
)
(
)
(
)
(
)
4L
4
L
4
4
44
3
124
1234
12
FCF(1g)
$48.025(10.05)
HV$1,260.65
WACCg)0.090.05
HV
$1,260.65
PV of HV$893.08
1WACC10.09
FCF
FCFFCFFCF
PV of FCF
1WACC1WACC1WACC1WACC
-$13$8.36$45.73
PV of FCF
10.0910.09
+
+
===
--
===
++
=+++
++++
=++
++
(
)
(
)
34
8$48.025
10.0910.09
PV of FCF$64.45
+
++
=
(
)
(
)
(
)
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)
3
12
0
123
ssss
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DDD
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D
ˆ
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rgrg
+
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0L0L0L
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rrRPb
7%5%1.2
13%
=+
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(
)
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(
)
10L
0L
1
0
sLsL
0
$2.12
$30.29
DD1g
$2.001.06
D1g
D
ˆ
P
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$2.12
ˆ
P
0.130.06
=+
==
+
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==
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t
t
sL
D1
ˆ
In general: P
rg
+
=
-
(
)
(
)
10L
1
0
sL
DD1g
$2.121.06$2.2472
D
ˆ
P
rg
$2.2472
0.130
$32.
0
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.6
=+
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=
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1
0
10
0
D
$2.12
Dividend yield
P$30.29
ˆ
PP
$32.10$30.29
CG y
7.0
ield
P$30.29
6.0%
%
===
-
-
==
=
11
0s
s0
DD
ˆ
ˆ
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rgP
==+
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s
ˆ
Then, r$2.12/$30.290.06
0.070.0613%
=+
=+=
1
0
At t0:
D
$2.60
Dividend yield5.6%
P$46.66
CG Yield13.0%5.6%7.4%
=
===
=-=
ps
ps
Dividend$2.10
V$30
r7%
===

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Due Date 1159 p.m. EST, Sunday, of Unit 7 Points 100

  • 1. Due Date: 11:59 p.m. EST, Sunday, of Unit 7 Points: 100 Overview: Over the course of the last few units, you have been working on crafting the argument for your Argument Essay. You will now write an argument essay that answers one of these questions. The essay should answer ONE of these questions: 1. Should climate change be considered a real issue or a hoax? 2. Should the United States have universal health care? 3. Should employers have access to employee’s social media content? Each of the above questions relate to one of the issues you have already written about in the Unit 4 Assignment: Pro and Con of an Issue. Now, choose one side of the issue to develop into an argument essay. You should answer ONE of the above questions in a well- thought out and developed
  • 2. argument essay with: • A clear introduction that sets up the issue, explains your topics, and ends with your thesis statement. • Body paragraphs focusing on one topic in support of your argument in each paragraph. o You need three reliable and academic sources for this assignment in support of your argument. You should include evidence that is directly quoted, paraphrased, or summarized to support each topic. The evidence should have appropriate in- text citations. o You will typically want to include one piece of evidence in the body of each paragraph, as you did in the paragraph and pro/con assignment. You are not required to include a source about the counterargument (other side of your argument), but you may if you would like. • Then, end with a conclusion that wraps up your essay’s argument and leaves the reader
  • 3. with something to consider about your issue. ENG110 – College Writing Argument Essay • Include a references page for the three sources you used in your essay. You can use the ideas from your Pro/Con paragraphs in your argument essay, but they should be revised and reworded so that you are not just resubmitting your Unit 4 assignment. Argument Essay and Third Person, Objective Writing We have probably all had to argue for a position we held. What makes someone receptive to your argument? Normally, the audience is more willing to listen to your position if you argue for it objectively and avoid unreasonable, argumentative tactics. Your argument needs to be logical and fair, giving people the ability to disagree with you. Your argument also should be written in the third person to show that you can be objective, meaning you use “He,” “she,” “they,” “people,” “one” and do not use “I,” “me,” “we,” “us,” “our,” “you,” and “your.” Instructions:
  • 4. • Create an argument essay that answers ONE of the above questions. • You should have a well-articulated argument essay with an introduction, body paragraphs (with evidence), conclusion, and a references page. Requirements: • Please submit a Microsoft Word document or PDF. • The essay should be three to four pages in length with an additional APA-style title and reference pages. The document should follow proper APA style formatting (Times New Roman, 12 font suggested) with 1-inch margins and double spaced. • Include three (3) sources in your essay that are reliable and academic. o Make sure you have at least three (3) in-text citations where you have directly quoted, paraphrased, or summarized material from the sources.
