August 14 2013

Lithium Industry
A Strategic Energy Metal

Significant Increase in Demand Ahead

Luisa Moreno, PhD, MEng
416-933-3352
luisa.moreno@europac.ca
www.epccm.ca

SPECIALTY / INDUSTRIAL METALS
Euro Pacific Canada is an IIROC registered brokerage headquartered in Toronto, with offices in Montreal
and Vancouver, specializing in foreign markets, precious and strategic metals investing. The firm offers
an integrated platform of investment banking, institutional sales and trading, research, and private client
services following the advice laid out by Euro Pacific Capital’s Chief Global Strategist Peter Schiff, an
internationally recognized market strategist. Additional information is available at www.europac.ca.

THE EURO PACIFIC ADVANTAGE
The Euro Pacific Advantage: Despite the growing relative size and importance
of non-North American capital markets, most domestic brokerage firms
continue to offer clients scant exposure to foreign securities. Worse yet, access
is typically limited to trading through ADR stocks or via over the counter with
US based market makers.
Informed by the hard money ideals so clearly and consistently articulated by
Peter Schiff, Euro Pacific Canada looks to prepare investors for a future in which
North American financial leadership is likely to wane. As the developed world
continues to be mired in debt, we see promising opportunities in developing
markets. We have a particular focus on value based and commodity-focused
investments and concentrate on those countries that show greater respect for
economic fundamentals such as savings, production, and monetary discipline.
It is precisely these differences in outlook that make Euro Pacific so unique.

Toronto
130 King Street West
Exchange Tower, Suite 2820
Box 20, Toronto ON, M5X 1A9
416-649-4273
888-216-9779
Montreal
1501 McGill College Avenue
Suite 1450
Montréal, QC, H3A 3M8
Vancouver
1111 Melville Street, Suite 480
Vancouver BC V6E 3V6
Tokyo
Holland Hills Mori Tower
RoP #603 5-11-1 Toranomon,
Minato-Ku, Tokyo, 105-0001

As a full-service broker/dealer, we are constantly expanding our offerings to allow
clients access to global markets that adhere to their personal investment goals. In
addition to foreign stocks, we also offer foreign bonds, mutual funds, and precious
metal investment strategies. For accredited investors, we offer private placements.
If you are concerned about the future of the North American economy, Euro Pacific
Canada may be the only domestic brokerage firm that speaks your language.

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August 2013

Lithium Industry Report

Table of Contents
Lithium Properties	
Mineralogy and Resources	
	
United States	
	 Canada		
	 Brazil		
	
Australia		
	 Africa		
	 Europe		
	
Commonwealth of Independent States	
	 China		
	
South America	

3
4
5
5
5
5
6
6
6
7

Lithium Global Reserve Life Analysis	

10

Lithium Processes and Compounds	
	
Brine Processing	
	
Hard-Rock Processing	
	
Other Processes	
	
Applications		
	 Glass		
	
Ceramics		
	
Lubricant Grease	
	Metallurgy	
	
Lithium Metal	
	
Air Conditioners	
	
Energy Storage	
	
Other Applications	

11
11
14
16

Recycling			

23

Lithium Outlook	

24

Supply			

25

Demand			

27

Price Outlook		

29

Appendix A: Selected Companies	

31

Investment Risks	

2

3

53

17
17
17
17
18
18
19
19
22

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August 2013

Lithium Industry Report

LITHIUM PROPERTIES
Lithium (symbol Li) is an alkali metal element, with atomic number 3 and 6.94 atomic weight
(Figure 1). Unlike some alkali metals, lithium was discovered in rocks. In 1980, José Bonifácio de
Andrade e Silva, a Brazilian scientist, discovered the first lithium mineral, petalite. The element
lithium was only discovered in 1817 by Johan August Arfvedson together with Jöns Jakob Berzelius,
and isolated in 1855 by Robert Bunsen and Augusts Matthiessen. The name lithium is derived
from the Greek word lithos, which means stone, to reflect its discovery in a mineral.
Lithium metal is produced through the electrolysis of fused lithium chloride, which results in a
soft silvery-white lustrous metal. The metal is so soft that it can be cut easily with a knife. Lithium

Figure 1: Lithium Metal;
Source: periodictable.com

is the least reactive of all the alkali metals, but is still highly reactive, thus it must be stored under liquid paraffin, which
contains no oxygen, to prevent oxidation. Lithium is highly reactive when in contact with water, forming hydrogen gas and
lithium hydroxide (LiOH) in an aqueous solution. When in contact with air, the lithium metal is also highly reactive, forming a
layer of lithium hydroxide.
Lithium volume (e.g., resource, reserves, production, tonnage or sales) can be presented in different units, thus when comparing
two deposits it’s important to note whether the volume is, for example, presented in terms of lithium carbonate (Li2CO3), lithium
carbonate equivalent (LCE), lithium hydroxide, etc. Likewise, lithium grades may be presented as lithium oxide (Li2O) or lithium
(Li) content; for example, if a company has a 2% Li2O grade, it is equivalent to a 0.93% Li grade. In this report, lithium volumes
or grades may be presented in different units depending on the context. Figure 2 shows the conversion factor between the most
common forms of lithium compounds that may be referred to in this report.
To convert
Li
LiOH
LiOH-H20
Li2O
Li2CO3
LiAlSi2O6

To Li
1.000
0.290
0.165
0.465
0.188
0.038

To LiOH
3.448
1.000
0.571
1.603
0.648
0.129

To LiOH-H20
6.061
1.751
1.000
2.809
1.136
0.225

To Li2O
2.153
0.624
0.356
1.000
0.404
0.080

To Li2CO3
5.324
1.543
0.880
2.476
1.000
0.199

To LiAlSi2O6
26.455
7.770
4.435
12.500
5.025
1.000

Figure 2: Conversion Factors for Lithium Compounds;
Source: Nemaska Lithium

MINERALOGY AND RESOURCES
Lithium occurs throughout nature at different concentrations (Figure 3). It
is found in sea water at concentrations of 180 ppb and in much higher concentrations in salt lakes (in this report, interchangeably: salares or brines)
around the world, allowing for the commercial production of lithium.
Lithium is found in many minerals (Figure 4), some of which are used in commercial applications. Spodumene (Figure 5) is the most widely used lithium
mineral because of its high lithium content and occurrence. Other minerals,
such as lepidolite and petalite (Figure 6) are also used commercially but are
less common and have lower lithium content.

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Location
Universe
Sun
Meteorite (carbonaceous)
Crustal rocks
Sea water
Stream
Human

ppb by
weight
6
0.06
1700
17000
180
3000
30

ppb by
atoms
1
0.01
4600
50000
160
430
27

Figure 3: Conversion Factors for
Lithium Compounds;
Source: Nemaska Lithium

3
August 2013
Most of the world’s lithium supplies are extracted from pegmatites or brines. Granitic pegmatites are an important source of rare metals.
Although pegmatites are widely spread and relatively common, lithium-rich pegmatites are only
a small (<1%) fraction of the world’s pegmatite
resources. Currently, most of the lithium supply is from brines. Brines are widespread and
usually contain larger Li resources compared
to hard-rock lithium deposits; however, most
brines are not economic for the production of
lithium using conventional methods. Lithium is
also found in geothermal brines, such as those
found in the Salton Sea of Southern California. It

Lithium Industry Report
Mineral
Spodumene
Amblygonite
Lepidolite (lithium, mica)
Zinnwaldite (lithium, iron, mica)
Petalite
Triphylite
Eucryptite
Jadarite
Elbaite
Zabuyelite
Nambulite
Neptunite
Pezzottaite
Saliotite
Lithiophilite
Sugilite
Zektzerite

can also be found in oilfield brines and hectorite

Formula
LiAl(SiO3)2
LiAl(F,OH)PO4
KliAl (OH,F)2Al(SiO4)3 or K2Li4Al2F4Si8O22
Le2K2Fe2Al4Si7O24
LiAl(Si2O5)2
Li(Fe,Mn)PO4
LiAl(SiO4)
LiNaB3SiO7(OH)
Na(Li,Al)3Al6(BO3)3Si6O18(OH)4
Li2CO3
(Li,Na)Mn4Si5O14(OH)]
KNa2Li(Fe2+,Mn2+)2Ti2Si8O24
Cs(Be2Li)Al2Si6O18
(Li,Na)Al3(AlSi3O10)(OH)5
Li(Mn,Fe)PO4
KNa2(Fe,Mn,Al)2Li3Si12O30
NaLiZrSi6O15

%Li2O
8.03%
7.40%
7.70%
3.42%
4.50%
9.47%
11.86%
7.28%
4.07%
40.44 %
1.83%
1.65%
2.13%
1.65%
9.53%
3.04%
2.82%

Figure 4: Lithium Minerals;
Source: Webmineral.com

clay, as a magnesium lithium smectite. Below,
we discus some of the known lithium deposits
around the world.
United States
The Kings Mountain pegmatite belt has the
most significant lithium pegmatite deposit in
the U.S. The belt is 0.5–3 kilometres wide and
extends about 50 kilometres northeast from

Figure 5: Spodumene;
Source: USGS photo

North Carolina to South Carolina. Resource estimates include 45.6Mt with an average of 0.7% Li. Rockwood Lithium (NYSE:ROC)
(also referred to as Chemetall, as it is a Chemetall Group Company) owns a pegmatite
deposit in Kings Mountain that was originally exploited for its tin content, but is being

Figure 6: Pegmatite with Large Petalite
(pink) Crystals, Namibia;
Source: The Giant Crystal Project Site

mined for lithium. Also, in North Carolina is the Hallman-Beam pegmatite in Long Creek, operated by Lithium Corporation of America
(purchased by FMC Corp. [NYSE:FMC]), which is estimated to have 62.3Mt of resources at an average 0.67% Li. The only other U.S.
area with significant historic lithium production is the Harney Peak Granite Batholith in the Black Hills of South Dakota. Western
Lithium’s (TSX:WLC) Kings Valley lithium project is located in Humboldt County in Northern Nevada. Lithium pegmatites can also be
found in the Pala district of California and in the White Picacho district in Arizona; New Mexico has the Harding and Pidlite deposits.
There are also some small pegmatite deposits in Colorado, Wyoming, Utah and New England.
One of the first North American brine operations for the recovery of lithium was the Clayton Valley (Silver Peak) brine in Nevada. The
production of lithium from Clayton Valley started in 1966 and was originally owned by Foote Mineral Company (acquired by Cyprus
Minerals Company in 1988 and then by Chemetall in 1998). Over the years, the brines have been pumped at various depths and at
an average concentration level that started at ~650 ppm but has since declined to ~200 ppm. Resources at Clayton Valley are estimated to be about 0.3Mt Li contained. The Searles Lake brines in California produced lithium as a by-product for a number of years;
the brines have a low (>100 ppm) lithium concentration. Lithium can also be found in many other salt lakes in the U.S., including the
Great Salt Lake, and in some oilfield brines, including the Smackover Formation in the northern Gulf Coast basin. Lithium might also
be recovered as a by-product from geothermal power plants, as steam increases the concentration of elements in the waste waters.
Simbol Materials LLC is considering extracting lithium from its Salton Sea geothermal project in California.

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August 2013

Lithium Industry Report

Canada
The Tanco deposit in the Bernic Lake area of Manitoba, Canada, is a source of lithium, tantalum and cesium; lithium resources in the area have been estimated at 22.3Mt with an average of 0.64% Li. Other important lithium pegmatites are found
in Quebec. The Pressiac-Lamotte pegmatite is enriched in beryllium and lithium, the largest of which is the Quebec Lithium
deposit with reserves of 17.1Mt averaging 0.44% Li; the project has been developed by Canada Lithium Corp. (TSX:CLQ) and
is currently in commissioning. In James Bay in Northern Quebec, Nemaska Lithium (TSXV:NMX) is developing the Whabouchi deposit with an estimated resource of 29.5Mt averaging 0.71% Li. Critical Elements (TSXV:CRE) is developing the Rose
lithium-tantalum project located in the southern part of the Middle and Lower Eastmain Greenstone Belt; project resources
have been estimated at 26.5Mt with a 0.44% Li grade, excluding inferred resources. Galaxy Resources Ltd.’s (ASX:GXY)
James Bay deposit has an estimated 22.2Mt of resources at 0.59% Li. Glen Eagle Resources (TSXV:GER) owns the Authier
pegmatite deposit with 8.0Mt of resources at 0.46% Li. Perilya Ltd.’s (ASX:PEM) Moblan West deposit is estimated to have
14.25Mt at 0.65% Li. Elsewhere in Canada, the FI, Thor, Violet, Nama Creek and Lac la Croix deposits have an estimated
combined in-situ resources of ~0.6Mt Li.
In Ontario, Houston Lake Mining (TSXV:HLM) is exploring the Pakeagama Lake pegmatite, which was found to contain highly
anomalous lithium, tantalum and cesium concentrations. Avalon Rare Metals (TSX:AVL) is developing the Separation Rapids
deposit (near Kenora), which hosts a large rare metal pegmatite deposit; reserves have been estimated at 7.8Mt grading
0.65% Li. Lithium is also found in some oilfield brines, including the Beaverhill Lake Formation (Leduc Aquifer) in Alberta.
Brazil
Lithium-bearing pegmatites have been found in Araçuaí, São João del Rei and the Governador Valadores districts of Minas
Gerais, in Brazil. The Araçuaí district contains more than 300 pegmatite deposits, including the Itinga field, which hosts the
lithium-bearing pegmatites at the Cachoeira mine. Lithium-bearing pegmatites are also present in large areas of Rio Grande
do Norte and Ceara states in Northeastern Brazil.
Australia
The Greenbushes pegmatite, operated by Talison Lithium (acquired by Tianqi Group [CH:002466]), is in the southwest region of Australia and is the country’s largest lithium deposit. Greenbushes has been mined for tantalum and lithium. The mineable pegmatite
zone extends about 2 kilometres in length and total mineral resources have been estimated at 120.6Mt with an average grade of
1.3% Li. Other lithium pegmatite deposits include the Mount Cattlin deposit (Galaxy Resources), 200 kilometres east of Greenbushes, with estimated lithium resources of 17.2Mt at 0.49% Li; and the Mount Marion lithium project, which is located ~40 kilometres
southwest of Kalgoorlie in Western Australia (jointly owned by Reed Resources [ASX:RDR] and Mineral Resources Ltd. [ASX:MIN]).
Africa
Zimbabwe
The Bikita pegmatite in Zimbabwe (owned by Bikita Minerals Inc.) was originally exploited for its tantalum, tin, beryllium and cesium
minerals, and is currently producing lithium. The mine has been in operation for over 60 years. The original resource was estimated
at 10.8Mt averaging 1.4% Li. Also in Zimbabwe, the 20-kilometre long Kamativi belt hosts tourmaline pegmatites and pegmatites
rich in tin and lithium. Other lithium-bearing pegmatites are present in the Benson region near Mtoko.
Namibia
A number a pegmatite deposits in the Karibib district of Namibia, including Rubicon and Helikon, have been mined for
lithium, as well as beryllium, tantalum and cesium. Estimated resources in the district are about 1.1Mt averaging 1.4% Li.

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Lithium Industry Report

Democratic Republic of the Congo
The renowned rare metals-rich Katanga province in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC), hosts the
Manono-Kitolo pegmatite system, which consists of two complex pegmatite zones with lithium. Resource estimates in the area are 120.0Mt averaging 0.6%Li.
Mozambique
In Mozambique, the Alto Ligonha pegmatite belt has been extensively explored for tantalum and more recently for
lithium. Historical drilling work has yielded grades of 1.23% Li.
Europe
The most recent lithium production in Europe has come from the Fregeneda-Almendra region in Portugal near the
Spanish border. The Ullava-Länttä pegmatite system in Finland has been shown to comprise 32 separate pegmatite bodies 450 metres long and 40 metres wide, with a preliminary resource of 2.95Mt, an averaging 0.43% Li.
Other sources of lithium are the jadarite-rich deposits with large boron resources found in the Balkans region of
Serbia and Bosnia. Companies exploring for boron and lithium in the area include Ultra Lithium (TSXV:ULI) and
Pan Global (TSXV:PGZ). Rio Tinto’s (NYSE:RIO) Jadar deposit has an estimated resource of ~125.3Mt averaging
0.84% Li and 12.9% boron trioxide (B2O3).
Commonwealth of Independent States
The Altai–Sayan belt in Russia contains several large lithium-bearing pegmatite deposits. Lithium resources are
found at Goltzovoe, an area rich in a variety of rare metals, including tantalum, with an estimated average grade
of 0.37% Li. The Vishnyakovskoe deposit has been found to have a resource estimate of 42Mt averaging 0.49%
Li. The Tastyq deposit consists of a group of spodumene-bearing pegmatites, 1-kilometre long and 20-metres
thick, with an estimated average grade of 1.86% Li. Other lithium-bearing pegmatite deposits in Russia include
the Belovechenskoye, Urikskoe and Zavitskoye deposits. Lithium is also present in tin- and tantalum-enriched,
lepidolite-bearing peraluminous granite bodies at Orloskoe (Orlovka), Etykinskoe (Etyka) and Alakha. The Ukraine
hosts pegmatites, including the spodumene-bearing deposits at Galetsky, Zaritsky and Knyazev.
China
The largest reported lithium-bearing pegmatite in China is Jiajika in the eastern part of the Tibet plateau. The spodumene-bearing pegmatite is reported to contain lithium reserves of 0.48Mt. Another pegmatite in the area, Barkam, is reported to contain
0.22Mt. The Altai pegmatite field in Northwestern China extends for about 150 kilometres in a northwest–southeast direction
and contains thousands of pegmatites, some of which are reported to have outcrop lengths as high as ~0.7 kilometres. The
producing site with the largest pegmatite is the Koktokay No. 3 pegmatite, which has an oblate outcrop measuring about 120
x 220 metres. The Nanping district in Southeastern China contains at least 500 pegmatite bodies, which have been mined for
tin, lithium, cesium, beryllium and tantalum.
Lithium-bearing brines in China are found in the Qinghai–Tibet plateau. Lithium is produced from two areas along the QuighaiTibet plateau: a zone of magnesium-sulphate lakes in the Quidan Basin in the northern part of the plateau, which covers a
100,000-square-kilometre area and contains 30 brines; and a zone of carbonate-rich brines in the southwestern part of the
plateau in Tibet, which is highly favourable for lithium production because of its very low magnesium concentrations. In the
Qaidam Basin in China, lithium is produced from both the East Taijnar and West Taijnar brines; other lithium-bearing brines in
Qaidam basin are Yiliping in the northern part of the basin and in the Qarhan (Chaerhan) region to the east. Lithium-contained
resources in the Qaidam brines have been estimated at 3.3Mt.

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Lithium Industry Report

Also in Tibet, the Zabuye brine, from which the lithium carbonate mineral zabuleyite (Li2CO3) is named after, is considered the most
significant lithium-bearing carbonate-type saline lake. Lithium content as high as 1,500 ppm and contained reserves of about
0.2–1.5Mt have been reported for Zabuye. Another lithium-bearing deposit in the region is in the Dangxiongcuo (Damxung, DXC)
brine. According to the Sterling Group Ventures, which evaluated commercial production in the area, the Damxung deposit has an
average depth of 7.6 metres and average lithium concentration of 430 ppm. The Tibetan brines of Dong, Cam and Nyer to the north
of Zabuye and Damxung also have elevated levels of lithium but contain higher concentrations of magnesium.
South America
Lithium-bearing lacustrine evaporite basins, or salares, in South America are mostly found in the Puna Plateau, a ~400,000 squarekilometre area that includes the producing salares of Atacama in Northern Chile and the Hombre Muerto in Northwestern Argentina
(Figure 7). The plateau extends to the west into Bolivia.
Chile
The Salar de Atacama in Chile is currently the world’s largest lithium-producing brine and is located in the Antofagasta region (Figure
8). The Salar de Atacama has a surface area of about 3,000 square kilometres and a contained resource estimate of 6.8Mt Li. In
1982, Foote Mineral (now Chemetall) and CORFO formed a joint venture, Sociedad Chilena del Litio (SCL), to produce lithium and
potash from the Salar de Atacama. Chemetall later acquired SCL outright. The only other company operating at Atacama is SQM,
which used to purchase potash from Chemetall but in the 1990s started its own production at Salar de Atacama by acquiring an
interest in the only other lithium potash corporation in the area. As potash has been SQM’s main product, it stockpiled lithium salts
at first, but later decided to enter the market by selling the lithium at close to cost. This strategy forced the higher cost producers
out of the market, which was then dominated by hard-rock producers. It seems that SQM and Chemetall hold exclusive exploitation
rights in the Atacama brine. It should be noted that there is also a region called Atacama, which is immediately south of Antofagasta
region. The Atacama region also has a number of brines, the Salar of Maricunga, for instance, is being explored by Li3 Energy Inc.
(OTCQB:LIEG), and the Salares de Piedra parada, Grande, Aguilar, Agua Amarga and La Isla are being explored by Talison Lithium.
The geothermal area of the El Tatio may also contain good lithium concentrations.

0.18%
0.16%

Salar de Atacama (RCK),
0.140%

0.14%

Grade (% Li)

0.12%
0.10%
0.08%
0.06%

Salar de
Diablillos
(RM), 0.056%

0.04%

Salar de Hombre
Muerto
(FMC), 0.052%

0.02%

Salar de Atacama
(SQM), 0.140%

Salar de Olaroz
(ORE), 0.069%

Cauchari-Olaroz
(LAC), 0.067%

0.00%
0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

LCE Resources / Reserves (Mt)

Figure 7: Location of Puna Plateau Brines;
Source: Modified from Ericksen and Salar (1987),
Geological Survey Open File Rep.88-210, 51

Figure 8: LCE Resources and Li Grades of Selected South American Brines;
Source: Euro Pacific Canada

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Lithium Industry Report

Argentina
The Salar de Hombre Muerto in Northwestern Argentina, operated by FMC, is the only lithium-producing brine in the country
and the only other South American-producing brine other than the Salar de Atacama. The producing area of the Salar de Hombre Muerto is shallow and grades have been found to vary from 220 to 1,000 ppm Li, with an average of 520 ppm and low
magnesium grades. North of the brine Hombre Muerto, Orocobre (ASX:ORE) is developing the relatively smaller Salar de Olaroz,
currently in the construction phase. Orocobre estimates total resources for the Salar of Olaroz at 1.21Mt of Li. Lithium Americas
(TSX:LAC) is exploring the eastern part of the Salar de Olaroz. Both Orocobre and Lithium Americas also have exploration rights
at the Salar de Cauchari, which is immediately south of Olaroz. Lithium America’s contained lithium reserves at Cauchari are
estimate at 0.51Mt Li at an average of 655 ppm, and contained lithium resources of ~2.2Mt; the company reported grades of
630 ppm for the measured resources and 570 ppm for the indicated resources.
The Salar de Rincon, with a small surface area of ~250 square-kilometers, is being explored by Sentient Group. It has been
reported that Rincon contains brines with relatively lower lithium content and higher magnesium:lithium ratios. Rodinia Lithium’s (TSXV:RM) main project is at the Salar de Diablillos, where it defined an estimated contained inferred brine resource of
~530,000 tonnes of lithium metal. Rodinia and other companies also have exploration rights in a number of brines in Northwestern Argentina, including the Salar de Salinas Grandes, Salar de Ratones and Salar de Centenario, to name a few.
Bolivia
The Salar de Uyuni in Bolivia is potentially the largest undeveloped lithium brine in the world. Lithium concentrations vary, with
high concentration areas of more than 1,000 ppm, but it has also been reported to have a high magnesium:lithium ratio, which
is not good when using conventional processing methods. Resource estimates for Salar of Uyuni include contained resources
of 10.2Mt but higher estimates have also been reported. Given its resource potential, Uyuni has attracted significant attention. Bolivia’s state-owned mining corporation Comibol and a South Korean consortium, which includes POSCO (NYSE:PKS;
KRX:005490) and Korea Resources Corp. (KORES), have formed a joint venture for the development of the Salar de Uyuni.
Most of the brine deposits are located in South America and China. Hard-Rock deposits are found in all five continents (Figure
9). Figure 10 shows the locations of some of the main lithium deposits and occurrences in the world.
9.0

Contained Resources (Million Tonnes)

8.0
7.0
6.0
5.0
4.0
3.0
2.0
1.0
0.0

Figure 9: Contained Resources of Selected Pegmatite Deposits;
Source: Euro Pacific Canada

8

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29.

22.
23.‐ 28.

21.

9.‐ 10.

31.
30.

11.‐ 13.
33.

57.

55.

35.

58.

27. Salar de Diablillos, Argentina
Salar de Diablillos, Argentina

56.

34.

22. Salar de Atacama, Chile

26. Mariana Lithium, Argentina

13. James Bay, Quebec

39. Tastyq, Russia

38. Vishnyakovskoe, Russia 

37. Altai, China

36. Alakha, Russia

35. Jadar, Serbia

34. Koralpa, Austria

31. Araçuai (Cachoeira), Brazil 

Figure 10: Location of Major Lithium Deposits;
Source: Euro Pacific Canada

24. Salar de Olaroz, Argentina
25. Salar de Hombre Muerto, Argentina

11. Whabouchi, Quebec

12. Rose ,Quebec 

23. Salar de Cauchari, Argentina

10. Authier, Quebec 

9. Quebec Lithium, Quebec

33. Fregeneda‐Almendra, Portugal

20. Sonora, Mexico
21. Salar de Uyuni, Bolivia

7. Pakaegama, Ontario

19. Kings Mountain, N. Carolina

8. Nama Creek, Ontario 

32. Ullava Länttä, Finland 

18. Hallman‐Beam (Bessemer), N. Carolina

6. Separation Rapids, Ontario

30. São João del Rei, Brazil

5. Tanco, Manitoba

29. Maricunga, Chile

16. Brawley (Salton Sea), California
17. Smackover, Texas

3. Thor, NWT 

15. Silver Peak (Clayton Valley), Nevada 

2. Beaverhill, Alberta

4. Violet, Manitoba 

28. Sal de Vida, Argentina

14. Kings Valley, Nevada
Kings Valley, Nevada

18.‐ 19.

4. 7.
8.
5.
6.

32.

1. Fox Creek, Alberta
Fox Creek, Alberta

Major Deposits

Sedimentary Rock

Hectorite Clay 

Pegmatite

Brine

2.

16.
17.
20.

14.
`15.

1.

3.

World Lithium Resources

(deposits greater than 100,000 tonnes Li)

38.
42.
43.
47.

52. Nanping, China

51. Barkam, China

50. Gajika, China

49. Maerkang, China

48. Jiajika, China 

47. Taijnar, China 

46. Damxung, China 

45. Dangxiongcuo, China

44. Zabuye, China

43. Zavitskoye, Russia

42. Goltsovoe, Russia

41. Urikskoe, Russia

63. Mount Cattlin, Western Australia

62. Mount Marion, Western Australia

61. East Kirup, Western Australia

60. Greenbushes, Western Australia

59. Pilgangoora, Western Australia

58. Bikita, Zimbabwe 

57. Kamativi, Zimbabwe 

56. Karibib, Namibia 

55. Manono–Kitolo, DR Congo 

54. Daoxian, China

53. Yichun, China
Yichun, China

63.

62.

59.
60.‐ 61.

49.

40. Ulug‐Tanzek, Russia
Ulug Tanzek, Russia

.

49.
` 53. 54.
50. 51.
52.

48.

39.‐ 41.

44.
45. 46

37.

36.

August 2013
Lithium Industry Report

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Lithium Industry Report

Lithium Global Reserve Life Analysis
Global estimates suggest there is more than 30Mt of lithium resources, however it is important to note that most deposits are
not economically viable. For instance, some of the deposits (brines and hard-rock) may have high levels of impurities that make
processing very costly, while others are in isolated parts of the world and would require high infrastructure expenditures, deeming them uneconomic. In the case of brines, the weather in some regions is not appropriate for the solar evaporation process.
There are also many other factors, thus it is necessary to spend a significant amount of time and resources to determine the
feasibility of these projects before considering them as available resources.
According to the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) estimates, global lithium reserves are ~13Mt (Figure 11). These estimates
exclude lithium occurrences and resources than have not been proven economic.
Reserves
38,000
50,000
1,000,000
46,000
7,500,000
3,500,000
10,000
23,000
80,000
13,047,000

Figure 11: Global Lithium Reserves;
Source: USGS (2011), Euro Pacific Canada

85
Sales of New Vehicles, Millions

Country
United States
Argentina
Australia
Brazil
Chile
China
Portugal
Zimbabwe
Canada
Total

80
75
70
65
60
55
50
2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

Figure 12: Annual Sales of New Vehicles;
Source: International Organization of Motor Vehicles Manufacturers

Based on this reserve estimate, if we were to fully adopt electric vehicles starting next year, how many years of
lithium supplies would we have? Car sales have increased in the last few years, and as China and other emerging
markets continue to develop, sales are likely to increase. Last year, new vehicles sales totalled 82M (Figure 12).
The amount of lithium in batteries depends on different factors, including vehicle range and type (i.e., hybrid electric vehicles [HEVs], plug-in hybrid electric vehicles [PHEVs] or “pure” electric vehicles [EVs]). Electric vehicles use
more lithium per battery as they lack a conventional combustion engine, and a low-range electric vehicle may use
~5 kilograms of lithium; in contrast, an HEV may use >0.5 kilograms of lithium. If we were to adopt pure electric
vehicles with an average of 5 kilograms Li/vehicle, and sell 82M vehicles each year going forward, we estimate
there is only 30 years of reserve life, assuming 100% recoveries and no growth in current lithium demand in other applications/
sectors (Figure 13). However, given that processing recovering rates for the production of
battery-grade lithium are on average 50% using conventional methods, the likely reserve
life would be closer to 15 years. If we were
to adopt a combination of vehicle types and
consume an average of 2 kg Li/vehicle this

10

Annual Car Sales
Avg. Li / Car (kg)
Lithium Required for
Cars (tonnes)
Other Li Consumption
(Excl. Cars)
Total Li Consumption
Lithium Reserves
Years

82,000,000
0.5

82,000,000
1.0

82,000,000
2.0

82,000,000
5.0

41,000

82,000

164,000

410,000

28,659

28,659

28,659

28,659

69,659
13,047,000
187

110,659
13,047,000
118

192,659
13,047,000
68

438,659
13,047,000
30

Figure 13: Simplified Analysis of Lithium Reserve Life;
Source: Euro Pacific Canada

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August 2013

Lithium Industry Report

would yield a 35-year reserve life, adjusted to recovery rates. Our analysis is an extreme case as the 100% adoption
of electric vehicles in 2014 is not realistic, but it gives us an idea of the reserves required in the future if lithium is to
become our energy storage medium of choice.
The solution to adding more lithium reserves is to continue to invest in and develop lithium projects around the world.
The largest producers of lithium in South America (brine producers) may have the ability to expand reserves and production but a diversified and reliable supply of lithium will have to include lithium from different regions of the world
and sources (i.e., hard rock, geothermal and clay).

LITHIUM PROCESSES AND COMPOUNDS
Brine Processing
Brine Concentration
The lithium concentration in the brines is usually measured in parts per million (ppm),
milligrams per litre (mg/L) and weight percentage. The recovery process usually involves
solar evaporation of the brine in ponds (Figure 14). The brine evaporation is a necessary
step because of the dilutive concentration of the lithium in the brines (0.010–0.125% in
brines, compared to 0.2–1.5% in pegmatites). Direct chemical processing of the brines
without pre-concentration could be extremely expensive. Solar evaporation is a relatively
inexpensive operation that allows the lithium to concentrate into more economic grades
for later processing at chemical plants. The main brines in the world for the production of
lithium are Clayton Valley in the United States, the Atacama desert brine in Chile and the

Figure 14: Evaporation Pond;
Source: lithiummine.com

Hombre Muerto brine in Argentina. The Clayton Valley brine operations started in 1966
and were one of the first lithium operations from brines.
Example of Brine Salt Crystallization Sequence
From the late 1970s to the mid-1980s, Corporation de Fomento de la Production (CORFO, a Chilean government-owned
firm) and Saline Processors (a U.S. company) conducted extensive tests at Salar de Atacama to estimate its brine resources and economic development potential. During the testwork, they observed the following sequence of salt crystallization
in the ponds:
1.	 halite (or salt, NaCl);
2.	 halite and sylvite (or potassium chloride in mineral form);
3.	 halite, sylvite and potassium lithium sulphate (LiKSO4);
4.	 halite and kainite (a mineral salt that consists of potassium chloride and magnesium sulphate) and lithium sulphate (Li2SO4);
5.	 halite, carnallite (a potassium magnesium chloride salt, KMgCl3•6[H2O]) and lithium sulphate;
6.	 mostly bischoffite (a hydrous magnesium chloride mineral, MgCl2•6H2O); and
7.	

bischoffite and lithium carnallite (or lithium magnesium chloride heptahydrate, LiCl•MgCl2•7H2O).

Carnallite is usually the last mineral to form, which is the case in Clayton Valley; however, given the low humidity levels and
weather characteristics at the Salar de Atacama, bischoffite is allowed to form at commercial scale. Bischoffite formation
means that a significant amount of magnesium could be removed from the brine during solar evaporation.

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Example Brine Evaporation Process
Given the sequence of salt formations described above, one possible pond design is the one presented in Figure 15.
The process sequence is as follows:
1.	 Halite crystalizes first. The harvested salt is stockpiled or used to reinforce the walls of the solar ponds.
2.	 In the following ponds, potassium crystallizes as sylvinite, which is harvested and taken to the potash plant. At the plant,
sylvinite is crushed and ground (to about ~6 millimetres), and the potassium chloride is then separated from the mixture in
froth floatation cells. The potash product is then thickened, centrifuged and washed to produce a moist ~95% KCl product.
The brine leaving the sylvinite ponds can contain as much as 1% Li, which is returned to the lithium ponds.
3.	 The brine from the sylvinite ponds next goes to carnallite ponds, which is harvested to produce coarse potash.
4.	 Next, the brine can be mixed with calcium chloride and end-liquor from the processing plant to precipitate gypsum and
some of the boron. The remaining boron in the final brine is later removed by solvent extraction at a chemical plant.
5.	 In the following ponds, magnesium crystallizes as bischofite, which is harvested to remove most of the magnesium. As
the evaporation proceeds, bischoffite and lithium carnallite eventually crystallize together. To improve lithium recoveries, the mixed salts could be leached to dissolve the lithium and accumulate bischoffite. Alternatively, bischofite can
be sold for road paving applications.
6.	 At Salar de Atacama, the final brine in the lithium ponds is concentrated to 4–6% Li, with levels of up to 1.8% Mg and
0.8% boron (B), depending on the original lithium, magnesium and boron concentrate in the brine that is pumped from the
deposit and respective recovery rates.
Economic brine concentration by solar evaporation can take 18–24 months, after which additional processing
is required in order to obtain the final products (e.g., lithium carbonate and potash) (See the following section,
Brine — Chemical Plant Processing).
The process sequence described here is a hypothetical process and may not represent an actual process and may not
be in the correct order for any specific brine. Brines processing flowsheets, including the ponds and chemical plant
process design, vary with the characteristics of the brine in consideration.
Brine Fluid Flow

For instance, at Clayton Valley, the magnesium levels are much lower than those

Halite
Ponds

found at Atacama, but the humidity level

Sylvite
Ponds

Carnallite
Ponds

Carbonate
Precipitation
Ponds

Borate
Ponds

Lithium Concentration
Ponds

may not be low enough to favour bischofite
formation, thus part of the magnesium
maybe removed at the beginning of the

Brine
Well

process by adding slake lime. FMC’s brine

Lithium
Plant

operations at Hombre Muerto in Argentration so the brine is first conditioned to
an appropriate pH and temperature then
is treated using its proprietary process

Solids Flow

tina also have a low magnesium concenSalt

NaCl
(Salt)

KCl

B

KCl
KCl
(Potash)
Plant

Mg + Ca Carbonates,
Chlorides

Borate
Plant

based on selective lithium adsorption onto

is further concentrated and purified. FMC

Na2SO4
(Sodium Sulfate)

K2SO4
(Potassium
Sulphate)

KCl
(Potash)

Borates

Boric
Acid

Figure 15: Hypothetical Brine Flowsheet;
Source: Modified from mining.com

brine concentration costs were initially es-

12

Lithium
Carbonate

Lithium
Chloride

alumina. Only afterward is the brine sent
to the solar evaporation ponds where it

Lithium
Hydroxide

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August 2013

Lithium Industry Report

timated to be 20% cheaper than the simple solar evaporation approach. Early operations (1930s) at Searles Lake
potash-lithium in California originally consisted of brine evaporation by means of triple-effect evaporators; the salts
were removed by hydraulic classification and fro-floatation.
Brine – Chemical Plant Processing
After the solar evaporation, the concentrated brine is first pre-treated (Figure 16). The brine pH is lowered to about 2 and
then boron is removed by means of a solvent extraction circuit.
Lime is then added to the concentrated brine to precipitate the remaining residual impurities (e.g., magnesium, sulphate
and borate). To remove most of the calcium from the lime reactions, a small amount of soda ash is added at this stage.
The precipitate is settled then filtered and the overflow brine solution is clarified then heated at about ~90°C and reacted
with dry soda ash, hot wash and make-up waters to precipitate the lithium carbonate product. Extra water is usually added
to prevent salt crystallization; hence after washing the lithium, carbonate slurry is thickened in a bank of cyclones.
As ~50% of the lithium is not recovered, the cyclone overflow is returned to the ponds, and the cyclone underflow with
the lithium product is sent to a vacuum belt where it is washed and dewatered. This process usually produces a 99.0%
pure lithium carbonate “commercial” grade product, with the main impurities being boron, sulphate, sodium, potassium,
and trace amounts of calcium and magnesium. At this grade, the product is usually appropriate for ceramic applications
but is not suitable for metal production, batteries (+99.9%), etc. In order to achieve higher-purity levels, the carbonate
product has to be further processed. With the demand for higher-quality product, brine processors have been forced to
improve the quality of the lithium compounds.

Figure 16: Brine Processing Flowsheet;
Source: Modified from Outotec

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Lithium Industry Report

Assessing Brine Deposits
There a number of brines in the world; however, only a fraction of them have been economically exploited for the recovery of lithium and related materials (e.g., potassium). Some of the most important points to consider when valuing
brine projects include:

•	
•	

Lithium grade: The higher the grade the better. Solar evaporation of brines can yield a final brine with 0.50–6%
Li, depending on the initial concentration.
Evaporation rate: The rate of evaporation depends on the solar radiation (direct sunlight on the brines), the humidity level, wind and temperature. Evaporation rates in the lab may not be reproduced in the field. If the weather

•	

conditions are not appropriate the evaporation cycle could take several years deeming the project uneconomic.
Co or by-products: Boron and potassium products can be recovered from the brines and refined. The sale of
these products can make brine operations more economic. Market conditions of these products are also impor-

•	

tant for project economics.
Magnesium and sulphate concentration: The magnesium-to-lithium ratio and sulphate-to-lithium ratio are important parameters in the economic assessment of a brine project. High magnesium levels in the brine means
that a large amount of lithium may be trapped in the magnesium salts during the initial stages of the evaporation
process, reducing recovery rates. Also, a high magnesium-to-lithium ratio means that more soda ash reagent
would be required during the chemical processing of the brine, adding to raw material costs. The lower the sulphate (SO4)-to-lithium ratio in the final lithium brine pond the better. Lithium sulphate (Li2SO4) is highly soluble,

•	

thus a high concentration of sulphate would lead to lower lithium recoveries.
Amenability to local production: Brines located in remote areas away from infrastructure would require larger initial
capex, or higher transportation costs if the hydrometallurgical plant has to be positioned hundreds of kilometres away.

Proper design and maintenance of the ponds is also
important for the economics of a brine project (Figure
17). The most important aspect of the pond construction is for it to be leak-free. Also important is pond design efficiency, usually the more ponds the better, as
multiple ponds allow for each of the salts in the brine
to crystallize in separate ponds, improving evaporation

Figure 17: Lining a Pond;
Source: Orocobre

rates and ultimately the recovery of lithium.
Hard-Rock Processing

Most of the hard-rock lithium processing is from pegmatite-ore bodies. In simple terms, the recovery process consists of
concentration by froth floatation, followed by hydrometallurgy and precipitation from an aqueous solution.
Ore Concentration
The pegmatite ore is first crushed and ground to a fine size (e.g. -0.3 millimetres) and cleared with, for example, sodium sulphate, then conditioned with a collector (e.g., oleic acid). After conditioning, the ore is concentrated though floatation. In some
less-sophisticated operations, the ore may be concentrated by hand sorting. The flowsheet for the spodumene concentration
process is presented in Figure 18.
Chemical Plant Processing
The hydrometallurgical process could follow an acid or alkaline route. In the acid route, spodumene is first roasted to convert
the alpha spodumene mineral into an acid amenable beta spodumene (Figure 19). The material is then ground to a finer gran-

14

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August 2013

Lithium Industry Report

ule size, mixed with sulphuric acid then heated to convert the
lithium to soluble lithium sulphate. The mixture is then water-

Ore

leached to dissolve the lithium. The lithium-enriched solution
undergoes a number of impurity steps to remove iron, magne-

Comminution

sium, calcium and aluminum. The lithium is then precipitated
with sodium carbonate.

Cleaning
Conditioning

In the alkaline route, the spodumene ore is first heated with limestone, which converts the lithium silicates to lithium aluminates.

Rougher Floatation

The material is then leached to convert the lithium aluminates
into soluble lithium hydroxide, while the calcium forms an insoluble calcium aluminate product. The soluble lithium hydroxide

Cleaner Floatation
Cl
Fl t ti

Tailings
T ili

is passed through evaporators to precipitate lithium hydroxide

Concentrated Ore

monohydrate. The lepidolite ore has also been treated using the
alkaline process.
Detailed flowsheet examples of spodumene processing for

Final Tailing

Figure 18: Pegmatite Ore Concentration;
Source: Modified from Energy Vol.3. pp305-313
W. Werill and D. Olson

the production of lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide
can be found in our Nemaska Lithium and Canada Lithium
initiation reports, dated August 13, 2013.

Figure 19: Spodumene Processing Flowsheet;
Source: Modified from Outotec

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Lithium Industry Report

Assessing Hard-Rock Deposits
There are numerous hard-rock lithium deposits; some of the points to consider when accessing the economic viability of
these deposits include:

•	

Lithium-Grade and tonnage: The tonnage and grade (or concentration) of an ore mineral has a direct impact on production costs. Higher grades generally mean a higher percentage of elements can be extracted, which normally translates

•	

into lower unit costs and better margins. High tonnage and grades usually favour the success of feasibility studies.
Grade of co or by-products: Tantalum, beryllium, caesium rare earths are some of the elements that can be recovered
from lithium ore deposits such as LCT pegmatites. The sale of these products could make the operations more econom-

•	

ic. However, the mineral composition of the deposit needs to be favourable to the economic recovery of these products.
Impurities: High concentration of impurities (e.g., iron) in lithium ore minerals may limit application in the glass and
ceramics industry and increase processing costs. Radioactive impurities, if present, could also lead to longer permitting

•	

times and higher tailings management and disposal costs.
Location: Projects in remote locations with limited or no infrastructure generally require more funding. Companies with
vast infrastructure needs also tend to be further away from production, as they not only have to raise the funds that
could be delayed by poor market conditions but if the project site is in a remote location and difficult to access would
also likely limit the speed of the construction process.

Other Processes
In addition to the commonly used processes described for brines and spodumene, other processes have been developed in
the past; for example, the Limestone Leach Process was commercially used by Foote (now Chemetall/Rockwood), American
Potash and other companies. The process consisted of an initial roast that included mixing the ore with limestone and then
water leaching or a roasting followed by leaching with lime.
There has been extensive research and a number of patents related to processing of the Separation Rapids’ Big Whopper
Petalite ore in Canada, now owned by Avalon Rare Earths. One of the patents reported the production of 4% Li2O petalite
concentrate, and the separation of a number of products, including spodumene and tantalum concentrate.
Clay Processing
Laboratory tests have shown that
it is possible to recover up to 80%
lithium

from

moderately

Lithium Clay
Limestone

Recycle Solution

high-

Na2CO3

grade lithium clay deposits with

Feed
Preparation

a simple sulphuric acid leach,

Pelletized
Feed

but most advanced studies have
Some of the simplest tests includ-

Leach
Water

lowed by a hydrochloric acid leach,
which yielded a 70% recovery rate.
Other tests included five parts of
clay, three parts of gypsum and
three parts of limestone roasted
at 950°C, followed by water-leach-

Evaporator

Calcine

ed a 750°C roast with two parts of
clay for one part of limestone, fol-

Crystallizer

Li2CO3
Precipitation

Roast

shown an increased complexity.

