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The Cheat Sheet, Vol. 8, Issue 27 – Nov 2019
Need a place for your Holiday Party? Try the Antelope Club. Great food. Great
drinks. Great service. And great pricing. 615 N Delaware Street, Indianapolis• FREE
PARKING• Call (317) 632-5541.
Post Election/Post Mortem
A lot of folks are still trying to figure out
Tuesday’s election results and what that all
means in the grand scheme of things,
particularly for 2020. Republicans picked
up a lot of mayoral seats and Democrats
made headway in Hamilton County and
expanded their power in Marion County.
But despite the wins, there’s more to the
stories and the victories likely had more to
do with people and personalities rather
than politics and party labels.
Marion County
To put it mildly, when it came to
Republicans and Tuesday’s elections, TCS
hasn’t seen a beating like this since
Rodney King. Not only did Joe Hogsett
score a major win, but there Democrats
picked up six Council seats for a
supermajority. And not only do they have
a supermajority, but also a veto-proof
majority and some council members want
them to use that power. Already there
has been talk by some Councilors that
with their numbers they can dictate the
agenda of the city and not the 25th
floor. And the mayor’s office can’t run
over them.
The Cheat Sheet, Vol. 8, Issue 27 – Nov 2019
Need a place for your Holiday Party? Try the Antelope Club. Great food. Great
drinks. Great service. And great pricing. 615 N Delaware Street, Indianapolis• FREE
PARKING• Call (317) 632-5541.
Of course, that’s assuming they can get on
the same page. Don’t be shocked to see
some head butting between the African-
American councilors and the new white,
liberal progressives. There are already
signs of that crack in the plaster starting to
show.
Hogsett Chief of Staff Thomas Cook had
an interesting observation on his Twitter
feed, “Indy Democrats, a
reminder: Democrats winning does not
mean that the city is "more Democratic."
That's a bad, self-destructive take. Tuesday
wins were the result of many things, but
chief among them was broad, bipartisan
support for candidates with broad,
bipartisan messages.”
Meanwhile, on the Republican side, they
are still trying to figure out how they
lost. Some blame it on Jim Merritt’s
campaign, others say there was no unified
message. One long-time observer made
an interesting point to TCS yesterday, he
said Tuesday was the end result of a party
infrastructure that had been collapsing on
itself for years and it finally fell
apart. Word is the remaining GOP
survivors are meeting over the next few
days to do a post mortem and plan the
long road back. Their first order of
business will be to pick a minority leader,
which will likely be Brian Mowrey.
It’s also worth noting that Hogsett’s win
(71%) is the same as the approval ratings
we had in our Indy Politics poll.
Hamilton County
Democrats won three seats in local races
in Hamilton County. Miles Nelson beat
former FSSA Director Debra Minott on
the Carmel City Council. And two
Democrats got elected to the Fishers town
The Cheat Sheet, Vol. 8, Issue 27 – Nov 2019
Need a place for your Holiday Party? Try the Antelope Club. Great food. Great
drinks. Great service. And great pricing. 615 N Delaware Street, Indianapolis• FREE
PARKING• Call (317) 632-5541.
council, one at large and one in the NC
district. And to make life more
challenging for Republicans in Fishers,
where there was a contested race, two of
the three races were within three points of
each other. While Democrats are
celebrating these wins, once again, the
story is a little more complicated.
First, the word on the street for a while has
been that the Hamilton County
Republican Party has been in disarray
and “damn near broke”. We’ve heard
stories of infighting, donors cutting off
resources and the latest is that there was
complaining that the County Chair Laura
Campbell, who also serves on the Carmel
City Council, had most of the resources
dedicated towards her race which is why
Minott lost to Nelson. Also, there is talk
that some county folks are trying to lay the
blame at the Governor and State Party
saying they did not do enough to
help. We are not making this up.
This also feeds into the narrative that some
HC Republicans have been saying the
Holcomb campaign can’t rely on the
county party so it will have to set up its
own operations.
Boone County
So how did Democrat Emily Styron beat
Republican incumbent Tim
Haak? Well, this is one where the party
label really had nothing to do with it. We
can say this because although Styron won,
albeit by less than 100 votes, but despite a
3:1 Republican straight-ticket voting
advantage, all the other Democrats who
ran for the town council lost.
The Cheat Sheet, Vol. 8, Issue 27 – Nov 2019
Need a place for your Holiday Party? Try the Antelope Club. Great food. Great
drinks. Great service. And great pricing. 615 N Delaware Street, Indianapolis• FREE
PARKING• Call (317) 632-5541.
We’ve been talking to our sources up
north and here’s what they came back
with…
 Styron had the momentum going
in. While Haak won the election
day vote, Styron killed it when it
came to early voting.
 There was the Sycamore Flats
apartment complex controversy
which hurt Haak.
 There were two school
referendums on the ballot which
brought out the “Volvo Driving
Soccer mom” which helped Stryon.
