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Open access: a researcherā€™s perspective
Antonio Gasparrini
London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK
Open Research and Data
Open Access Week
22 October 2012 - Birbeck College, London
My background
Graduated in biology in Italy, then 4 years working as
epidemiologist in a cancer research center in Florence
MSc + postgraduate school (still in Italy) + PhD (in UK) in
medical statistics,
Worked at LSHTM in the last 5 years, mainly in statistical
methodology and software development
My MRC fellowship
Awarded a Research Methodology fellowship from MRC (Dec
2011 ā€“ Nov 2014)
Project developed on my previous research
Success of this project critical for next funding application
Need to comply with the MRC regulations on open access
My budget for open access costs: 6000Ā£ in total
Outline
Some points:
My perspective: as scientist and junior academic
Publishing: steps and costs
My publications as a case study
Open research: beyond publications
The scientistā€™s perspective
I favour a system which:
guarantees high-quality research
allows the independent assessment of research ļ¬ndings
ensures the dissemination of the such ļ¬ndings
The academicā€™s perspective
I favour a system which:
covers the costs of my research
delivers a fast and eļ¬€ective peer-review process
provides tools for disseminating my work
Publishing a research paper: steps
Literature review
Drafting the manuscript
Choice of the journal and submission
Review and acceptance
Copyright agreement
Open access fee
Publication
Actors: the researcher, the institution, the research community,
the funder, the journals/publishers
An eļ¬ƒcient and fair system?
A ļ¬rst article
Published online in Statistics in Medicine (2012):
The choice of the journal
Copyright transferred
Open access fee āˆ¼2250Ā£
Impact factor 1.99
Submitted and published versions
Research Article
Statistics
in Medicine
Received XXXX
(www.interscience.wiley.com) DOI: 10.1002/sim.0000
Multivariate meta-analysis for non-linear and
other multi-parameter associations
A. Gasparriniaāˆ—ā€ , B. Armstrongb, M. G. Kenwarda
In this paper we formalize the application of multivariate meta-analysis and meta-regression to synthesize estimates
of multi-parameter associations obtained from different studies. This modelling approach extends the standard
two-stage analysis used to combine results across different sub-groups or populations. The most straightforward
application is for the meta-analysis of non-linear relationships, described for example by regression coefļ¬cients
of splines or other functions, but the methodology easily generalizes to any setting where complex associations
are described by multiple correlated parameters. The modelling framework of multivariate meta-analysis is
implemented in the package mvmeta within the statistical environment R. As an illustrative example, we propose
a two-stage analysis for investigating the non-linear exposure-response relationship between temperature and non-
accidental mortality using time series data from multiple cities. Multivariate meta-analysis represents a useful
analytical tool for studying complex associations through a two-stage procedure. Copyright c 2011 John Wiley &
Sons, Ltd.
Keywords: meta-analysis; multivariate analysis; multivariate meta-analysis; non-linear; splines
1. Introduction
Meta-analysis is a standard, well-grounded statistical procedure for combining the evidence from independent studies
that address the same research hypothesis [1]. This methodology was developed originally for pooling the results from
published observational or experimental studies, for which individual data were not available. Recently, meta-analysis has
been described more broadly as a research synthesis method, with the aim of estimating an average association across
studies and to explore the degree and sources of heterogeneity [2]. The analytical approach adopted in this context may be
described as a two-stage hierarchical procedure: in the ļ¬rst stage, study-speciļ¬c estimates of the association of interest are
derived from individual data, controlling for individual-level covariates; in the second stage, these estimates are combined
across studies, optionally exploring the association with study-level predictors. The two-stage approach, a speciļ¬c form
of individual patient data (IPD) meta-analysis, has been shown to be a ļ¬‚exible and computationally efļ¬cient method [3],
and has been adopted in different contexts: to pool estimates from multiple randomized controlled trials [4]; to combine
results from survival models on time-to-event data in multi-centre cohorts [5]; and to synthesize associations from Poisson
time series models in multi-city analyses [6].
