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Teaching Correct Statistical Methods
in the Era of Knowledge Sharing
John T. Amora
Associate Professor of Statistics and Analytics
Head, Office of the Performance Assessment, De La Salle-College of Saint Benilde, Manila
Chairman/President, PARSSU
Bataan Research Educators Organization, Inc. (BREO)
INTERNATIONAL RESEARCH CONFERENCE
April 7-9, 2018 || Colegio de San Juan de Letran – Bataan, PHILIPPINES
Agenda
I. Knowledge Sharing
II. Sample Size Issues
III. Statistical Modeling Issues
IV. Updates on Statistical Models
V. Teaching Statistics in the Graduate School:
Manual Computation
VI. Teaching Statistics using Software
I. Knowledge Sharing/Dissemination of
Research Results
Ways of Disseminating Research Outputs?
 Some Colleges/Universities (School A):
 Research outputs are just kept in the
cabinet or placed in the book shelves.
Only few can read.
 Researches not available and accessible
online.
 Not aware of predatory journals,
predatory conference organizers.
I. Knowledge Sharing/Dissemination of
Research Results
Ways of Disseminating Research Outputs?
 Other Colleges/Universities (School B):
 One of their goals is to generate new knowledge.
 Their outputs are published in the genuine and quality
journals (e.g., ISI, Scopus).
I. Knowledge Sharing/Dissemination of
Research Results
How do you Disseminate your Research Outputs?
 Other Colleges/Universities (School B):
 Research outputs are made available online (e.g.,
researchgate, google scholars, academia).
 Aware of predatory journals and predatory conference
organizers.
 Don’t plagiarize.
II. Sample Size Issues
a. Misuse of Slovin’s Formula
Slovin’s Formula is used only if the study is to estimate a
population proportion.
Read the article “On the Misuse of Slovin’s Formula”.
Slovin’s Formula
where:
n = sample size
N = population size
e = margin of error
Slovin’s Formula: Sample computation
Assume: N=3000 and e = 5% or .05
• For a population of N=3000, you need a
sample size of n=353.
• Many researches including theses and
dissertation use the so-called Slovin’s
Formula.
• See table at the right and observe the
values of the sample size (n) as population
size (N) increases.
N n
3,000 352.94
5,000 370.37
100,000 398.41
500,000 399.68
1,000,000 399.84
5,000,000 399.97
100,000,000 400.00
1,000,000,000 ?
1,000,000,000,000 ?
1,000,000,000,000,000 ?
Slovin’s Formula: How the formula was derived?
To make inferences on the POPULATION
PROPORTION (P) under SRSWR, Cochran(1977)
presents the following formula for sample size:
where:
N = population size
z = the standard normal variate based on
confidence level
e = margin of error
p = estimate of population proportion (P)
To arrive at Slovin’s Formula:
• In a standard normal distribution, z = ± 1.96 (or z = ±2.0) at α =.05.
• In the absence of any prior knowledge about P, the conservative approach is
to maximize the p(1-p) of the equation:
p p(1-p)
0.10 0.09
0.20 0.16
0.30 0.21
0.40 0.24
0.50 0.25
0.60 0.24
0.70 0.21
0.80 0.16
0.90 0.09
1.00 0.00
The so-called Slovin’s Formula!
• Substitute z= ± 2.0 and p = .5, yields:
• From the table, p(1-p) is maximum at p=.5 .
Misuse of Slovin’s Formula
Note that Slovin’s Formula is appropriate only in
determining sample size when the research is to estimate a
population proportion using 95% confidence coefficient
and the population proportion to be estimated is
suspected to be close to .5.
Also, note that it was Yamane(1967) who devised the
formula. Seemingly, no Slovin in the history of Statistics.
II. Sample Size Issues
b. Power Analysis
Conduct a power analysis if the research will use statistical
tests.
Power analysis is finding the optimal combination of:
• Sample size,
• Effect Size,
• tolerable errors in decision (Type 1 & Type II Errors), and
• complexity of the statistical test.
NOTE: Each Statistical Test has its own formula, but complex;
hence, we need to use a power analysis software.
II. Sample Size Issues
c. Software for Power Analysis
FREE: GPower
Some Commercial
Softwares
III. Statistical Modeling Issues
a. Statistical Models were created with underlying
Assumptions/Conditions
Moderate violations of the assumptions (e.g., normality) have
little or no effect on substantive conclusions in most instances
(Cohen, 1969).
But, do not ignore the assumptions/conditions. Check them!
Also, handle with care the other factors (multicollinearity,
missing values, and Outliers/influential points). Your results
might be distorted by these.
IV. Updates of Statistical Tools
• We always aim for excellence, but do we update our
Syllabus?