 Some of the national issues (i.e.,
Trump) didn’t hurt either.
We think it’s interesting that Styron won in
part because of the referendum because
there was a referendum in Zionsville back
when Susan Brooks won her party’s
nomination back in 2012 and the
conventional wisdom is that gave her the
1000-vote edge over second-place
finisher David McIntosh.
Speaking of Congress, there is some
debate over whether the fifth
congressional district is a lot more
competitive today than in the last
election. The answer is yes and no.
While Democrats did make inroads and
swept the northern part of Marion County,
Republicans still dominated or grew their
political footprints. The big question will
be who are the nominees? The private
chatter we’re hearing is that If the GOP
picks someone too far to the right, that
seat could end up in Democratic hands.
A Few Other Items of Note
TCS hears Vice-President Mike Pence is
Indy this weekend.
We have to give a big shout out to Tyler
Moore and his victory in the Kokomo
Mayor’s race. Kokomo, a democratic
stronghold, not only elected Moore with
nearly 70 percent of the vote but
Republicans had all but one seat on the
city council and that one was still up in the
air by 10 votes the last time we checked.
FYI, two were African-
Americans. Internal September polls had
Moore up 30 points. We also heard that
negative mailers sent out by the State
Democrat party had the opposite effect.
Another race we kept an eye on was the
Mayor of Greensburg. 26-year old Josh
Marsh, beat the Democrat incumbent, 65-
35. Marsh not only won a contested
primary and bear the incumbent, but he
did it while finishing law
school. Apparently, there is a “youth
movement” taking place in Decatur
County which is worth exploring in our
LNG capacity.
We’re told the Democratic victories on the
Columbus City-Council were due to
changing demographics primarily due to
Cummings’ influence in the area.
The Cheat Sheet, Vol. 8, Issue 27 – Nov 2019
Need a place for your Holiday Party? Try the Antelope Club. Great food. Great
drinks. Great service. And great pricing. 615 N Delaware Street, Indianapolis• FREE
PARKING• Call (317) 632-5541.
Word on the street the Indiana Democratic
Party Chairman John Zody is strongly
looking at running for the seat being
vacated by State Senator Mark Stoops of
Bloomington.
The Usual Disclaimer Stuff:
The Cheat Sheet is a publication of
IndyPolitics.Org. This is a compilation
of pure gossip, rumor and blatant
innuendo.
We assume no liability if it is wrong, we
only take credit for it when it’s right!
If you’ve got something you want to
share, (good, bad or ugly) send it to
Abdul@indypolitics.org. We promise to
take all the credit and all of the blame.
In Loving Memory...
"All I am, I owe to my mother."
~Abraham Lincoln

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Indy Election Post-Mortem - Democrats Gain Power; Republicans Seek Rebuild

  • 1. The Cheat Sheet, Vol. 8, Issue 27 – Nov 2019 Need a place for your Holiday Party? Try the Antelope Club. Great food. Great drinks. Great service. And great pricing. 615 N Delaware Street, Indianapolis• FREE PARKING• Call (317) 632-5541. Post Election/Post Mortem A lot of folks are still trying to figure out Tuesday’s election results and what that all means in the grand scheme of things, particularly for 2020. Republicans picked up a lot of mayoral seats and Democrats made headway in Hamilton County and expanded their power in Marion County. But despite the wins, there’s more to the stories and the victories likely had more to do with people and personalities rather than politics and party labels. Marion County To put it mildly, when it came to Republicans and Tuesday’s elections, TCS hasn’t seen a beating like this since Rodney King. Not only did Joe Hogsett score a major win, but there Democrats picked up six Council seats for a supermajority. And not only do they have a supermajority, but also a veto-proof majority and some council members want them to use that power. Already there has been talk by some Councilors that with their numbers they can dictate the agenda of the city and not the 25th floor. And the mayor’s office can’t run over them.
