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K E Y N O T E 
                                                                                 INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH
India Morning Note
Thursday, December 15, 2011

Domestic Markets Snapshot                                  Views on markets today
 Name of Index         Dec 13       Dec 14    Change (%)
                                                           • Indian markets ended volatile session in negative note
                                                             yesterday after investors disappointed with inflation
 Sensex              16,002.51    15,881.14     -0.76%
                                                             numbers and worries spurred about tight liquidity
 CNX Nifty            4,800.60     4,763.25     -0.78%       situation will remain for some time in future while
 BSE Mid-cap          5,482.20     5,430.05     -0.95%       European markets, mostly negative, were unable to
 BSE IT               5,816.13     5,803.11     -0.22%       provide support. Monthly WPI based inflation came
 BSE Banks            9,863.60     9,824.49     -0.40%       down from 9.7% to 9.1%, this is a 12th consecutive
                                                             month to show more than 9% rise in the monthly
FII Activity                                     (`Cr)       inflation. Rupee hit a new low against the dollar, after
 Date                     Buy          Sell        Net       selling pressure came on falling global commodities,
                                                             euro and equities. The rupee touched a new low of
 13-Dec                  1,598        2,088        -490
                                                             53.76 against the dollar. Foreign funds have been net
 12-Dec                  1,518        1,837        -319      sellers of more than $208.6mn of Indian shares this
 Total Dec              16,460       15,457       1003       year, compared with record buying of more than
 2011 YTD             584,904      586,846        -1942      $29bn in 2010. Except FMCG, all sectoral indices
                                                             closed on negative note with real estate, metal, power
MF Activity                                       (`Cr)      and consumer durable stocks were major losers.
 Date                     Buy          Sell        Net       Capital goods maker Areva T&D fell 24% after its plan
 13-Dec                   572          495          78       to separate transmission and distribution business
                                                             took effect.
 12-Dec                   459          635         -176
                                                           • Market breadth was however week at ~0.66x as
 Total Dec               3618         4062         -445
                                                             investors sold large cap stocks. FIIs sold equities worth
 2011 YTD             125,843      120,841        5003
                                                             `1.40bn while domestic institutions bought equities of
Volume & Advances / Declines                                 `4.49bn.

                                      NSE          BSE     • Asia stocks declined on Thursday, following the cues
                                                             from the US markets overnight with manufacturers
 Trading Volume (`Cr)               9,775         1,930
                                                             and commodity-linked firms weak, preliminary reading
 Advances                             464         1,080      of HSBC's China purchasing managers' index released
 Declines                           1,016         1,626      Thursday showed the level of activity at the
 Unchanged                             60          160       mainland's factories continued to contract in
 Total                              1,540         2,866      December, though the rate of decline was less than in
                                                             November. HSBC's so-called flash PMI for China fell to
Global Markets                                               49 in December, remaining below the thresold of 50
 Index                     Latest Values      Change (%)     that separates expansion from contraction.
 DJIA                            11,823.48        -1.1%    • We expect a weak opening for the Indian markets
                                                             today, as Asian markets gave weak cues and the
 NASDAQ                           2,539.31        -1.5%
                                                             monthly inflation for November announced yesterday
 Nikkei *                         8,406.99        -1.3%
                                                             was weaker than the estimates. Further consistent fall
 Hang Seng *                     17,944.48        -2.2%      in the rupee is maintaining pressure over the imported
* as of 8.25AM IST                                           commodity prices led to a fall in the oil & gas and
                                                             capital goods companies.
Currencies / Commodities Snapshot
                                                           Economic and Corporate Developments
                                    Latest     Previous
                                    Quote         Close    • The wholesale price index, the main inflation gauge,
 Indian Rupee per $                  53.72        54.24      rose 9.11% in November from a year earlier, slowing
                                                             from a 9.73% rise in October.
 Indian Rupee per €                  69.76        69.55
                                                           • With changing lifestyle and increasing consumer
 NYMEX Crude Oil($/bbl)              95.23        94.95
                                                             demand, the Indian fast moving consumer goods
 Gold ($/oz)                      1,571.80     1,584.30      market is expected to cross $80bn by 2026 in towns
 Silver ($/oz)                       29.13        28.89      with population of up to 10 lakh, according to a study
                                                             by market research firm Nielsen.

