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© 2020 Jonathan Spitz. Deck template by Udacity. DoorDash logo by DoorDash. All rights reserved.
DAAVE
Distributed Assistance for Autonomous
Vehicle Emergencies
Product Owner: Jonathan Spitz
© 2020 Jonathan Spitz. Deck template by Udacity. DoorDash logo by DoorDash. All rights reserved.
The Terminator is still under development
Rise of the machines
• Use of delivery robots is rising 47% YoY[1]
• Delivery robots still run into trouble
stuck robot = expensive box
5
[1] Google Trends for “Delivery robot” 2015-2020
© 2020 Jonathan Spitz. Deck template by Udacity. DoorDash logo by DoorDash. All rights reserved.
Business Case
© 2020 Jonathan Spitz. Deck template by Udacity. DoorDash logo by DoorDash. All rights reserved.
Keep up with the demand and competition
Autonomous delivery robots
• Food delivery market expected
to grow to $170 Bln by 2025[2]
• Dashers don’t want to complete
low paying deliveries
• Average cost of
autonomous delivery: $1
7
[2] Statista - Online food delivery (Worldwide)
© 2020 Jonathan Spitz. Deck template by Udacity. DoorDash logo by DoorDash. All rights reserved.
Autonomous robots still get stuck and need help
Opportunity
• DoorDash’s Annualized GMV 2019[3]
: $7.5B
• With just 0.1% of deliveries done by robots and 4% getting stuck:
20k yearly “calls for help”
($7.5B / $15 * 0.001 * 0.04)
• Average cost of delivery issues: ~$25
$500k yearly loss
(20,000 * $25)
8
[3] DoorDash Medium: Fueling the last mile
© 2020 Jonathan Spitz. Deck template by Udacity. DoorDash logo by DoorDash. All rights reserved.
• Requests are sent to idle Dashers
through the app
• Three emergency levels:
1. Pick 1 of 4 auto-generated
resolution paths
2. Draw a path for me
3. Come rescue me
Distributed Assistance for Autonomous Vehicle Emergencies
DAAVE
• Automated request for
assistance when the AI
encounters high uncertainty
9
© 2020 Jonathan Spitz. Deck template by Udacity. DoorDash logo by DoorDash. All rights reserved.
Prevent food waste and improve autonomy
Return On Investment
• The suggested system can prevent most delivery losses
• User provided solutions used to further improve the AI
ROI: 150% Payback period: 4 months
10
Development
cost
Average reward
for assistance
Total cost of
assistance
Cost savings*
$60k App
$20k API
$1 $20k $250 k
* At least 50% of stuck deliveries are recovered = 10k/20k deliveries
© 2020 Jonathan Spitz. Deck template by Udacity. DoorDash logo by DoorDash. All rights reserved.
Selected KPIs after app launch/integration
Measurement
• Number of complaints from autonomous deliveries (-50%)
• Average emergency duration (-20%)
• Dashers ratings of app UI
• Customer reviews after autonomous deliveries
11
© 2020 Jonathan Spitz. Deck template by Udacity. DoorDash logo by DoorDash. All rights reserved.
Competitors
© 2020 Jonathan Spitz. Deck template by Udacity. DoorDash logo by DoorDash. All rights reserved.
Phantom Auto
Teleoperation Services
13
• Proprietary protocol for high bandwidth teleoperation
• Operates service centers on-demand
• Partnered with Postmates (Serve robot)
https://serve.postmates.com/ https://phantom.auto/
© 2020 Jonathan Spitz. Deck template by Udacity. DoorDash logo by DoorDash. All rights reserved.
Designated driver and Ottopia
Teleoperation Services
14
• Teleoperation as a service
• Provide teleoperation hardware
– In-vehicle
– Driver station
https://designateddriver.ai/ https://ottopia.tech/
© 2020 Jonathan Spitz. Deck template by Udacity. DoorDash logo by DoorDash. All rights reserved.
