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Second UN-SPIDER Workshop 13-15 October 2008

                                                                                      Session II:
                                                                            quot;Advancing Knowledge for Human Security and Development“


                                                                                Vulnerability and Risk
                                                                                  United Nations University
                                                                                Institute for Environment and
                                                                                     Assessment
                            Institute for Environment & Human Security




                                                                                        Human Security
                                                                                   - Introduction -
                                                                                                 (UNU-EHS)
United Nations University




                                                                         Dr.-Ing. Jörn Birkmann & Dr. Juan Carlos Villagran de Leon




                                                                                                  UN-SPIDER Workshop
Goals of the Session II

                                                                          How to use remote sensing data for vulnerability
                                                                           and risk assessment?
                            Institute for Environment & Human Security




                                                                          How to combine remote sensing data and
                                                                           statistical data regarding vulnerability and risk?
United Nations University




                                                                          How to use remote sensing data for vulnerability
                                                                           and risk assessment at different scales?


                                                                          Who can benefit and use the data?

                                                                                              UN-SPIDER Workshop
United Nations University
          Institute for Environment & Human Security   The STERN Report




UN-SPIDER Workshop
Risk   f = hazard and vulnerability


                                                                                                   life-lines buildings
                                                                                                         technical
                                                                                                       critical infrastructure
                            Institute for Environment & Human Security




                                                                                Hazard    Risk           Vulnerability
United Nations University




                                                                                                        socio-economic

                                                                                                   environmental




                                                                                         UN-SPIDER Workshop
Dimensions of Vulnerability
                                                                               Social Dimension
                                                                                 Vulnerability of different social groups,
                                                                                 Role of social networks (coping)


                                                                               Economic Dimension
                            Institute for Environment & Human Security




                                                                                 Vulnerability of different economic sectors, such
                                                                                 as fishery and hotel business in Sri Lanka
United Nations University




                                                                               Environmental Dimension
                                                                                 Environmental fragility (groundwater, land)
                                                                                 Dependency on environmental services


                                                                               Institutional Dimension
                                                                                 Effectiveness and failure of structures and
                                                                                 institutions
                                                                                            UN-SPIDER Workshop
BBC-framework    Institute for Environment & Human Security
United Nations University




                                                                         Source: Bogardi/Birkmann (2004) and Cardona (1999/2001)
                                                                                                   UN-SPIDER Workshop
Vulnerability and Risk Assessment

                                                                                                Hazard
                                                                           Update data
                                                                                         vulnerability components
                            Institute for Environment & Human Security




                                                                           Determine,
                                                                            quantify
                                                                          and combine
                                                                           indicators                                    stage of       short time
United Nations University




                                                                              and                                      early warning    before
                                                                          components                                                    disaster


                                                                                                                           stage of     pre- and
                                                                                                                       risk managment   postdisaster



                                                                                                  UN-SPIDER Workshop
Key Cooperation Partners Indonesia




                                                                                LIPI                             UNU-EHS
                            Institute for Environment & Human Security




                                                                                                           BPS +
United Nations University




                                                                                          local authorities from pilot areas
                                                                                       (U Andalas, UGM Yogjakarta, BAPPEDA
                                                                                        Padang, Cilacap, Badung – Bali, GTZ)




                                                                                            UN-SPIDER Workshop
United Nations University
          Institute for Environment & Human Security   SEVAI




UN-SPIDER Workshop
BBC framework         Thematic areas for indicator
                                                                         categories                  development


                                                                           Hazard             Degree of hazard impact

                                                                                                                              Population in the exposed zone
                                                                                                  Exposed People              day and night
                                                                          Exposure
                                                                                           Exposed critical infrastructures

                                                   V
                                                                                               Receiving the warning          Proportion of population without
                                                   U                                                                          access to mobile phones
                                                                          Susceptibility
                                                   L
                            Institute for Environment & Human Security




                                                                                                                              Proportion of population 5+
                                                   N                                         Understanding the warning        without primary school education
                                                   E
                                                   R                                            Decision to evacuate
                                                                                                                              Proportion of population 5+
                                                                                                                              without high school education
                                                   A
United Nations University