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                                  K E Y N O T E 
                                                                              INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH

TOP GAINERS                                             Buzzing Stocks
(BSE A-Group)                                           • Reliance Industries has alleged that the petroleum
                   Previous     Current    Change
                                                          ministry is violating coal bed methane contract by
 Company Name                                             restricting price discovery which could lead to
                   Close (`)   Price (`)      (%)
 Sun TV Network      262.65     275.80       5.01         revenue loss for the central and state exchequers.
 Glenmark Ph         294.15     304.45       3.50       • C&C Constructions is looking to raise about `400-
 Pidilite Inds       140.45     145.00       3.24         500Cr through sale of 30% stake in one of its
 Dish TV India        60.60       62.45      3.05         subsidiaries, C&C Projects, to private equity
 Redington India      75.55       77.65      2.78         investors.
                                                        • France's    Saint-Gobain,     a  global   leader  in
(BSE Mid-Cap)
                                                          construction, building materials and glass, will
                    Previous   Current     Change         acquire Electrotherm India's pipe business and 100%
 Company Name
                    Close(`)   Price(`)       (%)         stake in a subsidiary of the company for `950Cr.
 COX KINGS           162.80      171.10       5.10
                                                        • DLF is close to signing a deal with private equity
 VAARAD                40.40      42.40       4.95
                                                          major Blackstone, as the country’s largest real
 IPCA Lab            260.85      270.10       3.55        estate developer by market capitalisation is planning
 Glenmark Ph         294.15      304.45       3.50        to offload its entire stake in the special economic
 Pidilite Inds       140.45      145.00       3.24        zone (SEZ) in Pune.
                                                        • Rajesh Exports expects to raise gold imports 17%
TOP LOSERS                                                next year to power its renewed thrust in the
(BSE A-Group)                                             competitive and fragmented local jewellery market
                                                          as a cushion against a volatile export market, its
                   Previous    Current     Change
 Company Name                                             chairman said on Wednesday.
                   Close(`)    Price(`)       (%)
 Pantaloon Retl      157.60     142.05       -9.87      • Indian Oil Corp (IOC) is in talks with L&T-Tata Steel-
 Sintex Inds          81.05       74.70      -7.83        owned Dhamra Port Co Ltd for setting up a 5mn tons
 Jain Irrigation     105.25       97.85      -7.03        a year LNG terminal in Orissa, the firm's director
                                                          incharge of new businesses has said.
 Chambal Fert         84.70       79.10      -6.61
 FORTIS              105.80     100.00       -5.48      • The Telecom Regulatory Authority of India (Trai) is in
                                                          the process of taking legal action against Bharti
(BSE Mid-Cap)                                             Airtel for violating the mobile number portability
                    Previous   Current     Change         (MNP) guidelines.
 Company Name
                    Close(`)   Price(`)       (%)       US markets
 Balrampur Chini      39.95       35.50     -11.14
                                                        U.S. stocks on Wednesday closed lower for a third
 Pantaloon Retl      157.60      142.05      -9.87
                                                        straight day as investors worried about the toll of
 Sintex Inds           81.05      74.70      -7.83
                                                        Europe’s debt struggles on the global economy, with
 Jain Irrigation     105.25       97.85      -7.03      investors also unloading gold and the euro. Another
 Orchid Chem         160.05      148.90      -6.97      news that affected the sentiment was Federal Reserve
                                                        Chairman Ben S. Bernanke statement the Fed plans no
                                                        additional aid to European banks amid the region’s
                                                        sovereign debt crisis, according to two lawmakers who
                                                        attended the meeting.
                                                        The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 131.46 points, or
                                                        1.1%, to 11,823.48. The S&P 500 Index declined 13.91
                                                        points, or 1.1%, at 1,211.82. The Nasdaq Composite
                                                        Index shed 39.96 points, or 1.6%, at 2,539.31.