The common approach to two-stage meta-analysis consists of summarizing the association in a single parameter
estimate from the ļ¬rst stage, optionally controlling for individual-level confounders. This procedure allows standard meta-
analytic techniques to be applied. However, complex associations, such as non-linear exposure-responses, are usually
described with functions deļ¬ned by multiple parameters, and require more sophisticated meta-analytical approaches,
capable of handling the multivariate nature of the summary estimates. Multivariate meta-analysis, a method originally
a
Department of Medical Statistics, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine
b
Department of Social and Environmental Health Research, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine
āˆ—
Correspondence to: Antonio Gasparrini, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street, London WC1E 7HT, UK.
ā€ 
E-mail: antonio.gasparrini@lshtm.ac.uk
Contract/grant sponsor: Medical Research Council (UK), grants G0701030 and G1002296
Statist. Med. 2011, 00 1ā€“18 Copyright c 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
Prepared using simauth.cls [Version: 2010/03/10 v3.00]
Research Article
Received 9 August 2011, Accepted 11 May 2012 Published online in Wiley Online Library
(wileyonlinelibrary.com) DOI: 10.1002/sim.5471
Multivariate meta-analysis for
non-linear and other multi-parameter
associations
A. Gasparrini,a*ā€  B. Armstrongb and M. G. Kenwarda
In this paper, we formalize the application of multivariate meta-analysis and meta-regression to synthesize
estimates of multi-parameter associations obtained from different studies. This modelling approach extends
the standard two-stage analysis used to combine results across different sub-groups or populations. The most
straightforward application is for the meta-analysis of non-linear relationships, described for example by
regression coefļ¬cients of splines or other functions, but the methodology easily generalizes to any setting
where complex associations are described by multiple correlated parameters. The modelling framework of
multivariate meta-analysis is implemented in the package mvmeta within the statistical environment R. As
an illustrative example, we propose a two-stage analysis for investigating the non-linear exposureā€“response
relationship between temperature and non-accidental mortality using time-series data from multiple cities.
Multivariate meta-analysis represents a useful analytical tool for studying complex associations through a
two-stage procedure. Copyright Ā© 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
Keywords: meta-analysis; multivariate analysis; multivariate meta-analysis; non-linear; splines
1. Introduction
Meta-analysis is a standard, well-grounded statistical procedure for combining the evidence from inde-
pendent studies that address the same research hypothesis [1]. This methodology was developed origi-
nally for pooling the results from published observational or experimental studies, for which individual
data were not available. Recently, meta-analysis has been described more broadly as a research synthesis
method, with the aim of estimating an average association across studies and to explore the degree and
sources of heterogeneity [2]. The analytical approach adopted in this context may be described as a
two-stage hierarchical procedure: in the ļ¬rst stage, study-speciļ¬c estimates of the association of interest
are derived from individual data, controlling for individual-level covariates; in the second stage, these
estimates are combined across studies, optionally exploring the association with study-level predictors.
The two-stage approach, a speciļ¬c form of individual patient data (IPD) meta-analysis, has been shown
to be a ļ¬‚exible and computationally efļ¬cient method [3] and has been adopted in different contexts: to
pool estimates from multiple randomized controlled trials [4]; to combine results from survival models
on time-to-event data in multi-centre cohorts [5]; and to synthesize associations from Poisson time-series
models in multi-city analyses [6].
The common approach to two-stage meta-analysis consists of summarizing the association in a single
parameter estimate from the ļ¬rst stage, optionally controlling for individual-level confounders. This
procedure allows standard meta-analytic techniques to be applied. However, complex associations, such
as non-linear exposureā€“responses, are usually described with functions deļ¬ned by multiple parameters
and require more sophisticated meta-analytical approaches capable of handling the multivariate nature
of the summary estimates. Multivariate meta-analysis, a method originally developed to pool multiple
aDepartment of Medical Statistics, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, U.K.
bDepartment of Social and Environmental Health Research, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, U.K.