16

Gypsum

Wash
Water

Slurry

Slurry

K2SO4
Na2SO4•10H2O
Water

Slurry
Filter

Leach
Solution

Filter

CaCO3

Residue

Concentrated 
Solution

Filter

Product Filtrate
Wash Water

Li2CO3

Figure 20: Lithium Carbonate from Clay Process Flowsheet;
Source: Handbook of Lithium and Natural Calcium Chloride (2004)

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August 2013

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ing, which resulted in 80% of lithium being recovered as lithium sulphate. An example of a detailed flowsheet for
the recovery of lithium from clay is presented in Figure 20. To our knowledge, lithium has never been recovered
from clay on a commercial scale.

APPLICATIONS
Glass
Lithium minerals, most often spodumene, are used for the production of a
number of glass products, such as containers, bottles, fiberglass, flaconnage,
internally nucleated glass ceramics, glass for pharmaceutical applications,
photochromic glass, soda lime glass, thermal (cool or hot) shock-resistant
cookware and sealed-beam headlights. The lithium reduces the viscosity and
melting temperature of the glass. A lower melting temperature means less
energy consumption. It has also been found that lithium increases the life Figure 21: Lithium Glass Ceramic Dental Fixtures;
and productivity of the glass furnace, without sacrificing glass quality. Lithium

Source: Thayer Dental Laboratory

improves the strength of the glass and the thermal shock resistance of finished products. The lithium mineral helps
reduce rejection rates and improve the quality of glass by reducing the amount of “bubbles”. Lithium carbonate can
also be used in certain applications (e.g., TV tubes). Lithium ore concentrates with high iron content are not suitable for
glass production, unless the iron content is appropriately reduced. In fact, some high-grade spodumene ores may also
be used without being concentrated as long as the iron content is significantly low.
Ceramics
Lithium minerals are used in ceramics to produce fritz and glazes, porcelain enamels for bathroom fixtures, shock-resistant
ceramics and porcelain tiles. Lithium decreases the melting temperature of ceramics by increasing fluxing power, causing their
thermal expansion co-efficient to decrease, thus increasing shock resistance. Lithium also decreases the pyroplastic deformation of ceramic materials improving their glaze adherence, gloss properties and stain resistance.
Additionally, lithium is used in applications where improved resistance to sudden temperature changes is required,
and in the production of optical glass ceramics and refractories (i.e., brick for furnace linings), where a low co-efficient
of expansion is required. Both mineral concentrates and compounds such as lithium carbonate can be used in ceramic applications, but petalite mineral is usually preferred because when it is heated there are limited structure or
phase changes. Another highly desirable lithium mineral for ceramic applications is lepidolite, which is the only ore
that contains fluorine and rubidium (two good fluxes); however, its availability is limited. Lithium is used in a multitude
of ceramic-type applications (Figure 21).
Lubricant Grease
Most lubricating greases are made of oil and soap, which, when mixed form stable gels called grease.
Lithium soaps hold high volumes of oil, have a high resistance to oxidation and hardening and, if liquefied, return to a stable grease consistency once cooled. Lithium greases make excellent lubricants as they
adhere particularly well to metal, are highly water soluble and offer consistent properties over a range of
temperatures. Most lithium grease uses lithium hydroxide but lithium carbonate can also be used. Lithiumcontaining greases have been in existence since the 1940s and were perhaps the first large-scale commercial application of lithium compounds. Lithium grease is commonly used as lubricant in household

Figure 22:

products (Figure 22) and in a number of demanding service applications in the automotive, military and Lithium Grease;
Source: 3M
aerospace industries, and accounts for about 65% of the lubricant market.

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Lithium Industry Report

Metallurgy
Lithium compounds are used as brazing and welding fluxes and as welding rod coatings, as they reduce the flux melting temperature and surface tension of steel alloys. Lithium compounds such as lithium carbonate, chloride and fluoride, and lithium metal are used to degasify and
clean a number of metals, including aluminum, copper and bronze (improving their electrical conductivity), and also less common metals such
as germanium and thorium.
Lithium carbonate is used in the aluminum industry, 1.5–4% kilograms
of Li2CO3 per tonne of aluminum produced, during metal processing. The

Figure 23: Lithium Metal;
Source: Google Images

lithium lowers the melting temperature of the molten electrolyte and increases the cell’s electrical conductivity, which
in turn decreases processing costs, particularly energy costs. Lithium carbonate also reacts with cryolite to form
lithium fluoride, which has high electrical conductivity and fluxing properties, and also reduces the consumption of
anode carbons. The use of lithium in the aluminum industry has been declining, however, and is most commonly used
in older plants. Lithium may also be used to produce an aluminum/lithium alloy improving the mechanical properties
of aluminum. For example, it can increase stiffness up to 7% and increase strength up to 30%, while offering weight
savings of about 5% relative to non-alloyed aluminum. Lithium can also be alloyed to silicon and a number of metals,
including copper, silver and magnesium.
Lithium Metal
Lithium metal is used in the production of organic chemicals, batteries, alloys and in numerous other applications
(Figure 23). For example, it is used in the synthesis of organometallic compounds in medical applications and in the
production of polymers and rubbers. It is also used as breeding blanket material and heat transfer medium in nuclear
fusion reactors in the nuclear power industry. As well, it is used in some lithium batteries for military and commercial
applications and in metallurgy applications as a degasifier in the production of certain high-conductivity metals.
Processing
Lithium metal is generally produced by the electrolysis of a
highly pure molten lithium chloride and potassium chloride
mixture. The schematic of the electrolytic cell used to produce
lithium metal is presented in Figure 24. The electrolyte (e.g.,
45% LiCl/ 55% KCl) solution is usually contained in a large
plain-carbon steel box positioned in a refractory-lined fire box.
The cathodes are usually vertical steel shafts and the anodes
are graphite shafts. Electrolysis is conducted at reported temperatures of 420–500°C, with lithium metal reduction occurring at the steel cathodes (Li+ + e- → Li0) and chlorine oxidation occurring at the graphite anodes. The metal accumulates
on the surface of the cell, and is then poured into ingots and
cooled at ambient temperatures. Others have devised alternative processes using direct electrolysis of lithium carbonate
and spodumene, with alleged material cost processing gains
compared to the conventional method.

18

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Figure 24: Schematic of an Electrolytic Cell for the
Production of Lithium Metal;
Source: Handbook of Lithium and Natural
Calcium Chloride (2004)
August 2013

Lithium Industry Report

Air Conditioners
Lithium compounds, more specifically lithium bromide and lithium chloride, are used in air conditioners (Figure 25). Both
compounds have high hygroscopic capacity (i.e., high water absorbing ability), and thus can reduce the moisture of the air and
other gases to very low levels. As water is removed from the air, it cools, offering a refrigeration effect. Lithium-based solutions
used in air conditioning applications exhibit low vapor pressure, low viscosity, high stability and non-toxic properties. Lithium
bromide and lithium chloride can also be used as desiccants (humidity absorbing material) in dehumidification applications.

Figure 25: Lithium Bromide Absorption Refrigerator and Process Schematic;
Source: National Climate Data Centre (NCDC NOAA)
Energy Storage
Lithium is an important element in energy storage. Energy storage technologies fall under the category of non-stationary, as in the case of Li-ion batteries
used in electronic devices such as iPads or hybrid vehicles, or stationary, like
those used in electric grid applications.
Battery
Batteries are comprised of electrochemical cells with electrically conductive materials that react to produce electric energy. There are two main classes of bat-

Figure 26: Lithium Batteries AAA
and Coin Shaped;
Source: KyloDee, Wikimedia, Uline

teries: primary and secondary. In primary batteries or cells, the electrochemical
reaction is usually not reversible and the battery cannot be recharged. These batteries need to be constantly replaced with new ones. Primary batteries include the
round alkaline cells used in watches and calculators and non-rechargeable AAA
and AA batteries (Figure 26), which are used in TV remote controls, flashlights, etc.
Secondary cells or batteries are rechargeable, which means that when a charging current is supplied to the cell the electric energy is transformed into chemical
energy that can be stored. The lifespan of secondary batteries is proportional
to the number of discharge/charge cycles, and they may last for thousands of

Figure 27: Lithium Ion Battery Inside
an iPad Device;
Source: AppleInsider

cycles depending on their chemistry and application. Examples of secondary batteries are lithium-cobalt oxide (LCO) batteries commonly used in consumer applications, such as mobile phones, cameras, electric tools and medical equipment.
Demand for secondary batteries has grown exponentially in the last decade, driven by the increasing adoption of
portable data storage devices such as smartphones and tablets (Figure 27).

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The current issues surrounding global warming, peak oil
prices and petro-dictatorship have driven policies in many
industrialized nations that support the development of low
carbon and renewable energy technologies. At the centre
of the discussion is the role of the automotive industry and
its impact on the environment and resource preservation.
Thus, there have been significant efforts to bring back the
electric car (Figure 28). Electric cars were first introduced
in 1900s and then again in the 1990s with no success.
Currently, there are three main types of electric cars: 1) Hy-

Figure 28: Location of Battery Pack in a HEV;
Source: Audi

brid electric vehicles (HEV) with both a conventional internal
combustion engine and an electric motor, a start/stop sys-

tem and a regenerating braking energy system to charge the battery; in some hybrid models the combustion engine
is used to charge the electric motors that drive the vehicles; 2) Plug-in hybrids (PHEV), i.e. hybrid vehicles with a
rechargeable battery charged using electricity from the grid; and 3) “pure” electric vehicles (EV) with battery-powered
electric propulsion systems whose battery is charged with electricity from the grid. Electric buses, trucks and bicycles
are also available.
The re-emerging interest in electric cars has driven significant innovation in the battery sector, thus there are a variety of batteries available for electric cars. Toyota is the world’s largest producer of lightweight electric vehicles. Up
until now, the company has used nickel-metal hydrate batteries but has started to move toward lithium-ion (Li-ion)
batteries because of their high density and durability. Lithium batteries are comprised of a variety of materials and
chemistries (Figure 29). The most promising Li-ion batteries for automotive applications include lithium-nickel-cobaltaluminium (NCA), lithium-iron phosphate (LFP), lithium-manganese spinel (LMO) and lithium-nickel-manganese-cobalt
(NMC), all with lithium in the cathode and electrolyte,
and lithium-titanate (LTO), which also uses lithium in the
anode. Other important materials used in Li-ion batteries include nickel, cobalt, aluminium, manganese and
titanium. Graphite is often used as an anode in many of

Cathode
Anode

these metals and a ratio of lithium to graphite content
1:4 is not uncommon.

NCA
LiNi0.8Co0.15Al0.05O2
Graphite

Battery Type
LFP
LMO
LiFePO4 LiMn2O4
Graphite Graphite

LTO
LiMn2O4
Li4Ti5O12

Figure 29: Selected Battery Composition Types;
Source: Argonne National Laboratory

There are trade-offs with each of the different Li-ion batteries, as shown in Figure 30. Safety is the most important criterion,
also relevant are the cost and lifespan (i.e., overall battery age and ability to fully charge over the years). Good performance
relates to how different temperatures affect the operation and degradation rate of the battery; specific energy refers to the
capacity to store energy per kilogram of weight, which is still a fraction of that of gasoline; and specific power is the power
per kilogram that batteries can deliver.
Given that lithium iron phosphate appears to offer the best safety, lifespan and cost balance at a reasonable performance, we believe the FLP battery may be more widely adopted. These batteries require higher amounts of lithium
than the NCA and LMO-type batteries. As part of our global lithium demand forecast, we have also forecast demand
for electric vehicles (see Demand section).

20

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In the U.S. and most industrialized nations, the emergence of electric vehicles has been driven by government policies. The
number of hybrid electric vehicle models in the United States has grown despite slow sales post the 2008 recession and
all major car makers now have multiple HEV models (Figure 31). We believe that as vehicle prices fall and performance improves, demand is likely to increase. In 2012, more than 360,000 HEVs were sold, a 42% increase over 2011.

Figure 30: Main Lithium-ion Battery Technologies Ranking;
Source: BCG

Volkswagen Jetta Hybrid
Toyota Prius C

400

Buick Regal
Buick Lacrosse
Hyundai Sonata
Lexus CT 200h

350

Porsche Cayenne
Mercedes S400
Mercedes ML450
Mazda Tribute

300

Honda CR‐Z
Ford Lincoln MKZ
BMW X6
BMW ActiveHybrid 7

Thousand HEVs

250

Chevrolet Sierra/Silverado
Lexus HS 250h
Mercury Milan
Ford Fusion

200

Dodge Durango
Chrysler Aspen
Cadillac Escalade
Chevy Malibu
GMC Yukon

150

y
Chevy Tahoe
Saturn Aura
Lexus LS600hL
Saturn Vue

100

Nissan Altima
Toyota Camry
Lexus GS 450h
Mercury Mariner

50

Toyota Highlander
Lexus RX400h
Honda Accord
Ford Escape

0
1999

2000

www.afdc.energy.gov/data/

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

Honda Civic
Toyota Prius
Honda Insight

Figure 31: Sales of HEV in the United States;
Source: EERE AFDC

www.epccm.ca

21
August 2013

Lithium Industry Report

Stationary Energy Storage
Energy storage technologies for stationary applications, such as grid energy management, are expected to be important tools for the development of future reliable and economic electricity supply.
Stationary energy storage is expected to support better integration of renewable energies (e.g., solar and wind) by
storing, regulating and managing the flow of energy. Electrochemical stationary energy storage systems include large
Li-ion batteries (Figure 32), lead-carbon and lead-acid batteries, electrochemical capacitor batteries, sodium-based
batteries and flow batteries (e.g., iron-chromium, and vanadium). Other solutions include kinetic-based energy storage systems such as compressed-air energy storage and high-speed flywheels. In addition, emerging technologies for
energy storage include the metal-air batteries in which different metals can be used, including aluminium, zinc and
lithium, and liquid metal batteries that use magnesium and antimony-based liquids as electrodes.
Currently, the most used method to store energy is pumped-storage hydroelectricity (PSH), where excess generated
energy is used to pump water into a reservoir at an elevated level and then released to a lower reservoir through a
turbine to generate electricity during periods of high demand. However, no new PSH locations have been identified
and new alternatives are desperately needed.
Despite their success in mobile applications, Li-ion technologies are not yet the preferred technology in stationary
applications where size and weight are not major considerations, but instead cost, charge/discharge time and battery life are more important. Currently, the best alternatives for energy management applications include advanced
lead-acid batteries with carbon-enhanced electrodes, vanadium redox batteries (flow-type batteries), sodium-based
batteries and emerging compressed air batteries.
It should be noted, however, that the broader energy management
plan, which includes the vehicle to grid (V2G) concept, involves the
use of energy not only from stationary energy storage systems, but
also from the batteries of electric vehicles, bringing together stationary and non-stationary energy storage sources to achieve a balanced
distribution and optimal utilization of energy. Thus, as the global energy management plan advances, lithium is likely to have a critical role.
Other Applications

Figure 32: Li-ion Energy Storage System;
Source: Saft

Lithium is also an important ingredient in many organic compounds, where lithium is usually bonded to carbon atoms,
forming liquids or low melting point solids. These compounds are soluble in hydrocarbon and polar organic solvents
but are highly reactive with oxygen and some may ignite spontaneously when in contact with air. An important organic
lithium is butyl, which is used in the production of polymers and elastomers. Some lithium organics have applications
in pharmaceuticals; for instance, in the preparation of vitamin A, steroids, tranquilizers, etc. In medicine, lithium carbonate or lithium acetate has been used in the treatment of manic depression. Lithium is also used as an additive
for quick-setting of cement and floor tiles, in dyes and pigments to increase brilliance, and many other applications
spanning numerous industries. Lithium compounds are also used in agriculture.
In summary, Figures 33 and 34 show the lithium products output flow from a brine and hard-rock rock operation, and likely
uses as described above. Most of the lithium compounds are derived from lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide.

22

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Lithium Industry Report

Batteries
Ceramics
Polymers
Alloys

Brine
Li‐Carbonate
Concentrated
Brine

Li‐Hydroxide

Batteries
Lubricants

Lithium
Ore
Glass

Li Mineral 
Concentrate

Batteries
Lubricants

Li‐Hydroxide

Batteries
Ceramics
Polymers
Alloys

Li‐Carbonate

Li‐Bromide
Air Conditioning

Li‐Bromide

Li‐Chloride

Air Conditioning

Li‐Metal
Butyllithium

Li‐Chloride

Batteries
Pharmaceuticals
Chemicals
Alloys
Polymers
Pharmaceuticals

Figure 33: Brine Processing Compounds and Derivatives,
and Major End-Use Applications;
Source: Euro Pacific Canada

Li‐Metal

Batteries
Pharmaceuticals
Chemicals
Alloys

Butyllithium

Polymers
Pharmaceuticals

Figure 34: Lithium Ore Processing
Compounds and Derivatives, and Major End-Use Applications
Source: Euro Pacific Canada

RECYCLING
Currently, most lithium products are not recycled. In the case of lithium used in lubricants, the lithium is dispersed in the environment. However, there has been an increasing focus on lithium recycling due to the high adoption of lithium batteries, and a number
of countries in Europe, North America and Asia have funded recycling programs.
There are a number of companies with battery recycling capabilities, such as Toxco Inc., which has been recycling batteries in Canada for over 30 years and in 2010 received funding from the U.S. Department of Energy to build the first Li-ion battery recycling plant
in the U.S. In Belgium, Umicore opened a battery recycling facility with the capability of recycling Li-ion and lithium polymer batteries.
In Germany, the Ministry for the Environment, Natural Conservation and Natural Safety awarded funds to Rockwood Lithium as part
of a consortium called LithoRec, which is co-ordinated by Automotive Research Centre Niedersachsen and includes companies such
as Volkswagen AG and Audi AG to build a recycling facility.
Lithium slags are usually the by-product of battery recycling plants although the technology exists, it is usually not economic to refine
lithium into commercial products due to the small amount of lithium content in batteries and the relatively low raw material price
(~$6,000/tonne of lithium carbonate). With the exception of cement applications, lithium slags are not useful for most applications,
and thus are likely stockpiled and perhaps exposed to the environment.
The most common type of lithium batteries are the small coin-shaped batteries that are used in electronics to power memory circuits
when systems are shut down, saving critical configuration settings and improving start-up time. These batteries are not rechargeable
but have a long lifespan. The other common types of batteries are those used in mobile devices such as smartphones and laptops,
which are rechargeable and re-used many times. Depending on the battery chemistry, steel, cobalt, manganese and other metals
may also be recovered from lithium batteries.
As it is not profitable to recover the relatively small amounts of lithium contained in spent batteries, it is the amount of more valuable
metals (e.g., cobalt) that usually determines the economics of the battery recycling business. As per the lithium slags, they may be
stockpiled for future refining.
Is not uncommon for recycling costs to exceed the value of the materials recovered; in these cases, it is stewardship considerations that are driving the recycling of batteries. In the long term, as more batteries are recycled, the recycling of lithium
batteries may become a more profitable proposition favoured by economies of scale.

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23
August 2013

Lithium Industry Report

Lithium Outlook
Demand for lithium grew at an average of 7.2%/year from 2001 to 2008, slowing due to the global recession and picking
up again in 2010. It is expected that annual demand will continue to rise significantly in the near future as a result of the
increased usage of lithium in battery applications. Primary drivers of lithium demand are expected to come from hybrid and
electric cars, electrical grid storage, cell phones, computers, power tools, iPods and iPads. Lithium batteries are now used
in most electrified vehicles.
According to estimates from Gartner Research and Canalys, feature cellphones still account for the majority of wireless
phone sales, but smartphones, which usually use higher amounts of lithium, are increasingly taking a larger portion of the
market. It is estimated that 1.75–1.93B mobile devices were sold in 2012. Canalys estimates a 7.8% growth in demand for
mobile devices between 2012 and 2016. IDC Research estimates mobile devices in the emerging markets will grow at an
average of 17% year-over-year between 2012 and 2017, compared to 7% in developed markets. Mobile devices usually carry
8–25 grams of lithium, depending on the watt-hour rating of the device. In contrast, vehicles can carry anywhere from 0.3
kilograms (300 grams) to 5+ kilograms of lithium, depending on the type of battery and performance vehicle. We estimate
that in 2013 the battery sector alone will consume 45,000–55,000 tonnes of LCE and will almost double by 2021. The
lithium market is valued at close to $1.0B but the battery market is estimated at $11B. China is the largest consumer of
lithium products but the country is a net importer of lithium. In 2011, China produced 3.93B lithium battery units, valued at
~US$5.4B. In 2011, lithium production in China was estimated to have increased by more than 30% from 2010. Demand in
China is expected to continue to grow, spurred by government policies toward the use of cleaner technologies in the transportation sector (including bikes).
Demand for lithium products has increased in most sectors, and we expect it to continue to grow at a rate close to the average global GDP, which is estimated at 3% year-over-year (Figure 35). We expect China to continue to be the largest lithium
consumer but we should also see an increase in lithium demand from the other major consuming regions (i.e., U.S., Europe,
Japan and Korea) as the global economy improves.
GDP Growth

To fulfil the increasing demand for high-purity
lithium, existing producers have implemented
aggressive growth plans and upgraded plants.
Additionally, a number of projects have mushroomed around the world; however, we anticipate
that only a few will be able to reach production
in the next five years, which should help balance
demand and prices.
Prices for lithium carbonate more than doubled
between 2004 and 2008 to ~US$5,500/tonne.
Currently, high-purity (+99.5%) lithium carbonate

2013

2019-2025

United States
Europe
Japan
Other Advanced
ALL ADVANCED ECONOMIES
China
India
Other Developing Asia
Latin America
Middle East
Africa
Russia, Central Asia & Southeast Europe
ALL EMERGING ECONOMIES

is priced at just above US$6,000/tonne. We ex-

WORLD TOTAL

pect prices of high-purity lithium carbonate to stay

0

above $5,500/tonne but below $7,000/tonne in

1

2

3
4
Percent (%)

Figure 35: GDP Growth Forecast;
Source: The Conference Board

the near to mid-term.

24

2014-2018

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5

6

7

8
August 2013

Lithium Industry Report

SUPPLY
The supply of lithium is dominated by four companies, Talison Lithium (owned by
Tianqi Group), Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile (SQM), Rockwood Lithium (a
Chemetall Group subsidiary) and FMC Corporation, which together control an estimated 85% of the world supply (Figure 36). Talison in Australia is currently the
largest producer of lithium: the company has a production capacity of ~740,000
tonnes per year (tpy) of lithium concentrate, or 110,000 tonnes LCE. The world’s
second-largest producer is SQM with operations in the Antofagasta region of Chile.
Rockwood also has lithium operations in Atacama and accounts for 20% of the world
supply. We estimate that FMC, which has brine operations in Argentina, currently accounts for ~9% of world lithium production. Like the other major producers FMC has
recently increased its production capacity, which is now 35% higher than previously.

Figure 36: Lithium Supply per Company;
Source: Euro Pacific Canada

Lithium is sold mostly through private contracts and in a variety of forms (with different lithium contents); as such, estimating lithium supply and demand carries a higher error compared to estimates for the most common base metal commodities
sold on the spot market. For instance, Talison reported 339,501 tonnes of lithium concentrate sales in FY2012; some of the
concentrate was sold and used as it is for glass and ceramic applications, but some is processed into lithium carbonate, and
a portion of that is then converted into lithium hydroxide and/or other compounds. For each step or process (e.g., from lithium
concentrate to carbonate), there is a fraction of lithium that is not recovered. It has been suggested that ~15–25% of lithium
is nonrecoverable during the hydrometallurgical process (e.g., for the conversion of lithium concentrate to lithium carbonate),
which could result in a discrepancy between the estimated lithium content in the mineral concentrate sold by miners such as
Talison and lithium content in the final compounds sold by refiners and ultimately bought by end-users.
Thus, although Talison sold 339,501 tonnes of lithium concentrate, which is equivalent to ~50,000 tonnes of lithium carbonate (LCE), the final lithium compound that refiners sell and may be used to produce other types of compounds will be less than
50,000 tonnes lithium carbonate. For example, if we assume (although this is not the case) that all of the 339,501 tonnes of
lithium concentrate Talison sold was converted to lithium carbonate, the actual lithium carbonate volume would be closer to
~40,000 tonnes assuming an 80% recovery rate. As Talison does not yet have the downstream capability to produce lithium
carbonate but instead sells lithium concentrate mostly to refiners in China, the company discloses a LCE amount, assuming
100% recovery, which is not accurate. However, companies with downstream businesses (e.g., lithium carbonate production
capability), such as FMC, may consume/process all of the lithium concentrate produced, and may be able to report the volume
of lithium carbonate sold with a higher accuracy.

ferent forms of lithium products, the production
in various countries, the downstream capability
of the leading companies including their expansion projects, and the new lithium projects, we
have estimated the world production of lithium
(in LCE) as shown in Figure 37. Our estimates
indicate that global lithium supply for 2013 will
be ~165,000–175,000 tonnes.

Lithium Carbonate Equivalent, Tonnes

200,000

Taking into consideration the market for the dif-

180,000
160,000
140,000

Canada

120,000

Others

100,000

United-States

80,000

Argentina

60,000

Chile

40,000

Australia

20,000
2005E

2006E

2007E

2008E

2009E

2010E

2011E

2012E

2013F

2014F

2015F

Figure 37: Estimates and Forecast of Lithium Carbonate Equivalent Supply;
Source: Euro Pacific Canada; USGS; Various Sources

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25
August 2013

Lithium Industry Report

For the last few decades, lithium production from brines has been the main source of lithium. For instance, in 2005, brine
production from Chile and Argentina accounted for more than 50% of the world supply. However, as demand has increased,
it seems that companies operating in South America have struggled to maintain their supply share of the market, and we
forecast that in 2014 less than 40% of lithium supply will be from South American brines.
We believe that a number of factors, including water availability, infrastructure constraints and changes in the market of by-products
(which can be obtained from these brines [e.g. potash]) have changed the competitive nature of brine production. Furthermore, it
seems that changes in weather patterns (Figure 38) in the region have led to an increase in average precipitation, particularly in
Argentina where FMC operates, leading to production delays. The lithium ponds evaporation process for the production of lithium
concentrate product usually takes 18–24 months, but can take longer if it rains more than usual. In Bolivia, the government has
partnered with a consortium of Korean corporations to develop the Salar de Uyuni; however, it has been suggested that the ponds,
which were built in 2008, have not yet evaporated to appropriate levels, due to unsuitable weather conditions.

JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
NOV
DEC
TOTAL

2005
0
0
0
0
0.4
0.2
18.4
4.8
0.2
0.2
0
0
24.2

2006
0
0
0
0.2
0.2
0.4
0
0
0
0.4
0
0.2
1.4

2007
0.2
0
0
0.2
0.4
0.2
0.4
0.4
0.4
871.1
871.2
0
1744.5

2008
0
0
0
1.2
1
1.8
7.8
0.2
0.4
0
32.4
0.8
45.6

2009
0
0.9
0
0.2
0.2
0.4
0
0
0
0
0
0
1.7

2010
0
0
0
0
0
0.2
0
3.8
0.2
0
0
0
4.2

2011
0
0.2
0
0
0.2
3.8
25
10.4
1.1
0
0.4
0
41.1

2012
0
0
0
0
0.4
2
0.6
0
0.8
0.4
0.2
0
4.4

2013
0
0
0
0
5.4
0.2

5.6

Figure 38: Precipitation at the Atacama Desert;
Source: ncdc.noaa.gov
As brine production has a natural delay due to the long evaporation cycle brine operators have not been able to respond
as quickly as hard-rock suppliers to the dramatic increase in lithium demand over the last few years. Lithium hard-rock
producer Talison has seized the opportunity by quickly doubling its production capacity and catching up with SQM, the
largest producer in South America, in less than two years. Galaxy Resources also fast-tracked its spodumene project to
start production in 2012; however, the company is facing some financing issues at the moment.
We expect Talison and other hard-rock producers to continue to gain market share over the brine producers in the near term,
with lithium production volumes from Australia to be similar to the total output from Chilean brines by 2015 (Figure 39).

2015F
United-States
3%

Others
15%

Canada
11%
Argentina
7%

Figure 39: Lithium Supply per Country;
Source: Euro Pacific Canada

26

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Chile
32%

Australia
32%
August 2013

Lithium Industry Report

As mentioned above, Talison has recently doubled its production capacity to 110,000 tonnes LCE. Rockwood Lithium
announced last year that it plans to build a new 20,000-tonne lithium carbonate plant to increase its total capacity
to 50,000 tonnes of lithium carbonate. However, as the company recently lost its bid for Talison, it is not clear where
the feed concentrate for the plant will be coming from. FMC increased its production capacity from 17,000 tonnes to
23,000 tonnes (35%); however, unusual weather patterns in the region may limit output in the near term.
We expect world production to increase at an 8.4% CAGR from 2010 to 2015 as the major producers increase their
production volumes gradually and new producers enter the market.
There are a number of brine and hard-rock projects being developed around the globe. Some of the most developed
projects include Canada Lithium’s hard-rock project in Quebec and Orocobre’s brine project in the Jujuy province of
Argentina. We anticipate production of lithium carbonate in Canada from Canada Lithium in 2014. Orocobre construction work is progressing on time and on budget. As the company is currently performing pond lining work, the first
lithium concentrate may not be produced until late 2015 or early 2016, weather permitting. Lithium carbonate (run of
mine) may be produced by 2016 after successful commissioning of the hydrometallurgical plant. We should also see
increased supply from other regions.
Brine production has the benefit of having a low cost for the production of lithium concentrate, but unfortunately the production cycle is long. Hard-rock mining has a significantly faster production cycle, although cost of lithium concentrate is
higher (15–30%). It should be noted, however, that historical records and company data suggest that the lithium carbonate and hydroxide produced from the hydrometallurgical plants in South America that use lithium concentrate from brines
as feedstock are of “economic” grade and are usually used as the feed material for the production of higher-quality lithium
carbonate. Therefore, we argue that although the overall production cost of hard-rock producers is higher, existing and
new producers maybe able to offer the market a higher quality product at a higher price.

DEMAND
It has been estimated that China is the largest consumer of lithium products, accounting for about 30% of the total
demand, followed by Europe and Japan. The glass and ceramics sector has been the largest consumer of lithium;
however, in recent years, lithium demand for battery applications in the technology and transportation industries has
growth at a faster rate than in any other sector.

2015F
2015F

2011E
Others
18%

Ceramics and
Glass
28%

Air Treatement
5%

Metallurgy
8%

Batteries
28%

Air Treatement
Air
5%
Treatement
5%
Metallurgy
Metallurgy
7%
7%

Lubricants
13%

Others
Others
17%
17%

Batteries
Batteries
33%
33%

Ceramics and
Ceramics and
Glass
Glass
26%
26%

Lubricants
Lubricants
12%
12%

Figure 40: Lithium Demand per Sector;
Source: Euro Pacific Canada

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27
August 2013

Lithium Industry Report

We estimate that in 2011 lithium demand for battery applications was likely as large as lithium demand for glass and
ceramics (28%). As long as the consumer electronics sector (e.g. smart devices) stays strong and demand for hybrid
electric vehicles continues to grow, we expect demand for battery-grade lithium to continue to increase and become
the largest lithium consuming industry by 2015 (Figure 40).
In order to estimate lithium demand from the battery sector,

4,000,000

we forecast sales of electric vehicles as presented in Figure

3,500,000

41. As mentioned above, lithium content in car batteries de-

3,000,000

pends on the type of battery (Figure 42). We assumed that

2,500,000

on average, electric vehicles will require 1.5 kilograms of lith-

2,000,000

ium, and that most of the growth will be in China but the U.S.

1,500,000

and Japan will be the first countries to achieve ~1M annual

1,000,000

sales by 2020. Our forecast results in 3.8M sales of electric

500,000

Other
Europe
United states
Japan
China

2020

2019

2018

2017

2016

2015

2014

2013

2012

2011

2010

2009

2007

rate (our base-case scenario). Our results are similar to those

2008

0

vehicles by 2020, averaging a 12.6% year-over-year growth

Figure 41: Forecast of Global HEV Vehicles
Sales; Source: Euro Pacific

reported by Pike Research in March 2013.

Battery Type
NCA
Vehicle Range (mi) at 300 Wh/mile
Total Li in Battery pack (kg)

LFP

LMO

LTO

4

20

40

100

4

20

40

100

4

20

40

100

4

20

40

100

0.37

1.50

3.00

7.40

0.24

0.93

1.90

4.70

0.17

0.67

1.40

3.40

0.64

2.50

5.10

12.70

Figure 42: Lithium Content in Selected Batteries;
Source: Argonne National Laboratory
In our global lithium demand forecast, we assumed that demand for most sectors, with the

350,000

exception of metallurgy and batteries, will congrowth, which we assume at close to 3% per year

Low (3.9%)

300,000

Medium (5.0%)

High (6.3%)

250,000

(Figure 35). We expect demand in the metallurgy
sector to stay stagnant as demand for lithium in
aluminum smelters falls and demand for alloy
applications rises. We forecast three growth scenarios — low, medium and high, assuming three
different growth rates for lithium demand in the

LCE, Tonnes

tinue to grow at a rate close to the global GDP

200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
2011E 2012E 2013F 2014F 2015F 2016F 2017F 2018F 2019F 2020F 2021F

battery industry — which equated to a total aver-

Figure 43: Lithium Demand Forecast Curves;
Source: Euro Pacific Canada

age global lithium growth demand of 3.9% (low),
5.0% (medium, base case) and 6.3% (high) (Fig-

ure 43). If demand for wireless devices continues to grow, particularly in the emerging markets, and the HEV adoption targets
set by various countries in the developed world is achievable, a 5.0% average growth rate for lithium demand would be actually somewhat modest. Our forecast does not include demand growth for new lithium uses.

28

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August 2013

Lithium Industry Report

PRICE OUTLOOK
Lithium prices have increased steadily since the
2000s, with the exception of 2010. According to reported prices of imported and exported lithium carbonate in North America (Figure 44), it seems the

$8,000
$7,000
$6,000
$5,000

U.S.-exported lithium carbonate is higher quality

$4,000

(higher price) than the lithium carbonate imported

$3,000

from Argentina and Chile where lithium is produced

$2,000

from brines.

$1,000
$0
2006

In fact, technical-grade lithium carbonate is often used
as the starting product for the production of high-pu-

not built for the production of high-purity lithium com-

2008

2009

2010

2011

Li2CO3, US, $/tonne (exports)

Figure 44: U.S. Lithium Carbonate Prices;
Source: USGS

rity or battery-grade lithium carbonate. Many of the
lithium carbonate plants in South America were likely

2007

Li2CO3, US, $/tonne (imports)

$18,000

LiOH.H2O, US, $/tonne (imports)
LiOH.H2O, US, $/tonne (exports)
Li2CO3, US, $/tonne (imports)

$16,000

pounds, as the battery market was rather small at the

$14,000

time. It seems that as demand for higher-purity ma-

$12,000

terial started to grow, increasing amounts of lithium

$10,000

carbonate product had to be further refined to meet

$8,000

specifications for the more sophisticated technologi-

$6,000

cal applications, which probably translated to higher

$4,000

reagent and energy costs. Thus, we argue that as
demand for higher-purity lithium material increased
so did the production costs of lithium carbonate,
which has likely forced the major brine producers to
increase their product prices.

$2,000
$0
2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

Figure 45: Imported and Exported Lithium Hydroxide
and Imported Lithium Carbonate Prices;
Source: USGS, Euro Pacific Canada

The higher prices for lithium carbonate have made it possible for the higher-cost producers to enter the market (i.e.,
some hard-rock producers in Asia).
Lithium carbonate is sometimes used for the production of lithium hydroxide. Figure 45 shows the price of imported
lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide compared to the price of exported lithium hydroxide, an increasingly desirable
material for batteries.
China’s battery-grade lithium carbonate (+99.5%) domestic prices have stayed above $6,000/tonne in the last two
years, and are currently at ~$6,800/tonne (Figure 46). As the demand for lithium compounds for batteries and other
electronic applications rises, we expect the prices of exported lithium carbonate to stay above $6,000/tonne in North
America and China for the next 12 months.

www.epccm.ca

29
August 2013

Lithium Industry Report
Lithium Carbonate 99.0% (US$/tonne)
$10,000
$9,000
$8,000
$7,000
$6,000
$5,000
$4,000
$3,000
$2,000
$1,000
6/7/2013

12/7/2012

6/7/2012

12/7/2011

6/7/2011

12/7/2010

6/7/2010

12/7/2009

6/7/2009

12/7/2008

6/7/2008

12/7/2007

$0

Lithium Carbonate 99.5% (US$/tonne)
$7,200
$7,000
$6,800
$6,600
$6,400
$6,200
$6,000
$5,800
$5,600
6/2/2013

3/2/2013

12/2/2012

9/2/2012

6/2/2012

3/2/2012

12/2/2011

9/2/2011

6/2/2011

$5,400

Lithium Hydroxide Monohydrate 56.5% (US$/tonne)
$7,200
$7,000
$6,800
$6,600
$6,400
$6,200
$6,000
$5,800
$5,600
6/21/2013

3/21/2013

12/21/2012

9/21/2012

6/21/2012

3/21/2012

$5,400

Figure 46: China Domestic Price for Lithium Carbonate and Lithium Hydroxide;
Source: Asian Metal

30

www.epccm.ca
August 2013

Lithium Industry Report

APPENDIX A: SELECTED COMPANIES
The following pages include a number of selected companies with lithium projects around the world.
It is important to note the following definitions:
•	

Lithium grades are usually defined in percentage or parts per million (ppm) of lithium oxide (Li2O) content or lithium (Li)
content. Brine lithium content may also be defined in milligrams per litre (mg/L).

•	

Lithium carbonate (product/produced) is defined by the formula Li2CO3.

•	

Lithium carbonate equivalent (LCE) is the total equivalent amount of lithium carbonate — assuming the lithium content
in the deposit (hard rock or brine) or a product such as spodumene concentrate (usually with ~6% lithium oxide [Li2O]
content) is converted to lithium carbonate, using the conversion rates in the table below.

•	

Lithium resources and reserves are usually presented in tonnes of LCE or Li.

•	

LCE or Li amounts usually assume 100% recovery, particularly for resources and reserves.

•	

Lithium concentrate is the mineral or ore concentrate (not leached), usually with ~6%±2% lithium oxide (Li2O) content.

•	

The lithium content in the ore concentrate is usually defined in terms of lithium oxide (Li2O) content.

•	

Contained resources or reserves are the total resources/reserves multiplied by the grade.

Example: if a company has 12Mt of resources at 1.5% Li grade, total contained resources are 12 x 1.5% = 180,000 tonnes
Li. To convert to LCE: 180,000 Li x 5.324 = 958,320 tonnes of LCE.

•	
•	

Lithium hydroxide is also defined by the formula LiOH (anhydrous form) and as LiOH.H2O (monohydrate form).
Potash is the term used to defined potassium salts, such as potassium hydroxide (KOH); potassium carbonate (K2CO3);
potassium chloride (KCl), potassium sulfate (K2SO4), potassium magnesium sulfate (K2SO4•2MgSO4), langbeinite
(K2Mg2(SO4)3) or potassium nitrate (KNO3)
To convert

To Li

To LiOH

To LiOH-H20

To Li2O

To Li2CO3

To LiAlSi2O6

Li

1.000

3.448

6.061

2.153

5.324

LiOH

0.290

1.000

1.751

0.624

1.543

26.455
7.770

LiOH-H20

0.165

0.571

1.000

0.356

0.880

4.435

Li2O

0.465

1.603

2.809

1.000

2.476

12.500

Li2CO3

0.188

0.648

1.136

0.404

1.000

5.025

LiAlSi2O6

0.038

0.129

0.225

0.080

0.199

1.000

PPM=1.00 mg/L
km2=100 ha
ha=2.47 acres

www.epccm.ca

31
Luisa Moreno, PhD, MEng - 416.933.3352
luisa.moreno@europac.ca
Ollie Primak, MBA, CFA - 416.649-4273 x308, Associate
ollie.primak@europac.ca
August 2013

Lithium Industry Report

Nemaska Lithium Inc.

TSXV - NMX : $0.14 — Speculative Buy

12-MONTH TARGET PRICE : $0.57 | PROJECTED RETURN: 326%

Nemaska Makes the Grade
INVESTMENT OPINION – Well positioned

MARKET DATA AS OF 09/08/2013

Vast and high-grade deposit: Nemaska has one of the highest lithium (Li) grade
deposits in the world, believed to be second only to Tianqi/Talison’s Greenbushes deposit, which is the world’s largest producer of Li mineral concentrate.
Nemaska has 25.08M tonnes of measured and indicated (M&I) resources averaging 1.54% Li2O, with great expansion potential. The company also owns other
highly perspective lithium resources.
Differentiating from Peers: Contrary to most of it peers, Nemaska its targeting
the lithium hydroxide (LiOH•H2O) market; LiOH•H2O is increasingly preferred
over lithium carbonate (Li2CO3) as it offers better properties, particularly for
battery applications.
Simple and Unique Process: Nemaska has adopted a membrane electrolysis
(ME) process to produce high-purity LiOH•H2O and Li2CO3, and it has filed for
a patent. The ME process eliminates the need for soda ash and caustic soda.
Strong Partnerships and Off-take: Tianqi Group is a strategic shareholder of Nemaska, owning ~16.5% of the company; Nemaska also secured an off-take agreement with Phostech Lithium (Clariant Canada Inc.) for the sale of LiOH•H2O.
Near-Term Production: Nemaska is planning to build a modular (Phase 1) plant
with maximum capacity of 500 tonnes per year (tpy) in 2014 to fulfill its 100%

($M except per share data)

Market Cap
Net Debt
Cash & Short Term Investments
Debt
Enterprise Value
Basic S/O (M)
Fully Diluted (M)
Avg Daily Volume (3mo, k)
52 Week Range
Company Description

Nemaska Lithium Inc. engages in the exploration and development
of lithium mining properties in Canada. The company is also
involved in processing spodumene into lithium compounds. It
holds 100% interests in the Whabouchi property consisting of 33
claims covering an area of approximately 1,716 hectares located
in the James Bay area of Quebec province; and the Sirmac property
comprising 15 mining claims covering an area of approximately 645
hectares located in the Quebec province. Nemaska Lithium Inc. is
headquartered in Quebec, Canada.

SHARE PRICE/TRADING VOLUME CHART
2

$0.7
$0.6

1.5

$0.5
$0.4

1

$0.3
$0.2

0.5
0

$0.1
Jul-10

Jan-11

Jul-11

UPCOMING EVENTS/CATALYSTS

Financing
Commodity Prices
Process

Financing
Updated Resource
Construction First Plant

ACTION – BUY
Nemaska is trading close to its 52-week low and at a market price-to-NAV of
0.12x NAV. It has completed a Preliminary Economic Assessment (PEA) and it
plans to complete a Definitive Feasibility Study (DFS) in 2014. If the company is
able to raise the necessary funds, it should be in Phase 1 production next year.
We believe this is a great entry point for the stock.
VALUATION
We rate Nemaska a Speculative Buy with a $0.57 target price, which is based
on a P/NAV multiple of 0.5x applied to our NAV of $1.14/share.
Full report available at http://research.europac.ca

32

www.epccm.ca

Jan-12

Volume (M)

off-take with Phostech and attract new clients.

Key Risks

$16.82
-$1.09
$1.09
$0.00
$15.73
116.00
116.04
150.72
$0.13 - $0.65

PROJECT DETAILS
Name
Location
Stage
Property Size
NI 43-101
Average Grade
Off-Take/Partnership
Year Production
Volume Production
Resources
Measured
Indicated
Inferred
Reserves
Proven
Probable
Ownership

Jul-12

Jan-13

$0.0

Price

Whabouchi
James Bay, Quebec
DFS
1,762 ha
PEA
0.714% Li
Yes
2017
20,000 LiOH; 10,000 Li2CO3
11.3 Mt @ 0.735% Li, (441,770 LCE)
13.8 Mt @ 0.698% Li, (511,905 LCE)
4.4 Mt @ 0.698% Li, (163,431 LCE)
n.a.
n.a.
100%

Source: Capital IQ, Company Reports
Luisa Moreno, PhD, MEng - 416.933.3352
luisa.moreno@europac.ca
Ollie Primak, MBA, CFA - 416.649-4273 x308, Associate
ollie.primak@europac.ca
August 2013

Lithium Industry Report
MARKET DATA AS OF 09/08/2013

Canada Lithium Corp.

($M except per share data)

TSX - CLQ : $0.485 — SPECULATIVE BUY

12-MONTH TARGET PRICE : $0.900 | PROJECTED RETURN: 86%

Most Advanced!
INVESTMENT OPINION – Major Player
Production Expected in 3Q 2013: The mine and plant are in an advanced commissioning stage, the company expects to start continuous production in late
August and ramp-up to full production by 3Q 2014.

