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E-mobility
The transition towards sustainable mobility
Prof. Dr. ir. Joeri Van Mierlo
Director of Mobility, Logistics and Automotive Technology Research Centre
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 2
25%
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 3Joris Besseling
57% NOx – 25% PM
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 4
Jonathan C. Wheeler
1 Billion Euro’s per Day
for import of Oil in Europe
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 5
Manon
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 6
Strong foundations
1979 - Vrije Universiteit Brussel
2014 - Vrije Universiteit Brussel
28/09/16
2
Vrije Universiteit Brussel
Key assets
Sustainable logistics
Electric and hybrid vehicles Battery Innovation Centre
Urban mobility
Vrije Universiteit Brussel
Our expert tools
MAMCA©
LCA
ECC
Business Modelling
Consumer behaviour
VSP
Battery models
Power electronics
Big Data
LAMBIT
TRABAM
Location Analysis
Vrije Universiteit Brussel
Our infrastructure
Electric and hybrid vehicle test
infrastructure
Power electronics and machine lab
Battery Innovation Centre infrastructure
Vrije Universiteit Brussel
Key data
40
years of expertise
140projects
over last 5 years
12
current EU Projects
18
nationalities
70+
team members
>4M€M€
turnover
Vrije Universiteit Brussel
Network and Expertise Organizations
VLW
Brussels Regional Mobility Commission
M
O
BI
Asset
Vrije Universiteit Brussel
Partners
12
28/09/16
3
Vrije Universiteit Brussel
13
Growth
0
500.000
1.000.000
1.500.000
2.000.000
2.500.000
3.000.000
3.500.000
4.000.000
4.500.000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Industry
IWT, Belspo, Innoviris, etc
EU
€
Over the past 5 years the group undertook
•  21 EU projects,
•  59 projects with the industry,
•  and 61 projects funded by national organizations.
Vrije Universiteit Brussel
14
Ongoing EU projects
E-mobility
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 16
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 17
Top 3 Barriers for EVs
Limited charging
infrastructure
Limited driving range
High purchase cost
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 18
28/09/16
4
Charging
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 20
Infrastructure needs
Where is your car during one week?
HomeWork
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 21 Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van MierloMOBI - Mobility, Logistics and Automotive Technology 22
0,00%
10,00%
20,00%
30,00%
40,00%
50,00%
60,00%
70,00%
Vlaanderen Walonië Brussel
Garage en parking gelegenheden in België
% aantal gebouwen met garage, parking of overdekte staanplaats / aantal gebouwen
% aantal gebouwen met garage, parking of overdekte staanplaats / aantal woongelegenheden
Bron: FOD Economie
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van MierloMOBI - Mobility, Logistics and Automotive Technology 23
Intelligent roll-out of infrastructure
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo
Charging Infrastructure Location
Fast Chargers
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5
How Green are Clean vehicles?