*Correspondence to: Antonio Gasparrini, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street, London WC1E
7HT, U.K.
ā€ E-mail: antonio.gasparrini@lshtm.ac.uk
Copyright Ā© 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Statist. Med. 2012
A second article
Firstly submitted to Biostatistics:
Copyright transferred
Open access fee āˆ¼2250Ā£
Impact factor 2.145
Rejected, re-submitted to BMC Med Res Method:
Copyright retained
Open access fee āˆ¼1475Ā£ (āˆ¼1255Ā£ with LSHTM discount)
Impact factor 2.67
A third article
Published in Journal of Statistical Software (2011):
Not automatically indexed in PubMed
Included ā€™manuallyā€™ through PubMed Central
Copyright retained
Open access fee: 0Ā£
Impact factor 4.01
Open research: beyond publishing
Open data: research data collected with public funding available
to other researchers
Open source and free software
Reproducible research: open and thorough assessment of
research ļ¬ndings
A similar case
Statistical software is mainly based on commercial programs
(e.g. Stata, SAS, SPSS)
Substantial fees to be paid by research institutions
However, implementation of novel methodologies provided by
researchers
Same story: researchers working (for free) for third parties...
An alternative model
An example: the R software
A project entirely based on a community of users and developers
Comparison with commercial programs
Model also applicable to publishing
The third article again
The manuscript is freely available at journalā€™s web site and other
repositories
The code for the analysis is included as supplementary material
The software is implemented and fully documented in a free
statistical package
The data are stored online and freely available through the
software
All of this at no cost
The internet era
Diļ¬€erent approach to search and dissemination: what role for
journals?
Drop in editorial and publication costs: do we really need
publishers?
Role of funders, institutions and research community is critical
Why so late?!
The open access era
Important changes: Wellcome and RCUK policies
Limitations of the Finch Report
Alternative models already available
Changes require a diļ¬€erent approach from researchers

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Open access: a researcher's perspective

  • 1. Open access: a researcherā€™s perspective Antonio Gasparrini London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK Open Research and Data Open Access Week 22 October 2012 - Birbeck College, London
  • 2. My background Graduated in biology in Italy, then 4 years working as epidemiologist in a cancer research center in Florence MSc + postgraduate school (still in Italy) + PhD (in UK) in medical statistics, Worked at LSHTM in the last 5 years, mainly in statistical methodology and software development
  • 3. My MRC fellowship Awarded a Research Methodology fellowship from MRC (Dec 2011 ā€“ Nov 2014) Project developed on my previous research Success of this project critical for next funding application Need to comply with the MRC regulations on open access My budget for open access costs: 6000Ā£ in total
  • 4. Outline Some points: My perspective: as scientist and junior academic Publishing: steps and costs My publications as a case study Open research: beyond publications
  • 5. The scientistā€™s perspective I favour a system which: guarantees high-quality research allows the independent assessment of research ļ¬ndings ensures the dissemination of the such ļ¬ndings
  • 6. The academicā€™s perspective I favour a system which: covers the costs of my research delivers a fast and eļ¬€ective peer-review process provides tools for disseminating my work
  • 7. Publishing a research paper: steps Literature review Drafting the manuscript Choice of the journal and submission Review and acceptance Copyright agreement Open access fee Publication Actors: the researcher, the institution, the research community, the funder, the journals/publishers An eļ¬ƒcient and fair system?