  • 5. You will need corresponding references for each of these sources that match the in-text citations. • You need an introduction and conclusion for this essay. Remember the introduction sets up the essay and ends with the thesis statement. The conclusion sums up the essay and restates the thesis in a different way. The introduction and conclusion should not be exact replicas of each other. • Your body paragraphs should each focus on one topic that supports your argument. • Your writing should be free of punctuation, spelling, and grammar errors and contain appropriate word choice for an academic setting with clear sentence structure. Be sure to read the criteria by which your work will be evaluated before you write
  • 6. and again after you write. Evaluation Rubric for the Argument Essay Assignment CRITERIA Novice Needs Improvement Proficient Exemplary (0–11 points) (12–15 points) (16–17 points) (18–20 points) Introduction and Conclusion Introduction and/or the conclusion are not present. Introduction/ conclusion are very hard to understand and significantly missing details. Introduction and conclusion are attempted. The introduction and conclusion may be lacking details to properly set up and then wrap up the
  • 7. essay. The introduction/ conclusion are not related. Introduction and conclusion nicely set up and wrap up the essay. The introduction/ conclusion could relate better. Introduction and conclusion effectively set up and wrap up the essay. The introduction/ conclusion relate well to each other. Organization and Structure Many details are not in a logical or expected order. The paper does not use paragraphs and does not focus on the assigned argument issue. Writing may have
  • 8. some discernible organization, but some details are not in a logical or expected order. The paper uses paragraphs ineffectively and lacks focus on the assigned argument issue. Writing is organized, and details are placed in a logical order. Paragraphs are mostly used effectively and generally focus well on the assignment argument issue. Writing is effective, purposeful, and well- organized. Paragraphs are used effectively and focus well on the assigned argument issue. Argument Fails to develop argument(s). No clear thesis to
  • 9. highlight the argument. Some argument(s) are developed but may be missing one or need further elaboration. Thesis attempts to highlight the argument, though clarification is needed. Develops most argument(s). Thesis highlights the argument with only minor need for clarification. Fully develops argument(s) fairly. Thesis highlights the argument well. Resources and Citations No reliable and academic resources used. Resources do not relate to the argument and/or are not properly
  • 10. 1 reliable and academic resource used. Resources generally relate to the argument but may not be properly formatted in the assignment. 2 reliable and academic resources used. Resources relate to the argument, and for the most part, are 3 reliable and academic resources used. Resources effectively relate to the argument and are properly formatted in the assignment. CRITERIA Novice Needs Improvement Proficient Exemplary formatted in the
  • 11. assignment. properly formatted in the assignment. (0–5 points) (6–7 points) (8 points) (9–10 points) Paper Length Significantly less than 1 page or significantly more than 4 pages. Only 1–2 pages in length. Only 2–3 pages in length. 3–4 pages in length. Clear and Professional Writing and APA Format Writing is hard to understand because of errors in grammar, spelling, and punctuation. Word choice is inappropriate for
  • 12. an academic setting. Sentence structure is often unclear. Paper rarely or does not use the third- person perspective and an objective tone. APA format is not followed. Writing is sometimes difficult to understand because of several errors in grammar, punctuation, and spelling. Word choice is sometimes inappropriate for an academic setting. Sentence structure is sometimes unclear. Paper inconsistently uses a third-person perspective and objective tone. APA format is sometimes followed. Writing is easy to understand despite minor errors in
  • 13. punctuation, spelling, and grammar. Appropriate word choice is used for an academic setting. Sentence structure is mostly clear. Paper mostly uses a third-person perspective and objective tone. APA format is mostly followed. Writing is free of almost all punctuation, spelling, and grammar errors. Appropriate word choice is used for an academic setting. Sentence structure is clear. Paper is written in the third-person perspective with an objective tone. APA format is followed. Corporate Valuation and Stock Valuation CHAPTER 7 © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be
  • 14. copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Topics in Chapter Features of common stock Valuing common stock Dividend growth model Free cash flow valuation model Market multiples Preferred stock © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Corporate Valuation and Stock Valuation © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Common Stock: Owners, Directors, and Managers Represents ownership. Ownership implies control. Stockholders elect directors. Directors hire management. Since managers are “agents” of shareholders, their goal should be: Maximize stock price.
