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MNI Russia Business Indicator Falls to 51.5 In
November from 56.3 in October
Future Expectations Hit A New Low
The MNI Russia Business Indicator declined for the
second consecutive month in November, following a
sharp rise in September, while expectations for the
future hit their lowest level since the series began in
March.

fell sharply in November and companies see
conditions worsening over the next few months. The
fall in employment, if sustained, will do little to help
an economy already struggling to grow.”

The Business Indicator fell 8.5% on the month to
51.5 in November from 56.3 in the previous month,
leaving it only just above the series low of 51.3
reported in August.

“Rather than taking action to tackle many of the
deep seated economic problems the country faces,
recent comments from officials suggest they are
capitulating in the face of weak economic growth
with little idea of how to turn the economy around,”
he added.

Business conditions worsened considerably in the
construction sector with the current indicator falling
into contraction. Optimism among service sector
companies also fell while it improved for manufacturing
companies.

MNI Russia Business Indicator

Businesses believe conditions will continue to worsen
over the next three months, with the Expectations
Indicator falling to a new series low of 45.0 in
November from 47.2 in October.
Companies reported weaker Production and New
Orders compared with October and expected
conditions to worsen over the coming months.
The Employment Indicator, which measures the
amount of labour demand from businesses, fell below
50 for the first time in November to the lowest on
record. A higher proportion of businesses reported
that they had too many employees.
Commenting on the latest survey, MNI Indicators
Chief Economist Philip Uglow said, “Business activity

75
70
65
60
55
50
45
40
Mar-13

May-13

Jul-13

Sep-13

Current Conditions
Future Expectations

For more information, please contact:
Customer Support
support@mni-indicators.com
+44 (0)20 7862 7444

Copyright© 2013 MNI Indicators | Deutsche Börse Group.
Reproduction or retransmission in whole or in part is prohibited except by permission. All rights reserved.

Nov-13
MNI Indicators - November 2013

Overview
Nov -13

Highest
Since

Lowest
Since

3-Month
Average

Monthly
Change

Monthly %
Change

Sep -13

Oct -13

Current Conditions

59.0

56.3

51.5

-

Aug-13

55.6

-4.8

-8.5%

Future Expectations

55.0

47.2

45.0

-

series low

49.1

-2.2

-4.7%

Current Conditions

58.0

58.3

53.5

-

Aug-13

56.6

-4.8

-8.2%

Future Expectations

57.0

48.3

45.5

-

series low

50.3

-2.8

-5.8%

Current Conditions

61.5

59.5

53.5

-

Aug-13

58.2

-6.0

-10.1%

Future Expectations

57.8

48.8

45.5

-

series low

50.7

-3.3

-6.8%

MNI Russia Business
Indicator

Production

New Orders

Export Orders
Current Conditions

54.3

52.1

48.7

-

Aug-13

51.7

-3.4

-6.5%

Future Expectations

43.3

41.6

42.1

Sep-13

-

42.3

0.5

1.2%

Current Conditions

52.0

51.8

50.8

-

Aug-13

51.5

-1.0

-1.9%

Future Expectations

49.5

48.7

48.5

-

series low

48.9

-0.2

-0.4%

Current Conditions

49.2

50.3

47.4

-

Aug-13

49.0

-2.9

-5.8%

Future Expectations

43.8

40.4

40.9

Sep-13

-

41.7

0.5

1.2%

Productive Capacity

Order Backlogs

Employment
Current Conditions

51.0

51.3

47.7

-

series low

50.0

-3.6

-7.0%

Future Expectations

47.5

46.2

46.2

Oct-13

-

46.6

0.0

0.0%

Current Conditions

49.4

48.7

45.7

-

series low

47.9

-3.0

-6.2%

Future Expectations

51.9

51.3

42.6

-

Mar-13

48.6

-8.7

-17.0%

Current Conditions

55.8

54.2

53.4

-

Aug-13

54.5

-0.8

-1.5%

Future Expectations

55.3

51.3

51.0

-

series low

52.5

-0.3

-0.6%

Inventories

Input Prices

Prices Received
Current Conditions

58.3

58.5

53.5

-

Jul-13

56.8

-5.0

-8.5%

Future Expectations

55.3

50.3

50.0

-

series low

51.9

-0.3

-0.6%

Current Conditions

61.4

61.9

58.6

-

Aug-13

60.6

-3.3

-5.3%

Future Expectations

66.9

59.7

56.2

-

Jun-13

60.9

-3.5

-5.9%

Financial Position

Interest Rates Paid
Current Conditions

50.8

50.8

50.5

-

series low

50.7

-0.3

-0.6%

Future Expectations

50.3

50.0

50.6

Jul-13

-

50.3

0.6

1.2%

Effect of Rouble Exchange
Rate
Current Conditions

51.0

53.4

54.1

series high

-

52.8

0.7

1.3%

Future Expectations

50.7

50.7

50.0

-

Aug-13

50.5

-0.7

-1.4%

Current Conditions

51.0

50.3

49.7

-

Aug-13

50.3

-0.6

-1.2%

Future Expectations

49.5

49.5

49.2

-

Mar-13

49.4

-0.3

-0.6%

Supplier Delivery Times

Availability of Credit
Current Conditions

54.7

54.9

58.0

series high

-

55.9

3.1

5.6%

Future Expectations

54.9

53.4

52.0

-

series low

53.4

-1.4

-2.6%

2

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MNI Russia Business_overview_2013-11