Market Cap
Net Debt
Cash & Short Term Investments
Debt
Enterprise Value
Basic S/O (M)
Fully Diluted (M)
Avg Daily Volume (3mo, k)
52 Week Range

$179.98
$46.76
$31.17
$77.93
$226.75
363.60
374.25
616.35
$0.47 - $0.96

KEY FINANCIAL METRICS (C$)
$000s

2013F

2014F

2015F

2016F

2017F

To Become a Major Player: Canada Lithium expects to capture ~12% of the

Revenue

world’s lithium carbonate supply (20,000 tonnes of Li2CO3/year).

EBITDA

-5,014

-5,208

55,583

61,865

61,650

EBIT

-5,177

-5,611

49,763

56,113

55,960

Secured Off-Take Agreements for 75% of Production: The company has se-

EPS

-0.02

-0.02

0.06

0.07

0.07

cured off-takes with Tewoo Group and Marubeni Corporation.

FCFPS

-0.53

-0.29

0.05

0.11

0.11

Diversified Products: Canada Lithium is planning to produce other lithium

PRODUCTION ESTIMATES

products as early as 2015 (i.e., lithium hydroxide and lithium metal), and build

- 119,115 132,576 132,115 126,825

tonnes

2013F

2014F

2015F

2016F

2017F

-

20,000

20,000

20,000

20,000

a sodium sulphate plant. Preliminary estimates suggest that the addition of

Lithium
Carbonate

multiple products could lead to at least a 30% increase in capex but a 50%

VALUATION

increase in EBITDA.

$000s

2013F

2014F

2015F

2016F

2017F

EV/EBITDA

-38.4x

3.6x

3.2x

3.2x

3.4x

ROIC

-2.2%

11.8%

13.4%

13.0%

12.4%

P/E

-39.7x

15.9x

12.6x

12.0x

11.9x

P/S

-39.7x

15.9x

12.6x

12.0x

11.9x

Key Risks

UPCOMING EVENTS/CATALYSTS

Cost Overruns
Commodity Prices

Production in 1Q2014
By-product, Metal Production

Liquidity

SHARE PRICE/TRADING VOLUME CHART

ACTION – BUY
Canada Lithium’s construction work is mostly complete and the commissioning
should be finalized in early 2014. The company expects to produce 3,000
tonnes of Li2CO3 this year generating $18M in sales to support pre-production
costs. Investors with a long-term horizon could benefit when the company
expands its operations to produce the higher-value lithium products.
VALUATION
Canada Lithium is currently trading at an enterprise value (EV)/EBITDA (2014F)
of 3.6x; our model EV/EBITDA ratio is 7.8x in 2014 and 6.5x in 2015, and it is
expected to drop further going forward as the company repays its debts. We rate
Canada Lithium a Speculative Buy with a $0.90 target price.
Full report available at http://research.europac.ca

25

$2.5

20

$2.0

15

$1.5

10

$1.0

5

$0.5

0

Jul-10

Jan-11

Jul-11

Jan-12

Volume (M)

PROJECT DETAILS
Name
Location
Stage
Property Size
NI 43-101
Average Grade
Off-Take/Partnership
Year Production
Volume Production
Resources
Measured
Indicated
Inferred
Reserves
Proven
Probable
Ownership

Jul-12

Jan-13

$0.0

Price

Lithium Quebec
Val d'Or, Quebec
Commissioning
405 ha
DFS
0.436% Li
Yes
2014
20,000 Li2CO3
6.9 Mt @ 0.549% Li, (201,977 LCE)
26.3 Mt @ 0.553% Li, (775,544 LCE)
12.8 Mt @ 0.563% Li, (412,098 LCE)
6.6 Mt @ 0.428% Li, (150,436 LCE)
10.5 Mt @ 0.442% Li, (245,983 LCE)
100%

Source: Capital IQ, Company Reports

www.epccm.ca

33
Luisa Moreno, PhD, MEng - 416.933.3352
luisa.moreno@europac.ca
Ollie Primak, MBA, CFA - 416.649-4273 x308, Associate
ollie.primak@europac.ca
August 2013

Lithium Industry Report

OROCOBRE Ltd.
ASX - ORE : A$1.80

12-MONTH TARGET PRICE : N/A | PROJECTED RETURN: N/a
Advanced Phase of Construction: Orocobre’s Salar de Olaroz lithium-potash-boron project is currently in the advanced stages of construction and commissioning. According to the company, the project is proceeding on time and on budget.
Strategic Location: Orocobre’s flagship Olaroz lithium project consists of 63,000
hectares of high concentration lithium and potash brine. The project is located in
the elevated and arid Puna region in Argentina’s northwestern province of Jujuy,
and is well served by key infrastructure, including sealed roads, high-voltage
electricity, gas pipelines and rail access. The port of Antofagasta in Chile is ~550

MARKET DATA AS OF 09/08/2013

($M except per share data)

Market Cap
Net Debt
Cash & Short Term Investments
Debt
Enterprise Value
Basic S/O (M)
Fully Diluted (M)
Avg Daily Volume (3mo, k)
52 Week Range

$213.12
-$38.99
$38.99
$0.00
$174.22
117.75
117.92
166.53
$1.00 - $2.42

Company Description

kilometres west by road.
High-Grade Resource Base: Olaroz’s contained resource is 6.4Mt of LCE and
19.3Mt of potash (KOH) measured to a depth of 200 metres. Project life is expected to exceed 40+ years, utilizing only ~15% of existing resources. Analysis

Orocobre Limited engages in the exploration and development of
mineral properties in Argentina. The company focuses on exploring
for lithium, potash, and salar minerals. Its flagship project is the
Salar de Olaroz project consisting of 63,000 hectares of tenements
located in the north-western province of Jujuy. The company is
based in Brisbane, Australia.

UPCOMING EVENTS/CATALYSTS

of the material has resulted in >99.9% Li2CO3 purity.
Upgraded Production Capacity: The design capacity of the Olaroz operation
was recently increased to 17,500 tpy of Li2CO3, from 16,400 tpy originally provided in the Feasibility Study. The improvement was due to an increase in the

Production
Off-Take Agreements/Partnerships

SHARE PRICE/TRADING VOLUME CHART
2.5

$5.0

expected brine grade from 775mg/L to 825mg/L, following the result of a 3D

2

$4.0

finite difference engineering study. Expected potash recovery has also increased

1.5

$3.0

to ~20,000 tpy from 10,000 tpy. Potash production will be considered in future

1

$2.0

0.5

$1.0

development phases.
Key Partnerships: In June 2012, Orocobre entered into an agreement with

0

Jul-10

Jan-11

Jul-11

Jan-12

Volume (M)

Jul-12

Jan-13

Price

the provincial government-owned Jujuy Energía y Minería Sociedad del Estado
(JEMSE), whereby JEMSE acquired an 8.5% interest in Olaroz for US$7.0M. In
October 2012, Orocobre and Toyota Tsusho Corporation executed a definitive
joint-venture development agreement for 25% of Olaroz.
Project Fully Funded: Initial capex is estimated at US$229.1M. Partner equity
contributions amount to US$82.8M. A debt facility of up to US$146.3M from
Mizuho Corporate Bank is also in the process of being finalized. Construction
and commissioning of the project started in November 2012 and is expected to last ~18 months. Stage 1 annual EBITDA is forecast at ~US$70.0M or
US$4,000/tonne LCE excluding potash credits. Olaroz’s low net operating cash
costs, estimated at US$1,512/tonne for battery-grade Li2CO3, has deemed the
project competitive with other existing brine producers.
Key Catalysts: Negotiation of off-take agreements, initiation of the commercial
evaporation process, which could last up to two years, followed by run-of-mine
Li2CO3 production.

34

www.epccm.ca

PROJECT DETAILS
Name
Location
Stage
Property Size
NI 43-101
Average Grade
Off-Take/Partnership
Year Production
Volume Production
Resources (Contained)
Measured
Indicated
Inferred
Reserves (Contained)
Proven
Probable
Ownership

Salar de Olaroz
Jujury, Argentina
Construction
63,000 ha
DFS
0.069% Li
Yes
2016+
17,500 Li2CO3
1,437,480 LCE
5,004,560 LCE
n.a.
n.a.
n.a.
66.5%

Source: Capital IQ, Company Reports

$0.0
Luisa Moreno, PhD, MEng - 416.933.3352
luisa.moreno@europac.ca
Ollie Primak, MBA, CFA - 416.649-4273 x308, Associate
ollie.primak@europac.ca
August 2013

Lithium Industry Report

LITHIUM AMERICAS Corp.
TSX - LAC : $0.44

12-MONTH TARGET PRICE : N/A | PROJECTED RETURN: N/a
Large Resource: Lithium Americas’ Cauchari-Olaroz property has proven and
probable reserves sufficient to operate at a production rate of up to 40,000
tonnes per year (tpy) of Li2CO3 and up to 80,000 tpy of potash for 40 years. Reserve estimates amount to 2.7Mt of LCE. The company is planning to build the
project in two stages, with each stage consisting of a 20,000 tpy Li2CO3 facility
and a 40,000 tpy potash facility.
Good Infrastructure and Logistics: The Cauchari-Olaroz project is located on
a paved highway, which connects Argentina to Chile. The project is 530 kilometres west of the Chilean port facility of Antofagasta, from where the final lithium
product could be shipped to end customers, and ~50 kilometres from a natural gas pipeline. The projects are located in the Jujuy Province in Northwestern
Argentina, ~250 kilometres northwest of San Salvador de Jujuy, the provincial
capital, ~200 kilometres east of the largest lithium producing region, Salar de
Atacama in Chile, and ~200 kilometres north of the second-largest lithium pro-

MARKET DATA AS OF 09/08/2013

($M except per share data)

Market Cap
Net Debt
Cash & Short Term Investments
Debt
Enterprise Value
Basic S/O (M)
Fully Diluted (M)
Avg Daily Volume (3mo, k)
52 Week Range

$37.88
$3.60
$1.40
$5.00
$41.48
77.31
77.31
32.44
$0.42 - $1.25

Company Description
Lithium Americas Corp. engages in the exploration and evaluation of
lithium, potassium, and other mineral resources in South America.
The company has rights over approximately 165,353 hectares in 5
salt lakes in the Jujuy and Salta Provinces of Argentina. Its principal
property includes the Cauchari-Olaroz Lithium Project covering an
area of approximately 83,104 hectares in adjacent Cauchari and
Olaroz salt lakes located in Jujuy, Argentina. The company was
incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

Favourable Project Economics: The Feasibility Study produced a Stage 1 pretax NPV (8% discount rate) of US$738.0M and an IRR of 23%. These results
assume production of 20,000 tpy Li2CO3 and 40,000 tpy of potash with initial
capital expenditures of US$314.0M and operating costs of US$1,332/tonne
Li2CO3, net by-products.

KEY RISKS

UPCOMING EVENTS/CATALYSTS

Financing
Commodity Prices

ducing brine, the Salar del Hombre Muerto in Argentina.

Definitive JV Agreement
Financing

SHARE PRICE/TRADING VOLUME CHART
10

$3.0

8

$2.5
$2.0

6

$1.5

4

Secured Strategic Investors: Mitsubishi Corporation and Magna International
collectively own ~17% of Lithium Americas’ shares outstanding. Construction

0

$1.0

2

permits for the Cauchari-Olaroz project have been granted following an agreement with Jujuy Energia y Mineria Sociedad del Estado (JEMSE), the government
of Jujuy’s mining investment company. The agreement outlines JEMSE’s acquisition of an 8.5% equity interest at project level.
Key Catalysts: Given the project is fully permitted, and the results of the Feasibility Study conclude that the project has favourable economic potential, the last
major milestone before construction is obtaining project financing. Negotiations
with strategic partners regarding project financing are ongoing.

$0.5
Jul-10

Jan-11

Jul-11

Jan-12

Volume (M)

PROJECT DETAILS
Name
Location
Stage
Property Size
NI 43-101
Average Grade
Off-Take/Partnership
Year Production
Volume Production
Resources (Contained)
Measured
Indicated
Inferred
Reserves (Contained)
Proven
Probable
Ownership

Jul-12

Jan-13

$0.0

Price

Cauchari-Olaroz
Jujury, Argentina
Financing
83,104 ha
DFS
0.067% Li
Yes
2016+
20,000 Li2CO3
3,039,000 LCE
8,713,000 LCE
n.a.
197,000 LCE
2,517,000 LCE
91.5%

Source: Capital IQ, Company Reports

www.epccm.ca

35
Luisa Moreno, PhD, MEng - 416.933.3352
luisa.moreno@europac.ca
Ollie Primak, MBA, CFA - 416.649-4273 x308, Associate
ollie.primak@europac.ca
August 2013

Lithium Industry Report

GALAXY RESOURCES Ltd.
OTCPK - GALX.F : $0.08

12-MONTH TARGET PRICE : N/A | PROJECTED RETURN: N/a
One of the Largest Hard Rock Lithium Reserves: Galaxy’s Mt. Cattlin spodumene mining operation is located near Ravensthorpe, Western Australia. Total
proven and probable reserves are 10.7Mt at 0.486% Li. The feasibility study
modelled an 18-year mine life, and 137,000 tonnes of lithium concentrate production per year. The mine produced 63,853 tonnes and 54,047 tonnes of lithium concentrate in 2011 and 2012, respectively.
Halt to Mt. Cattlin Operations: In March 2013, the Galaxy board reached a decision to halt production at Mt. Cattlin, extending a temporary halt to operations
announced in July 2012. The project is probably not economic at this time for
reasons not fully explained.
In March 2013, Galaxy also signed a three-year spodumene feedstock contract
with Talison Lithium to supply the Jiangsu Plant. The agreement with Talison will
provide Galaxy with spodumene feedstock for the Jiangsu Plant at a more economical rate than the cost of continuing production at Mt. Cattlin.

MARKET DATA AS OF 09/08/2013

($M except per share data)

Market Cap
Net Debt
Cash & Short Term Investments
Debt
Enterprise Value
Basic S/O (M)
Fully Diluted (M)
Avg Daily Volume (3mo, k)
52 Week Range

$58.44
$152.02
$3.53
$155.55
$239.98
584.36
584.36
23.79
$0.06 - $0.66

Company Description
Galaxy Resources Limited operates as an integrated lithium mining
and chemicals company. It mines lithium pegmatite ore and
processes it to produce a spodumene concentrate with tantalum
concentrates. The company has production and development
assets in various continents, including the Sal de Vida lithium brine
and potash project in Argentina; the James Bay hard rock lithium
project in Quebec, Canada; the Jiangsu lithium carbonate plant in
China; and the Mt Cattlin mine and processing plant in Australia.
Galaxy Resources Limited sells products to battery and technical
grade customers; and glass ceramic and lithium-ion battery cathode
materials manufacturers in Australia and internationally. The
company is based in West Perth, Australia.	

KEY RISKS

UPCOMING EVENTS/CATALYSTS

mene to China’s Zhangjiagang Port. The spodumene was earmarked for Galaxy’s

Financing
Commodity Prices

Production Resumption at Mt. Cattlin
Sal de Vida Drill Results

Jiangsu Li2CO3 Plant in China, to facilitate off-take agreements arranged with 13

SHARE PRICE/TRADING VOLUME CHART

100% Off-Take Agreement on Hold: Historically, Galaxy has exported spodu-

major Chinese lithium cathode producers, as well as Mitsubishi Corporation in
Japan, for 100% of Galaxy’s 17,000-tpy battery-grade Li2CO3 production capacity.
Other Projects: On March 30, 2012, Galaxy Resources announced a merger
with Lithium One valued at ~$112.0M. Lithium One’s principal asset was the
Sal de Vida lithium and potash brine project in Argentina. A November 2011 PEA
outlined an operation producing 25,000 tpy Li2CO3 and 107,000 tpy potash,
with a 28% IRR and a US$1.066B NPV at an 8% discount rate. The company
also owns the James Bay bulk-tonnage spodumene project in Quebec. Galaxy is
earning 70% equity in the James Bay project through an earn-in agreement that
includes delivery of a feasibility study expected in 2013. The James Bay lithium
pegmatite project in Quebec contains indicated resources of 11.8Mt grading at
1.30% Li2O and inferred resources of 10.5Mt grading at 1.20% Li2O.
Next Steps: Galaxy is trying to raise ~$50.0M to reduce its $120.0M debt. With
no clear path to production and near-term cash-flow, we believe Galaxy is in a
critical liquidity risk situation. The company seems to be shifting focus from its
Mt. Cattlin mine operations to the development of other lithium projects.

0.8

$2.0

0.6

$1.5

0.4

$1.0

0.2

$0.5

0

Jul-10

Jan-11

Jul-11

Jan-12

Volume (M)

PROJECT DETAILS
Name
Location
Stage
Property Size
NI 43-101
Average Grade
Off-Take/Partnership
Year Production
Volume Production
Resources
Measured
Indicated
Inferred
Reserves
Proven
Probable
Ownership

Jul-12

Jan-13

Mt. Cattlin / Sal de Vida
Western Australia / North West Argentina
Production (halted)/ DFS
n.a. / 38,500 ha
Yes / Yes
0.486% Li / 0.078% Li
Yes / Yes
Halted / 2016+
17,000 Li2CO3 / 25,000 Li2CO3
2.9 Mt @ 0.552% Li, (85,158 LCE) / 3,005,000 LCE
9.9 Mt @ 0.494% Li, (260,489 LCE) / 1,048,000 LCE
4.3 Mt @ 0.499% Li, (115,537 LCE) / 3,180,000 LCE
2.8 Mt @ 0.507% Li, (75,638 LCE) / 181,000 LCE
7.9 Mt @ 0.479% Li, (202,286 LCE) / 958,000 LCE
100% / 70%

Source: Capital IQ, Company Reports

36

www.epccm.ca

$0.0

Price
Luisa Moreno, PhD, MEng - 416.933.3352
luisa.moreno@europac.ca
Ollie Primak, MBA, CFA - 416.649-4273 x308, Associate
ollie.primak@europac.ca
August 2013

Lithium Industry Report

CRITICAL ELEMENTS Corp.
TSXV - CRE : $0.14

12-MONTH TARGET PRICE : N/A | PROJECTED RETURN: N/a
Good Location: The Rose tantalum-lithium property is situated near the geographic centre of Quebec, in the James Bay area on the western edge of the
Eastmain reservoir, 70 kilometres southeast of Galaxy Resources Ltd.’s James
Bay Lithium Project and 45 kilometres northwest of Nemaska Lithium Inc.’s
Whabouchi Project.
By-Product Potential: The Rose deposit is a lithium-cesium-tantalum (LCT) type
pegmatite with molybdenum occurrences. The most recent estimate for the
Rose project includes indicated mineral resources of 26.5Mt grading 0.98% Li2O
(lithium oxide) with 163 ppm tantalum pentoxide (Ta2O5) and an inferred mineral

MARKET DATA AS OF 09/08/2013

($M except per share data)

Market Cap
Net Debt
Cash & Short Term Investments
Debt
Enterprise Value
Basic S/O (M)
Fully Diluted (M)
Avg Daily Volume (3mo, k)
52 Week Range

$16.77
-$0.66
$0.66
$0.00
$16.11
119.76
119.76
234.53
$0.10 - $0.28

Company Description

Positive REA Results: The mine plan shows that more than 24.0Mt of ore can

Critical Elements Corporation operates as a mining exploration
company in Canada. It focuses on rare metals and rare earths,
primarily tantalum, as well as lithium and niobium. The company’s
flagship project includes the Rose Tantalum-Lithium property
consisting of 439 claims covering a total area of 228.51 square
kilometers located in the Eastmain greenstone belt in Quebec,
Canada. It also explores for copper, zinc, silver, and gold ores in
various regions of Quebec, Canada. Critical Elements Corporation
is headquartered in Montreal, Canada.

be mined over a 17-year period, at an average grade of 0.89% Li2O with 132

KEY RISKS

UPCOMING EVENTS/CATALYSTS

ppm Ta2O5. Total pre-production capex is estimated at US$268.6M. The pre-tax
IRR is estimated at 33%, with a NPV of $488.3M and a payback period of 4.1

Financing
Commodity Prices
Liquidity

Feasibility Study Results
Off-Take Agreement

years, using a discount rate of 8%. These results were based on forecasts of

SHARE PRICE/TRADING VOLUME CHART

US$6,000/tonne for Li2CO3 and US$260/kg ($118/lb) for Ta2O5 contained in a

10

$0.5

8

$0.4

6

$0.3

4

$0.2

2

$0.1

resource of 10.7Mt grading 0.86% Li2O with 145 ppm Ta2O5. The Rose project
is in the advanced stages with a Feasibility Study expected to be completed in
2013.

tantalite concentrate.
Other Projects: Critical Elements also has a joint-venture agreement for the
Croinor gold project and owns two rare earths projects, the Rocky Mountain NbREE project and the Quebec rare earths project.

0

Jul-10

Jan-11

Jul-11

Key Catalysts: Catalysts in 2013 include signing off-take agreements for lithium
and tantalum, initiating the permitting process and project financing.

Jan-12

Volume (M)

PROJECT DETAILS
Name
Location
Stage
Property Size
NI 43-101
Average Grade
Off-Take/Partnership
Year Production
Volume Production
Resources
Measured
Indicated
Inferred
Reserves
Proven
Probable
Ownership

Jul-12

Jan-13

$0.0

Price

Rose
James Bay, Quebec
DFS
33,307 ha
PEA
0.440% Li
No
2016+
27,049 Li2CO3
n.a.
26.5 Mt @ 0.456% Li, (642,238 LCE)
10.7 Mt @ 0.400% Li, (227,565 LCE)
n.a.
n.a.
100%

Source: Capital IQ, Company Reports

www.epccm.ca

37
Luisa Moreno, PhD, MEng - 416.933.3352
luisa.moreno@europac.ca
Ollie Primak, MBA, CFA - 416.649-4273 x308, Associate
ollie.primak@europac.ca
August 2013

Lithium Industry Report

WESTERN LITHIUM USA Corp.
TSX - WLC : $0.10

12-MONTH TARGET PRICE : N/A | PROJECTED RETURN: N/a
Vast Resources in Major Mining Jurisdiction: Western Lithium’s Kings Valley
lithium project has vast resources. It is located in Northern Nevada, a major mining
jurisdiction with well-developed local infrastructure, close to paved roads, rail and
power lines, and within reach of west coast shipping ports (600 kilometres to port at
Sacramento, 700 kilometres to port at San Francisco).
Unique Clay Deposit: The company’s hectorite clay is a soft, greasy, white clay mineral with a chemical formula Na0.3(Mg,Li)3Si4O10(OH)2, which may also be used as
a specialty drilling additive in the oil and gas industry, particularly for high-pressure
high-temperature, deep directional drilling applications (HPHT). Western Minerals
plans to mine this clay for the production of the clay-based drilling additive and for the
production of Li2CO3, potash (K2SO4) and sodium sulphate (Na2SO4).
Historical Reserves: Resource estimates (December 2011) for the Kings Valley
project show contained proven reserves of 262,045 tonnes of LCE, 465,000 tonnes
of potassium and 117,000 tonnes of sodium. Contained probable reserves include
37,865 tonnes of LCE, 68,000 tonnes of potassium and 26,000 tonnes of sodium.
Completed PEA Study: The base-case production estimate of 13,000 tpy LCE re-

MARKET DATA AS OF 09/08/2013

($M except per share data)

Market Cap
Net Debt
Cash & Short Term Investments
Debt
Enterprise Value
Basic S/O (M)
Fully Diluted (M)
Avg Daily Volume (3mo, k)
52 Week Range

$16.34
-$11.49
$11.49
$0.00
$4.86
102.13
102.13
62.48
$0.12 - $0.24

Company Description
Western Lithium USA Corporation, a mineral resource company,
engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of lithium
resource properties in northwestern Nevada. It primarily focuses
on the development of the Kings Valley Properties consisting of a
series of approximately 2,658 unpatented mining claims located in
Humboldt County, Nevada. The company was incorporated in 2007
and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

KEY RISKS

UPCOMING EVENTS/CATALYSTS

Financing
Cost Overruns
Lithium Process

Production (Organoclay Product)
Lithium Pilot Plant Results

SHARE PRICE/TRADING VOLUME CHART

sults in a pre-tax NPV (8% discount rate) of US$261.7M and an IRR of 21%. Initial

8

$2.0

start-up capital is estimated at US$237.1M and sustaining capital at US$25.6M. The

6

$1.5

mine will process 13.9Mt (dry basis) of ore at an average grade of 0.404% Li (0.320%

4

$1.0

2

$0.5

cut-off), for a 21-year mine life. Operating cash costs, net of by-product credits, are
$1,397/tonne of LCE. Cash operating costs for the individual products are: $3,291/
tonne for LCE, $44/tonne for potash and $43/tonne for sodium sulphate.

0

Jul-10

Jan-11

Jul-11

Jan-12

Volume (M)

Jul-12

Jan-13

Price

Key Agreement: In February, Western Lithium announced that it had entered into a
royalty purchase agreement with RK Mine Finance L.P. (Red Kite) pursuant to which
Red Kite would pay the company up to US$20.0M for a royalty on the Kings Valley
project. Western Lithium has already collected US$11.0M, which will be used to construct a 10,000 tpy hectorite-based organoclay process facility. A second tranche of
US$9.0M should be received upon completion of the engineering and design of the
lithium demonstration plant.
Key Catalysts: The company is targeting to commence production and be cash
flow positive in early 2014 from the clay operation. The second tranche of funding
is for the construction of a demonstration plant to test the viability of its lithium
extraction process at a large scale, targeted for 2H 2014. Western Lithium has
identified an engineering technology group in Europe and is looking for strategic
partners to further de-risk the process technology in order to attract construction
capital for the full project.

38

PROJECT DETAILS
Name
Location
Stage
Property Size
NI 43-101
Average Grade
Off-Take/Partnership
Year Production
Volume Production
Resources
Measured
Indicated
Inferred
Reserves
Proven
Probable
Ownership

King's Valley Lithium Project
Humboldt County, Nevada
PFS
15,233 ha
PEA
0.404% Li
No
2015 (organoclay); 2016+ (Li)
13,000 Li2CO3
18.0 Mt @ 0.397% Li, (381,425 LCE)
38.1 Mt @ 0.373% Li, (756,828 LCE)
36.3 Mt @ 0.369% Li, (713,625 LCE)
12.2 Mt @ 0.405% Li, (262,045 LCE)
1.8 Mt @ 0.396% Li, (37,865 LCE)
100%

Source: Capital IQ, Company Reports

www.epccm.ca

$0.0
Luisa Moreno, PhD, MEng - 416.933.3352
luisa.moreno@europac.ca
Ollie Primak, MBA, CFA - 416.649-4273 x308, Associate
ollie.primak@europac.ca
August 2013

Lithium Industry Report

RODINIA LITHIUM Inc.
TSXV - RM : $0.10

12-MONTH TARGET PRICE : N/A | PROJECTED RETURN: N/a
Monopoly in Diablillos Salta: Rodinia’s flagship asset, the Diablillos property, is
in the Salta Province of Argentina, a few kilometres north of the border between
the provinces of Salta and Catamarca, ~145 kilometres southwest of the city
of Salta, covering 5,786 hectares. The land position enables access to trucking
routes, high tension power, water and skilled labour. Rodinia currently owns ~96%
of the Diablillos Salar and controls 100% of the prospective producing area.
High-Grade Lithium with Diversified By-Products: The brine resource estimate
for the Salar de Diablillos lithium-potash project includes a NI 43-101 compliant
inferred contained resource of 2.8Mt of LCE, 11.2Mt of potassium chloride (KCl,
potash) and 3.5Mt of boric acid. Analysis of the material demonstrated viability
of potash and battery-grade Li2CO3 production, with sample results indicating
purities of over 99.45% up to 99.79%.
Competitive Valuation: A Preliminary Economic Assessment (PEA) for 15,000
tpy Li2CO3 resulted in a pre-tax NPV of US$561.0M at a discount rate of 8%,

MARKET DATA AS OF 09/08/2013

($M except per share data)

Market Cap
Net Debt
Cash & Short Term Investments
Debt
Preferred Shares
Enterprise Value
Basic S/O (M)
Fully Diluted (M)
Avg Daily Volume (3mo, k)
52 Week Range

$9.01
$0.03
$0.20
$0.23
$4.32
$13.36
94.83
94.83
203.52
$0.08 - $0.21

Company Description
Rodinia Lithium Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in the
acquisition, exploration, and development of lithium properties in
North and South America. The company also explores for potash
co-product. Its principal properties include the Salar de Diablillos
lithium-brine project covering an area of 5,786 ha located in Salta,
Argentina; and the Clayton Valley lithium property comprising 1,012
claims that cover 72,340 acres located in Esmeralda County,
Nevada. Rodinia Lithium Inc. is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

KEY RISKS

UPCOMING EVENTS/CATALYSTS

sume an estimated capital investment of US$144.0M and net operating costs of

Financing
Commodity Prices

Feasibility
Financing

US$1,519/tonne for battery-grade Li2CO3. The estimated mine life is 20+ years.

SHARE PRICE/TRADING VOLUME CHART

an IRR of 34% and a projected payback period of 1.6 years. These results as-

The property’s Feasibility Study is anticipated in 2H 2013.

8

$0.8

Strategic Partnership: In November 2010, Rodinia closed a strategic private

6

$0.6

placement with Shanshan, one of the leading lithium-ion battery materials pro-

4

$0.4

viders in China and significant end user of battery grade Li2CO3. Shanshan ex-

2

$0.2

changed ~US$1.4M for ~7.6% of the basic common shares outstanding.
Key Catalysts: Upcoming catalysts include completion of a feasibility study for
the Diablillos project and securing of project financing.

0

Jul-10

Jan-11

Jul-11

Jan-12

Volume (M)

PROJECT DETAILS
Name
Location
Stage
Property Size
NI 43-101
Average Grade
Off-Take/Partnership
Year Production
Volume Production
Resources (Contained)
Measured
Indicated
Inferred
Reserves (Contained)
Proven
Probable
Ownership

Jul-12

Jan-13

$0.0

Price

Salar de Diablillos
Salta, Argentina
PFS
5,786 ha
PEA
0.056% Li
No
2016+
15,000 Li2CO3
n.a.
n.a.
2,817,000 LCE
n.a.
n.a.
100%

Source: Capital IQ, Company Reports

www.epccm.ca

39
Luisa Moreno, PhD, MEng - 416.933.3352
luisa.moreno@europac.ca
Ollie Primak, MBA, CFA - 416.649-4273 x308, Associate
ollie.primak@europac.ca
August 2013

Lithium Industry Report

ALTURA MINING Ltd.
ASX - AJM : A$0.12

12-MONTH TARGET PRICE : N/A | PROJECTED RETURN: N/a
Location and Resource Upgrade: The Pilgangoora lithium project is located in
the Pilbara region of Western Australia. In October 2012, Altura announced an
89% increase to its new mineral resource estimate (JORC compliant) of 25.16Mt
at 1.23% Li2O. This new estimate replaces the previous estimate of 13.3Mt at
1.21% Li2O in November 2011. Altura is hopeful that further increases in the
mineral resource estimate and lithium grade will be observed from future drilling
programs on the new pegmatite outcrops that have been identified.
Attractive Scoping Study Results: A scoping study was recently completed targeting the establishment of a mine and processing plant to produce spodumene
concentrate. The planned operation was forecast to mine and process 830,000
tpy of ore and produce up to 150,000 tpy of spodumene concentrate at ~6.0%
Li2O, resulting in a NPV of A$93.2M (12% discount rate) and an IRR of 52.5%.
Capex for the total project development, including the processing plant and a
15% allowance for mine infrastructure (roads, equipment, administration, etc.),

MARKET DATA AS OF 09/08/2013

($M except per share data)

Market Cap
Net Debt
Cash & Short Term Investments
Debt
Enterprise Value
Basic S/O (M)
Fully Diluted (M)
Avg Daily Volume (3mo, k)
52 Week Range

$59.06
-$18.53
$18.58
$0.04
$40.84
454.27
454.27
148.77
$0.08 - $0.21

Company Description
Altura Mining Limited engages in the exploration and development of
mineral properties in Australia and Indonesia. The company focuses
on mining of coal, lithium, iron ore, uranium, gold, tantalum, garnet,
and other precious and base metals. It holds interests in the Tabalong
coal project on the border of South and East Kalimantan, Indonesia;
Altura lithium project located at Pilgangoora in Western Australia; and
Mt Webber DSO iron ore project located in Pilbara, Western Australia.
Altura Mining Limited is based in Brookwater, Australia.

KEY RISKS

UPCOMING EVENTS/CATALYSTS

mene concentrate.

Financing
Commodity Prices
Liquidity

Drilling Results
Off-Take Agreements

is A$96.3M. Operating expenditures are forecast at A$90.03/tonne of spodu-

Actively Seeking an Off-Take Partner: Subsequent to quarter-end, Altura has

SHARE PRICE/TRADING VOLUME CHART

initiated discussions with selected financing institutions with the aim of seeking

12

$0.3

an equity partner/end user in order to advance the development of Pilgangoora.

10

$0.2

Non-Lithium Projects: Altura also owns the Tabalong coal project in South Ka-

6

limantan in Indonesia, with mine construction anticipated this year and the Mt.
Webber iron ore project in the Pilbara region of Western Australia, with production planned for late 2013.

8

$0.2
$0.1

4

$0.1

2
0

Jul-10

Jan-11

Jul-11

Jan-12

Volume (M)

Key Catalysts: Positive results from the ongoing drill program at Pilgangoora;
announcement of strategic equity partnership or off-take agreement with an end
user to provide financing/liquidity for further development of the lithium project.

PROJECT DETAILS
Name
Location
Stage
Property Size
NI 43-101
Average Grade
Off-Take/Partnership
Year Production
Volume Production
Resources
Measured
Indicated
Inferred
Reserves
Proven
Probable
Ownership

Jul-12

Jan-13

Price

Pilgangoora Lithium Project
Western Australia
PFS
n.a.
JORC Scoping Study
0.574% Li
No
2017+
150,000 Concentrate (22,131 LCE)
n.a.
17.3 Mt @ 0.581% Li, (535,131 LCE)
7.9 Mt @ 0.558% Li, (233,170 LCE)
n.a.
n.a.
100%

Source: Capital IQ, Company Reports

40

www.epccm.ca

$0.0
Luisa Moreno, PhD, MEng - 416.933.3352
luisa.moreno@europac.ca
Ollie Primak, MBA, CFA - 416.649-4273 x308, Associate
ollie.primak@europac.ca
August 2013

Lithium Industry Report

BACANORA MINERALS Ltd.
TSXV - BCN : $0.21

12-MONTH TARGET PRICE : N/A | PROJECTED RETURN: N/a
Focus on Boron and Lithium: Bacanora Minerals has two main projects: the
Sonora lithium-clay project and the boron Magdalena project. The Sonora concession includes the company’s main lithium development site, the La Ventana
deposit and three other lithium concessions namely, El Sauz, San Gabriel and
Fleur; the four concessions total 5,786 hectares. The concessions are located
~190 kilometres northeast of the city of Hermosillo in Sonora State, Mexico, and
are about 200 kilometres south of U.S. border.
Lithium-Enriched Clay Resource: Bacanora’s La Ventana lithium clay deposit
has a NI 43-101 inferred resource base of 930,000 tonnes of LCE, derived from

MARKET DATA AS OF 09/08/2013

($M except per share data)

Market Cap
Net Debt
Cash & Short Term Investments
Debt
Enterprise Value
Basic S/O (M)
Fully Diluted (M)
Avg Daily Volume (3mo, k)
52 Week Range

$9.49
-$4.13
$4.13
$0.00
$4.23
63.29
63.29
19.98
$0.15 - $0.49

Company Description

Bacahehauchi, which is connected to Federal Highway 14 via a 20-kilometre

Bacanora Minerals Ltd., a development stage company, engages
in the identification, acquisition, exploration, and development of
industrial mineral properties in Mexico. It has 100% interests in
the Magdalena Borate Project that consists of 2 concession blocks
covering a total of 15,508 hectares and is located in Sonora State;
and the Sonora Lithium project, which comprises four separate
concession blocks covering an area of 4,050 hectares and is located
in Sonora State. The company is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

paved road. Bacahehauchi is a small farming and ranching town with basic ser-

KEY RISKS

UPCOMING EVENTS/CATALYSTS

power line is about 10 kilometres north of the project area. All water for explora-

Exploration
Commodity Prices
Financing

Drilling Results
Pre-Feasibility Study

tion or future mining activities is pumped from wells. A nearby skilled and mobile

SHARE PRICE/TRADING VOLUME CHART

a 60.2Mt of Li resource with a 0.300% Li grade.
Local Resources and Infrastructure: Access to the La Ventana area is via a
~12-kilometre secondary, unimproved, dry-weather road south of the town of

vices capable of supporting early-stage exploration projects. The closest electric

labour pool is readily available in the region.

0.6

Attractive Valuation Metrics: The PEA of a potential lithium operation with an
output of 35,000 tpy of battery-grade Li2CO3 and 20-year mine life, yielded a
NPV (8% discount rate) of US$848.0M, an IRR of 138% and a payback of 1.9
years. Capital costs are estimated at US$114.0M with average operating costs
of US$1,958/tonne of Li2CO3, and annual revenue of US$210.0M assuming an
average Li2CO3 price of US$6,000/tonne.
Deal Provides Funding for Exploration Drilling of Other Lithium Concessions:
In May, Bacanora announced a farm-in deal with Rare Earth Minerals PLC (REM)
on the El Sauz and Fleur lithium concessions. REM will earn an initial 10% interest by making upfront cash payments of $250,000 and then $500,000, to
be used for exploration and drilling work. Final results of drill core analysis are
expected in late 3Q 2013. Thereafter, REM will have an exclusive option to increase its interest up to 49.9%.
Other Products: Bacanora is also investigating the use of the lithium-clays as a
drilling mud additive in the oil and gas industry.
Key Catalysts: Drilling results and completion of a Pre-feasibility Study (PFS).

$0.8

0.5

$0.6

0.4
0.3

$0.4

0.2

$0.2

0.1
0

Aug-10

Feb-11

Aug-11

Feb-12

Series2

PROJECT DETAILS
Name
Location
Stage
Property Size
NI 43-101
Average Grade
Off-Take/Partnership
Year Production
Volume Production
Resources
Measured
Indicated
Inferred
Reserves
Proven
Probable
Ownership

Aug-12

Feb-13

$0.0

Series1

Sonora Lithium Project
Sonora, Mexico
PEA
5,786 ha
Yes
0.300% Li
No
2016+
35,000 Li2CO3
n.a.
n.a.
60.5 Mt @ 0.300% Li, (930,000 LCE)
n.a.
n.a.
100%

Source: Capital IQ, Company Reports

www.epccm.ca

41
Luisa Moreno, PhD, MEng - 416.933.3352
luisa.moreno@europac.ca
Ollie Primak, MBA, CFA - 416.649-4273 x308, Associate
ollie.primak@europac.ca
August 2013

Lithium Industry Report

REED RESOURCES Ltd.
ASX - RDR : A$0.05

12-MONTH TARGET PRICE : N/A | PROJECTED RETURN: N/a
Strategic Ownership Structure: The Mt. Marion lithium project is located ~40
kilometres southwest of Kalgoorlie, Western Australia, and is 70%/30% owned
by Reed Resources/Mineral Resources Ltd. (MRL), through a special purpose
vehicle, called Reed Industrial Minerals Pty Ltd. (RIM). RIM was formed to ensure
the appropriate financial, technical and human resources for Mt. Marion, including the downstream processing into high-purity lithium battery feedstocks.
Historical Mineral Estimates Confirmed: The company is targeting a mineral
resource of 7–8Mt of spodumene pegmatite at a grade of ~1.5% Li2O. This is
based on a previous review of historical reserve estimates that was undertaken
as part of the PFS in 1996 and reported in accordance with the JORC Code.
The review confirmed the original resource/reserve estimates by Western Mining
Corporation (WMC) in the 1970s, supported by some check drilling in the 1990s.
This work identified reserves of 1.5Mt at an average grade of 1.67% Li2O, including proven reserves of 0.5Mt at 1.9% Li2O and probable reserves of 1.0Mt at
1.5% Li2O (cut-off grade of 1.2% Li2O).
2012 PFS Indicates Positive Financial Returns: An October 2012 PFS to pro-

MARKET DATA AS OF 09/08/2013

($M except per share data)

Market Cap
Net Debt
Cash & Short Term Investments
Debt
Enterprise Value
Basic S/O (M)
Fully Diluted (M)
Avg Daily Volume (3mo, k)
52 Week Range

$27.14
-$2.24
$21.24
$19.00
$24.90
519.67
519.67
1049.28
$0.03 - $0.26

Company Description
Reed Resources Ltd engages in the exploration and development
of mineral properties, primarily gold. The company also explores for
iron, titanium, vanadium, lithium, nickel, silver, and zinc deposits. Its
principal property includes the Meekatharra Gold Project covering
a tenement holding of approximately 1,000 square kilometers
located in the Murchison District of Western Australia. The company
is based in West Perth, Australia.

KEY RISKS

UPCOMING EVENTS/CATALYSTS

Exploration Risk
Liquidity

Drillling Results
Feasability Study

SHARE PRICE/TRADING VOLUME CHART
40

$0.8

count) of US$321.0M and 94% IRR, assuming an initial capex of US$83.0M and

30

$0.6

average costs per tonne of US$3,878 for LiOH and US$4,538 for Li2CO3.

20

$0.4

10

$0.2

duce lithium hydroxide (LiOH) and Li2CO3 resulted in a pre-tax NPV (12% dis-

Ongoing Metallurgical Testwork: Following the 2012 PFS, RIM continued to
advance the Mt. Marion lithium project with the commencement of a metallurgical testwork program involving the production of high-purity lithium battery
feedstocks, LiOH and Li2CO3, to assess the most effective production profile and
optimal timing for the commencement of operations at Mt. Marion. The testwork
program is planned to be completed in September 2013. All project approvals
for Mt. Marion have been received.
IPO Is Preferred Financing Strategy: Reed is working with MRL to prepare RIM
to become an independently financed, advanced minerals company. An IPO of
RIM is currently Reed and MRL’s preferred financing strategy, with the anticipated timing to be determined post-completion of a Definitive Feasibility Study
(DFS). Strategic discussions continue with third parties in relation to alternate
transaction structures.
Key Catalysts: DFS and potential monetization through an IPO.

0

Jul-10

Jan-11

Jul-11

Jan-12

Volume (M)

PROJECT DETAILS
Name
Location
Stage
Property Size
NI 43-101
Average Grade
Off-Take/Partnership
Year Production
Volume Production
Resources (Historical)
Measured
Indicated
Inferred
Reserves (Historical)
Proven
Probable
Ownership

Jul-12

Jan-13

Price

Mt. Marion
Western Australia
Exploration
n.a.
JORC Historical
0.765% Li
No
n.a.
8,810 Li2CO3
2.0 Mt @ 0.676% Li, (72,289 LCE)
4.8 Mt @ 0.645% Li, (164,136 LCE)
8.1 Mt @ 0.603% Li, (260,192 LCE)
0.5 Mt @ 0.884% Li, (25,400 LCE)
1.0 Mt @ 0.698% Li, (35,278 LCE)
70%

Source: Capital IQ, Company Reports

42

www.epccm.ca

$0.0
Luisa Moreno, PhD, MEng - 416.933.3352
luisa.moreno@europac.ca
Ollie Primak, MBA, CFA - 416.649-4273 x308, Associate
ollie.primak@europac.ca
August 2013

Lithium Industry Report

AVALON RARE METALS Inc.
TSX - AVL : $0.92

12-MONTH TARGET PRICE : N/A | PROJECTED RETURN: N/a
Unique Mineral Deposit: The Separation Rapids property is host to one of the
largest “complex-type” rare metal pegmatite deposits in the world. Known as the
“Big Whopper Pegmatite”, only one of a few enriched in the rare lithium mineral
called petalite. The lithium mineralization is being evaluated mainly for direct use
in the glass and ceramics industry, as hydrometallurgical work may be complex.
Details of Lease and Mineral Claims: The Separation Rapids property consists
of 10 mineral claims, covering ~1,455 hectares in the Paterson Lake area, Kenora Mining Division, Ontario. These claims are 100%-owned by Avalon. In October
2009, Avalon acquired a mining lease over claims covering the Big Whopper petalite deposit and neighbouring lands that may be needed for development work.
The lease covers an area of 400 hectares and has a term of 21 years.
Good Infrastructure and Accessibility: The property is located ~70 kilometres
by road north of Kenora, Ontario, and is directly accessible via a private road. The
main line of the Canadian National Railway passes through the village of Redditt,
50 kilometres by road south of the Separation Rapids property, while the main
line of the Canadian Pacific Railway passes through Kenora, 20 kilometres further
south. The property lies within the traditional land use area of the Wabaseemoong
Independent Nations of Whitedog, Ontario, an aboriginal community located ~35
kilometres southwest of the property. Water for mineral processing and other
needs is available in abundance in the project area. The nearest hydroelectric
power generating station is at Whitedog Falls. The transmission line comes within

MARKET DATA AS OF 09/08/2013

($M except per share data)

Market Cap
Net Debt
Cash & Short Term Investments
Debt
Enterprise Value
Basic S/O (M)
Fully Diluted (M)
Avg Daily Volume (3mo, k)
52 Week Range
Company Description

Avalon Rare Metals Inc. engages in the exploration and development
of rare metals and minerals in Canada. The company primarily
focuses on exploring for rare earth elements, such as neodymium,
terbium, and dysprosium; and other rare metals and minerals,
including lithium, tantalum, niobium, cesium, indium, gallium, and
zirconium, as well as tin. Its flagship project includes the Nechalacho
deposit, a 100% owned rare earth element project located at Thor
Lake, Northwest Territories. Avalon Rare Metals Inc. was founded in
1991 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

KEY RISKS

UPCOMING EVENTS/CATALYSTS

Exploration
Financing

Drilling Results
Resource Estimate

SHARE PRICE/TRADING VOLUME CHART
6

$10.0
$8.0

4

$6.0
$4.0

2
0

30 kilometres of the Separation Rapids property.