  • 8. A ļ¬rst article Published online in Statistics in Medicine (2012): The choice of the journal Copyright transferred Open access fee āˆ¼2250Ā£ Impact factor 1.99
  • 9. Submitted and published versions Research Article Statistics in Medicine Received XXXX (www.interscience.wiley.com) DOI: 10.1002/sim.0000 Multivariate meta-analysis for non-linear and other multi-parameter associations A. Gasparriniaāˆ—ā€ , B. Armstrongb, M. G. Kenwarda In this paper we formalize the application of multivariate meta-analysis and meta-regression to synthesize estimates of multi-parameter associations obtained from different studies. This modelling approach extends the standard two-stage analysis used to combine results across different sub-groups or populations. The most straightforward application is for the meta-analysis of non-linear relationships, described for example by regression coefļ¬cients of splines or other functions, but the methodology easily generalizes to any setting where complex associations are described by multiple correlated parameters. The modelling framework of multivariate meta-analysis is implemented in the package mvmeta within the statistical environment R. As an illustrative example, we propose a two-stage analysis for investigating the non-linear exposure-response relationship between temperature and non- accidental mortality using time series data from multiple cities. Multivariate meta-analysis represents a useful analytical tool for studying complex associations through a two-stage procedure. Copyright c 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Keywords: meta-analysis; multivariate analysis; multivariate meta-analysis; non-linear; splines 1. Introduction Meta-analysis is a standard, well-grounded statistical procedure for combining the evidence from independent studies that address the same research hypothesis [1]. This methodology was developed originally for pooling the results from published observational or experimental studies, for which individual data were not available. Recently, meta-analysis has been described more broadly as a research synthesis method, with the aim of estimating an average association across studies and to explore the degree and sources of heterogeneity [2]. The analytical approach adopted in this context may be described as a two-stage hierarchical procedure: in the ļ¬rst stage, study-speciļ¬c estimates of the association of interest are derived from individual data, controlling for individual-level covariates; in the second stage, these estimates are combined across studies, optionally exploring the association with study-level predictors. The two-stage approach, a speciļ¬c form of individual patient data (IPD) meta-analysis, has been shown to be a ļ¬‚exible and computationally efļ¬cient method [3], and has been adopted in different contexts: to pool estimates from multiple randomized controlled trials [4]; to combine results from survival models on time-to-event data in multi-centre cohorts [5]; and to synthesize associations from Poisson time series models in multi-city analyses [6]. The common approach to two-stage meta-analysis consists of summarizing the association in a single parameter estimate from the ļ¬rst stage, optionally controlling for individual-level confounders. This procedure allows standard meta- analytic techniques to be applied. However, complex associations, such as non-linear exposure-responses, are usually described with functions deļ¬ned by multiple parameters, and require more sophisticated meta-analytical approaches, capable of handling the multivariate nature of the summary estimates. Multivariate meta-analysis, a method originally a Department of Medical Statistics, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine b Department of Social and Environmental Health Research, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine āˆ— Correspondence to: Antonio Gasparrini, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street, London WC1E 7HT, UK. ā€  E-mail: antonio.gasparrini@lshtm.ac.uk Contract/grant sponsor: Medical Research Council (UK), grants G0701030 and G1002296 Statist. Med. 2011, 00 1ā€“18 Copyright c 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Prepared using simauth.cls [Version: 2010/03/10 v3.00] Research Article Received 9 August 2011, Accepted 11 May 2012 Published online in Wiley Online Library (wileyonlinelibrary.com) DOI: 10.1002/sim.5471 Multivariate meta-analysis for non-linear and other multi-parameter associations A. Gasparrini,a*ā€  B. Armstrongb and M. G. Kenwarda In this paper, we formalize the application of multivariate meta-analysis and meta-regression to synthesize estimates of multi-parameter associations obtained from different studies. This modelling approach extends the standard two-stage analysis used to combine results across different sub-groups or populations. The most straightforward application is for the meta-analysis of non-linear relationships, described for example by regression coefļ¬cients of splines or other functions, but the methodology easily generalizes to any setting where complex associations are described