The field is getting crowded
Autonomous delivery robots
15
• New robots pop-up
each year
– Starship
– Kiwibot
– Serve
– YAPE
– Rev-1
• Regulations in some states require each
robot to have a backup driver
https://www.yapemobility.it/ https://www.kiwibot.com/ https://www.starship.xyz/
© 2020 Jonathan Spitz. Deck template by Udacity. DoorDash logo by DoorDash. All rights reserved.
Reduce costs and give Dashers additional income
Why distributed?
• Reduced costs:
– No teleoperation hardware + office space
– No dedicated driver salaries
– No need for low-latency high-bandwidth network
• Benefits for Dashers:
– Conveniently provide help through the app
– Additional income
16
© 2020 Jonathan Spitz. Deck template by Udacity. DoorDash logo by DoorDash. All rights reserved.
Roadmap and Vision
© 2020 Jonathan Spitz. Deck template by Udacity. DoorDash logo by DoorDash. All rights reserved.
Improving robot autonomy through inexpensive human interaction
Roadmap Pillars
18
Assist UI Navigation API
© 2020 Jonathan Spitz. Deck template by Udacity. DoorDash logo by DoorDash. All rights reserved.
Integrated or companion app
Dasher Assist UI
• Ping idle/nearby
dashers
• Assistance options
– Choose a path
– Draw a path
– Assist in person
• Slow rollout to
selected dashers
19
© 2020 Jonathan Spitz. Deck template by Udacity. DoorDash logo by DoorDash. All rights reserved.
Integration of calls for help and assistance input
Autonomous Navigation API
• Generation of path options
• Safe integration of user input
• Retraining of AI with new “expert examples”
20
© 2020 Jonathan Spitz. Deck template by Udacity. DoorDash logo by DoorDash. All rights reserved.
Pushing the boundaries of autonomous navigation
The path to full autonomy
• Expanding market for last mile delivery
• Increased dependence on delivery robots
• Distributed assistance reduces costs
and provides expert training data at a fraction of the cost
Setting autonomous robots on the right path, together
21
© 2020 Jonathan Spitz. Deck template by Udacity. DoorDash logo by DoorDash. All rights reserved.
Thanks

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Distributed Assistance for Autonomous Vehicle Emergencies

  • 1. © 2020 Jonathan Spitz. Deck template by Udacity. DoorDash logo by DoorDash. All rights reserved. DAAVE Distributed Assistance for Autonomous Vehicle Emergencies Product Owner: Jonathan Spitz
  • 2. © 2020 Jonathan Spitz. Deck template by Udacity. DoorDash logo by DoorDash. All rights reserved. The Terminator is still under development Rise of the machines • Use of delivery robots is rising 47% YoY[1] • Delivery robots still run into trouble stuck robot = expensive box 5 [1] Google Trends for “Delivery robot” 2015-2020
  • 3. © 2020 Jonathan Spitz. Deck template by Udacity. DoorDash logo by DoorDash. All rights reserved. Business Case
  • 4. © 2020 Jonathan Spitz. Deck template by Udacity. DoorDash logo by DoorDash. All rights reserved. Keep up with the demand and competition Autonomous delivery robots • Food delivery market expected to grow to $170 Bln by 2025[2] • Dashers don’t want to complete low paying deliveries • Average cost of autonomous delivery: $1 7 [2] Statista - Online food delivery (Worldwide)
  • 5. © 2020 Jonathan Spitz. Deck template by Udacity. DoorDash logo by DoorDash. All rights reserved. Autonomous robots still get stuck and need help Opportunity • DoorDash’s Annualized GMV 2019[3] : $7.5B • With just 0.1% of deliveries done by robots and 4% getting stuck: 20k yearly “calls for help” ($7.5B / $15 * 0.001 * 0.04) • Average cost of delivery issues: ~$25 $500k yearly loss (20,000 * $25) 8 [3] DoorDash Medium: Fueling the last mile
  • 6. © 2020 Jonathan Spitz. Deck template by Udacity. DoorDash logo by DoorDash. All rights reserved. • Requests are sent to idle Dashers through the app • Three emergency levels: 1. Pick 1 of 4 auto-generated resolution paths 2. Draw a path for me 3. Come rescue me Distributed Assistance for Autonomous Vehicle Emergencies DAAVE • Automated request for assistance when the AI encounters high uncertainty 9