Sample Old Statistical Models (most don’t know but pretend
to be knowledgeable; others don’t care; ):
 Path Analysis – Developed by Sewall Wright (1918, 1920)
Confirmatory Factor Analysis (CFA) – Developed by Joreskog
(1969)
Structural Equation Modeling – early development was due
to Joreskog (1969, 1973), Keesling (1972), Wiley (1973)
V. Teaching Statistics in the Graduate
School: MANUAL COMPUTATION
Non Math students are forced to
manipulate complex mathematical
formulas.
Are these things difficult,
tedious/boring/dull/tiresome to
majority of them?
V. Teaching Statistics in the Graduate
School: Manual Computation
Students need the
Statistical Tools to prepare
them to do research.
But why ask them to do
the Math?
V. Teaching Statistics in the Graduate
School: Manual Computation
If non-Math People
are forced to do complex
math computation, their
attitude about the
subject becomes
negative.
Consequence #1:
V. Teaching Statistics in the Graduate
School: Manual Computation
After graduation( when he
returns to his institution), he will
handle real projects with large sample
sizes ( say, n>1000 or n> 5,000).
In school, a
graduate student is
trained to perform data
analysis manually with
small samples (e.g., n=30,
50, or <100).
V. Teaching Statistics in the Graduate
School: Manual Computation
After the comprehensive
exam, the graduate student
hired a statistician to do the
data analysis for his/her
thesis/dissertation.
What happen?
Graduate Student
passed the
comprehensive exam
in statistics.
V. Teaching Statistics in the Graduate
School: Manual Computation
Only few topics may be tackled because up to
80% of the time were wasted to do the Math.
No more time to discuss
for the advanced statistical models
Consequence #4:
V. Teaching Statistics in the Graduate
School: Manual Computation
QUESTION! Can manual
computation help boost the
research capability and productivity
of graduate students and faculty?
Why not Replace the Math with
statistical software.
Why not focus the discussion on the
following:
Concepts and Applications: (e.g. when
to use the statistical test)
How to carry out the computation
using a software?
How to present and interpret the
results?
VI. Use of Statistical Software
in Teaching Statistics
Through the use of statistical software,
Students’ Math anxiety is no longer an issue;
 Students have more time to do the right way of data
analysis(from cleaning, exploratory data analysis, …,
to checking of assumptions)
 Students have more time to practice conducting
statistical data analysis using real data;
Students have more time to practice in writing the
results;
More topics can be discussed in class.
Thank you for Listening!
My contact details:
Prof. Johnny T. Amora
De La Salle-College of Saint Benilde
Taft Avenue, Manila, Philippines
Email: johnny.amora@gmail.com

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Teaching Correct Statistical Methods in the Era of Knowledge Sharing

  • 1. Teaching Correct Statistical Methods in the Era of Knowledge Sharing John T. Amora Associate Professor of Statistics and Analytics Head, Office of the Performance Assessment, De La Salle-College of Saint Benilde, Manila Chairman/President, PARSSU Bataan Research Educators Organization, Inc. (BREO) INTERNATIONAL RESEARCH CONFERENCE April 7-9, 2018 || Colegio de San Juan de Letran – Bataan, PHILIPPINES
  • 2. Agenda I. Knowledge Sharing II. Sample Size Issues III. Statistical Modeling Issues IV. Updates on Statistical Models V. Teaching Statistics in the Graduate School: Manual Computation VI. Teaching Statistics using Software
  • 3. I. Knowledge Sharing/Dissemination of Research Results Ways of Disseminating Research Outputs?  Some Colleges/Universities (School A):  Research outputs are just kept in the cabinet or placed in the book shelves. Only few can read.  Researches not available and accessible online.  Not aware of predatory journals, predatory conference organizers.
  • 4. I. Knowledge Sharing/Dissemination of Research Results Ways of Disseminating Research Outputs?  Other Colleges/Universities (School B):  One of their goals is to generate new knowledge.  Their outputs are published in the genuine and quality journals (e.g., ISI, Scopus).
  • 5. I. Knowledge Sharing/Dissemination of Research Results How do you Disseminate your Research Outputs?  Other Colleges/Universities (School B):  Research outputs are made available online (e.g., researchgate, google scholars, academia).  Aware of predatory journals and predatory conference organizers.  Don’t plagiarize.
  • 6. II. Sample Size Issues a. Misuse of Slovin’s Formula Slovin’s Formula is used only if the study is to estimate a population proportion. Read the article “On the Misuse of Slovin’s Formula”.
  • 7. Slovin’s Formula where: n = sample size N = population size e = margin of error
  • 8. Slovin’s Formula: Sample computation Assume: N=3000 and e = 5% or .05 • For a population of N=3000, you need a sample size of n=353. • Many researches including theses and dissertation use the so-called Slovin’s Formula. • See table at the right and observe the values of the sample size (n) as population size (N) increases. N n 3,000 352.94 5,000 370.37 100,000 398.41 500,000 399.68 1,000,000 399.84 5,000,000 399.97 100,000,000 400.00 1,000,000,000 ? 1,000,000,000,000 ? 1,000,000,000,000,000 ?