  • 2. The Cheat Sheet, Vol. 8, Issue 27 – Nov 2019 Need a place for your Holiday Party? Try the Antelope Club. Great food. Great drinks. Great service. And great pricing. 615 N Delaware Street, Indianapolis• FREE PARKING• Call (317) 632-5541. Of course, that’s assuming they can get on the same page. Don’t be shocked to see some head butting between the African- American councilors and the new white, liberal progressives. There are already signs of that crack in the plaster starting to show. Hogsett Chief of Staff Thomas Cook had an interesting observation on his Twitter feed, “Indy Democrats, a reminder: Democrats winning does not mean that the city is "more Democratic." That's a bad, self-destructive take. Tuesday wins were the result of many things, but chief among them was broad, bipartisan support for candidates with broad, bipartisan messages.” Meanwhile, on the Republican side, they are still trying to figure out how they lost. Some blame it on Jim Merritt’s campaign, others say there was no unified message. One long-time observer made an interesting point to TCS yesterday, he said Tuesday was the end result of a party infrastructure that had been collapsing on itself for years and it finally fell apart. Word is the remaining GOP survivors are meeting over the next few days to do a post mortem and plan the long road back. Their first order of business will be to pick a minority leader, which will likely be Brian Mowrey. It’s also worth noting that Hogsett’s win (71%) is the same as the approval ratings we had in our Indy Politics poll. Hamilton County Democrats won three seats in local races in Hamilton County. Miles Nelson beat former FSSA Director Debra Minott on the Carmel City Council. And two Democrats got elected to the Fishers town
  • 3. The Cheat Sheet, Vol. 8, Issue 27 – Nov 2019 Need a place for your Holiday Party? Try the Antelope Club. Great food. Great drinks. Great service. And great pricing. 615 N Delaware Street, Indianapolis• FREE PARKING• Call (317) 632-5541. council, one at large and one in the NC district. And to make life more challenging for Republicans in Fishers, where there was a contested race, two of the three races were within three points of each other. While Democrats are celebrating these wins, once again, the story is a little more complicated. First, the word on the street for a while has been that the Hamilton County Republican Party has been in disarray and “damn near broke”. We’ve heard stories of infighting, donors cutting off resources and the latest is that there was complaining that the County Chair Laura Campbell, who also serves on the Carmel City Council, had most of the resources dedicated towards her race which is why Minott lost to Nelson. Also, there is talk that some county folks are trying to lay the blame at the Governor and State Party saying they did not do enough to help. We are not making this up. This also feeds into the narrative that some HC Republicans have been saying the Holcomb campaign can’t rely on the county party so it will have to set up its own operations. Boone County So how did Democrat Emily Styron beat Republican incumbent Tim Haak? Well, this is one where the party label really had nothing to do with it. We can say this because although Styron won, albeit by less than 100 votes, but despite a 3:1 Republican straight-ticket voting advantage, all the other Democrats who ran for the town council lost.
  • 4. The Cheat Sheet, Vol. 8, Issue 27 – Nov 2019 Need a place for your Holiday Party? Try the Antelope Club. Great food. Great drinks. Great service. And great pricing. 615 N Delaware Street, Indianapolis• FREE PARKING• Call (317) 632-5541. We’ve been talking to our sources up north and here’s what they came back with…  Styron had the momentum going in. While Haak won the election day vote, Styron killed it when it came to early voting.  There was the Sycamore Flats apartment complex controversy which hurt Haak.  There were two school referendums on the ballot which brought out the “Volvo Driving Soccer mom” which helped Stryon.  Some of the national issues (i.e., Trump) didn’t hurt either. We think it’s interesting that Styron won in part because of the referendum because there was a referendum in Zionsville back when Susan Brooks won her party’s nomination back in 2012 and the conventional wisdom is that gave her the 1000-vote edge over second-place finisher David McIntosh. Speaking of Congress, there is some debate over whether the fifth congressional district is a lot more competitive today than in the last election. The answer is yes and no. While Democrats did make inroads and swept the northern part of Marion County, Republicans still dominated or grew their political footprints. The big question will be who are the nominees? The private chatter we’re hearing is that If the GOP picks someone too far to the right, that seat could end up in Democratic hands. A Few Other Items of Note TCS hears Vice-President Mike Pence is Indy this weekend. We have to give a big shout out to Tyler Moore and his victory in the Kokomo Mayor’s race. Kokomo, a democratic stronghold, not only elected Moore with nearly 70 percent of the vote but Republicans had all but one seat on the city council and that one was still up in the air by 10 votes the last time we checked. FYI, two were African- Americans. Internal September polls had Moore up 30 points. We also heard that negative mailers sent out by the State Democrat party had the opposite effect. Another race we kept an eye on was the Mayor of Greensburg. 26-year old Josh Marsh, beat the Democrat incumbent, 65- 35. Marsh not only won a contested primary and bear the incumbent, but he did it while finishing law school. Apparently, there is a “youth movement” taking place in Decatur County which is worth exploring in our LNG capacity. We’re told the Democratic victories on the Columbus City-Council were due to changing demographics primarily due to Cummings’ influence in the area.
  • 5. The Cheat Sheet, Vol. 8, Issue 27 – Nov 2019 Need a place for your Holiday Party? Try the Antelope Club. Great food. Great drinks. Great service. And great pricing. 615 N Delaware Street, Indianapolis• FREE PARKING• Call (317) 632-5541. Word on the street the Indiana Democratic Party Chairman John Zody is strongly looking at running for the seat being vacated by State Senator Mark Stoops of Bloomington. The Usual Disclaimer Stuff: The Cheat Sheet is a publication of IndyPolitics.Org. This is a compilation of pure gossip, rumor and blatant innuendo. We assume no liability if it is wrong, we only take credit for it when it’s right! If you’ve got something you want to share, (good, bad or ugly) send it to Abdul@indypolitics.org. We promise to take all the credit and all of the blame. In Loving Memory... "All I am, I owe to my mother." ~Abraham Lincoln