26
Real  life  emissions  (exhaust/non-­‐‑
exhaust/non  regulated)	
M. Messagie- VUB 27
Real-­‐‑time  emissions  of  full  supply  chain  of  
electricity  generation	
28
Extensive  Bill-­‐‑of-­‐‑Materials  of  all  components	
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 29
Life Cycle Assessment
Raw
materials
Production of
components
Assembly and
distribiution
Waste
Raw
materials
Refining and
transport
Distribution
Usage
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo
Ozone formation
Elementary
flows
Midpoint
impacts
Endpoint
Damages
Climate
change
Acidification
Eutrophication
Fossil fuel
depletion
PM formation
Land use
Human
toxicity
Radiation Eco toxicity
Ozone depletion
CO2, CH4, N2O, NOx, Cd, Benzene, iron ore, hard coal, land use, …
and other elementary flows (emissions and resources)
Human
health
Ecosystem
Resource
availability
Single score
Mineral
depletion
Water use
Inventory
model
Raw materials Production of
components
Assembly and
distribiution
Waste
Raw materials Refining and
production
Distribution
Usage
WTT
Maintenance
Production
TTW
Road
infrastructure 30
FU: 209,470 km
(14.1 years, 14,856 km/yr)
28/09/16
6
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 31
Climate change
Messagie, Maarten; Boureima, Faycal-Siddikou; Coosemans, Thierry; Macharis, Cathy; Van Mierlo, Joeri (2014) A Range-Based Vehicle Life Cycle
Assessment Incorporating Variability in the Environmental Assessment of Different Vehicle Technologies and Fuels. ENERGIES Volume: 7 Issue: 3
Pages: 1467-1482
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo
Ozone formation
Elementary
flows
Midpoint
impacts
Climate
change
Acidification
Eutrophication
Fossil fuel
depletion
PM formation
Land use
Human
toxicity
Radiation Eco toxicity
Ozone depletion
CO2, CH4, N2O, NOx, Cd, Benzene, iron ore, hard coal, land use, …
and other elementary flows (emissions and resources)
Mineral
depletion
Water use
Inventory
model
Raw materials Production of
components
Assembly and
distribiution
Waste
Raw materials Refining and
production
Distribution
Usage
WTT
Maintenance
Production
TTW
Road
infrastructure
32
Single score
33
http://www.demorgen.be/wetenschap/positieve-effecten-elektrische-auto-op-
luchtkwaliteit-overschat-b003bdaf/ Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 34
Air quality in Belgium
"ʺThe  most  detailed  analysis  of  human  health  impact  of  Electric  Vehicles”:  
hDp://mobi.vub.ac.be/mobi/news/the-­‐‑most-­‐‑detailed-­‐‑analysis-­‐‑of-­‐‑human-­‐‑health-­‐‑impact-­‐‑of-­‐‑electric-­‐‑vehicles-­‐‑by-­‐‑mobi/  (English)  	
-­‐‑Compositie  van  slijtage  van  banden  en  remschijven	
-­‐‑Verspreiding,  opname  en  schade  van  de  toxische  stoffen	
-­‐‑Real-­‐‑life  emissies	
-­‐‑incl.  Non-­‐‑regulated  emissies	
Refinery-to-tank (RTT)
Tank-to-Wheel (TTW)
Non-Exhaust (NEx)
M. Messagie- VUB 35
Supply chain risks	
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo
Vehicle
database
Parameterized LCI model
Monte Carlo
assessment
Vehicle  	
segmentation	
Data fitting
0%	
20%	
40%	
60%	
80%	
100%	
0	
0,02	
0,04	
0,06	
0,08	
0,1	
0,12	
970	
1035.4	
1100.8	
1166.2	
1231.6	
1297	
1362.4	
1427.8	
1493.2	
Density	
Weight  [kg]	
Parameterized vehicle-LCA model
36
28/09/16
7
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 37
Single score
Messagie, M., et.al.. (2014) A Range-Based Vehicle Life Cycle Assessment
Incorporating Variability in the Environmental Assessment of Different Vehicle
Technologies and Fuels. ENERGIES Volume: 7 Issue: 3 Pages: 1467-1482
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 38
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo
Influence of the electricity mix
Ref: Messagie, M., et.al. (2014) A Range-Based Vehicle Life Cycle Assessment
Incorporating Variability in the Environmental Assessment of Different Vehicle
Technologies and Fuels. ENERGIES
39
How affordable are Clean Vehicles?
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 41
TCO methodology
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo
Passenger cars – medium cars
28/09/16
8
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo
Passenger cars – medium cars - subsidy
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo
Passenger cars – premium cars
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo
Company cars – medium cars
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo
Company cars – premium cars
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 49 Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo
Electrification:
1 mln. additional jobs in 2030 in EU
2 mln. additional jobs in 2050 in EU
50
Source: Fuelling EUROPE’S Future, 2013
28/09/16
9
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 51
Fun to drive and …. J
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 52
Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo
Phone +32 2 629 28 03
Email joeri.van.mierlo@vub.ac.be
Office Building Z (ZE109)
Pleinlaan 2, 1050 Brussels
mobi.vub.ac.be
twitter.com/MOBI_VUB
Mobility, Logistics and Automotive Research centre
Vrije Universiteit Brussel
Pag.