  • 15. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Classified Stock Classified stock has special provisions for each class, usually involving voting rights and dividend rights. Usually named Class A, Class B, etc. New shares in IPO sometimes have voting restrictions but full dividend rights. Founders’ shares usually have voting rights but dividend restrictions. Standard & Poor’s no longer allows new additions to its indices to have classified stock. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Tracking Stock The dividends of tracking stock are tied to a particular division, rather than the company as a whole. Investors can separately value the divisions. Its easier to compensate division managers with the tracking stock. But tracking stock usually has no voting rights, and the financial disclosure for the division is not as regulated as for the company. Very few companies have tracking stock. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be
  • 16. copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Different Approaches for Valuing Common Stock Free cash flow model Constant growth Nonconstant growth Dividend growth model Constant growth Nonconstant growth Using the multiples of comparable firms © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. The Free Cash Flow Valuation Model: FCF and WACC Free cash flow (FCF) is: The cash flow available for distribution to all of a company’s investors. Generated by a company’s operations. The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is: The overall rate of return required by all of the company’s investors. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Value of Operations (Vop)
  • 17. The PV of expected future FCF, discounted at the WACC, is the value of a company’s operations (Vop): © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Sources of Value Value of operations Nonoperating assets Short-term investments and other marketable securities Ownership of non-controlling interest in another company Value of nonoperating assets usually is very close to figure that is reported on balance sheets. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Claims on Corporate Value Debtholders have first claim. Preferred stockholders have the next claim. Any remaining value belongs to stockholders. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
  • 18. Total Corporate Value: Sources and Claims © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Value of operations= PV of FCF discounted at WACC Conceptually correct, but how do you find the present value of an infinite stream? © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Suppose FCFs are expected to grow at a constant rate, gL, starting at t=1, and continue forever. What happens to FCF? What is the value of operations if FCFs grow at a constant rate? See next slide. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Value of operations in terms of FCF1 and gL:
  • 19. We can multiply and divide by (1+gL), for a reason that will soon be clear, as shown on the next slide. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Rewritten value of operations: We can group , as shown on the next slide. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Value of operations with grouped terms: We can group the terms, as shown on the next slide. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Value of operations if FCF grows at a constant rate:
  • 20. What happens toif t gets large? It depends on the size of gL relative to WACC. See next slide. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. What happens to as t gets large? If gL < WACC: Then < 1. If gL ≥ WACC: Then ≥ 1. What happens to the value of operations if gL ≥ WACC? See next slide. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. What happens to the value of operations if gL ≥ WACC? Vop = (Big) + (Bigger) + (Even Bigger) + …+ (Really big!) = Infinity! So g can’t be greater than or equal to WACC! © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. What happens to the value of operations
