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Financing and Regional
       Solutions
      Marlon G. Boarnet
   Dept. of Planning, Policy, & Design
  Metropolitan Futures Initiative of the
        School of Social Ecology
                UC Irvine
Background: The Economy




   Source: California Employment
   Development Department
Longer Term
• Peak oil
  – Increasing demand
  – Reduced supply
• Climate change
• Federal air quality attainment
• Need to reinvest in regional transportation
  infrastructure
• Hollowing out of regional economy
  – Aging of population
  – Stalled wage growth
SCAG Region vs. 17 Largest
      Metropolitan Regions

 110%


Average                           Average Payroll
                                     Per Job

  90%
                  Per Capita                        87%
               Personal Income                      84%
  80%
        1970   1980        1990       2000   2004
Per Capita Income Rank
    7                                       Among Top 17
     Seattle
                                              Metros
                           Minneapolis 6      Detroit
                                                                       4
                                                        11 Cleveland      Boston
                                                 10                  3 New York
                                                          15
                                           Chicago           13    8 Philadelphia
1 San Francisco        5                                 Pittsburgh
                                                                           2 Washington
                  Denver          St. Louis 14
                                                                             DC
     SCAG
     Region

    16                     Dallas 12
                                                  Atlanta 17


                           Houston     9
    Was in 4th place
       in 1970,                                                       12
     7th in 1990

                                  2005: US Bureau of Economic Analysis
Policy Context
• Proposition 13
  – More reliance on sales and income tax
• Gasoline tax has not kept pace with
  driving or inflation
  – Federal gas tax last increased in 1993
  – California, even longer
• Sales tax increment for transportation
California Fuel Tax Revenue Per Million
Vehicle Miles Traveled




      Source: Caltrans, California Transportation
      Plan, 2025


                                                    Raise the Gas Tax
                                                    A Revenue-Neutral Way to
                                                    Treat Our Oil Addiction
                                                    By Richard G. Lugar
                                                    Sunday, February 1, 2009
Options
• Status Quo
  – Project-by-project environmental review and
    financing



• Hope for more federal funding
• New regional solutions
Moving Toward Solutions
• Regional infrastructure strategies
   – Freight movement
   – San Bernardino sub-region
• Planning area – collaboration
   – Models: Western Riverside Habitat Conservation Plan, Alameda
     Corridor Agency, Santa Ana Watershed Project Authority
• Nexus between user fees and financing instruments
   – Manage demand and improve supply
• Regional fee / infrastructure bank / financing and
  investment plan
• Mitigation banks and in lieu fee arrangements
• Early acquisition of conservation lands, public rights of
  way
Pilot Cases
• Goods movement corridor
  – Lowenthal, SB 974, 2008, est. $340 million
    per year Ports of LA/LB
  – Infrastructure needs: emission reduction,
    electrification
  – Can we afford this? Can we afford not to
    invest?
User Fee Pricing
    Tax = MSC - MPC
$
                              MSC
                                     MPC




                              Status quo: no
                              user fees




                                    D = MSB = MPB

                Q*    Qp                       Q
MSC = marginal social cost     MSB = marginal social benefit
MPC = marginal private cost    MPB = marginal private benefit
LTC, Annual Forum, The Implementation of Visions for Regional Economic and Environmental Sustainability, 05/14/2010, Marlon Boarnet

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LTC, Annual Forum, The Implementation of Visions for Regional Economic and Environmental Sustainability, 05/14/2010, Marlon Boarnet

  • 1. Financing and Regional Solutions Marlon G. Boarnet Dept. of Planning, Policy, & Design Metropolitan Futures Initiative of the School of Social Ecology UC Irvine
  • 2. Background: The Economy Source: California Employment Development Department
  • 3. Longer Term • Peak oil – Increasing demand – Reduced supply • Climate change • Federal air quality attainment • Need to reinvest in regional transportation infrastructure • Hollowing out of regional economy – Aging of population – Stalled wage growth
  • 4. SCAG Region vs. 17 Largest Metropolitan Regions 110% Average Average Payroll Per Job 90% Per Capita 87% Personal Income 84% 80% 1970 1980 1990 2000 2004
  • 5. Per Capita Income Rank 7 Among Top 17 Seattle Metros Minneapolis 6 Detroit 4 11 Cleveland Boston 10 3 New York 15 Chicago 13 8 Philadelphia 1 San Francisco 5 Pittsburgh 2 Washington Denver St. Louis 14 DC SCAG Region 16 Dallas 12 Atlanta 17 Houston 9 Was in 4th place in 1970, 12 7th in 1990 2005: US Bureau of Economic Analysis
  • 6. Policy Context • Proposition 13 – More reliance on sales and income tax • Gasoline tax has not kept pace with driving or inflation – Federal gas tax last increased in 1993 – California, even longer • Sales tax increment for transportation
  • 7. California Fuel Tax Revenue Per Million Vehicle Miles Traveled Source: Caltrans, California Transportation Plan, 2025 Raise the Gas Tax A Revenue-Neutral Way to Treat Our Oil Addiction By Richard G. Lugar Sunday, February 1, 2009
  • 8. Options • Status Quo – Project-by-project environmental review and financing • Hope for more federal funding • New regional solutions
  • 9. Moving Toward Solutions • Regional infrastructure strategies – Freight movement – San Bernardino sub-region • Planning area – collaboration – Models: Western Riverside Habitat Conservation Plan, Alameda Corridor Agency, Santa Ana Watershed Project Authority • Nexus between user fees and financing instruments – Manage demand and improve supply • Regional fee / infrastructure bank / financing and investment plan • Mitigation banks and in lieu fee arrangements • Early acquisition of conservation lands, public rights of way
  • 10. Pilot Cases • Goods movement corridor – Lowenthal, SB 974, 2008, est. $340 million per year Ports of LA/LB – Infrastructure needs: emission reduction, electrification – Can we afford this? Can we afford not to invest?
  • 11. User Fee Pricing Tax = MSC - MPC $ MSC MPC Status quo: no user fees D = MSB = MPB Q* Qp Q MSC = marginal social cost MSB = marginal social benefit MPC = marginal private cost MPB = marginal private benefit