End of Oil (video)
53
J. Van Mierlo - VUB

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E-mobility: TCO, LCA, Market, Technology (Batteries)

  • 1. 28/09/16 1 E-mobility The transition towards sustainable mobility Prof. Dr. ir. Joeri Van Mierlo Director of Mobility, Logistics and Automotive Technology Research Centre Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 2 25% Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 3Joris Besseling 57% NOx – 25% PM Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 4 Jonathan C. Wheeler 1 Billion Euro’s per Day for import of Oil in Europe Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 5 Manon Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 6 Strong foundations 1979 - Vrije Universiteit Brussel 2014 - Vrije Universiteit Brussel
  • 2. 28/09/16 2 Vrije Universiteit Brussel Key assets Sustainable logistics Electric and hybrid vehicles Battery Innovation Centre Urban mobility Vrije Universiteit Brussel Our expert tools MAMCA© LCA ECC Business Modelling Consumer behaviour VSP Battery models Power electronics Big Data LAMBIT TRABAM Location Analysis Vrije Universiteit Brussel Our infrastructure Electric and hybrid vehicle test infrastructure Power electronics and machine lab Battery Innovation Centre infrastructure Vrije Universiteit Brussel Key data 40 years of expertise 140projects over last 5 years 12 current EU Projects 18 nationalities 70+ team members >4M€M€ turnover Vrije Universiteit Brussel Network and Expertise Organizations VLW Brussels Regional Mobility Commission M O BI Asset Vrije Universiteit Brussel Partners 12
  • 3. 28/09/16 3 Vrije Universiteit Brussel 13 Growth 0 500.000 1.000.000 1.500.000 2.000.000 2.500.000 3.000.000 3.500.000 4.000.000 4.500.000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Industry IWT, Belspo, Innoviris, etc EU € Over the past 5 years the group undertook •  21 EU projects, •  59 projects with the industry, •  and 61 projects funded by national organizations. Vrije Universiteit Brussel 14 Ongoing EU projects E-mobility Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 16 Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 17 Top 3 Barriers for EVs Limited charging infrastructure Limited driving range High purchase cost Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 18
  • 4. 28/09/16 4 Charging Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 20 Infrastructure needs Where is your car during one week? HomeWork Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 21 Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van MierloMOBI - Mobility, Logistics and Automotive Technology 22 0,00% 10,00% 20,00% 30,00% 40,00% 50,00% 60,00% 70,00% Vlaanderen Walonië Brussel Garage en parking gelegenheden in België % aantal gebouwen met garage, parking of overdekte staanplaats / aantal gebouwen % aantal gebouwen met garage, parking of overdekte staanplaats / aantal woongelegenheden Bron: FOD Economie Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van MierloMOBI - Mobility, Logistics and Automotive Technology 23 Intelligent roll-out of infrastructure Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo Charging Infrastructure Location Fast Chargers
  • 5. 28/09/16 5 How Green are Clean vehicles? 26 Real  life  emissions  (exhaust/non-­‐‑ exhaust/non  regulated) M. Messagie- VUB 27 Real-­‐‑time  emissions  of  full  supply  chain  of   electricity  generation 28 Extensive  Bill-­‐‑of-­‐‑Materials  of  all  components Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 29 Life Cycle Assessment Raw materials Production of components Assembly and distribiution Waste Raw materials Refining and transport Distribution Usage Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo Ozone formation Elementary flows Midpoint impacts Endpoint Damages Climate change Acidification Eutrophication Fossil fuel depletion PM formation Land use Human toxicity Radiation Eco toxicity Ozone depletion CO2, CH4, N2O, NOx, Cd, Benzene, iron ore, hard coal, land use, … and other elementary flows (emissions and resources) Human health Ecosystem Resource availability Single score Mineral depletion Water use Inventory model Raw materials Production of components Assembly and distribiution Waste Raw materials Refining and production Distribution Usage WTT Maintenance Production TTW Road infrastructure 30 FU: 209,470 km (14.1 years, 14,856 km/yr)