                                                   B                                                                          Demographic susceptibility
                                                                         Coping Capacity       Capability to evacuate         index
                                                   I
                                                   L
                                                                                                 Health maintenance
                                                   I
                                                                                              & rehabilitation capability
                                                   T
                                                   Y
                                                                                              Livelihood rehabilitation
                                                                          Rehabilitation
                                                                                                 Intervention Tools /
                                                                                                      Adaptation
                                                                                                     UN-SPIDER Workshop
United Nations University
          Institute for Environment & Human Security




UN-SPIDER Workshop
                                                       Example: Sub-National VA Indonesia
United Nations University
          Institute for Environment & Human Security   Example




UN-SPIDER Workshop
United Nations University
          Institute for Environment & Human Security




UN-SPIDER Workshop
                                                       Example Sub-national VA Indonesia
United Nations University
          Institute for Environment & Human Security   The End




UN-SPIDER Workshop
Local Assessment – Padang (LAST-MILE)

                                                                         Inundation modelling


                                                                                                                   Socio-economic
                                                                                                               vulnerability assessment
                            Institute for Environment & Human Security




                                                                         Geodatabase, physical vulnerability
                                                                          Class A
                                                                          Class B
                                                                          Class C
United Nations University




                                                                                                                                          Evacuation analysis




                                                                                                    Evacuation Strategies and Plans

                                                                                                                 UN-SPIDER Workshop
United Nations University
          Institute for Environment & Human Security                The End




UN-SPIDER Workshop
                                                       SUB-GROUPS
3 Sub-Groups


                                                                          A) Vulnerability / Dr. Jörn Birkmann


                                                                          B) Hazard and Risk / Dr. Peter Zeil
                            Institute for Environment & Human Security




                                                                          C) Information for disaster preparedness and
                                                                           response / Dr. Juan C. Villagran
United Nations University




                                                                                             UN-SPIDER Workshop
Goals of the Sub-Groups

                                                                          Improved understanding on how remote sensing data is
                                                                           used in vulnerability and risk assessment

                                                                          Systematization of lessons learnt: what has worked,
                                                                           what not?
                            Institute for Environment & Human Security




                                                                          Development of ideas on the web-based platfrom – what
                                                                           to share…
United Nations University




                                                                                                 UN-SPIDER Workshop
Question for each Sub-Group


                                                                          How is the vulnerability and risk assessment structured?

                                                                          Which elements at risk can be assessed with remote
                                                                           sensing (RS) information?
                            Institute for Environment & Human Security




                                                                          Hot to assess exposure, fragility and response capacities
                                                                           with RS and statistical data

                                                                          How to integrate remote sensing information and census
United Nations University




                                                                           data within one assessment?

                                                                          How should the information platform incorporate
                                                                           information regarding vulnerability and risk?




                                                                                                 UN-SPIDER Workshop
The End




                                                                                   Thank you
                                                                               for your attention!
                            Institute for Environment & Human Security
United Nations University




                                                                                   birkmann@ehs.unu.edu
                                                                                   villagran@ehs.unu.edu



                                                                                         UN-SPIDER Workshop

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Birkmann Unu Ehs Spider Bonn Ws 2008