  • 7. © 2020 Jonathan Spitz. Deck template by Udacity. DoorDash logo by DoorDash. All rights reserved. Prevent food waste and improve autonomy Return On Investment • The suggested system can prevent most delivery losses • User provided solutions used to further improve the AI ROI: 150% Payback period: 4 months 10 Development cost Average reward for assistance Total cost of assistance Cost savings* $60k App $20k API $1 $20k $250 k * At least 50% of stuck deliveries are recovered = 10k/20k deliveries
  • 8. © 2020 Jonathan Spitz. Deck template by Udacity. DoorDash logo by DoorDash. All rights reserved. Selected KPIs after app launch/integration Measurement • Number of complaints from autonomous deliveries (-50%) • Average emergency duration (-20%) • Dashers ratings of app UI • Customer reviews after autonomous deliveries 11
  • 9. © 2020 Jonathan Spitz. Deck template by Udacity. DoorDash logo by DoorDash. All rights reserved. Competitors
  • 10. © 2020 Jonathan Spitz. Deck template by Udacity. DoorDash logo by DoorDash. All rights reserved. Phantom Auto Teleoperation Services 13 • Proprietary protocol for high bandwidth teleoperation • Operates service centers on-demand • Partnered with Postmates (Serve robot) https://serve.postmates.com/ https://phantom.auto/
  • 11. © 2020 Jonathan Spitz. Deck template by Udacity. DoorDash logo by DoorDash. All rights reserved. Designated driver and Ottopia Teleoperation Services 14 • Teleoperation as a service • Provide teleoperation hardware – In-vehicle – Driver station https://designateddriver.ai/ https://ottopia.tech/
  • 12. © 2020 Jonathan Spitz. Deck template by Udacity. DoorDash logo by DoorDash. All rights reserved. The field is getting crowded Autonomous delivery robots 15 • New robots pop-up each year – Starship – Kiwibot – Serve – YAPE – Rev-1 • Regulations in some states require each robot to have a backup driver https://www.yapemobility.it/ https://www.kiwibot.com/ https://www.starship.xyz/
  • 13. © 2020 Jonathan Spitz. Deck template by Udacity. DoorDash logo by DoorDash. All rights reserved. Reduce costs and give Dashers additional income Why distributed? • Reduced costs: – No teleoperation hardware + office space – No dedicated driver salaries – No need for low-latency high-bandwidth network • Benefits for Dashers: – Conveniently provide help through the app – Additional income 16
  • 14. © 2020 Jonathan Spitz. Deck template by Udacity. DoorDash logo by DoorDash. All rights reserved. Roadmap and Vision
  • 15. © 2020 Jonathan Spitz. Deck template by Udacity. DoorDash logo by DoorDash. All rights reserved. Improving robot autonomy through inexpensive human interaction Roadmap Pillars 18 Assist UI Navigation API
  • 16. © 2020 Jonathan Spitz. Deck template by Udacity. DoorDash logo by DoorDash. All rights reserved. Integrated or companion app Dasher Assist UI • Ping idle/nearby dashers • Assistance options – Choose a path – Draw a path – Assist in person • Slow rollout to selected dashers 19
  • 17. © 2020 Jonathan Spitz. Deck template by Udacity. DoorDash logo by DoorDash. All rights reserved. Integration of calls for help and assistance input Autonomous Navigation API • Generation of path options • Safe integration of user input • Retraining of AI with new “expert examples” 20
  • 18. © 2020 Jonathan Spitz. Deck template by Udacity. DoorDash logo by DoorDash. All rights reserved. Pushing the boundaries of autonomous navigation The path to full autonomy • Expanding market for last mile delivery • Increased dependence on delivery robots • Distributed assistance reduces costs and provides expert training data at a fraction of the cost Setting autonomous robots on the right path, together 21
  • 19. © 2020 Jonathan Spitz. Deck template by Udacity. DoorDash logo by DoorDash. All rights reserved. Thanks