  • 9. Slovin’s Formula: How the formula was derived? To make inferences on the POPULATION PROPORTION (P) under SRSWR, Cochran(1977) presents the following formula for sample size: where: N = population size z = the standard normal variate based on confidence level e = margin of error p = estimate of population proportion (P)
  • 10. To arrive at Slovin’s Formula: • In a standard normal distribution, z = ± 1.96 (or z = ±2.0) at α =.05. • In the absence of any prior knowledge about P, the conservative approach is to maximize the p(1-p) of the equation: p p(1-p) 0.10 0.09 0.20 0.16 0.30 0.21 0.40 0.24 0.50 0.25 0.60 0.24 0.70 0.21 0.80 0.16 0.90 0.09 1.00 0.00 The so-called Slovin’s Formula! • Substitute z= ± 2.0 and p = .5, yields: • From the table, p(1-p) is maximum at p=.5 .
  • 11. Misuse of Slovin’s Formula Note that Slovin’s Formula is appropriate only in determining sample size when the research is to estimate a population proportion using 95% confidence coefficient and the population proportion to be estimated is suspected to be close to .5. Also, note that it was Yamane(1967) who devised the formula. Seemingly, no Slovin in the history of Statistics.
  • 12. II. Sample Size Issues b. Power Analysis Conduct a power analysis if the research will use statistical tests. Power analysis is finding the optimal combination of: • Sample size, • Effect Size, • tolerable errors in decision (Type 1 & Type II Errors), and • complexity of the statistical test. NOTE: Each Statistical Test has its own formula, but complex; hence, we need to use a power analysis software.
  • 13. II. Sample Size Issues c. Software for Power Analysis FREE: GPower Some Commercial Softwares
  • 14. III. Statistical Modeling Issues a. Statistical Models were created with underlying Assumptions/Conditions Moderate violations of the assumptions (e.g., normality) have little or no effect on substantive conclusions in most instances (Cohen, 1969). But, do not ignore the assumptions/conditions. Check them! Also, handle with care the other factors (multicollinearity, missing values, and Outliers/influential points). Your results might be distorted by these.
  • 15. IV. Updates of Statistical Tools • We always aim for excellence, but do we update our Syllabus? Sample Old Statistical Models (most don’t know but pretend to be knowledgeable; others don’t care; ):  Path Analysis – Developed by Sewall Wright (1918, 1920) Confirmatory Factor Analysis (CFA) – Developed by Joreskog (1969) Structural Equation Modeling – early development was due to Joreskog (1969, 1973), Keesling (1972), Wiley (1973)
  • 16. V. Teaching Statistics in the Graduate School: MANUAL COMPUTATION Non Math students are forced to manipulate complex mathematical formulas. Are these things difficult, tedious/boring/dull/tiresome to majority of them?
  • 17. V. Teaching Statistics in the Graduate School: Manual Computation Students need the Statistical Tools to prepare them to do research. But why ask them to do the Math?
  • 18. V. Teaching Statistics in the Graduate School: Manual Computation If non-Math People are forced to do complex math computation, their attitude about the subject becomes negative. Consequence #1:
  • 19. V. Teaching Statistics in the Graduate School: Manual Computation After graduation( when he returns to his institution), he will handle real projects with large sample sizes ( say, n>1000 or n> 5,000). In school, a graduate student is trained to perform data analysis manually with small samples (e.g., n=30, 50, or <100).
  • 20. V. Teaching Statistics in the Graduate School: Manual Computation After the comprehensive exam, the graduate student hired a statistician to do the data analysis for his/her thesis/dissertation. What happen? Graduate Student passed the comprehensive exam in statistics.
  • 21. V. Teaching Statistics in the Graduate School: Manual Computation Only few topics may be tackled because up to 80% of the time were wasted to do the Math. No more time to discuss for the advanced statistical models Consequence #4:
  • 22. V. Teaching Statistics in the Graduate School: Manual Computation QUESTION! Can manual computation help boost the research capability and productivity of graduate students and faculty?
  • 23. Why not Replace the Math with statistical software. Why not focus the discussion on the following: Concepts and Applications: (e.g. when to use the statistical test) How to carry out the computation using a software? How to present and interpret the results? VI. Use of Statistical Software in Teaching Statistics
  • 24. Through the use of statistical software, Students’ Math anxiety is no longer an issue;  Students have more time to do the right way of data analysis(from cleaning, exploratory data analysis, …, to checking of assumptions)  Students have more time to practice conducting statistical data analysis using real data; Students have more time to practice in writing the results; More topics can be discussed in class.
  • 25. Thank you for Listening! My contact details: Prof. Johnny T. Amora De La Salle-College of Saint Benilde Taft Avenue, Manila, Philippines Email: johnny.amora@gmail.com