  • 21. if gL ≤ WACC? Vop = (Small) + (Smaller) + (Even smaller) + …+ FCF0 (Really small!) = ? All the terms get smaller and smaller, but what happens to the sum? See next slide © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. What is the sum of an infinite number of factors that get smaller at a geometric rate? Consider this example. The first row is t. The second row is a number that is less than 1 that is compounded to the power of t. The third row is the cumulative sum.t1234 . . . ∞(1/2)t1/21/41/81/161/∞ ≈ 0Σ(1/2)t1/23/47/815/16≈ 1 This sum converges to 1. Similarly, converges (although not to 1). See next slide. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Constant Growth Formula for Value of Operations: gL begins at Time 1 If FCF are expected to grow at a constant rate of gL from Time 1 and afterwards, and gL<WACC: This is the PV of all FCF from Time 1 through infinity, when
  • 22. discounted at WACC. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Constant Growth Formula for Value of Operations: gL begins at Time 0 If FCF are expected to grow at a constant rate of gL from Time 0 and afterwards, and gL<WACC: This is still the PV of all FCF from Time 1 through infinity, when discounted at WACC. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Data for FCF Valuation FCF0 = $24 million WACC = 11% FCF is expected to grow at a constant rate of gL = 5% Short-term investments = $100 million Debt = $200 million Preferred stock = $50 million Number of shares =n = 10 million © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certai n product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for
  • 23. classroom use. Find Value of Operations © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Total Value of Company (VTotal) © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Estimated Intrinsic Value of Equity (VEquity)Voperations$420.00+ ST Inv.100.00VTotal$520.00−Debt200.00− Preferred Stk.50.00VEquity$270.00 © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Estimated Intrinsic Stock Price per Share, (1 of 2)Voperations`$420.00+ ST Inv.100.00VTotal$520.00−Debt200.00− Preferred
  • 24. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Expansion Plan: Nonconstant Growth Finance expansion financed by owners. Projected free cash flows (FCF): Year 1 FCF = −$10 million. Year 2 FCF = $20 million. Year 3 FCF = $35 million FCF grows at constant rate of 5% after year 3. No change in WACC, marketable securities, debt, preferred stock, or number of shares of stock. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Estimating the Value of Operations Free cash flows are forecast for three years in this example, so the forecast horizon is three years. Growth in free cash flows is not constant during the forecast, so we can’t use the constant growth formula to find the value of operations at time 0. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for
  • 25. classroom use. Time Line of FCFYear012345… tFCF−$10$20$35FCF3(1+gL)FCF4(1+gL)FCFt(1+gL) Free cash flows are forecast for three years in this example, so the forecast horizon is three years. Growth in free cash flows is not constant during the forecast, so we can’t use the constant growth formula to find the value of operations at time 0. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Horizon ValueYear012345… tFCFFCF3(1+gL)FCF4(1+gL)FCFt(1+gL)HV3← ↵ ← ↵ ← ↵ Horizon value is also called terminal value, or continuing value. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Horizon Value Application (FCF3 = $35, WACC = 11%, gL = 5%) This is the value of FCF from Year 4 and beyond discounted back to Year 3. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be
  • 26. copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Value of Operations at t=0: PV of FCF1 through FCF3 plus PV of HV3Year012345… tFCFFCF1FCF2FCF3PV of FCF in explicit forecast← ↵ ← ↵ ← ↵ FCF3(1+gL)FCF4(1+gL)FCFt(1+gL)+HV3← ↵ ← ↵ ← ↵ PV of HV← ↵ ← ↵ ← ↵ = Value of operations Time 0 PV of HV is the PV of FCF beyond the explicit forecast. So PV of HV plus PV of FCF in explicit forecast is the PV of all future FCFs. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Application: Current Value of Operations (Nonconstant g in FCF until after Year 3; gL = 5%; WACC = 11%) © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Estimated Intrinsic Stock Price per Share, (2 of 2) Voperations$480.67 + ST Inv. 100.00 VTotal$580.67 −Debt200.00− Preferred Stk. 50.00VEquity$330.67 ÷ n 10 $33.07 © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be