$97.57
-$15.11
$15.11
$0.00
$82.46
103.80
103.80
178.62
$0.52 - $2.40

$2.0
Jul-10

Jan-11

Jul-11

Jan-12

Volume (M)

Jul-12

Jan-13

$0.0

Price

Historical Mineral Estimates: Avalon first explored the property in 1997–1998
when drilling delineated a NI 43-101 compliant indicated resource of 8.9Mt and
an inferred resource of 2.7Mt, both grading 1.34% Li, 0.007% Ta2O5 and 0.30%
rubidium oxide (Rb2O). These resources are delineated over a strike length of 600
metres, to a maximum vertical depth of 250 metres and remain open for expansion both to depth and along strike. The lithium grades are consistent with a petalite content averaging 25±5%. The mineralized zone is well exposed at surface
in a low dome-shaped hill, where it averages 55 metres in width over a 400-metre strike length. This part of the deposit could be readily amenable to mining by
low-cost quarrying methods. A conceptual open pit designed for the 1999 PFS by
Micon International Inc. contains a probable reserve of 7.7Mt grading 1.4% Li2O
(NI 43-101 audited).
Key Catalysts: Renewed interest in lithium has created an opportunity to reactivate
the Separation Rapids project. Catalysts include updated drill results and a revised
Feasibility Study.

PROJECT DETAILS
Name
Location
Stage
Property Size
NI 43-101
Average Grade
Off-Take/Partnership
Year Production
Volume Production
Resources (Historical)
Measured
Indicated
Inferred
Reserves (Historical)
Proven
Probable
Ownership

Separation Rapids
Kenora, Ontario
Exploration
1455 ha
No
0.651% Li
No
n.a.
n.a.
n.a.
8.9 Mt @ 0.623% Li, (295,247 LCE)
2.7 Mt @ 0.623% Li, (89,569 LCE)
n.a.
7.8 Mt @ 0.651% Li, (269,372 LCE)
100%

Source: Capital IQ, Company Reports

www.epccm.ca

43
Luisa Moreno, PhD, MEng - 416.933.3352
luisa.moreno@europac.ca
Ollie Primak, MBA, CFA - 416.649-4273 x308, Associate
ollie.primak@europac.ca
August 2013

Lithium Industry Report

INTERNATIONAL LITHIUM Corp. (ILC)
TSXV - ILC : $0.02

12-MONTH TARGET PRICE : N/A | PROJECTED RETURN: N/a
Early-Stage Project: ILC’s Mariana lithium project is in the early stages and is
located in the western Salta Province, Argentina. The project includes several
mineral claims totaling ~16,450 hectares. Claims are grouped in one contiguous claim block covering the entire Salar de Llullaillaco. The company expects to
recover lithium, potassium and boron.
Limited Infrastructure: The Marinara project is accessible from the city of Salta
using national and provincial highways and roads. A narrow gauge railway passes
within 17 kilometres northeast of Salar de Llullaillaco and is potentially a significant piece of infrastructure for future development. The project is in a remote location; although it has a road and nearby rail access, electric power is only available
through local diesel generators. Bottled potable water is brought into camp as
needed, but utility water has been found near the camp in springs.
Promising Drill Samples: Average grades from the Phase 1 Resource Delineation
drilling program revealed: 0.026–0.035% Li, 0.939–1.129% potassium and 0.051–
0.071% boron. Potassium grades reported are one of the highest in an Argentine
salar and will likely result in potash being the leading value resource of this project.
Ownership Structure: In May 2009, TNR Gold Corp., ILC’s leading shareholder with
~25% interest, signed an option agreement with the title holders of Marinara to acquire 100% interest in the Marinara property. In turn, TNR has granted ILC the option
to acquire a 100% interest in the Marinara property in exchange for US$1.0M, payable through the issuance of 7.0M ILC shares and 7.0M ILC warrants.
Strategic Partnership: In May, International Lithium announced a strategic partner-

MARKET DATA AS OF 09/08/2013

($M except per share data)

Market Cap
Net Debt
Cash & Short Term Investments
Debt
Enterprise Value
Basic S/O (M)
Fully Diluted (M)
Avg Daily Volume (3mo, k)
52 Week Range
Company Description

International Lithium Corp. engages in the exploration and
development of mineral properties. It holds interests in nine active rare
metals projects balanced between lithium-potash brines in Argentina
and Nevada; and hard-rock pegmatites in Canada and Ireland. The
company primarily focuses on its Mariana lithium-potash brine project
covering 160 square kilometers located in the South American Lithium
Belt centered on the junction of Argentina, Bolivia, and Chile. It also
has interests in the Mavis Lake rare metals project located in Ontario,
Canada; and lithium brine projects located in Nevada.

KEY RISKS

UPCOMING EVENTS/CATALYSTS

Exploration
Financing

Drilling Results
Resource Estimate

SHARE PRICE/TRADING VOLUME CHART
1.5

$0.6
$0.5

1

$0.4
$0.3

0.5

$0.2
$0.1

0

May-11

Nov-11

ana project. In lieu of repayment, Ganfeng Lithium may elect to convert its loan into
an interest in the Mariana property for a total interest of up to 51%, at which point the
parties would enter into a joint venture for the development of the property. Ganfeng
Lithium currently holds ~17.5% of the issued and outstanding shares of ILC.
Additional Projects: ILC has claims on two other lithium projects, the Mavis project
located 15 kilometres northeast of Dryden, Ontario, and the Blackstairs project in
Leinstar, Ireland. ILC’s Mavis claims cover 2,624 hectares over several known pegmatites. Initial drill hole results returned 1.86% of Li2O over 26.25 metres and 1.22%
Li2O over 28.45 metres. ILC has 292 square kilometres of licenses covering a 50-kilometre long rare metals pegmatite belt. Newly exposed boulders reported grades exceeding 4% Li2O. A 2013 drill program is under way to confirm historical drill results.
Key Catalysts: Exploration drilling results and resource estimates.

44

www.epccm.ca

May-12

Series2

ship with Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co. Ltd., a leading China-based lithium product
manufacturer. Ganfeng has agreed to lend ILC a total of $2.3M to advance the Mari-

$0.77
$1.58
$0.22
$1.80
$2.35
77.13
77.13
95.00
$0.01 - $0.50

PROJECT DETAILS
Name
Location
Stage
Property Size
NI 43-101
Average Grade
Off-Take/Partnership
Year Production
Volume Production
Resources
Measured
Indicated
Inferred
Reserves
Proven
Probable
Ownership

Nov-12

May-13

Series1

Mariana Lithium Project
Salta, Argentina
Exploration Drilling
16,450 ha
Yes
0.033% Li
No
n.a.
n.a.
n.a.
n.a.
n.a.
n.a.
n.a.
100%

Source: Capital IQ, Company Reports

$0.0
Luisa Moreno, PhD, MEng - 416.933.3352
luisa.moreno@europac.ca
Ollie Primak, MBA, CFA - 416.649-4273 x308, Associate
ollie.primak@europac.ca
August 2013

Lithium Industry Report

ULTRA LITHIUM Inc.
TSXV - ULI : $0.07

12-MONTH TARGET PRICE : N/A | PROJECTED RETURN: N/a
European Project with Unique Mineral: Ultra Lithium’s Balkans project is located in Serbia within the Balkan Peninsula of SE Europe. The company is seeking
to identify potential targets in Serbia that could host new lithium resources in the
form of Jadarite (a combination of lithium and boron) mineralization.
Significant Resource Potential: The Ministry of Environment, Mining and Spatial Planning has granted Ultra Lithium seven exploration licenses in the Republic of Serbia (Blace, Koceljeva, Trnava, Valjevo East, Preljina, Ladevci and
Kragujevac) for mineral prospects, covering ~643 square kilometres. The land
package is in the same region as Rio Tinto’s Jadar deposit, the closest concession being only 20 kilometres to the east. Rio Tinto’s Jadar deposit is ~125.3Mt
grading 1.8% Li2O and 12.9% B2O3 and has been ranked as one of the largest
lithium deposits in the world.
Strategic Partnerships: In June, Ultra Lithium announced that it had finalized
terms with Beijing Guofang Mining Investment Co. Ltd. (BGMI) to form a joint

MARKET DATA AS OF 09/08/2013

($M except per share data)

Market Cap
Net Debt
Cash & Short Term Investments
Debt
Enterprise Value
Basic S/O (M)
Fully Diluted (M)
Avg Daily Volume (3mo, k)
52 Week Range

$14.88
-$3.86
$3.86
$0.00
$11.02
212.62
212.62
159.15
$0.02 - $0.11

Company Description
Ultra Lithium Inc. engages in the acquisition, exploration, and
development of resource properties in Canada. The company holds
interests in the Balkans project comprising 7 lithium/boron exploration
licenses, which cover an area of approximately 643 square kilometers
located in the Republic of Serbia. It also holds an option to acquire a
20% interest in the Zigzag Lake lithium, tantalum, beryllium, and gallium
property that consists of 129 claim units for a total surface area of
2,064 hectares located in the town ship of Crescent Lake, Ontario; and
a 100% interest the South Big Smokey Valley property, which comprises
364 placer claims covering an area of approximately 7,280 acres
located in Esmeralda County, Nevada.

KEY RISKS

UPCOMING EVENTS/CATALYSTS

terms of the arrangement, a new Canadian company has been incorporated,

Exploration
Financing

Drilling Results
Resource Estimate

Ultra Dragon Holdings Inc., which will hold the Balkans exploration licenses.

SHARE PRICE/TRADING VOLUME CHART

BGMI may earn up to a 35% participating interest in Ultra Dragon by funding

20

$0.2

15

$0.2

earn-in funds to a maximum of 35% within a period of three years. Ultra Dragon

10

$0.1

has received the initial capital of $500,000 from BGMI for a 5% interest in Ultra

5

$0.1

Dragon.

0

venture for the exploration and development of its Balkans project. Under the

up to $3.5M of exploration expenditures (earn-in funds) on the Balkans project.
BGMI will earn a 5% participating interest for each tranche of $500,000 of the

Jul-10

Jan-11

Jul-11

Exploration Update: The company’s 2012 exploration program, which included
field reconnaissance, mapping, geochemical sampling and geophysical surveys,
identified two high-priority targets, Blace and Valjevo East. The company intends
to execute a drilling campaign on these and other concessions this year.
Other Projects: Ultra’s other projects include the tantalum Zigzag Lake project
in Ontario, a joint venture with Canadian Orebodies Inc. (TSX-V: CO), and the
100%-owned lithium South Big Smokey Valley project in Nevada, only 16 miles
north of Rockwood’s Silver Peak mine in Clayton Valley.
Key Catalysts: Results from Ultra’s drilling campaign and a resource estimate.

Jan-12

Volume (M)

PROJECT DETAILS
Name
Location
Stage
Property Size
NI 43-101
Average Grade
Off-Take/Partnership
Year Production
Volume Production
Resources
Measured
Indicated
Inferred
Reserves
Proven
Probable
Ownership

Jul-12

Jan-13

$0.0

Price

Balkans Project
Serbia
Exploration Drilling
64,300 ha
No
n.a.
No
n.a.
n.a.
n.a.
n.a.
n.a.
n.a.
n.a.
95%

Source: Capital IQ, Company Reports

www.epccm.ca

45
Luisa Moreno, PhD, MEng - 416.933.3352
luisa.moreno@europac.ca
Ollie Primak, MBA, CFA - 416.649-4273 x308, Associate
ollie.primak@europac.ca
August 2013

Lithium Industry Report

PAN GLOBAL RESOURCES Inc.
TSXV - PGZ : $0.17

12-MONTH TARGET PRICE : N/A | PROJECTED RETURN: N/a
Balkan Project Overview: Pan Global Resources has entered into an agreement to earn up to 80% in any 3 of 14 blocks of exploration licenses in the
Balkans, totaling >1,000 square kilometres in Serbia and another 250 square
kilometres in Bosnia in the vicinity of Rio Tinto’s Jadar lithium and borate
deposit. Pan Global’s joint-venture partner, Lithium Li Holdings, consists of
former Rio Tinto executives, considered lithium/borate specialists who were
instrumental in the discovery of the Jadar deposit. The joint venture is targeting direct analogs of the Jadar deposit, which has a JORC inferred resource of
114.0Mt at 1.8% Li2O and 12.9% B2O3. If successful, the project could supply
up to 20% of current global lithium demand.

MARKET DATA AS OF 09/08/2013

($M except per share data)

Market Cap
Net Debt
Cash & Short Term Investments
Debt
Enterprise Value
Basic S/O (M)
Fully Diluted (M)
Avg Daily Volume (3mo, k)
52 Week Range

$6.31
-$0.54
$0.54
$0.00
$5.76
31.54
31.54
10.82
$0.20 - $0.65

Company Description

Most drilling to date has been focused in the Valjevo license (8 holes) with lith-

Pan Global Resources Inc. engages in the acquisition, exploration,
and development of mineral properties. It holds an option to acquire
51% interest in 2 lithium/potash/borate mineral prospects, known as
Jadar West and Valjevo, in the Republic of Serbia; and an additional
7 licenses in the process of application in the Republic of Serbia and
the Republic of Bosnia. Pan Global Resources Inc. was incorporated in
2006 and is based in Vancouver, Canada.

ium grades up to 0.26% Li2O at 18.8 metres. The highest borate grades (at an

KEY RISKS

UPCOMING EVENTS/CATALYSTS

Exploration
Financing

Drilling Results
Resoure Estimate

Initial Reconnaissance Diamond Drilling Results: The drilling work began in
August 2011 on all 8 licenses; since then, a total of 17 holes have been drilled.

8.0% cut-off) were returned from holes VBN-4 and VBN-8, which included 1.6
metres at 18.2% B2O3 and 1.0 metre at 17.7% B2O3. In the Jadar West license,
drill results show the highest lithium grades averaged 0.075% Li and 0.123%
Li at various drill depths with a maximum lithium assay of up to 0.141% Li, suggesting that the mineralizing system at Rio Tinto’s Jadar deposit may continue
into the Jadar West license. Work in 2013 has focused on data review, target
prioritization and drilling at Lopare in Bosnia.

SHARE PRICE/TRADING VOLUME CHART
0.25

$1.5

0.2
$1.0

0.15
0.1

$0.5

0.05

Intention to Purchase 100% Interest: In January, Pan Global Resources

0

Jul-10

Jan-11

licenses for consideration of cash payments totaling $5.8M and the issuance
of 7M Pan Global shares to the current owner of Lithium Li Holdings, over a
period of four years. The proposed transaction is subject to a number of conditions, including TSX Venture Exchange approval.
Key Catalysts: Exploration drilling results.

Jan-12

Volume (M)

signed a Letter of Intent with Lithium Li Holdings whereby Pan Global will purchase a 100% interest in Lithium Li Holdings and all its current and future

Jul-11

PROJECT DETAILS
Name
Location
Stage
Property Size
NI 43-101
Average Grade
Off-Take/Partnership
Year Production
Volume Production
Resources
Measured
Indicated
Inferred
Reserves
Proven
Probable
Ownership

Jul-12

Jan-13

Price

Balkans Project
Serbia
Exploration Drilling
130,000 ha
Yes
n.a.
No
2016+
n.a.
n.a.
n.a.
n.a.
n.a.
n.a.
100%

Source: Capital IQ, Company Reports

46

www.epccm.ca

$0.0
Luisa Moreno, PhD, MEng - 416.933.3352
luisa.moreno@europac.ca
Ollie Primak, MBA, CFA - 416.649-4273 x308, Associate
ollie.primak@europac.ca
August 2013

Lithium Industry Report

RED RIVER RESOURCES Ltd.
ASX - RVR : A$0.02

12-MONTH TARGET PRICE : N/A | PROJECTED RETURN: N/a
Location: Red River Resources’ East Kirup prospect is a lithium-tantalum-tin
geochemical anomaly 4 kilometres long by up to 1.5 kilometres wide and is
situated 20 kilometres north-northwestward on a structural trend from the
Greenbushes lithium-tantalum-tin mine in Western Australia, the world’s largest
known repository of lithium and tantalite ore and tin.
Multi-Product Potential: Geochemical sampling carried out by Red River has
delineated widespread geochemically anomalous lithium, tantalite and tin over
the East Kirup prospect area, which is interpreted as a mineralized halo over
better mineralization at depth. The prospect area is in State Forest under the
stewardship of the Western Australian Department of Conservation and Environment (DEC). Red River applied for and was eventually granted permission to drill
five reverse circulation (RC) holes in the prospect area.
RC Drilling Results for the East Kirup Lithium-Tantalite-Tin Prospect Were
Poor: A total of five RC holes drilled to test the soil geochemical anomaly failed
to return any significant assay results for lithium-tantalum-tin bearing pegmatite
(E70/2435). In view of the negative results, the data for E70/2435 is being re-

MARKET DATA AS OF 09/08/2013

($M except per share data)

Market Cap
Net Debt
Cash & Short Term Investments
Debt
Enterprise Value
Basic S/O (M)
Fully Diluted (M)
Avg Daily Volume (3mo, k)
52 Week Range

$1.25
-$0.78
$0.78
$0.00
$0.47
69.33
69.33
73.96
$0.01 - $0.03

Company Description
Red River Resources Limited engages in the exploration of mineral
properties primarily in Australia. It explores for gold, copper, nickel,
tin, tungsten, magnetite iron ore, tantalum, and lithium. The
company holds interests in the Miaree project located in Pilbara
region, Western Australia; the Wongan Hills project located in the
mid west region, Western Australia; the Blythe project located in
the Burnie area, Northern Tasmania; the Hooley Well nickel project
located in mid west region, Western Australia; and East Kirup
project located in southwest Western Australia. Red River Resources
Limited is headquartered in Perth, Australia.

KEY RISKS

UPCOMING EVENTS/CATALYSTS

Exploration Risk
Liquidity

Drilling Results
Resource Estimate

SHARE PRICE/TRADING VOLUME CHART

evaluated.

0.8

Tenement Information: East Kirup E70/2435,E70/2516,E70/2522 Expired.

$0.2

0.6

Key Catalysts: Future exploration drilling results, should Red River decide to
continue exploring.

$0.1

0.4
0.2
0

$0.1

Jul-10

Jan-11

Jul-11

Jan-12

Volume (M)

PROJECT DETAILS
Name
Location
Stage
Property Size
NI 43-101
Average Grade
Off-Take/Partnership
Year Production
Volume Production
Resources
Measured
Indicated
Inferred
Reserves
Proven
Probable
Ownership

Jul-12

Jan-13

$0.0

Price

East Kirup
Western Australia
Exploration Drilling
n.a.
No
n.a.
n.a.
n.a.
n.a.
n.a.
n.a.
n.a.
n.a.
n.a.
100%

Source: Capital IQ, Company Reports

www.epccm.ca

47
Luisa Moreno, PhD, MEng - 416.933.3352
luisa.moreno@europac.ca
Ollie Primak, MBA, CFA - 416.649-4273 x308, Associate
ollie.primak@europac.ca
August 2013

Lithium Industry Report

HOUSTON LAKE MINING Inc.
TSXV - HLM : $0.05

12-MONTH TARGET PRICE : N/A | PROJECTED RETURN: N/a
North Ontario Discovery with Economic Potential: The PAK rare metals project
is located in the Pakeagama Lake township in the Red Lake Mining district of
Northwestern Ontario and is 100%-owned by Houston Lake Mining. Access is
available by float plane 160 kilometres north from Red Lake to Pakeagama Lake
or by road access 2 kilometres from the property in the winter. The lithium-caesium-tantalum-rubidium deposit was discovered in 1999 and in September 2012
underwent a 91-channel sampling program to confirm historical results. This
program identified high-grade lithium, tantalum and rubidium with up to 4.74%
Li2O over 15 metres in three distinct pegmatite zones, 14 metres of 192 ppm
Ta2O5 (including 270 ppm over 6 metres) and 0.53% Rb2O in one of the zones.

MARKET DATA AS OF 09/08/2013

($M except per share data)

Market Cap
Net Debt
Cash & Short Term Investments
Debt
Enterprise Value
Basic S/O (M)
Fully Diluted (M)
Avg Daily Volume (3mo, k)
52 Week Range

$2.84
-$0.24
$0.36
$0.11
$2.58
63.02
63.02
102.15
$0.03 - $0.10

Company Description

from the high-grade mineralization zones encountered in the September 2012

Houston Lake Mining Inc., a mining exploration company, engages in
the acquisition, exploration, and development of mining properties
in northwestern Ontario, Canada. The company explores for rare
metal deposits, such as lithium, cesium, tantalum, and rubidium, as
well as gold and platinum group metals. It primarily focuses on its
100% owned and optioned Pakeagama Rare Metals Project located
in northwestern Ontario, Canada. Houston Lake Mining Inc. was
founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Val Caron, Canada.

sampling. Also, on April 30, the company announced that it had increased its

KEY RISKS

UPCOMING EVENTS/CATALYSTS

Exploration
Financing

Geochemical Surveying
Financing

Proactive Company Actions Lead to Positive Outlook: Houston has undergone
a 6-hole, 1,000-metre diamond drilling program focusing on drill targets derived

controlled land position and size of the PAK rare metals project to 2,816 hectares (from 1,024 hectares) by staking prospective and adjacent grounds to the
original claim.

SHARE PRICE/TRADING VOLUME CHART
1.2

$0.3

Promising Drill Results: The Phase I, 6-hole, 1,000-metre diamond drill program

1

$0.2

resulted in a 154-metre wide mineralized drill intercept in pegmatite averaging

0.8

1.22% Li2O, 111 ppm Ta205, and 0.41% Rb2O from 38.50 metres to 192.55
metres, including a 72.55-metre wide high-grade lithium zone averaging 1.96%
Li2O, 106 ppm Ta205, and 0.33% Rb2O from 120.00 metres to 192.55 metres,
and a 58.50-metre wide tantalum zone averaging 121 ppm Ta205 (including 265
ppm over 5.00 metres), 0.57% Li2O and 0.55% Rb2O intersected from 38.50
metres to 97.00 metres. Final drill hole PL-13-003 intersected 2.53% Li2O from
21.00 metres to 84.05 metres.
Key Catalysts: Houston Lake Mining’s growth strategy includes Phase II geochemical surveying in 2013, as well as a Phase II drill program and subsequent
bulk sampling in 2014. Catalysts will include positive future sampling results
and available investment financing.

$0.2

0.6

$0.1

0.4

$0.1

0.2
0

Jul-10

Jan-11

Jul-11

Jan-12

Volume (M)

PROJECT DETAILS
Name
Location
Stage
Property Size
NI 43-101
Average Grade
Off-Take/Partnership
Year Production
Volume Production
Resources
Measured
Indicated
Inferred
Reserves
Proven
Probable
Ownership

Jul-12

Jan-13

Price

Pakeagama
Northern Ontario
Exploration Drilling
2,816 ha
No
n.a.
No
n.a.
n.a.
n.a.
n.a.
n.a.
n.a.
n.a.
100%

Source: Capital IQ, Company Reports

48

www.epccm.ca

$0.0
Luisa Moreno, PhD, MEng - 416.933.3352
luisa.moreno@europac.ca
Ollie Primak, MBA, CFA - 416.649-4273 x308, Associate
ollie.primak@europac.ca
August 2013

Lithium Industry Report

TALISON LITHIUM Ltd.
TSX - TLH : PRIVATIZED

12-MONTH TARGET PRICE : N/A | PROJECTED RETURN: N/a
Significant Lithium Ore Body: The Greenbushes lithium mine has been in operation for over 25 years and is recognized as the longest continuously operated mining area in Western Australia containing possibly the largest spodumene deposit in the world. Tenements cover an area totaling ~10,000 hectares
and include the historic Greenbushes tin, tantalum and lithium mining areas.
Greenbushes produces about 32% of the global lithium supply and exports over
350,000 tonnes of lithium concentrate annually. The Greenbushes lithium operation has an expected mine life of 24 years processing 61.5Mt of ore to produce
22.2Mt of lithium products.

MARKET DATA AS OF 09/08/2013
($M except per share data)

Market Cap
Net Debt
Cash & Short Term Investments
Debt
Enterprise Value
Basic S/O (M)
Fully Diluted (M)
Avg Daily Volume (3mo, k)
52 Week Range

n.a.
n.a.
n.a.
n.a.
n.a.
n.a.
n.a.
n.a.
n.a.

Company Description

of ore feed yielding ~740,000 tpy of lithium concentrates was completed and

Talison Lithium Limited engages in the mining, development, and
exploration of mineral properties in Western Australia and Chile.
It mines and processes lithium bearing mineral spodumene at
Greenbushes, near Perth, Western Australia, as well as produces
a range of lithium concentrates and sells to customers for
processing into lithium chemicals, primarily lithium carbonate. The
company also owns interests in the Salares 7 Project, a lithium and
potassium exploration property consisting of seven salars in Region
III, Chile. As of February 26, 2013, Talison Lithium Limited operates
as a subsidiary of Windfield Holdings Pty Ltd.

commissioned in June 2012. The company also plans to build a 20,000 tpy Li-

SHARE PRICE/TRADING VOLUME CHART

Increasing Processing Capacity: The Greenbushes lithium operation has two
processing plants in the town of Greenbushes, one producing technical-grade
lithium concentrates and the other producing chemical-grade lithium concentrates. A plant expansion to increase nominal production capacity to ~1.5M tpy

2

CO3 plant, with commissioning expected in 2015. In FY2012, ~785,000 tonnes

of ore was processed to produce 357,000 tonnes of lithium concentrate.
Geographically Diversified Customer Base: In 2012, technical-grade lithium
concentrates were distributed 40% to China, 37% to Europe, 13% to North America and 7% to Japan. All of Talison’s chemical-grade lithium concentrate was sold
in China. Tianqi, a long-standing customer of Talison, through its subsidiaries in

25

$8.0

20

$6.0

15

$4.0

10

$2.0

5
0

Sep-10

Mar-11

Sep-11

Series2

China, purchases ~40% of Talison’s chemical-grade lithium concentrate.
Salares 7 Project: Talison Lithium also has a lithium brine project located in the
Atacama Region III, in Northern Chile. Talison indirectly holds 50% of the project
with an option to acquire another 20%. An exploration program at Salares 7
has included initial drilling, transient electromagnetic geophysical surveys and
regional surface water geochemical sampling programs. Talison’s goal is to develop the project to produce battery-grade Li2CO3.
Tianqi Acquires Talison: On December 6, 2012, Chengdu Tianqi Industry
(Group) Co., Ltd. announced that its wholly owned subsidiary, Windfield Holdings Pty Ltd., entered into a definitive agreement to acquire Talison Lithium in
an all-cash transaction for ~$847M. China Investment Corporation has funded
Windfield with ~$300M of long-term equity in exchange for ~35%, non-controlling equity interest in Windfield. Tianqi is the world’s largest hard rock lithium
converter and the sole distributor of Greenbushes lithium concentrate in China.

www.epccm.ca

Mar-12

PROJECT DETAILS
Name
Location
Stage
Property Size
NI 43-101
Average Grade
Off-Take/Partnership
Year Production
Volume Production
Resources
Measured
Indicated
Inferred
Reserves
Proven
Probable
Ownership

Sep-12

Mar-13

$0.0

Series1

Greenbushes
Western Australia
Production
10,000 ha
Yes
1.304% Li
Yes
In Production
357,000 Concentrate (53,029 LCE)
0.6 Mt @ 1.488% Li, (47,553 LCE)
117.9 Mt @ 1.125% Li, (7,063.504 LCE)
2.1 Mt @ 0.930% Li, (103,978 LCE)
0.6 Mt @ 1.488% Li, (47,553 LCE)
61.0 Mt @ 1.302% Li, (4,228,960 LCE)
100%

Source: Capital IQ, Company Reports

49
Luisa Moreno, PhD, MEng - 416.933.3352
luisa.moreno@europac.ca
Ollie Primak, MBA, CFA - 416.649-4273 x308, Associate
ollie.primak@europac.ca
August 2013

Lithium Industry Report

ROCKWOOD HOLDINGS Inc.
NYSE - ROC : US$68.01

12-MONTH TARGET PRICE : N/A | PROJECTED RETURN: N/a
Diversified Business Model: Rockwood (Chemetall Group Company) operates
its business under six different business segments. As a percentage of 2012
revenue these segments are: Lithium (13%); Surface Treatment (21%); Performance Additives (21%); Titanium Dioxide Pigments (25%); Advanced Ceramics
(16%) and Corporate and Other (4%).
Lithium Segment Overview: Rockwood’s lithium segment offers a broad range
of basic lithium compounds including Li2CO3, LiOH, lithium nitrate (LiNO3), lithium chloride (LiCl), as well as potash, produced as a by-product. It also provides
technical and recycling services. Net segment sales for the year ended December 31 were US$474.4M (2012), US$456.5M (2011) and US$397.1M (2010).
Two Main Mineral Deposits: Lithium carbonate is produced at the company’s
Silver Peak, Nevada and Salar de Atacama, Chile operations, with Silver Peak
producing lithium materials since 1966. The brine deposit at Silver Peak has
a concentration of 0.02% Li, and an estimated 0.3Mt of contained lithium resources. In 2010, the company initiated a program to expand and upgrade the
production of Li2CO3 at its Silver Peak plant. The Salar de Atacama operation is

MARKET DATA AS OF 09/08/2013

($M except per share data)

Market Cap
Net Debt
Cash & Short Term Investments
Debt
Enterprise Value
Basic S/O (M)
Fully Diluted (M)
Avg Daily Volume (3mo, k)
52 Week Range

$4,890.67
$1,899.00
$321.70
$2,220.70
$6,945.27
74.70
76.07
625.70
$42.02 - $69.60

Company Description
Rockwood Holdings, Inc. develops, manufactures, and markets
specialty chemicals and advanced materials for industrial and
commercial applications primarily in Germany, the United States,
and Europe. The company operates in four segments: Specialty
Chemicals, Performance Additives, Titanium Dioxide Pigments, and
Advanced Ceramics. The company sells its products through direct
sales forces, as well as through distributors and third party sales
representatives. Rockwood Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 2000
and is based in Princeton, New Jersey.

SHARE PRICE/TRADING VOLUME CHART
6

$80.0

5

one of the world’s largest production facilities for lithium and Rockwood has a
claim of 13,700 hectares. A buffer zone of around 10,000 hectares separates

$60.0

4
3

the Rockwood claims from those of SQM. Collectively, the Salar de Atacama region has an estimated 7.0Mt of lithium reserves (2009 estimates).
Production Facilities: Total Li2CO3 production capacity for Rockwood’s operations in Chile and the U.S. was 33,000 tpy in 2011; estimated production was
29,000–30,000 tonnes of Li2CO3 and derivatives, mostly from the company’s
operation in Chile. In early 2012, the company announced plans to construct
a new 20,000 tpy Li2CO3 plant in La Negra, Chile. The new facility, expected to
be completed by year-end 2013, would increase Rockwood’s worldwide Li2CO3
production capacity to > 50,000 tpy. In addition, Rockwood would increase its
worldwide LiOH production capacity, currently estimated to be greater than
5,000 tpy to more than 10,000 tpy by 2014. Production of downstream lithium
products is mostly performed in the United States, Germany and Taiwan.

$40.0

2

$20.0

1
0

Jul-10

Jan-11

Jul-11

Jan-12

Volume (M)

PROJECT DETAILS
Name
Location
Stage
Property Size
NI 43-101
Average Grade
Off-Take/Partnership
Year Production
Volume Production
Resources (Contained)
Silver Peak
Salar de Atacama
Reserves (Contained)
Silver Peak
Salar de Atacama
Ownership

Jul-12

Jan-13

Salar de Atacama / Silver Peak
Antofagasta, Chile / Nevada, U.S.
Production / Production
13,700 ha / n.a.
n.a.
0.112% Li
n.a.
In Production
~30,000 Li2CO3
~0.3 Mt Li, (1,597,200 LCE)
n.a.
n.a.
~0.6 Mt Li, (3,194,400 LCE)
100%/100%

Source: Capital IQ, Company Reports

50

www.epccm.ca

$0.0

Price
Luisa Moreno, PhD, MEng - 416.933.3352
luisa.moreno@europac.ca
Ollie Primak, MBA, CFA - 416.649-4273 x308, Associate
ollie.primak@europac.ca
August 2013

Lithium Industry Report

SOCIEDAD QUIMICA y MINERA de CHILE S.A. (SQM)
NYSE - SQM : US$28.31

12-MONTH TARGET PRICE : N/A | PROJECTED RETURN: N/a
Diversified Chemical Producer: SQM’s end products are divided into six categories (as a percentage of 2012 earnings): Specialty Plant Nutrients (21%); Iodine
and its Derivatives (35%); Lithium and its Derivatives (11%); Potassium Chloride
and Potassium Sulfate (24%); Industrial Chemicals (8%); and other Commodity
Fertilizers (>1%).
Mineral Rich Resources: SQM’s products are derived from mineral deposits
found in Northern Chile where it mines and processes caliche ore and brine
deposits. The caliche ore in Northern Chile contains the only known nitrate and
iodine deposits in the world and it is the world’s largest commercially exploited
source of natural nitrates.
The brine deposits of the Salar de Atacama contain high concentrations of lithium and potassium, as well as significant concentrations of sulfate and boron.
SQM holds exclusive rights to exploit the mineral resources of Salar de Atacama

MARKET DATA AS OF 09/08/2013

($M except per share data)

Market Cap
Net Debt
Cash & Short Term Investments
Debt
Enterprise Value
Basic S/O (M)
Fully Diluted (M)
Avg Daily Volume (3mo, k)
52 Week Range

$7,495.84
$1,014.42
$599.09
$1,613.51
$8,565.79
263.20
263.20
876.96
$27.14 - $65.31

Company Description
Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile engages in the production and
distribution of specialty plant nutrients, iodine and its derivatives,
lithium and its derivatives, potassium chloride and potassium
sulfate, industrial chemicals, and other commodity fertilizers.
The company sells its products through a distribution network in
approximately 100 countries worldwide. Chemical and Mining
Company of Chile Inc. was founded in 1968 and is headquartered
in Santiago, Chile.

in an area covering ~140,000 hectares, of which SQM is entitled to exploit the

SHARE PRICE/TRADING VOLUME CHART

mineral resources existing in 81,920 hectares, with a total accumulated extrac-

2.5

$80.0

tion limit of 180,100 tonnes of lithium per year. SQM has contained proven and

2

$60.0

probable lithium reserves of 3.0Mt and 3.2Mt, respectively.

1.5

Low-Cost Production Model: Li2CO3 and LiOH are produced at the company’s

0.5

Salar del Carmen facilities, near Antofagasta, Chile, ~230 kilometres west of

0

the Salar de Atacama. Annual production capacity is 48,000 tpa Li2CO3 and
6,000 tpa LiOH. High evaporation rates and the concentration of other minerals
(lithium is produced as a by-product of potassium chloride) allow SQM to be one
of the lowest-cost producers worldwide. SQM produced 41,000 tonnes of Li2CO3
in 2012, an increase of 8% from 38,000 tonnes in 2011.
Sales Growth with Higher Demand: Revenue in 2012 from SQM’s lithium segment were US$222.2M, with 45,700 tonnes of Li2CO3, representing 9% of total
company revenue and ~35% of global lithium chemical sales by volume. This was
a 21% increase from US$183.4M in 2011 and a 12% increase by volume from
40,700 tonnes of Li2CO3 in 2011. The company’s lithium products are distributed
throughout the world, with~24% of customers in Europe, the Middle East and
Africa; 10% in North America; 64% in Asia and Oceania; and 2% in other regions.
In 2012, no single customer accounted for more than 13% of lithium sales, while
the 10 largest customers accounted, in aggregate, for ~50% of sales.

$40.0

1

$20.0
Jul-10

Jan-11

Jul-11

Jan-12

Volume (M)

PROJECT DETAILS
Name
Location
Stage
Property Size
NI 43-101
Average Grade
Off-Take/Partnership
Year Production
Volume Production
Resources (Contained)
Measured
Indicated
Inferred
Reserves (Contained)
Proven
Probable
Ownership

Jul-12

Jan-13

$0.0

Price

Salar de Atacama
Chile
Production
81,920 ha
n.a.
n.a.
Yes
In Production
45,700 Li2CO3
n.a.
n.a.
n.a.
3.0 Mt Li, 15,972,000 LCE
3.2 Mt Li, 17,036,800 LCE
100%

Source: Capital IQ, Company Reports

www.epccm.ca

51
Luisa Moreno, PhD, MEng - 416.933.3352
luisa.moreno@europac.ca
Ollie Primak, MBA, CFA - 416.649-4273 x308, Associate
ollie.primak@europac.ca
August 2013

Lithium Industry Report

FMC Corp.

NYSE - FMC : US$66.12

12-MONTH TARGET PRICE : N/A | PROJECTED RETURN: N/a
Diversified Revenue Base: FMC operates under three business segments (as
a percentage of 2012 consolidated revenue): Agricultural Products (47%); Specialty Chemicals (24%) and Industrial Chemicals (29%). FMC’s lithium operations fall into the Specialty Chemicals segment and account for ~6% of 2012
consolidated revenue.
Long-Term Mineral Rights in Salar de Hombre. FMC has long-term mineral
rights to the Salar del Hombre Muerto lithium reserves in Argentina. The Hombre
Muerto salar is a 56,500-hectare playa with a 28,000-hectare salt nucleus in
its southeast section. The brine lithium concentrations range from 190 to 900
ppm lithium. Compared to Atacama, Hombre Muerto has lower concentrations
of lithium but also very low levels of magnesium, which can cause processing
challenges. FMC Corp. obtained the rights to Hombre Muerto from the Argentinean government in 1995; reserves are estimated to last 75 years.

MARKET DATA AS OF 09/08/2013

($M except per share data)

Market Cap
Net Debt
Cash & Short Term Investments
Debt
Enterprise Value
Basic S/O (M)
Fully Diluted (M)
Avg Daily Volume (3mo, k)
52 Week Range

$8,994.37
$1,194.50
$82.60
$1,277.10
$10,235.97
136.36
136.86
833.28
$50.76 - $67.46

Company Description
FMC Corporation, a diversified chemical company, provides
solutions and products for agricultural, consumer, and industrial
markets. It operates in three segments: Agricultural Products,
Specialty Chemicals, and Industrial Chemicals. The company
operates in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Latin
America, and the Asia Pacific. FMC Corporation was founded in
1883 and is headquartered in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.

SHARE PRICE/TRADING VOLUME CHART
4

$80.0

Hombre Muerto’s lithium reserves range from 0.4 to 0.8Mt of Li, with contained

3

$60.0

resources estimated at 0.8Mt of Li. In 2011, FMC’s Li2CO3 production capacity

2

$40.0

was 17,000 tpy. The company is planning to increase production to 23,000 tpy.

1

$20.0

Healthy Reserves with Increasing Production Capacity. Recent estimates for

0

Focus on Specialty Lithium Compounds. FMC has production facilities in Argentina through Minera del Altiplano S.A., where it produces LiOH and Li2CO3.
Production of its downstream lithium products is mostly performed in the United States and the United Kingdom. While lithium is sold into a variety of end
markets, FMC has focused its strategy on energy storage, specialty polymers,
grease and pharmaceuticals, producing a full range of downstream inorganic
compounds and lithium metal. In 2012, lithium revenue was US$233.0M, up
~4% compared to US$224.8M in 2011.

Jul-10

Jan-11

Jul-11

Jan-12

Volume (M)

PROJECT DETAILS
Name
Location
Stage
Property Size
NI 43-101
Average Grade
Off-Take/Partnership
Year Production
Volume Production
Resources (Contained)
Measured
Indicated
Inferred
Reserves (Contained)
Proven
Probable
Ownership

Jul-12

Jan-13

Price

Salar de Hombre Muerto
Salta, Argentina
Production
56,500 ha
n.a.
0.052% Li
n.a.
In Production
23,000 Li2CO3
0.8 Mt Li, (4,259,200 LCE)
n.a.
n.a.
0.8 Mt Li, (4,259,200 Li2CO3)
n.a.
n.a.
100%

Source: Capital IQ, Company Reports

52

www.epccm.ca

$0.0
August 2013

Lithium Industry Report

INVESTMENT RISKS
The most common investment risks associated with the companies in this report are listed below.
Exploration Risk: The market may price in successful preliminary drilling or trenching results, which comprehensive exploration work may not confirm. A company’s share price could fall in these situations.
Financing Risk: It is difficult to raise funds when equity and credit markets are tight, which could lead to project delays and
cancelations. During the funding process, equity dilution may occur.
Geopolitical Risk: Companies with assets in the developing countries are usually assumed riskier, given the often less
stable political environments. However, companies in developed countries can also be affected by changes in governments
and policies that may, for example, affect tax and permitting laws. Some projects in North and South America are under the
jurisdiction of First Nations groups, which often involve high levels of negotiations and approvals.
Price Risk: Fluctuations in commodity prices could have an adverse effect on the economics of a mining and processing project.
Metallurgical Process Risk: Metallurgical processes are highly dependent on the type of ore and economic determining
factors, such as grade and size of the resource and ore amenability to conventional chemical recovery.
Currency Risk: Many commodities are priced in U.S. dollars; as such, companies operating outside of the U.S. will be affected by changes in the exchange rate between the U.S. dollar and their functional currency.
Acquisition Risk: Given the current market conditions, the consolidation of the lithium junior sector is likely. In a highly competitive market, some companies may overpay for assets.

www.epccm.ca

53
Euro Pacific Canada Inc. Research Disclosures
Analyst Certification
I, Luisa Moreno, hereby certify that the views expressed in this report accurately reflect our personal views about the subject securities or issuers. We also certify that we have not, am not,
and will not receive, directly or indirectly, compensation in exchange for expressing the specific recommendations or views in this report.

Stock Rating Categories
BUY: The security represents attractive relative value and is expected to appreciate significantly from the current price over the next 12 month time horizon.
SPECULATIVE BUY: The security is considered a BUY but in the analyst’s opinion possesses certain operational and/or financial risks that are higher than average.
HOLD: The security represents fair value and no material appreciation is expected over the next 12-18 month time horizon.
REDUCE: The security is expected to depreciate in the near term; however the long term outlook is positive.
SELL: The security represents poor value and is expected to depreciate over the next 12 month time horizon.
Our ratings may be followed by “(†)” which denotes that the investment is speculative and has a higher degree of risk associated with it.

Ratings Distribution
Euro Pacific Canada’s initial rating distribution is as follows (rating distribution is updated monthly):

Recommendation Hierarchy

BUY

SPECULATIVE BUY

HOLD

REDUCE

SELL

UNDER
REVIEW

Percentage of total recommendations

25%

29%

23%

-

-

23%

13

15

12

-

-

12

25%

25%

-

-

-

50%

1

1

-

-

-

2

Number of recommendations
Percentage of investment banking relationships
Number of investing banking relationships
Company Specific Disclosures

Issuer

Is this an issuer related or industry related publication?
1) Does the Analyst or any member of the Analyst’s household have a financial interest in the securities of the subject issuer?
If Yes: 1) Is it a long or short position? NA; and, 2) What type of security is it? NA
2) Does the Analyst or household member serve as a Director or Officer or Advisory Board Member of the issuer?
3) Does Euro Pacific Canada Inc. or the Analyst have any actual material conflicts of interest with the issuer?
4) Does Euro Pacific Canada Inc. and/or one or more entities affiliated with Euro Pacific Canada Inc. beneficially own common shares (or any other class of common
equity securities) of this issuer which constitutes more than 1% of the presently issued and outstanding shares of the issuer?
5) During the last 12 months, has Euro Pacific Canada Inc. provided financial advice to and/or, either on its own or as a syndicate member, participated in a public
offering, or private placement of securities of this issuer?
6) During the last 12 months, has Euro Pacific Canada Inc. received compensation for having provided investment banking or related services to this Issuer?
7) The analyst had an on site visit with the Issuer within the last 12 months.
8) Has the Analyst been compensated for travel expenses incurred as a result of an on site visit with the Issuer within the last 12 months?
9) Has the Analyst received any compensation from the subject company in the past 12 months?
10) Is Euro Pacific Canada Inc. a market maker in the issuer’s securities at the date of this report?