by multiple correlated parameters. The modelling framework of multivariate meta-analysis is implemented in the package mvmeta within the statistical environment R. As an illustrative example, we propose a two-stage analysis for investigating the non-linear exposureā€“response relationship between temperature and non-accidental mortality using time-series data from multiple cities. Multivariate meta-analysis represents a useful analytical tool for studying complex associations through a two-stage procedure. Copyright Ā© 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Keywords: meta-analysis; multivariate analysis; multivariate meta-analysis; non-linear; splines 1. Introduction Meta-analysis is a standard, well-grounded statistical procedure for combining the evidence from inde- pendent studies that address the same research hypothesis [1]. This methodology was developed origi- nally for pooling the results from published observational or experimental studies, for which individual data were not available. Recently, meta-analysis has been described more broadly as a research synthesis method, with the aim of estimating an average association across studies and to explore the degree and sources of heterogeneity [2]. The analytical approach adopted in this context may be described as a two-stage hierarchical procedure: in the ļ¬rst stage, study-speciļ¬c estimates of the association of interest are derived from individual data, controlling for individual-level covariates; in the second stage, these estimates are combined across studies, optionally exploring the association with study-level predictors. The two-stage approach, a speciļ¬c form of individual patient data (IPD) meta-analysis, has been shown to be a ļ¬‚exible and computationally efļ¬cient method [3] and has been adopted in different contexts: to pool estimates from multiple randomized controlled trials [4]; to combine results from survival models on time-to-event data in multi-centre cohorts [5]; and to synthesize associations from Poisson time-series models in multi-city analyses [6]. The common approach to two-stage meta-analysis consists of summarizing the association in a single parameter estimate from the ļ¬rst stage, optionally controlling for individual-level confounders. This procedure allows standard meta-analytic techniques to be applied. However, complex associations, such as non-linear exposureā€“responses, are usually described with functions deļ¬ned by multiple parameters and require more sophisticated meta-analytical approaches capable of handling the multivariate nature of the summary estimates. Multivariate meta-analysis, a method originally developed to pool multiple aDepartment of Medical Statistics, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, U.K. bDepartment of Social and Environmental Health Research, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, U.K. *Correspondence to: Antonio Gasparrini, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street, London WC1E 7HT, U.K. ā€ E-mail: antonio.gasparrini@lshtm.ac.uk Copyright Ā© 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Statist. Med. 2012
  • 10. A second article Firstly submitted to Biostatistics: Copyright transferred Open access fee āˆ¼2250Ā£ Impact factor 2.145 Rejected, re-submitted to BMC Med Res Method: Copyright retained Open access fee āˆ¼1475Ā£ (āˆ¼1255Ā£ with LSHTM discount) Impact factor 2.67
  • 11. A third article Published in Journal of Statistical Software (2011): Not automatically indexed in PubMed Included ā€™manuallyā€™ through PubMed Central Copyright retained Open access fee: 0Ā£ Impact factor 4.01
  • 12. Open research: beyond publishing Open data: research data collected with public funding available to other researchers Open source and free software Reproducible research: open and thorough assessment of research ļ¬ndings
  • 13. A similar case Statistical software is mainly based on commercial programs (e.g. Stata, SAS, SPSS) Substantial fees to be paid by research institutions However, implementation of novel methodologies provided by researchers Same story: researchers working (for free) for third parties...
  • 14. An alternative model An example: the R software A project entirely based on a community of users and developers Comparison with commercial programs Model also applicable to publishing
  • 15. The third article again The manuscript is freely available at journalā€™s web site and other repositories The code for the analysis is included as supplementary material The software is implemented and fully documented in a free statistical package The data are stored online and freely available through the software All of this at no cost
  • 16. The internet era Diļ¬€erent approach to search and dissemination: what role for journals? Drop in editorial and publication costs: do we really need publishers? Role of funders, institutions and research community is critical Why so late?!
  • 17. The open access era Important changes: Wellcome and RCUK policies Limitations of the Finch Report Alternative models already available Changes require a diļ¬€erent approach from researchers