Presented at the "Pandemics and longevity: Will we die, survive, or thrive next time?" webinar, by ILC-UK Date: Thursday 16 March 2023 Time: 1.30pm – 3.00pm (GMT)

1. Pandemics and longevity: Will we die,
survive, or thrive next time?
Better Preparedness – better results
Prof. Itamar Grotto, MD, MPH, PhD, Ben Gurion University, Israel
International Public Health expert and senior adviser
March 2023

2. Next pandemic is not a question of “if?”
but a question of “when?”
• New agent
• Mutation of known agent
• Change of virulence of an endemic agent
• What lessons can we take for the COVID?

4. Global effect
(March 2023)

5. COVID19 Pandemic timeline – In Israel
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
02-03-2020
16-03-2020
30-03-2020
13-04-2020
27-04-2020
11-05-2020
25-05-2020
08-06-2020
22-06-2020
06-07-2020
20-07-2020
03-08-2020
17-08-2020
31-08-2020
14-09-2020
28-09-2020
12-10-2020
26-10-2020
09-11-2020
23-11-2020
07-12-2020
21-12-2020
04-01-2021
18-01-2021
01-02-2021
15-02-2021
01-03-2021
15-03-2021
29-03-2021
12-04-2021
26-04-2021
10-05-2021
24-05-2021
07-06-2021
21-06-2021
05-07-2021
19-07-2021
02-08-2021
16-08-2021
30-08-2021
13-09-2021
27-09-2021
11-10-2021
25-10-2021
08-11-2021
22-11-2021
06-12-2021
20-12-2021
03-01-2022
17-01-2022
31-01-2022
14-02-2022
28-02-2022
14-03-2022
28-03-2022
11-04-2022
25-04-2022
09-05-2022
23-05-2022
06-06-2022
20-06-2022
04-07-2022
18-07-2022
01-08-2022
15-08-2022
29-08-2022
12-09-2022
26-09-2022
10-10-2022
24-10-2022
07-11-2022
21-11-2022
05-12-2022
19-12-2022
02-01-2023
16-01-2023
30-01-2023
13-02-2023
27-02-2023
13-03-2023
Hospitalized patients 03/20-03/23
Mild Moderate Severe

6. COVID19 Pandemic timeline – In Israel
0
5
10
15
20
25
18-01-2021
31-01-2021
12-02-2021
24-02-2021
06-03-2021
18-03-2021
30-03-2021
11-04-2021
25-04-2021
06-05-2021
18-05-2021
29-05-2021
12-06-2021
23-06-2021
05-07-2021
17-07-2021
28-07-2021
09-08-2021
23-08-2021
04-09-2021
15-09-2021
27-09-2021
08-10-2021
22-10-2021
01-11-2021
14-11-2021
25-11-2021
09-12-2021
20-12-2021
01-01-2022
12-01-2022
26-01-2022
07-02-2022
17-02-2022
01-03-2022
13-03-2022
25-03-2022
08-04-2022
20-04-2022
01-05-2022
13-05-2022
24-05-2022
07-06-2022
18-06-2022
01-07-2022
13-07-2022
25-07-2022
04-08-2022
18-08-2022
29-08-2022
11-09-2022
22-09-2022
03-10-2022
17-10-2022
28-10-2022
10-11-2022
21-11-2022
04-12-2022
14-12-2022
26-12-2022
09-01-2023
21-01-2023
02-02-2023
12-02-2023
26-02-2023
10-03-2023
Mortality by vaccination status, >60 years, incidence per 100,000
Vaccinated Not-vaccinated

7. Phase 1:
“Old Public Health”
• Personal and
environmental hygiene
• PPE including face masks
• Infection control

8. Phase 2: Test and protect

9. New diagnostic approaches
New clinical diagnostic tools Wastewater surveillance

11. Vaccine development and challenges

12. Green pass

13. Phase 0 – what can we do now?
• Prevention
• Vaccination: Influenza, pneumococcal vaccines, COVID
• Health promotion
• Quit Smoking
• Physical Activity
• Balanced diet
• Preparedness
• Technology: Rapid (new) testing methods, vaccines
• Planning and trains: Rapid re-organization, home care