Company Name
Nemaska Lithium Inc.
Canada Lithium Corp.

Ticker
NMX-TSX.V
CLQ-TSX

Disclosures
5, 9
9

U.K. Disclosures
This research report was prepared by Euro Pacific Canada Inc., a member of the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada and the Canadian Investor Protection Fund
EURO PACIFIC CANADA INC. IS NOT SUBJECT TO U.K. RULES WITH REGARD TO THE PREPARATION OF RESEARCH REPORTS AND THE INDEPENDENCE OF ANALYSTS.
The contents hereof are intended solely for the use of, and may only be issued or passed onto persons described in part VI of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2001. This report does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any of the securities discussed herein.

U.S. Disclosures
This research report was prepared by Euro Pacific Canada Inc., a member of the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada and the Canadian Investor Protection Fund.
This report does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any of the securities discussed herein.
Euro Pacific Canada Inc. is not registered as a broker-dealer in the United States. The firm that prepared this report may not be subject to U.S. rules regarding the preparation of research
reports and the independence of research analysts.
Institutional Sales & Trading
David Foley, Managing Director, Institutional Sales & Trading	 416-933-3350
david.foley@europac.ca
Christine Young, Vice President, Institutional Sales	
christine.young@europac.ca

Toronto
130 King Street West
Exchange Tower, Suite 2820 Box
20, Toronto ON, M5X 1A9
416-649-4273
888-216-9779
Montreal
1501 McGill College Avenue
Suite 1450
Montréal, QC, H3A 3M8
514-940-5096
888-216-9779
Vancouver
1111 Melville Street, Suite 480
Vancouver BC V6E 3V6
604-453-1382
888-216-9779
Tokyo
Holland Hills Mori Tower
RoP #603 5-11-1 Toranomon,
Minato-Ku, Tokyo, 105-0001

416-479-8690

Jonathan Thompson, Sales Trader	
jonathan.thompson@europac.ca

416-649-4273 x300

Pierre-Yves Terrisse, Institutional Sales	
pierre.terrisse@europac.ca

514-905-7927

Richard Ouellette, Sales Trader	
richard.ouelette@europac.ca

514-905-7928

Investment Banking
David Cusson, CEO	
david.cusson@europac.ca

416-649-4271

Rob Furse, President	
rob.furse@europac.ca

416-649-4288

Blair Jordan	
blair.jordan@europac.ca

778-331-5042

Shinichi Muto, Japanese Representative	
shinichi.muto@europac.ca

+81.90.1470.1684

Connor Wang	
connor.wang@europac.ca

778-331-1007

Research
Rob Goff - HBA, CFA
Managing Director of Research, Head of Research,
Telecom Services & New Media Analyst	416-933-3351
rob.goff@europac.ca
Douglas Loe - MBA, Ph.D Biochemistry, M.Sc
Healthcare & Biotechnology Analyst	416-775-1004
doug.loe@europac.ca
Luisa Moreno, PhD, MEng., Mining Analyst	
luisa.moreno@europac.ca

www.epccm.ca

416-933-3352

Rob Sutherland, FRI(E), Real Estate Analyst	
rob.sutherland@europac.ca

416-933-3353

Matthew Zylstra, Precious Metals Analyst	
matthew.zylstra@europac.ca

416-649-4273 x305

Mark Belcarz, Research Associate	416-479-8976
mark.belcarz@europac.ca		
Dima Kash, Research Associate	
dima.kash@europac.ca

