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MNI Russia Business Press Release May 2014
- 1. Embargoed until 9:45 A.M. Moscow Time, 27 May 2014
Media Release
MNI Russia Business Indicator Falls to 49.2 in May
from 55.6 in April
Business Sentiment Falls Below 50 Amid Ukraine Crisis
Russian business sentiment contracted sharply in
May to the lowest level since December 2013, as
businesses felt the heat of the standoff with the west
over Russia’s military intervention in Crimea.
The MNI Russia Business Indicator fell to 49.2 in
May from 55.6 in April, to stand 11.5% below the
level seen in May 2013. The decline in the indicator
below the 50 expansion/contraction level suggests a
considerable dent has been made in Russian business
confidence from what have only been limited
sanctions imposed by the US and the EU.
New Orders and Production fell further, although
Export Orders managed to recover somewhat but still
remained in contraction. Stock levels continued to
contract but at a slower pace than in April.
While companies were still optimistic about their
future financial position, the indicator measuring the
financial health of our survey firms has trended down
over three months and it hit a series low in May.
Commenting on the latest survey, Philip Uglow, Chief
Economist of MNI Indicators said, “We had already
seen some impact on the companies in our panel
from the fallout in Ukraine, but this month’s fall into
contraction shows it even more clearly.”
Copyright© 2014 MNI Indicators | Deutsche Börse Group
Reproduction or retransmission in whole or in part is prohibited except by permission. All rights reserved.
For more information:
Naomi Pickens
Media Relations
Deutsche Börse
T+1-212-669-6459
naomi.pickens@deutsche-boerse.com
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Editorial content:
Philip Uglow,
Chief Economist
MNI Indicators
“Russia’s agreement to supply natural gas to China
helps to diversify its trading partners. But while
President Putin enjoyed his moment in the spotlight
with President Xi of China, the vast majority of
Russia’s trade lies with Europe and he’d be wise not
to rattle their cage too much more.”
- 2. Media Release 2
Copyright© 2014 MNI Indicators | Deutsche Börse Group
Reproduction or retransmission in whole or in part is prohibited except by permission. All rights reserved.
About MNI Indicators
MNI Indicators is a product line that specialises in monthly business and consumer focused macro-economic reports that explore attitudes, perspectives
and confidence across different regions designed to present an advance picture of the economic landscape and highlighting changing patterns and
potential developments in business and consumer activities.
About MNI
MNI is the leading provider of news and intelligence, a wholly owned subsidiary of Deutsche Börse AG, one of the largest worldwide exchange
organisations.
Notes to Editors
Please source all information to MNI Indicators.
MNI Russia Business Sentiment is a monthly poll of Russian business executives at companies listed on the Moscow Exchange. Companies are a mix of
manufacturing, service, construction and agricultural firms.
Respondents are asked their opinion on whether a particular business activity has increased, decreased or remained the same compared with the previous
month as well as their expectations for three months ahead, e.g. is Production higher/same/lower compared with a month ago?
Diffusion indicators are then calculated by adding the percentage share of positive responses to half the percentage of those respondents reporting no
change. An indicator reading above 50 shows expansion, below 50 indicates contraction and a result of 50 means no change.
Data is collected through computer aided telephone interviews (CATI) and around 200 companies are surveyed each month.