  • 1. Insight and data for better decisions MNI Russia Business Indicator Falls to 51.5 In November from 56.3 in October Future Expectations Hit A New Low The MNI Russia Business Indicator declined for the second consecutive month in November, following a sharp rise in September, while expectations for the future hit their lowest level since the series began in March. fell sharply in November and companies see conditions worsening over the next few months. The fall in employment, if sustained, will do little to help an economy already struggling to grow.” The Business Indicator fell 8.5% on the month to 51.5 in November from 56.3 in the previous month, leaving it only just above the series low of 51.3 reported in August. “Rather than taking action to tackle many of the deep seated economic problems the country faces, recent comments from officials suggest they are capitulating in the face of weak economic growth with little idea of how to turn the economy around,” he added. Business conditions worsened considerably in the construction sector with the current indicator falling into contraction. Optimism among service sector companies also fell while it improved for manufacturing companies. MNI Russia Business Indicator Businesses believe conditions will continue to worsen over the next three months, with the Expectations Indicator falling to a new series low of 45.0 in November from 47.2 in October. Companies reported weaker Production and New Orders compared with October and expected conditions to worsen over the coming months. The Employment Indicator, which measures the amount of labour demand from businesses, fell below 50 for the first time in November to the lowest on record. A higher proportion of businesses reported that they had too many employees. Commenting on the latest survey, MNI Indicators Chief Economist Philip Uglow said, “Business activity 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 Mar-13 May-13 Jul-13 Sep-13 Current Conditions Future Expectations For more information, please contact: Customer Support support@mni-indicators.com +44 (0)20 7862 7444 Copyright© 2013 MNI Indicators | Deutsche Börse Group. Reproduction or retransmission in whole or in part is prohibited except by permission. All rights reserved. Nov-13
  • 2. MNI Indicators - November 2013 Overview Nov -13 Highest Since Lowest Since 3-Month Average Monthly Change Monthly % Change Sep -13 Oct -13 Current Conditions 59.0 56.3 51.5 - Aug-13 55.6 -4.8 -8.5% Future Expectations 55.0 47.2 45.0 - series low 49.1 -2.2 -4.7% Current Conditions 58.0 58.3 53.5 - Aug-13 56.6 -4.8 -8.2% Future Expectations 57.0 48.3 45.5 - series low 50.3 -2.8 -5.8% Current Conditions 61.5 59.5 53.5 - Aug-13 58.2 -6.0 -10.1% Future Expectations 57.8 48.8 45.5 - series low 50.7 -3.3 -6.8% MNI Russia Business Indicator Production New Orders Export Orders Current Conditions 54.3 52.1 48.7 - Aug-13 51.7 -3.4 -6.5% Future Expectations 43.3 41.6 42.1 Sep-13 - 42.3 0.5 1.2% Current Conditions 52.0 51.8 50.8 - Aug-13 51.5 -1.0 -1.9% Future Expectations 49.5 48.7 48.5 - series low 48.9 -0.2 -0.4% Current Conditions 49.2 50.3 47.4 - Aug-13 49.0 -2.9 -5.8% Future Expectations 43.8 40.4 40.9 Sep-13 - 41.7 0.5 1.2% Productive Capacity Order Backlogs Employment Current Conditions 51.0 51.3 47.7 - series low 50.0 -3.6 -7.0% Future Expectations 47.5 46.2 46.2 Oct-13 - 46.6 0.0 0.0% Current Conditions 49.4 48.7 45.7 - series low 47.9 -3.0 -6.2% Future Expectations 51.9 51.3 42.6 - Mar-13 48.6 -8.7 -17.0% Current Conditions 55.8 54.2 53.4 - Aug-13 54.5 -0.8 -1.5% Future Expectations 55.3 51.3 51.0 - series low 52.5 -0.3 -0.6% Inventories Input Prices Prices Received Current Conditions 58.3 58.5 53.5 - Jul-13 56.8 -5.0 -8.5% Future Expectations 55.3 50.3 50.0 - series low 51.9 -0.3 -0.6% Current Conditions 61.4 61.9 58.6 - Aug-13 60.6 -3.3 -5.3% Future Expectations 66.9 59.7 56.2 - Jun-13 60.9 -3.5 -5.9% Financial Position Interest Rates Paid Current Conditions 50.8 50.8 50.5 - series low 50.7 -0.3 -0.6% Future Expectations 50.3 50.0 50.6 Jul-13 - 50.3 0.6 1.2% Effect of Rouble Exchange Rate Current Conditions 51.0 53.4 54.1 series high - 52.8 0.7 1.3% Future Expectations 50.7 50.7 50.0 - Aug-13 50.5 -0.7 -1.4% Current Conditions 51.0 50.3 49.7 - Aug-13 50.3 -0.6 -1.2% Future Expectations 49.5 49.5 49.2 - Mar-13 49.4 -0.3 -0.6% Supplier Delivery Times Availability of Credit Current Conditions 54.7 54.9 58.0 series high - 55.9 3.1 5.6% Future Expectations 54.9 53.4 52.0 - series low 53.4 -1.4 -2.6% 2