416-649-4273 x404

DESIGN & LAYOUT
Ted Thompson	
ted.thompson@europac.ca

647-210-1742
Lithium Industry
A Strategic Energy Metal

Significant Increase in Demand Ahead

www.epccm.ca

Lithium Industry - A Strategic Energy Metal

  • 1.
    August 14 2013 LithiumIndustry A Strategic Energy Metal Significant Increase in Demand Ahead Luisa Moreno, PhD, MEng 416-933-3352 luisa.moreno@europac.ca www.epccm.ca SPECIALTY / INDUSTRIAL METALS
  • 2.
    Euro Pacific Canadais an IIROC registered brokerage headquartered in Toronto, with offices in Montreal and Vancouver, specializing in foreign markets, precious and strategic metals investing. The firm offers an integrated platform of investment banking, institutional sales and trading, research, and private client services following the advice laid out by Euro Pacific Capital’s Chief Global Strategist Peter Schiff, an internationally recognized market strategist. Additional information is available at www.europac.ca. THE EURO PACIFIC ADVANTAGE The Euro Pacific Advantage: Despite the growing relative size and importance of non-North American capital markets, most domestic brokerage firms continue to offer clients scant exposure to foreign securities. Worse yet, access is typically limited to trading through ADR stocks or via over the counter with US based market makers. Informed by the hard money ideals so clearly and consistently articulated by Peter Schiff, Euro Pacific Canada looks to prepare investors for a future in which North American financial leadership is likely to wane. As the developed world continues to be mired in debt, we see promising opportunities in developing markets. We have a particular focus on value based and commodity-focused investments and concentrate on those countries that show greater respect for economic fundamentals such as savings, production, and monetary discipline. It is precisely these differences in outlook that make Euro Pacific so unique. Toronto 130 King Street West Exchange Tower, Suite 2820 Box 20, Toronto ON, M5X 1A9 416-649-4273 888-216-9779 Montreal 1501 McGill College Avenue Suite 1450 Montréal, QC, H3A 3M8 Vancouver 1111 Melville Street, Suite 480 Vancouver BC V6E 3V6 Tokyo Holland Hills Mori Tower RoP #603 5-11-1 Toranomon, Minato-Ku, Tokyo, 105-0001 As a full-service broker/dealer, we are constantly expanding our offerings to allow clients access to global markets that adhere to their personal investment goals. In addition to foreign stocks, we also offer foreign bonds, mutual funds, and precious metal investment strategies. For accredited investors, we offer private placements. If you are concerned about the future of the North American economy, Euro Pacific Canada may be the only domestic brokerage firm that speaks your language. www.europac.ca
  • 3.
    August 2013 Lithium IndustryReport Table of Contents Lithium Properties Mineralogy and Resources United States Canada Brazil Australia Africa Europe Commonwealth of Independent States China South America 3 4 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 7 Lithium Global Reserve Life Analysis 10 Lithium Processes and Compounds Brine Processing Hard-Rock Processing Other Processes Applications Glass Ceramics Lubricant Grease Metallurgy Lithium Metal Air Conditioners Energy Storage Other Applications 11 11 14 16 Recycling 23 Lithium Outlook 24 Supply 25 Demand 27 Price Outlook 29 Appendix A: Selected Companies 31 Investment Risks 2 3 53 17 17 17 17 18 18 19 19 22 www.epccm.ca
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    August 2013 Lithium IndustryReport LITHIUM PROPERTIES Lithium (symbol Li) is an alkali metal element, with atomic number 3 and 6.94 atomic weight (Figure 1). Unlike some alkali metals, lithium was discovered in rocks. In 1980, José Bonifácio de Andrade e Silva, a Brazilian scientist, discovered the first lithium mineral, petalite. The element lithium was only discovered in 1817 by Johan August Arfvedson together with Jöns Jakob Berzelius, and isolated in 1855 by Robert Bunsen and Augusts Matthiessen. The name lithium is derived from the Greek word lithos, which means stone, to reflect its discovery in a mineral. Lithium metal is produced through the electrolysis of fused lithium chloride, which results in a soft silvery-white lustrous metal. The metal is so soft that it can be cut easily with a knife. Lithium Figure 1: Lithium Metal; Source: periodictable.com is the least reactive of all the alkali metals, but is still highly reactive, thus it must be stored under liquid paraffin, which contains no oxygen, to prevent oxidation. Lithium is highly reactive when in contact with water, forming hydrogen gas and lithium hydroxide (LiOH) in an aqueous solution. When in contact with air, the lithium metal is also highly reactive, forming a layer of lithium hydroxide. Lithium volume (e.g., resource, reserves, production, tonnage or sales) can be presented in different units, thus when comparing two deposits it’s important to note whether the volume is, for example, presented in terms of lithium carbonate (Li2CO3), lithium carbonate equivalent (LCE), lithium hydroxide, etc. Likewise, lithium grades may be presented as lithium oxide (Li2O) or lithium (Li) content; for example, if a company has a 2% Li2O grade, it is equivalent to a 0.93% Li grade. In this report, lithium volumes or grades may be presented in different units depending on the context. Figure 2 shows the conversion factor between the most common forms of lithium compounds that may be referred to in this report. To convert Li LiOH LiOH-H20 Li2O Li2CO3 LiAlSi2O6 To Li 1.000 0.290 0.165 0.465 0.188 0.038 To LiOH 3.448 1.000 0.571 1.603 0.648 0.129 To LiOH-H20 6.061 1.751 1.000 2.809 1.136 0.225 To Li2O 2.153 0.624 0.356 1.000 0.404 0.080 To Li2CO3 5.324 1.543 0.880 2.476 1.000 0.199 To LiAlSi2O6 26.455 7.770 4.435 12.500 5.025 1.000 Figure 2: Conversion Factors for Lithium Compounds; Source: Nemaska Lithium MINERALOGY AND RESOURCES Lithium occurs throughout nature at different concentrations (Figure 3). It is found in sea water at concentrations of 180 ppb and in much higher concentrations in salt lakes (in this report, interchangeably: salares or brines) around the world, allowing for the commercial production of lithium. Lithium is found in many minerals (Figure 4), some of which are used in commercial applications. Spodumene (Figure 5) is the most widely used lithium mineral because of its high lithium content and occurrence. Other minerals, such as lepidolite and petalite (Figure 6) are also used commercially but are less common and have lower lithium content. www.epccm.ca Location Universe Sun Meteorite (carbonaceous) Crustal rocks Sea water Stream Human ppb by weight 6 0.06 1700 17000 180 3000 30 ppb by atoms 1 0.01 4600 50000 160 430 27 Figure 3: Conversion Factors for Lithium Compounds; Source: Nemaska Lithium 3
  • 5.
    August 2013 Most ofthe world’s lithium supplies are extracted from pegmatites or brines. Granitic pegmatites are an important source of rare metals. Although pegmatites are widely spread and relatively common, lithium-rich pegmatites are only a small (<1%) fraction of the world’s pegmatite resources. Currently, most of the lithium supply is from brines. Brines are widespread and usually contain larger Li resources compared to hard-rock lithium deposits; however, most brines are not economic for the production of lithium using conventional methods. Lithium is also found in geothermal brines, such as those found in the Salton Sea of Southern California. It Lithium Industry Report Mineral Spodumene Amblygonite Lepidolite (lithium, mica) Zinnwaldite (lithium, iron, mica) Petalite Triphylite Eucryptite Jadarite Elbaite Zabuyelite Nambulite Neptunite Pezzottaite Saliotite Lithiophilite Sugilite Zektzerite can also be found in oilfield brines and hectorite Formula LiAl(SiO3)2 LiAl(F,OH)PO4 KliAl (OH,F)2Al(SiO4)3 or K2Li4Al2F4Si8O22 Le2K2Fe2Al4Si7O24 LiAl(Si2O5)2 Li(Fe,Mn)PO4 LiAl(SiO4) LiNaB3SiO7(OH) Na(Li,Al)3Al6(BO3)3Si6O18(OH)4 Li2CO3 (Li,Na)Mn4Si5O14(OH)] KNa2Li(Fe2+,Mn2+)2Ti2Si8O24 Cs(Be2Li)Al2Si6O18 (Li,Na)Al3(AlSi3O10)(OH)5 Li(Mn,Fe)PO4 KNa2(Fe,Mn,Al)2Li3Si12O30 NaLiZrSi6O15 %Li2O 8.03% 7.40% 7.70% 3.42% 4.50% 9.47% 11.86% 7.28% 4.07% 40.44 % 1.83% 1.65% 2.13% 1.65% 9.53% 3.04% 2.82% Figure 4: Lithium Minerals; Source: Webmineral.com clay, as a magnesium lithium smectite. Below, we discus some of the known lithium deposits around the world. United States The Kings Mountain pegmatite belt has the most significant lithium pegmatite deposit in the U.S. The belt is 0.5–3 kilometres wide and extends about 50 kilometres northeast from Figure 5: Spodumene; Source: USGS photo North Carolina to South Carolina. Resource estimates include 45.6Mt with an average of 0.7% Li. Rockwood Lithium (NYSE:ROC) (also referred to as Chemetall, as it is a Chemetall Group Company) owns a pegmatite deposit in Kings Mountain that was originally exploited for its tin content, but is being Figure 6: Pegmatite with Large Petalite (pink) Crystals, Namibia; Source: The Giant Crystal Project Site mined for lithium. Also, in North Carolina is the Hallman-Beam pegmatite in Long Creek, operated by Lithium Corporation of America (purchased by FMC Corp. [NYSE:FMC]), which is estimated to have 62.3Mt of resources at an average 0.67% Li. The only other U.S. area with significant historic lithium production is the Harney Peak Granite Batholith in the Black Hills of South Dakota. Western Lithium’s (TSX:WLC) Kings Valley lithium project is located in Humboldt County in Northern Nevada. Lithium pegmatites can also be found in the Pala district of California and in the White Picacho district in Arizona; New Mexico has the Harding and Pidlite deposits. There are also some small pegmatite deposits in Colorado, Wyoming, Utah and New England. One of the first North American brine operations for the recovery of lithium was the Clayton Valley (Silver Peak) brine in Nevada. The production of lithium from Clayton Valley started in 1966 and was originally owned by Foote Mineral Company (acquired by Cyprus Minerals Company in 1988 and then by Chemetall in 1998). Over the years, the brines have been pumped at various depths and at an average concentration level that started at ~650 ppm but has since declined to ~200 ppm. Resources at Clayton Valley are estimated to be about 0.3Mt Li contained. The Searles Lake brines in California produced lithium as a by-product for a number of years; the brines have a low (>100 ppm) lithium concentration. Lithium can also be found in many other salt lakes in the U.S., including the Great Salt Lake, and in some oilfield brines, including the Smackover Formation in the northern Gulf Coast basin. Lithium might also be recovered as a by-product from geothermal power plants, as steam increases the concentration of elements in the waste waters. Simbol Materials LLC is considering extracting lithium from its Salton Sea geothermal project in California. 4 www.epccm.ca
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    August 2013 Lithium IndustryReport Canada The Tanco deposit in the Bernic Lake area of Manitoba, Canada, is a source of lithium, tantalum and cesium; lithium resources in the area have been estimated at 22.3Mt with an average of 0.64% Li. Other important lithium pegmatites are found in Quebec. The Pressiac-Lamotte pegmatite is enriched in beryllium and lithium, the largest of which is the Quebec Lithium deposit with reserves of 17.1Mt averaging 0.44% Li; the project has been developed by Canada Lithium Corp. (TSX:CLQ) and is currently in commissioning. In James Bay in Northern Quebec, Nemaska Lithium (TSXV:NMX) is developing the Whabouchi deposit with an estimated resource of 29.5Mt averaging 0.71% Li. Critical Elements (TSXV:CRE) is developing the Rose lithium-tantalum project located in the southern part of the Middle and Lower Eastmain Greenstone Belt; project resources have been estimated at 26.5Mt with a 0.44% Li grade, excluding inferred resources. Galaxy Resources Ltd.’s (ASX:GXY) James Bay deposit has an estimated 22.2Mt of resources at 0.59% Li. Glen Eagle Resources (TSXV:GER) owns the Authier pegmatite deposit with 8.0Mt of resources at 0.46% Li. Perilya Ltd.’s (ASX:PEM) Moblan West deposit is estimated to have 14.25Mt at 0.65% Li. Elsewhere in Canada, the FI, Thor, Violet, Nama Creek and Lac la Croix deposits have an estimated combined in-situ resources of ~0.6Mt Li. In Ontario, Houston Lake Mining (TSXV:HLM) is exploring the Pakeagama Lake pegmatite, which was found to contain highly anomalous lithium, tantalum and cesium concentrations. Avalon Rare Metals (TSX:AVL) is developing the Separation Rapids deposit (near Kenora), which hosts a large rare metal pegmatite deposit; reserves have been estimated at 7.8Mt grading 0.65% Li. Lithium is also found in some oilfield brines, including the Beaverhill Lake Formation (Leduc Aquifer) in Alberta. Brazil Lithium-bearing pegmatites have been found in Araçuaí, São João del Rei and the Governador Valadores districts of Minas Gerais, in Brazil. The Araçuaí district contains more than 300 pegmatite deposits, including the Itinga field, which hosts the lithium-bearing pegmatites at the Cachoeira mine. Lithium-bearing pegmatites are also present in large areas of Rio Grande do Norte and Ceara states in Northeastern Brazil. Australia The Greenbushes pegmatite, operated by Talison Lithium (acquired by Tianqi Group [CH:002466]), is in the southwest region of Australia and is the country’s largest lithium deposit. Greenbushes has been mined for tantalum and lithium. The mineable pegmatite zone extends about 2 kilometres in length and total mineral resources have been estimated at 120.6Mt with an average grade of 1.3% Li. Other lithium pegmatite deposits include the Mount Cattlin deposit (Galaxy Resources), 200 kilometres east of Greenbushes, with estimated lithium resources of 17.2Mt at 0.49% Li; and the Mount Marion lithium project, which is located ~40 kilometres southwest of Kalgoorlie in Western Australia (jointly owned by Reed Resources [ASX:RDR] and Mineral Resources Ltd. [ASX:MIN]). Africa Zimbabwe The Bikita pegmatite in Zimbabwe (owned by Bikita Minerals Inc.) was originally exploited for its tantalum, tin, beryllium and cesium minerals, and is currently producing lithium. The mine has been in operation for over 60 years. The original resource was estimated at 10.8Mt averaging 1.4% Li. Also in Zimbabwe, the 20-kilometre long Kamativi belt hosts tourmaline pegmatites and pegmatites rich in tin and lithium. Other lithium-bearing pegmatites are present in the Benson region near Mtoko. Namibia A number a pegmatite deposits in the Karibib district of Namibia, including Rubicon and Helikon, have been mined for lithium, as well as beryllium, tantalum and cesium. Estimated resources in the district are about 1.1Mt averaging 1.4% Li. www.epccm.ca 5
  • 7.
    August 2013 Lithium IndustryReport Democratic Republic of the Congo The renowned rare metals-rich Katanga province in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC), hosts the Manono-Kitolo pegmatite system, which consists of two complex pegmatite zones with lithium. Resource estimates in the area are 120.0Mt averaging 0.6%Li. Mozambique In Mozambique, the Alto Ligonha pegmatite belt has been extensively explored for tantalum and more recently for lithium. Historical drilling work has yielded grades of 1.23% Li. Europe The most recent lithium production in Europe has come from the Fregeneda-Almendra region in Portugal near the Spanish border. The Ullava-Länttä pegmatite system in Finland has been shown to comprise 32 separate pegmatite bodies 450 metres long and 40 metres wide, with a preliminary resource of 2.95Mt, an averaging 0.43% Li. Other sources of lithium are the jadarite-rich deposits with large boron resources found in the Balkans region of Serbia and Bosnia. Companies exploring for boron and lithium in the area include Ultra Lithium (TSXV:ULI) and Pan Global (TSXV:PGZ). Rio Tinto’s (NYSE:RIO) Jadar deposit has an estimated resource of ~125.3Mt averaging 0.84% Li and 12.9% boron trioxide (B2O3). Commonwealth of Independent States The Altai–Sayan belt in Russia contains several large lithium-bearing pegmatite deposits. Lithium resources are found at Goltzovoe, an area rich in a variety of rare metals, including tantalum, with an estimated average grade of 0.37% Li. The Vishnyakovskoe deposit has been found to have a resource estimate of 42Mt averaging 0.49% Li. The Tastyq deposit consists of a group of spodumene-bearing pegmatites, 1-kilometre long and 20-metres thick, with an estimated average grade of 1.86% Li. Other lithium-bearing pegmatite deposits in Russia include the Belovechenskoye, Urikskoe and Zavitskoye deposits. Lithium is also present in tin- and tantalum-enriched, lepidolite-bearing peraluminous granite bodies at Orloskoe (Orlovka), Etykinskoe (Etyka) and Alakha. The Ukraine hosts pegmatites, including the spodumene-bearing deposits at Galetsky, Zaritsky and Knyazev. China The largest reported lithium-bearing pegmatite in China is Jiajika in the eastern part of the Tibet plateau. The spodumene-bearing pegmatite is reported to contain lithium reserves of 0.48Mt. Another pegmatite in the area, Barkam, is reported to contain 0.22Mt. The Altai pegmatite field in Northwestern China extends for about 150 kilometres in a northwest–southeast direction and contains thousands of pegmatites, some of which are reported to have outcrop lengths as high as ~0.7 kilometres. The producing site with the largest pegmatite is the Koktokay No. 3 pegmatite, which has an oblate outcrop measuring about 120 x 220 metres. The Nanping district in Southeastern China contains at least 500 pegmatite bodies, which have been mined for tin, lithium, cesium, beryllium and tantalum. Lithium-bearing brines in China are found in the Qinghai–Tibet plateau. Lithium is produced from two areas along the QuighaiTibet plateau: a zone of magnesium-sulphate lakes in the Quidan Basin in the northern part of the plateau, which covers a 100,000-square-kilometre area and contains 30 brines; and a zone of carbonate-rich brines in the southwestern part of the plateau in Tibet, which is highly favourable for lithium production because of its very low magnesium concentrations. In the Qaidam Basin in China, lithium is produced from both the East Taijnar and West Taijnar brines; other lithium-bearing brines in Qaidam basin are Yiliping in the northern part of the basin and in the Qarhan (Chaerhan) region to the east. Lithium-contained resources in the Qaidam brines have been estimated at 3.3Mt. 6 www.epccm.ca
  • 8.
    August 2013 Lithium IndustryReport Also in Tibet, the Zabuye brine, from which the lithium carbonate mineral zabuleyite (Li2CO3) is named after, is considered the most significant lithium-bearing carbonate-type saline lake. Lithium content as high as 1,500 ppm and contained reserves of about 0.2–1.5Mt have been reported for Zabuye. Another lithium-bearing deposit in the region is in the Dangxiongcuo (Damxung, DXC) brine. According to the Sterling Group Ventures, which evaluated commercial production in the area, the Damxung deposit has an average depth of 7.6 metres and average lithium concentration of 430 ppm. The Tibetan brines of Dong, Cam and Nyer to the north of Zabuye and Damxung also have elevated levels of lithium but contain higher concentrations of magnesium. South America Lithium-bearing lacustrine evaporite basins, or salares, in South America are mostly found in the Puna Plateau, a ~400,000 squarekilometre area that includes the producing salares of Atacama in Northern Chile and the Hombre Muerto in Northwestern Argentina (Figure 7). The plateau extends to the west into Bolivia. Chile The Salar de Atacama in Chile is currently the world’s largest lithium-producing brine and is located in the Antofagasta region (Figure 8). The Salar de Atacama has a surface area of about 3,000 square kilometres and a contained resource estimate of 6.8Mt Li. In 1982, Foote Mineral (now Chemetall) and CORFO formed a joint venture, Sociedad Chilena del Litio (SCL), to produce lithium and potash from the Salar de Atacama. Chemetall later acquired SCL outright. The only other company operating at Atacama is SQM, which used to purchase potash from Chemetall but in the 1990s started its own production at Salar de Atacama by acquiring an interest in the only other lithium potash corporation in the area. As potash has been SQM’s main product, it stockpiled lithium salts at first, but later decided to enter the market by selling the lithium at close to cost. This strategy forced the higher cost producers out of the market, which was then dominated by hard-rock producers. It seems that SQM and Chemetall hold exclusive exploitation rights in the Atacama brine. It should be noted that there is also a region called Atacama, which is immediately south of Antofagasta region. The Atacama region also has a number of brines, the Salar of Maricunga, for instance, is being explored by Li3 Energy Inc. (OTCQB:LIEG), and the Salares de Piedra parada, Grande, Aguilar, Agua Amarga and La Isla are being explored by Talison Lithium. The geothermal area of the El Tatio may also contain good lithium concentrations. 0.18% 0.16% Salar de Atacama (RCK), 0.140% 0.14% Grade (% Li) 0.12% 0.10% 0.08% 0.06% Salar de Diablillos (RM), 0.056% 0.04% Salar de Hombre Muerto (FMC), 0.052% 0.02% Salar de Atacama (SQM), 0.140% Salar de Olaroz (ORE), 0.069% Cauchari-Olaroz (LAC), 0.067% 0.00% 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 LCE Resources / Reserves (Mt) Figure 7: Location of Puna Plateau Brines; Source: Modified from Ericksen and Salar (1987), Geological Survey Open File Rep.88-210, 51 Figure 8: LCE Resources and Li Grades of Selected South American Brines; Source: Euro Pacific Canada www.epccm.ca 7
  • 9.
    August 2013 Lithium IndustryReport Argentina The Salar de Hombre Muerto in Northwestern Argentina, operated by FMC, is the only lithium-producing brine in the country and the only other South American-producing brine other than the Salar de Atacama. The producing area of the Salar de Hombre Muerto is shallow and grades have been found to vary from 220 to 1,000 ppm Li, with an average of 520 ppm and low magnesium grades. North of the brine Hombre Muerto, Orocobre (ASX:ORE) is developing the relatively smaller Salar de Olaroz, currently in the construction phase. Orocobre estimates total resources for the Salar of Olaroz at 1.21Mt of Li. Lithium Americas (TSX:LAC) is exploring the eastern part of the Salar de Olaroz. Both Orocobre and Lithium Americas also have exploration rights at the Salar de Cauchari, which is immediately south of Olaroz. Lithium America’s contained lithium reserves at Cauchari are estimate at 0.51Mt Li at an average of 655 ppm, and contained lithium resources of ~2.2Mt; the company reported grades of 630 ppm for the measured resources and 570 ppm for the indicated resources. The Salar de Rincon, with a small surface area of ~250 square-kilometers, is being explored by Sentient Group. It has been reported that Rincon contains brines with relatively lower lithium content and higher magnesium:lithium ratios. Rodinia Lithium’s (TSXV:RM) main project is at the Salar de Diablillos, where it defined an estimated contained inferred brine resource of ~530,000 tonnes of lithium metal. Rodinia and other companies also have exploration rights in a number of brines in Northwestern Argentina, including the Salar de Salinas Grandes, Salar de Ratones and Salar de Centenario, to name a few. Bolivia The Salar de Uyuni in Bolivia is potentially the largest undeveloped lithium brine in the world. Lithium concentrations vary, with high concentration areas of more than 1,000 ppm, but it has also been reported to have a high magnesium:lithium ratio, which is not good when using conventional processing methods. Resource estimates for Salar of Uyuni include contained resources of 10.2Mt but higher estimates have also been reported. Given its resource potential, Uyuni has attracted significant attention. Bolivia’s state-owned mining corporation Comibol and a South Korean consortium, which includes POSCO (NYSE:PKS; KRX:005490) and Korea Resources Corp. (KORES), have formed a joint venture for the development of the Salar de Uyuni. Most of the brine deposits are located in South America and China. Hard-Rock deposits are found in all five continents (Figure 9). Figure 10 shows the locations of some of the main lithium deposits and occurrences in the world. 9.0 Contained Resources (Million Tonnes) 8.0 7.0 6.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 Figure 9: Contained Resources of Selected Pegmatite Deposits; Source: Euro Pacific Canada 8 www.epccm.ca
  • 10.
    www.epccm.ca 29. 22. 23.‐ 28. 21. 9.‐ 10. 31. 30. 11.‐13. 33. 57. 55. 35. 58. 27. Salar de Diablillos, Argentina Salar de Diablillos, Argentina 56. 34. 22. Salar de Atacama, Chile 26. Mariana Lithium, Argentina 13. James Bay, Quebec 39. Tastyq, Russia 38. Vishnyakovskoe, Russia  37. Altai, China 36. Alakha, Russia 35. Jadar, Serbia 34. Koralpa, Austria 31. Araçuai (Cachoeira), Brazil  Figure 10: Location of Major Lithium Deposits; Source: Euro Pacific Canada 24. Salar de Olaroz, Argentina 25. Salar de Hombre Muerto, Argentina 11. Whabouchi, Quebec 12. Rose ,Quebec  23. Salar de Cauchari, Argentina 10. Authier, Quebec  9. Quebec Lithium, Quebec 33. Fregeneda‐Almendra, Portugal 20. Sonora, Mexico 21. Salar de Uyuni, Bolivia 7. Pakaegama, Ontario 19. Kings Mountain, N. Carolina 8. Nama Creek, Ontario  32. Ullava Länttä, Finland  18. Hallman‐Beam (Bessemer), N. Carolina 6. Separation Rapids, Ontario 30. São João del Rei, Brazil 5. Tanco, Manitoba 29. Maricunga, Chile 16. Brawley (Salton Sea), California 17. Smackover, Texas 3. Thor, NWT  15. Silver Peak (Clayton Valley), Nevada  2. Beaverhill, Alberta 4. Violet, Manitoba  28. Sal de Vida, Argentina 14. Kings Valley, Nevada Kings Valley, Nevada 18.‐ 19. 4. 7. 8. 5. 6. 32. 1. Fox Creek, Alberta Fox Creek, Alberta Major Deposits Sedimentary Rock Hectorite Clay  Pegmatite Brine 2. 16. 17. 20. 14. `15. 1. 3. World Lithium Resources (deposits greater than 100,000 tonnes Li) 38. 42. 43. 47. 52. Nanping, China 51. Barkam, China 50. Gajika, China 49. Maerkang, China 48. Jiajika, China  47. Taijnar, China  46. Damxung, China  45. Dangxiongcuo, China 44. Zabuye, China 43. Zavitskoye, Russia 42. Goltsovoe, Russia 41. Urikskoe, Russia 63. Mount Cattlin, Western Australia 62. Mount Marion, Western Australia 61. East Kirup, Western Australia 60. Greenbushes, Western Australia 59. Pilgangoora, Western Australia 58. Bikita, Zimbabwe  57. Kamativi, Zimbabwe  56. Karibib, Namibia  55. Manono–Kitolo, DR Congo  54. Daoxian, China 53. Yichun, China Yichun, China 63. 62. 59. 60.‐ 61. 49. 40. Ulug‐Tanzek, Russia Ulug Tanzek, Russia . 49. ` 53. 54. 50. 51. 52. 48. 39.‐ 41. 44. 45. 46 37. 36. August 2013 Lithium Industry Report 9
  • 11.
    August 2013 Lithium IndustryReport Lithium Global Reserve Life Analysis Global estimates suggest there is more than 30Mt of lithium resources, however it is important to note that most deposits are not economically viable. For instance, some of the deposits (brines and hard-rock) may have high levels of impurities that make processing very costly, while others are in isolated parts of the world and would require high infrastructure expenditures, deeming them uneconomic. In the case of brines, the weather in some regions is not appropriate for the solar evaporation process. There are also many other factors, thus it is necessary to spend a significant amount of time and resources to determine the feasibility of these projects before considering them as available resources. According to the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) estimates, global lithium reserves are ~13Mt (Figure 11). These estimates exclude lithium occurrences and resources than have not been proven economic. Reserves 38,000 50,000 1,000,000 46,000 7,500,000 3,500,000 10,000 23,000 80,000 13,047,000 Figure 11: Global Lithium Reserves; Source: USGS (2011), Euro Pacific Canada 85 Sales of New Vehicles, Millions Country United States Argentina Australia Brazil Chile China Portugal Zimbabwe Canada Total 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Figure 12: Annual Sales of New Vehicles; Source: International Organization of Motor Vehicles Manufacturers Based on this reserve estimate, if we were to fully adopt electric vehicles starting next year, how many years of lithium supplies would we have? Car sales have increased in the last few years, and as China and other emerging markets continue to develop, sales are likely to increase. Last year, new vehicles sales totalled 82M (Figure 12). The amount of lithium in batteries depends on different factors, including vehicle range and type (i.e., hybrid electric vehicles [HEVs], plug-in hybrid electric vehicles [PHEVs] or “pure” electric vehicles [EVs]). Electric vehicles use more lithium per battery as they lack a conventional combustion engine, and a low-range electric vehicle may use ~5 kilograms of lithium; in contrast, an HEV may use >0.5 kilograms of lithium. If we were to adopt pure electric vehicles with an average of 5 kilograms Li/vehicle, and sell 82M vehicles each year going forward, we estimate there is only 30 years of reserve life, assuming 100% recoveries and no growth in current lithium demand in other applications/ sectors (Figure 13). However, given that processing recovering rates for the production of battery-grade lithium are on average 50% using conventional methods, the likely reserve life would be closer to 15 years. If we were to adopt a combination of vehicle types and consume an average of 2 kg Li/vehicle this 10 Annual Car Sales Avg. Li / Car (kg) Lithium Required for Cars (tonnes) Other Li Consumption (Excl. Cars) Total Li Consumption Lithium Reserves Years 82,000,000 0.5 82,000,000 1.0 82,000,000 2.0 82,000,000 5.0 41,000 82,000 164,000 410,000 28,659 28,659 28,659 28,659 69,659 13,047,000 187 110,659 13,047,000 118 192,659 13,047,000 68 438,659 13,047,000 30 Figure 13: Simplified Analysis of Lithium Reserve Life; Source: Euro Pacific Canada www.epccm.ca
  • 12.
    August 2013 Lithium IndustryReport would yield a 35-year reserve life, adjusted to recovery rates. Our analysis is an extreme case as the 100% adoption of electric vehicles in 2014 is not realistic, but it gives us an idea of the reserves required in the future if lithium is to become our energy storage medium of choice. The solution to adding more lithium reserves is to continue to invest in and develop lithium projects around the world. The largest producers of lithium in South America (brine producers) may have the ability to expand reserves and production but a diversified and reliable supply of lithium will have to include lithium from different regions of the world and sources (i.e., hard rock, geothermal and clay). LITHIUM PROCESSES AND COMPOUNDS Brine Processing Brine Concentration The lithium concentration in the brines is usually measured in parts per million (ppm), milligrams per litre (mg/L) and weight percentage. The recovery process usually involves solar evaporation of the brine in ponds (Figure 14). The brine evaporation is a necessary step because of the dilutive concentration of the lithium in the brines (0.010–0.125% in brines, compared to 0.2–1.5% in pegmatites). Direct chemical processing of the brines without pre-concentration could be extremely expensive. Solar evaporation is a relatively inexpensive operation that allows the lithium to concentrate into more economic grades for later processing at chemical plants. The main brines in the world for the production of lithium are Clayton Valley in the United States, the Atacama desert brine in Chile and the Figure 14: Evaporation Pond; Source: lithiummine.com Hombre Muerto brine in Argentina. The Clayton Valley brine operations started in 1966 and were one of the first lithium operations from brines. Example of Brine Salt Crystallization Sequence From the late 1970s to the mid-1980s, Corporation de Fomento de la Production (CORFO, a Chilean government-owned firm) and Saline Processors (a U.S. company) conducted extensive tests at Salar de Atacama to estimate its brine resources and economic development potential. During the testwork, they observed the following sequence of salt crystallization in the ponds: 1. halite (or salt, NaCl); 2. halite and sylvite (or potassium chloride in mineral form); 3. halite, sylvite and potassium lithium sulphate (LiKSO4); 4. halite and kainite (a mineral salt that consists of potassium chloride and magnesium sulphate) and lithium sulphate (Li2SO4); 5. halite, carnallite (a potassium magnesium chloride salt, KMgCl3•6[H2O]) and lithium sulphate; 6. mostly bischoffite (a hydrous magnesium chloride mineral, MgCl2•6H2O); and 7. bischoffite and lithium carnallite (or lithium magnesium chloride heptahydrate, LiCl•MgCl2•7H2O). Carnallite is usually the last mineral to form, which is the case in Clayton Valley; however, given the low humidity levels and weather characteristics at the Salar de Atacama, bischoffite is allowed to form at commercial scale. Bischoffite formation means that a significant amount of magnesium could be removed from the brine during solar evaporation. www.epccm.ca 11
  • 13.
    August 2013 Lithium IndustryReport Example Brine Evaporation Process Given the sequence of salt formations described above, one possible pond design is the one presented in Figure 15. The process sequence is as follows: 1. Halite crystalizes first. The harvested salt is stockpiled or used to reinforce the walls of the solar ponds. 2. In the following ponds, potassium crystallizes as sylvinite, which is harvested and taken to the potash plant. At the plant, sylvinite is crushed and ground (to about ~6 millimetres), and the potassium chloride is then separated from the mixture in froth floatation cells. The potash product is then thickened, centrifuged and washed to produce a moist ~95% KCl product. The brine leaving the sylvinite ponds can contain as much as 1% Li, which is returned to the lithium ponds. 3. The brine from the sylvinite ponds next goes to carnallite ponds, which is harvested to produce coarse potash. 4. Next, the brine can be mixed with calcium chloride and end-liquor from the processing plant to precipitate gypsum and some of the boron. The remaining boron in the final brine is later removed by solvent extraction at a chemical plant. 5. In the following ponds, magnesium crystallizes as bischofite, which is harvested to remove most of the magnesium. As the evaporation proceeds, bischoffite and lithium carnallite eventually crystallize together. To improve lithium recoveries, the mixed salts could be leached to dissolve the lithium and accumulate bischoffite. Alternatively, bischofite can be sold for road paving applications. 6. At Salar de Atacama, the final brine in the lithium ponds is concentrated to 4–6% Li, with levels of up to 1.8% Mg and 0.8% boron (B), depending on the original lithium, magnesium and boron concentrate in the brine that is pumped from the deposit and respective recovery rates. Economic brine concentration by solar evaporation can take 18–24 months, after which additional processing is required in order to obtain the final products (e.g., lithium carbonate and potash) (See the following section, Brine — Chemical Plant Processing). The process sequence described here is a hypothetical process and may not represent an actual process and may not be in the correct order for any specific brine. Brines processing flowsheets, including the ponds and chemical plant process design, vary with the characteristics of the brine in consideration. Brine Fluid Flow For instance, at Clayton Valley, the magnesium levels are much lower than those Halite Ponds found at Atacama, but the humidity level Sylvite Ponds Carnallite Ponds Carbonate Precipitation Ponds Borate Ponds Lithium Concentration Ponds may not be low enough to favour bischofite formation, thus part of the magnesium maybe removed at the beginning of the Brine Well process by adding slake lime. FMC’s brine Lithium Plant operations at Hombre Muerto in Argentration so the brine is first conditioned to an appropriate pH and temperature then is treated using its proprietary process Solids Flow tina also have a low magnesium concenSalt NaCl (Salt) KCl B KCl KCl (Potash) Plant Mg + Ca Carbonates, Chlorides Borate Plant based on selective lithium adsorption onto is further concentrated and purified. FMC Na2SO4 (Sodium Sulfate) K2SO4 (Potassium Sulphate) KCl (Potash) Borates Boric Acid Figure 15: Hypothetical Brine Flowsheet; Source: Modified from mining.com brine concentration costs were initially es- 12 Lithium Carbonate Lithium Chloride alumina. Only afterward is the brine sent to the solar evaporation ponds where it Lithium Hydroxide www.epccm.ca
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    August 2013 Lithium IndustryReport timated to be 20% cheaper than the simple solar evaporation approach. Early operations (1930s) at Searles Lake potash-lithium in California originally consisted of brine evaporation by means of triple-effect evaporators; the salts were removed by hydraulic classification and fro-floatation. Brine – Chemical Plant Processing After the solar evaporation, the concentrated brine is first pre-treated (Figure 16). The brine pH is lowered to about 2 and then boron is removed by means of a solvent extraction circuit. Lime is then added to the concentrated brine to precipitate the remaining residual impurities (e.g., magnesium, sulphate and borate). To remove most of the calcium from the lime reactions, a small amount of soda ash is added at this stage. The precipitate is settled then filtered and the overflow brine solution is clarified then heated at about ~90°C and reacted with dry soda ash, hot wash and make-up waters to precipitate the lithium carbonate product. Extra water is usually added to prevent salt crystallization; hence after washing the lithium, carbonate slurry is thickened in a bank of cyclones. As ~50% of the lithium is not recovered, the cyclone overflow is returned to the ponds, and the cyclone underflow with the lithium product is sent to a vacuum belt where it is washed and dewatered. This process usually produces a 99.0% pure lithium carbonate “commercial” grade product, with the main impurities being boron, sulphate, sodium, potassium, and trace amounts of calcium and magnesium. At this grade, the product is usually appropriate for ceramic applications but is not suitable for metal production, batteries (+99.9%), etc. In order to achieve higher-purity levels, the carbonate product has to be further processed. With the demand for higher-quality product, brine processors have been forced to improve the quality of the lithium compounds. Figure 16: Brine Processing Flowsheet; Source: Modified from Outotec www.epccm.ca 13
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    August 2013 Lithium IndustryReport Assessing Brine Deposits There a number of brines in the world; however, only a fraction of them have been economically exploited for the recovery of lithium and related materials (e.g., potassium). Some of the most important points to consider when valuing brine projects include: • • Lithium grade: The higher the grade the better. Solar evaporation of brines can yield a final brine with 0.50–6% Li, depending on the initial concentration. Evaporation rate: The rate of evaporation depends on the solar radiation (direct sunlight on the brines), the humidity level, wind and temperature. Evaporation rates in the lab may not be reproduced in the field. If the weather • conditions are not appropriate the evaporation cycle could take several years deeming the project uneconomic. Co or by-products: Boron and potassium products can be recovered from the brines and refined. The sale of these products can make brine operations more economic. Market conditions of these products are also impor- • tant for project economics. Magnesium and sulphate concentration: The magnesium-to-lithium ratio and sulphate-to-lithium ratio are important parameters in the economic assessment of a brine project. High magnesium levels in the brine means that a large amount of lithium may be trapped in the magnesium salts during the initial stages of the evaporation process, reducing recovery rates. Also, a high magnesium-to-lithium ratio means that more soda ash reagent would be required during the chemical processing of the brine, adding to raw material costs. The lower the sulphate (SO4)-to-lithium ratio in the final lithium brine pond the better. Lithium sulphate (Li2SO4) is highly soluble, • thus a high concentration of sulphate would lead to lower lithium recoveries. Amenability to local production: Brines located in remote areas away from infrastructure would require larger initial capex, or higher transportation costs if the hydrometallurgical plant has to be positioned hundreds of kilometres away. Proper design and maintenance of the ponds is also important for the economics of a brine project (Figure 17). The most important aspect of the pond construction is for it to be leak-free. Also important is pond design efficiency, usually the more ponds the better, as multiple ponds allow for each of the salts in the brine to crystallize in separate ponds, improving evaporation Figure 17: Lining a Pond; Source: Orocobre rates and ultimately the recovery of lithium. Hard-Rock Processing Most of the hard-rock lithium processing is from pegmatite-ore bodies. In simple terms, the recovery process consists of concentration by froth floatation, followed by hydrometallurgy and precipitation from an aqueous solution. Ore Concentration The pegmatite ore is first crushed and ground to a fine size (e.g. -0.3 millimetres) and cleared with, for example, sodium sulphate, then conditioned with a collector (e.g., oleic acid). After conditioning, the ore is concentrated though floatation. In some less-sophisticated operations, the ore may be concentrated by hand sorting. The flowsheet for the spodumene concentration process is presented in Figure 18. Chemical Plant Processing The hydrometallurgical process could follow an acid or alkaline route. In the acid route, spodumene is first roasted to convert the alpha spodumene mineral into an acid amenable beta spodumene (Figure 19). The material is then ground to a finer gran- 14 www.epccm.ca
  • 16.
    August 2013 Lithium IndustryReport ule size, mixed with sulphuric acid then heated to convert the lithium to soluble lithium sulphate. The mixture is then water- Ore leached to dissolve the lithium. The lithium-enriched solution undergoes a number of impurity steps to remove iron, magne- Comminution sium, calcium and aluminum. The lithium is then precipitated with sodium carbonate. Cleaning Conditioning In the alkaline route, the spodumene ore is first heated with limestone, which converts the lithium silicates to lithium aluminates. Rougher Floatation The material is then leached to convert the lithium aluminates into soluble lithium hydroxide, while the calcium forms an insoluble calcium aluminate product. The soluble lithium hydroxide Cleaner Floatation Cl Fl t ti Tailings T ili is passed through evaporators to precipitate lithium hydroxide Concentrated Ore monohydrate. The lepidolite ore has also been treated using the alkaline process. Detailed flowsheet examples of spodumene processing for Final Tailing Figure 18: Pegmatite Ore Concentration; Source: Modified from Energy Vol.3. pp305-313 W. Werill and D. Olson the production of lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide can be found in our Nemaska Lithium and Canada Lithium initiation reports, dated August 13, 2013. Figure 19: Spodumene Processing Flowsheet; Source: Modified from Outotec www.epccm.ca 15
  • 17.
    August 2013 Lithium IndustryReport Assessing Hard-Rock Deposits There are numerous hard-rock lithium deposits; some of the points to consider when accessing the economic viability of these deposits include: • Lithium-Grade and tonnage: The tonnage and grade (or concentration) of an ore mineral has a direct impact on production costs. Higher grades generally mean a higher percentage of elements can be extracted, which normally translates • into lower unit costs and better margins. High tonnage and grades usually favour the success of feasibility studies. Grade of co or by-products: Tantalum, beryllium, caesium rare earths are some of the elements that can be recovered from lithium ore deposits such as LCT pegmatites. The sale of these products could make the operations more econom- • ic. However, the mineral composition of the deposit needs to be favourable to the economic recovery of these products. Impurities: High concentration of impurities (e.g., iron) in lithium ore minerals may limit application in the glass and ceramics industry and increase processing costs. Radioactive impurities, if present, could also lead to longer permitting • times and higher tailings management and disposal costs. Location: Projects in remote locations with limited or no infrastructure generally require more funding. Companies with vast infrastructure needs also tend to be further away from production, as they not only have to raise the funds that could be delayed by poor market conditions but if the project site is in a remote location and difficult to access would also likely limit the speed of the construction process. Other Processes In addition to the commonly used processes described for brines and spodumene, other processes have been developed in the past; for example, the Limestone Leach Process was commercially used by Foote (now Chemetall/Rockwood), American Potash and other companies. The process consisted of an initial roast that included mixing the ore with limestone and then water leaching or a roasting followed by leaching with lime. There has been extensive research and a number of patents related to processing of the Separation Rapids’ Big Whopper Petalite ore in Canada, now owned by Avalon Rare Earths. One of the patents reported the production of 4% Li2O petalite concentrate, and the separation of a number of products, including spodumene and tantalum concentrate. Clay Processing Laboratory tests have shown that it is possible to recover up to 80% lithium from moderately Lithium Clay Limestone Recycle Solution high- Na2CO3 grade lithium clay deposits with Feed Preparation a simple sulphuric acid leach, Pelletized Feed but most advanced studies have Some of the simplest tests includ- Leach Water lowed by a hydrochloric acid leach, which yielded a 70% recovery rate. Other tests included five parts of clay, three parts of gypsum and three parts of limestone roasted at 950°C, followed by water-leach- Evaporator Calcine ed a 750°C roast with two parts of clay for one part of limestone, fol- Crystallizer Li2CO3 Precipitation Roast shown an increased complexity. 16 Gypsum Wash Water Slurry Slurry K2SO4 Na2SO4•10H2O Water Slurry Filter Leach Solution Filter CaCO3 Residue Concentrated  Solution Filter Product Filtrate Wash Water Li2CO3 Figure 20: Lithium Carbonate from Clay Process Flowsheet; Source: Handbook of Lithium and Natural Calcium Chloride (2004) www.epccm.ca
  • 18.
    August 2013 Lithium IndustryReport ing, which resulted in 80% of lithium being recovered as lithium sulphate. An example of a detailed flowsheet for the recovery of lithium from clay is presented in Figure 20. To our knowledge, lithium has never been recovered from clay on a commercial scale. APPLICATIONS Glass Lithium minerals, most often spodumene, are used for the production of a number of glass products, such as containers, bottles, fiberglass, flaconnage, internally nucleated glass ceramics, glass for pharmaceutical applications, photochromic glass, soda lime glass, thermal (cool or hot) shock-resistant cookware and sealed-beam headlights. The lithium reduces the viscosity and melting temperature of the glass. A lower melting temperature means less energy consumption. It has also been found that lithium increases the life Figure 21: Lithium Glass Ceramic Dental Fixtures; and productivity of the glass furnace, without sacrificing glass quality. Lithium Source: Thayer Dental Laboratory improves the strength of the glass and the thermal shock resistance of finished products. The lithium mineral helps reduce rejection rates and improve the quality of glass by reducing the amount of “bubbles”. Lithium carbonate can also be used in certain applications (e.g., TV tubes). Lithium ore concentrates with high iron content are not suitable for glass production, unless the iron content is appropriately reduced. In fact, some high-grade spodumene ores may also be used without being concentrated as long as the iron content is significantly low. Ceramics Lithium minerals are used in ceramics to produce fritz and glazes, porcelain enamels for bathroom fixtures, shock-resistant ceramics and porcelain tiles. Lithium decreases the melting temperature of ceramics by increasing fluxing power, causing their thermal expansion co-efficient to decrease, thus increasing shock resistance. Lithium also decreases the pyroplastic deformation of ceramic materials improving their glaze adherence, gloss properties and stain resistance. Additionally, lithium is used in applications where improved resistance to sudden temperature changes is required, and in the production of optical glass ceramics and refractories (i.e., brick for furnace linings), where a low co-efficient of expansion is required. Both mineral concentrates and compounds such as lithium carbonate can be used in ceramic applications, but petalite mineral is usually preferred because when it is heated there are limited structure or phase changes. Another highly desirable lithium mineral for ceramic applications is lepidolite, which is the only ore that contains fluorine and rubidium (two good fluxes); however, its availability is limited. Lithium is used in a multitude of ceramic-type applications (Figure 21). Lubricant Grease Most lubricating greases are made of oil and soap, which, when mixed form stable gels called grease. Lithium soaps hold high volumes of oil, have a high resistance to oxidation and hardening and, if liquefied, return to a stable grease consistency once cooled. Lithium greases make excellent lubricants as they adhere particularly well to metal, are highly water soluble and offer consistent properties over a range of temperatures. Most lithium grease uses lithium hydroxide but lithium carbonate can also be used. Lithiumcontaining greases have been in existence since the 1940s and were perhaps the first large-scale commercial application of lithium compounds. Lithium grease is commonly used as lubricant in household Figure 22: products (Figure 22) and in a number of demanding service applications in the automotive, military and Lithium Grease; Source: 3M aerospace industries, and accounts for about 65% of the lubricant market. www.epccm.ca 17
  • 19.
    August 2013 Lithium IndustryReport Metallurgy Lithium compounds are used as brazing and welding fluxes and as welding rod coatings, as they reduce the flux melting temperature and surface tension of steel alloys. Lithium compounds such as lithium carbonate, chloride and fluoride, and lithium metal are used to degasify and clean a number of metals, including aluminum, copper and bronze (improving their electrical conductivity), and also less common metals such as germanium and thorium. Lithium carbonate is used in the aluminum industry, 1.5–4% kilograms of Li2CO3 per tonne of aluminum produced, during metal processing. The Figure 23: Lithium Metal; Source: Google Images lithium lowers the melting temperature of the molten electrolyte and increases the cell’s electrical conductivity, which in turn decreases processing costs, particularly energy costs. Lithium carbonate also reacts with cryolite to form lithium fluoride, which has high electrical conductivity and fluxing properties, and also reduces the consumption of anode carbons. The use of lithium in the aluminum industry has been declining, however, and is most commonly used in older plants. Lithium may also be used to produce an aluminum/lithium alloy improving the mechanical properties of aluminum. For example, it can increase stiffness up to 7% and increase strength up to 30%, while offering weight savings of about 5% relative to non-alloyed aluminum. Lithium can also be alloyed to silicon and a number of metals, including copper, silver and magnesium. Lithium Metal Lithium metal is used in the production of organic chemicals, batteries, alloys and in numerous other applications (Figure 23). For example, it is used in the synthesis of organometallic compounds in medical applications and in the production of polymers and rubbers. It is also used as breeding blanket material and heat transfer medium in nuclear fusion reactors in the nuclear power industry. As well, it is used in some lithium batteries for military and commercial applications and in metallurgy applications as a degasifier in the production of certain high-conductivity metals. Processing Lithium metal is generally produced by the electrolysis of a highly pure molten lithium chloride and potassium chloride mixture. The schematic of the electrolytic cell used to produce lithium metal is presented in Figure 24. The electrolyte (e.g., 45% LiCl/ 55% KCl) solution is usually contained in a large plain-carbon steel box positioned in a refractory-lined fire box. The cathodes are usually vertical steel shafts and the anodes are graphite shafts. Electrolysis is conducted at reported temperatures of 420–500°C, with lithium metal reduction occurring at the steel cathodes (Li+ + e- → Li0) and chlorine oxidation occurring at the graphite anodes. The metal accumulates on the surface of the cell, and is then poured into ingots and cooled at ambient temperatures. Others have devised alternative processes using direct electrolysis of lithium carbonate and spodumene, with alleged material cost processing gains compared to the conventional method. 18 www.epccm.ca Figure 24: Schematic of an Electrolytic Cell for the Production of Lithium Metal; Source: Handbook of Lithium and Natural Calcium Chloride (2004)
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    August 2013 Lithium IndustryReport Air Conditioners Lithium compounds, more specifically lithium bromide and lithium chloride, are used in air conditioners (Figure 25). Both compounds have high hygroscopic capacity (i.e., high water absorbing ability), and thus can reduce the moisture of the air and other gases to very low levels. As water is removed from the air, it cools, offering a refrigeration effect. Lithium-based solutions used in air conditioning applications exhibit low vapor pressure, low viscosity, high stability and non-toxic properties. Lithium bromide and lithium chloride can also be used as desiccants (humidity absorbing material) in dehumidification applications. Figure 25: Lithium Bromide Absorption Refrigerator and Process Schematic; Source: National Climate Data Centre (NCDC NOAA) Energy Storage Lithium is an important element in energy storage. Energy storage technologies fall under the category of non-stationary, as in the case of Li-ion batteries used in electronic devices such as iPads or hybrid vehicles, or stationary, like those used in electric grid applications. Battery Batteries are comprised of electrochemical cells with electrically conductive materials that react to produce electric energy. There are two main classes of bat- Figure 26: Lithium Batteries AAA and Coin Shaped; Source: KyloDee, Wikimedia, Uline teries: primary and secondary. In primary batteries or cells, the electrochemical reaction is usually not reversible and the battery cannot be recharged. These batteries need to be constantly replaced with new ones. Primary batteries include the round alkaline cells used in watches and calculators and non-rechargeable AAA and AA batteries (Figure 26), which are used in TV remote controls, flashlights, etc. Secondary cells or batteries are rechargeable, which means that when a charging current is supplied to the cell the electric energy is transformed into chemical energy that can be stored. The lifespan of secondary batteries is proportional to the number of discharge/charge cycles, and they may last for thousands of Figure 27: Lithium Ion Battery Inside an iPad Device; Source: AppleInsider cycles depending on their chemistry and application. Examples of secondary batteries are lithium-cobalt oxide (LCO) batteries commonly used in consumer applications, such as mobile phones, cameras, electric tools and medical equipment. Demand for secondary batteries has grown exponentially in the last decade, driven by the increasing adoption of portable data storage devices such as smartphones and tablets (Figure 27). www.epccm.ca 19
  • 21.
    August 2013 Lithium IndustryReport The current issues surrounding global warming, peak oil prices and petro-dictatorship have driven policies in many industrialized nations that support the development of low carbon and renewable energy technologies. At the centre of the discussion is the role of the automotive industry and its impact on the environment and resource preservation. Thus, there have been significant efforts to bring back the electric car (Figure 28). Electric cars were first introduced in 1900s and then again in the 1990s with no success. Currently, there are three main types of electric cars: 1) Hy- Figure 28: Location of Battery Pack in a HEV; Source: Audi brid electric vehicles (HEV) with both a conventional internal combustion engine and an electric motor, a start/stop sys- tem and a regenerating braking energy system to charge the battery; in some hybrid models the combustion engine is used to charge the electric motors that drive the vehicles; 2) Plug-in hybrids (PHEV), i.e. hybrid vehicles with a rechargeable battery charged using electricity from the grid; and 3) “pure” electric vehicles (EV) with battery-powered electric propulsion systems whose battery is charged with electricity from the grid. Electric buses, trucks and bicycles are also available. The re-emerging interest in electric cars has driven significant innovation in the battery sector, thus there are a variety of batteries available for electric cars. Toyota is the world’s largest producer of lightweight electric vehicles. Up until now, the company has used nickel-metal hydrate batteries but has started to move toward lithium-ion (Li-ion) batteries because of their high density and durability. Lithium batteries are comprised of a variety of materials and chemistries (Figure 29). The most promising Li-ion batteries for automotive applications include lithium-nickel-cobaltaluminium (NCA), lithium-iron phosphate (LFP), lithium-manganese spinel (LMO) and lithium-nickel-manganese-cobalt (NMC), all with lithium in the cathode and electrolyte, and lithium-titanate (LTO), which also uses lithium in the anode. Other important materials used in Li-ion batteries include nickel, cobalt, aluminium, manganese and titanium. Graphite is often used as an anode in many of Cathode Anode these metals and a ratio of lithium to graphite content 1:4 is not uncommon. NCA LiNi0.8Co0.15Al0.05O2 Graphite Battery Type LFP LMO LiFePO4 LiMn2O4 Graphite Graphite LTO LiMn2O4 Li4Ti5O12 Figure 29: Selected Battery Composition Types; Source: Argonne National Laboratory There are trade-offs with each of the different Li-ion batteries, as shown in Figure 30. Safety is the most important criterion, also relevant are the cost and lifespan (i.e., overall battery age and ability to fully charge over the years). Good performance relates to how different temperatures affect the operation and degradation rate of the battery; specific energy refers to the capacity to store energy per kilogram of weight, which is still a fraction of that of gasoline; and specific power is the power per kilogram that batteries can deliver. Given that lithium iron phosphate appears to offer the best safety, lifespan and cost balance at a reasonable performance, we believe the FLP battery may be more widely adopted. These batteries require higher amounts of lithium than the NCA and LMO-type batteries. As part of our global lithium demand forecast, we have also forecast demand for electric vehicles (see Demand section). 20 www.epccm.ca
  • 22.
    August 2013 Lithium IndustryReport In the U.S. and most industrialized nations, the emergence of electric vehicles has been driven by government policies. The number of hybrid electric vehicle models in the United States has grown despite slow sales post the 2008 recession and all major car makers now have multiple HEV models (Figure 31). We believe that as vehicle prices fall and performance improves, demand is likely to increase. In 2012, more than 360,000 HEVs were sold, a 42% increase over 2011. Figure 30: Main Lithium-ion Battery Technologies Ranking; Source: BCG Volkswagen Jetta Hybrid Toyota Prius C 400 Buick Regal Buick Lacrosse Hyundai Sonata Lexus CT 200h 350 Porsche Cayenne Mercedes S400 Mercedes ML450 Mazda Tribute 300 Honda CR‐Z Ford Lincoln MKZ BMW X6 BMW ActiveHybrid 7 Thousand HEVs 250 Chevrolet Sierra/Silverado Lexus HS 250h Mercury Milan Ford Fusion 200 Dodge Durango Chrysler Aspen Cadillac Escalade Chevy Malibu GMC Yukon 150 y Chevy Tahoe Saturn Aura Lexus LS600hL Saturn Vue 100 Nissan Altima Toyota Camry Lexus GS 450h Mercury Mariner 50 Toyota Highlander Lexus RX400h Honda Accord Ford Escape 0 1999 2000 www.afdc.energy.gov/data/ 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Honda Civic Toyota Prius Honda Insight Figure 31: Sales of HEV in the United States; Source: EERE AFDC www.epccm.ca 21