  • 27. copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. How much of the value of operations is based on cash flows from Year 4 and beyond? The horizon value is the value of all FCF from Year 4 and beyond, discounted back to Year 3. The present value of HV3 is the present value of all FCF from Year 4 and beyond. The PV of HV3 is the percent of total value due to long-term cash flows. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Value of Operations and Present Value of Horizon Value Value of operations: Vop = $480.67 Horizon value: HV3 = $612.5 PV of HV3 = $612.5/(1 + 0.11)3 = $447.855 © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Percent of Value Due to Long-Term Cash Flows In this example, 93% of value is due to cash flows 4 or more
  • 28. years into the future. For the average company, this percentage is around 80%. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Long-term versus Short-term Focus Why focus on quarterly earnings if most value is from longer- term cash flows? Changes in quarterly earnings can signal changes future in cash flows. This would affect the current stock price. Managers often have bonuses tied to quarterly earnings, so they have incentive to manage earnings. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Forecasting Free Cash Flows: A Simple Approach Forecast sales to grow at chosen growth rates. Forecast net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) and total net operating capital (OpCap) as a percent of sales. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Current Situation (in millions) Most recent data:
  • 29. Sales of $2,000 Total net operating capital, OpCap = $1,120 Operating profitability ratio OP = NOPAT/Sales = 4.5% Capital requirement ratio CR = OpCap/Sales = 56%. The target weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is 9%. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Initial Operating Assumptions for the No Change Scenario Operating ratios remain unchanged from values in most recent year. Sales will grow by 10%, 8%, 5%, and 5% for the next four years. The long-term growth rate in sales is 5%. The target weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is 9%. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. AssumptionsActualForecastInputs01234WACC9.0%Sales$2,000 OpCap$1,120Sales growth rate10%8%5%5%NOPAT/Sales4.5%4.5%4.5%4.5%4.5%OpCAP /Sales56.0%56.0%56.0%56.0%56.0% © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
  • 30. or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Examples of Forecasting Items Sales1 = $2,000(1+0.10) = $2,200 NOPAT1 = $2,200(0.045) = $99 OpCap1 = $2,200(0.56) = $1,232 FCFt = NOPATt − (OpCapt − OpCapt-1) ROICt = NOPATt/OpCapt © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Forecasted FCF: No changes in operating ratiosScenario: No ChangeActualForecast01234Sales$2,000$2,200$2,376$2,495$2, 620NOPAT$99$107$112$117.879OpCap$1,120$1,232$1,331$1, 397.088$1,466.942FCF −$13$8.36$45.738$48.025Growth in FCF-164%447.1%5.0%ROIC8.0%8.0%8.0%8.0%8.0% FCF is negative in Year 1. ROIC of 8% is less than WACC of 9%--not good! Note: There is no rounding in intermediate calculations. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Estimated Intrinsic Value (1 of 2)
  • 31. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Estimated Intrinsic Value (2 of 2)Scenario: No ChangeHorizon Value:HV4 =$1,260.65Value of Operations:Present value of HV$893.08+ Present value of FCF$64.45Value of operations ≈$958 © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. The Value of Operations versus the Total Net Operating Capital The ROIC (8%) is too low compared to the WACC (9%). The capital is not earning enough to meet investors’ required return, so: Horizon value ($958) is less than the total net operating capital at the horizon ($1,467). Current value of operations ($958) is less than the current total net operating capital ($1,120). ROIC must be greater than WACC/(1+gL) for horizon value to be greater than the total net operating capital at the horizon. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Value Drivers The ROIC (8%) is too low compared to the WACC (9%).