Keynote Capitals Institutional Research              (research@keynoteindia.net)            (+9122-30266000)
                                  K E Y N O T E  
                                                                                                                                                        INSTIT UT IONAL     R ES EAR C H 

 India and Global Economic Calendar

          Countries /                               Wednesday                                          Thursday                                           Friday
          Regions                                       Dec. 14                                         Dec. 15                                         Dec. 16
          India                         Monthly Inflation: 9.11%                         Weekly Inflation Data                           Forex Reserves Data
                                                                                                                                         Weekly Supplement of
                                                                                                                                         RBI


                                                                                                                                         Consumer Price Index Ex
          US                                                                             Producer price index
                                                                                                                                         Food & Energy
                                                                                         Current Account                                 Consumer Price Index
                                                                                         Net long term treasury
                                                                                         International capital
                                                                                         Initial jobless claims
                                                                                         "Industrial production
                                        Japan Industrial
                                                                                                                                         Canada Foreign
                                        Production data and                              Philadelphia Fed
          Global                                                                                                                         Investments in Canadian
                                        Manufacturing Index: up                          Manufacturing Survey
                                                                                                                                         securities
                                        by 2.2% (MoM)
                                        UK Jobless Rate: 8.3%
                                                                                         Hungary- Industrial                             UK Nationwide
                                        UK Average Earnings
                                                                                         output                                          Consumer Confidence
                                        growth rate: 4.1%
                                                                                         Switzerland- Industrial                         Australia RBA Foreign
                                                                                         production                                      Exchange Transaction
                                                                                         Germany- Purchasing
                                                                                                                                         Euro Zone Trade
                                                                                         Managers Index
                                                                                                                                         Balances
                                                                                         Manufacturing
                                                                                         China HSBC
                                                                                         Manufacturing
                                                                                         Purchasing Managers
                                                                                         Index
                                                                                         Eurozone purchasing
                                                                                         managers index




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Disclaimer: This report is purely for information purpose and is based on public information. News content is attributable to
various media, unless specified otherwise. All market related statistical data pertains to the immediately preceding trading day,
unless stated otherwise. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an offer, or an invitation to
make an offer, to buy or sell the securities mentioned herein. We or any of our directors, officers or employees shall not in any
way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgment before
acting on the contents of this report. The report has not been edited due to time constraints.

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Keynote capitals india morning note december 15-'11