  • 6. 28/09/16 6 Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 31 Climate change Messagie, Maarten; Boureima, Faycal-Siddikou; Coosemans, Thierry; Macharis, Cathy; Van Mierlo, Joeri (2014) A Range-Based Vehicle Life Cycle Assessment Incorporating Variability in the Environmental Assessment of Different Vehicle Technologies and Fuels. ENERGIES Volume: 7 Issue: 3 Pages: 1467-1482 Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo Ozone formation Elementary flows Midpoint impacts Climate change Acidification Eutrophication Fossil fuel depletion PM formation Land use Human toxicity Radiation Eco toxicity Ozone depletion CO2, CH4, N2O, NOx, Cd, Benzene, iron ore, hard coal, land use, … and other elementary flows (emissions and resources) Mineral depletion Water use Inventory model Raw materials Production of components Assembly and distribiution Waste Raw materials Refining and production Distribution Usage WTT Maintenance Production TTW Road infrastructure 32 Single score 33 http://www.demorgen.be/wetenschap/positieve-effecten-elektrische-auto-op- luchtkwaliteit-overschat-b003bdaf/ Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 34 Air quality in Belgium "ʺThe  most  detailed  analysis  of  human  health  impact  of  Electric  Vehicles”:   hDp://mobi.vub.ac.be/mobi/news/the-­‐‑most-­‐‑detailed-­‐‑analysis-­‐‑of-­‐‑human-­‐‑health-­‐‑impact-­‐‑of-­‐‑electric-­‐‑vehicles-­‐‑by-­‐‑mobi/  (English)   -­‐‑Compositie  van  slijtage  van  banden  en  remschijven -­‐‑Verspreiding,  opname  en  schade  van  de  toxische  stoffen -­‐‑Real-­‐‑life  emissies -­‐‑incl.  Non-­‐‑regulated  emissies Refinery-to-tank (RTT) Tank-to-Wheel (TTW) Non-Exhaust (NEx) M. Messagie- VUB 35 Supply chain risks Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo Vehicle database Parameterized LCI model Monte Carlo assessment Vehicle   segmentation Data fitting 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 0 0,02 0,04 0,06 0,08 0,1 0,12 970 1035.4 1100.8 1166.2 1231.6 1297 1362.4 1427.8 1493.2 Density Weight  [kg] Parameterized vehicle-LCA model 36
  • 7. 28/09/16 7 Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 37 Single score Messagie, M., et.al.. (2014) A Range-Based Vehicle Life Cycle Assessment Incorporating Variability in the Environmental Assessment of Different Vehicle Technologies and Fuels. ENERGIES Volume: 7 Issue: 3 Pages: 1467-1482 Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 38 Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo Influence of the electricity mix Ref: Messagie, M., et.al. (2014) A Range-Based Vehicle Life Cycle Assessment Incorporating Variability in the Environmental Assessment of Different Vehicle Technologies and Fuels. ENERGIES 39 How affordable are Clean Vehicles? Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 41 TCO methodology Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo Passenger cars – medium cars
  • 8. 28/09/16 8 Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo Passenger cars – medium cars - subsidy Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo Passenger cars – premium cars Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo Company cars – medium cars Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo Company cars – premium cars Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 49 Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo Electrification: 1 mln. additional jobs in 2030 in EU 2 mln. additional jobs in 2050 in EU 50 Source: Fuelling EUROPE’S Future, 2013
  • 9. 28/09/16 9 Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 51 Fun to drive and …. J Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 52 Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo Phone +32 2 629 28 03 Email joeri.van.mierlo@vub.ac.be Office Building Z (ZE109) Pleinlaan 2, 1050 Brussels mobi.vub.ac.be twitter.com/MOBI_VUB Mobility, Logistics and Automotive Research centre Vrije Universiteit Brussel Pag. End of Oil (video) 53 J. Van Mierlo - VUB