  • 32. The capital is not earning enough to meet investors’ required return, so: Horizon value ($958) is less than the total net operating capital at the horizon ($1,467). Current value of operations ($958) is less than the current total net operating capital ($1,120). ROIC must be greater than WACC/(1+gL) for horizon value to be greater than the total net operating capital at the horizon. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Impact of Higher Growth RatesNo ChangeImprove Growthg0,110%11%g1,28%9%g2,35%6%g3,45%6%gL5%6%OP 4.5%4.5%CR56.0%56.0%ROIC8.0%8.0%Vop,0$958$933WACC 9.00%9.00% Higher growth causes Vop,0 to fall. ROIC must be greater than WACC/(1+WACC) for growth to add value. WACC/(1+WACC) = 8.26% © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Impact of Higher Operating ProfitabilityNo ChangeImprove OPg0,110%10%g1,28%8%g2,35%5%g3,45%5%gL5%5%OP4.5 %5.5%CR56.0%56.0%ROIC8.0%9.8%Vop,0$958$1,523WACC9 .00%9.00% Higher operating profitability increases the ROIC. ROIC of 9.8% > 8.26%
  • 33. The higher ROIC causes a big increase in Vop,0. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Impact of Lower Capital RequirementsNo ChangeImprove CRg0,110%10%g1,28%8%g2,35%5%g3,45%5%gL5%5%OP4.5 %4.5%CR56.0%51.0%ROIC8.0%8.8%Vop,0$958$1,191WACC9 .00%9.00% Lower capital requirements increases the ROIC. ROIC of 8.8% > 8.26% The higher ROIC causes an increase in Vop,0. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Impact of Simultaneous Improvements in OP and CRNo ChangeImprove OP and CRg0,110%10%g1,28%8%g2,35%5%g3,45%5%gL5%5%OP4.5 %5.5%CR56.0%51.0%ROIC8.0%10.8%Vop,0$958$1,756WACC 9.00%9.00% The ROIC is much higher due to the improvements in operations. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
  • 34. Impact of Simultaneous Improvements in Growth, OP, and CRNo ChangeImprove Allg0,110%11%g1,28%9%g2,35%6%g3,45%6%gL5%6%OP4.5 %5.5%CR56.0%51.0%ROIC8.0%10.8%Vop,0$958$2,008WACC 9.00%9.00% The ROIC is much higher due to the improvements in operations. With a higher ROIC, growth adds substantial value. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Summary: Value of operations for previous combinations of ROIC and gLROICROICROICROICROIC8.0%8.8%9.8%10.8%gL5%$958$ 1,191$1,523$1,756gL6%$933$1,247$1,694$2,008 The ROIC is much higher due to the improvements in operations. With a higher ROIC, growth adds substantial value. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Are volatile stock prices consistent with rational pricing? The previous slide shows that small changes in ROIC and growth cause large changes in value. Similarly, small changes in the cost of capital (WACC), perhaps due to changes in risk or interest rates, cause large changes in value. As new information arrives, investors continually update their
  • 35. estimates of operating profitability, capital requirements, growth, risk, and interest rates. If stock prices aren’t volatile, then this means there isn’t a good flow of information. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Value of dividend-paying stock = PV of dividends discounted at required return Conceptually correct, but how do you find the present value of an infinite stream? © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Suppose dividends are expected to grow at a constant rate, gL, forever. D1 = D0(1 + gL)1 D2 = D0(1 + gL)2 Dt = D0(1 + gL)t What is the present value of a constant growth Dt when discounted at the stock’s required return, rs? See next slide. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
  • 36. or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Present Value of a Constant Growth Dividend What happens to as t gets bigger? If gL<rs: Then < 1. So the bracket approaches zero as t gets large. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Constant Dividend Growth Model (gL<rs) If gL is constant and less than rs, then converges to: © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. What happens if gL > rs? So gL must be less than rs for the constant growth model to be applicable!! © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for
  • 37. classroom use. Required rate of return: beta = 1.2, rRF = 7%, and RPM = 5%. Use the SML to calculate rs: © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Estimated Intrinsic Stock Value: D0 = $2.00, rs = 13%, gL = 6% © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Expected Stock Price in 1 Year © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
  • 38. Expected Dividend Yield and Capital Gains Yield (Year 1) © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Total Year 1 Return Total return = Dividend yield + Capital gains yield. Total return = 7% + 6% = 13%. Total return = 13% = rs. For constant growth stock: Capital gains yield = 6% = gL. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Rearrange model to rate of return form: © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