  • 23.
    August 2013 Lithium IndustryReport Stationary Energy Storage Energy storage technologies for stationary applications, such as grid energy management, are expected to be important tools for the development of future reliable and economic electricity supply. Stationary energy storage is expected to support better integration of renewable energies (e.g., solar and wind) by storing, regulating and managing the flow of energy. Electrochemical stationary energy storage systems include large Li-ion batteries (Figure 32), lead-carbon and lead-acid batteries, electrochemical capacitor batteries, sodium-based batteries and flow batteries (e.g., iron-chromium, and vanadium). Other solutions include kinetic-based energy storage systems such as compressed-air energy storage and high-speed flywheels. In addition, emerging technologies for energy storage include the metal-air batteries in which different metals can be used, including aluminium, zinc and lithium, and liquid metal batteries that use magnesium and antimony-based liquids as electrodes. Currently, the most used method to store energy is pumped-storage hydroelectricity (PSH), where excess generated energy is used to pump water into a reservoir at an elevated level and then released to a lower reservoir through a turbine to generate electricity during periods of high demand. However, no new PSH locations have been identified and new alternatives are desperately needed. Despite their success in mobile applications, Li-ion technologies are not yet the preferred technology in stationary applications where size and weight are not major considerations, but instead cost, charge/discharge time and battery life are more important. Currently, the best alternatives for energy management applications include advanced lead-acid batteries with carbon-enhanced electrodes, vanadium redox batteries (flow-type batteries), sodium-based batteries and emerging compressed air batteries. It should be noted, however, that the broader energy management plan, which includes the vehicle to grid (V2G) concept, involves the use of energy not only from stationary energy storage systems, but also from the batteries of electric vehicles, bringing together stationary and non-stationary energy storage sources to achieve a balanced distribution and optimal utilization of energy. Thus, as the global energy management plan advances, lithium is likely to have a critical role. Other Applications Figure 32: Li-ion Energy Storage System; Source: Saft Lithium is also an important ingredient in many organic compounds, where lithium is usually bonded to carbon atoms, forming liquids or low melting point solids. These compounds are soluble in hydrocarbon and polar organic solvents but are highly reactive with oxygen and some may ignite spontaneously when in contact with air. An important organic lithium is butyl, which is used in the production of polymers and elastomers. Some lithium organics have applications in pharmaceuticals; for instance, in the preparation of vitamin A, steroids, tranquilizers, etc. In medicine, lithium carbonate or lithium acetate has been used in the treatment of manic depression. Lithium is also used as an additive for quick-setting of cement and floor tiles, in dyes and pigments to increase brilliance, and many other applications spanning numerous industries. Lithium compounds are also used in agriculture. In summary, Figures 33 and 34 show the lithium products output flow from a brine and hard-rock rock operation, and likely uses as described above. Most of the lithium compounds are derived from lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide. 22 www.epccm.ca
  • 24.
    August 2013 Lithium IndustryReport Batteries Ceramics Polymers Alloys Brine Li‐Carbonate Concentrated Brine Li‐Hydroxide Batteries Lubricants Lithium Ore Glass Li Mineral  Concentrate Batteries Lubricants Li‐Hydroxide Batteries Ceramics Polymers Alloys Li‐Carbonate Li‐Bromide Air Conditioning Li‐Bromide Li‐Chloride Air Conditioning Li‐Metal Butyllithium Li‐Chloride Batteries Pharmaceuticals Chemicals Alloys Polymers Pharmaceuticals Figure 33: Brine Processing Compounds and Derivatives, and Major End-Use Applications; Source: Euro Pacific Canada Li‐Metal Batteries Pharmaceuticals Chemicals Alloys Butyllithium Polymers Pharmaceuticals Figure 34: Lithium Ore Processing Compounds and Derivatives, and Major End-Use Applications Source: Euro Pacific Canada RECYCLING Currently, most lithium products are not recycled. In the case of lithium used in lubricants, the lithium is dispersed in the environment. However, there has been an increasing focus on lithium recycling due to the high adoption of lithium batteries, and a number of countries in Europe, North America and Asia have funded recycling programs. There are a number of companies with battery recycling capabilities, such as Toxco Inc., which has been recycling batteries in Canada for over 30 years and in 2010 received funding from the U.S. Department of Energy to build the first Li-ion battery recycling plant in the U.S. In Belgium, Umicore opened a battery recycling facility with the capability of recycling Li-ion and lithium polymer batteries. In Germany, the Ministry for the Environment, Natural Conservation and Natural Safety awarded funds to Rockwood Lithium as part of a consortium called LithoRec, which is co-ordinated by Automotive Research Centre Niedersachsen and includes companies such as Volkswagen AG and Audi AG to build a recycling facility. Lithium slags are usually the by-product of battery recycling plants although the technology exists, it is usually not economic to refine lithium into commercial products due to the small amount of lithium content in batteries and the relatively low raw material price (~$6,000/tonne of lithium carbonate). With the exception of cement applications, lithium slags are not useful for most applications, and thus are likely stockpiled and perhaps exposed to the environment. The most common type of lithium batteries are the small coin-shaped batteries that are used in electronics to power memory circuits when systems are shut down, saving critical configuration settings and improving start-up time. These batteries are not rechargeable but have a long lifespan. The other common types of batteries are those used in mobile devices such as smartphones and laptops, which are rechargeable and re-used many times. Depending on the battery chemistry, steel, cobalt, manganese and other metals may also be recovered from lithium batteries. As it is not profitable to recover the relatively small amounts of lithium contained in spent batteries, it is the amount of more valuable metals (e.g., cobalt) that usually determines the economics of the battery recycling business. As per the lithium slags, they may be stockpiled for future refining. Is not uncommon for recycling costs to exceed the value of the materials recovered; in these cases, it is stewardship considerations that are driving the recycling of batteries. In the long term, as more batteries are recycled, the recycling of lithium batteries may become a more profitable proposition favoured by economies of scale. www.epccm.ca 23
  • 25.
    August 2013 Lithium IndustryReport Lithium Outlook Demand for lithium grew at an average of 7.2%/year from 2001 to 2008, slowing due to the global recession and picking up again in 2010. It is expected that annual demand will continue to rise significantly in the near future as a result of the increased usage of lithium in battery applications. Primary drivers of lithium demand are expected to come from hybrid and electric cars, electrical grid storage, cell phones, computers, power tools, iPods and iPads. Lithium batteries are now used in most electrified vehicles. According to estimates from Gartner Research and Canalys, feature cellphones still account for the majority of wireless phone sales, but smartphones, which usually use higher amounts of lithium, are increasingly taking a larger portion of the market. It is estimated that 1.75–1.93B mobile devices were sold in 2012. Canalys estimates a 7.8% growth in demand for mobile devices between 2012 and 2016. IDC Research estimates mobile devices in the emerging markets will grow at an average of 17% year-over-year between 2012 and 2017, compared to 7% in developed markets. Mobile devices usually carry 8–25 grams of lithium, depending on the watt-hour rating of the device. In contrast, vehicles can carry anywhere from 0.3 kilograms (300 grams) to 5+ kilograms of lithium, depending on the type of battery and performance vehicle. We estimate that in 2013 the battery sector alone will consume 45,000–55,000 tonnes of LCE and will almost double by 2021. The lithium market is valued at close to $1.0B but the battery market is estimated at $11B. China is the largest consumer of lithium products but the country is a net importer of lithium. In 2011, China produced 3.93B lithium battery units, valued at ~US$5.4B. In 2011, lithium production in China was estimated to have increased by more than 30% from 2010. Demand in China is expected to continue to grow, spurred by government policies toward the use of cleaner technologies in the transportation sector (including bikes). Demand for lithium products has increased in most sectors, and we expect it to continue to grow at a rate close to the average global GDP, which is estimated at 3% year-over-year (Figure 35). We expect China to continue to be the largest lithium consumer but we should also see an increase in lithium demand from the other major consuming regions (i.e., U.S., Europe, Japan and Korea) as the global economy improves. GDP Growth To fulfil the increasing demand for high-purity lithium, existing producers have implemented aggressive growth plans and upgraded plants. Additionally, a number of projects have mushroomed around the world; however, we anticipate that only a few will be able to reach production in the next five years, which should help balance demand and prices. Prices for lithium carbonate more than doubled between 2004 and 2008 to ~US$5,500/tonne. Currently, high-purity (+99.5%) lithium carbonate 2013 2019-2025 United States Europe Japan Other Advanced ALL ADVANCED ECONOMIES China India Other Developing Asia Latin America Middle East Africa Russia, Central Asia & Southeast Europe ALL EMERGING ECONOMIES is priced at just above US$6,000/tonne. We ex- WORLD TOTAL pect prices of high-purity lithium carbonate to stay 0 above $5,500/tonne but below $7,000/tonne in 1 2 3 4 Percent (%) Figure 35: GDP Growth Forecast; Source: The Conference Board the near to mid-term. 24 2014-2018 www.epccm.ca 5 6 7 8
  • 26.
    August 2013 Lithium IndustryReport SUPPLY The supply of lithium is dominated by four companies, Talison Lithium (owned by Tianqi Group), Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile (SQM), Rockwood Lithium (a Chemetall Group subsidiary) and FMC Corporation, which together control an estimated 85% of the world supply (Figure 36). Talison in Australia is currently the largest producer of lithium: the company has a production capacity of ~740,000 tonnes per year (tpy) of lithium concentrate, or 110,000 tonnes LCE. The world’s second-largest producer is SQM with operations in the Antofagasta region of Chile. Rockwood also has lithium operations in Atacama and accounts for 20% of the world supply. We estimate that FMC, which has brine operations in Argentina, currently accounts for ~9% of world lithium production. Like the other major producers FMC has recently increased its production capacity, which is now 35% higher than previously. Figure 36: Lithium Supply per Company; Source: Euro Pacific Canada Lithium is sold mostly through private contracts and in a variety of forms (with different lithium contents); as such, estimating lithium supply and demand carries a higher error compared to estimates for the most common base metal commodities sold on the spot market. For instance, Talison reported 339,501 tonnes of lithium concentrate sales in FY2012; some of the concentrate was sold and used as it is for glass and ceramic applications, but some is processed into lithium carbonate, and a portion of that is then converted into lithium hydroxide and/or other compounds. For each step or process (e.g., from lithium concentrate to carbonate), there is a fraction of lithium that is not recovered. It has been suggested that ~15–25% of lithium is nonrecoverable during the hydrometallurgical process (e.g., for the conversion of lithium concentrate to lithium carbonate), which could result in a discrepancy between the estimated lithium content in the mineral concentrate sold by miners such as Talison and lithium content in the final compounds sold by refiners and ultimately bought by end-users. Thus, although Talison sold 339,501 tonnes of lithium concentrate, which is equivalent to ~50,000 tonnes of lithium carbonate (LCE), the final lithium compound that refiners sell and may be used to produce other types of compounds will be less than 50,000 tonnes lithium carbonate. For example, if we assume (although this is not the case) that all of the 339,501 tonnes of lithium concentrate Talison sold was converted to lithium carbonate, the actual lithium carbonate volume would be closer to ~40,000 tonnes assuming an 80% recovery rate. As Talison does not yet have the downstream capability to produce lithium carbonate but instead sells lithium concentrate mostly to refiners in China, the company discloses a LCE amount, assuming 100% recovery, which is not accurate. However, companies with downstream businesses (e.g., lithium carbonate production capability), such as FMC, may consume/process all of the lithium concentrate produced, and may be able to report the volume of lithium carbonate sold with a higher accuracy. ferent forms of lithium products, the production in various countries, the downstream capability of the leading companies including their expansion projects, and the new lithium projects, we have estimated the world production of lithium (in LCE) as shown in Figure 37. Our estimates indicate that global lithium supply for 2013 will be ~165,000–175,000 tonnes. Lithium Carbonate Equivalent, Tonnes 200,000 Taking into consideration the market for the dif- 180,000 160,000 140,000 Canada 120,000 Others 100,000 United-States 80,000 Argentina 60,000 Chile 40,000 Australia 20,000 2005E 2006E 2007E 2008E 2009E 2010E 2011E 2012E 2013F 2014F 2015F Figure 37: Estimates and Forecast of Lithium Carbonate Equivalent Supply; Source: Euro Pacific Canada; USGS; Various Sources www.epccm.ca 25
  • 27.
    August 2013 Lithium IndustryReport For the last few decades, lithium production from brines has been the main source of lithium. For instance, in 2005, brine production from Chile and Argentina accounted for more than 50% of the world supply. However, as demand has increased, it seems that companies operating in South America have struggled to maintain their supply share of the market, and we forecast that in 2014 less than 40% of lithium supply will be from South American brines. We believe that a number of factors, including water availability, infrastructure constraints and changes in the market of by-products (which can be obtained from these brines [e.g. potash]) have changed the competitive nature of brine production. Furthermore, it seems that changes in weather patterns (Figure 38) in the region have led to an increase in average precipitation, particularly in Argentina where FMC operates, leading to production delays. The lithium ponds evaporation process for the production of lithium concentrate product usually takes 18–24 months, but can take longer if it rains more than usual. In Bolivia, the government has partnered with a consortium of Korean corporations to develop the Salar de Uyuni; however, it has been suggested that the ponds, which were built in 2008, have not yet evaporated to appropriate levels, due to unsuitable weather conditions. JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC TOTAL 2005 0 0 0 0 0.4 0.2 18.4 4.8 0.2 0.2 0 0 24.2 2006 0 0 0 0.2 0.2 0.4 0 0 0 0.4 0 0.2 1.4 2007 0.2 0 0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 871.1 871.2 0 1744.5 2008 0 0 0 1.2 1 1.8 7.8 0.2 0.4 0 32.4 0.8 45.6 2009 0 0.9 0 0.2 0.2 0.4 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.7 2010 0 0 0 0 0 0.2 0 3.8 0.2 0 0 0 4.2 2011 0 0.2 0 0 0.2 3.8 25 10.4 1.1 0 0.4 0 41.1 2012 0 0 0 0 0.4 2 0.6 0 0.8 0.4 0.2 0 4.4 2013 0 0 0 0 5.4 0.2 5.6 Figure 38: Precipitation at the Atacama Desert; Source: ncdc.noaa.gov As brine production has a natural delay due to the long evaporation cycle brine operators have not been able to respond as quickly as hard-rock suppliers to the dramatic increase in lithium demand over the last few years. Lithium hard-rock producer Talison has seized the opportunity by quickly doubling its production capacity and catching up with SQM, the largest producer in South America, in less than two years. Galaxy Resources also fast-tracked its spodumene project to start production in 2012; however, the company is facing some financing issues at the moment. We expect Talison and other hard-rock producers to continue to gain market share over the brine producers in the near term, with lithium production volumes from Australia to be similar to the total output from Chilean brines by 2015 (Figure 39). 2015F United-States 3% Others 15% Canada 11% Argentina 7% Figure 39: Lithium Supply per Country; Source: Euro Pacific Canada 26 www.epccm.ca Chile 32% Australia 32%
  • 28.
    August 2013 Lithium IndustryReport As mentioned above, Talison has recently doubled its production capacity to 110,000 tonnes LCE. Rockwood Lithium announced last year that it plans to build a new 20,000-tonne lithium carbonate plant to increase its total capacity to 50,000 tonnes of lithium carbonate. However, as the company recently lost its bid for Talison, it is not clear where the feed concentrate for the plant will be coming from. FMC increased its production capacity from 17,000 tonnes to 23,000 tonnes (35%); however, unusual weather patterns in the region may limit output in the near term. We expect world production to increase at an 8.4% CAGR from 2010 to 2015 as the major producers increase their production volumes gradually and new producers enter the market. There are a number of brine and hard-rock projects being developed around the globe. Some of the most developed projects include Canada Lithium’s hard-rock project in Quebec and Orocobre’s brine project in the Jujuy province of Argentina. We anticipate production of lithium carbonate in Canada from Canada Lithium in 2014. Orocobre construction work is progressing on time and on budget. As the company is currently performing pond lining work, the first lithium concentrate may not be produced until late 2015 or early 2016, weather permitting. Lithium carbonate (run of mine) may be produced by 2016 after successful commissioning of the hydrometallurgical plant. We should also see increased supply from other regions. Brine production has the benefit of having a low cost for the production of lithium concentrate, but unfortunately the production cycle is long. Hard-rock mining has a significantly faster production cycle, although cost of lithium concentrate is higher (15–30%). It should be noted, however, that historical records and company data suggest that the lithium carbonate and hydroxide produced from the hydrometallurgical plants in South America that use lithium concentrate from brines as feedstock are of “economic” grade and are usually used as the feed material for the production of higher-quality lithium carbonate. Therefore, we argue that although the overall production cost of hard-rock producers is higher, existing and new producers maybe able to offer the market a higher quality product at a higher price. DEMAND It has been estimated that China is the largest consumer of lithium products, accounting for about 30% of the total demand, followed by Europe and Japan. The glass and ceramics sector has been the largest consumer of lithium; however, in recent years, lithium demand for battery applications in the technology and transportation industries has growth at a faster rate than in any other sector. 2015F 2015F 2011E Others 18% Ceramics and Glass 28% Air Treatement 5% Metallurgy 8% Batteries 28% Air Treatement Air 5% Treatement 5% Metallurgy Metallurgy 7% 7% Lubricants 13% Others Others 17% 17% Batteries Batteries 33% 33% Ceramics and Ceramics and Glass Glass 26% 26% Lubricants Lubricants 12% 12% Figure 40: Lithium Demand per Sector; Source: Euro Pacific Canada www.epccm.ca 27
  • 29.
    August 2013 Lithium IndustryReport We estimate that in 2011 lithium demand for battery applications was likely as large as lithium demand for glass and ceramics (28%). As long as the consumer electronics sector (e.g. smart devices) stays strong and demand for hybrid electric vehicles continues to grow, we expect demand for battery-grade lithium to continue to increase and become the largest lithium consuming industry by 2015 (Figure 40). In order to estimate lithium demand from the battery sector, 4,000,000 we forecast sales of electric vehicles as presented in Figure 3,500,000 41. As mentioned above, lithium content in car batteries de- 3,000,000 pends on the type of battery (Figure 42). We assumed that 2,500,000 on average, electric vehicles will require 1.5 kilograms of lith- 2,000,000 ium, and that most of the growth will be in China but the U.S. 1,500,000 and Japan will be the first countries to achieve ~1M annual 1,000,000 sales by 2020. Our forecast results in 3.8M sales of electric 500,000 Other Europe United states Japan China 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2007 rate (our base-case scenario). Our results are similar to those 2008 0 vehicles by 2020, averaging a 12.6% year-over-year growth Figure 41: Forecast of Global HEV Vehicles Sales; Source: Euro Pacific reported by Pike Research in March 2013. Battery Type NCA Vehicle Range (mi) at 300 Wh/mile Total Li in Battery pack (kg) LFP LMO LTO 4 20 40 100 4 20 40 100 4 20 40 100 4 20 40 100 0.37 1.50 3.00 7.40 0.24 0.93 1.90 4.70 0.17 0.67 1.40 3.40 0.64 2.50 5.10 12.70 Figure 42: Lithium Content in Selected Batteries; Source: Argonne National Laboratory In our global lithium demand forecast, we assumed that demand for most sectors, with the 350,000 exception of metallurgy and batteries, will congrowth, which we assume at close to 3% per year Low (3.9%) 300,000 Medium (5.0%) High (6.3%) 250,000 (Figure 35). We expect demand in the metallurgy sector to stay stagnant as demand for lithium in aluminum smelters falls and demand for alloy applications rises. We forecast three growth scenarios — low, medium and high, assuming three different growth rates for lithium demand in the LCE, Tonnes tinue to grow at a rate close to the global GDP 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 2011E 2012E 2013F 2014F 2015F 2016F 2017F 2018F 2019F 2020F 2021F battery industry — which equated to a total aver- Figure 43: Lithium Demand Forecast Curves; Source: Euro Pacific Canada age global lithium growth demand of 3.9% (low), 5.0% (medium, base case) and 6.3% (high) (Fig- ure 43). If demand for wireless devices continues to grow, particularly in the emerging markets, and the HEV adoption targets set by various countries in the developed world is achievable, a 5.0% average growth rate for lithium demand would be actually somewhat modest. Our forecast does not include demand growth for new lithium uses. 28 www.epccm.ca
  • 30.
    August 2013 Lithium IndustryReport PRICE OUTLOOK Lithium prices have increased steadily since the 2000s, with the exception of 2010. According to reported prices of imported and exported lithium carbonate in North America (Figure 44), it seems the $8,000 $7,000 $6,000 $5,000 U.S.-exported lithium carbonate is higher quality $4,000 (higher price) than the lithium carbonate imported $3,000 from Argentina and Chile where lithium is produced $2,000 from brines. $1,000 $0 2006 In fact, technical-grade lithium carbonate is often used as the starting product for the production of high-pu- not built for the production of high-purity lithium com- 2008 2009 2010 2011 Li2CO3, US, $/tonne (exports) Figure 44: U.S. Lithium Carbonate Prices; Source: USGS rity or battery-grade lithium carbonate. Many of the lithium carbonate plants in South America were likely 2007 Li2CO3, US, $/tonne (imports) $18,000 LiOH.H2O, US, $/tonne (imports) LiOH.H2O, US, $/tonne (exports) Li2CO3, US, $/tonne (imports) $16,000 pounds, as the battery market was rather small at the $14,000 time. It seems that as demand for higher-purity ma- $12,000 terial started to grow, increasing amounts of lithium $10,000 carbonate product had to be further refined to meet $8,000 specifications for the more sophisticated technologi- $6,000 cal applications, which probably translated to higher $4,000 reagent and energy costs. Thus, we argue that as demand for higher-purity lithium material increased so did the production costs of lithium carbonate, which has likely forced the major brine producers to increase their product prices. $2,000 $0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Figure 45: Imported and Exported Lithium Hydroxide and Imported Lithium Carbonate Prices; Source: USGS, Euro Pacific Canada The higher prices for lithium carbonate have made it possible for the higher-cost producers to enter the market (i.e., some hard-rock producers in Asia). Lithium carbonate is sometimes used for the production of lithium hydroxide. Figure 45 shows the price of imported lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide compared to the price of exported lithium hydroxide, an increasingly desirable material for batteries. China’s battery-grade lithium carbonate (+99.5%) domestic prices have stayed above $6,000/tonne in the last two years, and are currently at ~$6,800/tonne (Figure 46). As the demand for lithium compounds for batteries and other electronic applications rises, we expect the prices of exported lithium carbonate to stay above $6,000/tonne in North America and China for the next 12 months. www.epccm.ca 29
  • 31.
    August 2013 Lithium IndustryReport Lithium Carbonate 99.0% (US$/tonne) $10,000 $9,000 $8,000 $7,000 $6,000 $5,000 $4,000 $3,000 $2,000 $1,000 6/7/2013 12/7/2012 6/7/2012 12/7/2011 6/7/2011 12/7/2010 6/7/2010 12/7/2009 6/7/2009 12/7/2008 6/7/2008 12/7/2007 $0 Lithium Carbonate 99.5% (US$/tonne) $7,200 $7,000 $6,800 $6,600 $6,400 $6,200 $6,000 $5,800 $5,600 6/2/2013 3/2/2013 12/2/2012 9/2/2012 6/2/2012 3/2/2012 12/2/2011 9/2/2011 6/2/2011 $5,400 Lithium Hydroxide Monohydrate 56.5% (US$/tonne) $7,200 $7,000 $6,800 $6,600 $6,400 $6,200 $6,000 $5,800 $5,600 6/21/2013 3/21/2013 12/21/2012 9/21/2012 6/21/2012 3/21/2012 $5,400 Figure 46: China Domestic Price for Lithium Carbonate and Lithium Hydroxide; Source: Asian Metal 30 www.epccm.ca
  • 32.
    August 2013 Lithium IndustryReport APPENDIX A: SELECTED COMPANIES The following pages include a number of selected companies with lithium projects around the world. It is important to note the following definitions: • Lithium grades are usually defined in percentage or parts per million (ppm) of lithium oxide (Li2O) content or lithium (Li) content. Brine lithium content may also be defined in milligrams per litre (mg/L). • Lithium carbonate (product/produced) is defined by the formula Li2CO3. • Lithium carbonate equivalent (LCE) is the total equivalent amount of lithium carbonate — assuming the lithium content in the deposit (hard rock or brine) or a product such as spodumene concentrate (usually with ~6% lithium oxide [Li2O] content) is converted to lithium carbonate, using the conversion rates in the table below. • Lithium resources and reserves are usually presented in tonnes of LCE or Li. • LCE or Li amounts usually assume 100% recovery, particularly for resources and reserves. • Lithium concentrate is the mineral or ore concentrate (not leached), usually with ~6%±2% lithium oxide (Li2O) content. • The lithium content in the ore concentrate is usually defined in terms of lithium oxide (Li2O) content. • Contained resources or reserves are the total resources/reserves multiplied by the grade. Example: if a company has 12Mt of resources at 1.5% Li grade, total contained resources are 12 x 1.5% = 180,000 tonnes Li. To convert to LCE: 180,000 Li x 5.324 = 958,320 tonnes of LCE. • • Lithium hydroxide is also defined by the formula LiOH (anhydrous form) and as LiOH.H2O (monohydrate form). Potash is the term used to defined potassium salts, such as potassium hydroxide (KOH); potassium carbonate (K2CO3); potassium chloride (KCl), potassium sulfate (K2SO4), potassium magnesium sulfate (K2SO4•2MgSO4), langbeinite (K2Mg2(SO4)3) or potassium nitrate (KNO3) To convert To Li To LiOH To LiOH-H20 To Li2O To Li2CO3 To LiAlSi2O6 Li 1.000 3.448 6.061 2.153 5.324 LiOH 0.290 1.000 1.751 0.624 1.543 26.455 7.770 LiOH-H20 0.165 0.571 1.000 0.356 0.880 4.435 Li2O 0.465 1.603 2.809 1.000 2.476 12.500 Li2CO3 0.188 0.648 1.136 0.404 1.000 5.025 LiAlSi2O6 0.038 0.129 0.225 0.080 0.199 1.000 PPM=1.00 mg/L km2=100 ha ha=2.47 acres www.epccm.ca 31
  • 33.
    Luisa Moreno, PhD,MEng - 416.933.3352 luisa.moreno@europac.ca Ollie Primak, MBA, CFA - 416.649-4273 x308, Associate ollie.primak@europac.ca August 2013 Lithium Industry Report Nemaska Lithium Inc. TSXV - NMX : $0.14 — Speculative Buy 12-MONTH TARGET PRICE : $0.57 | PROJECTED RETURN: 326% Nemaska Makes the Grade INVESTMENT OPINION – Well positioned MARKET DATA AS OF 09/08/2013 Vast and high-grade deposit: Nemaska has one of the highest lithium (Li) grade deposits in the world, believed to be second only to Tianqi/Talison’s Greenbushes deposit, which is the world’s largest producer of Li mineral concentrate. Nemaska has 25.08M tonnes of measured and indicated (M&I) resources averaging 1.54% Li2O, with great expansion potential. The company also owns other highly perspective lithium resources. Differentiating from Peers: Contrary to most of it peers, Nemaska its targeting the lithium hydroxide (LiOH•H2O) market; LiOH•H2O is increasingly preferred over lithium carbonate (Li2CO3) as it offers better properties, particularly for battery applications. Simple and Unique Process: Nemaska has adopted a membrane electrolysis (ME) process to produce high-purity LiOH•H2O and Li2CO3, and it has filed for a patent. The ME process eliminates the need for soda ash and caustic soda. Strong Partnerships and Off-take: Tianqi Group is a strategic shareholder of Nemaska, owning ~16.5% of the company; Nemaska also secured an off-take agreement with Phostech Lithium (Clariant Canada Inc.) for the sale of LiOH•H2O. Near-Term Production: Nemaska is planning to build a modular (Phase 1) plant with maximum capacity of 500 tonnes per year (tpy) in 2014 to fulfill its 100% ($M except per share data) Market Cap Net Debt Cash & Short Term Investments Debt Enterprise Value Basic S/O (M) Fully Diluted (M) Avg Daily Volume (3mo, k) 52 Week Range Company Description Nemaska Lithium Inc. engages in the exploration and development of lithium mining properties in Canada. The company is also involved in processing spodumene into lithium compounds. It holds 100% interests in the Whabouchi property consisting of 33 claims covering an area of approximately 1,716 hectares located in the James Bay area of Quebec province; and the Sirmac property comprising 15 mining claims covering an area of approximately 645 hectares located in the Quebec province. Nemaska Lithium Inc. is headquartered in Quebec, Canada. SHARE PRICE/TRADING VOLUME CHART 2 $0.7 $0.6 1.5 $0.5 $0.4 1 $0.3 $0.2 0.5 0 $0.1 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 UPCOMING EVENTS/CATALYSTS Financing Commodity Prices Process Financing Updated Resource Construction First Plant ACTION – BUY Nemaska is trading close to its 52-week low and at a market price-to-NAV of 0.12x NAV. It has completed a Preliminary Economic Assessment (PEA) and it plans to complete a Definitive Feasibility Study (DFS) in 2014. If the company is able to raise the necessary funds, it should be in Phase 1 production next year. We believe this is a great entry point for the stock. VALUATION We rate Nemaska a Speculative Buy with a $0.57 target price, which is based on a P/NAV multiple of 0.5x applied to our NAV of $1.14/share. Full report available at http://research.europac.ca 32 www.epccm.ca Jan-12 Volume (M) off-take with Phostech and attract new clients. Key Risks $16.82 -$1.09 $1.09 $0.00 $15.73 116.00 116.04 150.72 $0.13 - $0.65 PROJECT DETAILS Name Location Stage Property Size NI 43-101 Average Grade Off-Take/Partnership Year Production Volume Production Resources Measured Indicated Inferred Reserves Proven Probable Ownership Jul-12 Jan-13 $0.0 Price Whabouchi James Bay, Quebec DFS 1,762 ha PEA 0.714% Li Yes 2017 20,000 LiOH; 10,000 Li2CO3 11.3 Mt @ 0.735% Li, (441,770 LCE) 13.8 Mt @ 0.698% Li, (511,905 LCE) 4.4 Mt @ 0.698% Li, (163,431 LCE) n.a. n.a. 100% Source: Capital IQ, Company Reports
  • 34.
    Luisa Moreno, PhD,MEng - 416.933.3352 luisa.moreno@europac.ca Ollie Primak, MBA, CFA - 416.649-4273 x308, Associate ollie.primak@europac.ca August 2013 Lithium Industry Report MARKET DATA AS OF 09/08/2013 Canada Lithium Corp. ($M except per share data) TSX - CLQ : $0.485 — SPECULATIVE BUY 12-MONTH TARGET PRICE : $0.900 | PROJECTED RETURN: 86% Most Advanced! INVESTMENT OPINION – Major Player Production Expected in 3Q 2013: The mine and plant are in an advanced commissioning stage, the company expects to start continuous production in late August and ramp-up to full production by 3Q 2014. Market Cap Net Debt Cash & Short Term Investments Debt Enterprise Value Basic S/O (M) Fully Diluted (M) Avg Daily Volume (3mo, k) 52 Week Range $179.98 $46.76 $31.17 $77.93 $226.75 363.60 374.25 616.35 $0.47 - $0.96 KEY FINANCIAL METRICS (C$) $000s 2013F 2014F 2015F 2016F 2017F To Become a Major Player: Canada Lithium expects to capture ~12% of the Revenue world’s lithium carbonate supply (20,000 tonnes of Li2CO3/year). EBITDA -5,014 -5,208 55,583 61,865 61,650 EBIT -5,177 -5,611 49,763 56,113 55,960 Secured Off-Take Agreements for 75% of Production: The company has se- EPS -0.02 -0.02 0.06 0.07 0.07 cured off-takes with Tewoo Group and Marubeni Corporation. FCFPS -0.53 -0.29 0.05 0.11 0.11 Diversified Products: Canada Lithium is planning to produce other lithium PRODUCTION ESTIMATES products as early as 2015 (i.e., lithium hydroxide and lithium metal), and build - 119,115 132,576 132,115 126,825 tonnes 2013F 2014F 2015F 2016F 2017F - 20,000 20,000 20,000 20,000 a sodium sulphate plant. Preliminary estimates suggest that the addition of Lithium Carbonate multiple products could lead to at least a 30% increase in capex but a 50% VALUATION increase in EBITDA. $000s 2013F 2014F 2015F 2016F 2017F EV/EBITDA -38.4x 3.6x 3.2x 3.2x 3.4x ROIC -2.2% 11.8% 13.4% 13.0% 12.4% P/E -39.7x 15.9x 12.6x 12.0x 11.9x P/S -39.7x 15.9x 12.6x 12.0x 11.9x Key Risks UPCOMING EVENTS/CATALYSTS Cost Overruns Commodity Prices Production in 1Q2014 By-product, Metal Production Liquidity SHARE PRICE/TRADING VOLUME CHART ACTION – BUY Canada Lithium’s construction work is mostly complete and the commissioning should be finalized in early 2014. The company expects to produce 3,000 tonnes of Li2CO3 this year generating $18M in sales to support pre-production costs. Investors with a long-term horizon could benefit when the company expands its operations to produce the higher-value lithium products. VALUATION Canada Lithium is currently trading at an enterprise value (EV)/EBITDA (2014F) of 3.6x; our model EV/EBITDA ratio is 7.8x in 2014 and 6.5x in 2015, and it is expected to drop further going forward as the company repays its debts. We rate Canada Lithium a Speculative Buy with a $0.90 target price. Full report available at http://research.europac.ca 25 $2.5 20 $2.0 15 $1.5 10 $1.0 5 $0.5 0 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Volume (M) PROJECT DETAILS Name Location Stage Property Size NI 43-101 Average Grade Off-Take/Partnership Year Production Volume Production Resources Measured Indicated Inferred Reserves Proven Probable Ownership Jul-12 Jan-13 $0.0 Price Lithium Quebec Val d'Or, Quebec Commissioning 405 ha DFS 0.436% Li Yes 2014 20,000 Li2CO3 6.9 Mt @ 0.549% Li, (201,977 LCE) 26.3 Mt @ 0.553% Li, (775,544 LCE) 12.8 Mt @ 0.563% Li, (412,098 LCE) 6.6 Mt @ 0.428% Li, (150,436 LCE) 10.5 Mt @ 0.442% Li, (245,983 LCE) 100% Source: Capital IQ, Company Reports www.epccm.ca 33
  • 35.
    Luisa Moreno, PhD,MEng - 416.933.3352 luisa.moreno@europac.ca Ollie Primak, MBA, CFA - 416.649-4273 x308, Associate ollie.primak@europac.ca August 2013 Lithium Industry Report OROCOBRE Ltd. ASX - ORE : A$1.80 12-MONTH TARGET PRICE : N/A | PROJECTED RETURN: N/a Advanced Phase of Construction: Orocobre’s Salar de Olaroz lithium-potash-boron project is currently in the advanced stages of construction and commissioning. According to the company, the project is proceeding on time and on budget. Strategic Location: Orocobre’s flagship Olaroz lithium project consists of 63,000 hectares of high concentration lithium and potash brine. The project is located in the elevated and arid Puna region in Argentina’s northwestern province of Jujuy, and is well served by key infrastructure, including sealed roads, high-voltage electricity, gas pipelines and rail access. The port of Antofagasta in Chile is ~550 MARKET DATA AS OF 09/08/2013 ($M except per share data) Market Cap Net Debt Cash & Short Term Investments Debt Enterprise Value Basic S/O (M) Fully Diluted (M) Avg Daily Volume (3mo, k) 52 Week Range $213.12 -$38.99 $38.99 $0.00 $174.22 117.75 117.92 166.53 $1.00 - $2.42 Company Description kilometres west by road. High-Grade Resource Base: Olaroz’s contained resource is 6.4Mt of LCE and 19.3Mt of potash (KOH) measured to a depth of 200 metres. Project life is expected to exceed 40+ years, utilizing only ~15% of existing resources. Analysis Orocobre Limited engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in Argentina. The company focuses on exploring for lithium, potash, and salar minerals. Its flagship project is the Salar de Olaroz project consisting of 63,000 hectares of tenements located in the north-western province of Jujuy. The company is based in Brisbane, Australia. UPCOMING EVENTS/CATALYSTS of the material has resulted in >99.9% Li2CO3 purity. Upgraded Production Capacity: The design capacity of the Olaroz operation was recently increased to 17,500 tpy of Li2CO3, from 16,400 tpy originally provided in the Feasibility Study. The improvement was due to an increase in the Production Off-Take Agreements/Partnerships SHARE PRICE/TRADING VOLUME CHART 2.5 $5.0 expected brine grade from 775mg/L to 825mg/L, following the result of a 3D 2 $4.0 finite difference engineering study. Expected potash recovery has also increased 1.5 $3.0 to ~20,000 tpy from 10,000 tpy. Potash production will be considered in future 1 $2.0 0.5 $1.0 development phases. Key Partnerships: In June 2012, Orocobre entered into an agreement with 0 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Volume (M) Jul-12 Jan-13 Price the provincial government-owned Jujuy Energía y Minería Sociedad del Estado (JEMSE), whereby JEMSE acquired an 8.5% interest in Olaroz for US$7.0M. In October 2012, Orocobre and Toyota Tsusho Corporation executed a definitive joint-venture development agreement for 25% of Olaroz. Project Fully Funded: Initial capex is estimated at US$229.1M. Partner equity contributions amount to US$82.8M. A debt facility of up to US$146.3M from Mizuho Corporate Bank is also in the process of being finalized. Construction and commissioning of the project started in November 2012 and is expected to last ~18 months. Stage 1 annual EBITDA is forecast at ~US$70.0M or US$4,000/tonne LCE excluding potash credits. Olaroz’s low net operating cash costs, estimated at US$1,512/tonne for battery-grade Li2CO3, has deemed the project competitive with other existing brine producers. Key Catalysts: Negotiation of off-take agreements, initiation of the commercial evaporation process, which could last up to two years, followed by run-of-mine Li2CO3 production. 34 www.epccm.ca PROJECT DETAILS Name Location Stage Property Size NI 43-101 Average Grade Off-Take/Partnership Year Production Volume Production Resources (Contained) Measured Indicated Inferred Reserves (Contained) Proven Probable Ownership Salar de Olaroz Jujury, Argentina Construction 63,000 ha DFS 0.069% Li Yes 2016+ 17,500 Li2CO3 1,437,480 LCE 5,004,560 LCE n.a. n.a. n.a. 66.5% Source: Capital IQ, Company Reports $0.0
  • 36.
    Luisa Moreno, PhD,MEng - 416.933.3352 luisa.moreno@europac.ca Ollie Primak, MBA, CFA - 416.649-4273 x308, Associate ollie.primak@europac.ca August 2013 Lithium Industry Report LITHIUM AMERICAS Corp. TSX - LAC : $0.44 12-MONTH TARGET PRICE : N/A | PROJECTED RETURN: N/a Large Resource: Lithium Americas’ Cauchari-Olaroz property has proven and probable reserves sufficient to operate at a production rate of up to 40,000 tonnes per year (tpy) of Li2CO3 and up to 80,000 tpy of potash for 40 years. Reserve estimates amount to 2.7Mt of LCE. The company is planning to build the project in two stages, with each stage consisting of a 20,000 tpy Li2CO3 facility and a 40,000 tpy potash facility. Good Infrastructure and Logistics: The Cauchari-Olaroz project is located on a paved highway, which connects Argentina to Chile. The project is 530 kilometres west of the Chilean port facility of Antofagasta, from where the final lithium product could be shipped to end customers, and ~50 kilometres from a natural gas pipeline. The projects are located in the Jujuy Province in Northwestern Argentina, ~250 kilometres northwest of San Salvador de Jujuy, the provincial capital, ~200 kilometres east of the largest lithium producing region, Salar de Atacama in Chile, and ~200 kilometres north of the second-largest lithium pro- MARKET DATA AS OF 09/08/2013 ($M except per share data) Market Cap Net Debt Cash & Short Term Investments Debt Enterprise Value Basic S/O (M) Fully Diluted (M) Avg Daily Volume (3mo, k) 52 Week Range $37.88 $3.60 $1.40 $5.00 $41.48 77.31 77.31 32.44 $0.42 - $1.25 Company Description Lithium Americas Corp. engages in the exploration and evaluation of lithium, potassium, and other mineral resources in South America. The company has rights over approximately 165,353 hectares in 5 salt lakes in the Jujuy and Salta Provinces of Argentina. Its principal property includes the Cauchari-Olaroz Lithium Project covering an area of approximately 83,104 hectares in adjacent Cauchari and Olaroz salt lakes located in Jujuy, Argentina. The company was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada. Favourable Project Economics: The Feasibility Study produced a Stage 1 pretax NPV (8% discount rate) of US$738.0M and an IRR of 23%. These results assume production of 20,000 tpy Li2CO3 and 40,000 tpy of potash with initial capital expenditures of US$314.0M and operating costs of US$1,332/tonne Li2CO3, net by-products. KEY RISKS UPCOMING EVENTS/CATALYSTS Financing Commodity Prices ducing brine, the Salar del Hombre Muerto in Argentina. Definitive JV Agreement Financing SHARE PRICE/TRADING VOLUME CHART 10 $3.0 8 $2.5 $2.0 6 $1.5 4 Secured Strategic Investors: Mitsubishi Corporation and Magna International collectively own ~17% of Lithium Americas’ shares outstanding. Construction 0 $1.0 2 permits for the Cauchari-Olaroz project have been granted following an agreement with Jujuy Energia y Mineria Sociedad del Estado (JEMSE), the government of Jujuy’s mining investment company. The agreement outlines JEMSE’s acquisition of an 8.5% equity interest at project level. Key Catalysts: Given the project is fully permitted, and the results of the Feasibility Study conclude that the project has favourable economic potential, the last major milestone before construction is obtaining project financing. Negotiations with strategic partners regarding project financing are ongoing. $0.5 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Volume (M) PROJECT DETAILS Name Location Stage Property Size NI 43-101 Average Grade Off-Take/Partnership Year Production Volume Production Resources (Contained) Measured Indicated Inferred Reserves (Contained) Proven Probable Ownership Jul-12 Jan-13 $0.0 Price Cauchari-Olaroz Jujury, Argentina Financing 83,104 ha DFS 0.067% Li Yes 2016+ 20,000 Li2CO3 3,039,000 LCE 8,713,000 LCE n.a. 197,000 LCE 2,517,000 LCE 91.5% Source: Capital IQ, Company Reports www.epccm.ca 35
  • 37.
    Luisa Moreno, PhD,MEng - 416.933.3352 luisa.moreno@europac.ca Ollie Primak, MBA, CFA - 416.649-4273 x308, Associate ollie.primak@europac.ca August 2013 Lithium Industry Report GALAXY RESOURCES Ltd. OTCPK - GALX.F : $0.08 12-MONTH TARGET PRICE : N/A | PROJECTED RETURN: N/a One of the Largest Hard Rock Lithium Reserves: Galaxy’s Mt. Cattlin spodumene mining operation is located near Ravensthorpe, Western Australia. Total proven and probable reserves are 10.7Mt at 0.486% Li. The feasibility study modelled an 18-year mine life, and 137,000 tonnes of lithium concentrate production per year. The mine produced 63,853 tonnes and 54,047 tonnes of lithium concentrate in 2011 and 2012, respectively. Halt to Mt. Cattlin Operations: In March 2013, the Galaxy board reached a decision to halt production at Mt. Cattlin, extending a temporary halt to operations announced in July 2012. The project is probably not economic at this time for reasons not fully explained. In March 2013, Galaxy also signed a three-year spodumene feedstock contract with Talison Lithium to supply the Jiangsu Plant. The agreement with Talison will provide Galaxy with spodumene feedstock for the Jiangsu Plant at a more economical rate than the cost of continuing production at Mt. Cattlin. MARKET DATA AS OF 09/08/2013 ($M except per share data) Market Cap Net Debt Cash & Short Term Investments Debt Enterprise Value Basic S/O (M) Fully Diluted (M) Avg Daily Volume (3mo, k) 52 Week Range $58.44 $152.02 $3.53 $155.55 $239.98 584.36 584.36 23.79 $0.06 - $0.66 Company Description Galaxy Resources Limited operates as an integrated lithium mining and chemicals company. It mines lithium pegmatite ore and processes it to produce a spodumene concentrate with tantalum concentrates. The company has production and development assets in various continents, including the Sal de Vida lithium brine and potash project in Argentina; the James Bay hard rock lithium project in Quebec, Canada; the Jiangsu lithium carbonate plant in China; and the Mt Cattlin mine and processing plant in Australia. Galaxy Resources Limited sells products to battery and technical grade customers; and glass ceramic and lithium-ion battery cathode materials manufacturers in Australia and internationally. The company is based in West Perth, Australia. KEY RISKS UPCOMING EVENTS/CATALYSTS mene to China’s Zhangjiagang Port. The spodumene was earmarked for Galaxy’s Financing Commodity Prices Production Resumption at Mt. Cattlin Sal de Vida Drill Results Jiangsu Li2CO3 Plant in China, to facilitate off-take agreements arranged with 13 SHARE PRICE/TRADING VOLUME CHART 100% Off-Take Agreement on Hold: Historically, Galaxy has exported spodu- major Chinese lithium cathode producers, as well as Mitsubishi Corporation in Japan, for 100% of Galaxy’s 17,000-tpy battery-grade Li2CO3 production capacity. Other Projects: On March 30, 2012, Galaxy Resources announced a merger with Lithium One valued at ~$112.0M. Lithium One’s principal asset was the Sal de Vida lithium and potash brine project in Argentina. A November 2011 PEA outlined an operation producing 25,000 tpy Li2CO3 and 107,000 tpy potash, with a 28% IRR and a US$1.066B NPV at an 8% discount rate. The company also owns the James Bay bulk-tonnage spodumene project in Quebec. Galaxy is earning 70% equity in the James Bay project through an earn-in agreement that includes delivery of a feasibility study expected in 2013. The James Bay lithium pegmatite project in Quebec contains indicated resources of 11.8Mt grading at 1.30% Li2O and inferred resources of 10.5Mt grading at 1.20% Li2O. Next Steps: Galaxy is trying to raise ~$50.0M to reduce its $120.0M debt. With no clear path to production and near-term cash-flow, we believe Galaxy is in a critical liquidity risk situation. The company seems to be shifting focus from its Mt. Cattlin mine operations to the development of other lithium projects. 0.8 $2.0 0.6 $1.5 0.4 $1.0 0.2 $0.5 0 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Volume (M) PROJECT DETAILS Name Location Stage Property Size NI 43-101 Average Grade Off-Take/Partnership Year Production Volume Production Resources Measured Indicated Inferred Reserves Proven Probable Ownership Jul-12 Jan-13 Mt. Cattlin / Sal de Vida Western Australia / North West Argentina Production (halted)/ DFS n.a. / 38,500 ha Yes / Yes 0.486% Li / 0.078% Li Yes / Yes Halted / 2016+ 17,000 Li2CO3 / 25,000 Li2CO3 2.9 Mt @ 0.552% Li, (85,158 LCE) / 3,005,000 LCE 9.9 Mt @ 0.494% Li, (260,489 LCE) / 1,048,000 LCE 4.3 Mt @ 0.499% Li, (115,537 LCE) / 3,180,000 LCE 2.8 Mt @ 0.507% Li, (75,638 LCE) / 181,000 LCE 7.9 Mt @ 0.479% Li, (202,286 LCE) / 958,000 LCE 100% / 70% Source: Capital IQ, Company Reports 36 www.epccm.ca $0.0 Price
  • 38.
    Luisa Moreno, PhD,MEng - 416.933.3352 luisa.moreno@europac.ca Ollie Primak, MBA, CFA - 416.649-4273 x308, Associate ollie.primak@europac.ca August 2013 Lithium Industry Report CRITICAL ELEMENTS Corp. TSXV - CRE : $0.14 12-MONTH TARGET PRICE : N/A | PROJECTED RETURN: N/a Good Location: The Rose tantalum-lithium property is situated near the geographic centre of Quebec, in the James Bay area on the western edge of the Eastmain reservoir, 70 kilometres southeast of Galaxy Resources Ltd.’s James Bay Lithium Project and 45 kilometres northwest of Nemaska Lithium Inc.’s Whabouchi Project. By-Product Potential: The Rose deposit is a lithium-cesium-tantalum (LCT) type pegmatite with molybdenum occurrences. The most recent estimate for the Rose project includes indicated mineral resources of 26.5Mt grading 0.98% Li2O (lithium oxide) with 163 ppm tantalum pentoxide (Ta2O5) and an inferred mineral MARKET DATA AS OF 09/08/2013 ($M except per share data) Market Cap Net Debt Cash & Short Term Investments Debt Enterprise Value Basic S/O (M) Fully Diluted (M) Avg Daily Volume (3mo, k) 52 Week Range $16.77 -$0.66 $0.66 $0.00 $16.11 119.76 119.76 234.53 $0.10 - $0.28 Company Description Positive REA Results: The mine plan shows that more than 24.0Mt of ore can Critical Elements Corporation operates as a mining exploration company in Canada. It focuses on rare metals and rare earths, primarily tantalum, as well as lithium and niobium. The company’s flagship project includes the Rose Tantalum-Lithium property consisting of 439 claims covering a total area of 228.51 square kilometers located in the Eastmain greenstone belt in Quebec, Canada. It also explores for copper, zinc, silver, and gold ores in various regions of Quebec, Canada. Critical Elements Corporation is headquartered in Montreal, Canada. be mined over a 17-year period, at an average grade of 0.89% Li2O with 132 KEY RISKS UPCOMING EVENTS/CATALYSTS ppm Ta2O5. Total pre-production capex is estimated at US$268.6M. The pre-tax IRR is estimated at 33%, with a NPV of $488.3M and a payback period of 4.1 Financing Commodity Prices Liquidity Feasibility Study Results Off-Take Agreement years, using a discount rate of 8%. These results were based on forecasts of SHARE PRICE/TRADING VOLUME CHART US$6,000/tonne for Li2CO3 and US$260/kg ($118/lb) for Ta2O5 contained in a 10 $0.5 8 $0.4 6 $0.3 4 $0.2 2 $0.1 resource of 10.7Mt grading 0.86% Li2O with 145 ppm Ta2O5. The Rose project is in the advanced stages with a Feasibility Study expected to be completed in 2013. tantalite concentrate. Other Projects: Critical Elements also has a joint-venture agreement for the Croinor gold project and owns two rare earths projects, the Rocky Mountain NbREE project and the Quebec rare earths project. 0 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Key Catalysts: Catalysts in 2013 include signing off-take agreements for lithium and tantalum, initiating the permitting process and project financing. Jan-12 Volume (M) PROJECT DETAILS Name Location Stage Property Size NI 43-101 Average Grade Off-Take/Partnership Year Production Volume Production Resources Measured Indicated Inferred Reserves Proven Probable Ownership Jul-12 Jan-13 $0.0 Price Rose James Bay, Quebec DFS 33,307 ha PEA 0.440% Li No 2016+ 27,049 Li2CO3 n.a. 26.5 Mt @ 0.456% Li, (642,238 LCE) 10.7 Mt @ 0.400% Li, (227,565 LCE) n.a. n.a. 100% Source: Capital IQ, Company Reports www.epccm.ca 37
  • 39.
    Luisa Moreno, PhD,MEng - 416.933.3352 luisa.moreno@europac.ca Ollie Primak, MBA, CFA - 416.649-4273 x308, Associate ollie.primak@europac.ca August 2013 Lithium Industry Report WESTERN LITHIUM USA Corp. TSX - WLC : $0.10 12-MONTH TARGET PRICE : N/A | PROJECTED RETURN: N/a Vast Resources in Major Mining Jurisdiction: Western Lithium’s Kings Valley lithium project has vast resources. It is located in Northern Nevada, a major mining jurisdiction with well-developed local infrastructure, close to paved roads, rail and power lines, and within reach of west coast shipping ports (600 kilometres to port at Sacramento, 700 kilometres to port at San Francisco). Unique Clay Deposit: The company’s hectorite clay is a soft, greasy, white clay mineral with a chemical formula Na0.3(Mg,Li)3Si4O10(OH)2, which may also be used as a specialty drilling additive in the oil and gas industry, particularly for high-pressure high-temperature, deep directional drilling applications (HPHT). Western Minerals plans to mine this clay for the production of the clay-based drilling additive and for the production of Li2CO3, potash (K2SO4) and sodium sulphate (Na2SO4). Historical Reserves: Resource estimates (December 2011) for the Kings Valley project show contained proven reserves of 262,045 tonnes of LCE, 465,000 tonnes of potassium and 117,000 tonnes of sodium. Contained probable reserves include 37,865 tonnes of LCE, 68,000 tonnes of potassium and 26,000 tonnes of sodium. Completed PEA Study: The base-case production estimate of 13,000 tpy LCE re- MARKET DATA AS OF 09/08/2013 ($M except per share data) Market Cap Net Debt Cash & Short Term Investments Debt Enterprise Value Basic S/O (M) Fully Diluted (M) Avg Daily Volume (3mo, k) 52 Week Range $16.34 -$11.49 $11.49 $0.00 $4.86 102.13 102.13 62.48 $0.12 - $0.24 Company Description Western Lithium USA Corporation, a mineral resource company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of lithium resource properties in northwestern Nevada. It primarily focuses on the development of the Kings Valley Properties consisting of a series of approximately 2,658 unpatented mining claims located in Humboldt County, Nevada. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada. KEY RISKS UPCOMING EVENTS/CATALYSTS Financing Cost Overruns Lithium Process Production (Organoclay Product) Lithium Pilot Plant Results SHARE PRICE/TRADING VOLUME CHART sults in a pre-tax NPV (8% discount rate) of US$261.7M and an IRR of 21%. Initial 8 $2.0 start-up capital is estimated at US$237.1M and sustaining capital at US$25.6M. The 6 $1.5 mine will process 13.9Mt (dry basis) of ore at an average grade of 0.404% Li (0.320% 4 $1.0 2 $0.5 cut-off), for a 21-year mine life. Operating cash costs, net of by-product credits, are $1,397/tonne of LCE. Cash operating costs for the individual products are: $3,291/ tonne for LCE, $44/tonne for potash and $43/tonne for sodium sulphate. 0 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Volume (M) Jul-12 Jan-13 Price Key Agreement: In February, Western Lithium announced that it had entered into a royalty purchase agreement with RK Mine Finance L.P. (Red Kite) pursuant to which Red Kite would pay the company up to US$20.0M for a royalty on the Kings Valley project. Western Lithium has already collected US$11.0M, which will be used to construct a 10,000 tpy hectorite-based organoclay process facility. A second tranche of US$9.0M should be received upon completion of the engineering and design of the lithium demonstration plant. Key Catalysts: The company is targeting to commence production and be cash flow positive in early 2014 from the clay operation. The second tranche of funding is for the construction of a demonstration plant to test the viability of its lithium extraction process at a large scale, targeted for 2H 2014. Western Lithium has identified an engineering technology group in Europe and is looking for strategic partners to further de-risk the process technology in order to attract construction capital for the full project. 38 PROJECT DETAILS Name Location Stage Property Size NI 43-101 Average Grade Off-Take/Partnership Year Production Volume Production Resources Measured Indicated Inferred Reserves Proven Probable Ownership King's Valley Lithium Project Humboldt County, Nevada PFS 15,233 ha PEA 0.404% Li No 2015 (organoclay); 2016+ (Li) 13,000 Li2CO3 18.0 Mt @ 0.397% Li, (381,425 LCE) 38.1 Mt @ 0.373% Li, (756,828 LCE) 36.3 Mt @ 0.369% Li, (713,625 LCE) 12.2 Mt @ 0.405% Li, (262,045 LCE) 1.8 Mt @ 0.396% Li, (37,865 LCE) 100% Source: Capital IQ, Company Reports www.epccm.ca $0.0
  • 40.
    Luisa Moreno, PhD,MEng - 416.933.3352 luisa.moreno@europac.ca Ollie Primak, MBA, CFA - 416.649-4273 x308, Associate ollie.primak@europac.ca August 2013 Lithium Industry Report RODINIA LITHIUM Inc. TSXV - RM : $0.10 12-MONTH TARGET PRICE : N/A | PROJECTED RETURN: N/a Monopoly in Diablillos Salta: Rodinia’s flagship asset, the Diablillos property, is in the Salta Province of Argentina, a few kilometres north of the border between the provinces of Salta and Catamarca, ~145 kilometres southwest of the city of Salta, covering 5,786 hectares. The land position enables access to trucking routes, high tension power, water and skilled labour. Rodinia currently owns ~96% of the Diablillos Salar and controls 100% of the prospective producing area. High-Grade Lithium with Diversified By-Products: The brine resource estimate for the Salar de Diablillos lithium-potash project includes a NI 43-101 compliant inferred contained resource of 2.8Mt of LCE, 11.2Mt of potassium chloride (KCl, potash) and 3.5Mt of boric acid. Analysis of the material demonstrated viability of potash and battery-grade Li2CO3 production, with sample results indicating purities of over 99.45% up to 99.79%. Competitive Valuation: A Preliminary Economic Assessment (PEA) for 15,000 tpy Li2CO3 resulted in a pre-tax NPV of US$561.0M at a discount rate of 8%, MARKET DATA AS OF 09/08/2013 ($M except per share data) Market Cap Net Debt Cash & Short Term Investments Debt Preferred Shares Enterprise Value Basic S/O (M) Fully Diluted (M) Avg Daily Volume (3mo, k) 52 Week Range $9.01 $0.03 $0.20 $0.23 $4.32 $13.36 94.83 94.83 203.52 $0.08 - $0.21 Company Description Rodinia Lithium Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of lithium properties in North and South America. The company also explores for potash co-product. Its principal properties include the Salar de Diablillos lithium-brine project covering an area of 5,786 ha located in Salta, Argentina; and the Clayton Valley lithium property comprising 1,012 claims that cover 72,340 acres located in Esmeralda County, Nevada. Rodinia Lithium Inc. is headquartered in Toronto, Canada. KEY RISKS UPCOMING EVENTS/CATALYSTS sume an estimated capital investment of US$144.0M and net operating costs of Financing Commodity Prices Feasibility Financing US$1,519/tonne for battery-grade Li2CO3. The estimated mine life is 20+ years. SHARE PRICE/TRADING VOLUME CHART an IRR of 34% and a projected payback period of 1.6 years. These results as- The property’s Feasibility Study is anticipated in 2H 2013. 8 $0.8 Strategic Partnership: In November 2010, Rodinia closed a strategic private 6 $0.6 placement with Shanshan, one of the leading lithium-ion battery materials pro- 4 $0.4 viders in China and significant end user of battery grade Li2CO3. Shanshan ex- 2 $0.2 changed ~US$1.4M for ~7.6% of the basic common shares outstanding. Key Catalysts: Upcoming catalysts include completion of a feasibility study for the Diablillos project and securing of project financing. 0 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Volume (M) PROJECT DETAILS Name Location Stage Property Size NI 43-101 Average Grade Off-Take/Partnership Year Production Volume Production Resources (Contained) Measured Indicated Inferred Reserves (Contained) Proven Probable Ownership Jul-12 Jan-13 $0.0 Price Salar de Diablillos Salta, Argentina PFS 5,786 ha PEA 0.056% Li No 2016+ 15,000 Li2CO3 n.a. n.a. 2,817,000 LCE n.a. n.a. 100% Source: Capital IQ, Company Reports www.epccm.ca 39