  • 1. K E Y N O T E  INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH India Morning Note Thursday, December 15, 2011 Domestic Markets Snapshot Views on markets today Name of Index Dec 13 Dec 14 Change (%) • Indian markets ended volatile session in negative note yesterday after investors disappointed with inflation Sensex 16,002.51 15,881.14 -0.76% numbers and worries spurred about tight liquidity CNX Nifty 4,800.60 4,763.25 -0.78% situation will remain for some time in future while BSE Mid-cap 5,482.20 5,430.05 -0.95% European markets, mostly negative, were unable to BSE IT 5,816.13 5,803.11 -0.22% provide support. Monthly WPI based inflation came BSE Banks 9,863.60 9,824.49 -0.40% down from 9.7% to 9.1%, this is a 12th consecutive month to show more than 9% rise in the monthly FII Activity (`Cr) inflation. Rupee hit a new low against the dollar, after Date Buy Sell Net selling pressure came on falling global commodities, euro and equities. The rupee touched a new low of 13-Dec 1,598 2,088 -490 53.76 against the dollar. Foreign funds have been net 12-Dec 1,518 1,837 -319 sellers of more than $208.6mn of Indian shares this Total Dec 16,460 15,457 1003 year, compared with record buying of more than 2011 YTD 584,904 586,846 -1942 $29bn in 2010. Except FMCG, all sectoral indices closed on negative note with real estate, metal, power MF Activity (`Cr) and consumer durable stocks were major losers. Date Buy Sell Net Capital goods maker Areva T&D fell 24% after its plan 13-Dec 572 495 78 to separate transmission and distribution business took effect. 12-Dec 459 635 -176 • Market breadth was however week at ~0.66x as Total Dec 3618 4062 -445 investors sold large cap stocks. FIIs sold equities worth 2011 YTD 125,843 120,841 5003 `1.40bn while domestic institutions bought equities of Volume & Advances / Declines `4.49bn. NSE BSE • Asia stocks declined on Thursday, following the cues from the US markets overnight with manufacturers Trading Volume (`Cr) 9,775 1,930 and commodity-linked firms weak, preliminary reading Advances 464 1,080 of HSBC's China purchasing managers' index released Declines 1,016 1,626 Thursday showed the level of activity at the Unchanged 60 160 mainland's factories continued to contract in Total 1,540 2,866 December, though the rate of decline was less than in November. HSBC's so-called flash PMI for China fell to Global Markets 49 in December, remaining below the thresold of 50 Index Latest Values Change (%) that separates expansion from contraction. DJIA 11,823.48 -1.1% • We expect a weak opening for the Indian markets today, as Asian markets gave weak cues and the NASDAQ 2,539.31 -1.5% monthly inflation for November announced yesterday Nikkei * 8,406.99 -1.3% was weaker than the estimates. Further consistent fall Hang Seng * 17,944.48 -2.2% in the rupee is maintaining pressure over the imported * as of 8.25AM IST commodity prices led to a fall in the oil & gas and capital goods companies. Currencies / Commodities Snapshot Economic and Corporate Developments Latest Previous Quote Close • The wholesale price index, the main inflation gauge, Indian Rupee per $ 53.72 54.24 rose 9.11% in November from a year earlier, slowing from a 9.73% rise in October. Indian Rupee per € 69.76 69.55 • With changing lifestyle and increasing consumer NYMEX Crude Oil($/bbl) 95.23 94.95 demand, the Indian fast moving consumer goods Gold ($/oz) 1,571.80 1,584.30 market is expected to cross $80bn by 2026 in towns Silver ($/oz) 29.13 28.89 with population of up to 10 lakh, according to a study by market research firm Nielsen. Keynote Capitals Institutional Research (research@keynoteindia.net) (+9122-30266000) Keynote Capitals Institutional Research is also available on Bloomberg KNTE <GO>, Thomson One Analytics, Reuters Knowledge, Capital IQ, TheMarkets.com and securities.com Keynote Capitals Institutional Research - winner of “India’s Best IPO Analyst Award 2009” by MCX-Zee Business To unsubscribe from this mailing list, please reply to unsubscribe@keynotecapitals.net