  • 39. Nonconstant Growth Stock Nonconstant growth of 30% for Year 0 to Year 1, 25% for Year 1 to Year 2, 15% for Year 2 to Year 3, and then long-run constant gL = 6%. Can no longer use constant growth model. However, growth becomes constant after 3 years. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Steps to Estimate Current Stock Value Forecast dividends for nonconstant period, which ends at horizon date after which growth is constant at gL. Find horizon value, which is PV of dividends beyond horizon date discounted back to horizon date Horizon value = = © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Steps to Estimate Current Stock Price (Continued) Find PV of each dividend in the forecast period. Find PV of horizon value. Sum PV of dividends and PV of horizon value. Result is estimated current stock value. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
  • 40. or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Example of Estimating Current Stock Value (D0 = $2.00, rs = 13%) © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Expected Dividend Yield and Capital Gains Yield (t = 0) © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Expected Dividend Yield and Capital Gains Yield (after t = 3) During nonconstant growth, dividend yield and capital gains yield are not constant. If current growth is greater than g, current capital gains yield is greater than g. After t = 3, gL = constant = 6%, so the capital gains yield = 6%. Because rs = 13%, after t = 3 dividend yield = 13% – 6% = 7%. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for
  • 41. use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Using Stock Price Multiples to Estimate Stock Price Analysts often use the P/E multiple (the price per share divided by the earnings per share). Example: Estimate the average P/E ratio of comparable firms. This is the P/E multiple. Multiply this average P/E ratio by the expected earnings of the company to estimate its stock price. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Using Entity Multiples The entity value (V) is: the market value of equity (# shares of stock multiplied by the price per share) plus the value of debt. Pick a measure, such as EBITDA, Sales, Customers, Eyeballs, etc. Calculate the average entity ratio for a sample of comparable firms. For example, V/EBITDA V/Customers © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for
  • 42. classroom use. Using Entity Multiples (Continued) Find the entity value of the firm in question. For example, Multiply the firm’s sales by the V/Sales multiple. Multiply the firm’s # of customers by the V/Customers ratio The result is the firm’s total value. Subtract the firm’s debt to get the total value of its equity. Divide by the number of shares to calculate the price per share. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Problems with Market Multiple Methods It is often hard to find comparable firms. The average ratio for the sample of comparable firms often has a wide range. For example, the average P/E ratio might be 20, but the range could be from 10 to 50. How do you know whether your firm should be compared to the low, average, or high performers? © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Comparing the FCF Model and Dividend Growth Model Can apply FCF model in more situations: Privately held companies Divisions of companies Companies that pay zero (or very low) dividends
  • 43. FCF model requires forecasted financial statements to estimate FCF Takes more effort than just forecasting dividends, but… Provides more insights into value drivers. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Preferred Stock Hybrid security. Similar to bonds in that preferred stockholders receive a fixed dividend which must be paid before dividends can be paid on common stock. However, unlike bonds, preferred stock dividends can be omitted without fear of pushing the firm into bankruptcy. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Value of Preferred Stock (Dividend = $2.10; rps = 7%) © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
  • 51. ] [ ] [ ] [ ] 1 11 op LL 11 L 2 3 L Bigger than 1Bigger than 1 Bigger than 1Bigger than FCFFCF V= 1g1g 1 FCFFCF ... 1g1g ¥ éùéù + êúêú ++ ëûëû éùéù +++ êúêú ++ ëûëû
  • 52. [ ] [ ] [ ] [ ] 11 op L 1 L 11 LL 2 3 Less than 1Less th FCFFCF V= 1g1g FCFFCF ... 1g an 1 Less than 1Less tn1 g h 1 a ¥ éùéù + êúêú ++ ëûëû
  • 56. ) ( ) 4L 4 L 4 4 44 3 124 1234 12 FCF(1g) $48.025(10.05) HV$1,260.65 WACCg)0.090.05 HV $1,260.65 PV of HV$893.08 1WACC10.09 FCF FCFFCFFCF PV of FCF 1WACC1WACC1WACC1WACC -$13$8.36$45.73 PV of FCF 10.0910.09 + + === -- === ++ =+++ ++++
  • 59. Ls,0 t s D1gD1gD1g ˆ P... 1r1r1r 1g ˆ If grthen1, and P 1r ¥ ¥ +++ =+++ +++ + >>=¥ + ( ) ( ) ( ) sRFMFirm rrRPb 7%5%1.2 13% =+ =+ = ( ) ( )
  • 62. ˆ PP $32.10$30.29 CG y 7.0 ield P$30.29 6.0% % === - - == = 11 0s s0 DD ˆ ˆ P to rg. rgP ==+ - s ˆ Then, r$2.12/$30.290.06 0.070.0613% =+ =+= 1 0 At t0: D $2.60 Dividend yield5.6%