  • 41.
    Luisa Moreno, PhD,MEng - 416.933.3352 luisa.moreno@europac.ca Ollie Primak, MBA, CFA - 416.649-4273 x308, Associate ollie.primak@europac.ca August 2013 Lithium Industry Report ALTURA MINING Ltd. ASX - AJM : A$0.12 12-MONTH TARGET PRICE : N/A | PROJECTED RETURN: N/a Location and Resource Upgrade: The Pilgangoora lithium project is located in the Pilbara region of Western Australia. In October 2012, Altura announced an 89% increase to its new mineral resource estimate (JORC compliant) of 25.16Mt at 1.23% Li2O. This new estimate replaces the previous estimate of 13.3Mt at 1.21% Li2O in November 2011. Altura is hopeful that further increases in the mineral resource estimate and lithium grade will be observed from future drilling programs on the new pegmatite outcrops that have been identified. Attractive Scoping Study Results: A scoping study was recently completed targeting the establishment of a mine and processing plant to produce spodumene concentrate. The planned operation was forecast to mine and process 830,000 tpy of ore and produce up to 150,000 tpy of spodumene concentrate at ~6.0% Li2O, resulting in a NPV of A$93.2M (12% discount rate) and an IRR of 52.5%. Capex for the total project development, including the processing plant and a 15% allowance for mine infrastructure (roads, equipment, administration, etc.), MARKET DATA AS OF 09/08/2013 ($M except per share data) Market Cap Net Debt Cash & Short Term Investments Debt Enterprise Value Basic S/O (M) Fully Diluted (M) Avg Daily Volume (3mo, k) 52 Week Range $59.06 -$18.53 $18.58 $0.04 $40.84 454.27 454.27 148.77 $0.08 - $0.21 Company Description Altura Mining Limited engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in Australia and Indonesia. The company focuses on mining of coal, lithium, iron ore, uranium, gold, tantalum, garnet, and other precious and base metals. It holds interests in the Tabalong coal project on the border of South and East Kalimantan, Indonesia; Altura lithium project located at Pilgangoora in Western Australia; and Mt Webber DSO iron ore project located in Pilbara, Western Australia. Altura Mining Limited is based in Brookwater, Australia. KEY RISKS UPCOMING EVENTS/CATALYSTS mene concentrate. Financing Commodity Prices Liquidity Drilling Results Off-Take Agreements is A$96.3M. Operating expenditures are forecast at A$90.03/tonne of spodu- Actively Seeking an Off-Take Partner: Subsequent to quarter-end, Altura has SHARE PRICE/TRADING VOLUME CHART initiated discussions with selected financing institutions with the aim of seeking 12 $0.3 an equity partner/end user in order to advance the development of Pilgangoora. 10 $0.2 Non-Lithium Projects: Altura also owns the Tabalong coal project in South Ka- 6 limantan in Indonesia, with mine construction anticipated this year and the Mt. Webber iron ore project in the Pilbara region of Western Australia, with production planned for late 2013. 8 $0.2 $0.1 4 $0.1 2 0 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Volume (M) Key Catalysts: Positive results from the ongoing drill program at Pilgangoora; announcement of strategic equity partnership or off-take agreement with an end user to provide financing/liquidity for further development of the lithium project. PROJECT DETAILS Name Location Stage Property Size NI 43-101 Average Grade Off-Take/Partnership Year Production Volume Production Resources Measured Indicated Inferred Reserves Proven Probable Ownership Jul-12 Jan-13 Price Pilgangoora Lithium Project Western Australia PFS n.a. JORC Scoping Study 0.574% Li No 2017+ 150,000 Concentrate (22,131 LCE) n.a. 17.3 Mt @ 0.581% Li, (535,131 LCE) 7.9 Mt @ 0.558% Li, (233,170 LCE) n.a. n.a. 100% Source: Capital IQ, Company Reports 40 www.epccm.ca $0.0
  • 42.
    Luisa Moreno, PhD,MEng - 416.933.3352 luisa.moreno@europac.ca Ollie Primak, MBA, CFA - 416.649-4273 x308, Associate ollie.primak@europac.ca August 2013 Lithium Industry Report BACANORA MINERALS Ltd. TSXV - BCN : $0.21 12-MONTH TARGET PRICE : N/A | PROJECTED RETURN: N/a Focus on Boron and Lithium: Bacanora Minerals has two main projects: the Sonora lithium-clay project and the boron Magdalena project. The Sonora concession includes the company’s main lithium development site, the La Ventana deposit and three other lithium concessions namely, El Sauz, San Gabriel and Fleur; the four concessions total 5,786 hectares. The concessions are located ~190 kilometres northeast of the city of Hermosillo in Sonora State, Mexico, and are about 200 kilometres south of U.S. border. Lithium-Enriched Clay Resource: Bacanora’s La Ventana lithium clay deposit has a NI 43-101 inferred resource base of 930,000 tonnes of LCE, derived from MARKET DATA AS OF 09/08/2013 ($M except per share data) Market Cap Net Debt Cash & Short Term Investments Debt Enterprise Value Basic S/O (M) Fully Diluted (M) Avg Daily Volume (3mo, k) 52 Week Range $9.49 -$4.13 $4.13 $0.00 $4.23 63.29 63.29 19.98 $0.15 - $0.49 Company Description Bacahehauchi, which is connected to Federal Highway 14 via a 20-kilometre Bacanora Minerals Ltd., a development stage company, engages in the identification, acquisition, exploration, and development of industrial mineral properties in Mexico. It has 100% interests in the Magdalena Borate Project that consists of 2 concession blocks covering a total of 15,508 hectares and is located in Sonora State; and the Sonora Lithium project, which comprises four separate concession blocks covering an area of 4,050 hectares and is located in Sonora State. The company is headquartered in Calgary, Canada. paved road. Bacahehauchi is a small farming and ranching town with basic ser- KEY RISKS UPCOMING EVENTS/CATALYSTS power line is about 10 kilometres north of the project area. All water for explora- Exploration Commodity Prices Financing Drilling Results Pre-Feasibility Study tion or future mining activities is pumped from wells. A nearby skilled and mobile SHARE PRICE/TRADING VOLUME CHART a 60.2Mt of Li resource with a 0.300% Li grade. Local Resources and Infrastructure: Access to the La Ventana area is via a ~12-kilometre secondary, unimproved, dry-weather road south of the town of vices capable of supporting early-stage exploration projects. The closest electric labour pool is readily available in the region. 0.6 Attractive Valuation Metrics: The PEA of a potential lithium operation with an output of 35,000 tpy of battery-grade Li2CO3 and 20-year mine life, yielded a NPV (8% discount rate) of US$848.0M, an IRR of 138% and a payback of 1.9 years. Capital costs are estimated at US$114.0M with average operating costs of US$1,958/tonne of Li2CO3, and annual revenue of US$210.0M assuming an average Li2CO3 price of US$6,000/tonne. Deal Provides Funding for Exploration Drilling of Other Lithium Concessions: In May, Bacanora announced a farm-in deal with Rare Earth Minerals PLC (REM) on the El Sauz and Fleur lithium concessions. REM will earn an initial 10% interest by making upfront cash payments of $250,000 and then $500,000, to be used for exploration and drilling work. Final results of drill core analysis are expected in late 3Q 2013. Thereafter, REM will have an exclusive option to increase its interest up to 49.9%. Other Products: Bacanora is also investigating the use of the lithium-clays as a drilling mud additive in the oil and gas industry. Key Catalysts: Drilling results and completion of a Pre-feasibility Study (PFS). $0.8 0.5 $0.6 0.4 0.3 $0.4 0.2 $0.2 0.1 0 Aug-10 Feb-11 Aug-11 Feb-12 Series2 PROJECT DETAILS Name Location Stage Property Size NI 43-101 Average Grade Off-Take/Partnership Year Production Volume Production Resources Measured Indicated Inferred Reserves Proven Probable Ownership Aug-12 Feb-13 $0.0 Series1 Sonora Lithium Project Sonora, Mexico PEA 5,786 ha Yes 0.300% Li No 2016+ 35,000 Li2CO3 n.a. n.a. 60.5 Mt @ 0.300% Li, (930,000 LCE) n.a. n.a. 100% Source: Capital IQ, Company Reports www.epccm.ca 41
  • 43.
    Luisa Moreno, PhD,MEng - 416.933.3352 luisa.moreno@europac.ca Ollie Primak, MBA, CFA - 416.649-4273 x308, Associate ollie.primak@europac.ca August 2013 Lithium Industry Report REED RESOURCES Ltd. ASX - RDR : A$0.05 12-MONTH TARGET PRICE : N/A | PROJECTED RETURN: N/a Strategic Ownership Structure: The Mt. Marion lithium project is located ~40 kilometres southwest of Kalgoorlie, Western Australia, and is 70%/30% owned by Reed Resources/Mineral Resources Ltd. (MRL), through a special purpose vehicle, called Reed Industrial Minerals Pty Ltd. (RIM). RIM was formed to ensure the appropriate financial, technical and human resources for Mt. Marion, including the downstream processing into high-purity lithium battery feedstocks. Historical Mineral Estimates Confirmed: The company is targeting a mineral resource of 7–8Mt of spodumene pegmatite at a grade of ~1.5% Li2O. This is based on a previous review of historical reserve estimates that was undertaken as part of the PFS in 1996 and reported in accordance with the JORC Code. The review confirmed the original resource/reserve estimates by Western Mining Corporation (WMC) in the 1970s, supported by some check drilling in the 1990s. This work identified reserves of 1.5Mt at an average grade of 1.67% Li2O, including proven reserves of 0.5Mt at 1.9% Li2O and probable reserves of 1.0Mt at 1.5% Li2O (cut-off grade of 1.2% Li2O). 2012 PFS Indicates Positive Financial Returns: An October 2012 PFS to pro- MARKET DATA AS OF 09/08/2013 ($M except per share data) Market Cap Net Debt Cash & Short Term Investments Debt Enterprise Value Basic S/O (M) Fully Diluted (M) Avg Daily Volume (3mo, k) 52 Week Range $27.14 -$2.24 $21.24 $19.00 $24.90 519.67 519.67 1049.28 $0.03 - $0.26 Company Description Reed Resources Ltd engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties, primarily gold. The company also explores for iron, titanium, vanadium, lithium, nickel, silver, and zinc deposits. Its principal property includes the Meekatharra Gold Project covering a tenement holding of approximately 1,000 square kilometers located in the Murchison District of Western Australia. The company is based in West Perth, Australia. KEY RISKS UPCOMING EVENTS/CATALYSTS Exploration Risk Liquidity Drillling Results Feasability Study SHARE PRICE/TRADING VOLUME CHART 40 $0.8 count) of US$321.0M and 94% IRR, assuming an initial capex of US$83.0M and 30 $0.6 average costs per tonne of US$3,878 for LiOH and US$4,538 for Li2CO3. 20 $0.4 10 $0.2 duce lithium hydroxide (LiOH) and Li2CO3 resulted in a pre-tax NPV (12% dis- Ongoing Metallurgical Testwork: Following the 2012 PFS, RIM continued to advance the Mt. Marion lithium project with the commencement of a metallurgical testwork program involving the production of high-purity lithium battery feedstocks, LiOH and Li2CO3, to assess the most effective production profile and optimal timing for the commencement of operations at Mt. Marion. The testwork program is planned to be completed in September 2013. All project approvals for Mt. Marion have been received. IPO Is Preferred Financing Strategy: Reed is working with MRL to prepare RIM to become an independently financed, advanced minerals company. An IPO of RIM is currently Reed and MRL’s preferred financing strategy, with the anticipated timing to be determined post-completion of a Definitive Feasibility Study (DFS). Strategic discussions continue with third parties in relation to alternate transaction structures. Key Catalysts: DFS and potential monetization through an IPO. 0 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Volume (M) PROJECT DETAILS Name Location Stage Property Size NI 43-101 Average Grade Off-Take/Partnership Year Production Volume Production Resources (Historical) Measured Indicated Inferred Reserves (Historical) Proven Probable Ownership Jul-12 Jan-13 Price Mt. Marion Western Australia Exploration n.a. JORC Historical 0.765% Li No n.a. 8,810 Li2CO3 2.0 Mt @ 0.676% Li, (72,289 LCE) 4.8 Mt @ 0.645% Li, (164,136 LCE) 8.1 Mt @ 0.603% Li, (260,192 LCE) 0.5 Mt @ 0.884% Li, (25,400 LCE) 1.0 Mt @ 0.698% Li, (35,278 LCE) 70% Source: Capital IQ, Company Reports 42 www.epccm.ca $0.0
  • 44.
    Luisa Moreno, PhD,MEng - 416.933.3352 luisa.moreno@europac.ca Ollie Primak, MBA, CFA - 416.649-4273 x308, Associate ollie.primak@europac.ca August 2013 Lithium Industry Report AVALON RARE METALS Inc. TSX - AVL : $0.92 12-MONTH TARGET PRICE : N/A | PROJECTED RETURN: N/a Unique Mineral Deposit: The Separation Rapids property is host to one of the largest “complex-type” rare metal pegmatite deposits in the world. Known as the “Big Whopper Pegmatite”, only one of a few enriched in the rare lithium mineral called petalite. The lithium mineralization is being evaluated mainly for direct use in the glass and ceramics industry, as hydrometallurgical work may be complex. Details of Lease and Mineral Claims: The Separation Rapids property consists of 10 mineral claims, covering ~1,455 hectares in the Paterson Lake area, Kenora Mining Division, Ontario. These claims are 100%-owned by Avalon. In October 2009, Avalon acquired a mining lease over claims covering the Big Whopper petalite deposit and neighbouring lands that may be needed for development work. The lease covers an area of 400 hectares and has a term of 21 years. Good Infrastructure and Accessibility: The property is located ~70 kilometres by road north of Kenora, Ontario, and is directly accessible via a private road. The main line of the Canadian National Railway passes through the village of Redditt, 50 kilometres by road south of the Separation Rapids property, while the main line of the Canadian Pacific Railway passes through Kenora, 20 kilometres further south. The property lies within the traditional land use area of the Wabaseemoong Independent Nations of Whitedog, Ontario, an aboriginal community located ~35 kilometres southwest of the property. Water for mineral processing and other needs is available in abundance in the project area. The nearest hydroelectric power generating station is at Whitedog Falls. The transmission line comes within MARKET DATA AS OF 09/08/2013 ($M except per share data) Market Cap Net Debt Cash & Short Term Investments Debt Enterprise Value Basic S/O (M) Fully Diluted (M) Avg Daily Volume (3mo, k) 52 Week Range Company Description Avalon Rare Metals Inc. engages in the exploration and development of rare metals and minerals in Canada. The company primarily focuses on exploring for rare earth elements, such as neodymium, terbium, and dysprosium; and other rare metals and minerals, including lithium, tantalum, niobium, cesium, indium, gallium, and zirconium, as well as tin. Its flagship project includes the Nechalacho deposit, a 100% owned rare earth element project located at Thor Lake, Northwest Territories. Avalon Rare Metals Inc. was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada. KEY RISKS UPCOMING EVENTS/CATALYSTS Exploration Financing Drilling Results Resource Estimate SHARE PRICE/TRADING VOLUME CHART 6 $10.0 $8.0 4 $6.0 $4.0 2 0 30 kilometres of the Separation Rapids property. $97.57 -$15.11 $15.11 $0.00 $82.46 103.80 103.80 178.62 $0.52 - $2.40 $2.0 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Volume (M) Jul-12 Jan-13 $0.0 Price Historical Mineral Estimates: Avalon first explored the property in 1997–1998 when drilling delineated a NI 43-101 compliant indicated resource of 8.9Mt and an inferred resource of 2.7Mt, both grading 1.34% Li, 0.007% Ta2O5 and 0.30% rubidium oxide (Rb2O). These resources are delineated over a strike length of 600 metres, to a maximum vertical depth of 250 metres and remain open for expansion both to depth and along strike. The lithium grades are consistent with a petalite content averaging 25±5%. The mineralized zone is well exposed at surface in a low dome-shaped hill, where it averages 55 metres in width over a 400-metre strike length. This part of the deposit could be readily amenable to mining by low-cost quarrying methods. A conceptual open pit designed for the 1999 PFS by Micon International Inc. contains a probable reserve of 7.7Mt grading 1.4% Li2O (NI 43-101 audited). Key Catalysts: Renewed interest in lithium has created an opportunity to reactivate the Separation Rapids project. Catalysts include updated drill results and a revised Feasibility Study. PROJECT DETAILS Name Location Stage Property Size NI 43-101 Average Grade Off-Take/Partnership Year Production Volume Production Resources (Historical) Measured Indicated Inferred Reserves (Historical) Proven Probable Ownership Separation Rapids Kenora, Ontario Exploration 1455 ha No 0.651% Li No n.a. n.a. n.a. 8.9 Mt @ 0.623% Li, (295,247 LCE) 2.7 Mt @ 0.623% Li, (89,569 LCE) n.a. 7.8 Mt @ 0.651% Li, (269,372 LCE) 100% Source: Capital IQ, Company Reports www.epccm.ca 43
  • 45.
    Luisa Moreno, PhD,MEng - 416.933.3352 luisa.moreno@europac.ca Ollie Primak, MBA, CFA - 416.649-4273 x308, Associate ollie.primak@europac.ca August 2013 Lithium Industry Report INTERNATIONAL LITHIUM Corp. (ILC) TSXV - ILC : $0.02 12-MONTH TARGET PRICE : N/A | PROJECTED RETURN: N/a Early-Stage Project: ILC’s Mariana lithium project is in the early stages and is located in the western Salta Province, Argentina. The project includes several mineral claims totaling ~16,450 hectares. Claims are grouped in one contiguous claim block covering the entire Salar de Llullaillaco. The company expects to recover lithium, potassium and boron. Limited Infrastructure: The Marinara project is accessible from the city of Salta using national and provincial highways and roads. A narrow gauge railway passes within 17 kilometres northeast of Salar de Llullaillaco and is potentially a significant piece of infrastructure for future development. The project is in a remote location; although it has a road and nearby rail access, electric power is only available through local diesel generators. Bottled potable water is brought into camp as needed, but utility water has been found near the camp in springs. Promising Drill Samples: Average grades from the Phase 1 Resource Delineation drilling program revealed: 0.026–0.035% Li, 0.939–1.129% potassium and 0.051– 0.071% boron. Potassium grades reported are one of the highest in an Argentine salar and will likely result in potash being the leading value resource of this project. Ownership Structure: In May 2009, TNR Gold Corp., ILC’s leading shareholder with ~25% interest, signed an option agreement with the title holders of Marinara to acquire 100% interest in the Marinara property. In turn, TNR has granted ILC the option to acquire a 100% interest in the Marinara property in exchange for US$1.0M, payable through the issuance of 7.0M ILC shares and 7.0M ILC warrants. Strategic Partnership: In May, International Lithium announced a strategic partner- MARKET DATA AS OF 09/08/2013 ($M except per share data) Market Cap Net Debt Cash & Short Term Investments Debt Enterprise Value Basic S/O (M) Fully Diluted (M) Avg Daily Volume (3mo, k) 52 Week Range Company Description International Lithium Corp. engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties. It holds interests in nine active rare metals projects balanced between lithium-potash brines in Argentina and Nevada; and hard-rock pegmatites in Canada and Ireland. The company primarily focuses on its Mariana lithium-potash brine project covering 160 square kilometers located in the South American Lithium Belt centered on the junction of Argentina, Bolivia, and Chile. It also has interests in the Mavis Lake rare metals project located in Ontario, Canada; and lithium brine projects located in Nevada. KEY RISKS UPCOMING EVENTS/CATALYSTS Exploration Financing Drilling Results Resource Estimate SHARE PRICE/TRADING VOLUME CHART 1.5 $0.6 $0.5 1 $0.4 $0.3 0.5 $0.2 $0.1 0 May-11 Nov-11 ana project. In lieu of repayment, Ganfeng Lithium may elect to convert its loan into an interest in the Mariana property for a total interest of up to 51%, at which point the parties would enter into a joint venture for the development of the property. Ganfeng Lithium currently holds ~17.5% of the issued and outstanding shares of ILC. Additional Projects: ILC has claims on two other lithium projects, the Mavis project located 15 kilometres northeast of Dryden, Ontario, and the Blackstairs project in Leinstar, Ireland. ILC’s Mavis claims cover 2,624 hectares over several known pegmatites. Initial drill hole results returned 1.86% of Li2O over 26.25 metres and 1.22% Li2O over 28.45 metres. ILC has 292 square kilometres of licenses covering a 50-kilometre long rare metals pegmatite belt. Newly exposed boulders reported grades exceeding 4% Li2O. A 2013 drill program is under way to confirm historical drill results. Key Catalysts: Exploration drilling results and resource estimates. 44 www.epccm.ca May-12 Series2 ship with Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co. Ltd., a leading China-based lithium product manufacturer. Ganfeng has agreed to lend ILC a total of $2.3M to advance the Mari- $0.77 $1.58 $0.22 $1.80 $2.35 77.13 77.13 95.00 $0.01 - $0.50 PROJECT DETAILS Name Location Stage Property Size NI 43-101 Average Grade Off-Take/Partnership Year Production Volume Production Resources Measured Indicated Inferred Reserves Proven Probable Ownership Nov-12 May-13 Series1 Mariana Lithium Project Salta, Argentina Exploration Drilling 16,450 ha Yes 0.033% Li No n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 100% Source: Capital IQ, Company Reports $0.0
  • 46.
    Luisa Moreno, PhD,MEng - 416.933.3352 luisa.moreno@europac.ca Ollie Primak, MBA, CFA - 416.649-4273 x308, Associate ollie.primak@europac.ca August 2013 Lithium Industry Report ULTRA LITHIUM Inc. TSXV - ULI : $0.07 12-MONTH TARGET PRICE : N/A | PROJECTED RETURN: N/a European Project with Unique Mineral: Ultra Lithium’s Balkans project is located in Serbia within the Balkan Peninsula of SE Europe. The company is seeking to identify potential targets in Serbia that could host new lithium resources in the form of Jadarite (a combination of lithium and boron) mineralization. Significant Resource Potential: The Ministry of Environment, Mining and Spatial Planning has granted Ultra Lithium seven exploration licenses in the Republic of Serbia (Blace, Koceljeva, Trnava, Valjevo East, Preljina, Ladevci and Kragujevac) for mineral prospects, covering ~643 square kilometres. The land package is in the same region as Rio Tinto’s Jadar deposit, the closest concession being only 20 kilometres to the east. Rio Tinto’s Jadar deposit is ~125.3Mt grading 1.8% Li2O and 12.9% B2O3 and has been ranked as one of the largest lithium deposits in the world. Strategic Partnerships: In June, Ultra Lithium announced that it had finalized terms with Beijing Guofang Mining Investment Co. Ltd. (BGMI) to form a joint MARKET DATA AS OF 09/08/2013 ($M except per share data) Market Cap Net Debt Cash & Short Term Investments Debt Enterprise Value Basic S/O (M) Fully Diluted (M) Avg Daily Volume (3mo, k) 52 Week Range $14.88 -$3.86 $3.86 $0.00 $11.02 212.62 212.62 159.15 $0.02 - $0.11 Company Description Ultra Lithium Inc. engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of resource properties in Canada. The company holds interests in the Balkans project comprising 7 lithium/boron exploration licenses, which cover an area of approximately 643 square kilometers located in the Republic of Serbia. It also holds an option to acquire a 20% interest in the Zigzag Lake lithium, tantalum, beryllium, and gallium property that consists of 129 claim units for a total surface area of 2,064 hectares located in the town ship of Crescent Lake, Ontario; and a 100% interest the South Big Smokey Valley property, which comprises 364 placer claims covering an area of approximately 7,280 acres located in Esmeralda County, Nevada. KEY RISKS UPCOMING EVENTS/CATALYSTS terms of the arrangement, a new Canadian company has been incorporated, Exploration Financing Drilling Results Resource Estimate Ultra Dragon Holdings Inc., which will hold the Balkans exploration licenses. SHARE PRICE/TRADING VOLUME CHART BGMI may earn up to a 35% participating interest in Ultra Dragon by funding 20 $0.2 15 $0.2 earn-in funds to a maximum of 35% within a period of three years. Ultra Dragon 10 $0.1 has received the initial capital of $500,000 from BGMI for a 5% interest in Ultra 5 $0.1 Dragon. 0 venture for the exploration and development of its Balkans project. Under the up to $3.5M of exploration expenditures (earn-in funds) on the Balkans project. BGMI will earn a 5% participating interest for each tranche of $500,000 of the Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Exploration Update: The company’s 2012 exploration program, which included field reconnaissance, mapping, geochemical sampling and geophysical surveys, identified two high-priority targets, Blace and Valjevo East. The company intends to execute a drilling campaign on these and other concessions this year. Other Projects: Ultra’s other projects include the tantalum Zigzag Lake project in Ontario, a joint venture with Canadian Orebodies Inc. (TSX-V: CO), and the 100%-owned lithium South Big Smokey Valley project in Nevada, only 16 miles north of Rockwood’s Silver Peak mine in Clayton Valley. Key Catalysts: Results from Ultra’s drilling campaign and a resource estimate. Jan-12 Volume (M) PROJECT DETAILS Name Location Stage Property Size NI 43-101 Average Grade Off-Take/Partnership Year Production Volume Production Resources Measured Indicated Inferred Reserves Proven Probable Ownership Jul-12 Jan-13 $0.0 Price Balkans Project Serbia Exploration Drilling 64,300 ha No n.a. No n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 95% Source: Capital IQ, Company Reports www.epccm.ca 45
  • 47.
    Luisa Moreno, PhD,MEng - 416.933.3352 luisa.moreno@europac.ca Ollie Primak, MBA, CFA - 416.649-4273 x308, Associate ollie.primak@europac.ca August 2013 Lithium Industry Report PAN GLOBAL RESOURCES Inc. TSXV - PGZ : $0.17 12-MONTH TARGET PRICE : N/A | PROJECTED RETURN: N/a Balkan Project Overview: Pan Global Resources has entered into an agreement to earn up to 80% in any 3 of 14 blocks of exploration licenses in the Balkans, totaling >1,000 square kilometres in Serbia and another 250 square kilometres in Bosnia in the vicinity of Rio Tinto’s Jadar lithium and borate deposit. Pan Global’s joint-venture partner, Lithium Li Holdings, consists of former Rio Tinto executives, considered lithium/borate specialists who were instrumental in the discovery of the Jadar deposit. The joint venture is targeting direct analogs of the Jadar deposit, which has a JORC inferred resource of 114.0Mt at 1.8% Li2O and 12.9% B2O3. If successful, the project could supply up to 20% of current global lithium demand. MARKET DATA AS OF 09/08/2013 ($M except per share data) Market Cap Net Debt Cash & Short Term Investments Debt Enterprise Value Basic S/O (M) Fully Diluted (M) Avg Daily Volume (3mo, k) 52 Week Range $6.31 -$0.54 $0.54 $0.00 $5.76 31.54 31.54 10.82 $0.20 - $0.65 Company Description Most drilling to date has been focused in the Valjevo license (8 holes) with lith- Pan Global Resources Inc. engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral properties. It holds an option to acquire 51% interest in 2 lithium/potash/borate mineral prospects, known as Jadar West and Valjevo, in the Republic of Serbia; and an additional 7 licenses in the process of application in the Republic of Serbia and the Republic of Bosnia. Pan Global Resources Inc. was incorporated in 2006 and is based in Vancouver, Canada. ium grades up to 0.26% Li2O at 18.8 metres. The highest borate grades (at an KEY RISKS UPCOMING EVENTS/CATALYSTS Exploration Financing Drilling Results Resoure Estimate Initial Reconnaissance Diamond Drilling Results: The drilling work began in August 2011 on all 8 licenses; since then, a total of 17 holes have been drilled. 8.0% cut-off) were returned from holes VBN-4 and VBN-8, which included 1.6 metres at 18.2% B2O3 and 1.0 metre at 17.7% B2O3. In the Jadar West license, drill results show the highest lithium grades averaged 0.075% Li and 0.123% Li at various drill depths with a maximum lithium assay of up to 0.141% Li, suggesting that the mineralizing system at Rio Tinto’s Jadar deposit may continue into the Jadar West license. Work in 2013 has focused on data review, target prioritization and drilling at Lopare in Bosnia. SHARE PRICE/TRADING VOLUME CHART 0.25 $1.5 0.2 $1.0 0.15 0.1 $0.5 0.05 Intention to Purchase 100% Interest: In January, Pan Global Resources 0 Jul-10 Jan-11 licenses for consideration of cash payments totaling $5.8M and the issuance of 7M Pan Global shares to the current owner of Lithium Li Holdings, over a period of four years. The proposed transaction is subject to a number of conditions, including TSX Venture Exchange approval. Key Catalysts: Exploration drilling results. Jan-12 Volume (M) signed a Letter of Intent with Lithium Li Holdings whereby Pan Global will purchase a 100% interest in Lithium Li Holdings and all its current and future Jul-11 PROJECT DETAILS Name Location Stage Property Size NI 43-101 Average Grade Off-Take/Partnership Year Production Volume Production Resources Measured Indicated Inferred Reserves Proven Probable Ownership Jul-12 Jan-13 Price Balkans Project Serbia Exploration Drilling 130,000 ha Yes n.a. No 2016+ n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 100% Source: Capital IQ, Company Reports 46 www.epccm.ca $0.0
  • 48.
    Luisa Moreno, PhD,MEng - 416.933.3352 luisa.moreno@europac.ca Ollie Primak, MBA, CFA - 416.649-4273 x308, Associate ollie.primak@europac.ca August 2013 Lithium Industry Report RED RIVER RESOURCES Ltd. ASX - RVR : A$0.02 12-MONTH TARGET PRICE : N/A | PROJECTED RETURN: N/a Location: Red River Resources’ East Kirup prospect is a lithium-tantalum-tin geochemical anomaly 4 kilometres long by up to 1.5 kilometres wide and is situated 20 kilometres north-northwestward on a structural trend from the Greenbushes lithium-tantalum-tin mine in Western Australia, the world’s largest known repository of lithium and tantalite ore and tin. Multi-Product Potential: Geochemical sampling carried out by Red River has delineated widespread geochemically anomalous lithium, tantalite and tin over the East Kirup prospect area, which is interpreted as a mineralized halo over better mineralization at depth. The prospect area is in State Forest under the stewardship of the Western Australian Department of Conservation and Environment (DEC). Red River applied for and was eventually granted permission to drill five reverse circulation (RC) holes in the prospect area. RC Drilling Results for the East Kirup Lithium-Tantalite-Tin Prospect Were Poor: A total of five RC holes drilled to test the soil geochemical anomaly failed to return any significant assay results for lithium-tantalum-tin bearing pegmatite (E70/2435). In view of the negative results, the data for E70/2435 is being re- MARKET DATA AS OF 09/08/2013 ($M except per share data) Market Cap Net Debt Cash & Short Term Investments Debt Enterprise Value Basic S/O (M) Fully Diluted (M) Avg Daily Volume (3mo, k) 52 Week Range $1.25 -$0.78 $0.78 $0.00 $0.47 69.33 69.33 73.96 $0.01 - $0.03 Company Description Red River Resources Limited engages in the exploration of mineral properties primarily in Australia. It explores for gold, copper, nickel, tin, tungsten, magnetite iron ore, tantalum, and lithium. The company holds interests in the Miaree project located in Pilbara region, Western Australia; the Wongan Hills project located in the mid west region, Western Australia; the Blythe project located in the Burnie area, Northern Tasmania; the Hooley Well nickel project located in mid west region, Western Australia; and East Kirup project located in southwest Western Australia. Red River Resources Limited is headquartered in Perth, Australia. KEY RISKS UPCOMING EVENTS/CATALYSTS Exploration Risk Liquidity Drilling Results Resource Estimate SHARE PRICE/TRADING VOLUME CHART evaluated. 0.8 Tenement Information: East Kirup E70/2435,E70/2516,E70/2522 Expired. $0.2 0.6 Key Catalysts: Future exploration drilling results, should Red River decide to continue exploring. $0.1 0.4 0.2 0 $0.1 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Volume (M) PROJECT DETAILS Name Location Stage Property Size NI 43-101 Average Grade Off-Take/Partnership Year Production Volume Production Resources Measured Indicated Inferred Reserves Proven Probable Ownership Jul-12 Jan-13 $0.0 Price East Kirup Western Australia Exploration Drilling n.a. No n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 100% Source: Capital IQ, Company Reports www.epccm.ca 47
  • 49.
    Luisa Moreno, PhD,MEng - 416.933.3352 luisa.moreno@europac.ca Ollie Primak, MBA, CFA - 416.649-4273 x308, Associate ollie.primak@europac.ca August 2013 Lithium Industry Report HOUSTON LAKE MINING Inc. TSXV - HLM : $0.05 12-MONTH TARGET PRICE : N/A | PROJECTED RETURN: N/a North Ontario Discovery with Economic Potential: The PAK rare metals project is located in the Pakeagama Lake township in the Red Lake Mining district of Northwestern Ontario and is 100%-owned by Houston Lake Mining. Access is available by float plane 160 kilometres north from Red Lake to Pakeagama Lake or by road access 2 kilometres from the property in the winter. The lithium-caesium-tantalum-rubidium deposit was discovered in 1999 and in September 2012 underwent a 91-channel sampling program to confirm historical results. This program identified high-grade lithium, tantalum and rubidium with up to 4.74% Li2O over 15 metres in three distinct pegmatite zones, 14 metres of 192 ppm Ta2O5 (including 270 ppm over 6 metres) and 0.53% Rb2O in one of the zones. MARKET DATA AS OF 09/08/2013 ($M except per share data) Market Cap Net Debt Cash & Short Term Investments Debt Enterprise Value Basic S/O (M) Fully Diluted (M) Avg Daily Volume (3mo, k) 52 Week Range $2.84 -$0.24 $0.36 $0.11 $2.58 63.02 63.02 102.15 $0.03 - $0.10 Company Description from the high-grade mineralization zones encountered in the September 2012 Houston Lake Mining Inc., a mining exploration company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of mining properties in northwestern Ontario, Canada. The company explores for rare metal deposits, such as lithium, cesium, tantalum, and rubidium, as well as gold and platinum group metals. It primarily focuses on its 100% owned and optioned Pakeagama Rare Metals Project located in northwestern Ontario, Canada. Houston Lake Mining Inc. was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Val Caron, Canada. sampling. Also, on April 30, the company announced that it had increased its KEY RISKS UPCOMING EVENTS/CATALYSTS Exploration Financing Geochemical Surveying Financing Proactive Company Actions Lead to Positive Outlook: Houston has undergone a 6-hole, 1,000-metre diamond drilling program focusing on drill targets derived controlled land position and size of the PAK rare metals project to 2,816 hectares (from 1,024 hectares) by staking prospective and adjacent grounds to the original claim. SHARE PRICE/TRADING VOLUME CHART 1.2 $0.3 Promising Drill Results: The Phase I, 6-hole, 1,000-metre diamond drill program 1 $0.2 resulted in a 154-metre wide mineralized drill intercept in pegmatite averaging 0.8 1.22% Li2O, 111 ppm Ta205, and 0.41% Rb2O from 38.50 metres to 192.55 metres, including a 72.55-metre wide high-grade lithium zone averaging 1.96% Li2O, 106 ppm Ta205, and 0.33% Rb2O from 120.00 metres to 192.55 metres, and a 58.50-metre wide tantalum zone averaging 121 ppm Ta205 (including 265 ppm over 5.00 metres), 0.57% Li2O and 0.55% Rb2O intersected from 38.50 metres to 97.00 metres. Final drill hole PL-13-003 intersected 2.53% Li2O from 21.00 metres to 84.05 metres. Key Catalysts: Houston Lake Mining’s growth strategy includes Phase II geochemical surveying in 2013, as well as a Phase II drill program and subsequent bulk sampling in 2014. Catalysts will include positive future sampling results and available investment financing. $0.2 0.6 $0.1 0.4 $0.1 0.2 0 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Volume (M) PROJECT DETAILS Name Location Stage Property Size NI 43-101 Average Grade Off-Take/Partnership Year Production Volume Production Resources Measured Indicated Inferred Reserves Proven Probable Ownership Jul-12 Jan-13 Price Pakeagama Northern Ontario Exploration Drilling 2,816 ha No n.a. No n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 100% Source: Capital IQ, Company Reports 48 www.epccm.ca $0.0
  • 50.
    Luisa Moreno, PhD,MEng - 416.933.3352 luisa.moreno@europac.ca Ollie Primak, MBA, CFA - 416.649-4273 x308, Associate ollie.primak@europac.ca August 2013 Lithium Industry Report TALISON LITHIUM Ltd. TSX - TLH : PRIVATIZED 12-MONTH TARGET PRICE : N/A | PROJECTED RETURN: N/a Significant Lithium Ore Body: The Greenbushes lithium mine has been in operation for over 25 years and is recognized as the longest continuously operated mining area in Western Australia containing possibly the largest spodumene deposit in the world. Tenements cover an area totaling ~10,000 hectares and include the historic Greenbushes tin, tantalum and lithium mining areas. Greenbushes produces about 32% of the global lithium supply and exports over 350,000 tonnes of lithium concentrate annually. The Greenbushes lithium operation has an expected mine life of 24 years processing 61.5Mt of ore to produce 22.2Mt of lithium products. MARKET DATA AS OF 09/08/2013 ($M except per share data) Market Cap Net Debt Cash & Short Term Investments Debt Enterprise Value Basic S/O (M) Fully Diluted (M) Avg Daily Volume (3mo, k) 52 Week Range n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. Company Description of ore feed yielding ~740,000 tpy of lithium concentrates was completed and Talison Lithium Limited engages in the mining, development, and exploration of mineral properties in Western Australia and Chile. It mines and processes lithium bearing mineral spodumene at Greenbushes, near Perth, Western Australia, as well as produces a range of lithium concentrates and sells to customers for processing into lithium chemicals, primarily lithium carbonate. The company also owns interests in the Salares 7 Project, a lithium and potassium exploration property consisting of seven salars in Region III, Chile. As of February 26, 2013, Talison Lithium Limited operates as a subsidiary of Windfield Holdings Pty Ltd. commissioned in June 2012. The company also plans to build a 20,000 tpy Li- SHARE PRICE/TRADING VOLUME CHART Increasing Processing Capacity: The Greenbushes lithium operation has two processing plants in the town of Greenbushes, one producing technical-grade lithium concentrates and the other producing chemical-grade lithium concentrates. A plant expansion to increase nominal production capacity to ~1.5M tpy 2 CO3 plant, with commissioning expected in 2015. In FY2012, ~785,000 tonnes of ore was processed to produce 357,000 tonnes of lithium concentrate. Geographically Diversified Customer Base: In 2012, technical-grade lithium concentrates were distributed 40% to China, 37% to Europe, 13% to North America and 7% to Japan. All of Talison’s chemical-grade lithium concentrate was sold in China. Tianqi, a long-standing customer of Talison, through its subsidiaries in 25 $8.0 20 $6.0 15 $4.0 10 $2.0 5 0 Sep-10 Mar-11 Sep-11 Series2 China, purchases ~40% of Talison’s chemical-grade lithium concentrate. Salares 7 Project: Talison Lithium also has a lithium brine project located in the Atacama Region III, in Northern Chile. Talison indirectly holds 50% of the project with an option to acquire another 20%. An exploration program at Salares 7 has included initial drilling, transient electromagnetic geophysical surveys and regional surface water geochemical sampling programs. Talison’s goal is to develop the project to produce battery-grade Li2CO3. Tianqi Acquires Talison: On December 6, 2012, Chengdu Tianqi Industry (Group) Co., Ltd. announced that its wholly owned subsidiary, Windfield Holdings Pty Ltd., entered into a definitive agreement to acquire Talison Lithium in an all-cash transaction for ~$847M. China Investment Corporation has funded Windfield with ~$300M of long-term equity in exchange for ~35%, non-controlling equity interest in Windfield. Tianqi is the world’s largest hard rock lithium converter and the sole distributor of Greenbushes lithium concentrate in China. www.epccm.ca Mar-12 PROJECT DETAILS Name Location Stage Property Size NI 43-101 Average Grade Off-Take/Partnership Year Production Volume Production Resources Measured Indicated Inferred Reserves Proven Probable Ownership Sep-12 Mar-13 $0.0 Series1 Greenbushes Western Australia Production 10,000 ha Yes 1.304% Li Yes In Production 357,000 Concentrate (53,029 LCE) 0.6 Mt @ 1.488% Li, (47,553 LCE) 117.9 Mt @ 1.125% Li, (7,063.504 LCE) 2.1 Mt @ 0.930% Li, (103,978 LCE) 0.6 Mt @ 1.488% Li, (47,553 LCE) 61.0 Mt @ 1.302% Li, (4,228,960 LCE) 100% Source: Capital IQ, Company Reports 49
  • 51.
    Luisa Moreno, PhD,MEng - 416.933.3352 luisa.moreno@europac.ca Ollie Primak, MBA, CFA - 416.649-4273 x308, Associate ollie.primak@europac.ca August 2013 Lithium Industry Report ROCKWOOD HOLDINGS Inc. NYSE - ROC : US$68.01 12-MONTH TARGET PRICE : N/A | PROJECTED RETURN: N/a Diversified Business Model: Rockwood (Chemetall Group Company) operates its business under six different business segments. As a percentage of 2012 revenue these segments are: Lithium (13%); Surface Treatment (21%); Performance Additives (21%); Titanium Dioxide Pigments (25%); Advanced Ceramics (16%) and Corporate and Other (4%). Lithium Segment Overview: Rockwood’s lithium segment offers a broad range of basic lithium compounds including Li2CO3, LiOH, lithium nitrate (LiNO3), lithium chloride (LiCl), as well as potash, produced as a by-product. It also provides technical and recycling services. Net segment sales for the year ended December 31 were US$474.4M (2012), US$456.5M (2011) and US$397.1M (2010). Two Main Mineral Deposits: Lithium carbonate is produced at the company’s Silver Peak, Nevada and Salar de Atacama, Chile operations, with Silver Peak producing lithium materials since 1966. The brine deposit at Silver Peak has a concentration of 0.02% Li, and an estimated 0.3Mt of contained lithium resources. In 2010, the company initiated a program to expand and upgrade the production of Li2CO3 at its Silver Peak plant. The Salar de Atacama operation is MARKET DATA AS OF 09/08/2013 ($M except per share data) Market Cap Net Debt Cash & Short Term Investments Debt Enterprise Value Basic S/O (M) Fully Diluted (M) Avg Daily Volume (3mo, k) 52 Week Range $4,890.67 $1,899.00 $321.70 $2,220.70 $6,945.27 74.70 76.07 625.70 $42.02 - $69.60 Company Description Rockwood Holdings, Inc. develops, manufactures, and markets specialty chemicals and advanced materials for industrial and commercial applications primarily in Germany, the United States, and Europe. The company operates in four segments: Specialty Chemicals, Performance Additives, Titanium Dioxide Pigments, and Advanced Ceramics. The company sells its products through direct sales forces, as well as through distributors and third party sales representatives. Rockwood Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 2000 and is based in Princeton, New Jersey. SHARE PRICE/TRADING VOLUME CHART 6 $80.0 5 one of the world’s largest production facilities for lithium and Rockwood has a claim of 13,700 hectares. A buffer zone of around 10,000 hectares separates $60.0 4 3 the Rockwood claims from those of SQM. Collectively, the Salar de Atacama region has an estimated 7.0Mt of lithium reserves (2009 estimates). Production Facilities: Total Li2CO3 production capacity for Rockwood’s operations in Chile and the U.S. was 33,000 tpy in 2011; estimated production was 29,000–30,000 tonnes of Li2CO3 and derivatives, mostly from the company’s operation in Chile. In early 2012, the company announced plans to construct a new 20,000 tpy Li2CO3 plant in La Negra, Chile. The new facility, expected to be completed by year-end 2013, would increase Rockwood’s worldwide Li2CO3 production capacity to > 50,000 tpy. In addition, Rockwood would increase its worldwide LiOH production capacity, currently estimated to be greater than 5,000 tpy to more than 10,000 tpy by 2014. Production of downstream lithium products is mostly performed in the United States, Germany and Taiwan. $40.0 2 $20.0 1 0 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Volume (M) PROJECT DETAILS Name Location Stage Property Size NI 43-101 Average Grade Off-Take/Partnership Year Production Volume Production Resources (Contained) Silver Peak Salar de Atacama Reserves (Contained) Silver Peak Salar de Atacama Ownership Jul-12 Jan-13 Salar de Atacama / Silver Peak Antofagasta, Chile / Nevada, U.S. Production / Production 13,700 ha / n.a. n.a. 0.112% Li n.a. In Production ~30,000 Li2CO3 ~0.3 Mt Li, (1,597,200 LCE) n.a. n.a. ~0.6 Mt Li, (3,194,400 LCE) 100%/100% Source: Capital IQ, Company Reports 50 www.epccm.ca $0.0 Price
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    Luisa Moreno, PhD,MEng - 416.933.3352 luisa.moreno@europac.ca Ollie Primak, MBA, CFA - 416.649-4273 x308, Associate ollie.primak@europac.ca August 2013 Lithium Industry Report SOCIEDAD QUIMICA y MINERA de CHILE S.A. (SQM) NYSE - SQM : US$28.31 12-MONTH TARGET PRICE : N/A | PROJECTED RETURN: N/a Diversified Chemical Producer: SQM’s end products are divided into six categories (as a percentage of 2012 earnings): Specialty Plant Nutrients (21%); Iodine and its Derivatives (35%); Lithium and its Derivatives (11%); Potassium Chloride and Potassium Sulfate (24%); Industrial Chemicals (8%); and other Commodity Fertilizers (>1%). Mineral Rich Resources: SQM’s products are derived from mineral deposits found in Northern Chile where it mines and processes caliche ore and brine deposits. The caliche ore in Northern Chile contains the only known nitrate and iodine deposits in the world and it is the world’s largest commercially exploited source of natural nitrates. The brine deposits of the Salar de Atacama contain high concentrations of lithium and potassium, as well as significant concentrations of sulfate and boron. SQM holds exclusive rights to exploit the mineral resources of Salar de Atacama MARKET DATA AS OF 09/08/2013 ($M except per share data) Market Cap Net Debt Cash & Short Term Investments Debt Enterprise Value Basic S/O (M) Fully Diluted (M) Avg Daily Volume (3mo, k) 52 Week Range $7,495.84 $1,014.42 $599.09 $1,613.51 $8,565.79 263.20 263.20 876.96 $27.14 - $65.31 Company Description Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile engages in the production and distribution of specialty plant nutrients, iodine and its derivatives, lithium and its derivatives, potassium chloride and potassium sulfate, industrial chemicals, and other commodity fertilizers. The company sells its products through a distribution network in approximately 100 countries worldwide. Chemical and Mining Company of Chile Inc. was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Santiago, Chile. in an area covering ~140,000 hectares, of which SQM is entitled to exploit the SHARE PRICE/TRADING VOLUME CHART mineral resources existing in 81,920 hectares, with a total accumulated extrac- 2.5 $80.0 tion limit of 180,100 tonnes of lithium per year. SQM has contained proven and 2 $60.0 probable lithium reserves of 3.0Mt and 3.2Mt, respectively. 1.5 Low-Cost Production Model: Li2CO3 and LiOH are produced at the company’s 0.5 Salar del Carmen facilities, near Antofagasta, Chile, ~230 kilometres west of 0 the Salar de Atacama. Annual production capacity is 48,000 tpa Li2CO3 and 6,000 tpa LiOH. High evaporation rates and the concentration of other minerals (lithium is produced as a by-product of potassium chloride) allow SQM to be one of the lowest-cost producers worldwide. SQM produced 41,000 tonnes of Li2CO3 in 2012, an increase of 8% from 38,000 tonnes in 2011. Sales Growth with Higher Demand: Revenue in 2012 from SQM’s lithium segment were US$222.2M, with 45,700 tonnes of Li2CO3, representing 9% of total company revenue and ~35% of global lithium chemical sales by volume. This was a 21% increase from US$183.4M in 2011 and a 12% increase by volume from 40,700 tonnes of Li2CO3 in 2011. The company’s lithium products are distributed throughout the world, with~24% of customers in Europe, the Middle East and Africa; 10% in North America; 64% in Asia and Oceania; and 2% in other regions. In 2012, no single customer accounted for more than 13% of lithium sales, while the 10 largest customers accounted, in aggregate, for ~50% of sales. $40.0 1 $20.0 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Volume (M) PROJECT DETAILS Name Location Stage Property Size NI 43-101 Average Grade Off-Take/Partnership Year Production Volume Production Resources (Contained) Measured Indicated Inferred Reserves (Contained) Proven Probable Ownership Jul-12 Jan-13 $0.0 Price Salar de Atacama Chile Production 81,920 ha n.a. n.a. Yes In Production 45,700 Li2CO3 n.a. n.a. n.a. 3.0 Mt Li, 15,972,000 LCE 3.2 Mt Li, 17,036,800 LCE 100% Source: Capital IQ, Company Reports www.epccm.ca 51
  • 53.
    Luisa Moreno, PhD,MEng - 416.933.3352 luisa.moreno@europac.ca Ollie Primak, MBA, CFA - 416.649-4273 x308, Associate ollie.primak@europac.ca August 2013 Lithium Industry Report FMC Corp. NYSE - FMC : US$66.12 12-MONTH TARGET PRICE : N/A | PROJECTED RETURN: N/a Diversified Revenue Base: FMC operates under three business segments (as a percentage of 2012 consolidated revenue): Agricultural Products (47%); Specialty Chemicals (24%) and Industrial Chemicals (29%). FMC’s lithium operations fall into the Specialty Chemicals segment and account for ~6% of 2012 consolidated revenue. Long-Term Mineral Rights in Salar de Hombre. FMC has long-term mineral rights to the Salar del Hombre Muerto lithium reserves in Argentina. The Hombre Muerto salar is a 56,500-hectare playa with a 28,000-hectare salt nucleus in its southeast section. The brine lithium concentrations range from 190 to 900 ppm lithium. Compared to Atacama, Hombre Muerto has lower concentrations of lithium but also very low levels of magnesium, which can cause processing challenges. FMC Corp. obtained the rights to Hombre Muerto from the Argentinean government in 1995; reserves are estimated to last 75 years. MARKET DATA AS OF 09/08/2013 ($M except per share data) Market Cap Net Debt Cash & Short Term Investments Debt Enterprise Value Basic S/O (M) Fully Diluted (M) Avg Daily Volume (3mo, k) 52 Week Range $8,994.37 $1,194.50 $82.60 $1,277.10 $10,235.97 136.36 136.86 833.28 $50.76 - $67.46 Company Description FMC Corporation, a diversified chemical company, provides solutions and products for agricultural, consumer, and industrial markets. It operates in three segments: Agricultural Products, Specialty Chemicals, and Industrial Chemicals. The company operates in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Latin America, and the Asia Pacific. FMC Corporation was founded in 1883 and is headquartered in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. SHARE PRICE/TRADING VOLUME CHART 4 $80.0 Hombre Muerto’s lithium reserves range from 0.4 to 0.8Mt of Li, with contained 3 $60.0 resources estimated at 0.8Mt of Li. In 2011, FMC’s Li2CO3 production capacity 2 $40.0 was 17,000 tpy. The company is planning to increase production to 23,000 tpy. 1 $20.0 Healthy Reserves with Increasing Production Capacity. Recent estimates for 0 Focus on Specialty Lithium Compounds. FMC has production facilities in Argentina through Minera del Altiplano S.A., where it produces LiOH and Li2CO3. Production of its downstream lithium products is mostly performed in the United States and the United Kingdom. While lithium is sold into a variety of end markets, FMC has focused its strategy on energy storage, specialty polymers, grease and pharmaceuticals, producing a full range of downstream inorganic compounds and lithium metal. In 2012, lithium revenue was US$233.0M, up ~4% compared to US$224.8M in 2011. Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Volume (M) PROJECT DETAILS Name Location Stage Property Size NI 43-101 Average Grade Off-Take/Partnership Year Production Volume Production Resources (Contained) Measured Indicated Inferred Reserves (Contained) Proven Probable Ownership Jul-12 Jan-13 Price Salar de Hombre Muerto Salta, Argentina Production 56,500 ha n.a. 0.052% Li n.a. In Production 23,000 Li2CO3 0.8 Mt Li, (4,259,200 LCE) n.a. n.a. 0.8 Mt Li, (4,259,200 Li2CO3) n.a. n.a. 100% Source: Capital IQ, Company Reports 52 www.epccm.ca $0.0
  • 54.
    August 2013 Lithium IndustryReport INVESTMENT RISKS The most common investment risks associated with the companies in this report are listed below. Exploration Risk: The market may price in successful preliminary drilling or trenching results, which comprehensive exploration work may not confirm. A company’s share price could fall in these situations. Financing Risk: It is difficult to raise funds when equity and credit markets are tight, which could lead to project delays and cancelations. During the funding process, equity dilution may occur. Geopolitical Risk: Companies with assets in the developing countries are usually assumed riskier, given the often less stable political environments. However, companies in developed countries can also be affected by changes in governments and policies that may, for example, affect tax and permitting laws. Some projects in North and South America are under the jurisdiction of First Nations groups, which often involve high levels of negotiations and approvals. Price Risk: Fluctuations in commodity prices could have an adverse effect on the economics of a mining and processing project. Metallurgical Process Risk: Metallurgical processes are highly dependent on the type of ore and economic determining factors, such as grade and size of the resource and ore amenability to conventional chemical recovery. Currency Risk: Many commodities are priced in U.S. dollars; as such, companies operating outside of the U.S. will be affected by changes in the exchange rate between the U.S. dollar and their functional currency. Acquisition Risk: Given the current market conditions, the consolidation of the lithium junior sector is likely. In a highly competitive market, some companies may overpay for assets. www.epccm.ca 53
  • 55.
    Euro Pacific CanadaInc. Research Disclosures Analyst Certification I, Luisa Moreno, hereby certify that the views expressed in this report accurately reflect our personal views about the subject securities or issuers. We also certify that we have not, am not, and will not receive, directly or indirectly, compensation in exchange for expressing the specific recommendations or views in this report. Stock Rating Categories BUY: The security represents attractive relative value and is expected to appreciate significantly from the current price over the next 12 month time horizon. SPECULATIVE BUY: The security is considered a BUY but in the analyst’s opinion possesses certain operational and/or financial risks that are higher than average. HOLD: The security represents fair value and no material appreciation is expected over the next 12-18 month time horizon. REDUCE: The security is expected to depreciate in the near term; however the long term outlook is positive. SELL: The security represents poor value and is expected to depreciate over the next 12 month time horizon. Our ratings may be followed by “(†)” which denotes that the investment is speculative and has a higher degree of risk associated with it. Ratings Distribution Euro Pacific Canada’s initial rating distribution is as follows (rating distribution is updated monthly): Recommendation Hierarchy BUY SPECULATIVE BUY HOLD REDUCE SELL UNDER REVIEW Percentage of total recommendations 25% 29% 23% - - 23% 13 15 12 - - 12 25% 25% - - - 50% 1 1 - - - 2 Number of recommendations Percentage of investment banking relationships Number of investing banking relationships Company Specific Disclosures Issuer Is this an issuer related or industry related publication? 1) Does the Analyst or any member of the Analyst’s household have a financial interest in the securities of the subject issuer? If Yes: 1) Is it a long or short position? NA; and, 2) What type of security is it? NA 2) Does the Analyst or household member serve as a Director or Officer or Advisory Board Member of the issuer? 3) Does Euro Pacific Canada Inc. or the Analyst have any actual material conflicts of interest with the issuer? 4) Does Euro Pacific Canada Inc. and/or one or more entities affiliated with Euro Pacific Canada Inc. beneficially own common shares (or any other class of common equity securities) of this issuer which constitutes more than 1% of the presently issued and outstanding shares of the issuer? 5) During the last 12 months, has Euro Pacific Canada Inc. provided financial advice to and/or, either on its own or as a syndicate member, participated in a public offering, or private placement of securities of this issuer? 6) During the last 12 months, has Euro Pacific Canada Inc. received compensation for having provided investment banking or related services to this Issuer? 7) The analyst had an on site visit with the Issuer within the last 12 months. 8) Has the Analyst been compensated for travel expenses incurred as a result of an on site visit with the Issuer within the last 12 months? 9) Has the Analyst received any compensation from the subject company in the past 12 months? 10) Is Euro Pacific Canada Inc. a market maker in the issuer’s securities at the date of this report? Company Name Nemaska Lithium Inc. Canada Lithium Corp. Ticker NMX-TSX.V CLQ-TSX Disclosures 5, 9 9 U.K. Disclosures This research report was prepared by Euro Pacific Canada Inc., a member of the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada and the Canadian Investor Protection Fund EURO PACIFIC CANADA INC. IS NOT SUBJECT TO U.K. RULES WITH REGARD TO THE PREPARATION OF RESEARCH REPORTS AND THE INDEPENDENCE OF ANALYSTS. The contents hereof are intended solely for the use of, and may only be issued or passed onto persons described in part VI of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2001. This report does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any of the securities discussed herein. U.S. Disclosures This research report was prepared by Euro Pacific Canada Inc., a member of the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada and the Canadian Investor Protection Fund. This report does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any of the securities discussed herein. Euro Pacific Canada Inc. is not registered as a broker-dealer in the United States. The firm that prepared this report may not be subject to U.S. rules regarding the preparation of research reports and the independence of research analysts.
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    Institutional Sales &Trading David Foley, Managing Director, Institutional Sales & Trading 416-933-3350 david.foley@europac.ca Christine Young, Vice President, Institutional Sales christine.young@europac.ca Toronto 130 King Street West Exchange Tower, Suite 2820 Box 20, Toronto ON, M5X 1A9 416-649-4273 888-216-9779 Montreal 1501 McGill College Avenue Suite 1450 Montréal, QC, H3A 3M8 514-940-5096 888-216-9779 Vancouver 1111 Melville Street, Suite 480 Vancouver BC V6E 3V6 604-453-1382 888-216-9779 Tokyo Holland Hills Mori Tower RoP #603 5-11-1 Toranomon, Minato-Ku, Tokyo, 105-0001 416-479-8690 Jonathan Thompson, Sales Trader jonathan.thompson@europac.ca 416-649-4273 x300 Pierre-Yves Terrisse, Institutional Sales pierre.terrisse@europac.ca 514-905-7927 Richard Ouellette, Sales Trader richard.ouelette@europac.ca 514-905-7928 Investment Banking David Cusson, CEO david.cusson@europac.ca 416-649-4271 Rob Furse, President rob.furse@europac.ca 416-649-4288 Blair Jordan blair.jordan@europac.ca 778-331-5042 Shinichi Muto, Japanese Representative shinichi.muto@europac.ca +81.90.1470.1684 Connor Wang connor.wang@europac.ca 778-331-1007 Research Rob Goff - HBA, CFA Managing Director of Research, Head of Research, Telecom Services & New Media Analyst 416-933-3351 rob.goff@europac.ca Douglas Loe - MBA, Ph.D Biochemistry, M.Sc Healthcare & Biotechnology Analyst 416-775-1004 doug.loe@europac.ca Luisa Moreno, PhD, MEng., Mining Analyst luisa.moreno@europac.ca www.epccm.ca 416-933-3352 Rob Sutherland, FRI(E), Real Estate Analyst rob.sutherland@europac.ca 416-933-3353 Matthew Zylstra, Precious Metals Analyst matthew.zylstra@europac.ca 416-649-4273 x305 Mark Belcarz, Research Associate 416-479-8976 mark.belcarz@europac.ca Dima Kash, Research Associate dima.kash@europac.ca 416-649-4273 x404 DESIGN & LAYOUT Ted Thompson ted.thompson@europac.ca 647-210-1742
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    Lithium Industry A StrategicEnergy Metal Significant Increase in Demand Ahead www.epccm.ca