  • 2.                                   K E Y N O T E  INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH TOP GAINERS Buzzing Stocks (BSE A-Group) • Reliance Industries has alleged that the petroleum Previous Current Change ministry is violating coal bed methane contract by Company Name restricting price discovery which could lead to Close (`) Price (`) (%) Sun TV Network 262.65 275.80 5.01 revenue loss for the central and state exchequers. Glenmark Ph 294.15 304.45 3.50 • C&C Constructions is looking to raise about `400- Pidilite Inds 140.45 145.00 3.24 500Cr through sale of 30% stake in one of its Dish TV India 60.60 62.45 3.05 subsidiaries, C&C Projects, to private equity Redington India 75.55 77.65 2.78 investors. • France's Saint-Gobain, a global leader in (BSE Mid-Cap) construction, building materials and glass, will Previous Current Change acquire Electrotherm India's pipe business and 100% Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) stake in a subsidiary of the company for `950Cr. COX KINGS 162.80 171.10 5.10 • DLF is close to signing a deal with private equity VAARAD 40.40 42.40 4.95 major Blackstone, as the country’s largest real IPCA Lab 260.85 270.10 3.55 estate developer by market capitalisation is planning Glenmark Ph 294.15 304.45 3.50 to offload its entire stake in the special economic Pidilite Inds 140.45 145.00 3.24 zone (SEZ) in Pune. • Rajesh Exports expects to raise gold imports 17% TOP LOSERS next year to power its renewed thrust in the (BSE A-Group) competitive and fragmented local jewellery market as a cushion against a volatile export market, its Previous Current Change Company Name chairman said on Wednesday. Close(`) Price(`) (%) Pantaloon Retl 157.60 142.05 -9.87 • Indian Oil Corp (IOC) is in talks with L&T-Tata Steel- Sintex Inds 81.05 74.70 -7.83 owned Dhamra Port Co Ltd for setting up a 5mn tons Jain Irrigation 105.25 97.85 -7.03 a year LNG terminal in Orissa, the firm's director incharge of new businesses has said. Chambal Fert 84.70 79.10 -6.61 FORTIS 105.80 100.00 -5.48 • The Telecom Regulatory Authority of India (Trai) is in the process of taking legal action against Bharti (BSE Mid-Cap) Airtel for violating the mobile number portability Previous Current Change (MNP) guidelines. Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) US markets Balrampur Chini 39.95 35.50 -11.14 U.S. stocks on Wednesday closed lower for a third Pantaloon Retl 157.60 142.05 -9.87 straight day as investors worried about the toll of Sintex Inds 81.05 74.70 -7.83 Europe’s debt struggles on the global economy, with Jain Irrigation 105.25 97.85 -7.03 investors also unloading gold and the euro. Another Orchid Chem 160.05 148.90 -6.97 news that affected the sentiment was Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke statement the Fed plans no additional aid to European banks amid the region’s sovereign debt crisis, according to two lawmakers who attended the meeting. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 131.46 points, or 1.1%, to 11,823.48. The S&P 500 Index declined 13.91 points, or 1.1%, at 1,211.82. The Nasdaq Composite Index shed 39.96 points, or 1.6%, at 2,539.31. Keynote Capitals Institutional Research (research@keynoteindia.net) (+9122-30266000)
  • 3.                                   K E Y N O T E                                                                                                                                       INSTIT UT IONAL     R ES EAR C H  India and Global Economic Calendar Countries / Wednesday Thursday Friday Regions Dec. 14 Dec. 15 Dec. 16 India Monthly Inflation: 9.11% Weekly Inflation Data Forex Reserves Data Weekly Supplement of RBI Consumer Price Index Ex US Producer price index Food & Energy Current Account Consumer Price Index Net long term treasury International capital Initial jobless claims "Industrial production Japan Industrial Canada Foreign Production data and Philadelphia Fed Global Investments in Canadian Manufacturing Index: up Manufacturing Survey securities by 2.2% (MoM) UK Jobless Rate: 8.3% Hungary- Industrial UK Nationwide UK Average Earnings output Consumer Confidence growth rate: 4.1% Switzerland- Industrial Australia RBA Foreign production Exchange Transaction Germany- Purchasing Euro Zone Trade Managers Index Balances Manufacturing China HSBC Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index Eurozone purchasing managers index KEYNOTE CAPITALS LTD. 4th Floor, Balmer Lawrie Building, 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Mumbai 400 001. INDIA Tel. : 9122-2269 4322 / 24 / 25 • www.keynoteindia.net Disclaimer: This report is purely for information purpose and is based on public information. News content is attributable to various media, unless specified otherwise. All market related statistical data pertains to the immediately preceding trading day, unless stated otherwise. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an offer, or an invitation to make an offer, to buy or sell the securities mentioned herein. We or any of our directors, officers or employees shall not in any way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgment before acting on the contents of this report. The report has not been edited due to time constraints.