  • 1. Second UN-SPIDER Workshop 13-15 October 2008 Session II: quot;Advancing Knowledge for Human Security and Development“ Vulnerability and Risk United Nations University Institute for Environment and Assessment Institute for Environment & Human Security Human Security - Introduction - (UNU-EHS) United Nations University Dr.-Ing. Jörn Birkmann & Dr. Juan Carlos Villagran de Leon UN-SPIDER Workshop
  • 2. Goals of the Session II  How to use remote sensing data for vulnerability and risk assessment? Institute for Environment & Human Security  How to combine remote sensing data and statistical data regarding vulnerability and risk? United Nations University  How to use remote sensing data for vulnerability and risk assessment at different scales?  Who can benefit and use the data? UN-SPIDER Workshop
  • 3. United Nations University Institute for Environment & Human Security The STERN Report UN-SPIDER Workshop
  • 4. Risk f = hazard and vulnerability life-lines buildings technical critical infrastructure Institute for Environment & Human Security Hazard Risk Vulnerability United Nations University socio-economic environmental UN-SPIDER Workshop
  • 5. Dimensions of Vulnerability Social Dimension Vulnerability of different social groups, Role of social networks (coping) Economic Dimension Institute for Environment & Human Security Vulnerability of different economic sectors, such as fishery and hotel business in Sri Lanka United Nations University Environmental Dimension Environmental fragility (groundwater, land) Dependency on environmental services Institutional Dimension Effectiveness and failure of structures and institutions UN-SPIDER Workshop
  • 6. BBC-framework Institute for Environment & Human Security United Nations University Source: Bogardi/Birkmann (2004) and Cardona (1999/2001) UN-SPIDER Workshop
  • 7. Vulnerability and Risk Assessment Hazard Update data vulnerability components Institute for Environment & Human Security Determine, quantify and combine indicators stage of short time United Nations University and early warning before components disaster stage of pre- and risk managment postdisaster UN-SPIDER Workshop
  • 8. Key Cooperation Partners Indonesia LIPI UNU-EHS Institute for Environment & Human Security BPS + United Nations University local authorities from pilot areas (U Andalas, UGM Yogjakarta, BAPPEDA Padang, Cilacap, Badung – Bali, GTZ) UN-SPIDER Workshop
  • 9. United Nations University Institute for Environment & Human Security SEVAI UN-SPIDER Workshop
  • 10. BBC framework Thematic areas for indicator categories development Hazard Degree of hazard impact Population in the exposed zone Exposed People day and night Exposure Exposed critical infrastructures V Receiving the warning Proportion of population without U access to mobile phones Susceptibility L Institute for Environment & Human Security Proportion of population 5+ N Understanding the warning without primary school education E R Decision to evacuate Proportion of population 5+ without high school education A United Nations University B Demographic susceptibility Coping Capacity Capability to evacuate index I L Health maintenance I & rehabilitation capability T Y Livelihood rehabilitation Rehabilitation Intervention Tools / Adaptation UN-SPIDER Workshop
  • 11. United Nations University Institute for Environment & Human Security UN-SPIDER Workshop Example: Sub-National VA Indonesia
  • 12. United Nations University Institute for Environment & Human Security Example UN-SPIDER Workshop
  • 13. United Nations University Institute for Environment & Human Security UN-SPIDER Workshop Example Sub-national VA Indonesia
  • 14. United Nations University Institute for Environment & Human Security The End UN-SPIDER Workshop
  • 15. Local Assessment – Padang (LAST-MILE) Inundation modelling Socio-economic vulnerability assessment Institute for Environment & Human Security Geodatabase, physical vulnerability Class A Class B Class C United Nations University Evacuation analysis Evacuation Strategies and Plans UN-SPIDER Workshop
  • 16. United Nations University Institute for Environment & Human Security The End UN-SPIDER Workshop SUB-GROUPS
  • 17. 3 Sub-Groups  A) Vulnerability / Dr. Jörn Birkmann  B) Hazard and Risk / Dr. Peter Zeil Institute for Environment & Human Security  C) Information for disaster preparedness and response / Dr. Juan C. Villagran United Nations University UN-SPIDER Workshop
  • 18. Goals of the Sub-Groups  Improved understanding on how remote sensing data is used in vulnerability and risk assessment  Systematization of lessons learnt: what has worked, what not? Institute for Environment & Human Security  Development of ideas on the web-based platfrom – what to share… United Nations University UN-SPIDER Workshop
  • 19. Question for each Sub-Group  How is the vulnerability and risk assessment structured?  Which elements at risk can be assessed with remote sensing (RS) information? Institute for Environment & Human Security  Hot to assess exposure, fragility and response capacities with RS and statistical data  How to integrate remote sensing information and census United Nations University data within one assessment?  How should the information platform incorporate information regarding vulnerability and risk? UN-SPIDER Workshop
  • 20. The End Thank you for your attention! Institute for Environment & Human Security United Nations University birkmann@ehs.unu.edu villagran@ehs.unu.edu UN-SPIDER Workshop